BBY Dream Team League: Super Bowl 13 Preview

I’m alive!  I want to thank everybody for your patience this season.  I haven’t done a write up since the Week 3 Preview/ Week 4 Recap.   And just like that in a blink here we are closing out another year of our fantasy league.  Like many folks out there I lost a few coworkers to what some are calling “The Great Resignation”.  As a leader of people, I jumped in and took on a very difficult task of covering the largest geographical area for my company while maintaining my duties as Manager.  This resulted in a brutal two month stretch that had me questioning why I was even working in the first place.  Add in Benjamin being 3.5 and Anna being 1.5 and you can imagine my 5am to 9pm day of responsibilities took its toll on me.  I also still strive to work on my personal development which includes a daily workout and reading books to further my knowledge and maybe even obtain some wisdom as I go.  With all that being said, I just want to say I appreciate all of you, I’m sorry I wasn’t able to do the weekly write up this season, and am excited to present the Super Bowl Preview for our 13th Season.

 

Congratulations to Scotty for winning $200 for Points Leader!  Scotty edged out Kenny 1687 to 1686.9.  That’s right.  Scotty wins $200 by 0.1 Fantasy Points!  

Reminder of Super Bowl Payout unless Teams agree to a different amount: 

Super Bowl Champion: $750

Super Bowl Runner-Up: $200 

 

  1. Chase vs. 3. Kenny

 

Two-time Champion Chase returns to the Title Game for his 4th Super Bowl.  His most recent appearance was the epic Super Bowl 10 where he fell to now Four-time Champion Mustafa.  Of course, he already took care of Mustafa this season in a blowout win in the Final Four match (157.1 to 84.5).  On the other side of the bracket Kenny also blew out his opponent JD (163.3 to 85.7).  Both Bye week playoff teams were ousted in the Semi’s this season.  Kenny is the Defending Super Bowl 12 Champion and returns to the Super Bowl with a chance to repeat.   

 

How They Got Here:

 

Kenny had the 4th pick in the draft and being the Champion he drafted his own Division 1.  He went Zeke-Jacobs-Hopkins to start his draft.  Looking at that on paper you wouldn’t think he would make it to the title game.  Zeke has had a banged up knee and given up a lot of work to Tony Pollard, but despite it all, finds himself ranked #6 Running Back.  Jacobs is 18th Rb and Hopkins is no where to be found due to injury.  Kenny went #1 Qb Josh Allen next then #9 Chris Godwin after that.  Then Logan Thomas.  In the title game Kenny won’t have Hopkins, Godwin, or Logan Thomas.  His picks in Round 7 and 8; however, were pretty damn good.  He snagged Damien Harris in 7 and Deebo Samuel in Round 8.  Harris is Rb #14 and Deebo is WR #2.  In Rounds 9 and 10 he went Ronald Jones and Mike Williams.  That’s #15 Wr Mike Williams and Rojo looks like he’ll be a factor in the Championship game.  Add in #4 Tight End Dalton Schultz who Kenny smartly won in FAAB for $22 way back in early October and you see how he’s constructed a winning team.  First few picks weren’t great, but his middle rounds he just nailed it.  And here we are.

 

Chase had the 6th pick in the draft and wind up in Division 3 where he faced Brad, Mustafa, and Joe.  He went Nick Chubb with the 6th overall pick and Chubb hasn’t disappointed as a Top 10 Running Back despite a slower start with Kareem Hunt’s early season snap percentage.  A couple of injuries for Kareem paved the way for Chubb to take over as the only “A” Running back against a stellar running blocking line in Cleveland.  His 2nd Round Pick Calvin Ridley unexpectedly stepped away from Football, 3rd Rounded George Kittle missed a big portion of the season due to injury, but he came back with a fiery passion, helping Chase end the season strong and jettisoning him into playoff and championship contention.  In Round 4 Chase made one of the best picks of the draft in Cooper Kupp.  I’ll always remember drafting Allen Robinson over Cooper Kupp this year.  Ouch.  He went Kyler Murray and then Raheem Mostert.  The rest of his draft wasn’t very special, but we all know Chase is one of the best managers in the league.  And this season he continued to display his skills of picking up players that have potential if certain scenarios arise.  It’s this probability analysis that makes Chase a great fantasy manager and why he has made it to his 4th Super Bowl.        

 

Super Bowl Matchups:

 

Chase will feature Kyler Murray in a big time NFC matchup against the red hot Dallas Cowboys.  He’ll have Nick Chubb on MNF against Division rival Pittsburgh, with both teams having only desperation chances of making the postseason.  Steelers are OPRK #26, setting Chubb up nicely in a game they could easily lead for most of the night.  He also has Rashad Penny.  I dropped Penny because he kept getting hurt again and again, but with Alex Collins getting injured they decided to give Penny a shot and of course he starts going freaking nuts.  He’s always been talented; he’s also always been hurt.  He’s been averaging 19.1 fantasy points a game the last 3 weeks and gets Detroit’s #31 OPRK defense, which just pisses me off. (Bitter Carson owner and Penny dropper).  He’ll also have #1 WR Cooper Kupp @ Baltimore who just got sliced and diced to the tune of 525 yards from Joe “Big Dick” Burrow with all three wideouts going off.  #3 TE George Kittle gets Houston’s #25 OPRK defense.  Look out for Amon-Ra St. Brown for Chase, who is in the middle of a breakout season in Detroit.  He’s averaging 18 fantasy points over the last 4 games, including 11-12 targets every game, at least 8 receptions every game and 4 touchdowns.  Fantasy Football is supposed to be fun and Amon-Ra St. Brown is fun. 

 

Kenny will feature #1 Qb Josh Allen versus #31 OPRK Atlanta, with Buffalo needing to keep winning in their efforts to claim the AFC East Title, since NE and them share the same record.  Allen has surpassed 30 fantasy points in 5 games this season including 2 games of over 40.  #6 Rb Zeke faces a tough Arizona Rush defense who held Jonathan Taylor touchdown-less last week.  #18 Josh Jacobs faces Indy defense who gave up 8 receptions to Chase Edmonds last week.  Ronald Jones gets the #32 OPRK Jets.  We’ll see if the Bucs try to feed Rojo’s confidence going down the stretch with Lenny Fournette nursing a hurt hamstring.  #2 Wr Deebo Samuel gets a decent matchup against Houston.  #4 TE Dalton Schultz is in that tight Arizona game, they’ve been solid against Tight Ends, only giving up the #2 OPRK worth to opposing tight ends.  Kenny will have some decisions to make at Running Back with 4 viable starters and at Wide Receiver depending on Mike Williams COVID status. 

 

Key Thinks To Look Out For:

  1. Jimmy Garoppolo’s status and how a Trey Lance start could impact Kittle and/or Deebo Samuel.
  2. Who Kenny chooses to start this week.
  3. Any COVID issues that might arise unexpectedly to the detriment of one or both of the teams.

 

Looking at the matchups I would say Chase is favored, but anything is possible in fantasy.  Can Kenny repeat as Champion and win his second title?  Or will Chase claim his 3rd Championship?  Should be a great matchup!

 

Bottom Bowl Notables:

 

12. Brad vs. 8. Trey. Winner gets 6 balls in next year’s lottery. Loser gets 5 balls.

11. Tommy vs. 10. Joe. Winner gets 4 balls. Loser gets 3 balls.

9. Mike vs. 7. Jen. Winner gets 2 balls.Loser gets 1 ball like the rest of the 6 playoff teams.

 

Best of Luck to Kenny and Chase and to all those striving to get more balls in the draft lottery of 2022. 

 

-Commish

BBY Dream Team League Draft Grades 2021

  1. Tommy

CMC was correct.  AJ Brown was a great pickup at the end of the 2nd round.  Analysts I have read have expressed concern over Tennessee’s defense and believe Tannehill will be airing it out more this year.  Having a hyper talented #1 on the team is very nice especially if the analysts prediction comes to fruition.  Miles Sanders was an interesting pick to start the 3rd round.  I understand the need to grab a second running back in this league, but to take him over DeAndre Hopkins, Justin Jefferson, Keenan Allen.  Plus is Sanders the right pick?  Is he better than a Swift, Montgomery, Carson, Dobbins, or Henderson?  He’s been splitting carries with Bart Scott all preseason.  They drafted a hell of a third down back in Gainwell.  And they brought back Jordan Howard who wouldn’t give up his starting position to Sanders during his rookie campaign.  I definitely think the Eagles should give Sanders the ball more, but I don’t know if they actually do it.  Looking at the draft in hindsight now, you wind up with Sanders-Lockett in the 3rd and 4th round.  That could’ve been Hopkins/Allen/Jefferson paired with Davis/Gaskins/Hunt.  Lockett should be great and I think you got great value at the back of the 4th, but I do question the Sanders pick a bit.  He is on the same tier as the Dobbins/Montgomery/Carsons so I won’t knock down the grade harshly, but just interesting decision.  Ja’Marr Chase to start the 5th round.  I hope he gets it going.  He has looked awful in camp.  Can’t separate from defenders, drops.  It’s bad.  With any rookie wide receiver, going to be important that you stay patient.  Make sure not to drop him after a few weeks, right Trey?  Hehe.  Loved Brandon Auyik in the 6th round.  I think you can circle this pick as one that you’ll go back to at the end of the year and everyone else in the league is going to question why the hell they didn’t pick him when they had the chance.  Rodgers in the 7th is good pick.  He was ridiculous last year.  48 passing touchdowns and 5 INTs?  Are you kidding me?  That’s why he won MVP.  Can he repeat that efficiency?  Or at least get close?  Some regression is likely, but we’ll see.  Conner for depth in the 8th.  Goedert for starting Tight End.  Good value in the 10th and 11th with Nyheim Hines and Marvin Jones.  Hines might have earned the 3rd down back role in Indy despite JT’s late season emergence and Marlon Mack’s return.  Marvin Jones is looking good paired with new Qb Trevor Lawrence.  Loved Taysom Hill as the last pick in the draft.  Probably will never use him with Rodgers, but heck, he could start and why not?

Draft Grade: B+

  1. Joe

Dalvin Cook was correct.  Mahomes in the 2nd.  Look I love Mahomes, but I don’t like where you drafted him.  The next Qb didn’t go until the end of the 4th round.  You could’ve gotten Kyler Murray in the 5thround.  Last year Murray finished Qb#5 and scored 12.7 points less than Mahomes.  Was 12.7 points worth 3 rounds of difference?  AJ Brown, Keenan Allen, DeAndre Hopkins, Kittle.  I love Mahomes, I think he’s fun to watch, but just don’t like his draft position here.  When I drafted him last year it was at the end of the 3rd and even then it felt like I drafted him too early.  You snagged Justin Jefferson in the 3rd, pairing him with Dalvin Cook for a couple of stud Vikings.  I like JJ.  I hope he has a great year and doesn’t regress with a sophomore slump.  He’s fun to watch.  In the 4th you got Julio Jones.  See comment above on Tommy’s write up about the prospects of Tennessee throwing more this season, which could make this a really good pick.  In the 5th you took Gaskins, which I didn’t care for very much.  In preseason he was sharing time with Malcom Brown.  I think he wins the job, but I had Mike Davis, Kareem Hunt, and Chase Edmonds ranked higher than him this season.  In the 6th you went Robby Anderson.  I think in normal drafts this would be a really good pick, but in this one when you still had Auyik, Claypool, Jeudy, and Cooks available I actually don’t like the pick.  Darnold has chemistry with Robby, which is a good thing, but Robby and Darnold didn’t exactly tear it up back in New York.  I think Joe Brady will get more out of the duo than Adam Gase ever did, but I liked the other wideouts a bit better for this season.  Robert Tonyan in the 7th is something.  Prime Touchdown regression candidate at the tight end position.  11 Touchdowns was awesome, but does he repeat that success with Randall Cobb back, Dillon coming on strong in potential goal line situations.  I probably would’ve waited for a tight end until the very back of the draft after Kenny took Logan Thomas.  At this point you are chasing touchdowns, so doesn’t matter if it’s Tonyan or Gerald Everette (who went undrafted) if you are chasing touchdowns.  Passed on some valuable depth pieces in this round for Tonyan, so need him to repeat his success from last year.  Might be a big ask.  Antonio Brown in the 8th was okay.  I really liked Jamaal Williams pick in the 9th.  There is a reason he carved out so much usage from Aaron Jones workload the past couple seasons and why he’ll do the same for the Lions.  Coaches love the guy.  He blocks well, runs efficiently.  If Swift gets injured or misses any time you should start Williams with confidence.  You took a pair of Cowboys at 10 and 11 in Michael Gallup and Tony Pollard.  If Cooper or Zeke gets injured you have a great player all of a sudden.  Gallup will hold some stand alone value, but it’s going to be unpredictable (like Antonio Brown).  -2 points for drafting Tebow.

Draft Grade: C+. Team will compete with Mahomes-Dalvin-JJ and JJ, but will need to manage the team well to have a shot at the playoffs and beyond.

  1. Mike

Mike I think you might have done it again.  I think Henry regresses a bit this year due to Tennessee’s defense being poo poo.  Oh Mike… I hope I’m wrong and he’s a beast like he was for me last season.  I would’ve gone Kamara here because he’s probably going to get 25 touches per game.  Henry doesn’t play 3rd downs or in the hurry up offenses.  DK Metcalf is a monster, I don’t blame you for drafting him in the 2nd. I personally think Hopkins and AJ Brown were better picks, but what do I know?  DK was 7th best WR last year, but he did have a few dud weeks with four games under 9 points including Weeks 15 and 16.  But those abs… D’Andre Swift in the 3rd.  I don’t have a problem going second running back.  I don’t know how I feel about Swift.  I just know I like Jamaal Williams a lot this year as a good backup.  Swift could bust out, he’s talented, but he also has lingering groin issues that pop their ugly head from time to time.  In Round 4 got great value in Adam Thielen.   Strong Wr #2 for you.  In the 5th you went Chase Edmonds which I like.  I think the Cardinals are going to be good this year.  I do think James Conner will get work, but I like Edmonds in the passing game.  I liked Mike Davis and Kareem Hunt better here, but Edmonds should be fine.  6thRound Javonte Williams.  I like it.  Gordon is supposedly still starter for right now.  He was able to fight off Philip Lindsay, but can he fight off a fresh rookie with some explosiveness?  We shall see.  Russel Wilson in the 7th is a great pick.  I love stacks.  Wilson to Metcalf will give you 10+ point plays, which makes fantasy so much more fun.  That is the reason we play right?  Right?  In the 8th round you took my beloved Will Fuller. He’s suspended for Week 1, and then you can use him until he gets injured.  I think he’ll do well this season, but you have to pick the correct weeks to deploy his talents.  In the 9th and 10th you took a pair of Patriots.  Jonnu Smith and Jakobi Meyers.  I like the latter pick better.  Smith and Henry are going to be inconsistent I believe.  And I’m not sure which one is better.  Lindsay in the 11th was meh and I liked Washington D/ST in the 12th.  That D Line will give Qb’s nightmares before they even take the field.  I liked the flier pick of Marlon Mack in the later rounds.

Draft Grade: B.  It’s one of those situations where I would’ve chosen different people at almost every pick you made, but almost every pick you made was in the same tiers as the guys I would’ve picked, so I can’t knock you too hard, but also I don’t like your team very much.  Weird.

  1. Kenny

The Champion!  Kenny went with ZEKE.  I like Zeke for a bounce back year this year, but I don’t have him ranked higher than Kamara.  Either way I’m fine with the pick.  In the second round you went Josh Jacobs and I hate it.  I absolutely hate this pick.  Scored 13.3 or less in 9 games last season.  They added Kenyan Drake.  He doesn’t catch the ball.  Doesn’t do hurry up offense or 3rd downs.  But he did get 18 carries inside the 5 yard line last year.  So basically you are banking on him repeating his 12 touchdown year.  I had basically all the running backs that went after him in the 3rd round ranked higher than him and you drafted him over DeAndre Hopkins, Keenan Allen, AJ Brown, George Kittle, Justin Jefferson.  Blah.  In the 3rd round you “righted the ship” drafting DeAndre Hopkins.  Getting Hopkins in the 3rd is a felony and everyone responsible should be held accountable.  Phenomenal Pick.  Josh Allen in the 4th.  I’m okay with the pick.  I like Allen, if he can build on the season he has last year then he will be in MVP discussion.  Chris Godwin in the 5th was another stellar pickup.  Creating a Allen-Zeke-Jacobs-Hopkins-Godwin core that will make you compete.  I like Logan Thomas as a consistent Tight End scorer this season.  In the 7th you took Damien Harris.  With Zeke-Jacobs-Harris I have to ask if you just have something against 3rd down running backs?  Something about seeing the big guys slam into lineman for 2-4 yards just do it for you?  If you are looking for a team name you can try “Hands Free Service”.  In Round 8 you took Deebo Samuel.  I was high on Deebo this offseason then when he pulled up with a glute injury I dropped him a bit.  He’s got lots of potential.  Loved Rojo and Mike Williams for some depth pieces.  Could provide flex value and if injuries shake out a certain way can be big time providers.  Butker!  Devontae Booker might start Week 1 if Saquon isn’t a full go.  Really liked your late rounds.

Draft Grade: A.  Didn’t care for Jacobs pick, but overall a very good job.

  1. Mustafa

KAMARA.  Can’t believe these idiots let Kamara drop to you.  Nailed it.  In the 2nd round you went Waller, which is a great pick.  Waller is a target vacuum.  People don’t realize how much of a cheat code it is to have a Top Tight End.  Last Year Kelce was a Top 5 Rb in my lineup in a spot where most people are chasing 6 points.  Waller could finish TE#1 this year and I wouldn’t be surprised.  The offense funnels to him.  In the 3rdyou went Keenan Allen who has caught 102-97-104-100 balls the last 4 years.  Averaging a hyper consistent 101 catches per year.  That’s typically a good thing in an half ppr league folks.  In the 4th round Moose took Diontae Johnson, which was interesting.  I had Julio, Lockett, Thielen ranked a little higher.   I think Johnson is very talented and will have some strong weeks, but I worry about consistency.  He’s explosive, so maybe Moose was going for some dynamite to go with the Keenan Allen rock.  In Round 5 Moose went Mike Davis. It’s a solid pick.  Davis is the #1 for the Falcons.  He played really well in CMC’s absence last year.  It’s strange to see a #1 Rb who appears to be in line for a workhorse type role taking over for Gurley who finished 25th last year after scoring 9 touchdowns.  In Round 6 Moose went Odell.  Not a bad flex.  In Round 7 he took Michael Thomas for an IR stash.  In Round 8 he went Jaylen Waddle for Miami.  It’ll be interesting to see how Miami’s offense shakes out this year.  Watching Tua’s progression as well as how the targets wind up going with Fuller, Waddle, Parker, and Gesicki.  In Round 9 Moose went Gus Edwards.  In the 10thhe took Ryan Tannehill, who could ball out this year with the addition of Julio Jones.  Loved Hardman in the 12th.  Who doesn’t love a Hardman.

Draft Grade: B+.  I don’t feel like this is the normal Moose team.  Some boring Running backs like Davis, Gus, James White.  Waller-Odell-Johnson is more like it.

  1. Chase

Nick Chubb in the 1st.  We disagree here.  If I laid out all the Rb’s that went after Chubb I would probably have ranked Chubb middle of the pack after Aaron Jones, Austin Ekeler, Antonio Gipson, Najee Harris, and before Johnathan Taylor, Mixon, Barkley, & Clyde.  Chubb is 1A in Cleveland and Cleveland does look to be very good again this year.  Chubb doesn’t get many catches at all.  And he doesn’t get overutilized either.  He got 10-23 touches every game last year, but no more.  If they are making another post season run they’ll probably strive to keep him fresh.  It’s a situation where his floor isn’t bad, but his ceiling is capped.  I understand given the way this league drafts that you had to make a choice at Rb.  You made your choice, now we’ll see how it turns out.  I’m usually wrong on these grades, so no reason to believe I’m not wrong again this year.  I LOVE Calvin Ridley in the 2nd.  I was very high on Ridley and you got him at the just right spot.  Going to be a target machine.  I like Kittle in the 3rd.  Tight End is such a difference maker if you have a top scorer.  Kittle has the potential.  He is oft-injured because of how aggressive he plays.  When Kelce catches the ball, he goes down (in Marvin-Harrison fashion), so that he can live to play another down.  When Kittle catches the ball, he goes looking for the next guy to hit down the field.  A true gritty old-school footballer who unfortunately winds up injured as a result of that.  If he can stay healthy for an entire season though, would be a tremendous value.  Cooper Kupp in the 4th round was solid.  Could easily see him getting over 90 catches this year and become a favorite of Matthew Stafford.  In Round 5 you took Kyler Murray, which surprised me a bit.  Chase going Rb, Wr, TE, Wr, Qb to start the draft was not what I expected.  Kyler is primed to have another great year.  I’m high on the Cardinals this year.  (Despite me only getting their kicker) In the 6th you took your second Rb in Raheem Mostert.  If he’s healthy and starting he is a force and we all know his big play capability.  Round 7 you took Chase Claypool who I really like.  He’s a big baller and I think he’s going to get his this season.  In Round 8 you took Michael Carter.  Rookie should start for the Jets, but he may take awhile to get going (similar to Antonio Gipson last year).  In Round 9 I liked the Marquez Callaway pick.  #1 Wideout and people are sleeping on Jameis/Taysom.  Rest of the draft was solid.

Draft Grade: B+.  Didn’t seem like a normal Chase draft, but I liked it.

  1. Jen/Mel.

Austin Ekeler in the first.  I love Ekeler.  He’s got an improved Offensive Line, he’s elusive.  I hope he can hold up this season.  Last year he had a very serious hamstring injury.  Hoping he’s 100% healthy and electric like he should be.  Some analysts have him ranked as high as #5 Rb.  We’ll see.  Clyde Edwards-Helaire in the second.  I understand snagging running backs in this league when you can.  CEH has a minor ankle strain, but bigger than that, he needs to win over his own backfield.  Chiefs could turn true running back by committee with Darrel Williams and Jerick McKinnon.  All 3 of their backs strengths are pass catching.  In Round 3 you went Terry McLaurin which is a safe Wr #1.  He should enjoy having Ryan Fitzmagic at the helm.  Amari Cooper in the 4th is a good value.  Cooper is the #1 Wideout on a high volume offense.  If Dak can return to early season form from a year ago and both him and Cooper stay healthy, they can combine for big things this season.  Lamar Jackson in the 5th gets you a dual threat Qb, which is a prized possession in this league.  We are seeing a transition of mobile Qb’s sliding up the fantasy rankings every year.  Noah Fant at Tight End.  I like Noah Fant, I think he has a lot of potential, we’ll see what he does this season.  Brandin Cooks is a good value in the 7th round.  Tyrod Taylor is starting Qb, Will Fuller is gone. Everybody is looking the other way when it comes to the Texans and it could be a hidden cache for value this fantasy season.  Jen built depth pieces over the next few picks with Leonard Fournette, Jarvis Landry, and Mike Gesicki.

Draft Grade: B.  Overall a decent team that will compete.  Love the trio of LSU players on the squad.

  1. JD

JD you’ve had some terrible luck with draft locations over the years.  10, 7, 7, 8, 11, and now 8 again.  Barkley?!?  I wasn’t this thigh on him.  Hehe.  I think they are going to start him off slow, but by end of the year he’ll be back to Top Rb form.  It might be painful during the first month or so of the season though, so I wouldn’t have gone this route, but I get the potential.  Getting Stefon Diggs at 16th overall was a great pickup.  Diggs could be Top wideout this year if his connection with Allen continues to get better.  Diggs might be the best route runner in the league.  CeeDee Lamb in the 3rd.  I’m high on CeeDee this year.  It probably would’ve been better to snag a Rb here since there were so many wideouts in this area to choose from, but CeeDee has tremendous potential.  Slot wide receiver that is Julio-esque on a high scoring offense?  That’s a good recipe right there.  Etienne in the 4th.  This one was a bit of a reach for me.  We don’t know what the Jags offense is going to look like.  They have some pieces to compete, but James Robinson and Carlos Hyde are both there.  I think Etienne will be more 3rd down back and gadget player then true Rb, making this pick a little risky.  I would’ve snagged another great wideout in this round or chosen a different running back like Edmonds or Mike Davis.  Dak in the 5th to stack with CeeDee.  Now that could be fun to watch.  I liked the Tee Higgins and Jerry Jeudy picks in the next two rounds.  Getting some young and talented wideouts.  I was eyeing Jeudy in the 7th when you snagged him from me.   Melvin Gordon in the 8th was good value.  I liked Tyler Higbee in the 9th as well.

Draft Grade: C.  This team has a lot of potential, but they really need to get fully healthy.  I see a lot of Questionable designations in your future.  Running Backs, both starters and depth appear lacking significantly.

  1. Brad

I was targeting Davante Adams, Travis Kelce or Tyreek Hill here.  I was fully prepared to snag whichever one fell to me.  Then there were 8 straight Running Backs taken.  Then after doing some arithmetic I realized if I didn’t take a Rb now, then I would be left with just injured CEH or no Rbs after the turn.  I had to sacrifice Adams and Kelce to secure a Rb, knowing I could get a top Wr in the 2nd.  I chose Aaron Jones.  He’s finished Top 5 Fantasy Rb in back to back seasons despite Jamaal Williams stealing a large percentage of the backfield market share.  Insert AJ Dillon and I don’t see the percentage of carries going down.  Jones is the superior pass-catching back, which makes him more valuable in my opinion.  In the 2nd after the Kelce’s and Adam’s and slew of Rb’s were taken I was left with Tyreek Hill.  Some analysts have Tyreek ranked as high as #3 Overall given the targets vacated by the departure of Sammy Watkins.  There might be some Touchdown regression from his 15 from a year ago, but we all know the Cheetah can add some Big Play Bonus points this season.  Jones-Hill is a solid Rb-Wr combo to start the draft.  Chris Carson in the 3rd is a boring pick.  Picking Carson over Darrell Henderson, David Montgomery, and JK Dobbins might come back to haunt Brad.  Henderson is #1 on the Rams, Montgomery finished Rb#4 last year and Dobbins was Brad’s guy last year.  Carson has been solid, but just a boring, safe pick for Rb#2.  Speaking of boring safe picks, Brad gets Allen Robinson in the 4th for his 2nd Wr.  This gives a solid core of Jones-Carson-Hill-Robinson.  Little explosion, decent floor.  Not bad.  In the 5th Brad chose Browns 1B Rb Kareem Hunt.  The most talented backup Rb in the league.  If Chubb gets injured Hunt turns into a Top 10 Rb, if Chubb stays healthy, Brad has a decent Rb3/Flex player.  Flexcuff I believe is the term.  I don’t think anyone would have a problem with Kyle Pitts in the 6th round.  Rookie Tight Ends typically struggle in their first year, but we know Pitts was a monster at Florida.  Tyler Boyd in the 7th was another boring pick.  He will probably be the least explosive, but most consistent Wideout for the Bengals this season.  Looking forward to those 5 catches for 60 yards games in my flex spot on occasion.  AJ Dillon in the 8th round.  At worst he’s a handcuff to Aaron Jones, at best he is another Flexcuff.  He’s a big dude, so we’ll see what happens.  More boring picks with Corey Davis and Kenyan Drake on new teams.  Matt Stafford at Qb.  Went safe with Baltimore D/ST.

Draft Grade: A.  Solid team. Don’t see a weakness.

  1. Katon

Travis Kelce.  Yes 100% yes.  From a value based drafting standpoint this was the correct decision.  In the 2nd you were able to snag Joe Mixon as your Rb #1.  Everyone is saying this is the year.  Maybe it actually will be with Gio Bernard gone?  In the 3rd round you took David Montgomery as your Rb2.  I don’t hate it.  Mike Evans in the 4th as your first wideout isn’t bad.  When Tom Brady gets inside the Red Zone he’s looking for Evans.  Their connection on fades last year was crazy.  James Robinson in the 5th was okay.  Little risky and maybe too early in my opinion.  They have Etienne and Carlos Hyde, so I don’t know if Robinson will be a fraction of what he did last year.  But we’ll see.  JuJu in the 6th was an okay choice.  He’s in the slot which typically helps with floors due to it being half ppr.  But with Johnson and Claypool his ceiling is pretty capped.  Zach Moss in the 7th could be a good value.  Starting Running Back in Round 7 sounds legit, but we’ll see how he does this year.  I really like Laviska Shenault in the 8th.  Some analysts have compared him to a young Brandon Marshall.   In Rounds 9 and 10 you snagged Bucs stack of Tom Brady and TB D/ST. Way too early for a defense, but the Brady-Evans stack is pretty cool.  Snagged some decent backups.

Draft Grade: B+.  This is a Katon team.

  1. Scotty

Davante Adams.  Yes 100% yes.  What a value to have the best wide receiver in the league fall in your lap at the 11th pick, with 3+ rb’s left, so you knew you would be able to snag a good one after the turn.  Najee Harris is due for a bazillion carries this season, so between Adams and Najee you probably have the best combination in the entire league when it comes to Rb-Wr to start the draft.  Phenomenal.  Darrell Henderson in the 3rd was a great pick.  Rams with Stafford, solid defense, Sean McVay, the sky is the limit if he can stay healthy this season.  Mark Andrews in the 4th was okay.  I’m not so high on him, but with all the injuries to the Ravens wide receivers, I don’t judge you for this pick.  He could start off the season on fire.  DJ Moore was a good value in Round 5.  Justin Herbert in Round 6 was okay.  I think the team will be more balanced this year, but he flashed his talents for the world to see last year during his OROY.  I didn’t care for your picks in Rounds 7, 8, 9 and 10 with Trey Sermon, DJ Chark, David Johnson and Marquise Brown.  Sermon was a decent pick, but I’m not high on Chark with Shenault getting better, and Marvin Jones coming on strong.   I loved the Michael Pittman pick in Round 11 and I think he will have a much better season than Chark or Brown.  Rams D/ST was solid.

Draft Grade: A-.  Later rounds were bleh, but hell of a core.  Rb Depth is a problem.   (Which is normal in this league)

  1. Trey

Trey had options at the 12/13 turn.  He could’ve gone Hill-Diggs, Rb-Wr, but knowing the Wr talent that falls to the back of the 3rd/4th he went Rb-Rb-Wr-Rb getting a trio of Sophomore Studs in Johnathan Taylor, Antonio Gipson and JK Dobbins.  Best Rb trio in the league?  Bob Trees was a good pick as a Wr#1.  He’s consistent, he’s solid, Stafford is going to love him.  In Rounds 5 and 6 it made out like poetry.  It was the best of times, it was the worst of times.  I love the TJ Hockensen pick.  I think Goff is going to target him A LOT this season.  I was hoping he would fall back to me, but you snagged him.  Kenny Golladay was.. blah.  I just don’t see it.  Golladay is a talent, but he’s an entitled talent on a Giants team with Daniel Jones at Qb, with the presence of Sterling Shepherd, Darius Slayton, Evan Engram, Kyle Rudolph and rookie Kadarius Toney.  That’s a lot of mouths to feed on a potentially really bad team.  I didn’t care for the Sutton or Devonta Smith picks in Rounds 7 and 8 either.  Now in Rounds 9/10 I really liked the Jalen Hurts-Darnell Mooney picks.  Mooney is going to be a better than the previous three wideouts you chose I believe.  Hurts, as long as the Watson rumors get squashed and he truly starts for the Eagles would be a good value.  Dual threat Qb’s tend to have better floors.  Gage and Tua was a similar strategy the next round.  Seems like after drafting the 3 Rb’s in your first 4 picks you might have panic bought up on crappy wideouts instead of building depth at Rb.

Draft Grade: B.  Should be a fun, young team to watch, but picking which wide receivers to start each week is going to be a nightmare for you.

Draft Grades In Order:

  1. Kenny- A
  2. Brad- A
  3. Scotty- A-
  4. Katon- B+
  5. Tommy B+
  6. Mustafa B+
  7. Chase B+
  8. Trey- B
  9. Jen/Mel- B
  10. Mike- B
  11. Joe- C+
  12. JD- C

*Remember, my grades are never correct.  Also, with the divisions set the way they are anything can happen. Best of Luck this season!

BBY 2020: Super Bowl 12 Preview

BBY 2020 Super Bowl 12 Preview      

3. Mike (Regular Season: 8-5, Playoffs 2-0) vs. 1. Kenny (Regular Season: 9-4, Playoffs 1-0)

Preview: The last Super Bowl to feature two teams that had not won a title was 2017 when Jen faced Trey in Super Bowl 9.  This is Mike’s second Super Bowl appearance, but first since 2009 in Super Bowl I.  This is Kenny’s first Super Bowl appearance.

How They Got Here:

Kenny- 6th Pick.  Dalvin Cook fell to Kenny with contract and injury concerns.  5 Running Backs were drafted ahead of him and yet entering the Super Bowl week Dalvin Cook is the #1 Fantasy Running Back.  In the 2ndRound he was fortunate to have Tyreek Hill fall to him after Joe took Mike (hehe) Evans before him.  That would be #1 Fantasy Wide Receiver Tyreek Hill.  In the next two rounds Kenny took veteran running backs on different teams in 22. Todd Gurley and 17. Melvin Gordon III.  These picks weren’t sexy, but Melvin Gordon scored 5 touchdowns against me in our three matchups this season and I hate him for it.  He then took #6 DK Metcalf in Round 5 and #5 Stefon Diggs in Round 6.  For those keeping track: #1 Rb, #1Wr, #22 Rb, #17 Rb, #6 Wr, #5 Wr.  The rest of his draft sucked, but that didn’t matter.  You go 6/6 in your first six rounds and you’re going to compete.  Adding Rookie Phenom #8 Qb Justin Herbert for $21 was a superb move for a team that seemed to be a Qb away from making a run at this thing.  Kenny wind up scoring 1676.4 regular season points on his way to $200 and a Points Leader winner.  

Mike- 1st Pick.  Mike is in the Super Bowl despite not having his #1 Overall Pick Christian McCaffrey in all but three games this season.  Mike smartly bid $63 for Mike Davis once McCaffrey went down.  Davis has filled in admirably for CMC, but he’s #15 Running Back.  At the 2nd/3rd turn Mike went George Kittle and David Johnson.  Kittle has been effective when playing, but he too was injured, missing 9 games this season.  He averages 14.3 when he actually plays.  #27 Rb David Johnson also missed 5 games due to injury.  In the 4th Round Mike selected #14 AJ Brown who missed 3 games earlier in the season.  In Round 5 Mike busted with TY Hilton.  Hilton scored single digits for the first 11 weeks of the fantasy season.  In the 6thround Mike took Deebo Samuel, who you guessed it… missed 6 games due to injury.  Then in the 7th round Mike struck gold with #2 Qb Kyler Murray.  Mike’s greatest pick though came in Round 11.  He took Justin Jefferson out of LSU.  The rookie is Wide Receiver #7.  Incredible value in Round 11.  The rest was crap.  A saavy move for Mike was picking up Corey Davis for $0 from Free Agency.  He somehow is the #20 Wide Receiver. 

Summary: Kenny was healthy and crushed his first 6 rounds.  Mike was extremely injury riddled this season, but was fortunate to have BY FAR the lowest Points Against (1298.8) the next closest team was Katon with 1407.2.  A difference of 108.4 points.  Would you rather by lucky or good?  

With all that said… none of it matters.  All that matters is what happens in Week 16.

Matchups:

Mike- Mike has #2 Kyler Murray versus San Francisco on Saturday after Christmas.  He last faced San Fran all the way back in Week 1 to the tune of 26.3 fantasy points including 91 rushing yards.  #27 David Johnson faces #17 OPRK Cincinnati with Duke Johnson out of the contest.  This bodes well for DJ from a volume standpoint, which is the reason why he was drafted at the beginning of the third round to begin with.  #15 Mike Davis faces #5 OPRK against that NASTY Washington defensive line.  I’m not sure how effective he’ll be in what might be a defensive affair.  #12 AJ Brown and #20 Corey Davis is against a solid Green Bay secondary on Sunday Night Football.  Star Rookie #7 Wide Receiver Justin Jefferson faces a tough Saints defense in the Dome on Christmas Day.  George Kittle has been activated from IR in time to face an Arizona defense that has been racking up sacks lately.  We’ll have to see if Kittle if Full Go or if he is on a snap count.  As of right now Mike has Indy D/ST versus Pittsburgh instead of Tampa Bay versus a Detroit offense who will have a play caller that hasn’t called plays in forever because their coaching staff got hammered with Covid procedures this week.  Mike has darling #1 Kicker Younghoe Koo versus Kansas City.  Kickers like Koo make fantasy fun.  

Kenny- Kenny has #8 Justin Herbert versus Denver.  In Week 8 Herbert scored 21.1 throwing for 278 yards and 3 touchdowns with a couple interceptions.  #1 Rb Dalvin Cook has a tough matchup against a stout Saints defensive line.  But he’s virtually matchup proof as evident from his 27.4 against Chicago last week to spank Brad’s ass back to 1 Ball Land.  #17 Melvin Gordon faces LAC.  He only managed 7.7 fantasy points in their first outing against the Chargers.  #1 Tyreek Hill gets 32nd ranked Atlanta OPRK.  A virtual smash spot yet Kenny will have to watch as Hill gets the Questionable designation.  Hill faces the worst defense guarding receivers and Kenny’s Wide Receiver #2/3 #6 DK Metcalf faces the best defense at guarding receivers.  LA Rams with #1 OPRK.  Metcalf had BY FAR his worst game of the season going up against Jalen Ramsey and the Rams secondary for a measily 3.8 fantasy points.  We’ll see if he gets shut down again or if he gets revenge for the first outing.  At tight end, Kenny’s only weakness, he has either #18 Dallas Goedert or #17 Tyler Higbee.  Goedert gets Dallas who he scored 2 fantasy points against in Week 8 and Higbee gets Seattle who he scored 7.5 against in Week 10.  Kenny is flipping a coin and hoping one of them catches a TD in this one.  #5 Stefon Diggs Monday Night Football matchup at New England isn’t as daunting given their top Corner Stephon Gilmore landed on IR and NE is out of the playoff hunt.  #3 Dolphins D/ST against LV or #4  Rams D/ST against Russel Wilson and Seattle.  Right now Kenny has Dolphins in his lineup against a Las Vegas team that has nothing to lose as they are out of the playoff hunt.  Kenny has old Mr. Reliable #6 Kicker Justin Tucker.  

Final Thoughts:

This was shaping up to be a David vs. Goliath matchup.  Kenny looks unstoppable scoring 150.3 during the bye week and 142.6 in the Final Four.  Mike had scored 106.8 in Round 1, but then exploded in Round 2 with 151.0 points.  Kenny has the better team.  We know this.  But in Fantasy it’s all about strategy and luck.  Anybody can start the right person or the wrong person.  Last year I started the wrong Wide Receiver after losing my top Rb and top Wr and I lost by 1 point.  Whoever wins will win their first title, will win cash, and have the trophy shipped to them by Moose.  I don’t know who will win, but I’m sure we are in for a fun Super Bowl, that’s stretches over Christmas Day game, Saturday games, Sunday Night Football, and Monday Night Football.  Best of luck to both of you.  May the odds be ever in your favor. 

Bottom Bowl:

Joe vs. Moose:

Winner gets 6 balls, Loser gets 5 balls.  Congrats guys you already “won”

JD vs. Chase

Winner gets 4 balls, Loser gets 3 balls.  Not too shabby.

Scotty vs. Tommy

Winner gets 2 balls, Loser gets 1 ball and the shame of being the worst fantasy player this season.  Come on Scotty, don’t take my high draft grade all the way down man.  My ego can’t take it.  

Thank you all for a wonderful season everyone.  God Bless and I look forward to the draft lottery next season!  Now let’s enjoy Mike and Kenny in Super Bowl 12!

BBY 2020: Round 2 Playoffs

BBY Dream Team League 2020 Playoffs: Round 2

Quick Recap:

4. Brad defeated 5. Katon in a shootout 160-142.5 and 3. Mike defeated 6. Jen 106.8-82.2.  Bracket still appears to be lopsided setting up a potential David vs. Goliath Super Bowl.  Kenny, Katon, and Brad combined to score 452.8 (average of 150.9) as opposed to Jen, Mike, and Trey combining to score 272.6 (average of 90.9).  Of course anyone can beat anyone any given week.    

Final Four Resume’s:

Kenny: 0-1 in Final Four matchups

Brad: 5-2 in Final Four matchups

Mike: 1-2 in Final Four matchups

Trey: 1-1 in Final Four matchups

Round 2:

Round 2 brings us a beautifully symmetrical bracket.  1-2-3-4 seeds advanced for BBY Supremacy.  Also, the four remaining teams represent the contiguous United States.  Mike represents the North in North Dakota, Brad the West in California, Trey the East in South Carolina, and Kenny the South in Louisiana.  It’s kind of like Game of Thrones.   Mike is the Starks representing the North.  Which of course would make his sigil a Dire Wolf.  Kenny being from the South would make him the Lannister’s who controlled King’s Landing for most of the show.  His sigil would be a Golden Lion, which also equates with all those Points he scored.  Trey would be House Baratheon whose house traditionally rules the Stormlands on the Eastern coast of Westeros and who’s sigil is a Mighty Stag.  And Brad would be House Greyjoy because this fantasy group’s perception of a small surgery that he had on a dilated vein running from his kidney to my left testicle is the equivalent of having his dick chopped off like Theon Greyjoy.  I digress.  

4. Brad vs. 1. Kenny

Preview: Kenny beat Brad twice in the regular season, edged out Brad for Points Winner, and is more handsome.  Brad has the #1 Quarterback, #2 Running Back and #1 Tight End.  Kenny has #1 Running Back, #1 Wide Receiver, AND the #3 Wide Receiver, AND the #4 Wide Receiver, and #2 Defense.  

Matchup Notables:  Brad’s #1 Patrick Mahomes and #1 Travis Kelce (along with Kenny’s #1 Tyreek Hill) face a tough Saints Defense.  This game is being played in the SuperDome where Tyreek Hill may be able to crack the sound barrier on a deep route.  Brad’s #2 Derrick Henry faces OPRK 31st Detroit, setting up an on-paper smash spot.  Kenny’s trio of wideouts have tough(er) matchups in #1 Tyreek Hill vs. #8 OPRK New Orleans, #3 DK Metcalf vs. #4 OPRK Washington, and #4 Stefon Diggs vs. #10 OPRK Denver.  #1 Rb Dalvin Cook hasn’t done great against #8 OPRK Chicago’s defense.  But Kenny has a Diamond in the Rough in #2 D/ST LA Rams versus #32 OPRK the hapless New York Jets.  That is going to be a slaughter and Kenny could easily get north of 20 points there. 

Final Thoughts: Brad would need to have a lot of fortunate chain of events to take place to defeat the Top Seed in the playoffs.  

3. Mike vs. 2. Trey

Preview: Trey defeated Mike 113.4 to 109.7 in Week 10.  This is their first playoff matchup.  Trey has #4 and #8 Running Backs.  Mike has #2 Quarterback and #8 Wide Receiver.  

Matchup Notables: Mike has #15 Rb Mike Davis vs. #29th OPRK GB Packers on Saturday, and his Titans Stack of #13 AJ Brown and #25 Corey Davis face #27th OPRK Detroit Lions.  Trey has all matchups which feature middle of the pack OPRK’s with the exception of TY Hilton who faces #24 OPRK Houston Texans.  TY has been on a tear the last 3 weeks averaging 21.1 points per game.  

Final Thoughts:  This matchup could go either way.  Interesting note to add is Mike’s #2 Qb Kyler Murray facing Rookie Jalen Hurts in a game against one another.  Who wins between Sophomore and Rookie?  

Bottom Bowl:

Game 1: Moose vs. Chase: 

Super Bowl 10 Rematch sets friends against one another.  Winner is guaranteed 5-6 balls in Game 1 of Round 3. Loser is guaranteed 3-4 balls in Game 2 of Round 3.

Game 2: Joe vs. Tommy

Friends become enemies.  Enemies become friends.  This is the most important and volatile game in the Bottom Bowl.  Game 2 of Round 2.  The winner is guaranteed 5 or 6 balls in Game 1 of Round 3.  The loser; however, shoots down to Game 3 of Round 3 and can either win 2 balls or only have 1 ball like the playoff teams.  Since it’s so volatile it would be a perfect time for a… kicker bowl?

Game 3: JD vs. Scotty

Winner moves on to Game 2 of Round 2 and is guaranteed 3 or 4 balls.  Loser moves on to Game 3 of Round 3 and will either win 2 balls or only get 1 ball.  

Best of Luck Everyone!  I certainly hope Justin Herbert doesn’t go to Overtime and instead of finishing with 19.7 fantasy points hit a bomb and go over 300 yards and then rush for a game winning touchdown in overtime to give Kenny a 30.8 point head start against me this week!    

BBY 2020 Playoffs Round 1 Preview

Playoff Preview Round 1

Welcome to the Playoff Preview for the 2020 Playoffs of the 12th year of the Best Buy Dream Team League.  Couple more prepositions and that sentence would have gotten really annoying.   First analysis of the bracket shows that it is a bit lopsided.  1. Kenny (Points For: 1676.4) will play the winner of 4. Brad (Points For: 1637.2) and 5. Katon (Points For: 1506.3).  The average Points For on this side of the bracket is 1606.6.  On the other side we have 2. Trey (Points For: 1504.8) will play the winner of 3. Mike (Points For: 1508.3) vs. 6. Jen (Points For: 1282.2).  The average Points For on this side of the bracket is 1431.8.  Of course, in the Fantasy Playoffs it doesn’t matter how you got there.  It matters that you got in.  Because if you got in then you have a shot.  A shot… at winning a Championship.  Only two teams out of the six have won Super Bowls before (Trey: 2017, Brad: 2009, 2011).  Five teams have made it to Super Bowls before (Jen lost to Trey in 2017, Katon lost to Chase in 2016, and Mike lost to Brad in 2009).  Then there is Kenny.  Kenny has never made it to a Super Bowl, but he comes into the bracket as the #1 Seed and won the Points Leader Title for 2020, winning him some cash in the process.  ($180).  Of course, I would be remiss to not mention how crazy of a season it’s been.  Dealing with suspended games, players unexpectedly going on COVID Reserve lists, on top of another injury riddled season.  It has been challenging to make the right calls and it’s another reminder of how little we control in fantasy.  We control a lot, but luck and circumstance control a lot too.  Best of Luck to the four playoffs teams squaring off this week.  May the odds be ever in your favor.  

Byes: 1. Kenny, 2. Trey

Playoff Resumes’:

Kenny: Appearances: 3, Record: 1-3, SB Appearances: 0, SB Wins: 0

Trey: Appearances: 4, Record: 4-3, SB Appearances: 1, SB Wins: 1 (2017)

3. Mike (8-5) vs. 6. Jen (7-6)

Playoff Resumes’:

Mike: Appearances: 3, Record: 2-3, SB Appearances: 1, SB Wins: 0

Jen: Appearances: 2, Record: 1-2, SB Appearances: 1, SB Wins: 0

Preview: The winner of Mike and Jen will go on to face the 2 Seed Trey.  These two have not met head-to-head in the playoffs previously.

X Factor Players: 

Mike’s x factor player: Christian McCaffrey.  Run CMC was out for most of the 2020 campaign dealing with a high ankle sprain, then when he returns, he injured his shoulder/ribs.  In the three contests he participated in he averaged 27.3 points per game.  He is looking good to be active in this one to the detriment of Jen’s playoff hopes.   

Jen’s x factor player: #6 DeAndre Hopkins.  D-Hop has struggled lately as much of the Cardinals offense has struggled.  In the last three weeks Hopkins has averaged 10.3 points per game.  For the season he averages 15.6 points per game, but he hasn’t been consistent.  He has scored over 20+ points in 5 contests and less than 10 points in 5 contests.  So which Hopkins will show up for Jen?  To advance she needs the 20+, which may be a difficult ask given Hopkins potential shadow coverage from lockdown corner James Bradberry on an underrated Giants Defense.  

Matchup Notables:

Mike- #16 AJ Brown faces a very beatable Jacksonville secondary ranked 30th in OPRK.  He was out the first time the Titans played the Jags and should post solid numbers in this game, which has a weird look of a shootout to it.  #4 Justin Jefferson is at Tampa Bay who gave up 269 receiving yards to Tyreek Hill a couple of weeks ago.  Tampa is coming off of a bye and sometimes teams can be a bit unpredictable following a bye week.  Some come out and look great, others come out and get destroyed.  Will be something to watch.

Jen- #6 Deshaun Watson plays @ Chicago.  Chicago is beatable in the secondary, but they have their moments.  They sit OPRK 9th and have been tough for opposing Quarterbacks; however, in the past two weeks they have given up almost 300 yards passing per game and 7 passing touchdowns.  On Sunday the current weather projection shows a high in Chicago of 32 degrees with a low of 21 degrees.     

Brad’s Final Thoughts:

Looking at the matchups Jen’s chances are slim.  It would be a huge upset for Jen to take out Mike and advance to the semifinals against Trey.  Of course, Mike had some favorable matchups in Week 5 too.  Jen defeated Mike 148.3 to 103.3 back then.  Who wins this one?

4. Brad (8-5) vs. 5. Katon (7-6)

Playoff Resumes’:

Brad: Appearances: 9, Record: 11-7, SB Appearances: 5, SB Wins: 2 (2009, 2011)

Katon: Appearances: 4, Record: 3-4, SB Appearances: 1: SB Wins: 0

Preview: The winner of Brad and Katon will go on to face the 1 Seed Kenny.  These two met in the playoffs in 2016 with Katon defeating Brad 153.5 to 97.9. This is Brad’s 10th playoff appearance in 12 seasons.   

X Factor Players:

Brad- #1 Travis Kelce might be the most valuable player in fantasy this season.  Given how bad the tight end position has been (of course last week there was a bit of an explosion from Darren Waller and other tight ends like Mike Gesicki and Logan Thomas had solid games). His 17.8 points per game is equivalent of having the #5 Fantasy Running Back in the Tight End slot.  He is Brad’s X Factor.  He has a test this week against Miami who is striving to convince the league of their validity as a playoff contender.  Beating the Chiefs might just accomplish that, but is easier said than done.  

Katon- #5 Aaron Rodgers.  In the last 7 games Rodgers has been a model of consistency, scoring between 22.5 and 31.9 fantasy points, and tossing multiple touchdowns in every one of those games.  On the season he averaged 24.7 points per game and should be a solid foundation for Katon’s point total in Round 1.  A dome game at Detroit isn’t a bad thing to keep that production moving forward.    

Matchup Notables:

Brad- His Chiefs Stack of #1 Patrick Mahomes/#1 Travis Kelce faces Miami.  In the last three weeks the Miami defense has given up an average of 7.9 fantasy points to opposing fantasy quarterbacks.  Now those Quarterbacks came from the Broncos, the Jets, and the Bengals.  Their kryptonite has been mobile quarterbacks with Cam Newton (25.7), Josh Allen (39.5), Russel Wilson (23.9) and Kyler Murray (40.8).  Mahomes may need to use his feet more in this one, which he has done some this season.  He rushed for over 25 yards in 6 games this season.  #3 Derrick Henry faces OPRK #29 Jacksonville coming off of a game where the Titans got destroyed (although their comeback makes it look a lot closer than it was) against the Browns last week and will be angry this week.  Derrick Henry facing Jacksonville twice this season was one of Brad’s main motivations for drafting him over Alvin Kamara.  In Week 2 Henry only got 8.4 fantasy points against them.  Brad will need these three to do average or better to have a shot to advance.    

Katon- #12 David Montgomery faces Houston ranked 31 OPRK.  Since the bye week Run D. Monty has averaged 25.5 fantasy points.  Potential smash spot for Montgomery who has been a true workhorse for Chicago the past two weeks.  #5 Keenan Allen also has a great matchup against Atlanta’s 31 OPRK. Atlanta averages 38 fantasy points against them per game to the Wide Receiver position.  Unless Mike Williams or James Guyton steps up, I imagine most of those points heading Allen’s way this week.  

Brad’s Final Thoughts:

Both teams are Top Heavy with a large percentage of their points coming from 3 players.  If Mahomes, Henry, and Kelce are cancelled out by Rodgers, Montgomery, and Allen, then this matchup might come down to everyone else.  Katon has better Rb2 in Nick Chubb facing Baltimore, Brad’s Wr1 Terry McLaurin could be a factor.  Honestly this game is pretty close to a toss up.  But given the matchups I think Katon’s big 3 have more potential to go off than Brad’s big 3.  So I’m inclined to believe that Katon may be favored to win ever so slightly.  

Bottom Bowl Preview:

Let’s talk about what you really came here for.  Balls.  That’s right, lottery balls that can won to increase one’s chance at a higher draft pick.  It worked out well with those with a Top 4 Pick this year.  The draft picks that made the playoffs were 1, 2, 4, 6, 8, and 12.  So either you need to be #1 or get an even number.  Except of course for Scotty at #10 who got Brad’s Draft Grade kiss of death.  I digress, Bottom Bowl!

7. Chase (6-7) vs. 8. Tommy (6-7)

Chase won both regular season matchups against Tommy and they meet yet again.  The winner of this game will be in Game 1 of the second round and will already guarantee themselves 3 or more balls in the draft lottery next year.  So there is a lot at stake.  Chase opens up as a near 29 point favorite.  Had Chase’s luck gone slightly differently in the regular season his team has the potential of a post season run.  That run is still available just to win a potential higher draft pick next year.  Russell Wilson faces the Jets who are decent at stopping the run, but have given up 29+ fantasy points in 5 games this season.  Davante Adams faced Detroit, so 30 points isn’t a bad projection for him.  He averages 23.6 for God’s sake.  Tommy’s team is decent on paper with Top 10 Qb, 2 Top 10 Rb, 2 Top 18 WR, but Zeke getting neutered from the Dak injury, Kareem Hunt crapping out since Chubb’s return, and Kenny Golladay’s hip injury have pushed Tommy to the outside looking in.  And now a tough match against Chase.  A loss would put him in the Game 2 of Round 2, which is the most volatile Bottom Bowl game of the postseason.  Can Tommy pull off the upset and avenge his two losses in the regular season?

9. JD (5-8) vs. 10. Moose (5-8)

Moose won back-to-back titles and was striving for a three peat but wasn’t able to scrape together enough wins to make the playoffs despite scoring the third most points in the league and scoring the most in his division.  The salt in the wound thing about this season for Moose has to be the fact that the three other teams in his division all made the playoffs.  As you know in this league we practice “prima nocta” with the Champion being able to select the first team to be in their division.  JD started off rough, but he pulled off possibly the most lopsided trade in history this year.  Securing #3 Qb Josh Allen and #6 Rb Antonio Gibson for #11 Rb Kenyan Drake and a handcuff.  Unfortunately for JD he won’t have Gibson this week due to a turf toe injury, so he’ll have to rely on someone else to try and get him past Moose and into the coveted Game 1 of Round 2.  His key to victory will be #5 Aaron Jones versus Detroit.  Moose’s team exploded last week and enters this matchup out for blood.  Lamar Jackson @ Cleveland could help with that. 

11. Joe (4-9) vs. 12. Scotty (4-9)

Just realized the symmetry of the Bottom Bowl.  6-7 vs. 6-7, 5-8 vs. 5-8, and 4-9 vs. 4-9.  Joe stacked the Steelers this season and coupled them with Rookie Running Backs.  It looked good and I thought the strategy was going to work.  Then Steelers spread the ball out a lot making JuJu inconsistent and have a capped ceiling.  The rookies were impacted by crowded backfields, with Chiefs signing Le’veon Bell and the Colts relying on a rotation with Nyheim Hines stealing a lot of the valuable touches from Jonathan Taylor.  Scotty just got hit with the injury bug and he got hit hard.  Ekeler, Sanders, Conner, Dak.  Too many assets missing too many games to catch any momentum.  He traded injured Sanders for healthy Godwin and Godwin breaks a finger.  Par for the course.  The winner of this game moves on the volatile Game 2 in Round 2, the loser already is out of a chance at 6 and 5 balls and will secure 4 or less.  

Good Luck Everybody!

BBY 2020: Week 6 Recap & Week 7 Preview

I apologize for not doing a write up last week.  The week simply got away from me.  This week’s write up was late as well due to a migraine on Tuesday.  All is well. 

Week 6 Recap

Katon (3-3) 84.8 vs. Tommy (3-3) 89.6

Katon got 15.0 points from the New York Giants Defense and 3.8 points from Aaron Rodgers and only lost by 4.8.  Tommy was led by Kenny Golladay’s 15.5.  Difference in the game was Kicker with Katon getting 2 from Stephen Gostkowski and Tommy get 10 from Joey Slye.  Tommy abandoned Stephen Gostkowski and Katon tried to turn him against him. Gostkoswki’s loyalties lie with Tommy. It sometimes comes down to the kicker.

Jen (5-1) 97.4 vs. JD (1-5) 85.7

The other “close” game of the week was Battle of the J’s.  Jen got 35 from Deshaun Watson who accounted for 35.9% of her total point output.  JD 5 starters in single digits and nobody scored over 15.  Another tough loss for JD who falls to 1-5 and has a tremendous uphill climb if he is to make the playoffs. 

Kenny (5-1) 78.3 vs. Mike (4-2) 150.1

Kenny’s first loss of the season comes at the hands of a 71.8 point ass whooping from Mike.  Kenny’s worst game of the year corresponded with Mike’s best game of the year.  Kenny had averaged 132.6 per game prior to this matchup.  He was without DK Metcalf (Bye) and Dalvin Cook (injury) and started the wrong Qb Bridgewater (9.4 points) over Ryan (34.6).  Mike was destined to smash in this contest.  His starting lineup put up 150.1, but had he started the right defense and flex he could’ve scored 182.5.  Justin Jefferson got him 38.1, Kyler Murray 28.8, George Kittle 23.4, and AJ Brown 20.1.  That’ll do.

Trey (4-2) 89.4 vs. Brad (3-3) 159.0

Brad rebounds from his 0.1 loss in Week 6 with a near 60 point curb stomping of Trey.  Trey was without his first two picks Josh Jacobs and Chris Carson.  His 89.4 was a noble effort and would’ve beaten half the league this week with 26.3 from Will Fuller and 17.9 from Cam Newton.  Mike Gesicki retired for some reason.  Brad had his first monster outing from Derrick Henry as he exploded with 46.4 points.  Brad went into Monday down by 10.4 points and got a combined 71.1 from Mahomes, Kelce, Drake, and his kicker.  This was capped off by a long touchdown run in garbage time by Kenyan Drake. 

Chase (2-4) 72.7 vs. Moose (2-4) 145.2

Moose exploded for his best game of the year getting 32.7 from Julio Jones, 31.2 from Lamar Jackson, 28.1 from Ronald Jones, 19.9 from Trey Burton, and 16.1 from his $66 man Chase Claypool.  No Alvin Kamara, no Darren Waller, no problem for Moose who has won 2 out of his last 3 games and looks poised to be a problem down the stretch.  Chase was without Russel Wilson, Michael Thomas, and Hunter Henry due to byes and their replacements combined for less than 30 points.  7 starters in single digits and nobody scored more than 14.6.  Where was this last week? 

Scotty (2-4) 86.6 vs. Joe (2-4) 103.1

Scotty’s team has been ravaged by injuries.  He picked up Andy Dalton who struggled mightily against the Cardinals, Miles Sanders injured his knee and missed the rest of the game, and he got a 0 from his Tight End.  Joe got solid performances from CEH with 21.9 and Steeler’s D/ST with 19.  Enough to get the W.

Week 7 Preview:

Brad (3-3) vs. Katon (3-3)

A couple middle of the pack teams fighting to stay in the playoff race.  Brad draws some terrible matchups with his KC Stack versus Denver @ Denver, Derrick Henry faces the Juggernaut Pittsburgh Defense, and Kenyan Drake faces Seattle who has been good against the run.  Terry McLaurin is his one bright spot this week drawing the ghost of the Cowboys team who got torched by the Cardinals last week.  Katon has Aaron Rodgers in a potential shootout against the Texans.  David Montgomery faces the Rams, Amari Cooper in the Washington game.  He has other players with favorable matchups like Mixon vs. Cleveland, Noah Fant vs. KC and Keenan Allen vs. Jax, but they are all questionable for the contest.  In 3 Wins Brad has averaged 147.1.  In 3 Losses Brad has averaged 98.6.  This certainly looks like a 98.6 week and not a 147 week.

Trey (4-2) vs. Chase (2-4)

Trey gets back Josh Jacobs and Chris Carson, which is the good news.  The bad news is Jacobs plays Tampa’s underrated defense who just donkey stomped the Green Bay Packers.  Also there are reports of Raiders linemen getting covid and not following protocols on the bye week, so Jacobs might be getting demolished all game.  Carson is @ Arizona.  In 2 games against the Cardinals last season Carson averaged about 70 rushing yards, 30 receiving yards, and didn’t score in either contest.  Tyler Boyd faces Cleveland again after getting a solid 7-72-1 stat line in their first outing, good for 16.7 fantasy points.  Chase is starting to get healthier, but then trades for another injured player in Miles Sanders.  Chase gets Russel Wilson back and hopes to have Michael Thomas back, but he now is battling ankle and hamstring injuries.  He’s starting two Eagles on Thursday Night Football against the Giants, what could go wrong?  Chase may or may not win this game, but if his team can get fully healthy for the back half of the season he can make a run to the playoffs and beyond.  Wilson-Sanders-Gaskin-Adams-Thomas-Le’Veon sounds dangerous.

Joe (2-4) vs. Mike (4-2)

Joe has some tough matchups this week with Big Ben @ Ten, CEH @ DEN, McKinnon @ NE, and JD McKissic being in Joe’s lineup.  Mike has Kyler Murray in a potential shootout with Seattle.  David Johnson who’s strengths matchup well with GB’s weakness.  This matchup also features some young studs at Wideout with Calvin Ridley for Joe and AJ Brown and Deebo Samuel for Mike.  This should be a good game, but Mike looks to be the early favorite.

JD (1-5) vs. Tommy (3-3)

Tommy lost when he scored 139.8 and won when he scored 89.6.  JD lost when he scored 138.9 and won when he scored 107.8.  So really there’s no telling what the hell is going to happen in this one.  JD’s team isn’t the best, but he has some great matchups.  Josh Allen vs. the Jets, Aaron Jones in potential shootout with Texans, Antonio Gibson in a breakout spot against the shell of the Cowboys, and Phillip Lindsay against KC who will try to keep Mahomes off the field with ball control.  Tommy has Tom Brady @ LV, Zeke @ Washington who’s front seven is highly talented and can take advantage of a severly banged up Dallas O-line, Kareem Hunt is in a smash spot against the Bengals.  He got 23.1 against them in Week 2, his highest point total of the season and that was sharing time with Nick Chubb.  Tommy’s Lions stack of Golladay and Swift face Atlanta’s defense that got Dan Quinn fired.  This has the makings to be a great game with more than likely one of these teams getting another unfortunate loss in a close game.

Moose (2-4) vs. Kenny (5-1)

Kenny was dominating the competition until last week.  Moose was struggling mightily until last week.  Can Kenny bounce back?  Is Moose for real?  Moose will be without Lamar Jackson who is on a bye and Kenny is without Dalvin Cook due to injury/bye.  Moose has Stafford @ Atlanta, Alvin Kamara coming off a bye vs. Carolina, RoJo coming off a monster outing against Vegas, Julio in the Detroit game and Waller vs. Tampa Bay.  Allen Robinson gets his date with Jalen Ramsey.  Kenny has Matt Ryan and Gurley in the Detroit game, Melvin Gordon’s drunk ass against KC, where he also has Tyreek Hill.  Diggs is in a smash spot against the hapless Jets who still haven’t fired Adam Gase for some reason.  DK Metcalf is a monster and Wr #6 post bye week, but will most likely face Patrick Peterson in a fun Wr/CB matchup to watch.  Should be a great game and I can see either team pulling this one out.

Scotty (2-4) vs. Jen (5-1)

Jen in Forrest Gumps voice, “I just kept winning…”  Scotty has been ravaged by injuries, he has Wentz versus the NYG on TNF, Conner @ Tennessee in a marquee AFC matchup, Justin Jackson versus Jacksonville, Jared Cook vs. Carolina, Brandin Cooks versus Green Bay.  So between the Jacksons and the Cooks Scotty is hoping to get a win in the books… Jen loves the D.  Meaning of course that most of her players names start with a D.  Deshaun, Devin, Devery, DeAndre, and DJ are going to battle it out and try to move Jen within 1 game of playoffville population 6.  Scotty makes a trade with Chase to bring in some reinforcements but loses his Miles Sanders in the process.  Now Scotty just has to make the correct starting lineup decisions.  I like Jen’s chances in this one. 

As always, best of luck everyone!

-Brad

BBY 2020: Week 4 Recap & Week 5 Preview

Week 4 Recap:

Katon (3-1) 147.2 vs. JD (0-4) 138.9

JD entered Week 4 with a new team and a new dream.  He took a risk and traded his first round pick Kenyan Drake to Brad for thoroughbred Josh Allen and “This Year’s Miles Sanders” Antonio Gibson.  He was rewarded with 25.3 from Allen and 20.8 from Gibson.  He had 5 players score 19.2 or more and scored his highest point total so far this season with 138.9.  Unfortunately, fate had other plans, and it wasn’t enough to overcome Joe Mixon’s explosion of 42.1 points, Aaron Rodgers 32.5 points, and Amari Cooper’s 30.4 points.  Katon lost Nick Chubb in the Dallas game, but you couldn’t tell with his 147.2 points scored.  JD remains beaten and moves to Week 5 still searching for his first win.

Moose (1-3) 114.0 vs. Joe (1-3) 109.0

Speaking of first win, Moose started non-division games a perfect 1-0 after skunking the first few weeks.  Lamar Jackson set the pace on this one with his 50+ yard rushing touchdown to the tune of 26.9 points.  Kamara continued his excellent season with another 19.4 points.  Ronald Jones played a Chargers defense riddled with injuries and got a respectable 18.8.  Allen Robinson enjoyed having Nick Foles throwing to him with 22.6.  It all came down to Monday Night Football.  CEH got 10.6 for Joe, setting up the Julio vs. Ridley +0.2 match.  Julio got 5.2 in the first half and exited the game due to injury.  Ridley couldn’t corral a would-be touchdown late in the game, when the GB defender punched it out of his hands.  Joe got a 24.7 from Mike Evans, 24.3 from Ryan Fitzmagic, and 19.2 from Jerick McKinnon who received every single first half snap against the Eagles.  Congrats on the first win Moose!

Tommy (1-3) 139.8 vs. Trey (3-1) 154.0

Tommy’s patience in Tom Brady paid off to the tune of 35.3 fantasy points.  Zeke had 16.5, Kareem Hunt had 19.1 and Adam Thielen had 25.2.  Trey’s team was just too powerful.  Scoring his highest point total so far this season with 154.0.  Trey had 7/9 starters in double digits and had 4 of those starters get 22.3 or more.  #6 Rb Chris Carson got 23.5, #5 James Robinson got 12.7, but most impressive was Odell Beckham Jr’s big day with 37.9 points.  He went off against the familiar foe Dallas Cowboys.  Tommy’s best scoring week of the season was still not enough for Trey this week. 

Jen (3-1) 91.6 vs. The Corpse of Chase’s Team (1-3) 85.5

I like Jen’s team because it’s fun.  Joe Burrow who got 18.1, CeeDee Lamb got 22.7, and Devin Singletary got 16.1.  Chase had a noble effort.  The only preseason-intentioned starters were his Qb and Tight End.  His Qb is #2 and got him another 23.9 this week.  His Rams D/ST got him 12.  Everybody else was held to single digits.  When you are starting two tight ends, Devonta Freeman, Myles Gaskin, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Greg Ward wins will be tough to come by. 

Mike (3-1) 139.9 vs. Brad (2-2) 86.5

Enough of these close games, let’s look at a good ole’ fashion ass kickin’.  Super Bowl I rematch ended with Mike trouncing Brad.  Mike got 23 from Kyler Murray, 19.6 from Mike Davis, and 20.8 from two random ass touchdowns for Latavius Murray.  He put the stank on it on SNF with George Kittle’s 35.6 point outing.  If you don’t enjoy watching George Kittle play football then you do not enjoy watching football.  He’s a football player and he’ all Mike’s.  Brad wind up with an impromptu bye week for Derrick Henry and several questions about the KC-NE game that wind up getting postponed a day and wind up a bit of a defensive battle anyway.  Add the (what appears to be) lopsided trade to JD and here Brad is 86.5 points and a bad loss.  Can’t win many games when 4 players score 3.9 or less. 

Kenny (4-0) 141.3 vs. Scotty (2-2) 102.1

Kenny continues his revenge tour, crushing Scotty.  Because of unknowns of the NE-KC game Kenny benched Tyreek Hill and it wind up not mattering.  He got 30.6 from Dalvin Cook, 27.8 from Melvin Gordon III, and 18.8 from Todd Gurley II.  Scotty lost Austin Ekeler to an unfortunate hamstring injury that is looking to sideline him for several weeks.  With Jared Cook out, Scotty turned to Adam Trautman, who was more effective as an almost $0 DFS play rather than a start in season-long leagues.  Tyler Lockett decided not to show up this week and Miles Sanders was held to single digits.  Dak’s 42.2 accounted for 41.3% of Scotty’s point output this week. 

Week 5 Preview:

  1. Kenny (4-0) vs. Katon (3-1)

Putting some respect to Kenny’s name by having his matchup be first this week.  Kenny will have #3 Dalvin Cook @ Seattle on SNF, #10 Melvin Gordon @ NE, #3 DK Metcalf vs. Minnesota, #5 Stefon Diggs @ Tennessee, Tyler Higbee @ Washington, and #8 Tyreek Hill vs. LV.  Two top two running backs and three top eight wide receivers.  4-0.  His challenger this week is Katon.  Katon just lost Nick Chubb for 4-6 weeks and has Aaron Rodgers on a bye.  In comes Jared Goff @ Washington.  He’ll have #7 Joe Mixon @ Baltimore (who just gave up 20+ points to Antonio Gibpson), and #28 Rb David Montgomery on TNF vs. TB.  #2 Amari Cooper faces the exploitable Giants, and #20 Robert Woods joins Goff for the Rams Stack.  This game looks like it’ll come down to Keenan Allen vs. New Orleans on MNF for Katon.  Looks to be a close game. 

Joe (1-3) vs. Tommy (1-3)

Potential Kicker Bowl early in the season here with 1-3 Rivals engage.  Joe will have his Steelers Stack back to attack the Eagles on Sunday.  CEH faces LV, Jonathan Taylor Thomas plays @ Cleveland.  Mike Evans is on TNF against the Bears maybe.  Calvin Ridley may or may not play vs. Carolina.  Tommy has Tom Brady in the Chicago game on TNF.  Zeke faces the Giants and Kareem Hunt faces the Colts.  Adam Thielen will be featured in the SNF Seattle game where the Seattle secondary has been toasted so far this year.  Joe looks to be the favorite here, but in a rivalry game anything can happen.

Trey (3-1) vs. Scotty (2-2)

Another great game this week, features Trey and Scotty.  Trey’s success this season has been overshadowed by Kenny’s undefeated season, but he is right there in the conversation of contenders.  With Cam Newton most likely out next week due to having COVID and Matthew Stafford having a bye week, Trey might be garbage bin hunting Qb’s on the waiver wire.  Scotty will have #1 Qb Dak Prescott against the Giants.  Trey will have #6 Chris Carson who at this point might be more machine than man since he can’t seem to get injured.  He gets knee twisted on dirty hit, still plays.  Concussion protocol during the game, nah he’s fine.  By the end of the year he’s going to look like Red at the end of Pineapple Express.  #5 James Robinson is @ Houston, who may be motivated following the firing of the dictator BOB.  Will Fuller may also be unleashed upon news of BOB’s departure.  Josh Jacobs faces Kansas City.  Scotty won’t have Austin Ekeler for awhile, but he gets back James Conner.  Conner has a tough matchup against Philly.  On the opposite side of the field he’ll also have Miles Sanders going up against a well rested Steelers front.  Scotty will be hoping Tyler Lockett comes back to life in a much anticipated shootout on SNF. 

Jen (3-1) vs. Mike (3-1)

Second highest combined win total squaring off in Week 5 features Jen vs. Mike.  Jen has Burrow @ Baltimore or Watson vs. JAX.  Devin Singletary is @ Tennessee and Devery Henderson faces Washington.  Hopkins plays the Jets who might be led by Joe Flacco this week.  DJ Moore has a pretty matchup vs. Atlanta.  CeeDee Lamb faces the Giants.  For Mike he has Kyler Murray in that Jets game.  David Jonson in the Jax game, and Mike Davis in the Atlanta game.  Interesting juxtaposition of players playing in the same game against one another for Jen/Mike.  I don’t know who wins, but I’ll have nightmares of what George Kittle did to me last week.

Chase (1-3) vs. Brad (2-2)

Chase will be without Davante Adams, Mason Crosby and TJ Hockensen due to bye weeks.  Chris Godwin and Leonard Fournette are Questionable to play on TNF.  We’ll have to wait and see if Michael Thomas and Raheem Mostert are ready to rock or not.  CGM plays on MNF so Chase will need to plan yet again for a MNF person to be potentially out.  But we do know Chase has #2 Russell Wilson in a shootout on SNF.  Brad is still recovering from the ass kicking he received last week by Mike, Covid, and himself in what may go down as the worst trade in the history of the league.  Despite all that, Brad is at full strength (as of Tuesday morning anyway).  #4 Patrick Mahomes faces the Raiders, Derrick Henry has a tough matchup against Buffalo, Kenyan Drake has one last chance to not make Brad look moronic against the hapless Jets.  #12 Terry McLaurin gets Jalen Ramsey and the Rams this week.  Julian Edelman will have God-knows-who throwing him the ball against Denver who will be starting God-knows-who at Qb as well.  #2 Travis Kelce faces the Raiders and Michael Gallup faces the Bears.  Gallup will remain in my Goddamn flex spot every week this year.  I’ll lose weeks because he’s getting less catches and yards than Cedric “Who the hell is” Wilson while Dak throws 500 yards every f-bomb-ing week.  I’d like to imagine Michael Gallup running on the football field like he’s in a field of clovers.  Just prancing around, skipping along, not a care in the world.  Might as well because Dak doesn’t look for the mf-er.  After having the #1 Qb on his bench, Brad now somehow has the #1 TE and #1 Kicker on his bench.      

Moose (1-3) vs. JD (0-4)

Last and certainly least: The matchup with the least number of wins.  Moose finally stopped the madness last week securing his first victory while JD got bum rushed by Katon.  Moose has Lamar Jackson vs. Cincy, #1 Fantasy Rb Kamara vs. the Chargers who made Rojo relevant last week.  Rojo @ Chicago on TNF.  Julio vs. Carolina, Allen Robinson in the TNF game and maybe a couple more starters on MNF.  JD has #3 Josh Allen vs. Tennessee, Antonio Gipson vs. LAR, Hollywood Brown and Mark Andrews vs. Cincy and Robby Anderson vs. Atlanta.  Cardinals D/ST against Joe Flacco’s Jets.  Moose is hoping Lamar Jackson rushes more than he passes this week as JD has his top two pass catchers.  Should be a great game. 

Best of Luck everybody!  Make sure to make as many trades as possible, they always work out, trust me.  😉

BBY Week 2 Recap & Week 3 Preview

Week 2 Recap:

Moose (1-1) 112.2 vs. Katon (1-1) 132.3

Moose has had 5 touchdowns scored from his opponents Rb1 Slot in the first two weeks.  After Trey went off for 134.3 last week, Katon gets 132.3 this week bringing Moose’s average Points Against to 133.3 in an 0-2 start.  Katon’s team was solid all around with 7/9 starters getting to double digits.  You know it’s bad when even the Bears Running Back gets 20 points.  Moose on the other hand appeared to have drew a stinker of a week prior to MNF.  Even the incredible Lamar Jackson had a pedestrian 17.4 outing.  Moose had 6 players score in single digits.    When your players in your Rb1, Rb2, Wr1, Wr2 slots combine for 21.6 you’re going to have a bad time.  Moose entered MNF down by about 80 points.  Darren Waller and Alvin Kamara combined for 59.2 points and winning Brad $17 on DraftKings Showdown slate. 

Jen (1-1) 95.1 vs. Trey (2-0) 147.6

The biggest story for Jen is obviously her losing Saquon Barkley in this one.  #2 Overall pick looking like he tore his ACL and will be done for the year.  Jen’s Wideouts Hopkins, DJ Moore, and CeeDee Lamb carried her team combining for a solid 53.3 points.  Just didn’t have enough for Trey’s team.  Trey got 37.5 from Cam Newton, 18.3 from Chris Carson, 15.4 from Odell Beckham, 15.7 from Hayden Hurst, 14.7 from Mark Ingram, 19 from Bal D/ST, and 15 from Justin Tucker.  Trey outscored Jen’s peripherals 49.7 to 15.7.  This was even more impressive considering Trey got 0 from Will Fuller, who unsurprisingly pulled a hammy in the game.  Trey has now started off the season with games of 134.3 and 147.6, averaging 140.95 and is in 1st place.      

Bradley (1-1) 139.6 vs. JD (0-2) 119.4

This was a hell of a comeback victory for Brad.  JD came out swinging with a MONSTER 48.6 point explosion from Aaron Jones.  After the early afternoon games at 3:07pm Central time Brad was down 90.8 to 10.9.  ESPN at that moment projected JD to win 140.6 to 95.3.  Brad had drafted Derrick Henry so he can smash Jacksonville and they held him to 25 carries for 84 yards.  Luckily for Brad his 2nd and 3rd Round pick combo of Kelce-Mahomes combined for 49.9 points.  He also got much needed reinforcements from McLaurin and Edelman who combined for 49.9 points as well.  Harrison Butker added two 58 yard field goals and amazingly Brad wind up winning by 20.2 points.  JD couldn’t ride Aaron Jones into the sunset due to four starters getting single digits and everyone else on his team scoring 13 points or less.    

Joe (1-1) 112.0  vs. Kenny (2-0) 134.5

2-0 K-Dub!  This is a classic scenario.  Someone gets excited about Thursday Night Football.  They want to watch their player play because there is nothing else going on.  So they start someone that they probably shouldn’t.  Joe threw in AJ Green into his flex spot.  Green got an impressive 13 targets, but only caught 3 of them for a paltry 29 yards.  Meanwhile come Sunday Calvin Ridley went off for the 2nd week in a row to the tune of 29.4 points on Joe’s bench.  Joe had a pretty solid outing otherwise with 21.2 from Big Ben, 21 from Jonathan Taylor who looks like the real deal in Indy, 22.9 from Mike Evans with Chris Godwin out.  Kenny followed up his 134.1 week 1 with a 134.5 week 2.  Matt Ryan got 28.4, Dalvin Cook got 16.1, Tyreek Hill got 21.3, Metcalf got 19.2, and Melvin Gordon sans Philip Lindsay got 15.4 against a tough Steelers defense.  Kenny’s team is for real. 

 Mike (2-0) 140.9 vs. Chase (1-1) 103.3

Yikes.  Chase has now had the following lost to injuries this season: Picks 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 9.  That is just awful luck.  Chase was still able to eclipse 100 points this week with about a third coming from Russel Wilson’s 33.3.  Raheem Mostert started the game with an 80 yard touchdown, but didn’t do much more after that  and didn’t play the second half due to a knee injury.  Davante Adams pulled a hammy.  Chase’s peripherals combined for 35.3, but even that was outmatched by Mike’s 53.4 peripheral performance.  Mike got 32.1 from Kyler Murray who is doing it all this season.  Mike also got 22.8 from Christian McCaffrey who also succumbed to the injury bug.  He injured his ankle and couldn’t finish the contest.  A glimmer of hope left for Chase lies in Leonard Fournette who seemed to have taken over the Bucs starting running back duties with a 28.6 point explosion on Chase’s bench.  And he has Devonta Freeman who very well may sign with the Giants to take over their lead back duties after the loss of Saquon.  Chase is one of the best managers in the league, but it appears this season he will be tested with some early adversity. 

Tommy (0-2) 98.4 vs. Scotty (1-1) 137.5

Tommy’s picks of Tom Brady and Rob Gronkoswki look to be his kryptonite.  The dusty old timers combined for a pathetic 8.6 fantasy points this week.  Tommy almost got to 100 total points mainly due to Zeke and Kareem Hunt combining for 42.3 points.  Scotty’s team exploded this week.  It was good to have Miles Sanders back in his lineup to the tune of 18.6 points and he looked good doing it.  Ekeler is splitting time with Kelley with Ekeler getting 57% of the snaps and Kelley getting 52% (yes there were a few plays with both of them on the field).  Scotty benched James Conner after a terrible Week 1 and he looked as though Week 1 never happened with 22.1 on Scotty’s bench.  Of course, the main man for Scotty this week was Dak Prescott who scored 4 total touchdowns including 3 rushing touchdowns for a total of 44.8 fantasy points outscoring Tommy’s top two scorers combined.  It hurt Tommy even worst seeing Dak get all those goal line scores considering Tommy had Zeke.  What could have been. 

Week 3 Preview:

Katon (1-1) vs. Trey (2-0)

First place Trey enters Week 3 on fire.  He tries to move to 3-0, but standing in his way is Katon who just out Moose.   Katon has Aaron Rodgers against New Orleans, who just let Derrick Carr (pukes) throw for 282 and 3 touchdowns.  Rodgers will hope to have Davante Adams to throw to in this one.  #9 Rb Nick Chubb faces Washington who has done a decent job against the run to start the year.  Chubb played last Thursday, so a little extra rest might set him up for success.  Mixon faces Philly who is also decent against the run.  Amari Cooper plays @ Seattle, a should-be shootout.  Robert Woods gets a tough draw against Buffalo, in what might also become a shootout.  David Montgomery should do okay against Atlanta.  49ers D/ST looked a lot better two weeks ago.  Some significant losses on the defensive line will make it interesting to see how they play against Barkley-less NY Giants.  Trey has #3 Qb Cam Newton vs. Las Vegas, #4 Rb Josh Jacobs in the same game.  #7 Rb Chris Carson is in the Dallas @ Seattle game.  This game will come down to Monday Night Football with Trey having Mark Ingram and Raven’s D/ST going up against Kansas City. 

Moose (0-2) vs. Jen (1-1)

Moose hasn’t started 0-2 since 2016 when he went 7-6 and wind up missing the playoffs.  He’ll look to avoid 0-3 against Jen this week.  He has Kamara in his flex due to the late start time, so Rojo and Joshua Kelley are holding down Rb1 and Rb2.  Rojo looks to have been usurped by Leonard Fournette this past weekend.  Would not be surprised if Moose looks elsewhere this week and beyond.  #23 Rb Joshua Kelley appears to have taken the Melvin Gordon role and looks good doing it.  Carolina was just gashed by Buga, so look for Kelley and Ekeler to both have success.  Julio Jones faces Chicago, Allen Robinson is @ Atlanta, #3 TE Darren Waller is @ NE, and #2 Rb Kamara faces GB.  Kamara fell to Moose after Brad picked Derrick Henry.  A decision we will continue to monitor.  Jen is rolling out a barn burner of a Rb1 and Rb2 combo herself with Devin Singletary and Devery Henderson.  Henderson balled out last week and with injuries to Cam Akers (ribs) and Malcolm Brown (finger) look for Henderson to get the bulk of carries versus a solid Bills team.  #4 Wr DeAndre Hopkins has an incredible 22/25 reception to target ratio to start the season.  Kyler Murray’s hot start has helped skyrocket Hopkins value and further dunking on Brad’s draft grades.  Jen also has DJ Moore who is setup for a revenge game against his former manager.  He looked great last week when Carolina was playing from behind catching 8 of 13 targets for 120 yards.  Chargers defense is formidable, but Moore’s floor is reassured.  😊CeeDee Lamb has outscored Michael Gallup and is currently Wr#24.  His matchup against Atlanta is sexy and is setting this up to be a very good matchup.

Brad (1-1) vs. Joe (1-1)

Both Brad and Joe enter Week 3 after receiving beat downs courtesy of Kenny.  This game is for 2nd place in D2.  Brad features the #1 Fantasy Qb Josh Allen… on his bench.  Which I’m okay with.  He’s not dropping 35 points per game for any of you idiots.  #8 Patrick Mahomes rebounded nicely from his Week 1 stinker with a 30 point performance against the Chargers.  This week he’ll battle it out versus Lamar Jackson and the Ravens.  The last two times Mahomes has faced the Ravens he has averaged 375.5 passing yards, 2.5 touchdowns, and 0.5 interceptions.  Joe features #13 Qb Big Ben who faces the Texans.  This could be a shootout or a blowout, as Houston’s defense has looked pretty bad the first two weeks.  Houston started this season against the Chiefs-Ravens-Steelers, which is absolutely brutal.  But good for Joe’s Big Ben-JuJu-Steelers D/ST stack.  This battle might be decided by Rookie Running Backs.  Joe has Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Jonathan Taylor.  Brad has Antonio Gibson or JK Dobbins or someone else, he’s a mess.  Which one would you rather start:           

Player A: 10 Touches, 83 yards, 2 touchdowns

Player B: 25 Touches, 96 yards, 1 touchdown

Brad has #18 Derrick Henry who is already feeling the TD regression this season.  His choice of Henry over Kamara and CEH is looking worse and worse by the week.  Terry McLaurin and Julian Edelman had nice outings last week.  They’ll look to continue with Terry facing the Browns and Edelman facing the Raiders.  Joe has Mike Evans against the Broncos and #1 Fantasy Wr Calvin Ridley vs. Chicago.  Maybe one day the #1 Qb and #1 Wr will actually be in their teams’ starting lineups.  Should be a great game.    

Kenny (2-0) vs. JD (0-2)

Put some respect to his name!  Kenny has come out smoking hot.  Averaging 134.3, 1st place in D2 and #2 overall in the standings.  He faces JD who couldn’t capture a victory last week even with Aaron Jones 48.6 point explosion.  Kenny features #6 Qb Matt Ryan vs. Chicago, #8 Rb Dalvin Cook vs. Tennessee, #15 Melvin Gordon against Tampa Bay, and Todd Gurley.  JD has #1 Rb Aaron Jones @ New Orleans, #25 Kenyan Drake vs. Detroit.  As of right now JD is riding with Daniel Jones at Qb, but after averaging on 12 points per game he may turn elsewhere either via trade or waiver wire.  Kenny also has #6 DK Metcalf who is looking more and more like this year’s Kenny Golladay.  This game will come down to Monday Night Football with Kenny’s Tyreek Hill and Justin Tucker versus JD’s Marquise “Hollywood” Brown and Mark Andrews.  Should be fun to watch!

Chase (1-1) vs. Scotty (1-1)

Yikes.  Chase’s injuries have included Michael Thomas or as he refers to him “CGM” which is from his twitter handle “Can’t Guard Mike”, Davante Adams, Chris Godwin, Le’Veon Bell, Raheem Mostert, Brandon Auyik, Jerry Jeudy, etc.  Any who it looks like he’s starting #14 Rb Leonard Fournette and #27 Rb Myles Gaskin.  It helps that he has #2 Russel Wilson against Dallas.  Third shootout to start the year?  Yes please.  Chase is hoping CGM, Adams, and Godwin are all available this week otherwise he’ll have to get creative.  Scotty has the other Qb in the Seattle-Dallas game in #4 Dak Prescott.  He also has Miles Sanders against Cin and Austin Ekeler against Panthers.  Both Miles Sanders and James Conner looked great last week after both sitting Week 1 (pretty much).  This should be a great game and it’ll be interesting to see how Chase’s team plays out up until Sunday kickoff.    

Mike (2-0) vs. Tommy (0-2)

Mike tragically lost Christian McCaffrey to a high ankle sprain leading him to start David Johnson and $75 FAAB money (cough cough) I mean Latavius Murray against Green Bay.  We’ll see if his Rb2 gets swapped out tomorrow.  😊  Mike is hoping to have AJ Brown and George Kittle back in his lineup, but he might be digging for starters as Sunday approaches.  Tommy is wheeling out the Ghosts of Fantasy Past with Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski still somehow implanted into his starting lineup.  Must be that sexy 15.6 fantasy points per game they are averaging together.  He has #5 Zeke @ Seattle, #10 Kareem Hunt vs. Washington, Adam Thielen vs. Tennessee and John Brown vs. the Rams.  Mike is hoping #5 Kyler Murray’s juicy matchup with Detroit and TY Hilton squaring off against the hapless “why haven’t they fired Gase yet” Jets.   This is another matchup who’s starters could look a lot different come Sunday. 

As always, best of luck everybody!  I look forward to seeing how much yall drop in FAAB money tonight!  (Probably too much)

BBY 2020: Week 1 Recap & Week 2 Preview

Week 1 Recap:

Moose (0-1) 132.2 vs. Trey (1-0) 134.3

T- Money Sizzle knocks off the defending defending champion Mustafa in a barn burner of a week 1 matchup!  Brad crapped on Trey for taking Jacobs in the first and Carson in the second, so naturally they combined for 5 touchdowns and 55.5 fantasy points.  Josh Jacobs broke 12 tackles. Moose was led by his top three picks with Lamar picking up where he left off last year with 27.5, Kamara with a studly 21.2, and Julio Jones with 23.2.  Kamara had a third touchdown, but it was ruled down at the millimeter line because Kamara’s finger was “blocking” the ball from crossing the plain.  This was LITERALLY the difference in this matchup.  A millimeter.  Moose got great support from his peripherals with 36.5 points.  Cam Akers disappointed in the Rb2 spot as Malcom Brown scored both touchdowns for the Rams Rb’s.  Trey must be happy to see Will Fuller look solid on TNF, but was not happy to see Odell disappear and for Mark Ingram’s touchdowns to be sniped by JK Dobbins.  Great game to open the season fellas!

Katon (0-1) 96.9 vs. Jen (1-0) 105.3

Sticking to Division #1, Jen takes out Katon in a lower scoring affair.  Most impressive for Jen was DeAndre Hopkins’ 25.1 point explosion in his Arizona debut.  Many analysts recommended fading Hopkins due to lack of rapport with Kyler Murray.  They looked pretty fucking in sync to me!  Katon’s top two picks in Nick Chubb and Joe Mixon underperformed greatly combining for a paltry 10.7 points.  Aaron Rodgers made it close with 33.6 (34.7%) of Katon’s 96.9 points. 

Brad (0-1) 100.1 vs. Kenny (1-0) 134.1

Black Mamba indeed.  K-Dub’s team performed like the late Kobe Bryant in this one.  Crushing the Super Bowl runner up from 2019.  Kenny got 28.9 from Matt Ryan’s 450 yard shootout performance and another 21.3 from his top pick Dalvin Cook.  Cook got paid and then he immediately rewarded the Vikings (and Kenny).  The rest of Kenny’s lineup was just plain solid.  All other starters scored 12.7 or more and his three peripherals combined for 26.5.  Brad started out with TNF with 44.4 between his KC stack of Mahomes-Kelce-Butker.  But his lack of touchdowns (0 from Rb1, Rb2, Wr1, Wr2, Flex) was his downfall.  Solid peripherals with 36 points, but no ticky (touchdowns)…no laundry (victory).

Joe (1-0) 142.1 vs. JD (0-1) 108.9

Joe with the highest scoring week to begin the year.  He was instantly rewarded with his selection of LSU’s Clyde Edwards-Helaire to the tune of 22.8 fantasy points.  Jonathan Taylor looked like a rough pick after the Colts turned to Marlon Mack, but Mack exited the game (and the season) with an Achilles injury.  Joe’s Steeler Stack combined for 55.8 with Big Ben and Juju both scoring 21.9 fantasy points.  His highest point total was achieved with the help of Calvin Ridley’s 32.4 fantasy points.  Several analysts predicted Calvin Ridley to take a leap forward this year and with a 12 target, 9 reception 130 yard and 2 touchdown performance it appears those analysts might have been right.  JD’s lone bright spot was Mark Andrews who looked phenomenal.  He snagged a one handed touchdown and then caught another one later in the game.  JD’s combination of Marquise “Hollywood” Brown and Mark “Go Up and Grab It” Andrews finished with 35.9 points combined.  Unfortunately, just couldn’t keep up with Joe’s hot start.

Mike (1-0) 109.0 vs. Scotty (0-1) 87.8

Scotty received the highest praise and remarks from Brad’s draft grades, so naturally he starts out the season with the lowest score of the 12 teams.  Scotty’s James Conner got injured, Austin Ekeler was barely targeted in the passing game, and Cooper Kupp was pretty much shut down against Dallas.  Mike’s lineup was top heavy with 71.6 (65.7%) of his 109.0 points coming from the Qb, Rb1, and Rb2 positions.  After Brad reamed Mike for taking David Johnson at the 2/3 turn of the draft.  He delivered a solid 18.4 against the Chiefs D/ST.  CMC looks like the same stud we’ve seen the last few years with a pair of touchdowns and 26.9 fantasy points. 

Tommy (0-1) 104.1 vs. Chase (1-0) 141.7

Tommy couldn’t hang with Chase who was powered by huge performances from Russel Wilson (34.7) and Davante Adams (37.6).  Chase did lose Marlon Mack to an achilles injury and Le’Veon Bell to a hamstring injury in this one.  His Rb2 spot will be something to watch.  Tommy got 26.2 from Zeke who showed off his new “FEED ME” tattoo on his stomach.  Adam Thielen went OFF for 31 points.  A solid effort from Tommy, but his peripherals were one of the worst we’ve ever seen.  His tight end, defense and kicker combined for -0.9 points.  That’s right.  3 players…combined for negative points.  You are not going to win many games with that.  Good Lord.    

Week 2 Preview:

Jen (1-0) vs. Trey (1-0)

The unbeatens in D1 square off.  Trey gets 5 of his 9 starters in 2 games this week.  The first is Mark Ingram and Ravens D/ST @ Houston, which includes Will Fuller.  And the second is Sunday Night Football featuring Cam Newton @ Seattle, which includes Chris Carson.  This game will most likely come down to Trey’s 1st round pick Josh Jacobs (#1 Fantasy Rb) facing a very stout Saints Defensive front on Monday Night Football.  Jen will have Deshaun Watson in the same Bal @ HOU game. Barkley is @ Chicago who just gave up 100 total yards to the corpse of Adrian Peterson.  DeAndre Hopkins will face off against a beatable Washington Football team secondary and DJ Moore will travel to Tampa Bay.  Looks to be a great matchup.

Moose (0-1) vs. Katon (0-1)

Moose enters Week 2 as a heavy favorite against Katon.  Moose has Lamar Jackson @ Houston, Alvin Kamara @ LV, Julio Jones @ Dallas, and Allen Robinson II vs. the NYG that just gave up a pair of touchdowns to JuJu Smith-Schuster.  Several opportunities for shootouts maximizing Moose’s ceiling.  Katon will have some favorable matchups of his own.  With Aaron Rodgers vs. Detroit, Nick Chubb vs. CIN, and Joe Mixon vs. Cleveland.  Robert Woods may avoid the Darius Slay shadow against Philly.  49ers D/ST @ NYJ could actually make this game competitive. 

Joe (1-0) vs. Kenny (1-0)

Top 2 teams of D2 face off to see which team remains unbeaten.  Joe’s Steeler Stack faces Denver.  CEH has a tough matchup against the LA Chargers, Calvin Ridley (#2 Fantasy Wr) faces Dallas.  K-Dub has Matt Ryan in that potential shootout with Dallas, Dalvin Cook squares off against the Colts, and DK Metcalf squares off on SNF against the Patriots.  Joe looks to be early favorite based on matchups, but should be a great game.   

Brad (0-1) vs. JD (0-1)

Both Brad and JD have more questions than answers to start the season.  But one thing Brad is sure of: Derrick Henry is a real one.  Already on pace for career highs in receptions (he had 3 in Week 1), he ran 22 pass routes in Week 1 (a new career high), and he ran 31 times for 116 yards.  Next up he gets Jacksonville, which gave up 42.3 fantasy points to the Colts running backs in Week 1.  Brad’s Washington Stack of Gibson-McLaurin travels to the desert to face the Cardinals who’s defense looked pretty solid at times against the Niners.  Brad’s KC Stack travels to LA to face the Chargers, which may prove to be a low scoring affair.  JD has Daniel Jones @ Chicago, Kenyan Drake against a talented Washington d-line, Aaron Jones in a tasty matchup against Detroit, and his pair of Ravens pass catchers get Houston’s very beatable secondary.  This looks to be a great game as both teams fight to avoid the 0-2 hole to start the season.

Mike (1-0) vs. Chase (1-0)

This is a big boy matchup.  These two teams came out swinging to start the year and now D3 Supremacy is at stake.  Both teams have injuries to some key players that they will have to monitor this week.  Mike shows some favorable matchups with Kyler vs. Washington, CMC @ TB who just gave up 2 (almost 3) rushing touchdowns to Alvin Kamara, AJ Brown faces a beatable JAX secondary, and TY Hilton faces a Minnesota defense that were dilapidated by Davante Adams last week.  He’ll be monitoring his stud Tight End George Kittle who sprained his knee in the Cardinals game.  Mike does not have a backup Tight End at this time.  Chase has #LetRussCook on SNF against New England Defense.  Raheem Mostert shouldn’t have any problems against the Jets paltry defense.  “Davante Adams- Brad’s #1 Wideout This Year” has another juicy matchup against Detroit.  Big question for Chase is Rb2 where he has a few backs to choose from if he doesn’t snipe one of the 35+ year old running backs available via waiver wire.  He’ll be monitoring Michael Thomas’s status, which happens to fall on Monday Night Football.  Setting up a doom and gloom scenario if Thomas turns out to be a game-time decision.  Will be interesting to monitor how this one shakes out.

Tommy (0-1) vs. Scotty (0-1)

Last and least… Tommy faces off against Scotty.  Tommy has “Feed Me” Zeke with a advantageous matchup against Atlanta, Adam Theilen @ Indy, and Kareem Hunt vs. CIN on TNF.  Scotty has Dak in that same shootout against Atlanta and Ekeler (the runner only now apparently) vs. KC.  Scotty would certainly welcome back Miles Sanders with open arms, but will have to monitor this week.  Couple that with a high ankle sprain for James Conner and all of a sudden the trio of running backs that Brad sang his praises for all have taken a huge hit value-wise just a mere 1 week into the fantasy season.  One of these managers whose names ends in “Y” will leave this game with a “W.”

Thanks and Good Luck Everybody!    

Super Bowl 11 Preview

Two of the most successful Fantasy Football players in the Best Buy Dream Team League Square Off in Super Bowl 11.

Their resume’ and history speak for themselves. But let’s take a look:

SB1 in 2009: Brad becomes First Super Bowl Champion

SB2 in 2010: Moose becomes Second Super Bowl Champion

SB3 in 2011: Brad wins his second title in 3 years.

SB4 in 2012: Brad loses in Super Bowl

SB5 in 2013: Brad loses in Super Bowl

SB7 in 2015: Moose wins his second title.

SB10 in 2018: Moose wins his third title.

SB11 in 2019: Brad and Moose Square Off.

So in 11 seasons of the BBY Dream Team League either Moose and/or Brad have been involved in the Super Bowl 73% of the time (8/11).

This season began with Brad getting the 9th overall pick and Moose getting the 11th overall pick with Mike and Chase being the gaps in between the turn. Let’s take a look how Brad’s Draft looks today:

9: James Conner, #28 Rb, Traded in CMC Deal

16: Dalvin Cook, #2 Rb, Questionable/Doubtful to play in Super Bowl

33: Chris Carson, #9 Rb, Traded in Tyreek Hill/Christian Kirk Deal, Then Tyreek Hill traded in CMC Deal

40: Chris Godwin, #2 Wr, Questionable/Doubtful to play in Super Bowl

57: Miles Sanders, #14 Rb, Starting in Super Bowl

64: Evan Engram, #12 TE, Season-Ending IR (Missed last 5 weeks, 6 weeks total this season and still is #12)

81: Robby Anderson, #35 Wr, Dropped

88: Matt Breida, #42 Rb, Traded for Allen Robinson in 3-way Trade with JD and Moose. Allen Robinson is #11 Wr and is Starting in Super Bowl

#105 Will Fuller, #45 Wr, Starting in Super Bowl, Known for 50.3 point game against ATL in Week 5, helping Brad to get 187 in a single week. Could also hurt hammy and be dust before the game on Saturday. Or…

Late Picks of Note:

136: Russell Wilson, #5 Qb, Traded in CMC Deal

160: Josh Allen, #8 Qb, Dropped

Now let’s take a look at Mustafa:

11: Nick Chubb, #7 Rb, Starting in Super Bowl

14: Travis Kelce, #1 Te, Starting in Super Bowl

35: David Montgomery, #23 Rb, Could start Super Bowl/On Moose’s Roster

38: Amari Cooper, #8 Wr, Starting in Super Bowl

59: Austin Ekeler, #6 Rb, Starting in Super Bowl

62: DJ Moore, #9 Wr, Starting in Super Bowl

83: Darrell Henderson Jr, #92 Rb, Dropped

86: Marvin Jones Jr, #22 Wr, Season Ending IR, Dropped

107: Kyler Murray, #7 Qb, Dropped

110: Lamar Jackson, #1 Qb, Starting in Super Bowl, League MVP so far

Late Picks of Note:

155: Mark Andrews, #5 Te, Traded to JD for Matt Breida in Three-Way Trade, Then Sent Matt Breida, Michael Gallup (FAAB), Darren Waller (FAAB) for Odell Beckham Jr, #32 Wr.

 

These Two Teams had the most trades. These Two Teams had the most roster moves throughout the season. Always tinkering and adjusting, paying attention and striving to put the best 9 players forward.

Let’s Take a Look at the Super Bowl Rosters:

  1. Brad (9-4)

Qb: #4 Jameis Winston. Brad acquired Winston in part of the CMC deal with Joe. No one could have predicted that Jameis would eventually catch up and even jump past Russell Wilson at this point in the season when the trade went down before Week 8. Winston enters Week 16 coming off back-to-back 450 yard 4+ touchdown performances. A broken bone in his thumb of his throwing hand did not prevent him from throwing the ball 42 times against Detroit. Now he’ll play on a Special Saturday Noon game against Houston. This game should be up-tempo with Houston striving to secure it’s playoff position and division and Tampa Bay striving to get Winston to 5000 yards. He lost key targets Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Scotty Miller to hamstring injuries, so we’ll see if he can continue to sling the rock as much as the past two weeks with less talent around him.

Rb1: #1 Christian McCaffrey. CMC has averaged 27.6 fantasy points per game, which means he basically counts as a Rb and a Wr, but taking up 1 position on the Roster. Only one other person in the league has scored so much to be considered 2 players and we’ll talk about Moose’s Qb in a little bit. CMC faces @ Indianapolis in Lucas Oil Stadium. Colts Defense has been really good in stopping the run this year, averaging 17.3 points per game against as opposed to league average 20.6 points per game to opposing fantasy rubbing backs. Another factor is the change at Qb in Carolina, with Carolina moving from Kyle Allen to Will Grier. These leaves a lot of unknowns surrounding the game. But one thing we do know, CMC is a monster and anything can happen.

Rb2: A spot reserved for #2 Fantasy Rb: Dalvin Cook until last week, when Cook reinjured his shoulder, in comes #14 Miles Sanders. Sanders is coming off his best fantasy outing of the season, a 34.6 point explosion against Washington. I wouldn’t anticipate a repeat performance as the Eagles are squaring off against Division Rival Dallas for the NFC East Crown. This is a playoff game. I wouldn’t be surprised if they tailor Sanders back some to reduce the risk of the rookie making a mistake in such a critical ball game. Dallas limited Rams rushers to 20 yards on the ground last week and seem to be getting healthier and better as the season progresses. Important to watch to see if Jordan Howard will be active for this game as this could reduce Sanders projection by quite a bit.

Wr1: A spot reserved for #2 Fantasy Wr: Chris Godwin until last week, when Godwin injured his hamstring, in comes #11 Allen Robinson. Robinson is coming off a solid fantasy performance of 18.3 points on an incredible 14 targets. He’ll be squaring off against a KC defense that has done a great job at limiting opposing fantasy wideouts. KC averages 6.5 less points allows to fantasy wideouts than NFL average, good for #2 OPRK. Of course, with KC’s ability to score this game could result in a pass-heavy script for Chicago, increasing Robinson’s ability to receive another week of high targets. Wouldn’t expect the same success on those targets though.

Wr2: A-Rob’s previous spot, now paves the way for #45 Will Fuller. At this point we all know who Will Fuller is. He’s capable of pulling a hamstring on the first play of the game and missing the contest (or missing the contest all together). And he’s capable of catching 14/16 targets 217 yards and 3 touchdowns in a single game for 50.3 fantasy points. That game accounted for 45.4% of Fuller’s total fantasy output so far this season. In comes Tampa Bay’s defense, the worst against opposing wideouts. Tampa Bay has been deemed a Pass Funnel by Fantasy Analysts. They stop the run and opposing teams pass all over them. They average 38.9 fantasy points against opposing fantasy wideouts compared to NFL average 27.5 points, a whopping 11.4 point difference. This is a potential Smash-Spot for Fuller, who will most likely be owned by close to 50% of DFS players playing on Saturday’s Slate. Bradley’s hope for a 3rd Title very well could rest on the hamstring of Will Fuller.

TE: Undecided. Brad picked up Cameron Brate, #2 Tight End on TB given the up-tempo game script of the Saturday Noon contest (with the over/under being 3rd highest of the week at 49). Winston will need someone to throw to. With Evans, Godwin, and Scotty Miller out, that leaves the best targets for Winston to be 1. Breshard Perriman 2. OJ Howard 3. Watson/Brate 4. Towel Boy. Brad also has a couple MNF options if he decides against Brate.

FLEX: Undecided. As of right now, Brad has #39 Christian Kirk in. He’s the best vertical threat on a pass heavy Cardinals team who would love to play spoiler against the Seahawks in Seattle. This game features the highest over/under of the week at 51 points. Cardinals had fun last week against the Browns, but Seattle is an actual good team. I’m sure they’ll send Kyler Murray out to have some fun, but whether that fun translates to bankable Kirk points that remains to be seen. If Cook is listed as Out by Thursday or Friday then Kirk would be the likely flex play for Brad.

D/ST: #2 Steelers D/ST. Only outscored by NE D/ST. Steelers are in a position to potentially make the playoffs despite playing with their 3rd Qb, missing Connor for multiple weeks, and missing their #1 Wr JuJu Smith-Schuster for multiple weeks. They have scored double-digits in 11/14 games so far this season. 11 of their last 12 including 20+ points in 4 of those games. They travel to the Jets, a team that has been widely inconsistent. They blew out Dallas and lost to Miami, so we don’t know what Jet’s team will show up. We do know that Le’Veon Bell will be playing his best game of the season. Running against the Steelers might be the way to go to slow down the deadly pass rushing group that’s accumulated 49 sacks so far this season, tied for 1st in the NFL.

K: Younghoe Koo. Signed by Atlanta before Week 10, Koo has been averaging 11 fantasy points per game including 4/6 in double digits. Koo faces Jacksonville in Atlanta’s last home game of the season.

 

#4 Mustafa (9-4) (Defending Champ, Only 3 Title Winner in the BBY Dream Team League)

Qb: #1 Lamar Jackson. MVP-front runner leading the best team in the NFL right now, the Baltimore Ravens. Lamar is both a Qb and a Rb. Scoring for 2, while taking up 1 position. Look for Baltimore to come out guns ablazing this week @ division foe Cleveland. Ravens lost to Cleveland in Week 4. By winning they clinch the #1 seed, a critical thing considering they’d much rather have the AFC Championship game at home opposed to at Arrowhead or at the Patriots. A revenge game and a #1 AFC seed clinching scenario and the Browns are minus Myles Garrett this go-around. This is a smash spot for Jackson. He scored 24.4 against them the first time they played. I anticipate a 30+ point outing this time. If he accomplishes this, it would be his 8th 30+ point game this season. Just incredible.

Rb1: #7 Nick Chubb. Chubb is also featured in the same Baltimore game. Baltimore’s Defense has gotten better and better as the season has progressed, but Chubb destroyed them back in Week 4. Easily his best game of the season with 20-165-3 and 3-18 stat line for a whopping 42.5 fantasy points. Baltimore will look for vengeance on the defensive side of the ball too and with a stacked secondary to counteract the stacked wideouts of the Browns, the trench battle will be interesting to say the least. Will Chubb strike again? Or will Raven’s Defense resurgence, the growing discontent amongst the Brown’s players, and Kareem Hunt’s return result in a back-down-to-Earth showing for Chubb?

Rb2: #6 Austin Ekeler. The Chargers Offense just looks better when Austin Ekeler is in at running back. He’s explosive, shifty, and get him in space… look out. The Chargers insist on feeding Melvin Gordon a bunch of carries. Gordon smashed the Raiders last game in Week 10, while Ekeler was held to a modest 11.6 fantasy points. We all know that any given play he can strike, so Moose can start his lightning bolt with confidence against the Raiders that just lost a disappointing game in their last home game in Oakland.

Wr1: #8 Amari Cooper. Amari Cooper was just shut down by Jalen Ramsey last week, so look for a monster bounce back performance this week in the crucial battle for the NFC Least. The last time they played Philly in Week 7 Cooper caught 5/5 targets for 106 yards (15.6 fantasy points). Philly has had a decent run defense, but they are extremely beatable via pass. Look for Dak Prescott to put the team on his shoulders and let a rip. The game is @ Philly, but current weather predicts a sunny and cool day (about 39 degrees) making it perfect football weather.

Wr2: #9 DJ Moore. Moore has been great for Moose this season. Double digit fantasy points in 10/14 games this season with 5+ in 14/14 and one game 30+. He faces Indianapolis @ Indy who was just destroyed by Drew Brees and Michael Thomas on MNF. They are coming off a short week, but the Panthers have made a Qb change. Will Grier will start over Kyle Allen, so it’ll be interesting to see if the DJ’s target distribution remains as steady and consistent as it has been or if Grier can help or hurt his value in this matchup. IBM Watson has Moore a 19% Bust candidate (9.4 or less) and a 23% Boom candidate (22+).

TE: #1 Travis Kelce. A true difference maker. Preseason Value Based Rankings had Kelce as a first-round pick based on value. Moose’s second round investment appears to have paid off handsomely as Kelce is the one and only #1 Tight End. He’s coming off a 11/13 142 game against Denver in the snow and now will travel to Chicago. His 13-point average looks solid week in and week out.

FLEX: Undecided? As of right now he has #32 Odell Beckham Jr. starting against Baltimore’s vaunted secondary. In their first matchup Odell only caught 2/7 targets for 20 yards and that was before Baltimore added Marcus Peters and got Jimmy Smith back from injury. IBM Watson predicts Odell having a 6% chance to bust and a 24% chance to Boom, which doesn’t add up based on my calculations. Odell has busted 4/14 weeks this season and has been a huge disappointment. But Moose traded three people for Odell and has been waiting for a payoff. Could this be it? Could the trade earlier this season all lead up to him using Chase’s 2nd round pick against Brad to win his 4th Title? OR Does Moose turn start Double Tight Ends? OR #23 Rb David Montgomery against #30 OPRK KC Chiefs Defense? If Cook and Mattison are both ruled out for MNF, he could throw in recently acquired Mike Boone. Will be something to watch.

D/ST: Undecided? As of right now he has #8 Chiefs D/ST which has scored game of 15, 21, 12, and 12 the past 4 weeks and now squares off against Mitchell Trubisky on SNF. During that stretch they’ve held their opponents to 11.25 points per game. Dominating efforts. Moose could turn to Atlanta’s D/ST who he just picked up off free agency against a Jag’s offense that has struggled mightily the past few weeks.

K: #19 Robbie Gould. Brad dropped Robbie after underperforming met with injury and he made the switch to Koo. Most known for the MNF game where Brad had a chance to break the single game scoring record of 191.9 points and Gould missed 3 field goals resulting in the record standing. Moose picks him up and he’s scored 13 and 11 points the past two weeks. He faces the Rams who just gave up 18 fantasy points to Kai Forbath. (In my work league I had Lamar Jackson and CMC, but lost by 0.26 to Kai Forbath last week, so fuck this guy).   If Robbie is the difference maker for Moose against Brad, this will most likely break Brad.

So there you have it. A lot of information that means absolutely nothing until injury reports come out on Friday, games are played on Saturday and we see what happens.

 

Bottom Bowl Preview:

Round 3:

Game 1: Tommy vs. Mike. Congratulations to both of you. The winner gets 6 balls in the lottery. The loser gets 5. You’ve both already won!

Game 2: Jen vs. Trey. The winner gets 4 balls. The loser gets 3. You’ve both won multiple entries in next year’s draft lottery.

Game 3: Katon vs. Chase. The winner gets 2 balls. The loser gets 1. The loser is also known as the Loser of Losers. A title Brad is happy to relinquish from 2018.

Good Luck Everybody!