BBY 2020 Playoffs Round 1 Preview

Playoff Preview Round 1

Welcome to the Playoff Preview for the 2020 Playoffs of the 12th year of the Best Buy Dream Team League.  Couple more prepositions and that sentence would have gotten really annoying.   First analysis of the bracket shows that it is a bit lopsided.  1. Kenny (Points For: 1676.4) will play the winner of 4. Brad (Points For: 1637.2) and 5. Katon (Points For: 1506.3).  The average Points For on this side of the bracket is 1606.6.  On the other side we have 2. Trey (Points For: 1504.8) will play the winner of 3. Mike (Points For: 1508.3) vs. 6. Jen (Points For: 1282.2).  The average Points For on this side of the bracket is 1431.8.  Of course, in the Fantasy Playoffs it doesn’t matter how you got there.  It matters that you got in.  Because if you got in then you have a shot.  A shot… at winning a Championship.  Only two teams out of the six have won Super Bowls before (Trey: 2017, Brad: 2009, 2011).  Five teams have made it to Super Bowls before (Jen lost to Trey in 2017, Katon lost to Chase in 2016, and Mike lost to Brad in 2009).  Then there is Kenny.  Kenny has never made it to a Super Bowl, but he comes into the bracket as the #1 Seed and won the Points Leader Title for 2020, winning him some cash in the process.  ($180).  Of course, I would be remiss to not mention how crazy of a season it’s been.  Dealing with suspended games, players unexpectedly going on COVID Reserve lists, on top of another injury riddled season.  It has been challenging to make the right calls and it’s another reminder of how little we control in fantasy.  We control a lot, but luck and circumstance control a lot too.  Best of Luck to the four playoffs teams squaring off this week.  May the odds be ever in your favor.  

Byes: 1. Kenny, 2. Trey

Playoff Resumes’:

Kenny: Appearances: 3, Record: 1-3, SB Appearances: 0, SB Wins: 0

Trey: Appearances: 4, Record: 4-3, SB Appearances: 1, SB Wins: 1 (2017)

3. Mike (8-5) vs. 6. Jen (7-6)

Playoff Resumes’:

Mike: Appearances: 3, Record: 2-3, SB Appearances: 1, SB Wins: 0

Jen: Appearances: 2, Record: 1-2, SB Appearances: 1, SB Wins: 0

Preview: The winner of Mike and Jen will go on to face the 2 Seed Trey.  These two have not met head-to-head in the playoffs previously.

X Factor Players: 

Mike’s x factor player: Christian McCaffrey.  Run CMC was out for most of the 2020 campaign dealing with a high ankle sprain, then when he returns, he injured his shoulder/ribs.  In the three contests he participated in he averaged 27.3 points per game.  He is looking good to be active in this one to the detriment of Jen’s playoff hopes.   

Jen’s x factor player: #6 DeAndre Hopkins.  D-Hop has struggled lately as much of the Cardinals offense has struggled.  In the last three weeks Hopkins has averaged 10.3 points per game.  For the season he averages 15.6 points per game, but he hasn’t been consistent.  He has scored over 20+ points in 5 contests and less than 10 points in 5 contests.  So which Hopkins will show up for Jen?  To advance she needs the 20+, which may be a difficult ask given Hopkins potential shadow coverage from lockdown corner James Bradberry on an underrated Giants Defense.  

Matchup Notables:

Mike- #16 AJ Brown faces a very beatable Jacksonville secondary ranked 30th in OPRK.  He was out the first time the Titans played the Jags and should post solid numbers in this game, which has a weird look of a shootout to it.  #4 Justin Jefferson is at Tampa Bay who gave up 269 receiving yards to Tyreek Hill a couple of weeks ago.  Tampa is coming off of a bye and sometimes teams can be a bit unpredictable following a bye week.  Some come out and look great, others come out and get destroyed.  Will be something to watch.

Jen- #6 Deshaun Watson plays @ Chicago.  Chicago is beatable in the secondary, but they have their moments.  They sit OPRK 9th and have been tough for opposing Quarterbacks; however, in the past two weeks they have given up almost 300 yards passing per game and 7 passing touchdowns.  On Sunday the current weather projection shows a high in Chicago of 32 degrees with a low of 21 degrees.     

Brad’s Final Thoughts:

Looking at the matchups Jen’s chances are slim.  It would be a huge upset for Jen to take out Mike and advance to the semifinals against Trey.  Of course, Mike had some favorable matchups in Week 5 too.  Jen defeated Mike 148.3 to 103.3 back then.  Who wins this one?

4. Brad (8-5) vs. 5. Katon (7-6)

Playoff Resumes’:

Brad: Appearances: 9, Record: 11-7, SB Appearances: 5, SB Wins: 2 (2009, 2011)

Katon: Appearances: 4, Record: 3-4, SB Appearances: 1: SB Wins: 0

Preview: The winner of Brad and Katon will go on to face the 1 Seed Kenny.  These two met in the playoffs in 2016 with Katon defeating Brad 153.5 to 97.9. This is Brad’s 10th playoff appearance in 12 seasons.   

X Factor Players:

Brad- #1 Travis Kelce might be the most valuable player in fantasy this season.  Given how bad the tight end position has been (of course last week there was a bit of an explosion from Darren Waller and other tight ends like Mike Gesicki and Logan Thomas had solid games). His 17.8 points per game is equivalent of having the #5 Fantasy Running Back in the Tight End slot.  He is Brad’s X Factor.  He has a test this week against Miami who is striving to convince the league of their validity as a playoff contender.  Beating the Chiefs might just accomplish that, but is easier said than done.  

Katon- #5 Aaron Rodgers.  In the last 7 games Rodgers has been a model of consistency, scoring between 22.5 and 31.9 fantasy points, and tossing multiple touchdowns in every one of those games.  On the season he averaged 24.7 points per game and should be a solid foundation for Katon’s point total in Round 1.  A dome game at Detroit isn’t a bad thing to keep that production moving forward.    

Matchup Notables:

Brad- His Chiefs Stack of #1 Patrick Mahomes/#1 Travis Kelce faces Miami.  In the last three weeks the Miami defense has given up an average of 7.9 fantasy points to opposing fantasy quarterbacks.  Now those Quarterbacks came from the Broncos, the Jets, and the Bengals.  Their kryptonite has been mobile quarterbacks with Cam Newton (25.7), Josh Allen (39.5), Russel Wilson (23.9) and Kyler Murray (40.8).  Mahomes may need to use his feet more in this one, which he has done some this season.  He rushed for over 25 yards in 6 games this season.  #3 Derrick Henry faces OPRK #29 Jacksonville coming off of a game where the Titans got destroyed (although their comeback makes it look a lot closer than it was) against the Browns last week and will be angry this week.  Derrick Henry facing Jacksonville twice this season was one of Brad’s main motivations for drafting him over Alvin Kamara.  In Week 2 Henry only got 8.4 fantasy points against them.  Brad will need these three to do average or better to have a shot to advance.    

Katon- #12 David Montgomery faces Houston ranked 31 OPRK.  Since the bye week Run D. Monty has averaged 25.5 fantasy points.  Potential smash spot for Montgomery who has been a true workhorse for Chicago the past two weeks.  #5 Keenan Allen also has a great matchup against Atlanta’s 31 OPRK. Atlanta averages 38 fantasy points against them per game to the Wide Receiver position.  Unless Mike Williams or James Guyton steps up, I imagine most of those points heading Allen’s way this week.  

Brad’s Final Thoughts:

Both teams are Top Heavy with a large percentage of their points coming from 3 players.  If Mahomes, Henry, and Kelce are cancelled out by Rodgers, Montgomery, and Allen, then this matchup might come down to everyone else.  Katon has better Rb2 in Nick Chubb facing Baltimore, Brad’s Wr1 Terry McLaurin could be a factor.  Honestly this game is pretty close to a toss up.  But given the matchups I think Katon’s big 3 have more potential to go off than Brad’s big 3.  So I’m inclined to believe that Katon may be favored to win ever so slightly.  

Bottom Bowl Preview:

Let’s talk about what you really came here for.  Balls.  That’s right, lottery balls that can won to increase one’s chance at a higher draft pick.  It worked out well with those with a Top 4 Pick this year.  The draft picks that made the playoffs were 1, 2, 4, 6, 8, and 12.  So either you need to be #1 or get an even number.  Except of course for Scotty at #10 who got Brad’s Draft Grade kiss of death.  I digress, Bottom Bowl!

7. Chase (6-7) vs. 8. Tommy (6-7)

Chase won both regular season matchups against Tommy and they meet yet again.  The winner of this game will be in Game 1 of the second round and will already guarantee themselves 3 or more balls in the draft lottery next year.  So there is a lot at stake.  Chase opens up as a near 29 point favorite.  Had Chase’s luck gone slightly differently in the regular season his team has the potential of a post season run.  That run is still available just to win a potential higher draft pick next year.  Russell Wilson faces the Jets who are decent at stopping the run, but have given up 29+ fantasy points in 5 games this season.  Davante Adams faced Detroit, so 30 points isn’t a bad projection for him.  He averages 23.6 for God’s sake.  Tommy’s team is decent on paper with Top 10 Qb, 2 Top 10 Rb, 2 Top 18 WR, but Zeke getting neutered from the Dak injury, Kareem Hunt crapping out since Chubb’s return, and Kenny Golladay’s hip injury have pushed Tommy to the outside looking in.  And now a tough match against Chase.  A loss would put him in the Game 2 of Round 2, which is the most volatile Bottom Bowl game of the postseason.  Can Tommy pull off the upset and avenge his two losses in the regular season?

9. JD (5-8) vs. 10. Moose (5-8)

Moose won back-to-back titles and was striving for a three peat but wasn’t able to scrape together enough wins to make the playoffs despite scoring the third most points in the league and scoring the most in his division.  The salt in the wound thing about this season for Moose has to be the fact that the three other teams in his division all made the playoffs.  As you know in this league we practice “prima nocta” with the Champion being able to select the first team to be in their division.  JD started off rough, but he pulled off possibly the most lopsided trade in history this year.  Securing #3 Qb Josh Allen and #6 Rb Antonio Gibson for #11 Rb Kenyan Drake and a handcuff.  Unfortunately for JD he won’t have Gibson this week due to a turf toe injury, so he’ll have to rely on someone else to try and get him past Moose and into the coveted Game 1 of Round 2.  His key to victory will be #5 Aaron Jones versus Detroit.  Moose’s team exploded last week and enters this matchup out for blood.  Lamar Jackson @ Cleveland could help with that. 

11. Joe (4-9) vs. 12. Scotty (4-9)

Just realized the symmetry of the Bottom Bowl.  6-7 vs. 6-7, 5-8 vs. 5-8, and 4-9 vs. 4-9.  Joe stacked the Steelers this season and coupled them with Rookie Running Backs.  It looked good and I thought the strategy was going to work.  Then Steelers spread the ball out a lot making JuJu inconsistent and have a capped ceiling.  The rookies were impacted by crowded backfields, with Chiefs signing Le’veon Bell and the Colts relying on a rotation with Nyheim Hines stealing a lot of the valuable touches from Jonathan Taylor.  Scotty just got hit with the injury bug and he got hit hard.  Ekeler, Sanders, Conner, Dak.  Too many assets missing too many games to catch any momentum.  He traded injured Sanders for healthy Godwin and Godwin breaks a finger.  Par for the course.  The winner of this game moves on the volatile Game 2 in Round 2, the loser already is out of a chance at 6 and 5 balls and will secure 4 or less.  

Good Luck Everybody!

BBY 2020: Week 10 Recap & Week 11 Preview

I’m back!

Week 10 Recap: 

Jen (7-3) 104.3 vs. Brad (6-4) 75.0 

Jen was leading throughout this one as Brad was exposed for being exactly who we thought he was.  Mahomes and Kelce.  Jen got a beautiful DJ Moore touchdown, 16 points from Matt Prater including a 59-yard game winner and DeAndre Hopkins caught a miracle end of the game, knockoff touchdown on a hail mary pass from Kyler Murray.  Jen gets the coveted 7th win. 

JD (4-6) 101.2 vs. Chase (4-6) 87.9

(Cue image of JD listening to “Staying Alive!”)  JD avoids the dreaded 7th loss.  This game was decided by Brad’s draft capital Josh Allen (26.7) and Antonio Gibson (20.5) who were sent to JD from the past in order to defeat Chase because Brad fears Chase’s team the most come playoff time.  Those two accounted for 46.6% of JD’s total point output.  Chase got 42 from his peripherals and 45.9 from his Qb, Rb1, Rb2, Wr1, Wr2, and Flex positions.  Just a rough day.    Chase got Terminator-d.   

Kenny (7-3) 92.8 vs. Tommy (5-5) 163.9 

Tommy rides Tom Brady’s 34.8 and 8/9 starters in double digits to handily defeat the 1 seed as of Week 10.  Kenny had Tyreek and Gurley on byes, but his starting lineup was decent.  Tommy put up his highest point total of the season without Zeke, Golladay, and Crowder, which should scare us a bit. 

Moose (4-6) 127.8 vs. Scotty (3-7) 58.3

Scotty decided to sit this one out.  8/9 starters in single digits, Brees got destroyed on his bench.  Just terrible.  Moose had a solid game scoring the 3rd most he’s scored all season and most since Week 6.  Lamar Jackson had a solid 21.3, Kamara continued his dominant season with 31.3 and a couple rookie wideouts combined for 3 tds and 35.5 points.  Moose will face an uphill climb with his 3 games remaining coming against all .500 or better teams. 

Trey (6-4) 113.4 vs. Mike (6-4) 109.7 

Josh Jacobs decided to unretire for Trey getting 30.6 points after averaging 11.3 the previous three weeks.  Trey started Wayne Gallman who got a solid 18.5 points in the flex.  Mike got 29.9 from Kyler Murray and was looking bleak heading into MNF, but JJ got him 20.5 and had a slight chance at the end to put Mike ahead.   

Joe (3-7) 109.9 vs. Katon (5-5) 85.3 

Joe won Week 1, lost 4 straight, won Week 6, lost 3 straight, won Week 10.  Boding well for JD and Kenny the next two weeks (😉).  Joe squeezes out a victory against Katon who had a top-heavy disappointing week.  Rodgers (28.4) and Chubb (21.6) combined for 58.6% of Katon’s total point total.  Joe was solid despite more disappointing weeks from his running backs.  It helps htat JD McKissic is getting 15 targets per game from Check Down Alex Smith.   

Week 11 Preview (Divisional Games!) 

3 Weeks.  Teams will rise, teams will fall.  Some will make the playoffs, half will not.   

Division 1 

Jen (7-3) vs. Katon (5-5) 

You know what I love about Jen?  She fucking tries.  She rolled out Kalen “F-You” Ballage and kicked my ass last week.  This week she gets Katon.  Jen has all but locked up a playoff berth, but now sets her sights on a potential division crown and a bye week.  #7 Qb Deshaun Watson gets NE, which is pretty tough.  #16 Darrell Henderson gets tough matchup against Tampa.  Kalen “F-You” Ballage gets the Jets and is projected a handsome 13.2.  DeAndre Hopkins gets Seattle’s porous secondary.  He had an efficient 12 target, 10 reception 103 yards and a touchdown in the first outing.  #14 DJ Moore gets Detroit and Tim Patrick gets Miami.  Katon has some tough matchups with #5 Aaron Rodgers versus Indy, Nick Chubb versus Phillly, Joe Mixon at Washington, #9 Keenan Allen has a smash spot against the JETS.  Nyheim Hines against Green Bay.  What could go wrong?   

Trey (6-4) vs. Moose (4-6)  

What a damn rematch.  Trey edged out Moose in Week 1 134.3 to 132.2.  Moose strives to avenge that loss.  Trey is looking for the coveted 7th win.  Cam Newton is @ Houston, #5 Josh Jacobs versus KC who he scored 21.5 against in Week 5.  #4 James Robinson gets Pitsburgh, #16 Tyler Boyd is @ Washington, Will Fuller is versus NE, Diontae Johnson has been on a tear that should continue against Jacksonville.  Moose has #10 Lamar Jackson who has disappointed this season.  It’s hard to replicate the ridiculous success of last season, but something doesn’t seem right.  He’ll look to get back right against Tennessee.  #1 Rb Alvin Kamara (who Brad passed on) versus Atlanta.  #26 Chase Edmonds versus Seattle on TNF.  #21 Julio Jones versus New Orleans, #11 Chase Claypool versus Jacksonville, #6 Rb Ronald Jones against a tough Rams team.  Last time Rams traveled across the country they got destroyed by Miami.  Moose also has #1 Kicker Jason Sanders.  Moose is favored, but anything can happen here.  Should be a good one.  

Division 2 

Kenny (7-3) vs. Brad (6-4) 

D2 Crown on the line in this one.  Kenny with a win could lock it up.  Brad is getting to full strength and is looking to make a late season run into the playoffs.  K-Dub gets Justin Herbert at home against the New York Jets.  Mahomes dropped 41.6 against them a few weeks ago and this looks like a smash spot for the talented rookie Herbert.  He also features #2 Fantasy Rb Dalvin Cook against the Dallas Cowboys.  Dallas was getting destroyed on the ground, but with Sean Lee coming back and some reinforcements on the defensive line they have been shutting down teams the past two weeks.  Allowing 94 rushing yards to the Eagles and 30 rushing yards to the Steelers Running backs.  I’m sure Dalvin will be fine.  #9 Rb Todd Gurley gets the Saints #1 ranked run defense, #2 DK Metcalf gets Patrick Peterson match #2 on TNF, #4 Tyreek Hill faces the LV Raiders who he scored 16.8 fantasy points against in Week 5.  Kenny will be without #3 Wide Receiver Stefon Diggs.  Yes that is correct, Kenny has 2 Top 10 Running backs and 3 Top 4 Wide Receivers.  Brad’s strength comes from #3 Qb Patrick Mahomes who gets a rematch against the Raiders.  He scored 32.7 fantasy points against them in their first meeting. Brad also has #3 Derrick Henry who has gotten at least 18 touches in every game this season.  He has a tough matchup against Baltimore, but he did alright against them in the playoffs last year.  Rushing 30 times for 195 yards.  Brad also has #18 Rb Kenyan Drake and #29 Wr Christian Kirk on TNF against the Seahawks.  #7 WR Terry McLaurin has been very consistent despite mediocre Qb play and has a good matchup against Cincy this week.  Brad’s main differentiator is #1 Tight End Travis Kelce.  Kelce would be Rb#4 if he were listed as a Rb.  He has scored 54.3 more than the next closest tight end.  Make no mistake, Brad has 6 wins because of Travis Kelce.  Will it be 7?   

JD (4-6) vs. Joe (3-7) 

Moving on from people who can win the division to people who are scraping and clawing to try and make the 6th playoff spot.  JD enters this pivotal matchup and will lose #2 Qb Josh Allen to his bye week this week.  #7 Aaron Jones has a tough matchup against Indy, #13 Antonio Gibson has a favorable matchup versus Cincinnati.   #32 DJ Chark gets Pittsburgh, #12 Robby Anderson gets Detroit, and #48 Marquise Brown gets Tennessee.  Joe has Big Ben who asked Mike Tomlin if he could skip practice all week after skipping practice last week and having his best outing of the season.  Big Ben and Joe, match made in heaven.  He should torch the Jags.  #12 CEH faces Vegas who held him to 9.5 points last time, his second lowest output of the season.  #17 Johnathan Taylor still has lot to prove after getting left in the dust for Hines last week.  He gets Green Bay’s run funnel defense.  #8 Calvin Ridley faces New Orleans, #13 Mike Evans gets Jalen Ramsey this week, and #24 JuJu is the 3rd best wide receiver on the team, but poses a favorable matchup.  Steelers D/ST can eat against Jake Luton.  Didn’t know whether to make a Futon joke or a nut on joke.  Hurts that his name is pronounced Lut-on instead of fu-ton.  So I guess the Steelers will nut on Futon?  Maybe it’s not there.  I’m open to suggestions.   Do a kicker bowl you cowards! 

Division 3 

Scotty (3-7) vs. Mike (6-4) 

D3 is wide open, unless Mike slams the door shut here.  Scotty was my highest draft grade, he got the kiss of death.  Injuries have ravaged his team.  He has Carson Wentz against Cleveland (who has had crazy weather the past two home games), #11 James Conner who has had two sad weeks in a row with less than 6 points.  Some bright spots for Scotty has Chris Godwin who torched the Rams last year to the tune of 14 target, 12 receptions 172 yards and 2 touchdowns (memorably on my bench because I thought he was hurt).  #6 Tyler Lockett faces the Seahawks, the same Seahawks he destroyed a few weeks ago with 20 targets, 15 receptions, 200 yards and 3 touchdowns (50.5 fantasy points).  He also has #27 Cooper Kupp and #3 TJ Hockensen @ Carolina.  Mike who probably felt confident before reading this has #1 Fantasy Qb Kyler Murray who also went off a few weeks ago for 40.1 fantasy points including 360 yards passing, 3 touchdowns and rushing lines of 14-67-1.  Murray is the #1 Rb on the Cardinals.  No CMC, No David Johnson, but Mike has both of their backups in #15 Mike Davis versus Detroit’s 32nd ranked OPRK and Duke Johnson gets New England.  #25 AJ Brown has a rough matchup against Baltimore and #23 Justin Jefferson has a great looking matchup against Dallas.  Despite the discrepancy in record, this will be a battle.    

Chase (4-6) vs. Tommy (5-5) 

Neither team is out of the playoff hunt, nor out of contention for the division crown.  That could be a different story after this week.  Chase has #4 Qb Russell Wilson in a tasty shootout against Arizona slated for TNF.  Miles Sanders is back and gets Cleveland.  #1 Davante Adams has had a brilliant season so far.  He has a tough matchup against Indy, but he is matchup-proof.  Michael Thomas has a favorable matchup against Atlanta.  Will Jameis come in and lead the Saints to the promise land?  Can he at least get Michael Thomas going?  Tommy just went HAM last week.  This week Tom Brady gets Aaron Donald and the RAMS defense.  Tom Brady has stated he goes to bed at 8:30pm with his early to bed, early to rise mindset.  This kickoff will be 8:15pm Eastern time for Monday Night Football.  Rams will beat up sleepy Brady.  8. Kareem Hunt gets Philly, #14 D/Andre Swift gets Carolina’s 29th OPRK in a smash spot.  Adam Thielen should keep up his solid season against Dallas, and Tommy should get Zeke and Golladay back for reinforcements.  Chase won the first matchup 141.7 to 104.1.  Tommy has been gaining strength.  Does Chase climb even with Tommy at 5-6?  Or will Tommy drop Chase down to 4-7 and potentially out of the playoffs? 

BBY 2020: Week 6 Recap & Week 7 Preview

I apologize for not doing a write up last week.  The week simply got away from me.  This week’s write up was late as well due to a migraine on Tuesday.  All is well. 

Week 6 Recap

Katon (3-3) 84.8 vs. Tommy (3-3) 89.6

Katon got 15.0 points from the New York Giants Defense and 3.8 points from Aaron Rodgers and only lost by 4.8.  Tommy was led by Kenny Golladay’s 15.5.  Difference in the game was Kicker with Katon getting 2 from Stephen Gostkowski and Tommy get 10 from Joey Slye.  Tommy abandoned Stephen Gostkowski and Katon tried to turn him against him. Gostkoswki’s loyalties lie with Tommy. It sometimes comes down to the kicker.

Jen (5-1) 97.4 vs. JD (1-5) 85.7

The other “close” game of the week was Battle of the J’s.  Jen got 35 from Deshaun Watson who accounted for 35.9% of her total point output.  JD 5 starters in single digits and nobody scored over 15.  Another tough loss for JD who falls to 1-5 and has a tremendous uphill climb if he is to make the playoffs. 

Kenny (5-1) 78.3 vs. Mike (4-2) 150.1

Kenny’s first loss of the season comes at the hands of a 71.8 point ass whooping from Mike.  Kenny’s worst game of the year corresponded with Mike’s best game of the year.  Kenny had averaged 132.6 per game prior to this matchup.  He was without DK Metcalf (Bye) and Dalvin Cook (injury) and started the wrong Qb Bridgewater (9.4 points) over Ryan (34.6).  Mike was destined to smash in this contest.  His starting lineup put up 150.1, but had he started the right defense and flex he could’ve scored 182.5.  Justin Jefferson got him 38.1, Kyler Murray 28.8, George Kittle 23.4, and AJ Brown 20.1.  That’ll do.

Trey (4-2) 89.4 vs. Brad (3-3) 159.0

Brad rebounds from his 0.1 loss in Week 6 with a near 60 point curb stomping of Trey.  Trey was without his first two picks Josh Jacobs and Chris Carson.  His 89.4 was a noble effort and would’ve beaten half the league this week with 26.3 from Will Fuller and 17.9 from Cam Newton.  Mike Gesicki retired for some reason.  Brad had his first monster outing from Derrick Henry as he exploded with 46.4 points.  Brad went into Monday down by 10.4 points and got a combined 71.1 from Mahomes, Kelce, Drake, and his kicker.  This was capped off by a long touchdown run in garbage time by Kenyan Drake. 

Chase (2-4) 72.7 vs. Moose (2-4) 145.2

Moose exploded for his best game of the year getting 32.7 from Julio Jones, 31.2 from Lamar Jackson, 28.1 from Ronald Jones, 19.9 from Trey Burton, and 16.1 from his $66 man Chase Claypool.  No Alvin Kamara, no Darren Waller, no problem for Moose who has won 2 out of his last 3 games and looks poised to be a problem down the stretch.  Chase was without Russel Wilson, Michael Thomas, and Hunter Henry due to byes and their replacements combined for less than 30 points.  7 starters in single digits and nobody scored more than 14.6.  Where was this last week? 

Scotty (2-4) 86.6 vs. Joe (2-4) 103.1

Scotty’s team has been ravaged by injuries.  He picked up Andy Dalton who struggled mightily against the Cardinals, Miles Sanders injured his knee and missed the rest of the game, and he got a 0 from his Tight End.  Joe got solid performances from CEH with 21.9 and Steeler’s D/ST with 19.  Enough to get the W.

Week 7 Preview:

Brad (3-3) vs. Katon (3-3)

A couple middle of the pack teams fighting to stay in the playoff race.  Brad draws some terrible matchups with his KC Stack versus Denver @ Denver, Derrick Henry faces the Juggernaut Pittsburgh Defense, and Kenyan Drake faces Seattle who has been good against the run.  Terry McLaurin is his one bright spot this week drawing the ghost of the Cowboys team who got torched by the Cardinals last week.  Katon has Aaron Rodgers in a potential shootout against the Texans.  David Montgomery faces the Rams, Amari Cooper in the Washington game.  He has other players with favorable matchups like Mixon vs. Cleveland, Noah Fant vs. KC and Keenan Allen vs. Jax, but they are all questionable for the contest.  In 3 Wins Brad has averaged 147.1.  In 3 Losses Brad has averaged 98.6.  This certainly looks like a 98.6 week and not a 147 week.

Trey (4-2) vs. Chase (2-4)

Trey gets back Josh Jacobs and Chris Carson, which is the good news.  The bad news is Jacobs plays Tampa’s underrated defense who just donkey stomped the Green Bay Packers.  Also there are reports of Raiders linemen getting covid and not following protocols on the bye week, so Jacobs might be getting demolished all game.  Carson is @ Arizona.  In 2 games against the Cardinals last season Carson averaged about 70 rushing yards, 30 receiving yards, and didn’t score in either contest.  Tyler Boyd faces Cleveland again after getting a solid 7-72-1 stat line in their first outing, good for 16.7 fantasy points.  Chase is starting to get healthier, but then trades for another injured player in Miles Sanders.  Chase gets Russel Wilson back and hopes to have Michael Thomas back, but he now is battling ankle and hamstring injuries.  He’s starting two Eagles on Thursday Night Football against the Giants, what could go wrong?  Chase may or may not win this game, but if his team can get fully healthy for the back half of the season he can make a run to the playoffs and beyond.  Wilson-Sanders-Gaskin-Adams-Thomas-Le’Veon sounds dangerous.

Joe (2-4) vs. Mike (4-2)

Joe has some tough matchups this week with Big Ben @ Ten, CEH @ DEN, McKinnon @ NE, and JD McKissic being in Joe’s lineup.  Mike has Kyler Murray in a potential shootout with Seattle.  David Johnson who’s strengths matchup well with GB’s weakness.  This matchup also features some young studs at Wideout with Calvin Ridley for Joe and AJ Brown and Deebo Samuel for Mike.  This should be a good game, but Mike looks to be the early favorite.

JD (1-5) vs. Tommy (3-3)

Tommy lost when he scored 139.8 and won when he scored 89.6.  JD lost when he scored 138.9 and won when he scored 107.8.  So really there’s no telling what the hell is going to happen in this one.  JD’s team isn’t the best, but he has some great matchups.  Josh Allen vs. the Jets, Aaron Jones in potential shootout with Texans, Antonio Gibson in a breakout spot against the shell of the Cowboys, and Phillip Lindsay against KC who will try to keep Mahomes off the field with ball control.  Tommy has Tom Brady @ LV, Zeke @ Washington who’s front seven is highly talented and can take advantage of a severly banged up Dallas O-line, Kareem Hunt is in a smash spot against the Bengals.  He got 23.1 against them in Week 2, his highest point total of the season and that was sharing time with Nick Chubb.  Tommy’s Lions stack of Golladay and Swift face Atlanta’s defense that got Dan Quinn fired.  This has the makings to be a great game with more than likely one of these teams getting another unfortunate loss in a close game.

Moose (2-4) vs. Kenny (5-1)

Kenny was dominating the competition until last week.  Moose was struggling mightily until last week.  Can Kenny bounce back?  Is Moose for real?  Moose will be without Lamar Jackson who is on a bye and Kenny is without Dalvin Cook due to injury/bye.  Moose has Stafford @ Atlanta, Alvin Kamara coming off a bye vs. Carolina, RoJo coming off a monster outing against Vegas, Julio in the Detroit game and Waller vs. Tampa Bay.  Allen Robinson gets his date with Jalen Ramsey.  Kenny has Matt Ryan and Gurley in the Detroit game, Melvin Gordon’s drunk ass against KC, where he also has Tyreek Hill.  Diggs is in a smash spot against the hapless Jets who still haven’t fired Adam Gase for some reason.  DK Metcalf is a monster and Wr #6 post bye week, but will most likely face Patrick Peterson in a fun Wr/CB matchup to watch.  Should be a great game and I can see either team pulling this one out.

Scotty (2-4) vs. Jen (5-1)

Jen in Forrest Gumps voice, “I just kept winning…”  Scotty has been ravaged by injuries, he has Wentz versus the NYG on TNF, Conner @ Tennessee in a marquee AFC matchup, Justin Jackson versus Jacksonville, Jared Cook vs. Carolina, Brandin Cooks versus Green Bay.  So between the Jacksons and the Cooks Scotty is hoping to get a win in the books… Jen loves the D.  Meaning of course that most of her players names start with a D.  Deshaun, Devin, Devery, DeAndre, and DJ are going to battle it out and try to move Jen within 1 game of playoffville population 6.  Scotty makes a trade with Chase to bring in some reinforcements but loses his Miles Sanders in the process.  Now Scotty just has to make the correct starting lineup decisions.  I like Jen’s chances in this one. 

As always, best of luck everyone!

-Brad

BBY 2020: Week 4 Recap & Week 5 Preview

Week 4 Recap:

Katon (3-1) 147.2 vs. JD (0-4) 138.9

JD entered Week 4 with a new team and a new dream.  He took a risk and traded his first round pick Kenyan Drake to Brad for thoroughbred Josh Allen and “This Year’s Miles Sanders” Antonio Gibson.  He was rewarded with 25.3 from Allen and 20.8 from Gibson.  He had 5 players score 19.2 or more and scored his highest point total so far this season with 138.9.  Unfortunately, fate had other plans, and it wasn’t enough to overcome Joe Mixon’s explosion of 42.1 points, Aaron Rodgers 32.5 points, and Amari Cooper’s 30.4 points.  Katon lost Nick Chubb in the Dallas game, but you couldn’t tell with his 147.2 points scored.  JD remains beaten and moves to Week 5 still searching for his first win.

Moose (1-3) 114.0 vs. Joe (1-3) 109.0

Speaking of first win, Moose started non-division games a perfect 1-0 after skunking the first few weeks.  Lamar Jackson set the pace on this one with his 50+ yard rushing touchdown to the tune of 26.9 points.  Kamara continued his excellent season with another 19.4 points.  Ronald Jones played a Chargers defense riddled with injuries and got a respectable 18.8.  Allen Robinson enjoyed having Nick Foles throwing to him with 22.6.  It all came down to Monday Night Football.  CEH got 10.6 for Joe, setting up the Julio vs. Ridley +0.2 match.  Julio got 5.2 in the first half and exited the game due to injury.  Ridley couldn’t corral a would-be touchdown late in the game, when the GB defender punched it out of his hands.  Joe got a 24.7 from Mike Evans, 24.3 from Ryan Fitzmagic, and 19.2 from Jerick McKinnon who received every single first half snap against the Eagles.  Congrats on the first win Moose!

Tommy (1-3) 139.8 vs. Trey (3-1) 154.0

Tommy’s patience in Tom Brady paid off to the tune of 35.3 fantasy points.  Zeke had 16.5, Kareem Hunt had 19.1 and Adam Thielen had 25.2.  Trey’s team was just too powerful.  Scoring his highest point total so far this season with 154.0.  Trey had 7/9 starters in double digits and had 4 of those starters get 22.3 or more.  #6 Rb Chris Carson got 23.5, #5 James Robinson got 12.7, but most impressive was Odell Beckham Jr’s big day with 37.9 points.  He went off against the familiar foe Dallas Cowboys.  Tommy’s best scoring week of the season was still not enough for Trey this week. 

Jen (3-1) 91.6 vs. The Corpse of Chase’s Team (1-3) 85.5

I like Jen’s team because it’s fun.  Joe Burrow who got 18.1, CeeDee Lamb got 22.7, and Devin Singletary got 16.1.  Chase had a noble effort.  The only preseason-intentioned starters were his Qb and Tight End.  His Qb is #2 and got him another 23.9 this week.  His Rams D/ST got him 12.  Everybody else was held to single digits.  When you are starting two tight ends, Devonta Freeman, Myles Gaskin, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Greg Ward wins will be tough to come by. 

Mike (3-1) 139.9 vs. Brad (2-2) 86.5

Enough of these close games, let’s look at a good ole’ fashion ass kickin’.  Super Bowl I rematch ended with Mike trouncing Brad.  Mike got 23 from Kyler Murray, 19.6 from Mike Davis, and 20.8 from two random ass touchdowns for Latavius Murray.  He put the stank on it on SNF with George Kittle’s 35.6 point outing.  If you don’t enjoy watching George Kittle play football then you do not enjoy watching football.  He’s a football player and he’ all Mike’s.  Brad wind up with an impromptu bye week for Derrick Henry and several questions about the KC-NE game that wind up getting postponed a day and wind up a bit of a defensive battle anyway.  Add the (what appears to be) lopsided trade to JD and here Brad is 86.5 points and a bad loss.  Can’t win many games when 4 players score 3.9 or less. 

Kenny (4-0) 141.3 vs. Scotty (2-2) 102.1

Kenny continues his revenge tour, crushing Scotty.  Because of unknowns of the NE-KC game Kenny benched Tyreek Hill and it wind up not mattering.  He got 30.6 from Dalvin Cook, 27.8 from Melvin Gordon III, and 18.8 from Todd Gurley II.  Scotty lost Austin Ekeler to an unfortunate hamstring injury that is looking to sideline him for several weeks.  With Jared Cook out, Scotty turned to Adam Trautman, who was more effective as an almost $0 DFS play rather than a start in season-long leagues.  Tyler Lockett decided not to show up this week and Miles Sanders was held to single digits.  Dak’s 42.2 accounted for 41.3% of Scotty’s point output this week. 

Week 5 Preview:

  1. Kenny (4-0) vs. Katon (3-1)

Putting some respect to Kenny’s name by having his matchup be first this week.  Kenny will have #3 Dalvin Cook @ Seattle on SNF, #10 Melvin Gordon @ NE, #3 DK Metcalf vs. Minnesota, #5 Stefon Diggs @ Tennessee, Tyler Higbee @ Washington, and #8 Tyreek Hill vs. LV.  Two top two running backs and three top eight wide receivers.  4-0.  His challenger this week is Katon.  Katon just lost Nick Chubb for 4-6 weeks and has Aaron Rodgers on a bye.  In comes Jared Goff @ Washington.  He’ll have #7 Joe Mixon @ Baltimore (who just gave up 20+ points to Antonio Gibpson), and #28 Rb David Montgomery on TNF vs. TB.  #2 Amari Cooper faces the exploitable Giants, and #20 Robert Woods joins Goff for the Rams Stack.  This game looks like it’ll come down to Keenan Allen vs. New Orleans on MNF for Katon.  Looks to be a close game. 

Joe (1-3) vs. Tommy (1-3)

Potential Kicker Bowl early in the season here with 1-3 Rivals engage.  Joe will have his Steelers Stack back to attack the Eagles on Sunday.  CEH faces LV, Jonathan Taylor Thomas plays @ Cleveland.  Mike Evans is on TNF against the Bears maybe.  Calvin Ridley may or may not play vs. Carolina.  Tommy has Tom Brady in the Chicago game on TNF.  Zeke faces the Giants and Kareem Hunt faces the Colts.  Adam Thielen will be featured in the SNF Seattle game where the Seattle secondary has been toasted so far this year.  Joe looks to be the favorite here, but in a rivalry game anything can happen.

Trey (3-1) vs. Scotty (2-2)

Another great game this week, features Trey and Scotty.  Trey’s success this season has been overshadowed by Kenny’s undefeated season, but he is right there in the conversation of contenders.  With Cam Newton most likely out next week due to having COVID and Matthew Stafford having a bye week, Trey might be garbage bin hunting Qb’s on the waiver wire.  Scotty will have #1 Qb Dak Prescott against the Giants.  Trey will have #6 Chris Carson who at this point might be more machine than man since he can’t seem to get injured.  He gets knee twisted on dirty hit, still plays.  Concussion protocol during the game, nah he’s fine.  By the end of the year he’s going to look like Red at the end of Pineapple Express.  #5 James Robinson is @ Houston, who may be motivated following the firing of the dictator BOB.  Will Fuller may also be unleashed upon news of BOB’s departure.  Josh Jacobs faces Kansas City.  Scotty won’t have Austin Ekeler for awhile, but he gets back James Conner.  Conner has a tough matchup against Philly.  On the opposite side of the field he’ll also have Miles Sanders going up against a well rested Steelers front.  Scotty will be hoping Tyler Lockett comes back to life in a much anticipated shootout on SNF. 

Jen (3-1) vs. Mike (3-1)

Second highest combined win total squaring off in Week 5 features Jen vs. Mike.  Jen has Burrow @ Baltimore or Watson vs. JAX.  Devin Singletary is @ Tennessee and Devery Henderson faces Washington.  Hopkins plays the Jets who might be led by Joe Flacco this week.  DJ Moore has a pretty matchup vs. Atlanta.  CeeDee Lamb faces the Giants.  For Mike he has Kyler Murray in that Jets game.  David Jonson in the Jax game, and Mike Davis in the Atlanta game.  Interesting juxtaposition of players playing in the same game against one another for Jen/Mike.  I don’t know who wins, but I’ll have nightmares of what George Kittle did to me last week.

Chase (1-3) vs. Brad (2-2)

Chase will be without Davante Adams, Mason Crosby and TJ Hockensen due to bye weeks.  Chris Godwin and Leonard Fournette are Questionable to play on TNF.  We’ll have to wait and see if Michael Thomas and Raheem Mostert are ready to rock or not.  CGM plays on MNF so Chase will need to plan yet again for a MNF person to be potentially out.  But we do know Chase has #2 Russell Wilson in a shootout on SNF.  Brad is still recovering from the ass kicking he received last week by Mike, Covid, and himself in what may go down as the worst trade in the history of the league.  Despite all that, Brad is at full strength (as of Tuesday morning anyway).  #4 Patrick Mahomes faces the Raiders, Derrick Henry has a tough matchup against Buffalo, Kenyan Drake has one last chance to not make Brad look moronic against the hapless Jets.  #12 Terry McLaurin gets Jalen Ramsey and the Rams this week.  Julian Edelman will have God-knows-who throwing him the ball against Denver who will be starting God-knows-who at Qb as well.  #2 Travis Kelce faces the Raiders and Michael Gallup faces the Bears.  Gallup will remain in my Goddamn flex spot every week this year.  I’ll lose weeks because he’s getting less catches and yards than Cedric “Who the hell is” Wilson while Dak throws 500 yards every f-bomb-ing week.  I’d like to imagine Michael Gallup running on the football field like he’s in a field of clovers.  Just prancing around, skipping along, not a care in the world.  Might as well because Dak doesn’t look for the mf-er.  After having the #1 Qb on his bench, Brad now somehow has the #1 TE and #1 Kicker on his bench.      

Moose (1-3) vs. JD (0-4)

Last and certainly least: The matchup with the least number of wins.  Moose finally stopped the madness last week securing his first victory while JD got bum rushed by Katon.  Moose has Lamar Jackson vs. Cincy, #1 Fantasy Rb Kamara vs. the Chargers who made Rojo relevant last week.  Rojo @ Chicago on TNF.  Julio vs. Carolina, Allen Robinson in the TNF game and maybe a couple more starters on MNF.  JD has #3 Josh Allen vs. Tennessee, Antonio Gipson vs. LAR, Hollywood Brown and Mark Andrews vs. Cincy and Robby Anderson vs. Atlanta.  Cardinals D/ST against Joe Flacco’s Jets.  Moose is hoping Lamar Jackson rushes more than he passes this week as JD has his top two pass catchers.  Should be a great game. 

Best of Luck everybody!  Make sure to make as many trades as possible, they always work out, trust me.  😉

BBY 2020: Week 3 Recap & Week 4 Preview

Week 3 Recap:

Katon (2-1) 124.9 vs. Trey (2-1) 91.7

T- Money goes down!  Katon forces a three-way tie for first place in Division 1.  Katon was led by Nick Chubb’s 26.5 point outing and finished strong on Sunday Night Football with 24.4 from Aaron Rodgers who carved up our beloved Saints.  Trey’s Cam Newton watched Rex Burkhead steal all the Touchdowns and disappointed with 11.1 fantasy points.  Nobody scored higher than Cam except for James Robinson’s 27.9.  6 total players in single digits. 

Moose (0-3) 114.2 vs. Jen (2-1) 127.7

Moose got a monster 43.2 from Alvin Kamara on Sunday Night Football, setting him up for a Monday Night Football showdown where he needed 27.6+ points from Lamar Jackson to win.  He disappointed and looked shook against KC, only getting 14.1.  Jen had a pretty solid outing from most of her players and even correctly started Joe Burrow over Deshaun Watson.  Darrell Henderson looks like the real deal for the Rams, getting 21.5 points for Jen.  DeAndre Hopkins put up a solid 21.7 as well.  Moose is one loss away from starting out the season with as many losses as he has titles. 

Brad (2-1) 142.8 vs. Joe (1-2) 118.4

Brad got much needed reinforcements from Derrick Henry who had his best game of the season with 29 points on a 2 touchdown day.  He also called his shot on Michael Gallup, who scored 25.8.  He went into Monday Night Football down 16.4, but he had Mahomes, Kelce, Butker against Joe’s Clyde Edwards-Helaire.  Mahomes carved up Baltimore making them look like the Jets to the tune of 43 points and a Brad victory.  Joe had solid production with 8/9 starters getting 9 or more points, but none of them cracked the 20 point mark, while Brad had 3 players over 25. 

Kenny (3-0) 122.8 vs. JD (0-3) 95.6

3-0!  Kenny has taken his Mamba mentality and has been balling like the late Kobe Bryant.  He exits the divisional games undefeated and #1 in the division and the league.  JD made a Qb change, dropping Daniel Jones for Gardner Minshew, who wind up playing poorly against the Dolphins defense.  Jd’s best player was surprisingly Allen Lazard who got 26.4.  Kenny got 27.9 from Dalvin Cook (haha Brad sucks), 20 from DK Metcalf, 16 from NE D/ST, and 18.7 from Tyreek Hill on MNF.  Kenny did lose Dallas Geodert to a broken ankle, but he has Tyler Higbee in the wings ready to jump in for next week.

Chase (1-2) 110.5 vs. Scotty (2-1) 171.6

Chase with a noble effort, breaking 100 points with starters that include Leonard Fournette, Myles Gaskin, Laviska Shenault Jr, and Tre’Quan Smith.  On my draft grades I said the only Qb in the league that can throw 60 touchdowns was Patrick Mahomes.  After 3 weeks Russell Wilson has thrown 14, on pace for 75 touchdowns.  He got 39.8 this week, or 36% of Chase’s total point output.  Scotty absolutely exploded this week.  Good grief.  One of the Top 10 highest performances ever with 5 players scoring 24.2 or more.  His peripherals combined for 15.1.

Mike (2-1) 106.7 vs. Tommy (1-2) 107.5

Mike loses his first game of the season to Tommy.  Tommy stuck with the aging corpse of Tom Brady at Qb who scored 23.8 versus the practice squad of the Broncos after the starters have suffered devastating injuries so far this season.  He finally benched washed Rob Gronkowski and started washed Jimmy Graham who rose from the dead for 21 fantasy points on two lucky scores after the Bears made a Qb change.  He dropped Gostkowski and picked up a new kicker, so naturally Gostkowski got 25 points on the waiver wire and the Vegas kicker got 7.  Mike tried out his new $63 dollar Mike Davis and a solid 19.1 from him.  He had 5 starters get single digits and wind up getting edged out by Tommy on some end of the game Zeke catches.  Mike had Colts D/ST on his bench get 27 and Justin Jefferson on his bench get 32.  Not sure why he would choose Buc D/ST @ Denver against an elite talent at Qb in Jeff Driskel when he could have started the Colts D/ST at home against the abysmal NY Jets who are going to fire Adam Gase on Thursday night after they lose to the Broncos next week.  Difference between 3-0 and 2-1. 

Week 4 Preview

Mike (2-1) vs. Brad (2-1)

Since I left off on Mike, figured I’d start there this week.  Super Bowl I rematch features two 2-1 teams trying to keep their winning record.  On paper Mike appears to have the better matchup and everyone is waiting to see if there will be any changes of the Titans-Pittsburgh game which could impact Brad’s first round pick Derrick Henry.  Mike will have Kyler Murray scorching the Carolina Panthers this Sunday, David Johnson facing a Minnesota defense that gave up two goal line scores to Derrick Henry last week, Mike Davis in the Arizona game, TY Hilton vs. Chicago, Corey Davis vs. Pit (Maybe), JJ @ Houston.  Brad has scored back to back weeks over 140 points and looks to keep the hot streak alive.  Unfortunately for him his KC stack faces the brilliant mind of Bill Belichick.  Derrick Henry has a rough matchup against Pittsburgh if he plays at all, Terry McLaurin will face an angry and motivated Baltimore defense, and Brad still cannot choose the correct Rb2 to save his life.  (0-3 on picking the right one so far this season).  Should be a great game, like Brad’s team better, but Mike may have the matchups this week.

Kenny (3-0) vs. Scotty (2-1)

These two teams are hot-hot-hot!  Kenny has #8 Matt Ryan @ GB on MNF vs. Scotty’s #3 Dak Prescott against Cleveland.  Kenny has #3 Dalvin Cook vs. Houston and #21 Melvin Gordon against the crappy Jets in one of the worst games of the year on Thursday Night Football.  Can’t wait to watch underprepared Sam Darnold vs. a Qb named Rypien!  (Pukes).  Scotty features #9 Austin Ekeler @ TB who is playing much better with Justin Herbert under center and #28 Miles Sanders on a beat up Eagles team facing a beat up 49ers team.  Kenny has #6 Tyreek Hill vs. New England and #4 DK Metcalf vs. Miami.  Scotty has the other Seattle wideout #2 Tyler Lockett and #20 Cooper Kupp vs. the NYG.  Will have to monitor if Scotty will have James Conner @ Tennessee due to the Covid stuff and whether his kicker will be able to play through injury this week.  Great game right here with potential playoff implications. 

Moose (0-3) vs. Joe (1-2)

Moose’s #1 Fantasy Rb (that Brad passed on) Alvin Kamara has averaged 32.8 per game to start the year.  And somehow the fates have landed Moose a huge 0-3 hole to start the year.  His team looks solid on paper, with Lamar Jackson, Kamara, Allen Robinson, Darren Waller.  But in Week 2 when Waller went off, A-Rob only got 4.8.  In Week 3 when A-Rob went off with 26.3, Waller only got 1.9.  His team hasn’t been able to put it all together, coupled with 3rd highest Points Against and he exits the divisional games winless.  He’s hoping to come out swinging this week against Joe who has lost 2 in a row after an opening game win against JD.  Moose has Angry Lamar @ Washington, Alvin Kamra @ Detroit, Joshua Kelley and Ronald Jones against one another, Allen Robinson with Nick Foles at the helm now against Indy.  Waller faces Buffalo.  Joe has Big Ben/JuJu/Steelers D/ST who need to monitor the Tennessee Covid cases to see if the game gets changed or moved.  He has CEH vs. New England, Jonathan Taylor @ Chicago, Mike Evans vs. Chris Harris-less LA Chargers, and Calvin Ridley on Monday Night Football.  Surely Moose wouldn’t lose another one on Monday Night Football, right?

Jen (2-1) vs. Chase (1-2)

(Redacted) squaring off against (redacted) in a battle of the (redacted).  Hopefully this one ends in a (redacted) to spare the league from (redacted).  Jen features Joe “Big Dick” Burrow against the Jaguars who made Ryan Fitzpatrick look like Ryan Fitzmagic.  #31 Devin Singletary faces Las Vegas, #18 Darrell Henderson faces the Giants, DeAndre Hopkins is at Carolina, DJ Moore in the same game against Arizona, Zach Ertz faces an injured San Fran team with all other Eagles pass catchers banged up.  CeeDee Lamb faces Cleveland who have injuries to their secondary.  And it certainly appears to be continuing to rain shit on Chase’s 2020 season.  Chase has Russel “MVP” Wilson @ Miami, Leonard Fournette vs. LAC, Myles Gaskin vs. Seattle, hoping for Mike Thomas @ Detroit and Davante Adams vs. Atlanta.  Those would be two huge additions to this lineup if they are healthy enough to go.  Chase is also hoping Raheem Mostert returns from a sprained MCL, but we’ll have to see how that progresses throughout the week.  If Chase’s star players can’t go again this week, Jen has the matchups to drop Chase to 3 straight losses. 

Tommy (1-2) vs. Trey (2-1)

#17 Tom Brady (who was drafted ahead of #2 Qb Josh Allen) faces a reeling LAC defense riddled with injuries.  #5 Zeke and #14 Kareem Hunt face each other, #10 Adam Thielen faces a beatable Houston defense, Kenny Golladay returns in times to crush the hapless Saints.  ☹.  Trey has Cam Newton @ KC.  KC shut down Lamar, can they shut down Cam too?  #8 Josh Jacobs gets a tough draw against Buffalo, #6 James Robinson is @ Cincy.  #16 Tyler Boyd is against Jax.  Will Fuller vs. Minnesota, Mike Gesiki in shootuout potential with Seattle, and Odell Beckham Jr. is @ familiar foe Dallas.  On paper I like Trey’s chances in this one, but should be interesting matchup.

Katon (2-1) vs JD (0-3)

Katon who hasn’t paid his dues, but team name is “Just here to Pay dues” is now 2-1.  Aaron Rodgers has a butter matchup against Atlanta on Monday Night Football.  #4 Nick Chubb faces Dallas, #38 Joe Mixon faces Jax.  Amari Cooper will face Cleveland and their beat up secondary, Robert Woods faces the NYG in a juicy matchup, Noah Fant will have Rypien throwing him the ball, but plays the Jets, so that entire statement is disgusting.  David Montgomery gets a boost with Tarik Cohen heading to IR and Nick Foles taking over as Chicago’s Qb.  JD is hoping to get his first victory of the year, but it’s a tough road ahead.  Gardner Minshew faces Burrow in a low key shootout spot.  #25 Kenyan Drake hopes to get going @ Carolina, #2 Aaron Jones is in that MNF match against Atlanta.  JD’s wideouts are #50 Marquise Brown, #7 Robby Anderson, and #8 Allen Lazard.  Had you told me JD would have two top 10 wideouts after three weeks and they were Robby and the Lazard King I would have thought you were crazy.  But fantasy football provides us with lots of fantasy scenarios. 

As always, best of luck this week everybody! 

BBY Week 2 Recap & Week 3 Preview

Week 2 Recap:

Moose (1-1) 112.2 vs. Katon (1-1) 132.3

Moose has had 5 touchdowns scored from his opponents Rb1 Slot in the first two weeks.  After Trey went off for 134.3 last week, Katon gets 132.3 this week bringing Moose’s average Points Against to 133.3 in an 0-2 start.  Katon’s team was solid all around with 7/9 starters getting to double digits.  You know it’s bad when even the Bears Running Back gets 20 points.  Moose on the other hand appeared to have drew a stinker of a week prior to MNF.  Even the incredible Lamar Jackson had a pedestrian 17.4 outing.  Moose had 6 players score in single digits.    When your players in your Rb1, Rb2, Wr1, Wr2 slots combine for 21.6 you’re going to have a bad time.  Moose entered MNF down by about 80 points.  Darren Waller and Alvin Kamara combined for 59.2 points and winning Brad $17 on DraftKings Showdown slate. 

Jen (1-1) 95.1 vs. Trey (2-0) 147.6

The biggest story for Jen is obviously her losing Saquon Barkley in this one.  #2 Overall pick looking like he tore his ACL and will be done for the year.  Jen’s Wideouts Hopkins, DJ Moore, and CeeDee Lamb carried her team combining for a solid 53.3 points.  Just didn’t have enough for Trey’s team.  Trey got 37.5 from Cam Newton, 18.3 from Chris Carson, 15.4 from Odell Beckham, 15.7 from Hayden Hurst, 14.7 from Mark Ingram, 19 from Bal D/ST, and 15 from Justin Tucker.  Trey outscored Jen’s peripherals 49.7 to 15.7.  This was even more impressive considering Trey got 0 from Will Fuller, who unsurprisingly pulled a hammy in the game.  Trey has now started off the season with games of 134.3 and 147.6, averaging 140.95 and is in 1st place.      

Bradley (1-1) 139.6 vs. JD (0-2) 119.4

This was a hell of a comeback victory for Brad.  JD came out swinging with a MONSTER 48.6 point explosion from Aaron Jones.  After the early afternoon games at 3:07pm Central time Brad was down 90.8 to 10.9.  ESPN at that moment projected JD to win 140.6 to 95.3.  Brad had drafted Derrick Henry so he can smash Jacksonville and they held him to 25 carries for 84 yards.  Luckily for Brad his 2nd and 3rd Round pick combo of Kelce-Mahomes combined for 49.9 points.  He also got much needed reinforcements from McLaurin and Edelman who combined for 49.9 points as well.  Harrison Butker added two 58 yard field goals and amazingly Brad wind up winning by 20.2 points.  JD couldn’t ride Aaron Jones into the sunset due to four starters getting single digits and everyone else on his team scoring 13 points or less.    

Joe (1-1) 112.0  vs. Kenny (2-0) 134.5

2-0 K-Dub!  This is a classic scenario.  Someone gets excited about Thursday Night Football.  They want to watch their player play because there is nothing else going on.  So they start someone that they probably shouldn’t.  Joe threw in AJ Green into his flex spot.  Green got an impressive 13 targets, but only caught 3 of them for a paltry 29 yards.  Meanwhile come Sunday Calvin Ridley went off for the 2nd week in a row to the tune of 29.4 points on Joe’s bench.  Joe had a pretty solid outing otherwise with 21.2 from Big Ben, 21 from Jonathan Taylor who looks like the real deal in Indy, 22.9 from Mike Evans with Chris Godwin out.  Kenny followed up his 134.1 week 1 with a 134.5 week 2.  Matt Ryan got 28.4, Dalvin Cook got 16.1, Tyreek Hill got 21.3, Metcalf got 19.2, and Melvin Gordon sans Philip Lindsay got 15.4 against a tough Steelers defense.  Kenny’s team is for real. 

 Mike (2-0) 140.9 vs. Chase (1-1) 103.3

Yikes.  Chase has now had the following lost to injuries this season: Picks 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 9.  That is just awful luck.  Chase was still able to eclipse 100 points this week with about a third coming from Russel Wilson’s 33.3.  Raheem Mostert started the game with an 80 yard touchdown, but didn’t do much more after that  and didn’t play the second half due to a knee injury.  Davante Adams pulled a hammy.  Chase’s peripherals combined for 35.3, but even that was outmatched by Mike’s 53.4 peripheral performance.  Mike got 32.1 from Kyler Murray who is doing it all this season.  Mike also got 22.8 from Christian McCaffrey who also succumbed to the injury bug.  He injured his ankle and couldn’t finish the contest.  A glimmer of hope left for Chase lies in Leonard Fournette who seemed to have taken over the Bucs starting running back duties with a 28.6 point explosion on Chase’s bench.  And he has Devonta Freeman who very well may sign with the Giants to take over their lead back duties after the loss of Saquon.  Chase is one of the best managers in the league, but it appears this season he will be tested with some early adversity. 

Tommy (0-2) 98.4 vs. Scotty (1-1) 137.5

Tommy’s picks of Tom Brady and Rob Gronkoswki look to be his kryptonite.  The dusty old timers combined for a pathetic 8.6 fantasy points this week.  Tommy almost got to 100 total points mainly due to Zeke and Kareem Hunt combining for 42.3 points.  Scotty’s team exploded this week.  It was good to have Miles Sanders back in his lineup to the tune of 18.6 points and he looked good doing it.  Ekeler is splitting time with Kelley with Ekeler getting 57% of the snaps and Kelley getting 52% (yes there were a few plays with both of them on the field).  Scotty benched James Conner after a terrible Week 1 and he looked as though Week 1 never happened with 22.1 on Scotty’s bench.  Of course, the main man for Scotty this week was Dak Prescott who scored 4 total touchdowns including 3 rushing touchdowns for a total of 44.8 fantasy points outscoring Tommy’s top two scorers combined.  It hurt Tommy even worst seeing Dak get all those goal line scores considering Tommy had Zeke.  What could have been. 

Week 3 Preview:

Katon (1-1) vs. Trey (2-0)

First place Trey enters Week 3 on fire.  He tries to move to 3-0, but standing in his way is Katon who just out Moose.   Katon has Aaron Rodgers against New Orleans, who just let Derrick Carr (pukes) throw for 282 and 3 touchdowns.  Rodgers will hope to have Davante Adams to throw to in this one.  #9 Rb Nick Chubb faces Washington who has done a decent job against the run to start the year.  Chubb played last Thursday, so a little extra rest might set him up for success.  Mixon faces Philly who is also decent against the run.  Amari Cooper plays @ Seattle, a should-be shootout.  Robert Woods gets a tough draw against Buffalo, in what might also become a shootout.  David Montgomery should do okay against Atlanta.  49ers D/ST looked a lot better two weeks ago.  Some significant losses on the defensive line will make it interesting to see how they play against Barkley-less NY Giants.  Trey has #3 Qb Cam Newton vs. Las Vegas, #4 Rb Josh Jacobs in the same game.  #7 Rb Chris Carson is in the Dallas @ Seattle game.  This game will come down to Monday Night Football with Trey having Mark Ingram and Raven’s D/ST going up against Kansas City. 

Moose (0-2) vs. Jen (1-1)

Moose hasn’t started 0-2 since 2016 when he went 7-6 and wind up missing the playoffs.  He’ll look to avoid 0-3 against Jen this week.  He has Kamara in his flex due to the late start time, so Rojo and Joshua Kelley are holding down Rb1 and Rb2.  Rojo looks to have been usurped by Leonard Fournette this past weekend.  Would not be surprised if Moose looks elsewhere this week and beyond.  #23 Rb Joshua Kelley appears to have taken the Melvin Gordon role and looks good doing it.  Carolina was just gashed by Buga, so look for Kelley and Ekeler to both have success.  Julio Jones faces Chicago, Allen Robinson is @ Atlanta, #3 TE Darren Waller is @ NE, and #2 Rb Kamara faces GB.  Kamara fell to Moose after Brad picked Derrick Henry.  A decision we will continue to monitor.  Jen is rolling out a barn burner of a Rb1 and Rb2 combo herself with Devin Singletary and Devery Henderson.  Henderson balled out last week and with injuries to Cam Akers (ribs) and Malcolm Brown (finger) look for Henderson to get the bulk of carries versus a solid Bills team.  #4 Wr DeAndre Hopkins has an incredible 22/25 reception to target ratio to start the season.  Kyler Murray’s hot start has helped skyrocket Hopkins value and further dunking on Brad’s draft grades.  Jen also has DJ Moore who is setup for a revenge game against his former manager.  He looked great last week when Carolina was playing from behind catching 8 of 13 targets for 120 yards.  Chargers defense is formidable, but Moore’s floor is reassured.  😊CeeDee Lamb has outscored Michael Gallup and is currently Wr#24.  His matchup against Atlanta is sexy and is setting this up to be a very good matchup.

Brad (1-1) vs. Joe (1-1)

Both Brad and Joe enter Week 3 after receiving beat downs courtesy of Kenny.  This game is for 2nd place in D2.  Brad features the #1 Fantasy Qb Josh Allen… on his bench.  Which I’m okay with.  He’s not dropping 35 points per game for any of you idiots.  #8 Patrick Mahomes rebounded nicely from his Week 1 stinker with a 30 point performance against the Chargers.  This week he’ll battle it out versus Lamar Jackson and the Ravens.  The last two times Mahomes has faced the Ravens he has averaged 375.5 passing yards, 2.5 touchdowns, and 0.5 interceptions.  Joe features #13 Qb Big Ben who faces the Texans.  This could be a shootout or a blowout, as Houston’s defense has looked pretty bad the first two weeks.  Houston started this season against the Chiefs-Ravens-Steelers, which is absolutely brutal.  But good for Joe’s Big Ben-JuJu-Steelers D/ST stack.  This battle might be decided by Rookie Running Backs.  Joe has Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Jonathan Taylor.  Brad has Antonio Gibson or JK Dobbins or someone else, he’s a mess.  Which one would you rather start:           

Player A: 10 Touches, 83 yards, 2 touchdowns

Player B: 25 Touches, 96 yards, 1 touchdown

Brad has #18 Derrick Henry who is already feeling the TD regression this season.  His choice of Henry over Kamara and CEH is looking worse and worse by the week.  Terry McLaurin and Julian Edelman had nice outings last week.  They’ll look to continue with Terry facing the Browns and Edelman facing the Raiders.  Joe has Mike Evans against the Broncos and #1 Fantasy Wr Calvin Ridley vs. Chicago.  Maybe one day the #1 Qb and #1 Wr will actually be in their teams’ starting lineups.  Should be a great game.    

Kenny (2-0) vs. JD (0-2)

Put some respect to his name!  Kenny has come out smoking hot.  Averaging 134.3, 1st place in D2 and #2 overall in the standings.  He faces JD who couldn’t capture a victory last week even with Aaron Jones 48.6 point explosion.  Kenny features #6 Qb Matt Ryan vs. Chicago, #8 Rb Dalvin Cook vs. Tennessee, #15 Melvin Gordon against Tampa Bay, and Todd Gurley.  JD has #1 Rb Aaron Jones @ New Orleans, #25 Kenyan Drake vs. Detroit.  As of right now JD is riding with Daniel Jones at Qb, but after averaging on 12 points per game he may turn elsewhere either via trade or waiver wire.  Kenny also has #6 DK Metcalf who is looking more and more like this year’s Kenny Golladay.  This game will come down to Monday Night Football with Kenny’s Tyreek Hill and Justin Tucker versus JD’s Marquise “Hollywood” Brown and Mark Andrews.  Should be fun to watch!

Chase (1-1) vs. Scotty (1-1)

Yikes.  Chase’s injuries have included Michael Thomas or as he refers to him “CGM” which is from his twitter handle “Can’t Guard Mike”, Davante Adams, Chris Godwin, Le’Veon Bell, Raheem Mostert, Brandon Auyik, Jerry Jeudy, etc.  Any who it looks like he’s starting #14 Rb Leonard Fournette and #27 Rb Myles Gaskin.  It helps that he has #2 Russel Wilson against Dallas.  Third shootout to start the year?  Yes please.  Chase is hoping CGM, Adams, and Godwin are all available this week otherwise he’ll have to get creative.  Scotty has the other Qb in the Seattle-Dallas game in #4 Dak Prescott.  He also has Miles Sanders against Cin and Austin Ekeler against Panthers.  Both Miles Sanders and James Conner looked great last week after both sitting Week 1 (pretty much).  This should be a great game and it’ll be interesting to see how Chase’s team plays out up until Sunday kickoff.    

Mike (2-0) vs. Tommy (0-2)

Mike tragically lost Christian McCaffrey to a high ankle sprain leading him to start David Johnson and $75 FAAB money (cough cough) I mean Latavius Murray against Green Bay.  We’ll see if his Rb2 gets swapped out tomorrow.  😊  Mike is hoping to have AJ Brown and George Kittle back in his lineup, but he might be digging for starters as Sunday approaches.  Tommy is wheeling out the Ghosts of Fantasy Past with Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski still somehow implanted into his starting lineup.  Must be that sexy 15.6 fantasy points per game they are averaging together.  He has #5 Zeke @ Seattle, #10 Kareem Hunt vs. Washington, Adam Thielen vs. Tennessee and John Brown vs. the Rams.  Mike is hoping #5 Kyler Murray’s juicy matchup with Detroit and TY Hilton squaring off against the hapless “why haven’t they fired Gase yet” Jets.   This is another matchup who’s starters could look a lot different come Sunday. 

As always, best of luck everybody!  I look forward to seeing how much yall drop in FAAB money tonight!  (Probably too much)

BBY 2020: Week 1 Recap & Week 2 Preview

Week 1 Recap:

Moose (0-1) 132.2 vs. Trey (1-0) 134.3

T- Money Sizzle knocks off the defending defending champion Mustafa in a barn burner of a week 1 matchup!  Brad crapped on Trey for taking Jacobs in the first and Carson in the second, so naturally they combined for 5 touchdowns and 55.5 fantasy points.  Josh Jacobs broke 12 tackles. Moose was led by his top three picks with Lamar picking up where he left off last year with 27.5, Kamara with a studly 21.2, and Julio Jones with 23.2.  Kamara had a third touchdown, but it was ruled down at the millimeter line because Kamara’s finger was “blocking” the ball from crossing the plain.  This was LITERALLY the difference in this matchup.  A millimeter.  Moose got great support from his peripherals with 36.5 points.  Cam Akers disappointed in the Rb2 spot as Malcom Brown scored both touchdowns for the Rams Rb’s.  Trey must be happy to see Will Fuller look solid on TNF, but was not happy to see Odell disappear and for Mark Ingram’s touchdowns to be sniped by JK Dobbins.  Great game to open the season fellas!

Katon (0-1) 96.9 vs. Jen (1-0) 105.3

Sticking to Division #1, Jen takes out Katon in a lower scoring affair.  Most impressive for Jen was DeAndre Hopkins’ 25.1 point explosion in his Arizona debut.  Many analysts recommended fading Hopkins due to lack of rapport with Kyler Murray.  They looked pretty fucking in sync to me!  Katon’s top two picks in Nick Chubb and Joe Mixon underperformed greatly combining for a paltry 10.7 points.  Aaron Rodgers made it close with 33.6 (34.7%) of Katon’s 96.9 points. 

Brad (0-1) 100.1 vs. Kenny (1-0) 134.1

Black Mamba indeed.  K-Dub’s team performed like the late Kobe Bryant in this one.  Crushing the Super Bowl runner up from 2019.  Kenny got 28.9 from Matt Ryan’s 450 yard shootout performance and another 21.3 from his top pick Dalvin Cook.  Cook got paid and then he immediately rewarded the Vikings (and Kenny).  The rest of Kenny’s lineup was just plain solid.  All other starters scored 12.7 or more and his three peripherals combined for 26.5.  Brad started out with TNF with 44.4 between his KC stack of Mahomes-Kelce-Butker.  But his lack of touchdowns (0 from Rb1, Rb2, Wr1, Wr2, Flex) was his downfall.  Solid peripherals with 36 points, but no ticky (touchdowns)…no laundry (victory).

Joe (1-0) 142.1 vs. JD (0-1) 108.9

Joe with the highest scoring week to begin the year.  He was instantly rewarded with his selection of LSU’s Clyde Edwards-Helaire to the tune of 22.8 fantasy points.  Jonathan Taylor looked like a rough pick after the Colts turned to Marlon Mack, but Mack exited the game (and the season) with an Achilles injury.  Joe’s Steeler Stack combined for 55.8 with Big Ben and Juju both scoring 21.9 fantasy points.  His highest point total was achieved with the help of Calvin Ridley’s 32.4 fantasy points.  Several analysts predicted Calvin Ridley to take a leap forward this year and with a 12 target, 9 reception 130 yard and 2 touchdown performance it appears those analysts might have been right.  JD’s lone bright spot was Mark Andrews who looked phenomenal.  He snagged a one handed touchdown and then caught another one later in the game.  JD’s combination of Marquise “Hollywood” Brown and Mark “Go Up and Grab It” Andrews finished with 35.9 points combined.  Unfortunately, just couldn’t keep up with Joe’s hot start.

Mike (1-0) 109.0 vs. Scotty (0-1) 87.8

Scotty received the highest praise and remarks from Brad’s draft grades, so naturally he starts out the season with the lowest score of the 12 teams.  Scotty’s James Conner got injured, Austin Ekeler was barely targeted in the passing game, and Cooper Kupp was pretty much shut down against Dallas.  Mike’s lineup was top heavy with 71.6 (65.7%) of his 109.0 points coming from the Qb, Rb1, and Rb2 positions.  After Brad reamed Mike for taking David Johnson at the 2/3 turn of the draft.  He delivered a solid 18.4 against the Chiefs D/ST.  CMC looks like the same stud we’ve seen the last few years with a pair of touchdowns and 26.9 fantasy points. 

Tommy (0-1) 104.1 vs. Chase (1-0) 141.7

Tommy couldn’t hang with Chase who was powered by huge performances from Russel Wilson (34.7) and Davante Adams (37.6).  Chase did lose Marlon Mack to an achilles injury and Le’Veon Bell to a hamstring injury in this one.  His Rb2 spot will be something to watch.  Tommy got 26.2 from Zeke who showed off his new “FEED ME” tattoo on his stomach.  Adam Thielen went OFF for 31 points.  A solid effort from Tommy, but his peripherals were one of the worst we’ve ever seen.  His tight end, defense and kicker combined for -0.9 points.  That’s right.  3 players…combined for negative points.  You are not going to win many games with that.  Good Lord.    

Week 2 Preview:

Jen (1-0) vs. Trey (1-0)

The unbeatens in D1 square off.  Trey gets 5 of his 9 starters in 2 games this week.  The first is Mark Ingram and Ravens D/ST @ Houston, which includes Will Fuller.  And the second is Sunday Night Football featuring Cam Newton @ Seattle, which includes Chris Carson.  This game will most likely come down to Trey’s 1st round pick Josh Jacobs (#1 Fantasy Rb) facing a very stout Saints Defensive front on Monday Night Football.  Jen will have Deshaun Watson in the same Bal @ HOU game. Barkley is @ Chicago who just gave up 100 total yards to the corpse of Adrian Peterson.  DeAndre Hopkins will face off against a beatable Washington Football team secondary and DJ Moore will travel to Tampa Bay.  Looks to be a great matchup.

Moose (0-1) vs. Katon (0-1)

Moose enters Week 2 as a heavy favorite against Katon.  Moose has Lamar Jackson @ Houston, Alvin Kamara @ LV, Julio Jones @ Dallas, and Allen Robinson II vs. the NYG that just gave up a pair of touchdowns to JuJu Smith-Schuster.  Several opportunities for shootouts maximizing Moose’s ceiling.  Katon will have some favorable matchups of his own.  With Aaron Rodgers vs. Detroit, Nick Chubb vs. CIN, and Joe Mixon vs. Cleveland.  Robert Woods may avoid the Darius Slay shadow against Philly.  49ers D/ST @ NYJ could actually make this game competitive. 

Joe (1-0) vs. Kenny (1-0)

Top 2 teams of D2 face off to see which team remains unbeaten.  Joe’s Steeler Stack faces Denver.  CEH has a tough matchup against the LA Chargers, Calvin Ridley (#2 Fantasy Wr) faces Dallas.  K-Dub has Matt Ryan in that potential shootout with Dallas, Dalvin Cook squares off against the Colts, and DK Metcalf squares off on SNF against the Patriots.  Joe looks to be early favorite based on matchups, but should be a great game.   

Brad (0-1) vs. JD (0-1)

Both Brad and JD have more questions than answers to start the season.  But one thing Brad is sure of: Derrick Henry is a real one.  Already on pace for career highs in receptions (he had 3 in Week 1), he ran 22 pass routes in Week 1 (a new career high), and he ran 31 times for 116 yards.  Next up he gets Jacksonville, which gave up 42.3 fantasy points to the Colts running backs in Week 1.  Brad’s Washington Stack of Gibson-McLaurin travels to the desert to face the Cardinals who’s defense looked pretty solid at times against the Niners.  Brad’s KC Stack travels to LA to face the Chargers, which may prove to be a low scoring affair.  JD has Daniel Jones @ Chicago, Kenyan Drake against a talented Washington d-line, Aaron Jones in a tasty matchup against Detroit, and his pair of Ravens pass catchers get Houston’s very beatable secondary.  This looks to be a great game as both teams fight to avoid the 0-2 hole to start the season.

Mike (1-0) vs. Chase (1-0)

This is a big boy matchup.  These two teams came out swinging to start the year and now D3 Supremacy is at stake.  Both teams have injuries to some key players that they will have to monitor this week.  Mike shows some favorable matchups with Kyler vs. Washington, CMC @ TB who just gave up 2 (almost 3) rushing touchdowns to Alvin Kamara, AJ Brown faces a beatable JAX secondary, and TY Hilton faces a Minnesota defense that were dilapidated by Davante Adams last week.  He’ll be monitoring his stud Tight End George Kittle who sprained his knee in the Cardinals game.  Mike does not have a backup Tight End at this time.  Chase has #LetRussCook on SNF against New England Defense.  Raheem Mostert shouldn’t have any problems against the Jets paltry defense.  “Davante Adams- Brad’s #1 Wideout This Year” has another juicy matchup against Detroit.  Big question for Chase is Rb2 where he has a few backs to choose from if he doesn’t snipe one of the 35+ year old running backs available via waiver wire.  He’ll be monitoring Michael Thomas’s status, which happens to fall on Monday Night Football.  Setting up a doom and gloom scenario if Thomas turns out to be a game-time decision.  Will be interesting to monitor how this one shakes out.

Tommy (0-1) vs. Scotty (0-1)

Last and least… Tommy faces off against Scotty.  Tommy has “Feed Me” Zeke with a advantageous matchup against Atlanta, Adam Theilen @ Indy, and Kareem Hunt vs. CIN on TNF.  Scotty has Dak in that same shootout against Atlanta and Ekeler (the runner only now apparently) vs. KC.  Scotty would certainly welcome back Miles Sanders with open arms, but will have to monitor this week.  Couple that with a high ankle sprain for James Conner and all of a sudden the trio of running backs that Brad sang his praises for all have taken a huge hit value-wise just a mere 1 week into the fantasy season.  One of these managers whose names ends in “Y” will leave this game with a “W.”

Thanks and Good Luck Everybody!    

Super Bowl 11 Preview

Two of the most successful Fantasy Football players in the Best Buy Dream Team League Square Off in Super Bowl 11.

Their resume’ and history speak for themselves. But let’s take a look:

SB1 in 2009: Brad becomes First Super Bowl Champion

SB2 in 2010: Moose becomes Second Super Bowl Champion

SB3 in 2011: Brad wins his second title in 3 years.

SB4 in 2012: Brad loses in Super Bowl

SB5 in 2013: Brad loses in Super Bowl

SB7 in 2015: Moose wins his second title.

SB10 in 2018: Moose wins his third title.

SB11 in 2019: Brad and Moose Square Off.

So in 11 seasons of the BBY Dream Team League either Moose and/or Brad have been involved in the Super Bowl 73% of the time (8/11).

This season began with Brad getting the 9th overall pick and Moose getting the 11th overall pick with Mike and Chase being the gaps in between the turn. Let’s take a look how Brad’s Draft looks today:

9: James Conner, #28 Rb, Traded in CMC Deal

16: Dalvin Cook, #2 Rb, Questionable/Doubtful to play in Super Bowl

33: Chris Carson, #9 Rb, Traded in Tyreek Hill/Christian Kirk Deal, Then Tyreek Hill traded in CMC Deal

40: Chris Godwin, #2 Wr, Questionable/Doubtful to play in Super Bowl

57: Miles Sanders, #14 Rb, Starting in Super Bowl

64: Evan Engram, #12 TE, Season-Ending IR (Missed last 5 weeks, 6 weeks total this season and still is #12)

81: Robby Anderson, #35 Wr, Dropped

88: Matt Breida, #42 Rb, Traded for Allen Robinson in 3-way Trade with JD and Moose. Allen Robinson is #11 Wr and is Starting in Super Bowl

#105 Will Fuller, #45 Wr, Starting in Super Bowl, Known for 50.3 point game against ATL in Week 5, helping Brad to get 187 in a single week. Could also hurt hammy and be dust before the game on Saturday. Or…

Late Picks of Note:

136: Russell Wilson, #5 Qb, Traded in CMC Deal

160: Josh Allen, #8 Qb, Dropped

Now let’s take a look at Mustafa:

11: Nick Chubb, #7 Rb, Starting in Super Bowl

14: Travis Kelce, #1 Te, Starting in Super Bowl

35: David Montgomery, #23 Rb, Could start Super Bowl/On Moose’s Roster

38: Amari Cooper, #8 Wr, Starting in Super Bowl

59: Austin Ekeler, #6 Rb, Starting in Super Bowl

62: DJ Moore, #9 Wr, Starting in Super Bowl

83: Darrell Henderson Jr, #92 Rb, Dropped

86: Marvin Jones Jr, #22 Wr, Season Ending IR, Dropped

107: Kyler Murray, #7 Qb, Dropped

110: Lamar Jackson, #1 Qb, Starting in Super Bowl, League MVP so far

Late Picks of Note:

155: Mark Andrews, #5 Te, Traded to JD for Matt Breida in Three-Way Trade, Then Sent Matt Breida, Michael Gallup (FAAB), Darren Waller (FAAB) for Odell Beckham Jr, #32 Wr.

 

These Two Teams had the most trades. These Two Teams had the most roster moves throughout the season. Always tinkering and adjusting, paying attention and striving to put the best 9 players forward.

Let’s Take a Look at the Super Bowl Rosters:

  1. Brad (9-4)

Qb: #4 Jameis Winston. Brad acquired Winston in part of the CMC deal with Joe. No one could have predicted that Jameis would eventually catch up and even jump past Russell Wilson at this point in the season when the trade went down before Week 8. Winston enters Week 16 coming off back-to-back 450 yard 4+ touchdown performances. A broken bone in his thumb of his throwing hand did not prevent him from throwing the ball 42 times against Detroit. Now he’ll play on a Special Saturday Noon game against Houston. This game should be up-tempo with Houston striving to secure it’s playoff position and division and Tampa Bay striving to get Winston to 5000 yards. He lost key targets Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Scotty Miller to hamstring injuries, so we’ll see if he can continue to sling the rock as much as the past two weeks with less talent around him.

Rb1: #1 Christian McCaffrey. CMC has averaged 27.6 fantasy points per game, which means he basically counts as a Rb and a Wr, but taking up 1 position on the Roster. Only one other person in the league has scored so much to be considered 2 players and we’ll talk about Moose’s Qb in a little bit. CMC faces @ Indianapolis in Lucas Oil Stadium. Colts Defense has been really good in stopping the run this year, averaging 17.3 points per game against as opposed to league average 20.6 points per game to opposing fantasy rubbing backs. Another factor is the change at Qb in Carolina, with Carolina moving from Kyle Allen to Will Grier. These leaves a lot of unknowns surrounding the game. But one thing we do know, CMC is a monster and anything can happen.

Rb2: A spot reserved for #2 Fantasy Rb: Dalvin Cook until last week, when Cook reinjured his shoulder, in comes #14 Miles Sanders. Sanders is coming off his best fantasy outing of the season, a 34.6 point explosion against Washington. I wouldn’t anticipate a repeat performance as the Eagles are squaring off against Division Rival Dallas for the NFC East Crown. This is a playoff game. I wouldn’t be surprised if they tailor Sanders back some to reduce the risk of the rookie making a mistake in such a critical ball game. Dallas limited Rams rushers to 20 yards on the ground last week and seem to be getting healthier and better as the season progresses. Important to watch to see if Jordan Howard will be active for this game as this could reduce Sanders projection by quite a bit.

Wr1: A spot reserved for #2 Fantasy Wr: Chris Godwin until last week, when Godwin injured his hamstring, in comes #11 Allen Robinson. Robinson is coming off a solid fantasy performance of 18.3 points on an incredible 14 targets. He’ll be squaring off against a KC defense that has done a great job at limiting opposing fantasy wideouts. KC averages 6.5 less points allows to fantasy wideouts than NFL average, good for #2 OPRK. Of course, with KC’s ability to score this game could result in a pass-heavy script for Chicago, increasing Robinson’s ability to receive another week of high targets. Wouldn’t expect the same success on those targets though.

Wr2: A-Rob’s previous spot, now paves the way for #45 Will Fuller. At this point we all know who Will Fuller is. He’s capable of pulling a hamstring on the first play of the game and missing the contest (or missing the contest all together). And he’s capable of catching 14/16 targets 217 yards and 3 touchdowns in a single game for 50.3 fantasy points. That game accounted for 45.4% of Fuller’s total fantasy output so far this season. In comes Tampa Bay’s defense, the worst against opposing wideouts. Tampa Bay has been deemed a Pass Funnel by Fantasy Analysts. They stop the run and opposing teams pass all over them. They average 38.9 fantasy points against opposing fantasy wideouts compared to NFL average 27.5 points, a whopping 11.4 point difference. This is a potential Smash-Spot for Fuller, who will most likely be owned by close to 50% of DFS players playing on Saturday’s Slate. Bradley’s hope for a 3rd Title very well could rest on the hamstring of Will Fuller.

TE: Undecided. Brad picked up Cameron Brate, #2 Tight End on TB given the up-tempo game script of the Saturday Noon contest (with the over/under being 3rd highest of the week at 49). Winston will need someone to throw to. With Evans, Godwin, and Scotty Miller out, that leaves the best targets for Winston to be 1. Breshard Perriman 2. OJ Howard 3. Watson/Brate 4. Towel Boy. Brad also has a couple MNF options if he decides against Brate.

FLEX: Undecided. As of right now, Brad has #39 Christian Kirk in. He’s the best vertical threat on a pass heavy Cardinals team who would love to play spoiler against the Seahawks in Seattle. This game features the highest over/under of the week at 51 points. Cardinals had fun last week against the Browns, but Seattle is an actual good team. I’m sure they’ll send Kyler Murray out to have some fun, but whether that fun translates to bankable Kirk points that remains to be seen. If Cook is listed as Out by Thursday or Friday then Kirk would be the likely flex play for Brad.

D/ST: #2 Steelers D/ST. Only outscored by NE D/ST. Steelers are in a position to potentially make the playoffs despite playing with their 3rd Qb, missing Connor for multiple weeks, and missing their #1 Wr JuJu Smith-Schuster for multiple weeks. They have scored double-digits in 11/14 games so far this season. 11 of their last 12 including 20+ points in 4 of those games. They travel to the Jets, a team that has been widely inconsistent. They blew out Dallas and lost to Miami, so we don’t know what Jet’s team will show up. We do know that Le’Veon Bell will be playing his best game of the season. Running against the Steelers might be the way to go to slow down the deadly pass rushing group that’s accumulated 49 sacks so far this season, tied for 1st in the NFL.

K: Younghoe Koo. Signed by Atlanta before Week 10, Koo has been averaging 11 fantasy points per game including 4/6 in double digits. Koo faces Jacksonville in Atlanta’s last home game of the season.

 

#4 Mustafa (9-4) (Defending Champ, Only 3 Title Winner in the BBY Dream Team League)

Qb: #1 Lamar Jackson. MVP-front runner leading the best team in the NFL right now, the Baltimore Ravens. Lamar is both a Qb and a Rb. Scoring for 2, while taking up 1 position. Look for Baltimore to come out guns ablazing this week @ division foe Cleveland. Ravens lost to Cleveland in Week 4. By winning they clinch the #1 seed, a critical thing considering they’d much rather have the AFC Championship game at home opposed to at Arrowhead or at the Patriots. A revenge game and a #1 AFC seed clinching scenario and the Browns are minus Myles Garrett this go-around. This is a smash spot for Jackson. He scored 24.4 against them the first time they played. I anticipate a 30+ point outing this time. If he accomplishes this, it would be his 8th 30+ point game this season. Just incredible.

Rb1: #7 Nick Chubb. Chubb is also featured in the same Baltimore game. Baltimore’s Defense has gotten better and better as the season has progressed, but Chubb destroyed them back in Week 4. Easily his best game of the season with 20-165-3 and 3-18 stat line for a whopping 42.5 fantasy points. Baltimore will look for vengeance on the defensive side of the ball too and with a stacked secondary to counteract the stacked wideouts of the Browns, the trench battle will be interesting to say the least. Will Chubb strike again? Or will Raven’s Defense resurgence, the growing discontent amongst the Brown’s players, and Kareem Hunt’s return result in a back-down-to-Earth showing for Chubb?

Rb2: #6 Austin Ekeler. The Chargers Offense just looks better when Austin Ekeler is in at running back. He’s explosive, shifty, and get him in space… look out. The Chargers insist on feeding Melvin Gordon a bunch of carries. Gordon smashed the Raiders last game in Week 10, while Ekeler was held to a modest 11.6 fantasy points. We all know that any given play he can strike, so Moose can start his lightning bolt with confidence against the Raiders that just lost a disappointing game in their last home game in Oakland.

Wr1: #8 Amari Cooper. Amari Cooper was just shut down by Jalen Ramsey last week, so look for a monster bounce back performance this week in the crucial battle for the NFC Least. The last time they played Philly in Week 7 Cooper caught 5/5 targets for 106 yards (15.6 fantasy points). Philly has had a decent run defense, but they are extremely beatable via pass. Look for Dak Prescott to put the team on his shoulders and let a rip. The game is @ Philly, but current weather predicts a sunny and cool day (about 39 degrees) making it perfect football weather.

Wr2: #9 DJ Moore. Moore has been great for Moose this season. Double digit fantasy points in 10/14 games this season with 5+ in 14/14 and one game 30+. He faces Indianapolis @ Indy who was just destroyed by Drew Brees and Michael Thomas on MNF. They are coming off a short week, but the Panthers have made a Qb change. Will Grier will start over Kyle Allen, so it’ll be interesting to see if the DJ’s target distribution remains as steady and consistent as it has been or if Grier can help or hurt his value in this matchup. IBM Watson has Moore a 19% Bust candidate (9.4 or less) and a 23% Boom candidate (22+).

TE: #1 Travis Kelce. A true difference maker. Preseason Value Based Rankings had Kelce as a first-round pick based on value. Moose’s second round investment appears to have paid off handsomely as Kelce is the one and only #1 Tight End. He’s coming off a 11/13 142 game against Denver in the snow and now will travel to Chicago. His 13-point average looks solid week in and week out.

FLEX: Undecided? As of right now he has #32 Odell Beckham Jr. starting against Baltimore’s vaunted secondary. In their first matchup Odell only caught 2/7 targets for 20 yards and that was before Baltimore added Marcus Peters and got Jimmy Smith back from injury. IBM Watson predicts Odell having a 6% chance to bust and a 24% chance to Boom, which doesn’t add up based on my calculations. Odell has busted 4/14 weeks this season and has been a huge disappointment. But Moose traded three people for Odell and has been waiting for a payoff. Could this be it? Could the trade earlier this season all lead up to him using Chase’s 2nd round pick against Brad to win his 4th Title? OR Does Moose turn start Double Tight Ends? OR #23 Rb David Montgomery against #30 OPRK KC Chiefs Defense? If Cook and Mattison are both ruled out for MNF, he could throw in recently acquired Mike Boone. Will be something to watch.

D/ST: Undecided? As of right now he has #8 Chiefs D/ST which has scored game of 15, 21, 12, and 12 the past 4 weeks and now squares off against Mitchell Trubisky on SNF. During that stretch they’ve held their opponents to 11.25 points per game. Dominating efforts. Moose could turn to Atlanta’s D/ST who he just picked up off free agency against a Jag’s offense that has struggled mightily the past few weeks.

K: #19 Robbie Gould. Brad dropped Robbie after underperforming met with injury and he made the switch to Koo. Most known for the MNF game where Brad had a chance to break the single game scoring record of 191.9 points and Gould missed 3 field goals resulting in the record standing. Moose picks him up and he’s scored 13 and 11 points the past two weeks. He faces the Rams who just gave up 18 fantasy points to Kai Forbath. (In my work league I had Lamar Jackson and CMC, but lost by 0.26 to Kai Forbath last week, so fuck this guy).   If Robbie is the difference maker for Moose against Brad, this will most likely break Brad.

So there you have it. A lot of information that means absolutely nothing until injury reports come out on Friday, games are played on Saturday and we see what happens.

 

Bottom Bowl Preview:

Round 3:

Game 1: Tommy vs. Mike. Congratulations to both of you. The winner gets 6 balls in the lottery. The loser gets 5. You’ve both already won!

Game 2: Jen vs. Trey. The winner gets 4 balls. The loser gets 3. You’ve both won multiple entries in next year’s draft lottery.

Game 3: Katon vs. Chase. The winner gets 2 balls. The loser gets 1. The loser is also known as the Loser of Losers. A title Brad is happy to relinquish from 2018.

Good Luck Everybody!

Round 1 Recap & Round 2 Preview

Round 1 Recap:

BYES: 1. Scotty, 2. Brad

  1. Kenny (8-5) 115.7 vs. 4. Moose (9-4) 127.7

Kenny was hanging with Moose for awhile there on Sunday until Austin Ekeler decided that Moose was going to the Final Four. An explosive 36.9 points carried Moose one step closer to defending his title. Kenny wind up being down 44.6 heading into Monday Night Football with Zach Ertz and #1 Overall Pick Saquon Barkley. Ertz showed out with a solid 24.7, his best game of the season, but Barkley disappointed, only getting 7.9, leaving Kenny to lose to Moose by 12 points. Great season Kenny!

  1. Joe (7-6) 63.8 vs. JD (9-4) 87.6

JD sweeps Joe in an low scoring affair. Might as well have been a kicker bowl. In that scenario, JD would have still beat Joe 4-3 with Lambo outscoring Greg Zuerlein. Joe’s highest scorer was Cole Beasley and that’s all you really need to know about this one. JD has a down week, but survives and moves on the Final Four. Great season Joe!

Bottom Bowl:

Tommy (6-7) 145.7 vs. Mike (7-6) 133.5

These teams showed out! Tommy advances to Game 1 of the 2nd Round meaning he automatically will qualify for 6,5,4 or 3 balls in the lottery next year. Congrats Tommy! Mike moves to Game 2 of the 2nd Round.

Chase (3-10) 56.3 vs. Trey (6-7) 96.3

Jesus. Chase moves to Game 3 of Round 2, which means he can only get 4, 3, 2, 1 balls in the draft lottery. Trey wins, meaning he’s guaranteed 6,5,4 or 3 balls in the lottery like Tommy. Congrats Trey!

Jen (2-11) 94.5 vs. Katon (2-11) 121.5

Katon wins the rubber match! He moves on to Game 2 of the 2nd Round. Jen moves to Game 3 in Round 2.

 

Round 2 Preview: The Final Four

  1. Mustafa (9-4) vs. 1. Scotty (10-3)

In all of sports there are moments that define a generation. Michael Jordan’s Flu Game, the 1980 US Men’s Hockey team upsetting the Soviet Union, and here in our 11th season we have another opportunity to make history… I present to you:

“The Tight End Cock Block Game”

Moose spent $10 on Noah Fant, $7 on OJ Howard, $7 on David Njoku. Then when he awoke and checked the waivers to see that Scotty did not pick up a tight end, he continued. He picked up Darren Fells, Hayden Hurst, ALL while having #1 Travis Kelce and #7 Jared Cook. Some will say this was genius. Others will argue it was petty. Regardless of your stance, we will all remember this moment. (Or at least Scotty, Moose, and myself)

At Qb: Moose features #1 Qb Lamar Jackson vs. NYJ on TNF. Scotty features Drew Brees vs. IND on MNF. Lamar is overcoming a Quad injury that he says is minor. Brees will be playing in the Dome on MNF against a banged up Colts D.

At Rb: Moose has #5 Austin Ekeler vs. MIN and #7 Nick Chubb @ Arizona. Scotty features #17 Alvin Kamara in that same Colts MNF game, and #4 Aaron Jones vs. Chi. Jones faces Chicago in Week 1 and was stuffed even after Jamaal Williams left due to injury.

At Wr: Moose has #6 Amari Cooper vs. LAR and #31 (Pukes) Odell Beckham Jr. @ Arizona. Scotty has #11 Stefon Diggs @ LAC and #16 Courtland Sutton @ KC with Drew Lock now slinging the football.

At TE: Moose features #1 Travis Kelce or #7 Jared Cook or #11 Noah Fant or #12 Darren Fells or OJ Howard or David Njoku or Hayden Hurst. Scotty features #31 Jonny Smith. I will literally piss my pants laughing if Jonnu Smith scores a touchdown this weekend. Literally PISS MY PANTS laughing. But regardless, ruthless, but effective strategy.

At Flex: Moose has #10 DJ Moore vs. Sea, Scotty has #8 Rb Leonard Fournette @ Oakland.

AT D/ST: Moose has KC D/ST against a red-hot Drew Lock led Denver Broncos team. Scotty has #1 D/ST NE vs. CIN. Cincinnati’s offense has been doing better and New England’s Defense hasn’t been as good as of late. But I can definitely see this defense taking over in this one. Could be a difference maker in who makes it to the Super Bowl.

At K: Moose has Robbie Gould and Scotty has #7 Matt Prater vs. TB.

Only 1 team can move on to Super Bowl 11. Moose has won 3, Scotty has won 1. Both itching to get back. Best of luck gentlemen.

  1. JD (9-4) vs. 2. Brad (9-4)

At Qb: JD has #3 Dak Prescott vs. LAR. Prescott is a little banged up and plays a suddenly red-hot Rams team that has been dominant the last couple of weeks. Dak is fighting to keep Dallas’s playoffs hopes alive in the NFC East. Brad has #5 Jameis Winston (maybe) @ Detroit. The matchup looks incredible on paper, but Winston broke a bone in his thumb on his throwing hand. Somehow he finished the game last week. Somehow they are saying he’ll play this week. He was spotted in a cast this week meaning he probably won’t practice at all. Strange situation to monitor, Bucs could rest him or since it’s his contract year, could let him try to kill himself to hit 5000 yards on the season. Brad has Gardner Minshew as a backup facing Oakland if Jameis can’t go

At Rb: JD has #44 Damien Williams (maybe) vs. Den and #9 Mark Ingram vs. NYJ on TNF. Brad has #1 Christian McCaffrey vs. Seattle and #2 Dalvin Cook @ LAC. If Damien Williams can’t go, JD will have to throw in Peyton Barber against Detroit or go free agent hunting. McCaffrey is averaging 27 fantasy points per game, but over the last two weeks has combined for 30.9 or 15.5ish per game. They may not try to run him into the ground for a lost season, so despite his high average, 15ish points per game is much more likely this week. Cook played through his hurt shoulder last week and scored 14.3, so he should get normal workload against Chargers team that’s finally getting healthy on Defense.

At Wr: JD has Davante Adams vs. Chicago and DK Metcalf @ Carolina. Brad has #2 Chris Godwin @ Detroit and #12 Allen Robinson @ GB. Godwin’s value will be one to watch as the Bucs lost Mike Evans for the year. This could increase Godwin’s targets, but could also increase the talent level of the opposing corner back. It could also see more safety shadow in this scenario. Couple that with Winston’s uncertainty, and this team is looking a lot more shaky than it’s points leader and win streak give on.

At TE: JD features #3 Darren Waller, the target share monster. With Foster Moreau getting injured, this could increase Waller’s red zone targets as Moreau had 5 td’s on the season. Brad has #9 Evan Engram (maybe) vs. Miami. There’s been questions on whether or not the Giants will shut down Engram for the rest of the season to prevent further injury to their stud tight end. He looked like he would be active for the MNF game against Philly and they decided to rest him. So if Brad doesn’t have Engram he’ll turn to Ian Thomas if Greg Olsen continues to be sidelined due to a concussion. If Olsen is active and Engram is not, then Brad will have to bottom feed on the crumbs of tight ends left on the free agency pool that Moose left behind. Moose may take out Scotty and Brad with one stone… a stone called “Operation Tight End Cock Block”

At D/ST: JD features 7. Bills D/ST @ PIT. Brad features 2. Pit D/ST vs. BUF. This will be a fun SNF game. These will be both teams last players to play for either team, meaning the matchup could literally come down to which D/ST outscores the other. We’ve had kicker bowls in the past, but a D/ST Bowl? Interesting…

AT K: JD has #9 Josh Lambo @ Oakland and Brad has Youngshoe Koo @ San Fran.

A lot to monitor in this one. ESPN opens Brad up as a 27.8 point favorite, but don’t let past success be a predictor for future outcome. This will be a close game and either team can make it to SB11.

Eliminated: 6. Joe, 5. Kenny (1 ball each in lottery next year)

 

Bottom Bowl Round 2 Preview:

Game 1: Trey vs. Tommy

Winner moves to Bottom Bowl Championship Game and is guaranteed 6 or 5 balls, loser moves to Game 2 of Round 3 and is guaranteed 4 or 3 balls. Both are in a good position.

Game 2: Katon vs. Mike

This is the biggest game of Round 2. It’s a rivalry game, but there’s a lot at stake. The winner moves on to the Bottom Bowl Championship winning either 6 or 5 balls. But the loser… they move on to Game 3 of the Bottom Bowl, meaning they either win 2 or 1 ball in the lottery next year.

Game 3: Jen vs. Chase

The winner moves on to Game 2 of the 3rd Round and guarantees 4 or 3 balls in the lottery. The loser moves on to the Bottom Bowl and guarantees 2 or 1 ball in the lottery next year.

Good Luck Everybody!

Week 13 Recap & Round 1 Preview

Week 13 Recap:

D1:

Brad (9-4) 103.1 vs. Moose (9-4) 96.3

From Bottom Bowl to Bye Week, Brad gets just enough to squeak by Moose for the D1 crown and take Points Leader. Brad wins $180.

Jen (2-11) 119.4 vs. Katon (2-11) 117.3

Jen did it! With an incredible MNF, come from behind victory (giggity), Jen gets 20.3 from Chris Carson to pass up Katon and get her second win of the year!

D2:

Tommy (6-7) 138.7 vs. JD (9-4) 119.1

JD got the bye with a win, but Tommy’s red hot team kept surging with Wentz getting 27.4, Henry getting 24.8, and Edelman getting 21.3.

Joe (7-6) 122.5 vs. Chase (3-10) 90.7

Joe needed to win and for Trey to lose. He got both!

D3:

Scotty (10-3) 81.5 vs. Kenny (8-5) 70.9

Scotty gets a bye week after winning despite scoring 81.5 points. These two teams got their stinker game out of the way, so they can concentrate on the playoffs.

Mike (7-6) 93.9 vs. Trey (6-7) 93.8

Jesus… Trey needed to win and he was in. He held the tie breaker over Joe. James White got a long catch in garbage time to put his total at 32.9 and put Mike up by 0.1 with Lockett left. Lockett goose eggs and Trey misses the playoffs by 2 yards. Ridiculous. In Week 10, Trey and Tommy faced each other. Trey had won 3 in a row. Tommy had lost 5 in a row. Ever since, including that game, Trey lost 4 in a row and Tommy won 4 in a row bringing both their records to 6-7. This one stings.

Playoffs Round 1 Preview: The Quest for Super Bowl 11 Starts Here

Intro:

4/6 teams in this year’s playoffs have won 70% of the titles in the first 10 seasons. Brad (SB1, SB3), Moose (SB2, SB7, SB10), Scotty (SB6), and Joe (SB5). Kenny and JD are both on a quest for their first title and will have to navigate through landmines of experience in order to obtain it.

1.Scotty (10-3) BYE, 2.Brad (9-4) BYE

3.JD (9-3) vs. 6. Joe (7-6)

JD and Joe square off to see who makes the final four and will face Brad’s team. How poetic would it be for Joe to face Brad in the semi’s after their blockbuster trade that led to Brad getting #1 Rb Christian McCaffrey and going on a 5-1 run including a 5 game winning streak end the regular season. Joe has been peppering the message board asking for a kicker bowl, but considering JD swept Joe in the regular season matchups, I don’t think he’s down for that. In those two games, Joe averaged a paltry 67.3 points per game while JD averaged 109.4. Joe hopes to have James Conner and Austin Hooper back from injury to try and help him advance to the Semi’s. He’ll have #3 Qb Russell Wilson @ LAR who he torched for 29.8 fantasy points earlier this season. At Qb, JD looks like he’s having trouble deciding between inconsistent Sam Darnold vs. Miami at home or starting #2 Fantasy Qb Dak Prescott @ Chicago. The ultimate question. Matchup vs. Skill. At Rb1 and 2: Joe has #32 Duke Johnson vs. Denver and (possibly) #26 James Conner @ Arizona. JD has (possibly) #43 Damien Williams @ NE, and #9 Mark Ingram @ Buffalo. Both teams have question marks on starting running backs with pretty rough replacement options if they can’t go. Joe has Raheem Mostert (who looked great last week), but faces a good run stopping New Orleans team in the Super Dome. JD has Peyton Barber against Indy. He also had a nice game last week, but was due to 2 short touchdowns. Both will need to be monitored. One thing about Mark Ingram vs. Buffalo. According to Fantasy Analyst Evan Silva, they can be run on and this matchup proves favorable for Mark to get a bulk of the carries in a neutral game script. At Wr1 and Wr2: Joe features #6 Cooper Kupp against SEA. In Week 5 he had 24.3 fantasy points against Seattle, but that was when Rams offense was competent. They finally showed up again last week against a terrible Cardinals defense, can he deliver again? #30 Tyreek Hill @ NE. Last year New England did a good job containing Hill except for one pass that Hill took for 40 yards against them in the playoffs. They’ll try to take him away again this go-round, but New England is coming off a game where they surrendered 4 passing touchdowns to Deshaun Watson. JD features #31 Davante Adams vs. Washington and #27 DK Metcalf @ LAR. Adams is coming off a 2-td performance against the Giants and is averaging 18 points per game since his bye week, getting much needed rest for the previously injured toe. Metcalf got a touchdown last time these teams met, but this time he might get the Jalen Ramsey shadow. It’s going to be tough for him to build on the 2-44-1 line from the first meeting. At Tight End: Joe hopes to have #4 Austin Hooper back, but he has *checks notes* 3 tight ends on his bench in case he’s unable to go. JD will feature #3 Darren Waller vs. Tennessee. At D/ST: Joe has #13 Panthers D/ST @ Atlanta and JD has #14 Vikings D/ST vs. Detroit. JD just acquired Vikings for $17 FAAB hoping they can exploit David Blough in his second start. At Flex: Joe has #48 Dede Westbrook vs. LAC and JD has #23 Tyler Boyd @ Cleveland. At K: Joe has #7 Greg “The Leg” Zuerlein in that same Seattle matchup. JD has Josh Lambo for the Jags vs. LAC. JD bitch slapped Joe the first two meetings. But this intradivisional playoff matchup looks extremely even on paper. It will most likely come down to who starts the right person and which team winds up the healthiest. Best of luck gentlemen (this week only, not next week 😉)

#4 Mustafa (9-4) vs. #5 Kenny (8-5)

Moose’s chance to defend his crown will go through Kenny in Round 1. The winner will face #1 Scotty in the Semi’s on their quest for Super Bowl 11. These teams met in Week 9 with K-Dub taking down Moose 120.2 to 117.7 in a heart-breaker. Kenny had several players go off on his bench and Moose would have won had he started Marvin Jones or DJ Moore over Odell. But that’s in the past and we must look at the future. ESPN opens up this game with a line of -0.1 in Moose’s favor, without Moose having . As close as it can be. At Qb: Kenny will feature #10 Kirk Cousins vs. Detroit, a juicy ass matchup. Moose will feature #1 Lamar Jackson, but @ Buffalo. Buffalo has been great at limited Qb production and have a strong linebacker group. I imagine Jackson will get a lot of short runs that raise his floor, but his ceiling is capped somewhat. At Rb1 and Rb2: Kenny has #19 Saquon Barkley @ Philly. Moose faced Dalvin Cook in Week 13 on MNF and lost. This week he’ll have to watch another stud Rb have a chance to take him out. Philly’s run defense has been pretty good though. Kenny also has #14 Philip Lindsay @ HOU. Houston was just torched by James White. Moose features #5 Nick Chubb with a great matchup against Cincy. He just has to hope Kareem Hunt doesn’t take too many of Chubb’s points. #7 Austin Ekeler is @ Jax. At Wr1 and Wr2: Kenny has #4 Kenny Golladay @ Minnesota, a very beatable secondary. Golladay hasn’t showed signs of slowly down regardless of who’s throwing the football for Detroit. He also has #15 Jarvis Landry against Cincy’s lack of a defense. Moose has #5 Amari Cooper @ Chicago. Cooper has battled through injuries all this season and continually put up strong numbers, but in the last three weeks he’s only scored 16.7 points averaging 5.6 points per game including a 0 against NE. Moose needs his star Wideout to show up against da Bears. Moose also features #25 Odell Beckham Jr vs. Cincy. Landry has outscored Odell in every game since the bye week (in Week 7) by an average of 7.2 points more per game. Can this streak end to propel Moose to the next round? Or will Jarvis continue his hot streak? At TE: Kenny has #5 Zach Ertz against NYG. Last year against the G Men, Ertz averaged 7-67-1 stat lines. Moose has #1 Travis Kelce @ NE. Last year in two matchups against NE, Kelce combined for a 8-84-1 stat line. At Flex: Kenny has #38 Kenyan Drake vs. Pit as of right now. Moose has #10 Wr DJ Moore who’s been an excellent starter for Moose over the past 5 weeks, averaging 19.1 points per game. He’s been targeted an incredible 57 times during that stretch. With Greg Olsen potentially to miss time, that number should continue. At D/ST: Kenny has #4 BAL D/ST @ BUF. Moose has #9 Jets D/ST vs. Miami. Miami has surrendered double digit fantasy outings to opposing D/ST in 10/12 weeks with an average of 13.6 points per game. Last week they scored all over Philly who only wind up with 2 points as a D/ST unit, surely upsetting optimistic streamers out there. Or in our case, Kenny. Had Kenny started LAR D/ST he would have won against Scotty. At K: Kenny has #2 Harrison Butker vs. NE. I expect a lower scoring game, but Butker should be money. Moose picked up #18 Ka’shimi Fairburner vs. Denver.

 

Bottom Bowl Round 1 Preview:

#7 Mike (7-6) vs. #8 Tommy (6-7)

Tommy comes surging into the Bottom Bowl red hot! Mike wins by 0.1 but needed Joe to lose in order to sneak into the playoffs as the 6th seed. Usually 7 wins is enough, but not this year. Tommy finished 6-7 for the third time and his Bottom Bowl streak extends to 3 seasons. The winner of this game guarantees 3-6 balls in next years lottery.

#9 Trey (6-7) vs. #10. Chase (3-10)

Trey drops from a potential 6th seed all the way to 9th thanks to 2 mother f%&king yards. Chase goes from Points Leader and #1 Overall seed in 2018 to 10 losses and a #10 seed in the Bottom Bowl. Chase is one of the best managers in the league, but couldn’t overcome the 12th pick draft position and Sony Michel’s awfulness. These teams own the worse two losing streaks, Trey at 4 and Chase at 5. One of these streaks will come to an end. The winner will be in the crucial Game 1 of the Second round, meaning if they win this they already are guaranteed 3-6 balls in next years lottery. The loser of this game moves on to Game 3 in Round 2, which means they are already eliminated from winning 5 or 6 balls in the lottery and are destined for 1-4 balls.

#11 Katon (2-11) vs. #12 Jen (2-11)

Rubber Match! Katon won Week 3. Jen won Week 13. Who is better? Find out this week!

 

Good Luck Everyone!