The Maryanne Smith League Draft Grades: Season 25 Edition

   A quarter of a century.  That is how long ago we gathered around the Kelly table at 1205 Glen Arbor Drive to draft the first teams of Mandeville Kelly Fantasy Football League, now Maryanne Smith League.  Over those two and a half decades we’ve seen some incredible seasons and players and have had some historically awesome and historically terrible drafts.  Through many of those seasons I’ve provided draft grades.  For a while I was doing weekly recaps and predictions until ESPN made character limits on the league message board so heinous I had to move to a blog.  Through all this time we’ve grown up.  Many of us have gotten married.  Many now have children of our own.  Many are highly successful in their respected profession.  All seem to be doing pretty well from my vantage point.  I can’t describe how happy I am that we all get to reconnect on an annual basis and I hope that we are all able to get together this time next year to celebrate another year alive and another year of Fantasy Football.  Enough nostalgia.  Let’s get to what you came for.   

   Draft Grades!  As always I’d like to remind you this is my opinion.  I’ll defend my opinion with the pieces of information I have in my brain.  That doesn’t make me right.  I’m not the best with deep analytics and data.  I’m knowingly ignorant about most things, fantasy football included.  My hopes for these grades is to educate but also to help you in other league you might be drafting in, in the near future.  I might not be able to convince you on players that I’m high on, but if I give you something to think about it’ll make me happy.   

 

1. Quentin. 

   Tied with the most championships in league history (4) Quentin begins his quest for #5 with the #1 overall pick and the rights to draft Jamarr Chase.  In 2024 Chase won the WR Triple Crown, leading the NFL in Receptions (127), Receiving Yards (1708) , and Receiving TDs (17).  Good for an average of 19.9 per game.  Including games of 36.3, 49.9, and 38.1.  Now obviously this is a rare feat.  Unlikely to happen again.  Last year the Bengals defense was horrific.  Leading the Bengals to have to score in bunches just to stay in close games.  Many of which they wind up losing.  They are hungry and motivated to ensure they start out fast and strong this season.  But there’s a couple of problems.  Last season their weakness was offensive line and defense.  In the offseason they signed Jamarr Chase and Tee Higgins to massive contracts.  They did seemingly nothing to improve their secondary or defense.  They did seemingly nothing to improve their offensive line.  I believe we are going to see more of the same.  Burrow having to throw a ton and Chase being the main benefactor.  He’s the slam dunk WR1 and a great pick made by Quentin.       

   At the turn Quentin did what I expected him to do.  I had created mock drafts in an excel document and I predicted Quentin to take Bucky Irving and a QB.  I guessed Josh Allen, so I was wrong on the QB, but right on the concept.   

Bucky has become a bit of a cult sensation on Fantasy Football platforms like Sleeper.  He averaged 12.99 points per game in half ppr last year as a rookie.  The impressive thing about him was he did this while only playing 30-57% of snaps in every game except for Weeks 6 and 18.  Both weeks he faced New Orleans and where he played in 64% and 72% of snaps.  Rachaad White is a little banged up.  Sean Tucker is being hyped up.  And also Liam Coen is gone, now head coaching Jacksonville.  Will the new OC, Josh Grizzard, keep the same RBBC approach of Coen?  He was the passing game coordinator under Coen last season in Tampa.  Before that he was a quality control and WR coach in Miami, more recently under Mike McDaniels.  He helped the Dolphins in the 2023 season when Miami achieved the NFL’s top offense in yards per game.  Losing Coen could hurt, but seems Grizzard is an up and coming who has a chance to be the next young coach in the McVay, McDaniels, Coen molds in the future.  Also, I have to mention he selected Bucky over Chase Brown and Jonathan Taylor.  Quentin had JT last year too when he won it all.   

  In the 3rd Quentin took Lamar Jackson, recreating his 2024 QB who helped him win a title.  Last season Jackson added Derrick Henry and the Ravens rolled on offense.  Jackson had his best fantasy season ever.  Throwing for a career best 41 touchdowns with only 4 interceptions.  Josh Allen won the MVP award, but Lamar Jackson was the MVP.  The team is relatively unchanged.  The division is relatively unchanged.  By taking Jackson you can go ahead and give Quentin two wins automatically this season.  One in Week 13 and the other in Week 15.  Where they square off against the Bengals.  Last season Chase averaged 43.1 and Jackson averaged 33.1.  76.2 points on average from two players in those matchups.  Giddy up.   

  At the 4/5 turn Quentin missed out on  a lot of great talent in Round 4 and at the end of Round 3, but that’s the disadvantage of drafting at 1.  He secured one boring, but solid pick in James Conner as his RB2.  A bit of a reach, according to the rankings, he selected George Pickens to start the 5th.  Conner rushed for a thousand yards and finished as RB#11 in half ppr.  All signs point to him repeating as the lead back with a mix of Trey Benson behind him.  This is one of those solid picks that seems boring, but helps a roster.   

  Most rankers had Pickens behind the likes of Davante Adams, Marvin Harrison, Terry McLaurin, Courtland Sutton, etc.  Quentin knew he probably wouldn’t come back to him, so he took his guy.  Pickens has always been talented albeit a bit of a headcase.  Last season he was the Alpha WR1 on the Arthur Smith-led Steelers, but couldn’t breakout while catching balls from Justin Fields and Russell Wilson.  A change of scenery to Dallas should help.  With a Cowboys team projected to throw a ton in Brian Schottenheimer’s first season as the head coach.  I’m bullish on Pickens, but I don’t think I could’ve taken him over the list of wideouts above.   

  In Rounds 6 and 7 Quentin selects Aaron Jones and Travis Kelce.  The Vikings will be starting JJ McCarthy at QB, a sophomore with the experience of a rookie given he missed all of 2024 after tearing his meniscus.  How do you help a rookie Quarterback?  By running the football.  Insert Jones and offseason addition Jordan Mason.  Jones should handle 3rd downs and two minute offense.  Mason should handle bruiser duties and goal line back duties.  In games that the Vikings are winning I expect more Mason.  In games they have to score a lot I see more Jones.  According to Warren Sharp Vikings have one of the hardest schedules when looking at Vegas projected win totals.  Which makes sense when you look at the division featuring the Lions, Packers, and Bears.  The Bears brought in Ben Johnson and overhauled their offensive line.  I like Jones as a RB3.  It should provide flexibility in the event Conner gets hurt or starts to lose volume to Trey Benson.   

   When it comes to Kelce, he had his worst season in 9 years.  Catching only 823 yards and 3 touchdowns, a career low (ignoring his nonexistent rookie season).  He still finished as TE#6.  This is a bet on a rebound as father time is looking to end this hall of fame career in the near future.  If this is his last ride, fans would love to see him recreate some of the numbers he’s put up in the past.  One of the reasons Quentin won last year was the deadly combo of Kittle and Bowers.  Kelce is a downgrade from those two obviously.    

   In Round 8 and 9 Quentin started a bit of a fall in terms of draft grade.  Taking Khalil Shakir and Najee Harris.  Two players who are currently injured.  Shakir is the most consistent WR on the Bills.  He has potential, but it seems it’ll be a very slow start to the season for him why he works his way back from a high ankle sprain.  Those injuries tend to linger, so look for the Bills to take the cautious approach to start the year.  Najee was the free agent RB to have.  When the Chargers signed him to a one year deal.  I said here we go baby.  1000 yard season streak is secured.  Then the draft happened and the Chargers selected Omarion Hampton of North Carolina in the first round.  Najee’s fantasy value plummeted but wasn’t looking too bad.  More of a 1A/1B sort of thing where he would be a decent fantasy asset at the beginning of the season at least.  Then on the 4th of July he had a fireworks incident that injured his eye.  He’s been unable to practice ever since.  That is over a month ago, so to cause a running back who uses their legs for a living to not be able to practice at all tells me it was more serious than we thought.  He falls further.  Then, the Chargers starting Left Tackle Rashawn Slater tears his patellar tendon and is lost for the season.  They’ll move Joe Alt to Left Tackle and try to make RT work, but this lessened it a little bit more.  We’ll see if Najee can overcome all these negatives to have a positive season.  But more frustrating than all of what I just wrote about is when Greg Roman and Harbaugh roll out Hassan Haskins at the goal line just for shits and giggles.  

   Later rounds I liked Isaac G and Jaydon Blue.  They are both injured right now, but young, talented RBs.  Isaac G being a handcuff and Blue being a potential late season starter, with only one knee Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders to overcome.  Shadeur Sanders is a 4th string QB and shouldn’t be owned in a 10 man fantasy league, but I get people are trying to make him a thing and it made for a funny pick.  If he winds up being relevant this season then we’ll know one of two things are true. Either the NFL is rigged or we are living in a Computer Simulation.     

 

Draft Grade: B-.  He will be competitive and I hope I don’t face him in Weeks 13 or 15.   

 

2. Andy. 

Andy Bo Bandy.  Gibbs was RB#2 last season despite having 95 less rush attempts than #1 Saquon and 75 less rush attempts than #3 Derrick Henry.  How?  Gibbs caught 52 passes for 517 yards and scored 20 TDs last season.  He averaged 19.8 half ppr points per game which is about the same as Jamarr Chase.  The Lions have one of the best offensive lines in football.  They play in a tough division.  I mean it when I say it.  Gibbs is the best running back in the NFL.  He is entering Year 3.  Sure he’ll have Montgomery back from injury.  Ben Johnson is gone.  There are arguments against him repeating his 2024 success.  It’s hard to score 20 touchdowns.  But Gibbs is the truth and a slam dunk pick at #2.   

   In Round 2 Andy went AJ Brown.  I love AJB.  He even has the same initials as Andy!  He is one of the best WRs in the NFL.  Every WR metric you can track he is one of the guys on the top of the list.  The only reason he isn’t higher is because of the Eagles are such a good team and don’t have to pass much.  You don’t have to throw a lot if you’re winning late in games.  But he is one of those players where you feel better knowing he is in your starting lineup.  You never have to question, should I start him?  The answer is always yes.  Start and forget.  And let’s be real.  There will probably be some positive regression coming his way after missing 4 games and finishing as half ppr WR#18 in 2024.   

  In Round 3 Andy takes Josh Jacobs.  Over JT and Chase Brown.  For me, Chase Brown was the pick.  An argument can be made for Jonathan Taylor as well.  But Jacobs in half ppr makes a lot of sense as well.  Once the weather gets cold in Green Bay they pound the rock.  And Jacobs smashed last season after the bye week.  Rushing for an incredible 12 touchdowns in the final 8 games of the season.  Weather gets cold, Andy’s team will get bold.  Jacobs was RB #5 last season and I have no argument as to why he can’t replicate that.  Prefer Brown, but okay with Andy taking Jacobs.   

   In Round 4 Andy took Mike Evans.  Criminally underrated for 11 seasons.    

Mike Evans Half PPR Finishes In His Career: 

2014- WR12 

2015- WR23 

2016- WR1 

2017- WR19 

2018- WR9 

2019- WR12 

2020- WR10 

2021- WR8 

2022- WR16 

2023- WR5 

2024-WR9 

Average: WR11.  Godwin is banged up to start the year.  One of the reasons Mike Evans is able to dominate defenders is because his arms are as long as Mr. Fantastic’s.  AT 35 1/8″ it is 98th percentile.  The NFL average for a wide receiver is 31-32 inches.  A lot of people talk about how big Wide Receiver hands are.  Seldom do they talk about the arms.  This allows Evans to high point the ball better than your average player.  He is 31, this might be the season he falls off a cliff.  But I don’t think so.  I think he gets another 1000 yard season to add to his Hall of Fame career.   

   In the 5th Andy goes Jameson Williams.  Williams broke out last year and showed his potential getting over 1000 receiving yards and finishing as the WR#19.  If AJ Brown and Mike Evans are Andy’s “Steady Eddies”, then Jamo is his dynamite.  Can go for 70 yard touchdowns any given moment.  This trio of WRs paired with Andy’s duo at RB gives him a solid core.   

   In Round 6 he got the steal of the round.  I was looking at Ridley, but couldn’t pass on Joe Burrow in the 6th.  Calvin Ridley was WR27 last year with horrific and I mean horrific QB play.  Insert the #1 pick Cam Ward, a gunslinger and a terrible group of Wideouts and you have the making of a WR who is going to get a ton of volume.  The WR room consist of Tyler Lockett, a few rookies, and Van Jefferson.  Ridley is gonna smash this season.   

   In Round 7 Andy went DK Metcalf.  I didn’t care for this pick.  I felt Andy should’ve gone TE, QB, or backup RB.  Getting a 5th WR in half ppr when you already landed 4 studs seemed like a bad idea in my book.  I dropped Andy’s grade when he did it.  And I like Metcalf.  But I don’t care for Rodgers, nor Arthur Smith’s play calling.  This seems like a team that’s going to run two tight ends with Jonnu Smith, Pat Freirmuth, and Darnell Washington seeing a ton of snaps.  Running the ball a ton with Kaleb Johnson and Jaylen Warren.  And sure DK will be the deep threat/alpha X Wide Receiver just like he was in Seattle, but I predict the volume will be much less.  I’m not high on Metcalf this season, but where his value lies will be in touchdowns.  I don’t think you’ll get the steady 7-8 catches, but he’ll win some jump balls in the red zone from Rodgers.  Adams caught 8 and Wilson caught 7 from Rodgers last season.   

   In Round 8 Andy takes Brian Robinson.  Another underrated player.  Robinson is another one of those boring picks like James Conner.  He’s a solid 8-10 points.  If something happens to Gibbs or Jacobs, Andy will be able to survive in the short term by plugging in the RB#1 on the Commanders.   

   In Round 9 Andy took Tyler Warren.  I loved this pick and hated this pick.  Loved it because I’m very high on Warren.  Hated it because Andy prevented me from getting him.  Just watch the play against Maryland at the 7:34 mark:  

Early in the 2nd Quarter Against Maryland.  The QB takes the snap.  Warren stays with his block, giving the Qb a chance to step up.  He runs behind QB.  QB tosses it back to Warren.   Snapped at the 48 yard line, by the time the QB pitches it back to Warren he catches it at the 40.  Then he stiff arms one defender at the 45, hurdles a defender at the 47. Breaks another tackle at the opposite 40.  Sprints down the sideline and gets tackled at the 21 yard line for an official 31 yard rush, that he ran for 39 yards.   Breaking 3 tackles after blocking the DE enough to give QB a chance to escape.  You drafted a Kittle.  A Manimal.  The Colts offense will funnel through him and JT this season.  Last thing.  TE 1 in 2023?  Rookie Sam LaPorta.  TE1 in 2024?  Rookie Brock Bowers.  Does the trend continue in 2025?   

   In Round 10 Andy takes Jordan Addison.  Love this value.  Andy will have trade ammunition to better his RB situation in the event of someone getting hurt.  In the offseason I did a big analysis on WR2s. And how they performed when the WR1 was out.  Addison had games of 21.4, 26.2, and 35.3 last season.  Another boom or bust Andy can throw in due to injuries or bye weeks.  Andy might be the deepest WR team and it’s not particularly close.   

   In later rounds Andy took Cam Ward, Anthony Richardson, and Rashid Shaheed.  Great value in the Shaheed pick.  He has looked better than Olave at times when healthy.  Ward is a gunslinger, but I imagine there will be the normal rookie growing pains.  Richardson should start for the Colts, but we’ll see if they do it.  Richardson is 3 days older than Cam Ward.  You read that correctly.  Richardson and Cam Ward are the same age as Richardson enters his third NFL season.  It’s not a bad strategy. And Andy can easily pick up a QB via waiver wire if they don’t work out.  Loveland might hit, but a lot of mouths to feed in Chicago.  Ford might be okay in Cleveland depending on Judkins/Sampson/QB play etc.   

 

Draft Grade: B.  Andy’s strength is core of Gibbs-Jacobs-AJB-Evans-Ridley and depth at WR.  I think Warren will be just fine at TE.  Andy will have to figure out WR and hope his two RB studs don’t go down because the RB depth is thin/non existent.   

 

3. Michael

Michael had the nice 3 spot in the draft, ensuring he got one out of Chase, Gibbs or Bijan.  Andy went Gibbs and Bijan fell into Michael’s lap.  Bijan was RB#4 last year with immense volume for the Falcons.  304 rushing attempts, 1456 rushing yards, 14 rushing touchdowns, 72 targets, 61 receptions, 431 receiving yards and 1 receiving touchdown.  All signs to a similar workload as the Falcons haven’t made any changes.  One beat reporter who spoke to Bijan said he’s been working on his big play ability this offseason.  He noticed other players taking it to the house more frequently.  He was more of a death by a thousand cuts type of fantasy player.  If he’s able to add some more explosive plays then the skies the limit for this entering third year stud.  According to Warren Sharp the Falcons have the 4th easiest schedule in the NFL this season.  Easy pick.   

   In Round 2 Mike took Trey McBride.  McBride was TE#3 last season in half ppr.  The Arizona offense funneled through McBride in 2024.  Marvin Harrison might have the NFL player legacy genes but he had a very quiet rookie season (Trust me I know).  McBride did this while only scoring 3 touchdowns.  If he gets the same volume (147 targets, 111 receptions) then you can expect more touchdowns.  Now Marvin Harrison looks jacked so there’s a chance he gets a larger piece of the pie, but they didn’t add any other threat so I see this as a condensed Receiver group and love this pick for Mike in Round 2.   

   Round 3 Mike takes Josh Allen.  The Brad Killer.   

Josh Allen’s QB Finishes in his Career: 

2018- QB21 

2019- QB8 

2020- QB1 

2021- QB1 

2022- QB2 

2023- QB1 

2024- QB2 

Top 2 QB for 6 seasons in a row.  Now interestingly he started out a little boom and bust last year.  31.1, 9.6, 30.8, 7.3.  Then he settled down was putting up 18.2-28.3 in Weeks 6-13.  Then Week 14 happened.  51.8 fantasy points against me.  342 passing yards.  3 passing touchdowns.  82 rushing yards.  3 rushing touchdowns.  The following week he scored 41.2 fantasy points.  Mike starts the draft with three players who could realistically finish as the QB1, RB1, and TE1.  Now I can see an argument being made for my beloved Chase Brown (see Logan’s grade for more information) or Jonathan Taylor before the massive tier break for RBs.  But I can’t blame Mike too much on a Top 2 QB.  Lock him in and forget about it.  Mike didn’t even draft a backup QB.  Didn’t need to.   

   In Round 4 Mike takes his first WR with Tee Higgins.  When healthy Tee Higgins puts up WR1 numbers.  He has one season where he played in 17 games.  He’s played in 16, 14, 17, 12, and 12.  He is known for random soft tissue injuries.  He also was being conservative on the backend of his rookie contract wanting to ensure he gets the big second contract.  Well he got it.  To the tune of 4 years, $115 Million with $30 Million fully guaranteed at signing and a $20 million dollar roster bonus for 2025.  He also has incentives in his contract that include $2 million dollars roster bonus if he is active on game days.  Meaning if he misses a game he’ll lose 1/17 of the $2 million dollars or $117,647 per game.  This gives him incentive to be less conservative on those soft tissue related injuries and play on Sundays.  Now this could be a good thing if he’s active and effective.  Or it could be a bad thing, for if he rushes back too early he risks exacerbating the injury and possibly missing more.  His 15.47 half ppr points per game over the course of a 17 game season would have put him at WR#3.  As I mentioned in my grade about Burrow and Quentin’s grade about Jamarr Chase, the Bengals are going to throw the ball.  A LOT.  At first glance Tee Higgins as your WR1 doesn’t look great.  The further you look and the more you like and are okay with it.   

   In Round 5 Mike took Terry McLaurin.  Scary Terry.  F1.  Whatever you want to call him isn’t happy.  He wants a new contract.  Mike is banking on him and Commanders getting the business part done and McLaurin looking to replicate his best season of his career as LSU sensation Jayden Daniels enters Year 2.  As we get closer to the season and as the business side gets worked out you’ll see Terry McLaurin rising up draft boards and going early to mid 4th round and not into the 5th where Mike snagged him.  Another solid pick.   

   In Round 6 Mike takes D’Andre Swift as his RB2.  Swift is an interesting running back with an interesting history.  He’s in Detroit with Ben Johnson as OC.  He has some injuries and some controversy surrounding his availability.  He gets doctors to sign off on snap counts for games.  The relationship deteriorates and the next thing you know he winds up an Eagle.  One season as an Eagle to replace Miles Sanders and he rushes for 1000 yards but doesn’t wow and finishes as RB23.  Then Eagles sign Saquon and Swift winds up a Bear.  Lions, Eagles, and Bear oh my!  Last year he played in all 17 games (career best) and finished as RB19.  He’s a RB2.  Insert Ben Johnson and more importantly, insert a whole new offensive line and you have a lot of potential.  Swift has not played to his potential in his career.  That’s true.  The Bears also have Roschon Johnson and drafted Kyle Monangai in the 7th round of the draft.  Monangai is more of a between the tackles bruiser type of back.  On August 9th the Bears worked out Jamaal Williams.  Williams rushed for 17 touchdowns his last year in Detroit.  The same year he was paired with… D’Andre Swift.  So here’s what we know.  Swift will play two minute drills.  He’ll be the third down back.  He’ll probably finish as an RB2.  Will he do more than that?  Probably not.  Ben Johnson knows who Swift is and what he is not.  He’ll try to maximize what he is.   

   Mike takes Xavier Worthy in Round 7.  Not a bad WR3.  Cheifs WRs are a bit of a mess right now.  You have 35 year old Travis Kelce.  Rashee Rice who might be suspended and who is coming off of injury.  Hollywood Brown who is oft-injured and currently working through an ankle injury.  JuJu Smith-Schuster.  Rookie Jalen Royals.  And Tyquan Thornton, a young WR from the Patriots who couldn’t break out in New England.  At the very least Worthy is a big play potential.  He had a couple of boom weeks including towards the end of the season.  Even in the Super Bowl he caught those two long touchdowns albeit when the game was over and Mahomes was just chucking it.  But for a flex play or depth piece in case someone goes down?  Why not? 

   In Round 8 Mike took Chris Olave.  Praying he stays healthy and avoids concussions this season.  His QB play might be rough again, but the Saints could be very bad again and they’ll have to throw the ball a lot late, which could help.  Olave is a great wide receiver when he’s healthy and should be drafted closer to JSN than he is.  All Saints are discounted due to the cloud hanging over this season.  AKA It aint looking good.   

   Mike then loaded up on RB fliers for depth.  Javonte Williams, Travis Etienne, JK Dobbins, Tyjae Spears, Bhayshul Tuten.  Honestly it’s not a bad strategy.  Williams, Etienne, and Dobbins are in muddy situations where they very well could be the Week 1 starters for their teams.  Or they could be part of some nasty committees.  But those committees can become valuable if one is outplaying their teammates or if one of those teammates gets injured, etc.   

 

Draft Grade: B+.  Mike didn’t take a backup QB or TE, so he’s an Allen or McBride injury away from being very mediocre, but which team wouldn’t be if they lose their 2nd or 3rd round pick?  He’ll have to figure out his RB2 if Swift underperforms and bye week streamers, but overall pretty solid job drafting.     

 

4. Stephen

I was actually shocked by Stephen taking Barkley.  Madden Curse.  #1 RB last season.  This offseason they lost some key pieces on defense (although they added Jihad Campbell in the draft for God’s sake) and they have a tougher schedule this year (29th according to Warren Sharp)With that being said their Vegas projected win/loss line is at 11.5.  They are the favorite to repeat as winners in the NFC East.  And with their core in tact are looking like strong contenders again this season.  Barkley ran behind the best offensive line in football.  With a solid QB and awesome wideouts where the defense couldn’t commit to just stopping the run.  By the end of games Barkley was exploding for long touchdowns having asserted his will against them.  His season was healthy and honestly, a little God-like.  No better example of his reverse hurdle that is now in Madden.  That’s one of those plays that no matter how many times you watch it you still can’t believe it.  It defied physics and probability at least.  I thought Stephen was going to go Lamb here.  Dallas looks like they are going to throw a ton and a lot of pundits have Lamb ranked right behind Chase.  In half ppr I get the allure of going RB to play it safe. 

   In Round 2 Stephen had Jeanty unexpectedly fall to his lap.  Here is where the Lamb pick in the 1st would’ve paid off.  But still.  Barkley/Jeanty ensures Stephen has a high volume rushing attack.  Ashton Jeanty looked like a cheat code in college.  Big plays, unable to be tackled.  And he landed in a great spot with the Raiders where his volume is assured.  Now the Raiders play in a division with the Chiefs and Broncos whose defenses scare me.  But he’ll get the goal line work, the two minute drills, the 3rd downs.  He’ll play a ton and he has that breakaway ability.  Geno Smith is an upgrade at QB for the Raiders and teams can’t overcommit to stopping Jeanty otherwise they’ll let Brock Bowers eat them alive.  Now the concern here is the offensive line.  Brandon Thorn has them ranked 26th in the NFL and well below average.  Their over/under on wins is set at 6.5, so can’t expect Jeanty to get a bunch of rushes late in games.  It’s a volume and talent bet.  I still liked Chase Brown and Jonathan Taylor more than Jeanty, contrarian to most fantasy “professionals”.  But even still I’m not going to lie, I thought about Jeanty in the 2nd.  But couldn’t do it.   

   In Round 3 Stephen chooses Ladd McConkey as his WR1.  Ouch.  As I mentioned in Quentin’s grade on Najee Harris, losing Rashawn Slater is a bigger deal than people are letting on.  They’ll shuffle their offensive line around and move Joe Alt to Left Tackle, but Brandon Thorn moved them from fringe Top 10 offensive line to #25 offensive line.  It was that big of a loss.  I downgraded all Chargers players as a result of this loss.  Adding to the offensive line woes for McConkey is the additions of Keenan Allen, KeAndre Lambert-Smith, and Tre Harris.  They also added Tyler Conklin and Orande Gadsen at TE.  Last year they had Ladd and QJ and that was about it.  They’ll have more options now.  Don’t get me wrong.  Ladd is still their #1 target.  I don’t like his chances to replicate his 2024 finish of WR#12.  I go back to Round 1.  Had you taken Lamb, you could’ve gone JT or Chase Brown here.  Having a JT/Jeanty/Lamb trio or a Jeanty/Brown/Lamb trio,  I like a lot better than the Barkley/Jeanty/McConkey.  Hindsight is 20/20 but in my mocks I had you passing on Barkley.   

   Round 4 you got Alvin Kamara.  Similar to Mike Evans he’s been criminally underrated the past few seasons.   

Alvin Kamara Finishes In His Career: 

2017- RB3 

2018- RB4 

2019- RB13 

2020- RB1 

2021- RB8 

2022- RB18 

2023- RB14 

2024- RB11 

Those numbers also don’t reflect the fact that AK has missed 1-3 games every season of his career except for his rookie campaign.  His 16.52 half ppr points per game last season would’ve been good for RB5 pace.  Saints might be bad again this year.  Qb situation is looking ugly.  But drafted an offensive lineman in the first again.  Maybe Kamara can keep the magic going for another season.   

   Round 5 Stephen got good value in Davante Adams.  More like Davante Auras.  (He dressed slick at the celebrity golf tournament I attended last month at Lake Tahoe)  Adams left Green Bay and had a couple frustrating seasons with the Raiders.  Then was traded to the Jets and had one frustrating season with the Jets.  But even though it was frustrating he still finished as WR3, WR11 and WR14 in those three seasons.  And last year he was WR14 despite missing 3 weeks.  Now he replaces Cooper Kupp in Sean McVay’s offense in Los Angeles.  Honestly I think Adams might finish higher than Ladd McConkey this season and will be Stephen’s best wideout.  That is assuming Matthew Stafford’s back injury is nothing serious and just more maintenance and caution for a 37 year old Quarterback.  He looked fine when he golfed with Bryson Dechambeau in the offseason on Bryson’s Youtube show “Break 50”.  Stafford is a much better Quarterback than Golfer.  But I love how they say things like “have to be cautious with such an old Quarterback” and he’s literally the same age as me.   

   Stephen selected Chuba Hubbard in Round 6, providing nice depth at RB.  Chuba was awesome last season.  Now they added Rico Dowdle and drafted Trevor Etienne this offseason, but that isn’t necessarily a bad thing.  Chuba was run down by the end of last season.  But they paid the man starter money and he’s the #1 on the offense.  I think it was a great value pick while at the same time expensive because you had to pass on Calvin Ridley to get him.  I’m high on Ridley this year.   

   In Round 7 you took Tetairoa McMillan.  10 inch hands baby.  Bryce Young will sling it to the former volleyball player.  Now I will tell you.  I drafted Travis Hunter over him in dynasty.  Why?  When watching McMillan I saw too much Courtland Sutton.  Too much Drake London.  You might be thinking, what the hell is wrong with those guys?!?!  Nothing, but Sutton’s best finish in his career in terms of fantasy was last season where he finished as half ppr WR 13.  Last season was his 7th NFL season.  London finished as WR 5.  That was in season 3.  First season was WR36 and second season was WR39.  Maybe McMillan can smash as a rookie.  But last year the Panthers spread the ball around.  Adam Thielen, Xavier Legette, Hunter Renfrow, Jimmy Horn, and Jalen Coker represent his target competition.  He has a lot of potential.  But will he smash in Year 1?  I’m not convinced.  It might take him a minute.  [By the way the final nail in the coffin for me in deciding between T-Mac and Travis Hunter was yards of separation. TMac= 2.8 Yards (20th percentile).  Hunter= 5.9 Yards (91% percentile).  5.9 yards of separation!] 

   Round 8 Stephen took Patrick Mahomes.  The truth about Patrick Mahomes.  In the past two seasons he’s been a great NFL quarterback.  But he has not been a great FANTASY quarterback.  2024- QB11, 2023- QB8.  Now that doesn’t sound too bad, right?  Well it’s bad if you look at his ADP.  Now this year Stephen got him in Round 8.  That is better.  That makes it more palatable.  Especially if he can overperform his ADP and have one of those Top 5 finishes like he had in 2018 (1), 2020(4), 2021(4), and 2022(1).  He just hasn’t been crisp the past couple of seasons and hasn’t needed to throw because Steve Spagnuolo’s defense has been so dominate on the other side of the ball.  Decent value in the 8th. 

   In Round 9 Stephen took Travis Hunter.  I think he outperforms McMillan.  I did a large analysis on WR duos this offseason.  I think Hunter is going to be just fine.  If he plays 75-80% of snaps it’ll be like having 75% JJ.  This guy is a unicorn.  He won the Heisman, The Biletnikoff and the Bednarik for God’s sake.  And people are like “Oh he’s going to get hurt”.  Steal in Round 9.   

   Round 10 Stephen gets his tight end in Evan Engram.  He also added DAvid Njoku in Round 12.  Solid tight duos and great value.  With Engram I worry about consistency.  Broncos defense is scary.  They are going to run.  They have Courtland Sutton as the #1.  Engram will have some boom weeks where he is a major contributor in the game plan.  But I don’t anticipate him being consistent.  Boom/Bust.  Just have to get the Booms right.  Njoku should be fine despite the QB drama.   

   Like the Golden and Higgins picks and flier on Nick Chubb with Joe Mixon’s injury. 

 

Draft Grade: C+.  I would have gone differently in Rounds 1, 2, and 3.  Felt like he got good value in the middle rounds.  Going to be one of those teams were you have to get the start/sit decision correct and those can be frustrating.  While doing mock drafts my favorite position to draft from was 4th.  I could get everybody I wanted there.  Felt like Stephen didn’t execute as well as he could have.    

 

5. Caleb

Caleb goes with CeeDee Lamb.  CeeDee was the WR#1 in 2023, the last season he had a healthy Dak Prescott for the full season.  This team projects to have a bad defense and a bad run game.  That means pass-happy and that means I’m bullish on Lamb this season.  WR#1 is within the range of outcomes, despite Chase seeming like he can’t be touched.  Last year Lamb wasn’t pretty.  He was working through a shoulder injury for most of the year.  Catching passes from Cooper Rush for most of the year.  Despite all of that and missing the last two games of the season he finished as half ppr WR#8.  Can’t thing of worse scenarios than last season and yet he still finished Top 10.  Stud.  Great pick.   

   In Round 2 Caleb followed Brad and Josh’s lead as the only three teams to start the draft WR-WR.  Caleb selected Drake London who had a third year breakout last season and finished as WR#5.  In the last three weeks of last season he had 39 targets.  I think the WR specific schedule is harder this season, so he might not be able to replicate his Top 5 finish, but Top 10 is definitely reasonable.  I liked McBride, AJ Brown, and Chase Brown more than London, but Top 5/10 WR is a great asset.   

   In Round 3 Caleb got his RB1 in Jonathan Taylor.  Last season I gave a lot of people crap for not drafting Jonathan Taylor.  Quentin drafted Jonathan Taylor.  Quentin won the Super Bowl in big part due to drafting Jonathan Taylor.  JT scored 39.8 and 27.6 in the fantasy playoffs last season.  So naturally he falls to the middle of the third round this season… Caleb got a stud.  His 16.84 half ppr points per game would have put him as the RB5.  But he missed a few weeks and finished as the RB9.  But he played when it mattered most for Quentin.  The Colts offense will run through JT and Tyler Warren.  Love the pick even if I had Brown an edge higher.   

   Round 4 came and Caleb was staring at a large list of veterans.  He had his choice of Mike Evans, Tee Higgins, Terry McLaurin, Davante Adams or he could’ve gone Alvin Kamara to secure his RB2.  He instead chose to go with Tyreek Hill.  Tyreek devastated Josh’s team last season.  Tua got hurt, Tyreek hurt his wrist, and the Dolphins offense was a disaster.  (with the exception of the God-King Tight End Jonnu Smith)  Hill had his worst statistical season in his career other than his injury riddled 2019 season.  He finished as WR#21 but failed to break 1000 yards receiving.  He’s 31.  He has seven confirmed children with rumors of three more.  He could have a major bounce back season this year.  But the Dolphins offensive line got worse.  If Tua is healthy then he has a chance.  Especially with the Jonnu Smith vacated targets.  Evan Silva thinks this might be the year Jaylen Waddle overtakes Tyreek as the WR1 in Miami.  But Silva has historically been bullish/higher on Waddle than consensus.  I would have gone Evans or Higgins here but we’ll see if we can get a glimpse of the Tyreek of yesteryear  again. 

   In Round 5 Caleb took David Montgomery as his RB2.  Montgomery was his normal touchdown scoring self until an injury prematurely ended his 2024 regular season campaign.  He should be healthy coming into 2025 and looks to pick up where he left off.  He scored 12 touchdowns last year and averaged 14.55 points per game.  Gibbs is more explosive, but Monty is the grinder and will be used to keep Gibbs fresh.  Sonic and Knuckles!   

   In Round 6 Caleb got great value in Garrett Wilson.  Wilson had his third year breakout and it’s like nobody even cares.  He was WR11 last year after terrible finishes of WR19 and WR32 (when compared to his ADP).  Talent has never been the problem with Wilson.  It’s been the Quarterback play.  Insert Justin Fields who has been a better runner than passer in the NFL so far.  But Fields was Wilson’s QB at Ohio State, so the transition from Rodgers to Fields should be smooth.  Fields ability to move around the pocket more than the 40 year old coming-off-of-achilles-injury Rodgers will help Wilson on broken plays get open and score more.  If Tyreek has another bad season Caleb will still have a decent trio in Lamb-London-Wilson at WR. 

   Round 7 Caleb takes Isaih Pacheco.  Pacheco should be the RB1 for the Chiefs this season, but Kareem Hunt pooped in his cheerios last season.  I see them continuing to use a committee approach with Pacheco, Hunt, Elijah Mitchell, Carson Steele, and rookie Brashard Smith.  One or two of these guys might have to practice squad it for awhile.  The clearest path for Pacheco is for Hunt to be injured or cut, but all signs look at another committee approach.  Not a bad flier and RB depth piece, but I liked Tony Pollard better here.  Felt like that was a miss.   

   Caleb goes TJ Hockenson in Round 8 to secure his TE1.  Rookies love checking down to Tight Ends.  JJ McCarthy will play like a rookie at times with his first healthy season as a starter.  Also, Jordan Addison is suspended the first 3 weeks of the season.  Hock could get peppered early and help Caleb get off to a fast start.  Last season was all about getting back to healthy status for Hockenson but he showed flashes of his former self.  We’ll see if he can regain the magic and have a Top 5 finish like he did in 2022 and 2023.   

   Round 9 Caleb goes with Tank Bigsby.  Worth a shot.  I think he’s the best pure runner on the Jags.  He didn’t catch a lot of passes.  I think Coen is going to go with the hot hand approach and it certainly can be Tank.  Etienne is probably the smartest RB.  Tuten is most explosive but had fumble issues and pass protection issues in college.  Early in the season I think they are going to feel it out and who knows.  They might all have a role in the offense similar to the Bucs did last year with Irving and White both being fantasy relevant and Sean Tucker coming in every now and then with decent production.   

   Later rounds Caleb got good value in Justin Fields, Jaylen Warren and Trevor Lawrence.  He even got Kyle Pitts for free.   

 

Draft Grade: B+.  Didn’t care for Tyreek and Pacheco picks but the team is solid.  Love the Fields pick as QB1 and the stack with Wilson.  RB depth is good enough.  Solid draft for Caleb. 

 

6. Logan

Logan got burned in 2024.  He kept drafting WRs.  He went CeeDee Lamb, AJ Brown, Davante Adams, Mike Evans, Brandon Auyik to start.  This season he went with an opposite approach.  Christian McCaffrey at 1.06.  Evan Silva and Mike Leone had a big debate about CMC in their Man vs. Machine podcast recently.  Silva had CMC as his 18th ranked player and Leone had CMC as his 7th.  Silva’s argument was he wasn’t taking a 29 year old running back with injury riddled history and career touches north of 4000 (pro and college) over a stud 25 year old Wideout like BTJ or Nabers.  Leone’s perspective was he’s CMC.  We can’t assume injury.  He’s healthy and the offense runs through him.  He has RB1 in his range of outcomes.  Their 7th rated player was them being extremely conservative.  I leaned a little more towards Silva’s side of the debate.  I was going to take Nabers at 7 if Logan took JJ at 6.  CMC is CMC.  Jordan Mason is gone.  Isaac G is hurt.  Niners schedule looks favorable.  There’s no argument against the pick here I just liked the WRs a little bit more.   

  In Round 2 Logan took Derrick Henry.  The last time Henry rushed for around 2000 yards was in 2020.  He rushed for 2027 yards and 17 touchdowns.  The next season he was injured and only played in 8 games.  Last season he was able to rush for 1921 yards but on only 325 carries.  He was half ppr RB3.  This is the same argument as CMC.  Henry is 31 and his usage is astronomical.  But we can’t assume injuries.  So it appears Logan starts the draft out with two Top 5 RBs and two studs to ensure he doesn’t repeat his 2024 draft.   

   Then Round 3 happened.  Last season Chase Brown started out in a time share with Zach Moss, playing 20-40% of snaps as the secondary option during the first five weeks of the season.  The next two weeks Brown averaged 50-62% of snaps.  Zach Moss got hurt and Brown kept performing.  It wasn’t until Week 9 where Brown began getting 80%+ snaps from Weeks 9-17.  In that stretch he averaged 18.25 half PPR points per game.  For perspective, Bijan Robinson, half PPR RB #4, averaged 18.3 half PPR points per game.  Now one might argue that Samaje Perine could take over some 3rd down snaps and 7th round rookie Tahj Brooks could give Brown some much needed rest sprinkled into the game.  But Brown is the man and Top 5 RB is within his range of outcomes.  In fact, in the second round I was debating taking Chase Brown over Brian Thomas, but couldn’t pass on BTJ who I see as a JJ-level talent in a Liam Coen offense where his slot play percentage is likely to increase a bit from his rookie season.   In the first preseason game he lined up in the slot 42% compared to last year where he averaged 28%.  Logan nailed this pick.  This is one of those picks that has the Top 5 in draft order look silly for passing on him twice in Rounds 2 and 3.   

   In the 4th Logan took his first WR in Jaxon Smith-Njigba.  DK Metcalf is gone.  Geno Smith is gone.  Insert Klint Kubiak as OC, Sam Darnold at QB, Cooper Kupp, Marquez Valdez-Scantling, and rookies Tory Horton and Elijah Arroyo.  JSN is talented but I don’t view him as a fantasy WR1.  He should be WR1 for his team, but I worry about this team. Their offensive line is ranked 29th according to Lineman Expert Brandon Thorn.  And that’s with the addition of Greg Zabel, a talented guard they added in the first round of the draft.  But taking a gander at the division foes’ draft and you’ll see teams committed in bettering their defense and defensive line.  We’ve seen the Rams defensive line become a fearful group with Jared Verse and Braden Fiske.  But now the 49ers drafted Edge Mykel Williams, DT Alfred Collins, and LB Nick Martin.  Prioritizing defense in the draft.  And Arizona started their draft with DT Walter Nolen, CB Will Johnson, and Edge Jordan Bunch.  All seemingly trying to recreate what the Rams did.   We’ve seen Kubiak’s potential when the Saints started off 2024 going 2-0 and scoring 91 points against the Panthers and Cowboys.  But we also saw what happened when injuries started to occur to key team members.  JSN is talented. Another caveat worth mentioning is Sam Darnold’s struggles when there is interior pressure.  Also, I don’t view Darnold as an upgrade over Geno Smith.  Smith is underrated and Darnold is a bit overrated.  So there’s a non-zero chance we see Jalen Milroe at some point this season.  An exceptionally talented runner with a mixed bag of inconsistent and seemingly impossible throws.  We’ll see if scheme (Kubiak) and talent (JSN) can overcome weakness (OL, Division).  But there’s a chance Logan replicated some of his 2024 woes by going with three straight RBs to the detriment of his WRs. 

   In Round 5 Logan takes Marvin Harrison Jr.  A more appropriate place to pick him than the first round like I did.  Last year was terrible.  He’s super talented, got the genes.  But man.  The scheme does not bode well for his fantasy prospects.  The offense is a ground and pound with James Conner and the passing game is Marvin running deep to open up the middle for Trey McBride to eat.  I have seen nothing to indicate the scheme or plan is looking differently in 2025.  Harrison did bulk up in the offseason, but it doesn’t matter how big your biceps are if you’re running go routes and your 5 foot 3 inch quarterback with lethargic tendencies can’t see that far down the field.  Mediocre offensive line.  Tough division.  This is one of those I hope so, but not betting on it sort of story lines.   

   In Round 6 Logan takes DJ Moore.  I like DJ Moore in Ben Johnson’s offense.  I think he is most likely to take on the Amon-Ra St. Brown role.  He has been a solid WR2 every season in his career minus his rookie year and has one WR1 finish in 2023.  The concern is target distribution with the Bears bringing in Colston Loveland and Luther Burden to pair with Rome Odunze.  And the bigger concern is Caleb Williams.  Can he make a large leap in terms of production and consistency in Year 2?  Ben Johnson’s style is structure, execution, and discipline.  Caleb Williams style is loose, creative, and reactionary.  Stylistically they are like a peanut butter and sardine sandwich.  Not great.  But if I was them.  I would set it up so that I can get the ball into DJ Moore’s hands as much as possible.  So despite the major concerns, I like DJ Moore and could see him being Logan’s best wideout.   

   In Round 7 Logan changed the trajectory of my entire draft and drastically reduced my percentage chance of winning the title.  This one pick was so consequential to my team’s draft that it reverberated throughout the next four rounds with me unable to recover.  The entire league owes Logan a debt of gratitude.  For there is nothing worse than an overly cocky Brad winning the title.  And he did his job drafting next to him.  The Chase Brown steal was one thing.  Brad expected that.  But this steal was a arrow hitting Achilles level.  Tony Pollard is not an exciting RB.  As a member of the Titans last year he was RB21.  But he was a solid RB21. And that was with abysmal QB play.  Spears is a little banged up to start the year, so Pollard is the #1.  Another year removed from his ankle injury that he suffered in Dallas.  New QB that is a HUGE improvement.  He was just a solid pick for an RB3.  Logan’s RB4.   

   In Round 8 after Brad panicked and took Tyrone Tracy as a result of the Pollard pick, Logan had Devonta Smith fall into his lap.  Smith is a boom/bust WR 2/3.  Except.  If AJ Brown is hurt.  His points per game shoots up from around 12 to 15 per game.  Only Andy and Caleb have a better WR4.   

   In Round 9 Logan takes Jordan Mason, stealing another late round RB I was targeting.  How do you support a rookie Quarterback?  RUNNING THE FOOTBALL.  Mason is going to be the goal line back.  He was incredible last year for the Niners.  He’s going to eat.  He’s a great pick.  With this pick Logan took 3 RBs I was prioritizing.  THREE OF THEM.  This secured Logan’s RB room as the best in the league and it’s not even close.   

   In Round 10 Logan takes Bo Nix.  Nix was QB#7 last year and they added Evan Engram and RJ Harvey in the offseason.  I’m bullish on Bo and the Broncos.  Bull, Bo, Broncos.   

   Later rounds Logan takes Jake Ferguson and Zach Ertz at tight end, his only weakness.   

 

Draft Grade: A+.  Logan has the best RB room in the league.  But I fear he might have overcorrected a little bit.  JSN had Metcalf pulling coverage as an alpha x.  Kupp is not an alpha x.  Harrison needs a Trey McBride injury in order to ascend.  Logan’s pass catchers aren’t great.  But he has five very even ones.  Meaning he’ll be playing the same game he played last season.  Which WRs should I start this week?  We’ll see if the RBs are good enough so that it doesn’t matter.  But looking at past champions, Logan still hasn’t learned the importance of the TE position.  The scarcity is more important than you think.     

 

7. Brad

Last season Brad drafted next to Quentin.  Quentin took Kittle, Bowers, Jackson, JT and won the damn thing.  This season Brad drafted next to Logan.  I’m legitimately changing all of my passwords because I don’t see how all my players can be stolen one pick before me unless someone has access to my ESPN and/or Fantasy Pros accounts to see the mock drafts I was doing.  Don’t get me wrong, I’m happy for Logan and his upcoming wedding.  But also, F#$% you Logan.  This sucked.  My nickname for Logan is the ASSassin.  RB-RB-RB start and then STILL taking my RB targets in Rounds 7 and 9, one pick before me.  I digress.   

   In Round 1 Brad goes with Justin Jefferson.  I was a bit surprised that JJ fell to me.  He is a Top 2 WR in the league.  Addison is suspended the first three weeks of the season.  Three weeks where the Vikings face @ Chicago, Atlanta, and Cincinnati.  2-3 potential shootouts and an uptick of target share?  Yes please.  I’m sure some people have concerns about JJ McCarthy at QB this season.  But I think people forget about 2023.  Cousins gets hurt, JJ is hurt.  But he comes back and puts up the following stat lines: 

10 targets, 7 receptions, 84 yards 

10 targets, 6 receptions, 141 yards, TD 

10 targets, 5 receptions, 59 yards 

14 targets, 12 receptions, 192 yards, TD 

Those games were played with Nick Mullens and Jaren Hall at QB.  So McCarthy needs to be AS good as Nick Mullens or Jaren Hall and JJ will be fine.  

   In the 2nd Round Brad debated Chase Brown.  Thought about Ashton Jeanty’s volume for a minute.  But eventually stuck with the stud Brian Thomas Jr.  I view him as the next JJ.  Liam Coen is going to make him even better with the scheme.  As a rookie he finished as the WR4 and that was with Mac Jones throwing him the football for most of the back half of the year.  Insert Travis Hunter to keep people honest and boom goes the dynamite.  Two LSU studs to start the draft and a dynamic WR1-WR2 combo. 

   In Round 3 Brad was almost able to double dip the chip, but Logan unexpectedly took a 3rd RB.  Brad had to settle for the underrated Kyren Williams.  He was the RB 6 in 2023 and RB7 in 2024.  McVay trusts him.  He’s the goal line back.  He catches passes.  They added some juice in Jarquez Hunter to get a home run element.  But then they locked down Kyren with a big RB contract this summer.  My guess is Kyren finishes as the RB7-ish.  Of course Matthew Stafford’s back injury is concerning.  We’ll see if it’s just maintenance or if we are going to start the year watching Jimmy G throwing murder balls to Davante Adams.  With the defense and offensive structure I see Kyren as a safer bet than some of the Rams pass catchers.   

   In Round 4 Brad takes George Kittle, a priority add for me.  I wasn’t able to get the RB1, RB3, or RB4 that I wanted thanks to Logan, but nobody stopped me from getting the best pick in Round 4.  Kittle was TE2 last year in half ppr (better than McBride).  Auyik is injured (found out post-draft it’ll be around Week 6 return).  Jauan Jennings is hurt and seeking a new contract.  Deebo Samuel is in Washington.  Kittle has finished as a Top 5 Fantasy TE four years in a row.  He’s Brock Purdy’s favorite target in the red zone.  In the playoffs last season he went for 8-106 and 8-112 for Quentin.  The offense will run through CMC and Kittle this year.  I have him in the same tier as McBride and Bowers, but I was able to get him in the 4th where as Bowers and McBride went in the 2nd.  In many of my mocks I added Kittle in the 3rd.   

Lucky to get him in the 4th.  Stoked about it.   

   In Round 5 Brad goes Trey’Veon Henderson.  This is the opposite of a conservative RB2.  This is lightning in a bottle, home run hitter.  Rhamondre is going to be the grinder, but two minute drills and 3rd downs Henderson is going to eat.  And any given touch he could take it to the house.  He might eat into Rhamondre’s early down work if the evidence is clear that the offense moves a lot better with him in the game.  I love this pick.  It’s fun and hip.  Patriots are going to play defense and run the ball with Mike Vrabel as head coach.  Offensive line was improved a lot in the offseason with addition of LSU stud Will Campbell.  Giddy up.   

    In Round 6 Brad had Joe Burrow unexpectedly fall to him.  Burrow was the QB3 last year throwing for 4918 yards and 43 touchdowns.  The defense did not improve in the offseason.  The schedule is roughly the same.  The team is roughly the same.  Why is the Top 3 QB who might throw for 5000 yards and 50 touchdowns this season dropping to the 6th round?  With 5 QBs being drafted ahead of him for that matter?  The concern for Burrow is injuries.  The offensive line still sucks.  He’s won comeback player of the year twice.  He’d much rather win the Lombardi.  But the Bengals did not improve the offensive line.  He takes a ton of sacks with his aggressive play style.  Look for more of the same.  When he plays, fire.  If he gets banged up, yikes.  Great value here.  

   In Round 7 Logan ruined Brad’s plans that set off a chain reaction over the course of the next four rounds.  Brad was taking Tony Pollard here.  Once Pollard was gone Brad didn’t like any of the RBs.  At least not over Jaylen Waddle and Devonta Smith.  So Brad goes Waddle in case Evan Silva is right and he overtakes Tyreek and has a bounce back year with the Jonnu Smith departure.  Then in the next round Brad needed to secure a RB3 so he goes with Tyrone Tracy.  Tracy should start the season as the starter and will most likely be in a time share with Cam Scattebo by years end.  Tracy did well as a rookie and looks good in his limited preseason action.  I’m not bullish on the Giants, but Russ Wilson and/or Jackson Dart should be better than Daniel Jones.  Giants defensive line is nasty too.  So possible to have some quick touchdown scoring opportunities if they are able to generate turnovers.  Not a bad RB3, but not as good as Pollard. 

   In Round 8 Brad takes Ricky Pearsall as his WR4.  Target concentration in San Fracisco is looking to be condensed early in the season.  CMC, Kittle, Pearsall are going to be the main beneficiaries with Auyik out and Jennings injury/contract situation.   

   The next three rounds Brad prioritzed RB depth with Rhamondre Stevenson, Braelon Allen, and Ray Davis.  STevenson could be startable if he maintains the first and second down and goal line duties.  Allen is said to be in a time share with Breece Hall.  And Ray Davis had some stand alone value even with James Cook playing last season.  Cook is unhappy with his contract, so we’ll see how that works out leading up to the regular season, but Davis represents a flexcuff.  Someone who could be a beast if Cook is lost due to injury.  (Don’t think he has leverage to hold out, so don’t view that as likely).  But also has some stand alone value if the RB position gets bleak.    

   Brad got decent value in later rounds with Tucker Kraft and Drake Maye.  Kraft was banged up for most of last season but still finished as the TE 9.  Maye has rushing td potential and could sneak into QB1 status looking at the schedule.   

 

Draft Grade: B+.  Brad’s Strengths are QB1, WR1, WR2, TE1, TE2.  His weaknesses are RB1, RB2, RB depth.  Logan did that.  That’s Logan’s fault.  The ASSassin.  This team could make the playoffs but needs to stay healthy and get some favorable scheduling luck.  We’ll see!  

 

8. Josh.

I have figured it out.  I know why Josh drafted the way he did this season.  Pity.  He has pity on me while he deals with a high demanding job and lifestyle.  He jumped on the grenade for a lot of players so that I wouldn’t draft them.  While Logan sniped all my targets one pick ahead of me, Josh let my targets flow down to me.  It was like he gave up hit seat on a lifeboat during the Titanic disaster.  If Logan is the ASSasin then Josh is my Savior.  Healing my team and giving me an outside chance of a title.  Thank you Josh.  Thank you.   

   In Round 1 Josh takes Nico Collins.  This guy is a monster and criminally underrated.  When healthy he’s up there with the Lamb’s and JJ’s and Amon-Ras of the world.  My concern with Nico is the soft tissue injuries, but also the Texans offensive line.  It was bad last season and got worse.  Terrible offensive line.  Stroud will be running for his life.  Also, they drafted Jayden Higgins (Nico Collins clone), Jaylin Noel, and brought in Christian Kirk.  Kirk will most likely take the Tank Dell roll and Higgins will take the Diggs role.  But I don’t know how much time Stroud will have to throw.  They did get a new OC this offseason, so that could help get more time with a little scheme help, but with Joe Mixon hurt I don’t see teams respecting the run very much.  Nick Chubb is a shadow of his former self and Woody Marks is an unproven rookie.  Texans are favored to win the division, but we’ll see.   

   In Round 2 Josh takes Puca Nacua.  Puca is amazing and deplatformed Cooper Kupp last season.  Just emasculated him into dust.  Puca is also banged up a lot because of his aggressive play style.  He’s always willing to put his body on the line to make the play.  In addition to Puca’s injury risk there is the Matthew Stafford back issue.  Everyone is hoping it s a non-issue come Week 1.  Otherwise Rams will have to turn to Jimmy G or Stetson Bennett at QB which would lead me to downgrade all pass catchers.  If Stafford plays AND Puca stays healthy?  Josh will look very smart for this pick. 

   In Round 3 Josh goes Kenneth Walker.  Another oft-injured player.  I’m high on Walker this season.  I like the scheme fit with Klint Kubiak’s system.  The offensive line is terrible.  Sam Darnold makes this team worse.  But I think they are going to pound the rock.  A LOT.  If Kenneth Walker is able to stay healthy for an entire season he’ll be in Top 5 RB discussion.  He’s a home run hitter and a monster when healthy.  But man this guy cannot stay healthy.  He’s dealing with a foot injury right now that is taking it’s time to heal.  We shall see if he can be healthy this season.   

   In Round 4 Josh takes James Cook.  Cook scored 16 rushing touchdowns last season. He did this by playing less than 60% of the offensive snaps in every game except for Week 1.  That week?  61% of snaps.  Buffalo ran a committee, which helped keep Cook healthy and fresh.  He finished as the RB8.  Can you imagine if they uptick that to 70-80%?  Dynamite.  My guess is it’ll be more of the same as last year.  Explosive, but annoying when he comes out for a Ray Davis touchdown.  He’s also disgruntled and demanding a new contract.  We’ll see if they work something out or if the relationship detiorates.  He has to know he didn’t play more than 60% of the teams offensive snaps last year.  He was very efficient when he did play, but tough to argue for more money when the offense didn’t miss a beat without you. 

 

In Round 5 Josh takes Rashee Rice who is looking at a possible suspension in the 6-8 game variety.  When healthy he is a monster, up there with Nico Collins and Pat Mahomes #1 target.  Last year he tore his ACL, but that was early enough where he looks good to go.  So for those keeping score Josh started out his draft Injury Concern, Injury Concern x2, Injury Concern, Holdout, Possible Suspension.  ALL RISK ALL REWARD BABY.   

   In Round 6 Josh made the most head scratching move I’ve ever seen.  Taking Kyler Murray over Joe Burrow.  I think Josh took pity on me.  He saw Logan bullying me and thought, “man Brad loves this game, maybe I should throw him a bone and let Joe Burrow fall to him.  But I need a QB, Kyler is next, I’ll take him.”  Or the more likely scenario.  Josh didn’t see Joe Burrow was still available.  There is no scenario where I see Murray being better than Burrow.  Unless it’s an injury.  Even then Kyler missed a big chunk of 2022 and 2023 because he was injured… I don’t know what else to say but Thank you Josh and then dock his draft grade a full letter grade.   

   In Round 7 Josh got his TE1 with Mark Andrews.  I actually love Andrews this year.  He received a lot of haterade due to the drop in the postseason.  Isaiah Likely is injured to start the year.  Lamar is playing at a God level.  Andrews was TE5 last year scoring 11 touchdowns in the final 12 games of the season.   

   In Round 8 Josh takes Rome Odunze.  Improved coach, improved offensive line, Keenan Allen is gone.  They added Colston Loveland and Luther Burden, but Odunze has a year head start on them when it comes to NFL playing experience.  I like Rome to have a better sophomore campaign, but I don’t like him more than Devonta Smith, who Josh could’ve had.   

   In Round 8 Josh got Kenneth Walkers backup in Zach Charbonnet (great pickup).  And then took Rachaad White (terrible pick).  White is hurt and is proably going to be the RB3 in Tampa.  Stevenson, Javonte Williams and Jaylen Warren would’ve been better picks in my opinion.   

Decent bench pieces late with Goff, Aiyuk and Trey Benson. 

 

Draft Grade: C-.  I would have made different picks in 6/8 of the first 8 rounds.  Nabers over Nico. BTJ over Puca.  Kittle over Walker.  Sutton, DJ Moore or Ridley over Rice.  Burrow over Kyler and Devonta Smith over Odunze.  Josh could’ve had Nabers, BTJ, Kenneth Walker, Kittle, Sutton, Burrow as his core and we are talking about an A grade and a bow from yours truly.  Some positive injury luck and this team can compete, but another year where we are singing, “What might have been…” 

 

9. Ben

   Drafting 9th is like getting the middle tee time of a golf tournament where you don’t get to get an early start on either Round 1 or Round 2, meaning you don’t get any soft greens.  Bad draw.  Ben impressed me in Round 1 after his 15 minute tardiness thanks to his tee time, but he piped one down the middle with his first pick.  Malik Nabers is going to eat.  I see 140+ targets and 1500 yards when I see Nabers.  He was my choice at 7 if JJ and Lamb were both gone.  He is going to be a problem this season.  Great pick and impressive given you were drafting while playing golf.  A game which allows you to shut your brain off and only focus on the game while you play it.  Birdie on the first hole.    

   After Max took Amon-Ra and Bowers Ben selects Achane.  Achane was a surprising pick for me.  Ben must’ve hit it into the water before he made this selection, because his draft grade certainly DROPPED.  Achane was RB6 last season despite the Dolphins being quadruple bogey level bad.  Their offense was so terrible it makes me want to puke just thinking about it.  Tua got hurt.  Their offensive line sucks.  So they just completely ignored Tyreek and Waddle and let them run to open up short game where they just peppered Achane and Jonnu Smith for 4 yard gains repeatedly.  So gross.  The offensive line didn’t improve at all.  Tua is healthy, so that helps, but picking Achane over Henry, BTJ, Jeanty, Chase Brown.  Gross.  Terrible slice into the water. +3 through two.    

   In Round 3 Ben took Jayden.  Fun pick.  Love it.  He is legitimate.  I watched that 2022 LSU team.  I knew he was special.  Hopefully Washington gets the McLaurin contract dispute figured out so Jayden can roll with the same crew as last year plus Deebo Samuel.  If they trade McLaurin that would knock Jayden down a peg or two, but I don’t think that happens.  Enjoy the ride Ben.  Jayden-Nabers, Geaux Tigers.  Birdie. +2 

   In Round 4 you took Breece Hall.  Kittle was the correct choice here.  But Hall should be an okay RB2.  He’s looking at a committee approach.  New coach.  Justin Fields doesn’t check it down, he takes off for runs.  But Hall is in a contract year, so maybe he pops off.  I think he was an avoid for me.  If Kittle was gone I could understand because round 4 looks gross in general, but you had a chance at Kittle who is screaming high target volume for a committee back.  Bogey. +3 

   In Round 5 you took Joe Mixon.  The fantasy community is leaving him for dead.  He has a mysterious foot injury.  He might not be ready for Week 1.  But I imagine at some point he’ll be good to go.  Maybe provide a back half of the season push for you.  Taking him over Sutton, RJ Harvey and others was kind of gross though.  Bogey. +4 

   In Round 6 you took Sam LaPorta.  He is awesome.  Solid Tight End.  Hopefully a change at OC won’t negatively impact him.  I don’t see him getting back to TE1 status like his rookie season, but Top 10 is a safe bet.  Par, +4. 

   In Round 7 you took Zay Flowers.  I like Zay, but not as a WR2.  Maybe a WR3 or 4.  Target share just isn’t good enough.  Lamar can run, Henry, Andrews, Bateman, they added D-Hop.  He’s the chain mover and is a better ppr asset than half ppr asset.  Bogey.  +5 

   In Round 8 you took Quinshon Judkins.  Judkins is the only rookie who hasn’t signed his rookie contract.  Ownership is waiting to see what happens with his trial.  He allegedly struck his girlfriend.  A few days later she reported it.  His lawyer isn’t looking for an expedited trial.  Which doesn’t bode well for him.  I’m pretty sure the second he signs his contract the NFL is going to put him on the Commissioners exemption list and not let him play.  There were several running backs on actual NFL rosters you could’ve chosen or an actual WR2 like Devonta Smith.  This is like that viral video.  You were playing slow on the course, someone hit into you, then a fight ensued.  Another quad-bogey.  +9 through 8.   

   In Round 9 you took Jerry Jeudy.  He exploded last year!  In games where Jamies was slinging it and in games AFTER Cedric Tillman, the true #1 for Cleveland got hurt.  You’ll probably have Joe Flacco throwing the ball, but the fact that Jeudy fell into Round 9 tells you there is consensus that last season’s WR15 finish was a fluke.  Bogey.  +10 

   Round 10 you took Deebo Samuel.  Not a bad flier given the McLaurin contract issue, but I don’t see Deebo being the same Deebo he was in his prime.  More of a boom/bust WR4 for me.  You do get the Jayden-Deebo stack which might be fun some weeks.  Bogey. +11 

Baker in the 11th was great.  Par 

Ekeler in the 12th was meh.  Bogey +12 

Keon Coleman was a birdie pick.  With Khalif Shakur injured he could have a decent start to the season.  +11 

Corum meh, Likely was good.   

 

Draft Grade: D+.  Played this draft like an 15 handicapper.  You broke 100 but only because you didn’t count mulligans and dropped a few balls that were lost out of bounds while your buddies weren’t looking.  This team is God awful Ben.  Jesus, how you do book a tee time during a fantasy draft?  Are you used to an assistant managing your schedule for you?  What would Chris Herron think?  “YOU JACKASS!” – in the Happy Gilmore Jackass guy voice 

 

10. Max

   Max didn’t have the patience for our annual shenanigans this season, but he was a good sport and tried to make the best of drafting 10th.  In my mock research time I thought 8th and 9th picks were the worst and 10th was a little better because you at least got the back to back.  I was right.  Max starts out with Amon-Ra St. Brown.  A boring Top 10 WR.  Goff’s number one and a grinder.  I liked BTJ more, but Detroit is the more likely playoff team and scores in bunches to the benefit of Amon-Ra.  Sometimes its not about the sexy pick though.  Sometimes the grinder is who you want.   

   Then Max took Brock Bowers.  There were 3 tight ends that could separate a team from the rest of the league.  Max got one of them in Bowers.  Geno Smith is an upgrade at QB.  He was unguardable last season.  They add Ashton Jeanty who will automatically demand respect for the running game.  We all knew Bowers would be a stud.  But 112 receptions for 1194 yards and 5 tds?  Nasty work.  Set it and forget it.   

   In Round 3 Max takes Jalen Hurts.  Hurts is coming off his Super Bowl winning season.  He rushed for 14 touchdowns.  And yet, only finished as QB8.  He missed a couple weeks due to injury, but also, Barkley happened.  They didn’t need to throw!  He played super conservatively.  He only threw 361 attempts!  compare that to 538 in 2023 and 460 in 2022.  There has to be some positive regression here right?  I see him as a Top 5 QB, but he’ll need to throw at least a little more.  We’ll see if losing Kellen Moore as OC hurts, but I don’t think it will.  If anything it might help.  Especially if they don’t run as much and try to save Barkley’s legs for later in the season.   

   Having secured his QB1, WR1, and TE1 he needed a Running Back.  He goes with Omarion Hampton.  I love Hampton as a prospect and was excited he went in the first round and two the run-happy Chargers.  In college, Hampton rushed for 1504 yards and 15 touchdowns in 2023 and 1660 yards and 15 touchdowns in 2024.  It was for North Carolina and it was in the ACC, but still.  Incredible consistency.  But like I mentioned in Quentin’s and Stephen’s grades, the Slater injury is tough.  (Charges starting Left Tackle Rashawn Slater tears his patellar tendon and is lost for the season.  They’ll move Joe Alt to Left Tackle and try to make RT work, but this lessened it a little bit more….Brandon Thorn moved them from fringe Top 10 offensive line to #25 offensive line.  It was that big of a loss.  I downgraded all Chargers players as a result of this loss.).  I love Hampton, but I’m not sure if he’ll be good enough as an RB1.   

   In Round 5 and 6 Max did great with Courtland Sutton and RJ Harvey.  A pair of Broncos.  Courtland Sutton had his best season of his career last year with Bo Nix at the helm and Sean Payton as head coach.  I see no reason why Sutton doesn’t repeat as a solid WR2.  RJ Harvey might be a monster as well.  Hand picked by Sean Payton to replace Javonte Williams.  Giddy up.  They brought in JK Dobbins as a veteran, but Harvey will smash this season.   

   In Round 7 Max takes Chris Godwin and follows it up with Kaleb Johnson, keeping up with the rookie running back trend.  I worry about Godwin.  A lot.  I think Devonta Smith was more prudent of a pick and would’ve given you the Hurts-Smith stack.  Godwin’s ankle was completely broken.  Gruesome, terrible injury.  One of those injuries where he might never get back to where he was.  Certainly not in the first half of this season.   Kaleb Johnson is another back where I see him taking back seat to Jaylen Warren for awhile before getting his own chunk of plays earned consistently.  Arthur Smith loves committees, running three tight end sets, and he hates fantasy players.  Except Jonnu Smith, he loves Jonnu Smith.   

   In Rounds 8 and 9 he took two more injured players.  Cam Scattebo and Jennings.  He wanted Ricky Pearsall and I stole him from him, so I won’t knock his grade too bad.  Skattebo should carve out a role for him back half of the season.  Jennings, we’ll see.   

   In later rounds great value in Brock Purdy, Cooper Kupp, and Dalton Kincaid.  Providing good depth pieces.  

 

Draft Grade: B.  First 5-7 weeks Max will be in survival mode.  He needs to get a few lucky breaks when it comes to scheduling.  If he does that, I see him as being able to make a late season run.  The most likely scenario is Max misses the playoffs and plays spoiler to other teams who are trying to make a run.  Maybe he can knock me out with a huge week from Cam Scattebo and RJ Harvey in Week 12.   

 

There you have it folks! Best of luck this season!

 

Draft Grades In Order: 

1. Logan: A+

T2. Michael: B+ 

T2: Brad: B+ 

T2: Caleb: B+ 

T5. Max: B 

T5: Andy: B 

7: Quentin: B- 

8: Stephen: C+ 

9: Josh: C- 

10: Ben: D+ 

 

 

BBY Dream Team League Season 15 Draft Grades

BBY Dream Team League 2023-2024 Season #15! 

Before we dive into draft grades, I’d like to take a second to look at where we’ve been.  In the 14 years of the BBY Dream Team League the Championships have been a bit top heavy, with 3 players holding 9 titles.  Mustafa “Moose” Sunka has 4 Titles.  Chase Sims has 3 Titles.  Yours Truly has 2 Titles.  Then there are five teams with 1 title.  Joe Weiser in Season #5, Scotty Gwatney in Season #6, Trey Hewitt in Season #9, Kenny Williams in Season #12, and of course our newest and reigning champion of Season #14, JD Smith!  Of course, that means there are several members that have yet to win their first title.  Mike Grote, Jen LeGlue, Katon Bethay, and Tommy Plemons are the four teams on the outside looking in.  Could this be the year?  Katon drafted at Pick #2, Jen at Pick #3, Tommy at Pick #5, and Mike at Pick #9.

Here is the Draft Position of Each Champion:

  1. Brad- Pick #1
  2. Moose- Pick #3
  3. Brad- Pick #9
  4. Chase- Pick #4
  5. Joe- Pick #1
  6. Scotty- Pick #4
  7. Moose- Pick #12
  8. Chase- Pick #1
  9. Trey- Pick #4
  10. Moose- Pick #11
  11. Moose- Pick #11
  12. Kenny- Pick #6
  13. Chase- Pick #6
  14. JD- Pick #3

The past is in the past.  As the great Rafiki says in Lion King, “It doesn’t matter…it’s in the past!”

Let’s move on to Season #15 and see how Brad thinks you did on your draft this season.

Annual Disclaimer: Opinions are like assholes, everyone has one.  This is my opinion.  Last year JD received a draft grade of “C” and was ranked #9/12.  He finished #1, which is all that matters.  (Of course I had the other 5 playoff teams grades with B- or better with Mustafa (A), Chase (B+), Brad (B+), Tommy (B-) and Mike (B-) also making the playoffs with draft grades of 1, 3, 4, 5, 6.  So really I was very wrong about Kenny (A-) and JD (C), but most of my grades weren’t that bad.  Let’s see how I do this year!

Pick #1: Trey

Trey with the odd back-to-back years with #1 pick.  Last year it was an automatic selection, Johnathan Taylor.  Just click send.  It blew up in Trey’s face.  This year it was an automatic selection, Justin Jefferson.  Just click send.  Trey did not.  Instead he chose Bijan Robinson, rookie out of Texas and newest addition to the Atlanta Falcons.  Couple Bijan’s talent with Atlanta’s run first mentality, #2 easiest strength of schedule according to Warren Sharp, the wide-open NFC South, and their offseason additions on their defense and offensive line, I’m bullish on Bijan to waste no time in being a fantasy superstar.  CMC was going in the 3rd round of redraft his rookie season and he didn’t disappoint.  Their previous starter Tyler Allgeier rushed admirably last season, breaking Atlanta’s rookie rushing record while ranking #2 in the NFL in EPA/attempt among all RBs with 100+ carries.  Excerpt from Warren Sharps NFL Preview book, “Arthur Smith’s scheme last year allowed his Falcons RBs to rank: #1 in rushing yards, #1 yards per carry, #1 rushing first downs, #2 in EPA/rush, #3 in success rate.”  They also drafted Matthew Bergeron in the 2nd round who will most likely move to guard and was a much better run blocker than pass blocker at Syracuse.  They also signed a ton of defensive free agents like Jessie Bates III (Safety), David Onuemata (DL), Kaden Ellis (LB), Calais Campbell (DL), Jeff Okudah (CB), and Bud Dupree (Edge).  Arthur Smith is also sporting a mustache.  He is going to pound the rock and play defense.  Bijan can be a Top 5 fantasy running back.  If he gets 275+ touches I believe he does just that.  They will rotate a bit.  But the potential is there.  BUT to draft him you passed on Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase, Christin McCaffrey, Austin Ekeler, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce.  Jefferson led the NFL in both catches with 128 and receiving yards with 1,809 last season.  He was the youngest player in NFL history to lead the league in both.  He is 24.  He is an LSU guy.  And I’m bullish on the Vikings offense this season.  I love a little spice, so we’ll see how this works out for Trey.  No one will question the size of Trey’s nuts although they may question the size of his brain.

In the second round Trey took Chris Olave and DK Metcalf.  Olave is in a smash spot this season.  Favorable schedule, Derek Carr should be as good if not better than Andy Dalton.  Solid WR1.  Metcalf I believe will finish about where he did last year.  I think he’s due for some positive touchdown regression, but the addition of JSN will hurt his targets, receptions, and yardage totals.  I had Devonta Smith higher in my rankings than Metcalf.

In the 4th and 5th Trey went DJ Moore and Justin Fields.  Not gonna lie, makes for a pretty sick squad.  Fields is a Qb/Rb.  Bijan is a Rb/WR.  Olave-Metcalf-Moore is a solid trio of wideouts.  Fields rushed for 1143 yards and 8 touchdowns last year.   Moore took a wobbly screen pass with broken play on defense to the house in preseason and jettisoned himself up the rankings.  Prior to last season Moore was an automatic for 1100 yards receiving and I think he can get there again.  Does he bring the career high 7 touchdowns with him?  Or does that regress to his average of 4 each year?  Still good for a flex.

Trey took JK Dobbins and Dalvin Cook for his second and third running backs.  I was torn between Montgomery and Dobbins and ultimately chose Montgomery.  Dobbins lasted a full 10 picks later to Trey.  His knee looks bad.  We will see if those weird bumps have gone down or not.  I like the Ravens this season, so we’ll see what he can do.  Dalvin Cook isn’t a bad RB3.  I don’t think he goes as crazy as people think this season, but if Hall winds up with a soft tissue injury and misses some games then Dalvin could have some good startable weeks.

Loved Trey’s pick of Zay Flowers.  Jamaal Williams wasn’t bad for RB depth either.  Geno Smith provides Qb depth in the event of an injury and has the Geno/DK stack option.

Draft Grade: C.  I like Bijan a lot.  Looking forward to trying his mustard.  But this was a swing for the fence move after being burned last year.  JJ is the best WR in football.  Could’ve started JJ-Rhamondre-Olave.  Still gotten Fields-Moore.  And the rest of the group.  Is the dropoff from JJ to Metcalf worth the difference of Bijan and Rhamondre Stevenson?  Let’s check back at the end of the year.  Will it be no?  Or an emphatic yes?  I’ll give a C.

Pick #2: Katon

I’m assuming Katon was ready to draft Ja’Marr Chase after Trey took Justin Jefferson and just automatically hit select even though Trey didn’t take JJ.  Not sure why someone would take Chase over JJ.  Minnesota’s defense sucks, which means Vikings are looking to be in a large quantity of shootouts.  JJ had more targets, catches, and yards than Chase last season.  Chase did miss a few games after he injured his hip celebrating a touchdown.  Also, in the offseason it was reported that Chase has a woman stalker who is threatening him and his mother causing him to file a restraining order.  They hooked up one night and he wind up with a stage five clinger situation as a result.  Must’ve laid a hell of a pipe.  This might also explain the broken hip last year.  I digress.  In Round 2 Katon went with Patrick Mahomes.  What a solid player.  Just start him and forget about it.  I could argue about Player Value Rankings and say it was a bad pick.  I could argue that a running Qb like Hurts would have been better, but Mahomes is a stud and he is fun to root for.  He just makes plays.  In Round 3 you got your starting Rb in Joe Mixon, doubling up on the Bengals.  Mixon had a tumultuous offseason.  Court hearings and rumors swirling about him potentially being cut.  Ultimately the cut that happened was him accepting a pay cut to play with the Bengals again this season.  He is still on the roster and was cleared of any wrongdoing on the court matter.  He’s good to go.  In Round 4 you went target hog TJ Hockenson.  Like it.  Solid.  The addition of Jordan Addison might cut into his target share a bit, but again I’m bullish on this passing attack and I can see them putting on a show most weeks.  In Round 5 you took James Conner.  I had Walker and Mattison ranked higher, but I understand if you wanted to ensure volume.  It’s just volume on a bad team.  But volume is volume for a running back!  Good values in Round 6 and 7 with Terry McLaurin and Isaih Pacheco.  A #1 WR with a young stud in Sam Howell throwing him the ball.  Isaih Pacheco runs angry and I look forward to seeing what he brings to his sophomore season.  Last year I woke up at like 5:00am pacific time and couldn’t sleep.  Saw some news about Chiefs Running backs while sitting on the can.  I quickly picked up Pacheco and immediately got a text at 5:14am from Chase saying he clicked add at the exact same time.  Actually what he said was “You fucking beat me to it”.  He served me well last year and you’ll like him as a Rb Katon.  I liked your picks of Michael Pittman and Samaje Perine.  Everyone is down on Pittman this year.  They are throwing around stats about rookie Qbs not having their WR’s finish as a top 15 WR in fantasy.  It doesn’t happen.  Pretty weird.  But for a depth piece he’s a big target and let’s see if he gets a decent amount of touchdowns.  Perine I loved.  Javonte Williams knee recovery is miraculous.  Players that tear their ACL, PCL, and LCL have only an 18.5% chance of returning to their previous talent level.  Williams appears to have done it.  But Payton loves to rotate backs.  Perine will get a decent amount of work and Williams is at risk of soft tissue injuries which is common for players coming off of ACL injuries.  Most of your depth players are throw aways but I liked your Jared Goff pick in Round 15.  Dude has a chance to ball out this year.

Draft Grade: B-.  Overall it’s not a pretty team, but there is no weakness per se.  3 RB1’s, 3 WR1’s.  Not bad Katon.  Not Bad.

Pick #3: Jen

The Fantasy God’s parted the clouds and beamed sunshine down to Jen’s third overall pick.  For the second year in a row she gets Justin Jefferson.  Last year she traded JJ for Daniel Jones, Aaron Jones, and Gabe Davis.  This year I have a feeling she’ll hold on to the manimal that led the league in catches and receiving yards.  In Round 2 she went with Travis Etienne Jr.  I hated this pick.  Etienne will be fine, but passing on Olave and Devonta Smith… then choosing Etienne over Rhamondre Stevenson.  Etienne has more of a threat to lose touches to rookie Tank Bigsby than Rhamondre has to lose to Zeke Elliot.  In the 3rd round you got Tee Higgins so that’s good.  Tee is on a contract year and would be the #1 WR on at least 10 teams in the league.  This year he has Burrow slinging to him, so look for his normal WR#2 (Top 24) finish.  In Round 4 you took Darren Waller.  Waller has been flying up draft boards.  All offseason word out of Giants camp is Jones is throwing to Waller nonstop.  A sideline reporter said they pulled Waller out of practice one day not because he was hurt but because they wanted to see Daniel Jones throw to other players.  Then in the Week 2 preseason game the starters played and Jones targeted Waller on 3 straight passes to start the drive and targeted him again a few plays later.  Daniel Bellinger vultured the touchdown, but Waller has a path to finish as TE#2 this year if he can stay healthy.  I like the bold, flag plant pick here.  In Round 5 you took Javonte Williams.  Williams would be a 2nd round pick if he wasn’t coming off of injury.  All reports this summer have said he’s back.  He’s healthy.  He looks great.  If he starts off slow that’s okay, but he has the potential to be a steal in Round 5.  I probably would have gone Mattison or Kenneth Walker here, but I tend to play more conservative (no wonder I haven’t won since 2011).  In Round 6 you got your Qb in Deshaun Watson.  The Rub and Tug All Star should have a solid season in his first full season of being a Browns starting Qb.  We’ll see if he can reclaim his all-star status like when he was balling out for the Texans a few years ago.  In Round 7 you got a decent RB depth piece in AJ Dillon.  Jordan Love is QB in Green Bay and they may look to run the ball more.  Last season Aaron Jones stole the show, but Dillon carved out a respectable role at the end of the season once it got cold.  They went more bruiser rather than slice and dice.  The split was 56% Aaron Jones and 44% AJ Dillon.  Could it be closer to 50/50 this year?  Decent fliers and depth pieces throughout the rest of the draft.

Draft Grade: B+.  The concern is Running Backs health and volume, but most teams have that issue this year.  The JJ-Higgins-Waller combo is going to be a nice floor and the AJ Dillon + GB D/ST could be sneaky good.  Well done Jen!

Pick#4: Joe

Joe you son of a bitch.  Love you.  Christian McCaffrey was a solid selection for me last year at Pick #2.  I received some shit for it, but he went back to his solid ass balling out self.  Yes Elijah Mitchell might carve out some runs, but CMC gives you one of the best RB1’s in the game with a good floor (due to his receptions) and incredible ceiling (due to him being able to break one at any moment).  Solid selection Joe!  In Round 2 you took Jaylen Waddle.  Excellent pick again.  I don’t think people understand how good Waddle is and how great of a fit he is in Mike McDaniels offense.  Tyreek Hill being there kind of overshadows him a bit.  He was PPR WR#8 last year in his sophomore season.  He’s 24 years old.  And he had some monster plays last year.  In Round 3 you took Aaron Jones.  I agree on you taking a RB.  I disagree on the RB.  Last year I took CMC in the first and Aaron Jones in the 3rd.  Rodgers preferred to have Jones on the field with him.  I don’t think I’ve seen many rankers have Jones over Rhamondre Stevenson.  You also took him over Mark Andrews, DeVonta Smith.  I don’t know.  I’m not sure about Aaron Jones at cost this year, but we’ll see.  If GB does run more and he maintains his 56/44 snap percentage then maybe he can repeat and have a top 10 Rb season again.  We’ll see.  In Round 4 you took Joe “Big Dick” Burrow.  Little calf strain never hurt anybody.  Burrow-CMC-Jones-Waddle.  In Round 5 you took your third RB over your second WR.  You took Alexander Mattison.  Evan Silva placed a large bet on Mattison to win the rushing title with 40:1 odds.  To quote the big dog himself, “Alexander Mattison inherits Dalvin Cook’s workhorse role after re-signing a two-year, $7 million deal, 91% of which is guaranteed.  Mattison possesses prototypical feature back size (5-foot-11/ 221) and has been treated commensurately by Vikings coaches in past opportunities to spell Cook; Mattison’s touch counts in his past five starts were 24, 32, 32, 25, and 16.  Last year, Mattison outplayed Cook on a one-to-one basis, finishing 16th in PFF rushing grade compared to Cook’s 64th overall placement… I’m willing to draft Mattison aggressively above his ADP this season.”  Mattison has had a small injury this offseason and Vikings have been rumored to want to sign another back for depth, but it sure looks like Mattison is in line for a Top 15 RB season.  This gives Joe a 3 headed RB monster, something only a few teams have this year in this league.  In Round 6 you took Kyle Pitts.  For me he isn’t worth it.  Once the top Tight Ends go my strategy was to wait.  The Falcons just don’t throw that much.  Ridder doesn’t look that accurate.  Pitts just isn’t worth a Round 6 pick.  In Round 7 you took Christian Kirk.  Kirk as your WR2 is worrisome.  Yes Kirk was WR #12 last year.  No Kirk will not finish as a Top 15 WR this year.  Calvin Ridley is in town.  In the preseason the Jags lined up Ridley and Zay Jones in two WR sets.  Kirk is the slot receiver.  The snap count and multitude of weapons in Jacksonville are going to hurt Kirk’s consistency and floor and make him more difficult to start.  This will also hurt his ceiling.  In Round 8 you made up for the Kirk pick with Jahan Dotson.  I was super high on Dotson and I almost ran out of time on my pick because I didn’t know whether to take Drake London or Dotson.  I was taking Gibson, so I didn’t want to double up on Commanders.  London is the #1 WR where as Dotson was a #2.  I ultimately chose London, which gave Joe a solid WR#2.  Start Dotson over Kirk this season.  You’ll thank me later.  I also loved the Treylon Burks pick in Round 9 and Elijah Mitchell pick in Round 10.  Decent picks to end the draft.

Draft Grade: B.  Solid Joe.  Didn’t care for Aaron Jones over Rhamondre.  Didn’t care for Kirk pick.  The Tight End position is going to piss you off all season.  But you should compete.

Pick #5: Tommy

I knew Tommy was picking Ekeler.  I wrote it down prior to the draft.  Ekeler took Tommy out last year in the Super Bowl and he was going to ensure it didn’t happen again.  I don’t hate it.  The entire backfield is about the same as last year and the Offense Coordinator got better.  I like Ekeler to repeat as a Top 5 RB this season.  In the 2nd Round you took Josh Jacobs.  Jacobs isn’t happy about being franchise tagged and is threatening to sit out since a long-term deal wasn’t reached.  I don’t blame the guy, he set career highs last year in attempts (340), rushing yards (1653), receiving yards (400), average rush (4.9) and tied his high rushing touchdown number (12).  Jacobs is a victim of the running back market.  They have a short career and are highly replaceable.  Jacobs put it all out there last season.  Played hurt.  Overcame adversity and put on dazzling performances including that 33 rush, 229-yard, 2 touchdown performance against the Seahawks in November.  Once running backs get paid it’s not pretty.  (See Le’Veon Bell, Ezekiel Elliot, Todd Gurley, etc.)  We’ll see if the two sides can come to an agreement soon.  A rumor dropped yesterday saying he was going to show up to play in Week 1.  Then I saw he commented saying the comment was bullshit.  Then he deleted the comment.  In these situations I think Jacobs played the good teammate part last year playing through injury.  He does not do that this year.  If he has a slight bump or bruise he’s sitting.  This is not a great pick for Tommy in my opinion.  High risk high reward, but in the 2nd round with so much talent available.  It’s a shame (in Gordon Ramsey’s voice).  In Round 3 he took Najee Harris.  Ensuring those in the back of the draft were pissed off at 0 running backs falling back to them.  Harris should do better this year than his bust year last year.  Last year was obvious he was going to bust and he busted.  This year the offensive line is improved and he is not dealing with a foot injury like last offseason.  His only threat is Jaylen Warren who continues to carve out a little role for himself.  But Harris finished the season strong last year with Top 18 RB finishes in PPR in each of the last 6 weeks.  In Round 4 Tommy finally took a WR.  (I had 3 at this point of the draft).  Hopkins is talented and has fingers longer than my torso, but he is 31 in a run-first offense.  When Treylon Burks comes back to full strength I don’t see Hopkins being the player he used to be for the Texans.  He has the ability to finish as a Top 24 WR, but I don’t see him cracking the Top 12 to be considered a “WR1”. In Round 5 you took Jerry Jeudy.  Jeudy is a baller and he could breakout in his first season with Sean Payton.  Jeudy has had a few injuries, but when he’s on the field he plays great.  In the final 6 weeks last season he finished as a WR 1 or 2 in 4/6 weeks.  That includes his Week 14 Wide Receiver #1 ranking when he caught 3 touchdowns against the Chiefs.  We’ll see what he can do this season and if Sean Payton can squeeze blood out of the Russel Wilson turnip or not.  In Round 6 you took big Mike Williams.  Between the three wrs you took you should have enough to compete.  In Round 7 you took Captain Kirk.  Cousins is entering his Age 35 season and is in a contract year.  They added Jordan Addison in the offseason and their defense is in shambles.  Look for Cousins to repeat his QB8 performance from last season.  You took Evan Engram for TE but also drafted Dalton Kincaid later.  Solid.

Draft Grade: C.  You went 3 rbs to start the draft then didn’t draft a single one after that.  One of those three might not play.  And if he does play he’s probably going be more cautious.  Your team is weird and I don’t like it.

Pick #6: Scotty

Good to see a real human draft Scotty’s team this year!  Scotty went Tyreek Hill in Round 1.  Love it.  Hill has verbally put it out there that he wants 2000 yards this season.  The crazy cheetah might just have the talent to do it too.  Loved this pick.  In Round 2 you went Johnathan Taylor.  Yikes.  I get wanting to draft a RB and this was a big high risk/high reward type pick.  But man.  Still having ankle issues.  Trying to get traded out of Indy because he’s still on his rookie deal.  We’ll see if he gets traded, but even then I don’t see his situation getting that much better.  Maybe he gets traded.  Maybe the ankle will finally heal.  Maybe he returns to 2021 version of himself.  That’s too many maybes for me big dog.  You should’ve just drafted Waddle since you got Tua later and just went all in on the Dolphins passing attack lol.  In Round 3 you made up for it with Rhamondre Stevenson.  You don’t see a Top 12 RB fall to the middle of Round 3 when his competition for carries has gotten worse.  Maybe Zeke takes a few goal line carries.  Okay.  Rhamondre finished with 69 receptions last season.  He was Top 12 with only 6 touchdowns.  People are stupid.  Great pick Scotty.  In Round 4 you took Alvin Kamara.  We’ll see how much he has in the tank when he comes back from suspension.  In Round 5 you took Miles Sanders.  Somehow you took 4 running backs in your first 5 rounds and you STILL might not have a RB2 for Week 1.  JT might not play.  Sanders has a hurt groin and might not play.  Kamara is suspended.  Great depth for mid and late season, but this is borderline hilarious.  Hopefully something works out for your for week 1.  In Round 6 you were handed a wonderful gift.  Christian Watson falling two rounds later in ADP for no fucking reason at all.  You LOVE to see it.  Your WR2 might finish better than all of Tommy’s WRs.  You did a decent job filling our your roster with Dallas Goedert, Marquise Brown.  Got a couple of decent Qbs to choose in Dak and Tua.  Got Rhamondre’s backup in Zeke.

Draft Grade: C+.  You got docked a letter grade for drafting JT.  You got docked another letter grade for drafting 4 Qb’s.  I know we aren’t supposed to say this word anymore, but are you retarded?

Pick #7: JD

The Champ!  All Hail King JD!  You went Saquon Barkley.  I get it.  RBs were going, you liked him more than Henry and Chubb.  I get it.  I would have gone Kelce personally, but I understand it.  In round 2 you took Davante Adams.  I got to go to a celebrity golf tournament at Lake Tahoe last month.  Got real close to Adams.  He’s skinnier in real life, but well dressed and has a decent golf shot.  Also Darren Waller is gone.  Last year Adams proved it doesn’t matter who is QB is as he set career highs in targets and yards per catch.  Jimmy G isn’t a downgrade or an upgrade from Derek Carr.  Solid RB1 and WR1 to start the draft.  In Round 3 you took DeVonta Smith.  Shit I don’t blame you.  Guy has a 2nd round ADP and lasts until 3.7?  All day.  You have the second best WR duo in the league.  😉.  In Round 4 you took your RB2 in Rachaad White.  Everybody was reaching for RBs at this point.  I don’t know if any of us reached on the right one.  I think the order of Pierce, White, Conner, Mattison, Walker, and Sanders is going to be Pierce, Mattison, Walker, Sanders, White, and Conner.  So I don’t agree with your reach.  He doesn’t have much backfield competition.  The offense is going to be worse than last year without Brady.  I understand the reach.  I just don’t know if it was for the right player.  In Round 5 you took Kenneth Walker.  Great pick.  I thought about him over Pierce in Round 4, so you getting him at 5.7 is an incredible value.  People were worried about his injury this preseason but he’s already back practicing.  Let him ball out.  George Kittle in Round 6 wasn’t bad.  Purdy liked him a lot.  That was evident by Kittle’s insane 7 touchdowns in the last 4 games of the regular season.  I don’t think he keeps that up, but what if he does?  In Round 9 you took your starting Qb in Daniel Jones.  He finished as Qb#10 last year and added Darren Waller and Jaylin Hyatt.  Great freaking pick.

Draft Grade: B.  Don’t care for the bench at all, but if the starters stay healthy this team can compete.

Pick #8: Chase

These assholes really let Kelce fall to pick #8 eh?  Chase scoops up the player that you can play in the tight end spot that scores at a Top 5 RB pace.  While us peasants are hoping our tight ends fall into the endzone for 6 points Chase will get an average of 16.4 per game.  GOD DAMNIT.  PLAYER VALUE RANKINGS PEOPLE!  I got to see Kelce shotgun a beer while playing golf in Lake Tahoe.  A fan was talking shit to him saying he isn’t TE one.  Kelce goes “Oh yeah, who’s number 1.  Who’s number 1?”  The fan mumbles “Kittle”.  Little Niners fan.  Kelce just nods.  “Kittle is pretty good.  Pretty good.”  Then he hit the shit out of the ball onto the par 3 green.  In Round 2 Chase goes with CeeDee Lamb.  CeeDee was WR#6 last year.  I still remember when the Falcons drafted a cornerback over him HAHAHAHA.  Falcons suck.  CeeDee’s target competition is about the same.  Dalton Schultz is gone and they added Brandin Cooks.  Look for a similar Top 8 WR finish this year.  In Round 3 Chase shocked the free world going QB rather than his first RB.  He selected Josh Allen over Jalen Hurts which I thought was interesting.  Hurts averaged more per game than Allen and would have been QB#1 if he hadn’t gotten hurt at the end of last season.  Word on the street is the Bills want Allen to pass more.  We’ll see if it actually happens.  I would have gone Hurts over Allen personally.  Or maybe Gibbs.  Or Andrews.  Probably Gibbs then Hurts for me.  In Round 4 Chase took Amari Cooper.  Solid WR2 for Chase here.  I almost took him at the turn but my gut told me to take Calvin Ridley.  I don’t know why.  Chase got his first RB in Round 5 with Captain James Cook.  Cook looks like he could be a steal in Round 5.  His competition is Damien Harris who is injured and Latavius Murray who is somehow still in the league.  Cook will have every opportunity to smash his ADP this season.  A big free agent signing would be the only thing I can see derailing the value of this pick.  Like a Hunt or Uncle Lenny who are still out there in the free agent waters.  In Round 6 he took his RB#2 in Khalil Herbert.  Herbert was better than David Montgomery last year.  I don’t know why people think Roschon or D’Onta Foreman is going to be able to beat him out.  If Herbert can continue to take the bear share of the rb load the Bears schedule at the end of the season could make this pick a league winner.  In Round 7 Chase got great value in Brandon Auyik.  WR#17 last year getting drafted after Christian Kirk and George Pickens.  In Round 8 you went Courtland Sutton.  Then you began Operation Running Back.  Going 4 straight RBs.  I remember at one point I had a couple of RBS queued up and then they were gone when it was my turn to pick.  Both went to Chase.  He fired off Zach Charbonnet (great team name opportunity), Jaylen Warren (continues to look more explosive than Najee Harris), Tank Bigsby (could carve out role from Etienne), and Tyjae “No Knees” Spears (backing up 29 year old Derrick Henry and has looked explosive this offseason).  Old Chase went zero RB and yet his RB depth looks just fine to me.

Draft Grade: A.  Chase is better at this than us.  Legit chance at Title #4.

Pick #9: Mike

As mentioned earlier Mike is one of the few that hasn’t won a title.  Will this be his year?  In Round 1 he took the BIG DOG Derrick Henry.  I was expecting a tough choice at pick #12 between Nick Chubb and Derrick Henry and neither of them fell to me.  When deciding Chubb versus Henry I thought that Chubb would have the better season, but if the Titans are in playoff contention I’d rather have Henry.  In the playoffs Henry plays the Texans twice.  The Texans where he averages 200 yards rushing against.  In the fantasy playoffs.  Bodes well for either a late playoff run or a run for more balls in the draft lottery.  In Round 2 you took Garret Wilson.  He reminds me of Julio Jones a little bit.  Wilson should have a monster season with Aaron Rodgers at the helm.  The Offensive Rookie of the Year finished as WR#19 with horrible QB play last year.  Have you seen Zach Wilson play?  I personally had Lamb and Adams higher than Wilson, but I get the allure.  In Round 3 you got an incredible gift in Jahmyr Gibbs.  RBs drafted in the first 12 picks of the NFL draft have gone on to finish with RB1 (Top 12) seasons in fantasy pretty consistently.  Montgomery might steal a little bit, but Gibbs is going to explode.  In Round 4 you took Keenan Allen.  The 31 year slot receiver who is always hurt.  Over Cooper.  And Hopkins.  And Moore.  And Jeudy.  And Mike Williams who went two rounds later.  Mike.  This is a terrible pick.  You get an incredible gift of Gibbs in the third and then you draft Keenan fucking Allen in the 4th?  Why don’t you want to win Mike!  Why don’t you WANT IT!  From now on if you are thinking about taking someone just text me.  Let the league call collusion.  I don’t care.  I would have told you that this is a terrible pick!  In Round 5 you took Justin Herbert.  Super talented Qb.  Was hampered last year by a rib injury.  That is all healed up and enters Kellen Moore at OC and Quinten Johnston at WR.  Johnston gives them depth at WR for when Allen and/or Mike Williams inevitably get hurt.  In Round 6 you took Chris Godwin.  Over Christian Watson, Mike Williams, and Terry McLaurin.  Then in Round 7 you took Tyler Lockett.  I’m truly flabbergasted.  You later took Odell Beckham.  Nico Collins was a phenomenal pick.  But I don’t know why you took a large quantity of old oft-injured WRs.  You got no RB depth.

Draft Grade: D-.  Henry over Chubb was ok.  Wilson over Adams was ok.  Gibbs was great.  The rest.  HOT GARBAGE.  Are you suffering from low testosterone?  Like maybe you are balding or something?  I haven’t seen you in awhile and I know you hang out with a lot of women in your house.  Has the estrogen gotten to you?  I can’t understand why you would take so many balding, aged, dusty wideouts unless there is some underlining empathy you’re feeling that I don’t know about.

Pick #10: Kenny

K-Dub is back in Louisiana and looking to get back to his winning ways like when he made back-to-back Super Bowls in 2020 and 2021.  In the first round to get this party started he took Nick Chubb.  Loved the pick.  As RBs shot up into the first round Kenny locked in the best pure rusher in the league.  Kareem Hunt isn’t there to snipe plays anymore, this could be a career year for the Chubbster who has 1210 career rush attempts and has averaged over 5 yards per carry every season in his career.  He has also scored at least 8 touchdowns every year in his career.  In Round 2 he still locked in a Top WR in Stefon Diggs.  Pretty good.   29 years old coming off ppr wr finishes of #4, #7 and #3.  As Allen goes, Diggs goes.  Of course, I’ll never forgive him for the Minnesota Miracle.  Fuck that guy.  But solid selection.

In the 3rd round temptation was too great and K-Dub locked in Jalen Hurts.  Hurts averaged about 30 points per game last year.  The fact that 9 people passed on him 3 times is a testament to how bad we all are at fantasy football.  The Hurts-Chubb-Diggs combo is a pretty damn nasty trio.  Then Kenny went Deebo Samuel.  I didn’t care for this pick too much.  Last year he was mad about his contract because of the “wide-back” position he held in 2021.  Then he got hurt.  Then they traded for Christian McCaffrey.  Auyik began to ascend.  Deebo should be healthy this year, but what is his role?  CMC took the wide-back.  Kittle was catching the redzone TDs.  Auyik was moving the sticks on 3rd down.  What’s left for Deebo?  In Round 5 you took Mike Evans.  Evans has 9 straight seasons of 1000 yards receiving to begin his career.  I’m glad they are being so upfront about that stat.  It lets us all know that the Bucs are going to try and make it ten for Evans since there is no shot in hell this team is making the playoffs with Baker Mayfield at the helm.  Maybe they’ll rally around this stat and help Kenny out.  In Round 6 you took Cam Akers.  Man what a crazy year last year for the Rams.  Gonna trade him, no they aren’t.  Darrell Henderson starts.  Then they cut him.  Akers was coming off the torn achilles last year.  But then he finished the year strong.  The offensive line sucks.  I haven’t touched him this year.  He did finish 2022 with 3 straight 100 yard games.  So I guess that’s something to build on going into this year.  In the mid rounds you went with a few timeshare rbs in Brian Robinson, D’Andre Swift, and Jeff Wilson Jr.  Not bad not bad.  At any given time during the season these names can be called up to carry a bigger load for their teams.  Good value in Njoku and Gabe Davis late.

Draft Grade: B.  Team can compete but is a Nick Chubb injury away from being very mediocre.

Pick #11: Moose

Surprise Surprise.  Moose picks at 11 and you ten idiots allow a player to drop to him who could lead the league in targets and receptions.  Cooper Kupp was on a ludicrous pace to start the year last year before getting hurt.  The Rams were a dumpster fire, but despite it all, Kupp was balling.  In 8 games to start the year he averaged  11.6 targets, 9 receptions, 101.6 yards, and .75 touchdowns.  You all passed on that?  Kupp did suffer another injury this offseason.  With his age there is a reinjury risk.  There is also the risk that the Rams are terrible again and want to rest their starters again.  I like Kupp to have a big year this year.  After Brad snagged a pair of wideouts Moose got to take Tony Pollard.  Pollard was RB#8 in ppr last season and now Zeke is gone.  Reminder that Zeke ran 231 times for 876 yards and 12 touchdowns last year.  Mike McCarthy is also taking over play calling duties with Kellen Moore gone to LA and McCarthy has been vocal in his plans to run the ball more.  All these factors spells “smash spot” for Tony Pollard.  Only concern is the fact that he’s coming off a fractured left fibula.  These injuries can take 3-6 months to heal.  The injury occurred in January in the NFC Divisional playoff game against the 49ers.  He was also a free agent heading into the offseason, but the Cowboys invested the franchise tag cost of 1 year $10 million dollar deal to keep Pollard on and unlock some other backs in the league he accepted it and signed.

In the 3rd round another gift!  Mark Andrews or Mandrews.  Todd Monken is going to add a lot of passing to this Baltimore attack.  Look for Lamar Jackson to return to his MVP ways this year.  Only concern for Andrews is new competition for targets and the new system.  With signing free agent Odell Beckham Jr, drafting Zay Flowers, and Rashod Bateman coming back from injury the Ravens suddenly have a lot of mouths to feed.  In the 4th round after Bitter Brad lost out on the Jackson-Andrews stack he then doesn’t pick Jackson and gives the stack to Moose.  Moose was gifted from both ends of the draft this year.

In Rounds 5 and 6 Moose takes Breece Hall and Diontae Johnson.  Breece Hall is a solid RB#2.  Yes Dalvin Cook is in town, but Cook didn’t play that well last year.  Cook finished ranked #64 rushing grade according to PFF last season.  His shoulder is constantly hurt.  How much does he have left in the tank?  When people are asking how Moose won his 5th title in this league they are going to look back at this Breece Hall pick and go, yeah we are super dumb.

Moose filled out his roster with Michael Thomas and Jordan Addison, Jerick McKinnon and Kenny Gainwell.  Saints D/ST.  Last year I made a lot of great decisions in the draft and I had luck fall my way.  This year Moose made a lot of great decisions and had luck fall his way.

Draft Grade: A.  Moose is going to win a 5th title and all of us let this happen.

Pick #12: Brad

Monday morning I woke up and looked at my roster.  I sneezed. A large accumulation of phlegm entered my throat and I ran to the trashcan in the kitchen and vomited.  I am not exaggerating.  This literally happened.  I’ve been sick the past few days with fever, aches, pains, chills, and scratchy throat.  Looking back at the draft this has to be my worst drafting performance in the history of the league.  If I was hoping for a Michael Jordan flu game for the draft, this was not that.  Let’s get this over with.  At the end of Round 1 several Round 2 ADP running backs had been drafted so I elected to go WR-WR.  I prepared for this in my mocks and liked the look of big bruiser AJ Brown and target machine Amon-Ra St. Brown.  The Brown-Brown combo.  AJB caught career best 88 catches, 1496 yards, and 11 touchdowns in his first season as an Eagle.  This included WR1 (Top 12) or WR2(Top 24) finishes in 12 out of 17 weeks last year.  Amon-Ra St. Brown has averaged 9.7 targets per game in his last 22 games.  Amon-Ra does have a minor ankle injury and obviously looking back I am regretting not taking Tony Pollard who at least had time for his broken ankle to heal all offseason.

In the third round all the running backs were gone.  All of them.  Lamar Jackson and Mark Andrews were both available and a stack certainly crossed my mind.  But I knew Moose wouldn’t let me have the stack.  Sure enough he took Andrews.  Since I wasn’t getting the stack I said screw Lamar Jackson, I’m going to wait on a Qb now.  I then searched for the next closest running back which had an ADP of almost 2 rounds later.  I decided to reach and take Dameon Pierce as my RB1.  Pierce should be a workhorse and he graded very well in breaking tackles last season.  Some analysts have argued that he should be a 4th round pick and not a 5th/6th round pick and I certainly hope those analysts are right.  I took Calvin Ridley.  He has been getting so much hype this offseason.  The 28-year-old who will be playing his first ball in almost two years after having an injured riddled fourth season then being suspended all last season for betting on games.  Ridley did finish as PPR WR #5 back in 2020 in his third season/breakout year.  My concern is the crowded weaponry in Jacksonville as much as the rust that may need to be shaken off.  Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, and Evan Engram all had career seasons last year for Jacksonville.  I don’t know how the target share and production is going to be sliced up this year which should have had me avoid the situation.  I was planning on taking Amari Cooper here, but my instinct told me to take Ridley.  We’ll see if my fever induced hallucinations of a draft will work or not.

In Round 5 and 6 I drafted Trevor Lawrence and David Montgomery.  Lawrence finished as QB#8 last year, but started off slow.  Doug Peterson was able to work some magic and get Lawrence’s confidence up and he performed better including 3 Top 5 Qb weeks from Weeks 12-18 post bye week.  With the AFC South being a bit of a dumpster fire and Lawrence adding Ridley, I took my Qb to complete the Lawrence-Ridley stack just in case Ridley does indeed reclaim his 2020 version.  Montgomery was a pick hoping that his streak of Top 25 rb finishes continues past the 4 seasons he had in Chicago.  Jamaal Williams is now a Saint along with his 17 touchdowns, so Brad is hoping between Amon-Ra and Montgomery he can capture a large share of those tuddies.  Brad passed on Cam Akers and Christian Watson with this pick and he deserves to lose.

In later rounds Brad took Drake London and Antonio Gibson just changing his team from bad to worse.  In the 10th round last year he took a defense.  This year he took a second Qb in a 1 Qb league.  Anthony Richardson compared to Derrick Henry.  Richardson is taller, heavier, and faster.  I couldn’t resist.  Brad took Eagles D/ST since they will have leads most weeks increasing their chances for sacks and interceptions.  Took Brandon McManus who leaves the altitude in Denver for the swamp in Jacksonville.  I believe he’ll be playing with a chip on his shoulder.  Brad drafted a second tight end.

Draft Grade: F.  An offseason of managing dynasty teams, drafting best ball teams, combined with a fevered illness must’ve messed with our dear commissioners’ brains during this draft.  The 12th spot had a lot of potential, but unfortunately, he didn’t rise to the occasion.  This team will not make the playoffs, nor does it seem likely to compete in the bottom bowl.  Look for the commissioner to become disengaged in this league and focus on entrepreneurial pursuits sooner rather than later into the 15th season.  Can a commissioner come back from something like this?  Should he retire all together?

Draft Grades in Order of Picks:

Trey- C

Katon- B-

Jen- B+

Joe- B

Tommy- C

Scotty- C+

JD- B

Chase- A

Mike- D-

Kenny- B

Moose- A

Brad- F

Draft Grades in Order of Grades:

Moose- A

Chase- A

Jen- B+

Joe- B

Kenny- B

JD- B

Katon- B-

Scotty- C+

Tommy- C

Trey- C

Mike D-

Brad- F

Hope you’ve enjoyed reading and best of luck this season!

-Commish B-Razzle Dazzle, AKA Fantasy Football Brad, AKA 2023 Bad Draft Award.

2015 WR “Sophomore Slump” Candidates

Before getting into a bunch of stats and analysis I would first like to define what a “sophomore slump” is.  This is where a Rookie Wide Receiver performs at or above expectations statistically in their rookie year, but then sees a dramatic decrease in statistics in their sophomore year.  Now 2014 had a Wr class like no other.  4 Wide Receivers taken in the first round finished with at least 982 yards and 6 or more td’s.  This may be a moot point to make at all when it comes to these wide receivers as they look to be special, but we all know past production drives up where players are drafted.  So this post will examine which of the four have the greater chance to go down in production.  The four wide receiver candidates are: Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans, Odell Beckham Jr., and Kelvin Benjamin.  Before we go into their stats and projections for next season let’s look at some past sophomore disappointments.

2014 Sophomore Slumpers:

Keenan Allen- Rookie Season 2013- 105 Targets, 71 Receptions, 1046 Yards, 8 Td’s in 15 Games.  ESPN Average Draft Position (ADP): 51.4  Sophomore Season 2014- 121 Targets, 77 Receptions, 783 Yards, 4 Td’s in 14 Games.  Keenan saw his targets and receptions go up, but he had 263 less yards and his touchdown total was cut in half.

Cordarelle Patterson- Rookie Season 2013- 78 Targets, 45 Receptions, 469 Yards, 4 Td’s, 158 Yards Rushing, 3 Rushing Td’s in 16 Games.  ESPN ADP: 62.3  Sophomore Season 2014- 67 Targets, 33 Receptions, 384 Yards, 1 Td, 117 Yards Rushing, 1 Rushing Td in 16 Games.  Cordarelle went down in every single category.  Now sure some of the blame has to be on Adrian Peterson missing the entire year and defenses focusing in on Cordarelle, but it’s still a slump.

Honorable Mention Slumpage:

Tavon Austin-  Because the definition of a sophomore slump is a rookie performing at our above expectation Austin does not qualify because he was terrible in his rookie season.  He did have 418 yards receiving and 4 receiving td’s and his production fell to 242 receiving yards and 0 receiving td’s, but the difference is Austin wasn’t expected to do anything this season.  His ADP was 134.4… so no fantasy player is blaming their 2014 season on Tavon Austin.

Now several wide receivers that had decent rookie seasons in 2013 did better in their sophomore season: DeAndre Hopkins, Justin Hunter, and Kenny Stills.  But that’s not what this article is about.  It isn’t about who did better and who did worse, it’s about where sophomores are drafted in fantasy football drafts and how people can get burned by their decision.  For example, Allen’s ADP was 51.4 and Patterson’s was 62.3.  Emmanuel Sanders ADP was 74.2, Jeremy Maclin’s ADP was 76.2, T.Y. Hilton’s ADP was 76.2, and Golden Tate’s ADP was 84.2.  So if you are choosing a player 2-3 rounds before some other choices and they stink it up, that’s the slump we are trying to avoid.

2013 Slumper- Justin Blackmon

2012 Slumper- Titus Young

But neither of these two went crazy in their rookie seasons…crazy in terms of production, they both have…let’s say “maturity” issues.  So let’s switch gears and look at the very successful rookies of 2014.

2015 Sophomore Slump Candidates:

Sammy Watkins- Rookie Season 2014- 128 Targets, 65 Receptions, 982 Yards, 6 Td’s in 16 Games.  Watkins showed a plethora of talent and he had a great rookie season.  He had more receiving yards than Julio Jones did in his rookie season back in 2012.  The only reason why it doesn’t seem that good is due to the other three rookies I’ll be comparing him with.  The Bills offseason is going to be an interesting one.  This past season they benched EJ Manuel and went with Kyle Orton at Qb, they had a stifling defense, they were committed to the run, and their head coach was Doug Marrone.  Now it looks like Kyle Orton will be retiring, the GM wants EJ Manuel to be the starter, and Doug Marrone opted out of his contract.  It’ll be interesting to see who the Bills bring in and whether or not they can get EJ Manuel where he needs to be.  Fred Jackson is getting older and the oft-injured CJ Spiller is a free agent this offseason.  Would they look for a more pass-happy coach to develop Manuel and try to keep up in a division with Brady and Tannehill?  My prediction: I think Sammy is extremely talented and if they can get some consistent QB play I think he can do some work.  But this is still WAY early, so a lot can change depending on offseason injuries, scheme changes, etc.  He could be a value pick in rounds 5-7 or he could be a bust.  I’m leaning towards value pick as long as people don’t reach for him.

Mike Evans- Rookie Season 2014- 124 Targets, 68 Receptions, 1051 Yards, 12 Td’s in 15 Games.  I knew Mike Evans “had a motor” as Gruden would say, but I didn’t expect a season this good.  He had two mediocre quarter backs throwing him the ball in Josh McCown and Mike Glennon.  McCown might have been the better of the two and his QBR was a 35.7.  (Geno Smith’s was a 35.4)  Evans counterpart Vincent Jackson should be back next season, so that’s good in terms of Evans avoiding double team style coverages.  The biggest factor for Evans will be who the Bucs draft with the #1 Overall Pick this offseason.  If they draft a Mariota or a Winston does his production suffer as a result of them having to teach and babysit a rookie QB?  My prediction: my gut is telling me that Evans has a much higher chance of doing worse than he did this season than Odell Beckham Jr. and Sammy Watkins.  Unless something changes in the offseason that throws a curve ball, I think Evans drops in production.

Odell Beckham Jr.- Rookie Season 2014- 132 Targets, 91 Receptions, 1305 Yards, 12 Td’s in 12 Games!  The Catch.  The internet exploded when ODB caught that ball.  Another thing happened after that catch was made.  Eli Manning made the decision that he officially trusted Odell to catch whatever he threw his way.  71 of his targets, 50 of his receptions, 696 of his receiving yards, and 7 of his td’s came in games after that Dallas game with the catch.  So 54% of his targets, 55% of his receptions, 53% of his yards, and 58% of his touchdowns came in the last 5 weeks of the season.  Eli trusted him and slung the football his way.  In Week 17, Eli targeted Odell 21 times!  Eli wanted to trust Reuben Randle, but Randle kept dropping key balls in the red zone or on third down.  Randle didn’t make amazing plays and every time he had a chance to step up and be the guy he disappointed.  My prediction:  Victor Cruz will be back and Eli continues to learn Ben McAdoo’s system.  Odell continues his success and finishes the 2015 season with right about the same stats.  The problem for Odell will most likely be his ADP.  I’m hearing estimates of him getting drafted in the 2nd Round or higher.  Often with hype, disappointment follows, but he has the skills, he has his qb’s trust, and he has a bright future in the NFL.  I don’t think he slumps, but will he perform with the Jordy Nelson’s, Julio Jones, and AJ Greens of the world next season?  He did this year, but now defenses know to key in on him.  We’ll have to wait to find out.  Victor Cruz might be the value pick up.

Kelvin Benjamin- Rookie Season 2014- 146 Targets, 73 Catches, 1008 Yards, 9 Td’s in 16 Games.  Kelvin was the man in Carolina.  Steve Smith Sr. moved on to Baltimore and the Panthers WR core consisted of Benjamin and a veteran that seemed like he belonged on the Island of Misfit Toys (Jerricho Cotchery).  Naturally Cam Newton threw Benjamin the rock and he had a very successful rookie campaign.  Will Kelvin drop down like Keenan Allen did this season?  Allen was injured and looked like he was in a funk all season.  Benjamin is much bigger than Allen (6’5″ 240 vs. 6’2″ 211) and plays in the underperforming NFC South where the points are made up and the defenses don’t matter.  (Other than the Panthers, but Benjamin plays for them)  My prediction: I would draft him as my WR2 or potential Flex player with the expectation of 1000-1200 yards and 8 td’s.  If his ADP is around 70’s or so then I would feel confident in choosing him.

So there you have it.  Your candidates.  My listing of most likely to slump to least likely to slump:

1. Mike Evans- Most likely drops in touchdown production.

2. Sammy Watkins- All depends on scheme, coach, and who is throwing the rock.

3. Kelvin Benjamin- I think he does eerily similar numbers next season.

4. Odell Beckham Jr.- Could be the most exciting player to watch next season, but he could also be the most disappointing if his stringy body gets injured.  The factor that causes me to believe that his production will remain close to what he did in his rookie campaign is that he did all this in 12 games.  #1 Rookie Wideout in terms of Receptions, Yardage, and Td’s and in 3-4 less games than the other three.

Hope you enjoyed!

-FF Brad