Best Buy Dream Team League: Draft Grades Season 17

 1. Steven T-BO 

Welcome Back Steven!  What better way to welcome you back than the #1 overall pick and rights to draft Jamarr Chase.   In 2024 Chase won the WR Triple Crown, leading the NFL in Receptions (127), Receiving Yards (1708) , and Receiving TDs (17).  Good for an average of 23.7 per game.  Including games of 41.3, 58.9, and 41.1.  Now obviously this is a rare feat.  Unlikely to happen again.  Last year the Bengals defense was horrific.  Leading the Bengals to have to score in bunches just to stay in close games.  Many of which they wind up losing.  They are hungry and motivated to ensure they start out fast and strong this season.  But there’s a couple of problems.  Last season their weakness was offensive line and defense.  In the offseason they signed Jamarr Chase and Tee Higgins to massive contracts.  They did seemingly nothing to improve their secondary or defense.  In fact, they may trade away their best defender in Trey Hendrickson.  They did seemingly nothing to improve their offensive line.  I believe we are going to see more of the same.  Burrow having to throw a ton and Chase being the main benefactor.  He’s the slam dunk WR1 and a great pick made by Steven. 

   In Round 2 Steven had back to back picks and goes Ladd McConkey and Jayden Daniels.  Daniels is an absolute monster.  I wasn’t as high on Ladd McConkey.  Let’s start with Ladd.  The Chargers lost their starting Left Tackle a couple of weeks ago in Rashawn Slater.  It’s a bigger deal than people are letting on.  They’ll shuffle their offensive line around and move Joe Alt to Left Tackle, but Lineman Expert, Brandon Thorn moved them from fringe Top 10 offensive line to #25 offensive line.  It was that big of a loss.  I downgraded all Chargers players as a result of this loss.  Adding to the offensive line woes for McConkey is the additions of Keenan Allen, KeAndre Lambert-Smith, and Tre Harris.  They also added Tyler Conklin and Orande Gadsen at TE.  Last year they had Ladd and QJ and that was about it.  They’ll have more options now.  Don’t get me wrong.  Ladd is still their #1 target.  I don’t like his chances to replicate his 2024 finish of WR#13.   

   Now when it comes to Jayden.  Love it.  Lamar, Jayden, Hurts all went within 5 picks of each other while I went RB.  Daniels is fun!  QB#5 as a rookie.  Showed incredible talent both rushing and throwing the ball.  Let’s hope the Commanders work everything out with Terry McLaurin soon, so that he doesn’t miss a beat in Year 2.   

   At the 4/5 Turn Steven goes Davante Adams and Breece Hall.  Adams left Green Bay and had a couple frustrating seasons with the Raiders.  Then was traded to the Jets and had one frustrating season with the Jets.  But even though it was frustrating he still finished as WR3, WR10 and WR11 in those three seasons.  And last year he was WR11 despite missing 3 weeks.  Now he replaces Cooper Kupp in Sean McVay’s offense in Los Angeles.  Solid WR2 for Steven assuming I’m right about McConkey’s regression.   

   Breece Hall is Steven’s first RB taken.  That’s a little scary.  Hall is very talented and the Jets seem like they are going to run the ball a lot.  Aaron Glenn has made it sound like it’s going to be a committee approach.  Justin Fields can take off and run instead of checking it down as well.  In 2023 after Rodgers went down Hall was a PPR monster.  But in 2024 he caught 19 fewer catches in one less game.  We’ll see if they go Braelon Allen on first and second down and use Hall as the 3rd down back.  I’m very curious how this backfield shakes out, so having him as RB1 is a little scary.   

   In Round 6 Steven took Kaleb Johnson.  Johnson is a very talented rookie, most known for carrying Iowa on his back.  This season he gets to stay in black and yellow for the Steelers.  Arthur Smith hasn’t been great for fantasy players as he uses an approach that’s called “how can I attack this defense where they aren’t expecting it?” Which results in the 3rd tight ends and backup RBs to score in random ways.  I do think Jaylen Warren begins the season as the starting RB in some form of committee.  We’ll see if Kaleb Johnson can be the one for one replacement for Najee Harris, who provided 3 1000 yard rushing seasons for the Steelers or if the rookie is going to be eased in and be more of a back half of the season asset.   

   In Round 7 T-Bo selects Travis Kelce. When it comes to Kelce, he had his worst season in 9 years.  Catching only 823 yards and 3 touchdowns, a career low (ignoring his nonexistent rookie season).  He still finished as TE#5.  This is a bet on a rebound as father time is looking to end this hall of fame career in the near future.  If this is his last ride, fans would love to see him recreate some of the numbers he’s put up in the past.   I felt like this was an appropriate place to pick him.   

   In Round 8 Steven continued his nonchalant attitude towards running backs getting Javonte Williams.  Williams had a catastrophic knee injury while in Denver and never recovered.  Now it’s him, Rookie Blue, and Miles Sanders for Cowboys running duties, replacing the ghost of Zeke Elliot and Rico Dowdle, who is now a Panther.  I’m avoiding this backfield as I see this as a pass heavy team who will rely on Lamb, Pickens, and Ferguson to move the football.   

   In Round 8 Steven took Keon Coleman, sophomore for the Bills and in Round 10 he took Trey Harris for the Chargers.  In the later rounds he took Josh Downs (in Round 13) which is a great value and JJ McCarthy to backup Jayden.  He got good value in Hunter Henry in Round 14 and Dicker the Kicker, which is fun to say.   

 

Draft Grade: C+.  Jayden and Chase are going to be soooo fun to watch and root for.  Chase will probably win you Weeks 13 and 15.  But will Week 15 be the first round of the playoffs or first round of the consolation bracket considering you only have 3 RBs on your roster, all looking to be part of committees?  Welcome back T-Bo and Good Luck! 

 

2. Katon.

Katon goes with Bijan Robinson to kick off his draft from the 2 spot.  Bijan was just so damn steady last season.  His lowest scoring week was 10.7.  After the Week 12 Bye week he scored 25.5, 20.1, 14.5, 24.3, 24.8, and 31.30.  (The last one was Week 18 and doesn’t really matter, but still).  He’s a slam dunk pick, a slam dunk player, and a plug and play RB1 that you start and forget about.  A Katon specialty.  Immense volume for the Falcons.  304 rushing attempts, 1456 rushing yards, 14 rushing touchdowns, 72 targets, 61 receptions, 431 receiving yards and 1 receiving touchdown.  All signs to a similar workload as the Falcons haven’t made any changes.  One beat reporter who spoke to Bijan said he’s been working on his big play ability this offseason.  He noticed other players taking it to the house more frequently.  He was more of a death by a thousand cuts type of fantasy player.  If he’s able to add some more explosive plays then the skies the limit for this entering third year stud.  According to Warren Sharp the Falcons have the 4th easiest schedule in the NFL this season.  Easy pick. 

   In Round 2 Katon took Trey McBride.  McBride was TE#2 last season in ppr.  The Arizona offense funneled through McBride in 2024.  Marvin Harrison might have the NFL player legacy genes but he had a very quiet rookie season.  McBride did this while only scoring 3 touchdowns.  If he gets the same volume (147 targets, 111 receptions) then you can expect more touchdowns.  Now Marvin Harrison looks jacked so there’s a chance he gets a larger piece of the pie, but they didn’t add any other threat so I see this as a condensed Receiver group and love this pick for Katon in Round 2 because of elite Tight End Scarcity (the reason I took Bowers one pick before).   

   In Round 3 Katon took Josh Allen. Josh Allen’s Fantasy QB Finishes in his Career: 

2018- QB21 

2019- QB8 

2020- QB1 

2021- QB1 

2022- QB2 

2023- QB1 

2024- QB2 

Top 2 QB for 6 seasons in a row.  Now interestingly he started out a little boom and bust last year.  31.1, 9.6, 30.8, 7.3.  Then he settled down was putting up 18.2-28.3 in Weeks 6-13.  Then Week 14 happened.  51.8 fantasy points.  342 passing yards.  3 passing touchdowns.  82 rushing yards.  3 rushing touchdowns.  The following week he scored 41.2 fantasy points.  When he booms?  Kaboom.  He’s a cheat code and with Bijan in the 1st I love the strategy of locking a stud TE and stud QB in Rounds 2 and 3.   

   In Round 4 Katon took his first WR in DK Metcalf.  I feel the same as Metcalf as Katon’s WR1 as I did about Breece Hall being Steven’s RB1.  Ew.  And I like Metcalf.  But I don’t care for Rodgers, nor Arthur Smith’s play calling.  This seems like a team that’s going to run two tight ends with Jonnu Smith, Pat Freirmuth, and Darnell Washington seeing a ton of snaps.  Running the ball a ton with Kaleb Johnson and Jaylen Warren.  And sure DK will be the deep threat/alpha X Wide Receiver just like he was in Seattle, but I predict the volume will be much less.  I’m not high on Metcalf this season, but where his value lies will be in touchdowns.  I don’t think you’ll get the steady 7-8 catches, but he’ll win some jump balls in the red zone from Rodgers.  Adams caught 8 and Wilson caught 7 from Rodgers last season.  They paid him like the alpha that he is.  But drawing coverage away to open up the middle doesn’t count for fantasy points.   

   In Round 5 Katon took speedster Xavier Worthy.  Chiefs WRs are a bit of a mess right now.  You have 35 year old Travis Kelce.  Rashee Rice who might be suspended and who is coming off of injury.  Hollywood Brown who is oft-injured and currently working through an ankle injury.  JuJu Smith-Schuster.  Rookie Jalen Royals.  And Tyquan Thornton, a young WR from the Patriots who couldn’t break out in New England.  At the very least Worthy is a big play potential.  He had a couple of boom weeks including towards the end of the season.  Even in the Super Bowl he caught those two long touchdowns albeit when the game was over and Mahomes was just chucking it.  He showed flashes of the potential of his upside.  I wish Katon had paired a more steady WR1 with him, so he can ride the boom and bust weeks.  Feel like Metcalf will be TD dependent and Worthy will be target share dependent.  Might have weeks where they win you the week and other weeks where they both lose you the week.   

   In Round 6 he stayed in KC with Isiah Pacheco.  He runs angry!  And behind Kareem Hunt sometimes, which sucks.  Pacheco should be the RB1 for the Chiefs this season, but Kareem Hunt pooped in his cheerios last season.  I see them continuing to use a committee approach with Pacheco, Hunt, Elijah Mitchell, Carson Steele, and rookie Brashard Smith.  One or two of these guys might have to practice squad it for a while.  The clearest path for Pacheco is for Hunt to be injured or cut, but all signs look at another committee approach.  Little worried about him being your RB2.   

   In Round 7 Katon took Jerry Jeudy.  He exploded last year!  In games where Jamies was slinging it and in games AFTER Cedric Tillman, the true #1 for Cleveland got hurt.  You’ll have Joe Flacco throwing the ball, but the fact that Jeudy fell into Round 7 tells you there is consensus that last season’s WR12 finish was a fluke. 

  JK Dobbins in the 8th and Cooper Kupp in the 9th.  Decent depth pieces in Tyjae Spears and Tyler Allgeier to shore up RB depth.  Nice value in Colston Loveland in Round 13 and Keenan Allen in Round 11.   

 

Draft Grade: B.  Loved the start.  Love the RB depth.  WRs worry me a bit.  

 

3. Brad.

Brad is coming off of his worst two season stretch in the 16 year history of this league, with two finishes of 10/12 in a row.  Ouch.  He’s hoping the RB#1 last season can help me do better this season.  Gibbs finished RB#1 despite having 95 less rush attempts than Saquon and 75 less rush attempts than Derrick Henry.  How?  Gibbs caught 52 passes for 517 yards and scored 20 TDs last season.  He averaged 21.35 ppr points per game which is about the same as Jamarr Chase.  The Lions have one of the best offensive lines in football.  They play in a tough division.  I mean it when I say it.  Gibbs is the best running back in the NFL.  He is entering Year 3.  Sure he’ll have Montgomery back from injury.  Ben Johnson is gone.  There are arguments against him repeating his 2024 success.  It’s hard to score 20 touchdowns.  But Gibbs is the truth and a slam dunk pick at #3.  

   In Round 2 Brad was handed a gift in Brock Bowers.   There were 3 tight ends that could separate a team from the rest of the league.  Brad got one of them in Bowers.  Geno Smith is an upgrade at QB.  He was unguardable last season.  They add Ashton Jeanty who will automatically demand respect for the running game.  We all knew Bowers would be a stud.  But 112 receptions for 1194 yards and 5 tds?  Nasty work.  Set it and forget it pick for Brad. 

   Brad pulled a Brad in Round 3.  Every year in this league he reaches on someone due to mental gymnastics occurring in his head.  This year it was rookie TreVeyon Henderson.  At Pick #27.  His ADP was around 44.  Bottom line, Brad knew he wasn’t making it back to him and he wanted to secure his RB2 before anything else.  The more prudent and appropriate picks would have been Lamar Jackson or AJ Brown here.  Brad’s QBs and WRs suffered as a result of the reach.  But Henderson’s big play ability and solid floor due to PPR, made him a priority add for Brad in the draft.    Rhamondre is going to be the grinder, but two minute drills and 3rd downs Henderson is going to eat.  And any given touch he could take it to the house.  He might eat into Rhamondre’s early down work if the evidence is clear that the offense moves a lot better with him in the game.  I love this pick.  It’s fun and hip.  Patriots are going to play defense and run the ball with Mike Vrabel as head coach.  Offensive line was improved a lot in the offseason with addition of LSU stud Will Campbell.  Giddy up. 

   In Round 4 Brad finally takes his first WR in Mike Evans.   

Mike Evans Fantasy PPR Finishes since entering the league: 

2014- WR13 

2015- WR22 

2016- WR2 

2017- WR17 

2018- WR9 

2019- WR15 

2020- WR11 

2021- WR9 

2022- WR17 

2023- WR7 

2024- WR14 

Brad picks him at Pick #46.  The 17th WR to be drafted.  Chris Godwin is hurt and will start the year on PUP most likely.  One of the reasons Mike Evans is able to dominate defenders is because his arms are as long as Mr. Fantastic’s.  AT 35 1/8″ it is 98th percentile.  The NFL average for a wide receiver is 31-32 inches.  A lot of people talk about how big Wide Receiver hands are.  Seldom do they talk about the arms.  This allows Evans to high point the ball better than your average player.  He is 31, this might be the season he falls off a cliff.  But I don’t think so.  I think he gets another 1000 yard season to add to his Hall of Fame career.  And he shouldn’t get ejected from the Saints games anymore because Lattimore is on the Commanders.   

   In Round 5 Brad double dipped WRs going Garrett Wilson.  Wilson had his third year breakout and it’s like nobody even cares.  He was WR10 last year after terrible finishes of WR21 and WR26 (when compared to his ADP).  Talent has never been the problem with Wilson.  It’s been the Quarterback play.  Insert Justin Fields who has been a better runner than passer in the NFL so far.  But Fields was Wilson’s QB at Ohio State, so the transition from Rodgers to Fields should be smooth.  Fields ability to move around the pocket more than the 40 year old coming-off-of-achilles-injury Rodgers will help Wilson on broken plays get open and score more.  I was tempted to go RJ Harvey here.  In retrospect Brad would’ve been better off going Lamar Jackson in the 2nd and taking RJ Harvey in the 5th.  Something I will monitor throughout the season on whether or not this was the decision that tanked my team.  Can’t change the past, Wilson is Brad’s WR2. 

   In Round 6 Brad goes Jaylen Waddle.  The Dolphins were horrific last season.  Tua got hurt, the offensive line was bad, and the offense became this dip and dunk four yard gains to Achane and Jonnu Smith.  Defenses started to play two high against them and cut off Tyreek and Waddle’s deep play abilities.  But between the Tua, the offensive line, Tyreek’s wrist injury, and Waddle having JustGotPaidTheBag-Itus it was disgusting.  Waddle was WR13 his rookie season and WR8 his sophomore campaign.  But then WR34 in 2023 and WR46 last year.  This is a bet on talent.  The offensive line is still really bad.  Injuries to their secondary have them bringing in scrubs to play the position.  They’ll have to throw a lot to keep up with Bills.  Patriots are improved.  Jets have Fields and could improve.  Evan Silva thinks this is the year Waddle overtakes Tyreek.  If that happens this is a great value, if not, Brad took a flier for his WR3. 

   Round 7 Brad took another Jaylen in Jaylen Warren.  Warren is going to be the starter for the Steelers to start the season.  Kaleb Johnson is very talented and can usurp him at some point this season.  Then again it’s Arthur Smith we are talking about.  Rodgers is going to want the better pass protector in there with his old legs.  That’s Warren.  I’m pretty sure they aren’t allowed to throw the football in Iowa.  It’s illegal.   

   In Round 8 Brad continued to get depth at RB with Zach Charbonnet.  Kenneth Walker has a laundry list of soft tissue injuries.  Charbonnet is a talented back and has stepped up in the past when needed.  This gives Brad solid depth behind Gibbs, Henderson, and Warren.  The concern here is the Seattle offensive line isn’t great so they’ll have to rely on Klint Kubiak’s system.   

   In Round 9 Brad finally takes his starting Qb in Drake Maye.  This gives him the Maye-Henderson stack.  Maye showed flashes last season.  Josh McDaniels comes in and has always been a decent OC, which is shocking because as a head coach, not so much.  Last season Maye took over the starting job in Week 6 and had two QB1 finishes in his first two starts albeit against bad defenses.  In those games he started he had 54 rushes for 421 yards which was 7.8 yards per carry.  Not too shabby.  Looking at that over a whole season while adding Henderson, Diggs, improved offensive line.  I’m looking for a big Year 2 leap here.   

   In Round 10 Brad chose Jacory “Bill” Croskey-Meritt.  Ridiculous name, but people wouldn’t shut up about him.  Rumors at time of the draft was the Commanders were looking to trade away Brian Robinson.  They’ll most likely rely on a committee approach with Austin Ekeler and Bill to start the year.   

In the late rounds Brad got decent WRs in Cedric Tillman and Wandale Robinson.  Added Justin Fields to back up Maye and keep the rushing ability.  Added DJ Giddens who looks to have locked up the RB2 spot behind JT.   

 

Draft Grade: B.  Reached on Henderson.  WRs left some room to be desired.  Love the RB depth and Bowers.  If Brad is going to compete for a title he’ll need Bald Bowers to enter God-mode. 

 

4. Tommy.

Battling a sinus infection, Tommy would not let that deter him.  He showed up and showed out.  He began going RB with Saquon Barkley.  In other leagues I think Lamb or JJ would be better picks, but in Best Buy you have to go RB if you’re on the fence.  Barkley had an incredible year last year.  Rushed for career highs in 345 attempts, 2005 yards, and 13 tds.  His receiving output shot down last year having the second least targets, receptions, and yards.  But it didn’t matter.  He’s on the cover of Madden, he’s the Super Bowl champion, and the Eagles have the best offensive line in football when healthy.  Let’s hope the Madden curse doesn’t ruin an extremely talented and electric back who just balled out last year.   

   In Round 2 Tommy had Brian Thomas Jr. Fall to him at pick #22.  Most teams tried to secure 1-2 RBs in the first two rounds, which pushed up Chase Brown, JT, Henry, Jeanty, Bucky, Jacobs, and Kyren all ahead of ADP.  While most of these guys projected as Round 2 picks, three went in Round 1 and six went before Tommy’s second round pick.  Someone had to drop.  It was Brian Thomas.  I haven’t seen many teams to get Barkley-Thomas, giving Tommy a sick duo.  BTJ finished as the WR#4 last season.  He scored 10 touchdowns.  For perspective, Hall of Famer Andre Johnson had 0 seasons of double digit touchdowns.  BTJ has 1 already.  I view him as a JJ-level talent who should be drafted in Round 1 of fantasy drafts.  I have him ranked above Nico Collins, Puka Nacua, and Drake London, all WRs he went AFTER in the draft.  Lightning quick, underappreciated route running ability, and adds the big play potential.  And that was all last season before the Jaguars add Liam Coen, a brilliant offensive mind.  Trevor Lawrence is back healthy.  They added Travis Hunter to keep people honest.  Looking at preseason snaps BTJ lined up in the slot 42% of the time.  Last season he lined up there 28% of the time and if he sees an increase this year… oh boy.  Best Buy always shoots up when it comes to RBs but I think next season BTJ will be in the Lamb/JJ tier and going in the middle first.  Tremendous value for Tommy in the 2nd.   

   In Round 3 Brad reaches on a RB and Tommy secures Lamar Jackson.  Giving him the Jackson-Barkley-BTJ trio.  A filthy start to this draft.  Last season Jackson added Derrick Henry and the Ravens rolled on offense.  Jackson had his best fantasy season ever.  Throwing for a career best 41 touchdowns with only 4 interceptions.  Josh Allen won the MVP award, but Lamar Jackson was the MVP.  The team is relatively unchanged.  The division is relatively unchanged.  By taking Jackson you can go ahead and give Tommy two wins automatically this season.  One in Week 13 and the other in Week 15.  Where they square off against the Bengals.  Last season Jackson averaged 33.1.  Giddy up.  

   Tommy goes RB2 at the end of Round 4 and it was slim pickings.  He chose Chuba Hubbard.  Hubbard was great last season.  Averaged 16.11 ppr points per game before sitting out the last couple weeks of the lost season due to an ankle injury.  Last season they locked him down with a starter money contract.  But in the offseason they added Rico Dowdle and drafted Trevor Etienne.  For me this says that Chuba is still the starter, but probably won’t replicate the 79%+ of snaps he had in 9/10 weeks in the middle of the NFL season.  It was a career year for him in terms of attempts (250), yards (1195), rushing touchdowns (10), targets (54) and receptions (43).  I don’t see him replicating that this season.  But can he be a solid RB2?  Yes I believe he can.   Just tough that Tommy had to take him over such talented WR’s like Mike Evans, Davante Adams, Xavier Worthy, Garret Wilson, Marvin Harrison. 

   Luckily for Tommy in Round 5 he was able to secure Marvin Harrison Jr.  Last year was terrible.  He’s super talented, got the genes.  But man.  The scheme does not bode well for his fantasy prospects.  The offense is a ground and pound with James Conner and the passing game is Marvin running deep to open up the middle for Trey McBride to eat.  I have seen nothing to indicate the scheme or plan is looking differently in 2025.  Harrison did bulk up in the offseason, but it doesn’t matter how big your biceps are if you’re running go routes and your 5 foot 3 inch quarterback with lethargic tendencies can’t see that far down the field.  Mediocre offensive line.  Tough division.  This is one of those I hope so, but not betting on it sort of story lines.   I probably would have taken Courtland Sutton here to be more conservative and secure a more steady WR2, but betting on young talent before they hit is the upside play and I respect it.  

   In Round 6 Tommy took a risky Rashee Rice.  This gives him a trio of BTJ-Marvin-Rice, which is solid.  We’ll see if he gets suspended and for how long.  I imagine it’s going to be more than 3 weeks given there was loss of life involved in his crash.  But will it be beginning of year?  Middle of year?  End of year?  We don’t know.  Tommy will just roll with him while he has him because he can be Nico Collins level talent when he’s out there.   

   In the 7th Tommy took Rome Odunze.  Improved offensive line.  Improved head coach.  Keenan Allen is gone.  But now they add Colston Loveland and Luther Burden to the mix.  Rome does have a year head start on those guys in terms of NFL experience, but the bigger concern is Caleb Williams.  Can he make a large leap in terms of production and consistency in Year 2?  Ben Johnson’s style is structure, execution, and discipline.  Caleb Williams style is loose, creative, and reactionary.  Stylistically they are like a peanut butter and sardine sandwich.  Not great.  But if I was them.  I would set it up so that I can get the ball into DJ Moore’s hands as much as possible and let him work.  Rome should be the #2 on the team, but we’ll see how everything shakes out.  As the draft was going on Williams looked incredibly sharp in the 2nd preseason game and started the game looking dialed in and marching 90+ yards down the field and scoring a touchdown.  Tommy has 3 sophomore WRs now. 

   In Round 8 he took depth piece Rhamondre Stevenson.  He got a decent contract and will be used as the grinder this season.  I think Henderson has a chance to eat away a larger share of the workload and to play more when the Patriots are playing from behind, but late in games Rhamondre is going to eat.  The Patriots win/loss over under is set at 8.5 this season.  That bodes well for Rhamondre and this pick could be a steal.   

   Tommy grabbed a couple of tight ends in Dalton Kincaid in Round 11 and Dallas Geodert in Round 12.  They are starters.  Kincaid hasn’t lived up to the hype so far, but maybe he can breakthrough in Year 3.   

 

Draft Grade: B.  Sick trio.  Great WR depth.  RB depth and starting TE worry me a little bit.   

 

5. Jen.

While all of us are playing Redraft, Jen is playing Keeper League.  She winds up with Justin Jefferson yet again.  This is the 4th year in a row.  And can we blame her?  In those four seasons he’s finished as WR4, WR1, WR33 (hurt most of year and Cousins was hurt most of year, but still finished with 1000 yards), and WR2.  He is a Top 2 WR in the league.  Addison is suspended the first three weeks of the season.  Three weeks where the Vikings face @ Chicago, Atlanta, and Cincinnati.  2-3 potential shootouts and an uptick of target share?  Yes please.  I’m sure some people have concerns about JJ McCarthy at QB this season.  But I think people forget about 2023.  Cousins gets hurt, JJ is hurt.  But he comes back and puts up the following stat lines: 

10 targets, 7 receptions, 84 yards 

10 targets, 6 receptions, 141 yards, TD 

10 targets, 5 receptions, 59 yards 

14 targets, 12 receptions, 192 yards, TD 

Those games were played with Nick Mullens and Jaren Hall at QB.  So McCarthy needs to be AS good as Nick Mullens or Jaren Hall and JJ will be fine.  

   In Round 2 Jen locked up RB1 in Kyren Williams.  I can’t say I would’ve done the same thing with Brian Thomas and Brock Bowers available.  But the way this league does RBs I get it.  Kyren was an undervalued Round 3 pick for me, so getting him in the middle of Round 2 is probably appropriate.  He has been the PPR#7 RB the past two seasons and just got locked into a big boy contract.  They did add Blake Corum in 2024 draft and Jarquez Hunter in 2025 draft.  But they trust Kyren and he’ll get the most valuable touches again this season.  I think they were just preparing in case he gets hurt by taking the talented college players.  Some in Rams camp have said Hunter looks to have the most pop, so we’ll see.   

   In Round 3 Jen took Jalen Hurts.  Giving her the Hurts-Kyren-JJ stack.  Not too shabby.  Hurts is coming off his Super Bowl winning season.  He rushed for 14 touchdowns.  And yet, only finished as QB8.  He missed a couple weeks due to injury, but also, Barkley happened.  They didn’t need to throw!  He played super conservatively.  He only threw 361 attempts!  compare that to 538 in 2023 and 460 in 2022.  There has to be some positive regression here right?  I see him as a Top 5 QB, but he’ll need to throw at least a little more.  We’ll see if losing Kellen Moore as OC hurts, but I don’t think it will.  If anything it might help.  Especially if they don’t run as much and try to save Barkley’s legs for later in the season in their quest to defend their crown. 

   Round 4 Jen took D’Andre Swift as her RB2.   Swift is an interesting running back with an interesting history.  He’s in Detroit with Ben Johnson as OC.  He has some injuries and some controversy surrounding his availability.  He gets doctors to sign off on snap counts for games.  The relationship deteriorates and the next thing you know he winds up an Eagle.  One season as an Eagle to replace Miles Sanders and he rushes for 1000 yards but doesn’t wow and finishes as RB23.  Then Eagles sign Saquon and Swift winds up a Bear.  Lions, Eagles, and Bear oh my!  Last year he played in all 17 games (career best) and finished as RB19.  He’s a RB2 (Top 24) guy.  Insert Ben Johnson and more importantly, insert a whole new offensive line and you have a lot of potential.  Swift has not played to his potential in his career.  That’s true.  The Bears also have Roschon Johnson and drafted Kyle Monangai in the 7th round of the draft.  Monangai is more of a between the tackles bruiser type of back.  On August 9th the Bears worked out Jamaal Williams.  Williams rushed for 17 touchdowns his last year in Detroit.  The same year he was paired with… D’Andre Swift.  So here’s what we know.  Swift will play two minute drills.  He’ll be the third down back.  He’ll probably finish as an RB2.  Will he do more than that?  Probably not.  Ben Johnson knows who Swift is and what he is not.  He’ll try to maximize what he is.     

    In Round 5 Jen takes Ricky Pearsall.  I like Pearsall a lot this season.  I fell like this was pretty early, taking him over Sutton, Ridley, and DJ Moore.  ESPN PPR rankings had DJ Moore as WR#22 and Pearsall as WR#45.  I think she could’ve potentially waited a round to get him and wind up with a better WR2/WR3 combo.  I’m high on Pearsall, I’m guessing he winds up around here when it’s all said and down at the end of the season.  49ers are going to run through CMC, Kittle, and Pearsall to start the season.  Perhaps a little Dermarcus Robinson.  While Juaun Jennings comes back from minor injury and contract negotiations, and Brandon Auyik works his way back from the ACL he tore last season.  So like the player, but don’t like the pick.   

   In Round 6 Jen took Quinshon Judkins.  Judkins was a first round talent drafted at the beginning of the 2nd round in a loaded draft class.  He played well at Ole Miss and Ohio State before getting drafted by the Browns.  Then the legal trouble.  He allegedly struck his girlfriend.  Now looks like charges are all dropped, so that’s step one.  But now he has to avoid a suspension from the Commissioner.  He needs to sign his rookie contract with Cleveland.  (As of this writing he remains unsigned) and even if he avoids those two things, he’s been away from the team all training camp.  Losing reps.  Both physical and mental.  So if/when he does come back he’s going to take a while to get going.  What a mess.  This was another one where I like the player, but don’t like the draft position.  Felt like a reach.   

   Jen goes Tight End in Round 7 with David Njoku.  Flacco is named starter, so Njoku should be able to keep smashing.  He did very well with Flacco as QB in 2023.  Finishing as the TE#6.  Last season he was great when healthy.  Averaged 13.5 per game, but only played in 11 games.  At first glance I had Andrews and Kraft ranked higher, but once I dug in.  The more I liked this Njoku pick.  He really smashed with Flacco.  They did add Harold Fannin Jr this season.  So he could eat into more reps than previous TE2s for the Browns.   

   In Round 8 Jen got great value in Chris Olave.  Olave is an incredible talent.  He’s just been injured.  Now the QB situation for the Saints is a mess.  That I agree with.  But I can see this team needing to throw it a lot at the end of games.  You have Tampa’s offense, Atlanta’s offense, and Carolina’s offense.  There is value in WR1’s with questionable QB play.  He doesn’t need to be a star, just be himself and he’ll play better than his draft position.  I like this pick for Jen here.  

   Round 9 Jen got a backup QB in Justin Herbert.  Round 10 she got handcuff RB Trey Benson.  I especially liked her Bhaysul Tuten pick in Round 11.  Great upside pick for a RB that could potentially carve a role for himself in a Liam Coen offense.  Similar to Bucky Irving last season.   

 

Draft Grade: B-.  Jen started off strong with JJ pick.  Kyren wasn’t great, but I get it.  Hurts was great.  With JJ-Pearsall-Olave you have a decent trio of WR.  RB depth is good with some upside.  Judkins pick might cost her this season, but we’ll see.   

 

6. Scotty.

I need to talk about Scotty for a minute.  He’s made the playoffs three out of the last four seasons.  Made the Super Bowl last season.  He has 6 Top 3 finishes.  He found himself with the 6th pick, right in the middle of the draft in his attempt to do it again.  He starts off with Christian McCaffrey.  Typically you would see CeeDee Lamb go here, but with this being Best Buy League and we all reach on RBs so he goes CMC.  Last year sucked for CMC drafters.  Ask Tommy who took him at 1.01 last year.  But this is a new year.  He injected stem cells into his Achilles and is ready to go.  Also, the entire backfield is hurt EXCEPT for him entering this season.  They just signed Jeff Wilson it’s gotten so bad.  CMC is going to be his old self and get a ton of touches.  Can the 29 year old stay healthy the entire season?  I do not know.  But should that be a reason to avoid him in drafts?  No.  Especially in this league when RBs are always scarce.   

   In Round 2 Scotty goes Drake London.  London enjoyed a 3rd year breakout last season.  Finished as WR#5.  In the last three weeks of last season he had 39 targets.  I think the WR specific schedule is harder this season, so he might not be able to replicate his Top 5 finish, but Top 10 is definitely reasonable.  I liked Bowers, BTJ, and McBride more than London, but Top 5/10 WR is a great asset. 

   In Round 3 Scotty takes James Cook.  Freshly signed to a new deal he’s ready to rock for the explosive Bills offense.   Cook scored 16 rushing touchdowns last season. He did this by playing less than 60% of the offensive snaps in every game except for Week 1.  That week?  61% of snaps.  Buffalo ran a committee, which helped keep Cook healthy and fresh.  He finished as the RB8.  Can you imagine if they uptick that to 70-80%?  Dynamite.  My guess is it’ll be more of the same as last year.  Explosive, but annoying when he comes out for a Ray Davis touchdown or if Allen takes it in himself.  This gives Scotty a decent RB duo. 

   Round 4 he takes Tyreek Hill.  Which is where he goes in terms of ADP.  Scotty was staring at a large list of veterans.  He had his choice of Mike Evans, DK Metcalf, Davante Adams.  He instead chose to go with Tyreek Hill.  Tyreek devastated my team last season.  Tua got hurt, Tyreek hurt his wrist, and the Dolphins offense was a disaster.  (with the exception of the God-King Tight End Jonnu Smith)  Hill had his worst statistical season in his career other than his injury riddled 2019 season.  He finished as WR#21 but failed to break 1000 yards receiving.  He’s 31.  He has seven confirmed children with rumors of three more.  He could have a major bounce back season this year.  But the Dolphins offensive line got worse.  If Tua is healthy then he has a chance.  Especially with the Jonnu Smith vacated targets.  Evan Silva thinks this might be the year Jaylen Waddle overtakes Tyreek as the WR1 in Miami.  But Silva has historically been bullish/higher on Waddle than consensus.  I would have gone Evans or Adams here but we’ll see if we can get a glimpse of the Tyreek of yesteryear again.  That would make this pick look like a steal.  Went from 4th overall in 2024 to 4th round in 2025.  Life comes at you fast.  

   LOVED the Round 5 pick of RJ Harvey.  I would’ve taken him over Garrett Wilson if I hadn’t of already reached on Henderson in the 3rd which put me behind at WR.  Harvey was handpicked by Sean Payton.  This running back draft class is historic.  They added JK Dobbins as a veteran presence, but please.  One knee Magee is going to play second fiddle to Harvey much earlier than people think.  The Broncos defense is nasty.  Look for Harvey to outperform his draft position and be a 2nd or 3rd round pick next season.  Great RB3 for Scotty.  He did sacrifice his ability to draft Courtland Sutton, DJ Moore, and Calvin Ridley, which could hurt his WR position if Tyreek doesn’t hit, but I like the pick still.          

   In Round 6 I was planning on taking Mahomes.  Figure he is due for a bounceback year, but Scotty had other plans.  The truth about Patrick Mahomes.  In the past two seasons he’s been a great NFL quarterback.  But he has not been a great FANTASY quarterback.  2024- QB11, 2023- QB8.  Now that doesn’t sound too bad, right?  Well it’s bad if you look at his ADP.  Now this year Scotty got him in Round 6.  That is better.  That makes it more palatable.  Especially if he can overperform his ADP and have one of those Top 5 finishes like he had in 2018 (1), 2020(4), 2021(4), and 2022(1).  He just hasn’t been crisp the past couple of seasons and hasn’t needed to throw because Steve Spagnuolo’s defense has been so dominate on the other side of the ball.  Decent value in the 6th.   I like how Scotty navigated this draft.   

   Round 7- Scotty goes Mark Andrews at Tight End.  I love MAndrews and think this was a slam dunk pick.  I actually love Andrews this year.  He received a lot of haterade due to the drop in the postseason.  Isaiah Likely is injured to start the year.  Lamar is playing at a God level.  Andrews was TE6 last year scoring 11 touchdowns in the final 12 games of the season.   

   Round 8 Scotty takes Travis Hunter.  Yes indeed.  I couldn’t believe people drafted TMac and Matthew Golden over Travis Hunter.  I think he outperforms McMillan.  I did a large analysis on WR duos this offseason.  I think Hunter is going to be just fine.  If he plays 75-80% of snaps it’ll be like having 75% Justin Jefferson.  This guy is a unicorn.  He won the Heisman, The Biletnikoff and the Bednarik for God’s sake.  And people are like “Oh he’s going to get hurt”.  Steal in Round 8.  Why?  Yards of separation.   Hunter= 5.9 Yards (91% percentile.  5.9 yards of separation!  People are like, no thanks.  I wouldn’t be surprised if your lineup is Mahomes-CMC-Cook-Harvey-London-Hunter-Andrews by Week 3.  Damn I like the sound of that.   

   In the 9th he took a flier on Stefon Diggs.  He should be the #1 WR the Patriots have been searching for.  We’ll see if he can stay healthy and come back full strength from his acl injury last season.  They paid him like they aren’t worried about it at all.   

   Great value in Rashid Shaheed.  You picked Eagles D/ST right before I could. 

 

Draft Grade: A-.  Can’t be okay with the London over BTJ pick, but I can be okay with all the other decisions.  Scotty’s team is going to be a problem this season and I’m glad he’s not in my division. 

 

7. Trey. 

T-Money!  Derrick Henry nonchalantly rushes for 1,921 yards and 16 touchdowns and it’s like no one even cares.  He hasn’t rushed for less than 10 touchdowns since 2017.  He set his career high in yards per carry  at 5.91 last season.  5.91!  At Age 30!  WTF!  He’s finished as a Top 5 Fantasy RB 4 times in his career, but he was only able to do it in back to back years once.  Can he do it again?  In this league you almost have to take the RB otherwise you risk not getting one in the 2nd.  Now in Trey’s case he wind up having Josh Jacobs availbe in the 2nd, but hindsight is 20/20.  Going Lamb here would’ve given him the Jacobs-Lamb combo, which is sick.  But he didn’t know how the 2nd would shake out.   

   In Round 2 Trey went Jacobs.  Jacobs is a monster.  When the weather got cold in Green Bay, they POUNDED the rock.  Jacobs was the main beneficiary scoring 12 rushing touchdowns in the final 8 weeks of the regular season.  All offseason he’s talked about how he feels great.  This gives Trey the best RB duo in the league.  A coveted advantage in this league.  But at what cost?  Passing on Lamb then BTJ and Bowers.  At what cost? 

   Round 3 came and Trey didn’t have to worry about RB 2, so he went Jaxon Smith-Njigba.  Over AJ Brown.  Over Tee Higgins.  Yeah that’s a big no from me dog.  JSN.  DK Metcalf is gone.  Tyler Lockett is gone.  Geno Smith is gone.  Insert Klint Kubiak as OC, Sam Darnold at QB, Cooper Kupp, Marquez Valdez-Scantling, and rookies Tory Horton and Elijah Arroyo.  JSN is talented but I don’t view him as a fantasy WR1.  He should be WR1 for his team, but I worry about this team. Their offensive line is ranked 29th according to Lineman Expert Brandon Thorn.  And that’s with the addition of Greg Zabel, a talented guard they added in the first round of the draft.  But taking a gander at the division foes’ draft and you’ll see teams committed in bettering their defense and defensive line.  We’ve seen the Rams defensive line become a fearful group with Jared Verse and Braden Fiske.  But now the 49ers drafted Edge Mykel Williams, DT Alfred Collins, and LB Nick Martin.  Prioritizing defense in the draft.  And Arizona started their draft with DT Walter Nolen, CB Will Johnson, and Edge Jordan Bunch.  All seemingly trying to recreate what the Rams did.   We’ve seen Kubiak’s potential when the Saints started off 2024 going 2-0 and scoring 91 points against the Panthers and Cowboys.  But we also saw what happened when injuries started to occur to key team members.  JSN is talented. Another caveat worth mentioning is Sam Darnold’s struggles when there is interior pressure.  Also, I don’t view Darnold as an upgrade over Geno Smith.  Smith is underrated and Darnold is a bit overrated.  So there’s a non-zero chance we see Jalen Milroe at some point this season.  It’s one thing to pass on Lamb and BTJ in Rounds 1 and 2.  It’s another thing to draft JSN over AJB and Higgins.  Absolutely not.  JSN finished as WR#9 last season.  I’ll give you that.  But that was with Geno and with a banged up DK Metcalf for most of the season after he suffered an LCL sprain.  Metcalf still drew the #1 corners and was mainly decoy after coming back.  We’ll see if JSN can be “the man” or if my bearish prediction rings true.  

   In Round 4 Trey went Jameson Williams.  Williams broke out last year and showed his potential getting over 1000 receiving yards and finishing as the WR#22.  Jamo is his dynamite.  Can go for 70 yard touchdowns any given moment.  I love Jamo in this league where we get bonus points for long touchdowns.  Some of his TDs last season included 52 yarder Week 1, 45 yarder Week 6, 82 yards in Week 16, 41 yards in Week 17.  And in the playoffs he had the 61 yard rushing TD on the trick play against the Commanders.  This is a fun pick.  There might be a couple of weeks where they don’t target him very much, but on those BOOM weeks he could win you the week.  Fun flex player.  Have to worry about offense being less gimicky without Ben Johnson and the emergence of rookie Isaac TeslAa.    

   Round 5- Trey goes third straight wide receiver, but this time a more conservative choice in Courtland Sutton.  Sutton is solid.  He had his best year of his career last season, setting career highs in targets and receptions.  He was rewarded with a new contract this offseason.  Bo Nix’s #1 Target.  Only concern would be Broncos not needing to throw much later in games.  Their defense looks dominant.  I’m bullish on the Broncos Super Bowl odds this year.  Big part due to their defense, but Sutton is the move the sticks type you want and a great WR2 for you.   

   In Round 6 Trey took Bo Nix to get the stack.  Some might worry about a Sophomore slump.  I don’t think so.  I think we’ll see him rush a bit less and keep the same throwing numbers.  Nix was QB#7 last year as a rookie.  In comes Evan Engram, RJ Harvey, and rookie Pat Bryant.  More toys for Payton to play with.  I loved this pick for Trey and hated it for me because I was aiming for him or Mahomes in this round and couldn’t get either.   

   Round 7 Trey took Joe Mixon.  Gross, puke, disgusting.  We’ll see if he can come back healthy at some point this season.  Foot/ankle issue sounds bad.  We’ll see if he starts the season on PUP.  If he does he’ll be out 4-8 weeks from the get go.  On top of that, even if he does come back.  The Texans offense line sucks.  Like, really really bad sucks.  Dead last in lineman expert Brandon Thorn’s rankings.  The OC is new and should help from a scheme standpoint.  But this looks like Mixon getting eased back in midseason into a 2-3 yards per carry situation.  Just no thanks.  The Texans defense could provide some goal line opportunities but we’ll see if they go with Mixon, Chubb, Marks, or Pierce in those situations.  Taking him over DeVonta Smith, Zach Charbonnet.  Nope nope nope.  Gross.  Bad.  Bad Trey.   

   In Round 8 Trey takes Tyler Warren.  OOOOOHHHH HEEEEELLLL YEEAAAAHHHH.  This will be the 4th time I go on this rant about Tyler Warren.  I’ve gotten him in zero fucking leagues.  So love the pick for Trey’s team, and I fucking hate it because I didn’t get him: 

Just watch the play against Maryland at the 7:34 mark:  

Tyler Warren | 2024 Highlights  

 

Early in the 2nd Quarter Against Maryland.  The QB takes the snap.  Warren stays with his block, giving the Qb a chance to step up.  He runs behind QB.  QB tosses it back to Warren.   Snapped at the 48 yard line, by the time the QB pitches it back to Warren he catches it at the 40.  Then he stiff arms one defender at the 45, hurdles a defender at the 47. Breaks another tackle at the opposite 40.  Sprints down the sideline and gets tackled at the 21 yard line for an official 31 yard rush, that he ran for 39 yards.   Breaking 3 tackles after blocking the DE enough to give QB a chance to escape.  You drafted a Kittle.  A Manimal.  The Colts offense will funnel through him and JT this season.  Last thing.  TE 1 in 2023?  Rookie Sam LaPorta.  TE1 in 2024?  Rookie Brock Bowers.  Does the trend continue in 2025? (We drafted prior to news of Daniel Jones starting, but when it comes to Warren it didn’t matter who the starter was.  Offense is going to run through JT and Warren). 

   In Round 9 got decent value in Jakobi Meyers.  WR2/3 who is historically underrated.  With an improvement at QB.  In Round 10 you took Khalil Shakir.  High ankle sprain will have him start slow, but later in the season he should go back to being Josh Allen’s most consistent target.  Nice pick with Dylan Sampon in Round 14.  Yes sir.  

 

Draft Grade: B+.  I didn’t like where this was going when he took JSN in the 3rd.  But Sutton-Nix stack in rounds 5-6 and then Warren in Round 7 combined with some nice later picks resulted in this grade shooting up.  Overall Scotty and Trey did a phenomenal job in the middle of the rounds this draft.  

 

8. Joe! 

Go Joe Go!  No Joe No!  Not Jeanty in the first!  Ashton Jeanty looked like a cheat code in college.  Big plays, unable to be tackled.  And he landed in a great spot with the Raiders where his volume is assured.  Now the Raiders play in a division with the Chiefs and Broncos whose defenses scare me.  But he’ll get the goal line work, the two minute drills, the 3rd downs.  He’ll play a ton and he has that breakaway ability.  Geno Smith is an upgrade at QB for the Raiders and teams can’t overcommit to stopping Jeanty otherwise they’ll let Brock Bowers eat them alive.  (Something I hope happens for my teams sake).  Now the concern here is the offensive line.  Brandon Thorn has them ranked 26th in the NFL and well below average.  Their over/under on wins is set at 6.5, so can’t expect Jeanty to get a bunch of rushes late in games.  It’s a volume and talent bet.  I still liked Chase Brown and Jonathan Taylor more than Jeanty, contrarian to most fantasy “professionals”.  I think the right pick would’ve been to go Lamb here and then take Jacobs or best RB available in the 2nd.   

   In the 2nd Round Joe takes De’Von Achane.  Prior to the draft we learned Achane suffered a lower leg injury that would take him out days to weeks.  Later we learned it was a calf injury (but not during draft time).  Achane was a surprising pick for me.  Achane was RB6 last season despite the Dolphins being horrific.  Their offense was so terrible it makes me want to puke just thinking about it.  Tua got hurt.  Their offensive line sucks.  So they just completely ignored Tyreek and Waddle and let them run to open up short game where they just peppered Achane and Jonnu Smith for 4 yard gains repeatedly.  So gross.  The offensive line didn’t improve at all.  Tua is healthy, so that helps, but picking Achane over Jacobs, BTJ, Bowers.  Gross.  Nope.  Nope nope nope.  Normally going RB-RB is a good thing in fantasy drafts especially in Best Buy Dream Team League.  But not if you choose the wrong ones Joe!  God almighty.   

   In Round 3 Joe was rewarded by the Fantasy Gods with a gift from the heavens.  AJ Brown, going in the 2nd round of every best ball and redraft league I’ve been apart of, magically fell to Joe due to a little minor hamstring injury.  I love AJB. He is one of the best WRs in the NFL.  Every WR metric you can track he is one of the guys on the top of the list.  The only reason he isn’t higher is because of the Eagles being such a good team and don’t have to pass much.  You don’t have to throw a lot if you’re winning late in games.  But he is one of those players where you feel better knowing he is in your starting lineup.  You never have to question, should I start him?  The answer is always yes.  Start and forget.  And let’s be real.  There will probably be some positive regression coming his way after missing 4 games and finishing as ppr WR#20 in 2024.  Incredible pick that might have saved Joe’s season.  

   In Round 4 Joe took Joe Burrow.  Nice.  Burrow was the QB3 last year throwing for 4918 yards and 43 touchdowns.  The defense did not improve in the offseason.  The schedule is roughly the same.  The team is roughly the same.  Why is the Top 3 QB who might throw for 5000 yards and 50 touchdowns this season going a round after Allen, Jackson, Daniels, and Hurts?  Rushing?  The concern for Burrow is injuries.  The offensive line still sucks.  He’s won comeback player of the year twice.  He’d much rather win the Lombardi.  But the Bengals did not improve the offensive line.  He takes a ton of sacks with his aggressive play style.  Look for more of the same.  When he plays, fire.  If he gets banged up, yikes.  Great value here. 

   Round 5 Joe continued with his delusions of grandeur about his Round 1 and 2 RBs going Sam LaPorta.  LaPorta is talented and a TE1, no question.  Can he replicate his TE1 finish?  Probably not, but super talented a solid TE.  But you’re going to need to RB depth and you took him right before the last slew of RB#1’s on their teams went.  Pollard, Tracy, even Monty would’ve been good. 

   Round 6 you took George Pickens.  I like it.  He could easily have his best career season now that he’s off the Steelers.  Cowboys are going to throw a ton.  He went 41st overall in my other league.  You get him at 65.  Great value.  Talent is there, only 24.  Dak will be the best QB he’s played for.  This is one where people will look back and be like… how did he fall to the 6th? 

   In the 7th you finally took a third RB, oh wait just kidding you took Chris fucking Godwin who had his leg ripped off last year.  Jesus MF Christ Joe.  HIS FOOT WAS FACING THE WRONG WAY.  Do you think he’s going to magically heal and start running go routes?  My guess is Godwin will come back back of the year and slowly.  He won’t be the Godwin of last year.  Maybe in 2026 he can return to a glimmer of his old safe, but this is a get better year and you took him over DeVonta Smith and RB’s that could have helped your team.  So bad. 

   In Round 8 Joe takes Cam Scattebo.  AASDFAJDF:ASLDJF Halle-fucking-leuh.  Finally he chooses a RB3, a backup for the Giants.  Scattebo is a great story and a great back.  I think Tracy starts the year as the starter and they eventually work out a time share.  If Tracy gets hurt I could see Scattebo smashing as a RB2 level.  More of a grinder and hit him hard Mike Alstott type, but with more speed.  Not a terrible pick, but I had Charbonnet being a better asset at this stage. 

   In Round 9 Joe takes Austin Ekeler.  It might be his saving grace.  With alll the noise surrounding the Commanders backfield and them shopping Brian Robinson, it sounds like the best RB to own in the Commanders backfield is Austin Ekeler.  Because he’ll be the veteran who they trust in passing downs.  He’ll let the young guys take the first and second down ground and pound, but he’ll still provide value.   

   Took a kicker in the 10th.  Took a 3rd string RB in the 12th when the backup was available.  Christian Kirk pick in Round 15 was great. 

 

Draft Grade: C-.  This was an F grade after two rounds.  An F.  Then AJB fell into your lap.  You took Burrow.  Pickens was a great value at 65.  You took Ekeler.  This team could’ve been so much better.  But you did enough or lucked into enough to put forward an okay team.  Definitely behind Trey and Scotty in your division and very possibly behind Kenny, so we’ll see what happens.  Yowzer.  

 

9. Kenny. 

K-Dub!  The fan favorite and our beloved Super Bowl 12 Champion.  After making back to back Super Bowl appearances in 2020 and 2021 and coming up a little short.  He’s missed the playoffs two out of the last three seasons.  He’s looking to compete and get back to the top this season, but was dealt an unfortunate hand with the 9th pick.  Can’t control the hand you got dealt, only what you do with it.  Picking after him is the defending two time champ JD, Mike Grote, and four time champ Chase.  Intimidating drafting position.  

   In the 1st Kenny goes with RB Jonathan Taylor.  I personally wouldn’t have been able to draft JT over CeeDee Lamb, but looking at the RBs after him and knowing you had 6 picks before you went again, I get it.  Had you not gone JT you would’ve had to choose between Achane and Jacobs most likely.  And I agree I would’ve rather JT over them.  Lamb-Jacobs might be better than JT-Amon-Ra, but it’s close enough that we’ll have to wait and see on that one.  Decent pick.  I think no matter who wins the QB competition in Indy JT is going to eat.  He exploded last season too.  39.8 in Week 16 and 27.6 in Week 17.  Delicious.  He’s a stud. He’s healthy.  Let’s ride. 

   In Round 2 you got great value in Amon-Ra St. Brown.  He has finished as PPR WR#3 two years in a row and was WR#7 the year before that.  In his four NFL seasons he has 430 receptions.  Averaging 107.5.  In the last two seasons he’s averaged 117.  That’s gorgeous in PPR leagues.  Ben Johnson is gone, but I think he’ll be okay.  Lions are still a great team.  Teams have to respect the backs, LaPorta Jameson Williams.  So Amon-Ra should be able to continue eating.  This new OC might not dial up as many trick plays as Ben Johnson, but we’ll see.  Solid start to the draft. 

   In Round 3 Kenny takes Terry McLaurin.  Scary Terry.  F1.  Whatever you want to call him isn’t happy.  He wants a new contract.  Kenny is banking on him and Commanders getting the business part done and McLaurin looking to replicate his best season of his career as LSU sensation Jayden Daniels enters Year 2.  As we get closer to the season and as the business side gets worked out you’ll see Terry McLaurin rising up draft boards and going early to mid 4th round and not into the 5th where is Average Draft Position is. But Kenny took him the 3rd.  Over Tee Higgins.  Over George Kittle.  I love McLaurin, but I think he could’ve waited a round.  If he had grabbed Kittle then McLaurin in the 4th it would’ve been better.  McLaurin should be a WR1 if he rejoins the team, but the clock is ticking.  He wants DK Metcalf money, but he’s 3-4 years older than Metcalf.  Might be a tough sell. 

   In Round 4 Kenny goes Aaron Jones Sr.  I actually don’t hate this pick in PPR.  Looking at the other RBs available I get the allure of Jones.  He’ll play two minute drills and 3rd downs.  He was RB#15 last year rushing for 1,138 yards and catching 50 balls.  Jordan Mason is going to get more than Kenny would like, but overall not a terrible RB2.   

   In Round 5 Kenny took DJ Moore.  I like DJ Moore in Ben Johnson’s offense.  I think he is most likely to take on the Amon-Ra St. Brown role.  He has been a solid WR2 every season in his career minus his rookie year and has one WR1 finish in 2023.  The concern is target distribution with the Bears bringing in Colston Loveland and Luther Burden to pair with Rome Odunze.  And the bigger concern is Caleb Williams.  Can he make a large leap in terms of production and consistency in Year 2?  Ben Johnson’s style is structure, execution, and discipline.  Caleb Williams style is loose, creative, and reactionary.  Stylistically they are like a peanut butter and sardine sandwich.  Not great.  But if I was them.  I would set it up so that I can get the ball into DJ Moore’s hands as much as possible.  So despite the major concerns, I like DJ Moore and could see him being Kenny’s best wideout.   

   In Round 6 Kenny took Tyrone Tracy Jr.  I like it.  Appropriate pick to give yourself a solid RB3.  Tracy has looked great this preseason while Cam Scattebo has missed a lot due to injury.  It’ll take longer for Scattebo to catch up an potentially overtake Tracy now.  They can’t commit to stopping the run when they have Malik Nabers out wide.  I really like this pick for Kenny in the 6th.   

   In Round 7 he took Tucker Kraft.  Kraft was banged up for most of last season but still finished as the TE 9.  All of the Packers WRs not named Matthew Golden are injured right now.  A TE1 in Round 7 is about right.  Not a bad pick.   

   In Round 8 Kenny took his QB1 in Dak Prescott.  Dak was QB#3 in his last full season.  Last year he got the big contract and proceeded to start slow then tear his hamstring OFF OF THE BONE.  But he’s back now and has a new weapon in George Pickens.  Jake Ferguson should be back from his sluggish season last year where he battled an LCL injury all season.  Dak should be throwing a lot as their running backs are hot garbage.   

   Kenny took Jauan Jennings who is trying to get a new contract and is banged up in Round 9.  In Round 10 he took Tank Bigsby, not a bad flier to see who winds up leading the Jags rushing attack.  Steelers D/ST should be nasty and he got Boswell and Jonnu Smith so he can make a peripheral stack.  Does Kenny read my blog?   

 

Draft Grade: B-.  Kenny’s team wind up with no weaknesses and no strengths.  Just a solid team.  Qb1, RB1, RB2, WR1, WR2, TE1, Flex is WR2, RB depth.  It’s average, but competitive.  He’s in a really tough division, but solid drafting job from K-Dub. 

 

10. JD. 

Our DEFENDING CHAMPION OF THE WORLD.  The whole league pushes RB’s up their draft boards.  JD looks at everyone zigging and he said, “watch this zag mother F@#$ers”.  Going CeeDee Lamb (incredible value) and then Malik Nabers in Round 2.  He was the only person to start the draft WR-WR other than T-Bo.  CeeDee was the WR#1 in 2023, the last season he had a healthy Dak Prescott for the full season.  This team projects to have a bad defense and a bad run game.  That means pass-happy and that means I’m bullish on Lamb this season.  WR#1 is within the range of outcomes, despite Chase seeming like he can’t be touched.  Last year Lamb wasn’t pretty.  He was working through a shoulder injury for most of the year.  Catching passes from Cooper Rush for most of the year.  Despite all of that and missing the last two games of the season he finished as WR#8.  Can’t think of worse scenarios than last season and yet he still finished Top 10.  Stud.  Great pick.  

   In Round 2 he takes Malik Nabers.  Malik Nabers is going to eat.  I see 140+ targets and 1500 yards when I see Nabers.  He is going to be a problem this season.  Russ Wilson should be an upgrade over Daniel Jones.  Jones is a terrible quarterback who shouldn’t be anywhere near a starting NFL roster.  Wilson was okay for the Steelers.  He’s going to pepper Nabers day in and day out given JD the best WR duo in the league hands down. 

   In Round 3 JD took his RB#1 in Omarion Hampton.  I love Hampton as a prospect and was excited he went in the first round and to the run-happy chargers.  But like I mentioned about JSN, the Slater injury is tough.  (Chargers starting Left Tackle Rashawn Slater tears his patellar tendon and is lost for the season.  They’ll move Joe Alt to Left Tackle and try to make RT work, but this lessened it a little bit more….Brandon Thorn moved them from fringe Top 10 offensive line to #25 offensive line.  It was that big of a loss.  I downgraded all Chargers players as a result of this loss.).  I love Hampton, but I’m not sure if he’ll be good enough as an RB1.  Plus the Greg Roman offenses always run a committee.  I know Najee blinded himself, but I don’t think he’s dead and his legs still work.  This could be a frustrating season especially when they get to the goal line and you see Hassan Haskins rush it in for no good reason other than for Greg Roman to troll fantasy football managers.   

   Round 4 you got tremendous value in Alvin Kamara.  Finally we’ll have JD rooting for the Saints.  Alvin Kamara Finishes In His Career: 

2017- RB3 

2018- RB4 

2019- RB9 

2020- RB1 

2021- RB8 

2022- RB16 

2023- RB11 

2024- RB9 

Those numbers also don’t reflect the fact that AK has missed 1-3 games every season of his career except for his rookie campaign.  His 18.95 ppr points per game last season would’ve been good for RB5 pace.  Saints might be bad again this year.  Qb situation is looking ugly.  But drafted an offensive lineman in the first again.  Maybe Kamara can keep the magic going for another season.  

   Round 5 you take Calvin Ridley.  Volume-Volume-Volume.  WR trio of volume.  Calvin Ridley was WR28 last year with horrific and I mean horrific QB play.  Insert the #1 pick Cam Ward, a gunslinger and a terrible group of Wideouts and you have the making of a WR who is going to get a ton of volume.  The WR room consist of Tyler Lockett, a few rookies, and Van Jefferson.  Ridley is gonna smash this season.  

   Round 6 you took Baker Mayfield.  I would’ve taken Bo Nix of Mahomes over Baker, but not because I don’t like him.  Baker is like the new Drew Brees.  Scrappy.  Accurate.  I don’t think he’ll throw over 40 touchdowns again this season, but he did last year and with his main WRs hurt for a big chunk of the year.  Evans is healthy and they added Egbuka from Ohio State, which is a great talent in the Olave/JSN/Marvin Harrison tier.   Godwin should come back at some point.  I think the Bucs will be without their starting Left Tackle Wirfs for the first four games, so they’ll have to get creative.  Also the loss of Liam Coen is a little concerning.  I like Baker, but TD regression is probable.   

   In Round 7 JD took DeVonta Smith.  What an incredible value.  He is boom or bust and on a run first team.  But very talented.  When AJ Brown misses games his average goes up from 14 fantasy points per game to 17 fantasy points per game.  That’s WR1 level.  And AJ Brown is nursing a sore hamstring right now.  Great depth piece, flex, and bye week filler with upside.  

   In Round 8 you took Evan Engram.  They have Courtland Sutton as the #1.  Engram will have some boom weeks where he is a major contributor in the game plan.  But I don’t anticipate him being consistent.  Boom/Bust.  Just have to get the Booms right.  He flashed some of his potential in the preseason, catching a long ball from Bo Nix along the sideline.  We’ll see if that’s a sign of things to come.  Jd continued his onslaught of WR depth with Addison in Round 9 and Pittman in Round 10.  We get it JD.  You wanted the best WR group in the league.  And you got it. 

   Later round picks of Jaydon Blue, Braelon Allen were good RB depth pieces.  The Jets won’t shut up about Braelon Allen and all indications are looking like it’ll be on a time share.  Fields hurts the RBs a little in PPR because instead of going through progressions and checking it down he goes zoom zoom zoom.  

 

Draft Grade: B+.  Nobody is touching his Top 5 WRs.  If Baker doesn’t regress and Hampton hits, look out.   

 

11. Mike.

Mike wasn’t worried about Stafford’s back.  Rams have Jimmy G and Stetson Bennett.  No I’m sure Stafford will come back and be alright.  (I love how all the analysts are like, oh hes just old and has to manage the back now when he’s 37, literally my age lol).  Mike takes Puka Nacua.  Puka came into the league on fire his rookie season. Smashing the rookie receiving record.  Last season he battled knee injuries but when he played he was money.  Towards the end of the season he just completely blocked out Cooper Kupp like an eclipse.  One of the reasons why I think Cooper Kupp is a Seahawk now.  Although that sounds great for Puka’s targets… in comes Davante Adams.  Adams is still playing at a very high level.  He’ll demand his own targets.  It’s great for the Rams, but might hurt Puka a little bit.  But don’t get me wrong.  Adams was able to finish as WR#11 last season despite being on the same team with Garrett Wilson who finished as WR#10.  Could he go from a team with two #1 WR’s to another team who produces two #1 WRs?  He might.  It might come down to a disc in Matthew Stafford’s back.  Mike chose Puka over Malik Nabers and Amon-Ra.  I had those two ranked higher.  But he’s a stud I don’t hate that much. 

   In Round 2 Mike went RB in Bucky Irving.  Over Nabers, Amon-Ra, Achane, Jacobs, and BTJ.  I agree with taking Bucky over Achane on that list.  But that’s it.  Irving was RB#13 last season.  How many games did Bucky Irving play over 60% of snaps?  3.  Now.  He was explosive with 5.42 yards per rush.  He caught 47/52 targets which is excellent.  But I don’t see the committee approach going away.  I see Irving as more of a James Cook level and less of a Jacobs/Nabers/Amon-RA/BTJ level.  He’s become a bit of a cult sensation on fantasy platforms like Sleeper.  But we have to look at the facts.  Bucs lose Liam Coen.  Won’t have Wirfs the first four weeks, their stud Left Tackle.  And they still have White and Sean Tucker to form a committee.  This draft position assumes he makes a big leap and starts getting 70% of snaps.  I haven’t heard anything to indicate that he does.  Now Rachaad White is a little banged up with a groin injury, but he’s day to day and the season is still three weeks away.  Fun player.  I like him.  I just think this was too high for me.  Give me Jacobs or one of the stud WRs.  Or even Bowers.   

   In Round 3 Mike goes Kenneth Walker III.  Kenneth Walker?  More like Needs A Walker.   Am I right?  Am I right?  (silence befalls the crowd).  Another oft-injured player.  I’m high on Walker this season.  I like the scheme fit with Klint Kubiak’s system.  The offensive line is terrible.  Sam Darnold makes this team worse.  But I think they are going to pound the rock.  A LOT.  If Kenneth Walker is able to stay healthy for an entire season he’ll be in Top 5 RB discussion.  He’s a home run hitter and a monster when healthy.  But man this guy cannot stay healthy.  He’s dealing with a foot injury right now that is taking it’s time to heal.  We shall see if he can be healthy this season.  Charbonnet looked damn good in this past preseason game too.  Damn good.   

   In Round 4 Mike takes James Conner.  Getting 3 RBs in the first four rounds.  Conner is solid.  He’s not a sexy pick, but he’s a solid RB.   All signs point to him repeating as the lead back with a mix of Trey Benson behind him.  This is one of those solid picks that seems boring, but helps a roster.   I would’ve taken Kamara over him personally, but not bad. 

   In Round 5, Mike takes Zay Flowers.  I like Flowers a lot.  He moves the sticks.  He was playing well last season until an ankle injury tripped him up at the end.  When Lamar rolls out on third downs he’s looking for Flowers.  Not a terrible WR2 although I like him better as a WR3. 

   In Round 6 Mike goes TJ Hockenson.  He was right to get a TE here because there was a run on them in Round 7.  Rookies love checking down to Tight Ends.  JJ McCarthy will play like a rookie at times with his first healthy season as a starter.  Also, Jordan Addison is suspended the first 3 weeks of the season.  Hock could get peppered early and help Mike get off to a fast start.  Last season was all about getting back to healthy status for Hockenson but he showed flashes of his former self.  We’ll see if he can regain the magic and have a Top 5 finish like he did in 2022 and 2023.  Will be interesting to see if he outperforms Kelce, Njoku, and Andrews who all went a round later. 

   In Round 7 Mike takes Kyler Murray.  Murray is a decent starting QB.  He was healthy all of last season and was a QB1 in fantasy, finishing as QB#10.  He set a career high in yards per carry at 7.33 which is great.  We’ll see if he can get Marvin Harrison going a little more to get some big plays as opposed to just grinding with Conner and dunking to McBride all day.  Solid pick. 

   Mike took Matthew Golden in Round 8.  I liked Travis Hunter here better, but Golden has a lot of potential too.  Packers never use first round picks on Wide Receivers (ask Rodgers), but they broke their 22 year streak to select Golden.  It helps knowing that all their other WRs are hurt right now.  Meaning he could get a lot of action early, which is great from a fantasy standpoint and his development.   

   Mike took fliers on Travis Etienne in the 9th and Jordan Mason in the 10th.  Man I love me some Jordan Mason.  How do you support a rookie Quarterback?  RUNNING THE FOOTBALL.  Mason is going to be the goal line back.  He was incredible last year for the Niners.  He’s going to eat.  He’s a great pick.  I want Mason this season and I’ve gotten him in zero leagues so far.  So frustrating.  Great pick. 

   In Round 11 Mike took Broncos D/ST.  Normally I don’t care about defenses, but when someone selects the best one I pay attention.  Decent fliers later with Cam Ward, but your kicker is GAY. 

 

Draft Grade: C.  I don’t know how to grade this draft.  I would’ve taken different players in almost every pick, but all the picks he made are around ADP.  I probably would’ve gone Chase Brown to secure him before Chase picked.  Then Malik Nabers.  In Round 3 I would’ve taken George Kittle or TreVeyon Henderson.  In Round 4 if I had gone Henderson I would’ve gone Burrow.  I just see me not drafting this team if we were to simulate this draft 1000 times.  If I’m good at fantasy football that’s a bad omen for Mike.  If I’m bad at fantasy football that might be a good omen for Mike.  But what do I know I peaked in 2009. 

 

12. Chase.

Four Time Champion Chase leads up the rear, just like he likes it.  (winky face) Got that baseball playing ass.  Chase starts the draft with Nico Collins and Chase Brown.  A tail of two picks.  One I love and one I don’t.  Let’s start with Nico.  This guy is a monster and criminally underrated.  When healthy he’s up there with the Lamb’s and JJ’s and Amon-Ras of the world.  My concern with Nico is the soft tissue injuries, but also the Texans offensive line.  It was bad last season and got worse.  Terrible offensive line.  Stroud will be running for his life.  Also, they drafted Jayden Higgins (Nico Collins clone), Jaylin Noel, and brought in Christian Kirk.  Kirk will most likely take the Tank Dell roll and Higgins will take the Diggs role.  But I don’t know how much time Stroud will have to throw.  They did get a new OC this offseason, so that could help get more time with a little scheme help, but with Joe Mixon hurt I don’t see teams respecting the run very much.  Nick Chubb is a shadow of his former self and Woody Marks is an unproven rookie.  Texans are favored to win the division, but we’ll see.   

Nico Collins Games Played In By Season: 

2021- 14 

2022- 10 

2023- 15 

2024- 12 

Can you afford a first round pick with a history of not giving you a full season?  I hope he stays healthy because he’s incredible when he plays. 

   Now the pick I like.  Chase Brown was 100% the correct pick at this position and in this league.  Rant time.   Last season Chase Brown started out in a time share with Zach Moss, playing 20-40% of snaps as the secondary option during the first five weeks of the season.  The next two weeks Brown averaged 50-62% of snaps.  Zach Moss got hurt and Brown kept performing.  It wasn’t until Week 9 where Brown began getting 80%+ snaps from Weeks 9-17.  In that stretch he averaged 20.63 PPR points per game. For perspective, Bijan Robinson, PPR RB #3, averaged 20.1 PPR points per game.  Now one might argue that Samaje Perine could take over some 3rd down snaps and 7th round rookie Tahj Brooks could give Brown some much needed rest sprinkled into the game.  But Brown is the man and Top 5 RB is within his range of outcomes.  Chase takes him as the 8th RB drafted.  Ahead of ADP, but right where he deserves to be drafted.  I would’ve gone Nabers or Amon-Ra and Brown at the turn.  But I get the Nico argument because he’s so good.  We just haven’t seen it the whole season. 

   In Rounds 3 and 4 Chase goes Tee Higgins and George Kittle.  Excellent picks.  Here’s why.  When healthy Tee Higgins puts up WR1 numbers.  He has one season where he played in 17 games.  He’s played in 16, 14, 17, 12, and 12.  He is known for random soft tissue injuries.  He also was being conservative on the backend of his rookie contract wanting to ensure he gets the big second contract.  Well he got it.  To the tune of 4 years, $115 Million with $30 Million fully guaranteed at signing and a $20 million dollar roster bonus for 2025.  He also has incentives in his contract that include $2 million dollars roster bonus if he is active on game days.  Meaning if he misses a game he’ll lose 1/17 of the $2 million dollars or $117,647 per game.  This gives him incentive to be less conservative on those soft tissue related injuries and play on Sundays.  Now this could be a good thing if he’s active and effective.  Or it could be a bad thing, for if he rushes back too early he risks exacerbating the injury and possibly missing more.  His 18.51 ppr points per game over the course of a 17 game season would have put him at WR#4.  As I mentioned in my grade about Joe Burrow and Jamarr Chase, the Bengals are going to throw the ball.  A LOT.  Brown- Higgins are two great assets.  The worry will be if Burrow goes down.  He’s won comeback player of the year twice for a reason, his offensive line sucks and he takes a lot of hits.  But they have a capable backup in Jake Browning, so at least him going down won’t be an automatic eliminator.   

   George Kittle.  Kittle was TE3 last year in PPR and TE2 in half PPR over McBride.  Auyik is injured (found out post-draft it’ll be around Week 6 return).  Jauan Jennings is hurt and seeking a new contract.  Deebo Samuel is in Washington.  Kittle has finished as a Top 5 Fantasy TE four years in a row.  He’s Brock Purdy’s favorite target in the red zone.  In the fantasy playoffs last season he went for 8-106 and 8-112. The offense will run through CMC and Kittle this year.  I have him in the same tier as McBride and Bowers, but Chase was able to get him in the 4th whereas Bowers and McBride went in the 2nd.   Chase was lucky to get him in the 4th and should be stoked about.  Also, I saw him at the celebrity golf tournament at Lake Tahoe this past summer and the dude’s pecs are bigger than my entire body above the waist.   

   At the Round 5 and 6 turn Chase gets some serviceable running backs.  Tony Pollard and David Montgomery.  Tony Pollard is not an exciting RB.  As a member of the Titans last year he was RB21.  But he was a solid RB21. And that was with abysmal QB play.  Spears is a little banged up to start the year, so Pollard is the #1.  Another year removed from his ankle injury that he suffered in Dallas.  New QB that is a HUGE improvement.  He was just a solid pick for an RB2/3.   

   Then you have David Montgomery.  Montgomery was his normal touchdown scoring self until an injury prematurely ended his 2024 regular season campaign.  He should be healthy coming into 2025 and looks to pick up where he left off.  He scored 12 touchdowns last year and averaged 15.84 points per game.  Gibbs is more explosive, but Monty is the grinder and will be used to keep Gibbs fresh.  Sonic and Knuckles!   

   In Round 7 and 8 he took Tetairoa McMillan and Brian Robinson Jr.  All the breaking news on Sunday was about the Commanders looking to trade Brian Robinson.  Chase didn’t give an F.  Not a bad, let’s see what happens move.  Now when it comes to T-Mac.   10 inch hands baby.  Bryce Young will sling it to the former volleyball player.  Now I will tell you.  I drafted Travis Hunter over him in dynasty.  Why?  When watching McMillan I saw too much Courtland Sutton.  Too much Drake London.  You might be thinking, what the hell is wrong with those guys?!?!  Nothing, but Sutton’s best finish in his career in terms of fantasy was last season where he finished as ppr WR 15.  Last season was his 7th NFL season.  London finished as WR 5.  That was in season 3.  First season was WR31 and second season was WR37.  Maybe McMillan can smash as a rookie.  But last year the Panthers spread the ball around.  Adam Thielen, Xavier Legette, Hunter Renfrow, Jimmy Horn, and Jalen Coker represent his target competition.  He has a lot of potential.  But will he smash in Year 1?  I’m not convinced.  It might take him a minute.  [By the way the final nail in the coffin for me in deciding between T-Mac and Travis Hunter was yards of separation. TMac= 2.8 Yards (20th percentile).  Hunter= 5.9 Yards (91% percentile).  5.9 yards of separation!]  That can blow up in my face if Canales funnels the offense through McMillan, but I have a feeling defenses are going to game plan for him and open things up for the slice and dice slot guys.  We shall see who is right! 

   In 9/10 Chase wins the QB pissing contest, being the last time team to draft a QB, beating out Brad who picked Drake Maye 9 picks before him.  In Round 10 he got a steal in Emeka Egbuka.  Let’s put Chris Olave or JSN on a team with Baker Mayfield, hurt Chris Godwin and see what happens.  Everyone is going to feel really really dumb for passing on Egbuka 9 times each by the end of the season.  Myself included. 

   Decent fliers in Chubb, Caleb Williams, Auyik in later rounds.  Although I have low expectations for Chubb with that Texans offensive line.  Plus Mixon could come back right when Chubb starts to get going and muddy the situation up.  But respect for one of the best pure runners in NFL history.  Love the Chubbster.  Probably irrelevant in fantasy this season.  Probably… 

 

Draft Grade: B+.  Team would’ve looked a little different had I drafted, but not much.  Chase Brown, George Kittle, Tony Pollard.  Unique features/things to keep an eye on will be Nico over Amon-Ra, Nabers, and BTJ, and McMillan over Hunter.  Can have some fun debates on these guys prior to season start.  

 

Draft Grade In Order of Draft: 

  1. Steven- C+
  2. Katon- B
  3. Brad- B
  4. Tommy- B
  5. Jen- B-
  6. Scotty- A-
  7. Trey- B+
  8. Joe- C-
  9. Kenny- B-   
  10. JD- B+ 
  11. Mike- C 
  12. Chase- B+

 

In Order of Draft Grade: 

  1. Scotty: A-

T2. Chase: B+ 

T2. Trey: B+ 

T2: JD: B+ 

T5: Brad: B 

T5: Katon: B 

T5: Tommy: B 

T8: Jen: B- 

T8: Kenny: B- 

10: Steven: C+ 

11: Mike: C 

12: Joe: C- 

Overall, nobody got a D and only one A.  Goes to show how evened up this league is.  This is truly anybody’s year this year.  Except for Joe probably.  Good luck!   

 

-Commish B-Razzle Dazzle AKA Fantasy Football Brad AKA Peaked In 2009

Dynamo Dynasty Mock Draft #1 (Pre NFL Draft)

  1. Andy- Marvin Harrison Jr., Wide Receiver, Ohio State, 6’4″ 205 lbs, Age: 21.7

As close to a slam dunk prospect as you can imagine.   Andy won the lottery last year by winning the consolation bracket thanks to CeeDee Lambs explosion to end the 2023 season.   CeeDee Lamb is skipping voluntary OTAs wanting a new contract so Andy gets someone who is comped between AJ Green and CeeDee Lamb.  Only way Andy doesn’t go Harrison is if Nabers goes to Chargers and Andy might get the Herbert-Nabers stack.  Son of a hall of famer is so confident in his abilities he didn’t waste time training to run a 40 yard dash or running around cones.  He’s been working on his route running and preparing for his first NFL season.

2. Cuz- Malik Nabers, Wide Receiver, LSU, 6’0″ 200 lbs, Age: 20.7

Many argue Nabers was robbed for the 2023 Biletnikoff as he had the better statistical season than Harrison.  (89, 1569, 14) vs (67, 1211, 14).  I’m sure people rationalized it by saying LSU had more offensive opportunities because our defense was Swiss cheese.  Nabers has been comped to Jamarr Chase.    But it’s going to be fun to watch which of these two wideouts wind up the better pro.  Slam dunk pick.  Cuz was offered a franchise altering trade offer from Fantasy Football Brad including multiple 1sts for this spot to which Cuz denied.  And I don’t blame him.

3. Ian- Brock Bowers, Tight End, Georgia, 6’4″ 240 lbs, Age: 21.4

If Ian actually exists he has two first round picks in a deep wide receiver class.  That makes me lean Bowers here.  The two time Mackey award winner is a hybrid between George Kittle, Rob Gronkowski, and Travis Kelce.  Meaning he’s just Brock Bowers.  The concern would be if he winds up with the injury history of a Kittle or Gronk as he played through an ankle injury in his last college season.  He also didn’t do athletic testing which historically has been a key predictor of tight end NFL success.  I think the film speaks for itself.

4. Dan- Rome Odunze, Wide Receiver, Washington, 6’3″ 216 lbs, Age: 21.9

In conversations with Dan this pick could go way differently depending on how the first three shake out.  He’ll have his choice to a player that is comped with Mike Evans, Larry Fitz, and Davante Adams or the pick of Top QB or LSUs Brian Thomas.   I’ll go conservative here and say he takes best wideout available in Odunze.  A lot of mocks have him going to Chicago at 9 which would severely limit his rookie season production potential seeing as the Bears added Keenan Allen to a receiver group led by DJ Moore.  Dan is a bit of a wildcard at pick #4 so I wouldn’t be surprised if he shakes up the draft here, but for now I’m going to say he drafts based on talent and takes Odunze who can seemingly do it all.

5. Colton- Brian Thomas Jr., Wide Receiver, LSU, 6’3″ 205 lbs, Age: 21.5

Colton couldn’t have had worse luck last season.  Every running back busted.   Players got hurt.  Young potential studs busted. It was borderline a nightmare.  The bright spots were Jordan Love, AJ Brown, and David Njoku.  Now that a lot of his running backs have switched teams it allows him to continue to build the team by drafting best player available.  I think Thomas is the 4th best wideout in this draft class.  It’s hard to comp Thomas.  There haven’t been many with his athletic testing and production COMBINED with playing second fiddle to a stud like Nabers on LSUs potent offense.  It was glorious watching him catch long balls for touchdowns last season.  (17).  Some were beautiful catches too.  His stock could shoot up or down depending on landing spot but you can’t argue against the talent.

6. Brad- Caleb Williams, Quarterback, USC, 6’1″ 216 lbs, Age: 21.4

You have got to be kidding me?  Is this asshole really going to roll with Mahomes-Richardson-Williams on a dynasty roster for a 1 QB league?  Look.  I draft best player available.  Period.  Williams can fall into success with Allen, Moore, and potentially another stud wide receiver weapon added via the draft.  There was scarcity at QB last season.  Scarcity means leverage.  Brad is #1 in QB category according to KTC and this would ensure that won’t be changing for the next decade.

7. Adam– Adonai Mitchell, Wide Receiver, Texas, 6’2″ 205 lbs, Age: 21.5

This is a tough choice but looking at Adam’s roster and how he traded away Tank Dell last season I could see him taking the bigger td threat versus Worthy.  Adam has Josh Allen and Amon-Ra St Brown.  Adam Schefter reported in a podcast with Establish the Run cofounder Adam Levitan that scouts and mock drafters are too low on AD Mitchell and he thinks he goes in the middle of the first round.   So basically an Adam spoke to an Adam about an Adonai that gets picked by an Adam.  Say that five times fast.

8. Ian (via Mike B)– Jayden Daniels, Quarterback, LSU, 6’4″ 181 lbs, Age: 23.4

Ian traded away Tajae Spears and Pick 2.03 to move up.  I think he takes that kid Jayden.  The Heisman winner falling to 8th pick would be a gift from the Fantasy Gods for Ian.  With Murray out for most of the year last year Ian had Daniel Jones who busted then he scooped up Gardner Minshew and Bryce Young.  But he doesn’t want to keep playing that game.  Drafting Jayden would allow him to drop or trade away Daniel Jones, Gardner Minshew, and Bryce Young to acquire more draft capital or roster space to take some fliers later in the draft.  If he comes away with a Daniels-Bowers stack to partner with his JJ-Adams-Deebo trio at wide receiver he’d be a contender category FOR SURE.  He also has 2 picks in the third to try and take swings at potential stars.

9. Mike D– Xavier Worthy, Wide Receiver, Texas, 6’1″ 165 lbs, Age: 21.0

Achane.  Waddle.  Why not add another speedster?  If Dickinson has a type it’s SPEED.  Scouts are worried that Worthy is too small at 165 lbs and that he is John Ross 2.0.  That’s a lazy comparison.  Worthy did set the record for the 40 yard dash with a 4.21.  But if you watch his film.  He played fast.  There’s a reason he caught 20 more balls than AD Mitchell last season.  Every curl route he was wide open.  Corners couldn’t hang with his speed.  And his production profile was much better than John Ross or previous undersized speedsters who failed.  Plus the NFL is different now.  Devonta Smith (170), Jordan Addison (175), and Tank Dell (165) have proven it could work if schemed correctly.  Depending on landing spot Worthy has a wide range of Dynamo rookie draft outcomes.

10. Ollie- Troy Franklin, Wide Receiver, Oregon, 6’3″ 187 lbs, Age: 21.2

Franklin is tough to comp like Thomas.  There’s a flavor of Jameson Williams, but what we do know is he is fast.  Oregons offense didn’t throw it deep, like at all.  Bo Nix threw it short, a ton.  But Franklin did a great job getting separation and was a reliable target for Nix.  He has the height 6’3” and the college production profile.  He’s just a little skinny like the wideouts mentioned in previous pick (175).  But a lot of mocks have him going to Chiefs or Bills at the end of Round 1, but there are teams drafting QBs at the beginning of Round 1 that might take him at the beginning of Round 2 and that could be a good situation for him.  Ollie could be tempted to take the top RB of the class but let’s be real.  Ollie needs wideouts not more RBs.

11. Dom- Ladd McConkey, Wide Receiver, Georgia, 6’0″ 185 lbs, Age: 22.5

Another tough choice for me, so I know it will be for Dom.  He could elect Brooks who is comped as a potential Jamaal Charles.  But Brooks tore an ACL in November and will have a slow start.  Dom is in win-now mode having shipped Tyreek away for Breece Hall and then Warren away for Pittman.  He is getting a bit younger but the competitor in Dom takes over.  I think he denies delayed gratification and goes with the craziest footwork wide receiver in the draft.  McConkey didn’t produce much, but he is a phenom in the middle of the field.  Depending on landing spot he could be a Top 5 wideout in this draft class.  And let’s be real.  Dom is driven by envy of Mike B.  Knowing Mike B landed Puka a late round flier turned Top 10 dynasty asset we all know Dom wants to beat Mike by getting someone with Cooper Kupp level footwork.

12. Oscar- Jonathan Brooks, Running Back, Texas, 6’0″ 207 lbs, Age: 20.8

The champion built his roster on young/in their prime RBs and older wideouts.  Why stop now?  Because he has Jacobs-Pacheco-Mostert-Najee-Ford he can A-fford to wait on Brooks and draft based on potential.  Brooks will be slow to start but will probably get going around the time Chubb comes back and starts taking away Fords playing time.  This just feels like an Oscar type move.  He could elect to go wide out, but what’s better the 9th best wide out or the #1 best running back prospect?

Thanks for reading guys.  I know these are mostly wrong, but why not have a little fun in our offseason?!

-Fantasy Football Brad

Dynamo Dynasty League: Season 1 Final Push

I wanted to look back at my Dynamo Dynasty League Startup Draft Grades and compare to where everyone is heading into the final 3 divisional games before playoffs and consolation bracket starts. 

Look back at grades and whether I saw teams as Win Now, Win Later, Balanced, or Win Never:

Draft Grades In Order (Highest to Lowest)

  1. Mike B: A- (Balanced)
  2. Adam: B+ (Balanced)
  3. Colton: B+ (Balanced)
  4. Ian: B- (Win Now)
  5. Brad: C+ (Win Later)
  6. Daniel: C+ (Win Now)
  7. Oscar: C+ (Win Now)
  8. Ollie: C (Win Now)
  9. Cuz: C- (Win Never)
  10. Andy: C- (Win Never)
  11. Dom: D (Win Never)
  12. Mike D: D (Win Never)

From <https://fantasyfootballbrad.com/2023/07/12/dynamo-dynasty-league-startup-draft-grades/>

 

Of course here are the standings after Week 11 before the last 3 regular season/divisional games:

  1. Dom 8-3, 1291.16 PF
  2. Ollie 8-3, 1278.56 PF
  3. Adam 7-4, 1332.50 PF
  4. Andy 6-5, 1204.68 PF
  5. Cuz 6-5, 1184.48 PF
  6. Oscar 5-6, 1254.86 PF
  7. Mike D 5-6, 1254.32 PF
  8. Mike B 5-6, 1191.18 PF
  9. Ian 5-6, 1136.10 PF
  10. Brad 4-7, 1179.04
  11. Colton 4-7, 1054.02 PF
  12. Dan 3-8, 1088.38

Now let’s talk about the teams prospects and where I was wrong and where I was right.

1. Dom. 

Dom was initially labeled “Win Never” and yet finds himself in 1st place with a playoff spot all but locked up due to his high Points For.  Despite Garret Wilson losing Aaron Rodgers early in the season Dom has been playing great led by #1 Fantasy Wide Receiver Tyreek Hill.  He also has James Cook, D’Andre Swift, and Jaylen Warren who are all Top 20 Running Backs.  Of course early in the season he traded Kyren Williams to Dan for Keenan Allen.  Allen is WR#2 in PPR on the season and Kyren got injured the week after the trade and went to IR.  Dom lost Justin Fields for four games but was able to make it work and finds himself with a chance to compete.  Dom was labeled as “Win Never”.  With aging assets at Wide Receiver (Keenan Allen is 31 and has a weird ass shoulder thing, Tyreek is 29, Boyd is 29, Hopkins is 31) this status can hold true still.  IF he doesn’t win it this year, it might not be pretty for the next couple of years.  He is younger at RB with his trio of studs being all 24-25 years old.  Warren is the 25 year old, but has the least amount of baggage. 

Status?  If he wins, he is Win Now, if he loses he stays in the Win Never column due to his aging assets.

PS: Dom is now on Fantasy Football Brad’s “Do Not Trade With” List. Dom and Brad were in negotiations late into the night on 11/20/2023 and Dom allowed a clerical error to cancel a trade that would help both teams. Due to this Brad is vowing to NEVER trade with Dom.  If there is a creative multiple team trade proposed and Dom is involved it will NOT be accepted.  Dom could offer me all his 1sts for peanuts and the answer is still NO.  Lifetime Ban.  Good luck on waiting for Arthur Smith to dial up plays for Kyle Pitts.  Hope that works out for ya.   

 

2. Ollie.

Ollie was labeled Win Now and it has held up.   Led by his insane Running Back Monopoly of #15 Derrick Henry, #9 Joe Mixon, #3 Travis Etienne Jr, and Johnathan Taylor who is averaging 13.33 ppr points per game Ollie sits at 8-3 and in 2nd place with 3 regular season weeks to go.  Despite his shallow Wide Receiver assets he’s had a sudden explosion from his Qb #1 Dak Prescott who now sits at Qb #6 on the season with Qb finishes of Qb1, Qb3, Qb2, Qb1, and Qb17 in his last five starts.  With rumors swirling of Travis Kelce’s impending retirement, aging running backs in Henry (29) and Mixon (27), Ollie remains in the Win Now category. 

Status?  Win Now still. 

 

3. Adam.

Adam was listed as balanced post startup draft and he has remained so.  Currently in 3rd place but leading the league in points scored, Adam sets up to be a consistent playoff team in the league over the next several seasons.  #1 Qb Josh Allen, young studs, #15 Brandon Auyik, #6 Amon-Ra St. Brown, #1 TE TJ Hockenson, and last night he obtained Zay Flowers in a package deal with Dan sending out stud rookie Tank Dell.  Adam’s weakness is Running Back with aging assets like Conner (28) and Dalvin Cook (28), he’ll need to get younger to be able to compete for multiple seasons. 

Status? Still balanced, but RB leans him closer to Win Now mode. 

 

4. Andy.

Defense wins championships I guess.  Andy was listed as a “Win Never” but here he sits as the 4 seed.  A big reason why is his young core that he established in Herbert-Gibbs-CeeDee have exploded over the past few weeks.  Justin Herbert is Qb #2, Gibbs is now RB #7, and CeeDee is WR #3.  Even aging asset Alvin Kamara is RB #8 on the season despite missing the first 3 weeks due to suspension.  In those 7 weeks he has 50 catches!  Andy has struggled to find consistent scoring from his WR2 Calvin Ridley and his flex positions, but his core has him competing this year. 

Status?  Still win-never, not deep enough to compete this season, not enough to rebuild in next season either. 

 

5. Cuz.

Cuz was originally labeled as Win Never.  He currently sits at 6-5 and on the fringe of making the playoffs.  The problem is he lost Joe Burrow.  Surprisingly he did not trade for a Quarterback before the trade deadline to try and make a run at this thing.  So one of two things will happen.  Either Cuz makes the playoffs and gets knocked out early or he misses the playoffs and has to try and retool next year.  His team is a bit of a mixed bag with young RBs in #4 Brian Robinson and #11 Breece Hall and a couple young wideouts in George Pickens and Romeo Doubs and #14 Michael Pittman, but his big assets are getting older with #4 WR Stefon Diggs being 29 and #3 TE George Kittle bing 30.  They could have a couple of years left, so Cuz could find himself around the same place next year.  But does he have enough?  Can he go the distance this year without Burrow?  Can he go the distance next year after adding a few younger assets? 

Status?  Closer to balanced then win-never due Brian Robinson and Michael Pittmans’ emergence. 

 

6. Oscar.

Oscar was Win-Now and this remains for me.  He has his franchise Qb in #3 Jalen Hurts and a interesting group of Running Backs: #5 Josh Jacobs(25), #24 Isaih Pacheco (24), #2 Raheem Mostert (31), #29 Najee Harris (25), and #21 Jerome Ford (24).  He has been getting great production from Mike Evans who sits at WR#11 in his age 30 season.  Amari Cooper is 29, but sits at WR#23.  Cooper takes a hit rest of the season due to Deshaun Watson going out due to karma and injury.  Maybe if he jerked off himself he’d have the shoulder dexterity needed to stay healthy and play the rest of the season.  Cooper Kupp has been on and off the injury report at age 30.  Same with Odell Beckham who is 31.  One nice surprise has been Colts rookie WR Josh Downs.  With Oscar’s middle aged running backs and aging wide receivers he remains in Win Now mode.  If he doesn’t win this year look for him to unload some aging assets to get younger and construct a minor rebuild to try and stay competitive.

Status? Win Now still.

 

7. Mike Dickinson.

Mike was listed as Win Never but he sits in a good position to either make the playoffs or get a first round bye in the consolation bracket.  The main reason is #1 RB Christian McCaffrey.  While Brad elected to go with 21 year Bijan, Dickinson traded up for CMC and it was been beautiful for him.  He has also had two huge breakout seasons by rookies QB#8 CJ Stroud and #28 Devon Achane who is averaging 20.64 ppr points per game.  Dickinson has also relied on aging veterans that have come on strong in 2023 including 33 year old WR#10 Adam Thielen and 28 year old Kareem Hunt who is averaging 9.66 ppr points per game.  Trevor Lawrence has played like shit, Trey Lance is still a backup, and Drake London still plays for an Arthur Smith team.  Does he have enough to make the playoffs this season?  Does he have enough to retool and rebuild next season?  His winning window is CMC.  How long does he have left?

Status? Despite his record he remains in the Win Never category.  For now.

 

8. Mike Bellocq.

Our fearless commissioner loves to wheel and deal and finds himself looking up towards the last three weeks of the season.  Mike was listed as Balanced and he remains there.  He has the depth to make a run at this thing either in the playoffs or the consolation bracket.  Lamar Jackson is Qb#5 and he seems to know exactly when to plug in Qb#9 Brock Purdy (which is insanely lucky) as evident of last week here he Started Purdy (26.72) over Jackson (23.96) and won by 0.92 points.  He has 26 year old Tony Pollard and 25 year old Rhamondre Stevenson as his top two running backs and a plethora of wide receiver talent.  Him trading for Trey McBride was bad news for the rest of the league.  Mike has a chance to win now and should compete for the next several seasons. 

Status? Balanced.  Will compete now and for next several seasons.

 

9. Ian.

Ian was listed as Win Now, but he has to be concerned sitting as the 9th seed with 3 weeks to go.  His season has been a bit all over the place.  He loses Justin Jefferson to an IR stint due to hamstring injury.  It has been lingering.  His Qb situation was a mess for a while, but he finally has Kyler Murray back and Josh Dobbs backing him up for depth.  30 year old Davante Adams has been up and down and got his coach fired.  28 year old Mark Andrews was just lost for the season.  26 year old David Montgomery has missed time due to injuries and may now be supplanted by Gibbs.  And now Kenneth Walker is injured.  I’m sorry Ian.  With JJ still out, Andrews out, Walker looking to miss a couple weeks… it’s not looking good brother. I see Ian missing the playoffs and if he can’t get healthy, possibly having a short exit in the consolation bracket as well.  

Status?  Injures and circumstance has moved Ian from Win Now into Win Never mode.

 

10. Brad.

Brad was listed as Win Later.  The only one who got this title suspiciously.  His prediction appears to be coming true despite fireworks mid-season when he traded for Patrick Mahomes.  Brad is set at Qb now and in the future with 28 year old Patrick Mahomes and 21 year old Anthony Richardson.  At Running Back he has 21 year old Bijan Robinson and then a hodge podge of terrible.  He’ll ride the hot hand of Alexander Mattison/Ty Chandler and look to waiver wire ROS.  Look for him to add RB in the offseason.  At Wide Receiver he has a young stud in 21 year old WR#13 Jordan Addison.  But he is surely disappointed in Tee Higgins disastrous 2023.  First Burrow was immobile and injured.  Then Tee Higgins was injured.  Then they played in two healthy games together and now Burrow injures his wrist and is out the rest of the season.  We’ll see in the offseason where the 24 year old stud winds up.  25 year old DK Metcalf has also disappointed, but boasts a favorable schedule rest of the season and could make up for the slow start if he’s able to bring Brad a Top 4 pick in next year’s rookie draft.  At Tight End he is deep and young despite trading away Sam LaPorta in the Mahomes deal.  24 year old #10 TE Jake Ferguson benefiting from Dak Prescott’s hot run, 24 year old #18 TE Cade Otton who plays almost every snap for the Bucs, and rookie freak 23 year old #21 TE Luke Musgrave who has shown flashes in his rookie campaign.  Brad also has aging Darren Waller. 

One more thing to mention is Brad has Dan’s 2nd round pick meaning he’ll have 3 picks in the Top 16 picks in the 2024 rookie draft.  (pending Brad and Dan in fact missing the playoffs). 

Status? Win Later still.  It as an appropriate title and look for Brad to compete beginning in 2024.

 

11. Colton.

What happened?  Colton was balanced meaning he could compete this year but also could compete in years to come.  So what happened to this season?  Busts and Injuries.  Ekeler missed 3 weeks early in the season.  Aaron Jones has missed 3 games and was just injured again.  Zay Jones has missed 6 games.  Dameon Pierce has missed 3 weeks and has been supplanted by Devin Singletary’s emergence.  Treylon Burks has missed five games.  Christian Watson busted.  Skyy Moore busted.  JSN has had a typical rookie WR season, but is suffering by some slight performance regression by Geno Smith.  Colt does have #10 Qb Tua Tagovailoa (25) playing at a high level this season.  #5 WR AJ Brown (26) has been balling out.  And the Gus Bus has been keeping Colton in games as he is currently #10 RB and has scored 10 rushing touchdowns including 9 in the past 5 games?!?  Colton has aging RB’s in Jones, Ekeler, and Edwards.  All his young wideouts look bad right now. 

Status?  Win Later.  An argument can be made that Colton is a Win Never, but I believe his season has been extremely unlucky.  If his aging assets can hold for another season or two he might be able to compete and make the playoffs next season if his luck changes a bit.

 

12. Dan.

Post draft Dan was labeled as Win Now.  Then he started to lose.  Realizing this he began his rebuild early.  Sending away 28 year old Patrick Mahomes, 31 year old Darren Waller, and oft injured Jerry Jeudy, and his 2024 2nd for young studs Zay Flowers and Sam LaPorta.  He got Kirk Cousins and Kenneth Gainwell as well, but Cousins was lost for the season with an achilles injury and Gainwell is merely a high value handcuff.  Dan later shipped out aging wideout Tyler Lockett and 26 year old Tony Pollard to get slightly younger Rachad White.  But he also included Trey McBride, which I think is going to hurt him in the long run.  On trade deadline night he traded away James Conner and the young stud Zay Flowers for a different young stud in Tank Dell.  Looking at Dan now his build will be around Rachaad White (24), Kyren Williams (23), Chris Olave (23), Tank Dell (24), Sam LaPorta (22).  He’ll hope to get Nick Chubb back sometime next season and still has his 1st round pick which is looking like a Top 6 pick where he could potentially draft his QB of the future. 

Status?  Win Later.  At times his trades appear like he is losing and giving up too many assets.  But his young core is impressive.  Despite losing his 2nd pick in 2024 he does have the pieces to potentially compete in Year 3. 

 

I hope you enjoyed the write up and best of luck to all of you the rest of the inaugural season!  

-Fantasy Football Brad

Maryanne Smith League Season 23 Draft Grades

Annual Disclaimer: Opinions are like assholes, everyone has one.  This is my opinion.  Last Year These were the Draft Grades:

  1. Mike: A+
  2. Caleb: A
  3. Ben: A
  4. Stephen: B+
  5. Max: B+
  6. Quentin: B
  7. Logan: B
  8. Brad: B
  9. Josh: C
  10. Andy: C-

And these were the Final Standings:

  1. Brad
  2. Logan
  3. Andy
  4. Mike
  5. Stephen
  6. Ben
  7. Josh
  8. Caleb
  9. Quentin
  10. Max

So the playoff teams were ranked #1, #7, #8, and #10.  At least I called Mike having a good team last year.  Let’s see how I do this year!

  1. Stephen.

Stephen gets the #1 Pick and goes with the smash Justin Jefferson pick.  Jefferson led the NFL in both catches with 128 and receiving yards with 1,809 last season.  He was the youngest player in NFL history to lead the league in both.  He is 24.  He is an LSU guy.  And I’m bullish on the Vikings offense this season.  18 picks later Stephen was up again at the 2/3 turn.  He went with Jaylen Waddle (WR#7 last year) and Chris Olave (WR#25 last year).  Olave is looking to make a sophomore jump in Year 2.  WR’s typically perform 101.4% in their second season comparing ppr points by the number of years in the NFL to players career baseline averages.  Waddle is the perfect fit in Mike McDaniels offense and I see no reason for him to not repeat his big play 2022 season.  This gives Stephen the best trio of Wide Receivers in the league by far.  In Round 4/5 turn Stephen went with two Vikings in TJ Hockenson and Alexander Mattison.  Hockenson finished as the #2 Tight End last year and I look for him to pick up where he left off last season (at least while Jordan Addison gets acclimated into the NFL).  Expect a little pep in his step after signing a 4 year, $66,000,000 contract making him the highest paid tight end in the league.  Evan Silva placed a large bet on Mattison to win the rushing title with 40:1 odds.  To quote the big dog himself, “Alexander Mattison inherits Dalvin Cook’s workhorse role after re-signing a two-year, $7 million deal, 91% of which is guaranteed.  Mattison possesses prototypical feature back size (5-foot-11/ 221) and has been treated commensurately by Vikings coaches in past opportunities to spell Cook; Mattison’s touch counts in his past five starts were 24, 32, 32, 25, and 16.  Last year, Mattison outplayed Cook on a one-to-one basis, finishing 16th in PFF rushing grade compared to Cook’s 64th overall placement… I’m willing to draft Mattison aggressively above his ADP this season.”  Mattison has had a small injury this offseason and Vikings have been rumored to want to sign another back for depth, but it sure looks like Mattison is in line for a Top 15 RB season.  In Round 6/7 Stephen was looking for depth pieces at RB and went with JK Dobbins and James Cook.  Great selections.  Dobbins knee looks disgusting but he’s playing and this is redraft, so I don’t have a problem with seeing what he can do in Todd Monken’s offense.  James Cook should take the lions share of the running back work for Buffalo now that Devin Singletary is a Texan, but look for Damien Harris and/or Latavius Murray to be an annoyance, stealing some goal line work (if Josh Allen doesn’t steal it that is).  I might have gone White over Cook, but that’s more conservative and with your zero running back approach to the first 4 rounds the swing for the fences appeal of Cook makes sense.  He’s certainly on a better offense.  In Rounds 8 and 9 you went David Montgomery and Gabe Davis.  Good depth pieces as Montgomery could be the Jamaal Williams of the Lions offense this season.   In Round 10 you went with Anthony Richardson and Courtland Sutton.  Sutton has Top 25 WR potential this year with the injuries to Jeudy and Sean Payton running the show.  Of course he is still at the mercy of Russel Wilson, so it’s good that he’s a depth piece and won’t be relied on.  As far as Richardson goes I predict he will finish the year as a Top 12 Fantasy Qb.  Like I said in the draft comparing Anthony Richardson to Derrick Henry.  Richardson is taller, heavier, and faster.  His head coach was Jalen Hurts’ head coach.  They are designing the offense around him.  In the preseason game against the Eagles he ran for 38 yards in the first half.  He had another run called back for holding.  His completion percentage was rough, but they drove down the field and scored on 3 possessions (17 points).  If you can look past completion percentage and look at fantasy stats then Richardson is going to be a great fantasy Qb in Year 1.  In Round 12 and 13 you and Michael had a weird moment where he made your pick for you?  He was like Rashod Bateman is available.  Are you taking him Stephen?  Stephen was hesitant and then said “yeah”.  Don’t know what that was all about.  I know Stephen Danley’s team name was famously “Your Sister’s Keeper” so his Michael trying to be named “My Brother’s Keeper”.  Super Weird.  Stephen also took Danny Dimes and Geno Smith.  He could have 3 Top 15 Qbs.  Good for depth, tough to choose a starter.

Draft Grade: A.  Stephen’s team is going to get so many freaking targets it’s going to be insane.  Drafting 1st is a huge advantage and Stephen took advantage of the advantage.  Advantageous.  Stephen’s team is a contender.

  1. Caleb.

Caleb goes Christian McCaffrey.  Run CMC looked great for the Niners.  He took over Deebo Samuel’s previous role as the Wide-Back.  I’m sure they will try to keep him fresh and sprinkle in an annoying amount of Elijah Mitchell, but I’m okay with the pick.  Looking at the Round 2/3 Running Backs I don’t blame you.  I still would have gone Ja’Marr Chase, but to each their own.  In the 2nd you had Jalen Hurts drop to you.  Hurts averaged almost 30 points per game last year.  He only finished as Fantasy Qb#3 because he got injured and missed Weeks 16 and 17.  To the detriment of Andy last year.  In the 3rd you stacked Hurts with Devonta Smith.  Smith has drawn Marvin Harrison comparisons and should continue to be 1B to AJ Brown’s 1A roll.  This stack could win you some weeks.  In Round 4 you went Kenneth Walker III.  Walker is Evan Silva’s RB#11 and he has him ranked higher than Gibbs, Jones, Etienne, and Mixon, so you might’ve sneaked in a Top 10 RB as your RB2.  Concern is the high draft capital used on Zach Charbonnet, but I see Walker as the true starter and Charbonnet as just a backup for now.  In Round 5 you went with Breece Hall.  This was a little early for me as I see him being in a time share with Dalvin Cook for most of the season, but he has late season breakout potential (and if you read my Mattison portion of Stephen’s grade you’ll see that Dalvin isn’t the Dalvin that he used to be).  Sometimes players coming back from ACL tears can have some soft tissue issues like hamstring pulls and things like that, so that’s the concern, but as a high risk/high reward RB3 I’m okay with it.  I probably would have gone conservative and gone with Dameon Pierce to secure the volume.  In Round 6 and 7 you drafted your WR2 and WR3 and both of these picks were horrendous and disgusting.  You have 30-year-old Tyler Lockett on a team that just drafted arguably the best wide receiver in the 2023 draft class JSN.  WR’s entering their 9th season typically have a drop off statistically and do not hit their baseline average performance.  You went with Chris Godwin who gets a significant downgrade at Qb going from Brady to Baker.  The offensive line is atrocious, and you know what Brady was good at?  Quick release.  You know what Baker is bad at?  Quick release.  In Round 8 you went with Michael Pittman Jr.  He’s going to have some good weeks and could be Anthony Richardson’s #1 WR, but it’s going to be a frustrating ride.  When will Richardson’s accuracy be on and when will it be off?  Good luck.  In Round 9 you went with Isiah Pacheco.  Love the depth piece.  He could start for you some weeks in the flex and be a good running back to plug in if you have injuries.  Gibson, Toney, Chig, and Achane.  Gibson is a solid depth running back.  Toney is a gadget player.  He looked cool in the playoffs.  They drew up a lot of creative stuff for him.  If his injury history and off field issues can subside for a couple of freaking weeks we might be able to see what he can do because they’ve treated him like their #1 Wide Receiver all offseason.

Draft Grade: C+.  You are in the “Could potentially compete” category.  Your Wide Receivers are rough.  You would have been better off going with Chase-Smith and having your RB’s be Walker-Hall/Pacheco/Gibson instead of Smith-Lockett.  What a shame (in Gordon Ramsey’s voice)

  1. Quentin.

Congrats again on your new addition Q!  You read the book!  Get the Top Tight End!  Travis Kelce.  He’s entering his age 34 season, but with his playing style he has a chance to extend his career beyond normal expectations.  He catches, runs smooth, and gets down gently.  He reminds me of Marvin Harrison sometimes the way he gets down to avoid injury.  I wouldn’t have taken him over Ja’Marr Chase, but this gives you a guy scoring Top 5 RB numbers while half of the league is going to be praying for 6-10 points from their Tight End spot.  It’s a huge advantage.  Also, at a celebrity golf tournament at Lake Tahoe last month I saw him shotgun a beer and talk smack with a Niners fan about whether he’s the top tight end or not.  It was awesome.   In Round 2 you had 2022 WR#3 Davante Adams fall into your lap.  Adams proved last year Qb doesn’t matter as much.  He had 180 targets last year.  Jimmy G is comparable to Derek Carr in my opinion.  Also, I watched him play golf at the same celebrity golf tournament and he has a decent swing.  In Round 3 you went Patrick Mahomes who (you guessed it) I saw at that celebrity golf tournament at Lake Tahoe.  This gives you a solid trio in Mahomes-Kelce-Adams.  Solid Qb1, WR1, and TE1.  Great start.  In Round 4 you took Keenan Allen.  I hated this pick.  He wasn’t at the golf tournament.  Just kidding just kidding that’s not why I hate it.  Allen wasn’t the best WR for the Chargers the last two seasons.  That was Mike Williams.  Allen is constantly hurt and they drafted Quentin Johnston for a reason.  You needed a RB1 and instead you chose a questionable WR2.  I like the Chargers this year, so maybe if he can stay healthy he can do something, but I feel like this was the pick that is going to bury you this season.  You could’ve taken Alexander Mattison and had a solid RB1.  Ouch.  In Round 5 you took Amari Cooper.  Cooper will be a better WR2 than Allen.  Cooper finished as the WR#10 last year and there is no reason to doubt he won’t repeat that success now that he’s had more time with Watson at Qb.  In Round 6 you took Cam Akers as your RB1.  What a crazy year last year for the Rams.  They were going to trade Akers, then no they weren’t.  Darrell Henderson starts.  Then they cut Henderson.  Akers was coming off the torn Achilles in 2021.  Which is normally a death sentence for running backs (see James Robinson, Marlon Mack, etc).  The offensive line sucks.  I haven’t touched Akers this season.  Only bright spot is he did finish 2022 with 3 straight 100 yard games.  I guess that’s some form of hope to build on this year.  In Round 7 you took your RB2 in James Conner.  I saw a meme online that said Conner is expected to score 100% of the rushing touchdowns for the Cardinals this season.  That’s right, all four of them.  Conner is a decent volume player.  Keontay Ingram isn’t going to outplay him.  But this team could be historically bad.  I would have gone Rachaad White over him.  Who is also a volume play, but on a slightly better team.  Slightly.  In Round 8 you took Raheem Mostert.  This was a good pick.  This gives you an actual running back to start in Week 1.  In Rounds 9 and 10 you took Michael Thomas and Skyy Moore.  Couple of sleeper wide receivers to give you some depth behind your starting trio.  I liked the Elijah Mitchell and Kenneth Gainwell picks.  Mitchell is a handcuff for CMC in Kyle Shanahan’s offense and Gainwell is rumored to be the 3rd down and two-minute offense back for the Eagles.  These are lucrative roles.  A little bit better if we were full ppr, but I like the flier when you consider the injury histories of D’Andre Swift and Rashaad Penny.

Draft Grade: D+.  I loved your trio to start.  Mahomes-Kelce is going to be fun for you to watch.  Especially when they score a touchdown and you get the coveted 10 point swing against your opponent.  But your WR2 and running backs are atrocious.  I don’t see you being a contender this season unless you manage the heck out of this roster.  Trade, free agents, waivers.  Make it work.

  1. Andy.

Ja’Marr Chase really fell to you at 4?!?  What a gift from the heavens.   Burrow to Chase should continue to be awesome.  Chase finished as WR#12 last year, but that was due to him missing a few games after he allegedly injured his hip celebrating a touchdown.  In the offseason it was reported that Chase has a woman stalker who is threatening him and his mother leading him to file a restraining order.  They hooked up one night and he wind up with a stage five clinger situation as a result.  This might explain the broken hip last year.  I digress.  He provides a great floor and robust ceiling each week for Andy in the WR1 position.  In Round 2 Andy goes with Garret Wilson over Davante Adams.  All my rankings had Adams over Wilson this season.  I understand the allure of Rodgers and the Jets.  Adams plays on the Raiders and have one of the hardest schedules this year.  Wilson reminds me of a young Julio Jones.  I still would have picked Adams here.  This was a bold move, so we’ll see if it pays off for Andy or if it bites him in the butt.  In Round 3 he went rookie running back Jaymr Gibbs.  I read somewhere that rookie running backs drafted in the Top 12 picks of the NFL draft have gone on to finish as RB1’s (Top 12) in their rookie seasons.  Andy is banking on that with the Gibbs pick for his RB1.  We’ll have to see how the Lions split the work with David Montgomery.  Khalil Herbert was able to rip the starting job away from Montgomery in Chicago last season.  So he’s lost work to a more talented back before.  Does it happen again?  In Round 4 Andy got his RB2 in Aaron Jones.  Jones finished as RB#9 last year with a 56% workload compared to AJ Dillon’s 44%.  He was Aaron Rodgers favorite.  He is getting up there in age for a RB, but look for the Packers to rely on the run while they work in Jordan Love into his new role as the franchise Qb.  I liked what I saw in his limited preseason action.  In Round 5 Andy went with Joe Burrow!  A top 5 Fantasy Qb and the stack with Chase.  Nice!  Love the 10 point plays anytime they connect for a touchdown.  In Round 6 Andy went with Diontae Johnson.  Johnson gets a lot of targets, catches, and yards, but never touchdowns.  I do think the Steelers are set up to do better this year.  Little bit better offensive line.  Little bit better schedule.  Solid WR3.  In Round 7 you took Dalvin Cook.  Meh.  He wasn’t very good last year.  Breece Hall will cap his potential.  If Hall misses time he’ll be a good starter for you.  But I see him as most handcuff and less of a flex then most people.  In Round 8 you took Javonte Williams.  Williams is coming off of that devastating knee injury.  18.5% of players that have this type of knee injury return to their previous skill level.  All reports have been positive and make it seem like Williams could increase that percentage.  But look for him to start slow as they ease him back in.  In Round 9 you took Marquise Brown.  He was balling to start the year last year, but then the Cardinals fell apart.  We’ll see if Kyler plays this year or not.  That will be the key for Brown.  In Round 10 you took Jamaal Williams.  Great pick.  Gives you a RB2/Flex to start the year.  In Round 11 you took Jaxon Smith-Njigba.  Top rated rookie in the 2023 class gets a pass happy Seahawks team.  Don’t sleep on JSN now.  In Round 12 you took your first tight end in Cole Kmet.  He just isn’t good.  I don’t get it.  He finished TE#7 last year but only because he fell into the endzone a couple times at the end of the season.  Liked the Sam LaPorta pick though.  He should start and play right away for the Lions and replace TJ Hockenson role.

Draft Grade: B+.  Tight End is rough, but solid core and depth.  Andy is a contender.

  1. Ben.

Austin Ekeler.  #1 Fantasy RB last year.  Helped Logan make it to the Super Bowl.  He is capped a little bit in the lack of rushing volume, but his efficiency is just crazy.  There were 8 games last year where he had 12 or less carries.  But he scored 18 touchdowns and caught 107 passes on 127 targets.  I like Ekeler to repeat as a Top 5 RB even with some touchdown regression.  In Round 2 you went with CeeDee Lamb.  I’m okay with this pick.  Lamb is a beast.  Finished as WR#6 last year.  Brandin Cooks on the outside should help him find room in the middle.  Dalton Schultz is gone.  I see him repeating his Top 10 WR success from a year ago.  In Round 3 you took Josh Allen.  This bummed me out. I wanted Allen for the Allen-Diggs stack.  Plus I yelled “Farm Strong!” at Allen at the celebrity golf tournament at Lake Tahoe and he turned around and laughed.  Solid trio to start in Allen-Ekeler-Lamb.  In Round 4 you took Najee Harris.  Harris is thunder to Jaylen Warren’s lightning.  Warren could Tony Pollard Najee’s ass, but I don’t think it happens this season.  The offensive line is better and the schedule is better, so I think Najee is an okay RB2.  Will depend on his touchdown total on whether he was the better pick over Aaron Jones, Kenneth Walker, and Alexander Mattison.  I would’ve taken those three over him personally.  Round 5 you took DeAndre Hopkins.  We’ll see how much he has left in the tank.  Between Hopkins, Burks, and Chig Onkonwo the Titans have some very athletic pass catchers.  Let’s see if Ryan Tannehill’s ankle is finally healed and if he can get his playmakers the ball.  It’s an interesting pick and not one I would’ve made.  In Round 6 you took Miles Sanders.  Sanders was RB #13 last year for the Eagles and he won a lucrative contract to join Bryce Young and the Carolina Panthers.  The Panthers ran pretty good some weeks when Steve Wilks had taken over as the interim head coach so I like Sanders this year.  I’m a little worried about the groin issue that has kept him out of most of the offseason program, but if he’s cleared he could repeat his Top 15 success.  I liked him over Akers, Dobbins, and Cook, so good job.  In Round 7 you took injured Terry McLaurin.  Washington looked good and I’m bullish on Sam Howell this season (as evident of me taking a backup Qb in a 10 man league).  But McLaurin has turf toe.  These injuries can linger.  He avoided IR, so we’ll see if it’s a 1 week or multiple week injury.  In Round 8 you took Jeudy.  Almost like you have a hurt wide receiver fetish or something.  Three straight picks of players with injuries.  Old Fashions, Chris Herron Documentaries, and players injured in the preseason.  We’re finally learning more about the mysterious Ben Hogan as time goes on.  In Round 9 he took D’Andre Swift ensuring his IR spots will be full this season.  In Round 10 he took Evan Engram.  He took a pair of Browns in Rounds 11 and 12 with Elijah Moore and David Njoku.  Those were good value picks.

Draft Grade: D.  Allen-Ekeler-Lamb is phenomenal.  Great start.  Then you tanked.  Straight to the bottom.  I have you in the Bottom and not contending for a title this season.

  1. Josh.

Oh boy.  Congratulations on your upcoming nuptials.  I hope your wedding goes smoother than this fantasy draft did for you because… whew!  Just kidding (or am I?).  In Round 1 you took Tyreek Hill.  I love it!  Great pick Josh!  He has been vocal about his goal of getting 2000 yards receiving this season.  Hill is just crazy enough to do it too.  When he says that.  I believe him.  Loved this pick.  Stop the count!  Grade his draft now!  A!  Great job Josh!  If only these drafts were one round, am I right?  In Round 2 you took Josh Jacobs.  Jacobs isn’t happy about being franchise tagged and was threatening to sit out since a long-term deal wasn’t reached.  I don’t blame the guy, he set career highs last year in attempts (340), rushing yards (1653), receiving yards (400), average rush (4.9) and tied his high rushing touchdown number (12).  Jacobs is a victim of the running back market.  They have a short career and are highly replaceable.  Jacobs put it all out there last season.  Played hurt.  Overcame adversity and put on dazzling performances including that 33 rush, 229-yard, 2 touchdown performance against the Seahawks in November.  Once running backs get paid it’s not pretty.  (See Le’Veon Bell, Ezekiel Elliot, Todd Gurley, etc.)  Jacobs did end his holdout and report and they worked out a 1-year deal that is a little bit better than the franchise tag like similar to Saquon Barkley’s contract for this year.  But Jacobs reported and looked a bit overweight if I’m being honest.  And will he be willing to play through injury like he did last year?  Now that the Raiders have shown their hand, should he risk injuring himself further for a team that might not be competing later in the season for a playoff spot with their brutal schedule this year?  Over CeeDee Lamb, Davante Adams.  Hell I would have preferred you go Jaylen Waddle and just rename your team the Miami Dolphins.  Every offseason I crap on Josh Jacobs and then he balls out.  Maybe that will happen again.  Maybe.  In Round 3 you went Deebo Samuel.  I give up.  This is the scene from Liar Liar when Jim Carrey is drinking water then spits it out and yelling “Come On!”.  Last year he was mad about his contract because of the “wide-back” position he held in 2021.  Then he got hurt.  Then they traded for Christian McCaffrey.  Auyik began to ascend.  Deebo should be healthy this year, but what is his role?  CMC took the wide-back.  Kittle was catching the redzone TDs.  Auyik was moving the sticks on 3rd down.  What’s left for Deebo?  He does have the potential to take a screen pass to the house and this offseason he is reportedly looking very healthy.  So, we’ll see.  Over Metcalf and Higgins though.  Lord.  In Round 4 you went with Travis Etienne Jr.  Tank Bisby is the backup and looks good, but I believe in Etienne.  I think he’s a solid RB2 for you.  I’m not buying the hype on Bisgby and see him more of a handcuff.  Jags offense looks killer this year so solid pick Josh.  In Round 5 you went Alvin Kamara.  Suspended for 3 games, but the Saints have the easiest schedule this year.  Not terrible.  I would have gone Fields or Waller or Pierce or Herbert or someone else, but it won’t be as bad as a pick as people might suspect.  In Round 6 you took George Kittle.  Kittle is hurt.  A lot.  But when he played with Purdy last year he caught a lot of touchdowns.  (To end the year last year he caught 7 touchdowns in 4 games).  He took me out in the Best Buy league playoffs.  Jerk.  In Round 7 you took Christian Kirk.  Kirk was WR#11 last year.  But that was before the Jags added Calvin Ridley.  Kirk is the slot wide receiver and so he’ll have value, but this preseason in two wr sets the Jags had Ridley and Zay Jones lined up.  So if Kirk loses snap percentage that could hurt his ceiling even more then the fact that Ridley is there to steal catches and targets from him.  I could see him being Top 30, but not Top 15 again.  In Round 8 you reach for Tua Tagovailoa giving you the Tua-Tyreek stack.  Nice.  Like the stack, but not really how early you drafted him.  In Round 9 you took Jakobi Meyers.  Meyers might be the 4th best pass catching option on a Raiders team with Jimmy G at Qb with the toughest schedule.  Over Addison.  Over Dotson.  Over Burks.  Over Flowers.  Over Cooks.  Stop the count.  I can’t do it anymore.

Draft Grade: F.  I hope I’m wrong.  I want Josh to succeed in fantasy football.  I’m sorry you were travelling during the draft and were probably beat down and tired.  If there’s a consolation to my brutal grade it’s that your team has a lot of talent and is very explosive.  You could manage this team.  Trades, waiver, etc.

  1. Logan.  

Logan recovering from the asterisk bowl and the sick burn Brad dropped on the group text message the day before the draft.  Comes in hot and takes the Prince that was Promised.  Bijan Robinson.  He played very limited action, but boy did he look good in it.  Bijan Robinson, rookie out of Texas and newest addition to the Atlanta Falcons.  Couple Bijan’s talent with Atlanta’s run first mentality, #2 easiest strength of schedule according to Warren Sharp, the wide-open NFC South, and their offseason additions on their defense and offensive line, I’m bullish on Bijan to waste no time in being a fantasy superstar.  CMC was going in the 3rd round of redraft his rookie season and he didn’t disappoint.  Their previous starter Tyler Allgeier rushed admirably last season, breaking Atlanta’s rookie rushing record while ranking #2 in the NFL in EPA/attempt among all RBs with 100+ carries.  Excerpt from Warren Sharps NFL Preview book, “Arthur Smith’s scheme last year allowed his Falcons RBs to rank: #1 in rushing yards, #1 yards per carry, #1 rushing first downs, #2 in EPA/rush, #3 in success rate.”  They also drafted Matthew Bergeron in the 2nd round who will most likely move to guard and was a much better run blocker than pass blocker at Syracuse.  They also signed a ton of defensive free agents like Jessie Bates III (Safety), David Onuemata (DL), Kaden Ellis (LB), Calais Campbell (DL), Jeff Okudah (CB), and Bud Dupree (Edge).  Arthur Smith is also sporting a mustache.  He is going to pound the rock and play defense.  Bijan can be a Top 5 fantasy running back.  If he gets 275+ touches I believe he does just that.  They will rotate a bit.  But the potential is there.  Great pick by Logan.  In the 2nd Round you went RB again with Derrick Henry.  Henry is 29 years old and has lots of mileage on those tires.  BUT.  He’s a beast and he plays the Texans twice in the final three weeks including in the Fantasy Football Super Bowl.  So if Logan can make it, can Henry be the one that brings home the title for him?  In Round 3 you went Trip RB with Joe Mixon.  Mixon is much better in games where the Bengals are ahead.  He goes from Top 10 RB in those games to outside of the Top 25 when they are trailing.  A huge discrepancy.  But the Bengals are favored by an average of 5 points each of the first five weeks of the regular season, so not a bad RB3.  In Round 4 he took his first WR in Cooper Kupp.  Love the gutsy call here.  Kupp was a Top 10 pick a couple weeks ago before a hamstring injury was re-aggravated and it went from bad to worse.  He went to go see a specialist.  According to Dr. Jamie Jakes on twitter/x he summarized it as “My translation/speculation: the way the injury occurred does not match up with a typical hamstring strain and or the hamstring is not responding to treatment the way a typical hammy strain does.  My best guess it is a sciatic nerve issue that has been misdiagnosed as a hamstring strain.  Best case scenario it’s something like piriformis syndrome and he’s back in a week.  Worst case is a lumbar spine/disc issue that requires surgery and will likely end his season.”  That is a big range of outcomes.  We’ll see what the diagnosis is when the news drops.  In Round 5 you took Justin Fields.  LOVE IT.  He saved my season last year after I traded for Lamar Jackson and he got injured.  Fields exploded with over 1000 yards rushing.  This offseason he gets an upgrade at Offensive Line and the addition of DJ Moore, which should help a lot.  I like Fields to repeat his Top 10 Fantasy performance this year.  You got good value in Mike Williams in Round 6.  Williams is the #1 on a team that could explode this year.  I’m bullish on the Chargers passing attack (as evident of me drafting Herbert).  This gives you a solid WR1 if Cooper Kupp is out for a long time.  In Round 7 you committed the Cardinal Sin of drafting Kyle Pitts, thus dooming your season.  Pitts is very athletic.  On a run-first team.  With Drake London and Bijan Robinson and unproven Desmond Ridder at QB.  Over Dallas Goedert.  What a shame.  What a shame.  Tsk Tsk Tsk.  In Round 8 you took Mike Evans “in case he gets traded”.  I like it.  Decent starter to throw in if Cooper is out.  Baker sucks, but Evans has gotten 1000 yards in 9 straight seasons to start his career.  Why wouldn’t they rally around that and try to make it 10?  Especially if they aren’t competing in the NFC South this year.  I liked it.  Love Jordan Addison in Round 9.  Takes Adam Thielen’s targets and rookie wide receivers have great back half of the years.  His ceiling is capped by JJ and Hockenson but an injury to either of those two can propel him into WR2 territory.  Decent depth building pieces in Pat Freiermuth, Zach Charbonnet, Jerick McKinnon.

Draft Grade: A.  Your Rb-Rb-Rb strategy was bold.  I like bold.  Fields-Bijan-Henry-Mixon gives you an incredible floor to start the season.  Mike Williams gives you a solid WR1.  If Kupp’s injury is minor you are the favorite to win the super bowl.  If it’s major I still think you can contend.  Contender.

  1. Michael. 

Tony Pollard?!?!  In this economy.  This pick threw me off big time.  I was expecting you to take Saquon or Chubb so I wasn’t prepared to choose between the two.  Pollard was RB#7 last season and now Zeke is gone.  Reminder that Zeke ran 231 times for 876 yards and 12 touchdowns last year.  Mike McCarthy is also taking over play calling duties with Kellen Moore gone to LA and McCarthy has been vocal in his plans to run the ball more.  All these factors spells “smash spot” for Tony Pollard.  Only concern is the fact that he’s coming off a fractured left fibula.  These injuries can take 3-6 months to heal.  The injury occurred in January in the NFC Divisional playoff game against the 49ers.  He was also a free agent heading into the offseason, but the Cowboys invested the franchise tag cost of 1 year $10 million dollar deal to keep Pollard on and unlike some other backs in the league he accepted it and signed.  Almost a little too quickly.  Hopefully the ankle healed up okay.  The fibula isn’t as load bearing as the tibia.  I knew drafting in the back of the draft it was paramount to grab at least 1 running back.  I didn’t expect Mike to go with Pollard, but he secured his RB1 and I’m okay with that.  In Round 2 he went AJ Brown.  Loved AJB.  AJB caught career best 88 catches, 1496 yards, and 11 touchdowns in his first season as an Eagle.  This included WR1 (Top 12) or WR2(Top 24) finishes in 12 out of 17 weeks last year.  He helped me win a championship.  Funny thing that Brad went Diggs and Mike went AJB is that last year Mike had traded Logan for Diggs and Brad had AJB.  So in essence this year they swapped.  I digress.  Excellent start to get a RB1 and WR1.  In Round 3 Mike took Mark Andrews.  Although I traded for Andrews the last two years I was down on him coming into this season.  I think Monken is going to pass more.  But they added Zay Flowers and Odell Beckham Jr.  And Mark Andrews got injured in the preseason.  This has me concerned and I dropped him in my rankings.  I was relieved when Mike took him, because I wanted Waller in the 5th, but I didn’t think he would fall to me.  More on that later.  Mike then went Calvin Ridley in the 4th.  He has been getting so much hype this offseason.  The 28-year-old who will be playing his first ball in almost two years after having an injured riddled fourth season then being suspended all last season for betting on games.  Ridley did finish as PPR WR #5 back in 2020 in his third season/breakout year.  My concern is the crowded weaponry in Jacksonville as much as the rust that may need to be shaken off.  Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, and Evan Engram all had career seasons last year for Jacksonville.  I don’t know how the target share and production is going to be sliced up this year which is cause for concern.  But I do think Ridley is the #1 and I think he’s a solid WR2 for Michael.  In Round 5 you went Christian Watson.  Watson has all the makings of a great wide receiver.  The only question mark is Love.  Seeing Love play in preseason has me more bullish on the Packers then I was.  He looked efficient and sharp.  Watson could have as much as of a sophomore leap as Olave who went 3 rounds earlier.  Could be a big time pick for Michael.  In Round 6 he took T-LAW.  Trevor Lawrence-Calvin Ridley stack is what I did in Best Buy league.  Going to be fun as the Jags have a favorable schedule and should repeat as AFC South Division Winners.  I expect Lawrence to set career highs in passing yards and touchdowns.  In Round 7 you sniped me by taking Rachaad White.  White is going to get volume.  The concern is the offensive line and Baker Mayfield.  But White did well as a rookie.  Leonard Fournette was there and took a lot of work in the passing game at the end of the season, but White should recoup those snaps with Brady and Fournette both gone.  Checking down will be Baker’s specialty this season.  In Round 8 you took Brandon Auyik.  Auyik was WR#15 last year.  That might surprise some people, but with Deebo injured for a lot of the season Purdy looked to Brandon to move the sticks.  Deebo is fully healthy, so I don’t know if Aiyuk regresses or if he is there to stay, but great value.  Round 9 you sniped me again!  Jahan Dotson.  I have a bold prediction that he will catch 12 touchdowns this season.  (If you place a season long bet on that and it cashes make sure to send me a few bucks).  I’m bullish on the Commanders passing attack (as evident of me selecting Sam Howell late). In Round 10 Mike went back to back Commanders with Brian Robinson Jr.  In half ppr I had Gibson ranked higher, but I get wanting to get a starter as one of your backups.  In Round 11 you took Jaylen Warren.  Good handcuff with flex potential.  Round 12 Tank Bigsby.  Another handcuff.  Lots of backup running backs.

Draft Grade: B.  Solid team.  Reached for Pollard, little concerned about Andrews, but lots of depth at RB and WR, which is where it matters.  Having 3 Top 15 WR is in the range of outcomes here.

  1. Brad. 

Back-to-Back Champion seeking the coveted Three-Peat.  It’s never been done before.   There’s only been two other chances for it to happen at all in our 22 previous seasons.  Wade in 2017 and Michael in 2020.  Can Brad do it in 2023?  Probably not.  In the 1st round he wanted to secure a top RB and he went with Saquon Barkley.  Barkley was RB#6 last year and the Giants look to repeat as a playoff team with the addition of Darren Waller.  The deciding factor for taking Barkley over Chubb was Barkley’s 76 targets and 57 receptions in his first season in this offense.  We’ll see if it works out.  In Round 2 Brad went with Stefon Diggs.  Pretty good.   29 years old coming off ppr wr finishes of #4, #7 and #3.  As Allen goes, Diggs goes.  Of course, I’ll never forgive him for the Minnesota Miracle.  I already hate the pick and regret it.  But it gives me a solid RB1-WR1 to start.  In Round 3 I was tested with another tough choice.  DK Metcalf or Tee Higgins.  Wind up going Metcalf due to favorable early season schedule, positive touchdown regression probabilities, and because he’s a manimal.  There’s a funny video online of players reading the NFL script for this season and he reads that he’s going to have a no handed catch when he catches it with his abs.  It’s pretty funny if you haven’t seen it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IlNDNrfwZr0

In the 4th round Brad took Rhamondre Stevenson as his RB2.  Stevenson is coming off of his RB#11 finish.  Damien Harris is replaced by the ghost of Ezekiel Elliot.  I wasn’t concerned about the Zeke signing, but I was concerned about the schedule.  I went with Rhamonster due to his 69 receptions a year ago as I see him able to repeat that success this year.  The core of Barkley-Rhamondre-Diggs-Metcalf is solid.  In Rounds 5 and 6 Brad continued his balance build approach with Darren Waller and Justin Herbert.  Waller looks like he might have 150 targets from Daniel Jones this season.  All offseason Jones has been peppering him with targets.  To the point where a beat writer had said that they took Waller out of practice for a few drives, not because he was hurt or winded, but because they wanted to see Daniel Jones throw to somebody else.  I bought into the hype and I was thrilled he fell to me in the 5th round as I have him finishing as TE#2 behind Travis Kelce this season.  For Herbert, I see Kellen Moore as the key to unlock Herberts potential.  They are going to throw it deep.  I think Ekeler sees regression in terms of rushing touchdowns and Herbert sees positive regression in terms of passing touchdowns.  Last year he was hurt with a lingering and painful rib injury.  He should be healed up and ready to go for his 4th season.  Look for Herbert to lead the league in passing yards this season.  (My bold prediction).  In Round 7 after Mike took White I was stuck.  Since I went with a balanced approach and had my Qb, Rb1, Rb2, Wr1, Wr2, TE I had the flexibility to absorb the risk associated with Johnathan Taylor.  Obviously, Taylor means a lot to me given our 2021 season success together, but I understand that this could be 100% a dud pick.  JT is hurt, disgruntled.  It’s not good.  The hope is that he plays for the minimum games to accrue a season towards the franchise tag OR that he gets traded prior to the deadline to a better team.  I’m not alone in wanting to see what Anthony Richardson and JT could do together, but it’s looking more and more likely like that won’t happen.  High risk pick in the middle of the rounds that could cost Brad big time or secure him a deadly flex play later.  In Round 8 I doubled up on Herbert with Khalil.  The Browns have a VERY favorable schedule down the stretch.  Herbert is better than D’Onta Foreman and Roschon Johnson.  The questions are: can he stay healthy? And how much does Justin Fields take away?  In Round 9 Brad took Treylon Burks.  Burks has the potential to break out this year in his sophomore season much like Olave and Watson.  Burks dropped due to a minor LCL sprain, but he’s already back practicing.  If he misses only a couple weeks it gives Brad a decent WR3/Flex play.  In Round 10 I went with Brandin Cooks.  Cooks on the Cowboys sounded good to me.  He’s like DJ Moore, gets 1000 yards receiving a few touchdowns on any team he goes on.  Just cheaper.  In Round 11 I went AJ Dillon.  Dillon came on strong when the weather got cold for the Packers last year.  Handcuff mostly, but we’ll see if Brad turns to him at some point in the season if he is battling through injuries.  Justin Tucker in the 12th round.  Ridiculous.  I didn’t like anyone here so I reached on a kicker.  Stupid.  Missed out on decent RB depth like Bigsby, McKinnon, Gainwell.  What an idiot.

Draft Grade: B.  Could have been an A.  But you had to get cocky and reach for a kicker.  Stupid.

  1. Max. 

Max drafting from the 10 spot.  Meaning each time he picked we ALL passed on every single one of his players at least once.  Ultimate ability to rub it in our faces if any of them go off this season.  At the Round 1 and 2 turn he went with Nick Chubb and Amon-Ra St. Brown.  Love it.  Chubb is the best pure runner in football and Kareem Hunt who was siphoning off 3rd down and hurry offense snaps is GONE.  Amon-Ra is a target machine.  I expect big things out of the Sun God this season.  I had AJ Brown ranked higher, but I get it.  In Round 3 and 4 you had Tee Higgins drop to you.  You also selected Lamar Jackson.  Higgins would be a WR1 on at least ten teams in the league and this is a contract year for him.  Look for big things out of Tee.  Lamar could realistically win MVP again this season.  Todd Monken is designing an offense with Lamar, side by side.  They added Odell.  Zay Flowers.  Bateman is back.  Look out.  In Round 5 and 6 you took DJ Moore and Dameon Pierce.  Moore took a wobbly screen pass with a broken play on defense to the house in preseason and jettisoned himself up the rankings.  Prior to last season Moore was an automatic for 1100 yards receiving and I think he can get there again.  Does he bring the career high 7 touchdowns with him?  Or does that regress to his average of 4 each year?  Still good for a flex.  Pierce should be a workhorse and he graded very well in breaking tackles last season.  I think this a solid RB2 for Max.  In Rounds 7 and 8 you got good value in Drake London and Dallas Goedert.  I passed on London because I worry about the lack of pass volume in Atlanta.  The hope is he scores a bunch of touchdowns, but with Bijan and Tyler Ageier I think Arthur Smith is going to pound it.  Not a bad depth WR to throw in.  Goedert is on a great offense.  But his volume is a concern.   Better TE then most in the league, but I would still expect more boom or bust weeks out of him.  Rounds 9 and 10 you took Zay Flowers to stack with Lamar and Samaje Perine.  Perine I like.  They invested him in the offseason with Williams coming back from that knee injury.  Solid RB depth piece for you.  Loved Tyler Algeier in Round 11.  Odell in Round 12 is fun.  I don’t think you’ll use him, but who knows maybe he gets hot for a stretch.  Overall exceptional job with drafting.

Draft Grade: A.  Max did a great job picking players that dropped to him.  This gives him a solid core, good depth, and makes him a contender this season.

Draft Grades in Draft Order:

  1. Stephen: A
  2. Caleb: C+
  3. Quentin: D+
  4. Andy: B+
  5. Ben: D
  6. Josh: F
  7. Logan: A
  8. Michael: B
  9. Brad: B
  10. Max: A

Draft Grades in Grade Order with Tiers:

Contenders:

  1. Stephen: A
  2. Max: A
  3. Logan: A

Can Compete:

  1. Andy: B+
  2. Michael: B
  3. Brad: B
  4. Caleb: C+

Better Luck Next Year:

  1. Quentin: D+
  2. Ben: D
  3. Josh: F

I hope you all enjoyed and best of luck to you this season!

-Brad

Dynamo Dynasty League Startup Draft Grades

Dynamo Startup Draft Grades by Fantasy Football Brad

Introduction:

For those of you who haven’t read any of my writings on fantasy football you can now see that I have a blog on www.fantasyfootballbrad.com.  On this blog I’ll post annual draft grades and sometimes throughout the season other tidbits.  In my Best Buy League of 15 years, I do a weekly write up for recaps and previews.  Each year in both my 23-year-old league and the 15-year-old Best Buy league I type up a long write-up giving each member a grade on how they drafted based on my opinions.  Obviously as our fearless Commissioner likes to say, “opinions are like assholes, everyone’s got one.”  That is what these grades are, my opinion.  Some of my league mates print out their draft grades and put it on their fridge as motivation throughout the season to prove me wrong.  I try to provide some background data and/or information on how I formulated my opinion, but obviously in football there is a good chance I am wrong.  I do these as a data dump to clear my mind after a draft and to (hopefully) provide a little bit of entertainment for my league mates.  Feel free to settle in for a hearty shit one morning and open this bad boy up and see what I think about your draft.  Just a couple of housekeeping items before you dive in, I looked at the draft and graded the teams based on how they drafted a Dynasty Startup team.  Because of the 21 round draft I provided detailed analysis of your first 12 picks and then summarized the rest in the following sections.  Some of you tended to favor redraft or “win-now” strategies, so I summarized my assessment of your team in the “Roster Build Type” section.  I clarify this type in the “Roster Construction Analysis” section.  Then I end with your overall draft grade.  Feel free to leave comments or to plot your revenge.  At the end of the write up I’ll list out the draft grades in order of draft position, highest to lowest grades, and highest to lowest grades in each division.  Enjoy!

  1. Ian

First 12 Picks Analysis:

Ian was blessed with the keys to the Justin Jefferson train, and he didn’t botch his opportunity.  Jefferson led the NFL in both catches with 128 and receiving yards with 1,809 last season.  He was the youngest player in NFL history to lead the league in both.  He is 24.  He is an LSU guy.  And I’m bullish on the Vikings offense this season (as evident of my draft) making this the slam dunk pick to start the draft.  My only concern is Kirk Cousins being 35 and in a contract year, so a bit of unknown on who will be throwing him the ball after this season.  At the end of the 2nd Ian had to take his time on this pick because of the pesky third round reversal.  The reversal meant Ian would have to wait 22 picks before his next selection.  He elected to go with 30-year-old Davante Adams with a new Qb and the 31st worst strength of schedule this year (according to Warren Sharp).  Regardless, Adams proved last year he could be just as dominate without a hall of fame Qb throwing him the ball and he should continue to produce for the next 2-4 seasons.  He could’ve gone young gun Qb like Herbert or go stud running back like Barkley, but he elected the Top 5 WR and after seeing the rest of Ian’s build, I’m okay with this pick.  At the 3rd/4th turn he was gifted from the heavens with Mark Andrews or “Mandrews”.  Todd Monken will turn the Ravens into more of a passing team and they made their intentions evident with the additions of Zay Flowers and OBJ in the offseason.  Andrews is 27 and is coming off of an injury plagued year in 2022, but short-term memory folks may not remember that in 2021 he was the fantasy #1 tight end, scoring more than Travis Kelce.  Slam dunk pick for Ian getting a nasty JJ-Adams-Andrews combo, which is going to be a ppr nightmare for the rest of us.  In the 4th he went Kenneth Walker.  Walker looked like Chris Carson’s clone last season, making me rub my eyes while watching him to make sure Carson truly did retire due to his neck injury or if the aliens that run the NFL were just playing a prank on us.  Walker looked great last year and is 22 years old.  This pick began the overall theme of Ian’s draft, which was veteran wide receivers and young running backs.  A great strategy for a dynasty startup draft.  Walker’s only concern is the high draft capital used on Zach Charbonnet.  Charbonnet has a little Kareem Hunt/Tevin Coleman to his comparable, so Walker should be fine, even if Zach takes the 1B role.  I personally liked Pollard, Stevenson, and Pierce more than Walker, but Walker is the youngest out of all of them and should last longer in the league.  In the 5th round he was gifted yet again.  No one wanted Deebo Samuel.  His ADP was 43.8 according to Sleeper and yet he fell to Ian at pick #60.  He is 27 and was made famous by his “wide-back” role in 2021 that caused him to seek a new contract in the offseason prior to 2022.  But with Trey Lance getting injured, Brock Purdy taking over at Qb, and the midseason trade for Christian McCaffrey all of a sudden Deebo’s situation is looking a lot different.  Kudos to the rest of the league for picking up on the differences.  CMC eliminates the need of the “Wide-back” situation.  Purdy’s style of play favored Kittle and Auyik more than Deebo.  The two situations hit him down a few pegs, thus the fall in this draft.  Still, not a bad pick for Ian’s WR#3 and at this position.  I liked rookies Jordan Addison and Quentin Johnston better here, obviously, since I took Addison a few picks later.  But again, Ian went veteran WR and young RB as his strategy.  In the 6th he started things off with Javonte Williams.  This dude’s knee was FUCKED UP.  He tore the ACL, but that wasn’t the worst of it.  He also had PCL and LCL injuries as well.  Players with this specific type of knee injury only make it back to the same playing level 18.5% of the time.  (According to totalorthosportsmed.com).  I’m not saying it can’t happen, but this fact did move Samaje Perine up my rankings quite a bit, leading me to draft him in Round 12.  Ian went back-to-back veterans in Rounds 7 and 8 with Chris Godwin and David Montgomery.  Montgomery takes over the Jamaal Williams role from last year that saw the new Saint score 17 rushing touchdowns in 2022.  Gibbs will take over the Swift role from last year and could cut into Montgomery’s production, but don’t sleep on Montgomery who is coming in with a chip on his shoulder after being upended by Khalil Herbert in the division rival Bears last season.  Godwin, I love as a player.  He is only 27 and is very talented.   Only concern is Qb in Tampa whether it’s Baker Mayfield or Kyle Trask.  With that said the NFC South is hurting and wide open, so Godwin could be a steal at this pick and provide great flex appeal throughout the season if he builds rapport with whoever the new signal caller winds up being.  In Round 9 and 10 Ian went Kyler Murray and Gabe Davis.  Davis being the youngest wideout for Ian so far at 24.  Both players underwhelmed last year.   Murray getting injured and Davis being hampered by an ankle injury.  I’m not high on Murray at all at this point.  Work ethic concerns, the Cardinals are a bit of a dumpster fire roster wise, he is going to start off the year still rehabbing his knee, and he’s short at “5’10”-listed, but looks 5’6” while playing.  In Rounds 11 and 12 Ian went rookie Tajae Spears and veteran Qb Daniel Jones.  Jones will be Ian’s starter probably now and in the future and it helped put a band aid on the Kyler Murray pick for me.  I loved the Spears pick as well.  Derrick Henry is coming to the end of his shelf life and Spears could see passing down work right away.  Especially with the news of Hassan Haskins being arrested last week and was charged with strangling and assault with a deadly weapon on his girlfriend.  Spears should see the field early and often and take on the 3rd down role, giving Ian RB depth and flex worthy appeal.  In Rounds 13 and 14 Ian broke my heart taking two players I really wanted.  Rookie Israel Abanikanda and John Metchie, newly returned from his battle with cancer that cost him his rookie season.  Metchie will battle to be rookie CJ Stroud’s darling and has Nico Collins and Robert Woods as his main competition.  Israel could start the year as the #2 role as he lists as more talented that Michael Carter.  This is significant news because if Breece Hall isn’t ready for a full workload to start the year Isreal could be a sneaky starting running back to start the year on the newly acquired Aaron Rodgers-led Jets.

Roster Build Type: Win-Now

Roster Construction Analysis: 

Solid core with veteran WRs and young running backs.  Danny Dimes at Qb with Kyler Murray as backup.  Kenneth Walker and David Montgomery to provide solid floors.  JJ and Adams and Andrews for the big-time playmakers at WR1, WR2, TE.  Might have best flex combo in league with Deebo and Godwin depending on Qb situations for both.  Bench is extremely lacking for me hurting Ian’s overall draft grade.  His starters are an A, his bench is a D.  If he can stay healthy, he can make the playoffs, but as we all know that’s a big if in football.

Overall Grade: B-.

  1. Oscar

First 12 Picks Analysis:

Oscar’s grade is an F automatically for letting the snake of a commissioner Michael Gilligan Bellocq jump me for Ja’Marr Chase.  My pity party aside, I don’t blame Oscar for the trade back when you consider his desired strategy.  He wanted a top Qb.  With the 2nd pick he was able to trade back, move up in the 2nd round, get his top Qb, and acquire a pair of 3rd round picks in the 2024 rookie draft.  Obviously, 3rd round rookie picks aren’t that big of a deal, but it does give him ammunition if he wanted to move up in a draft class that includes Qb Phenom Caleb Williams and Legacy Stud Marvin Harrison Jr.  After moving back Oscar was up at 7 and took Jalen Hurts.  The Eagles are loaded, and I have no reason to believe Hurts will regress.  The Eagles did lose all their coordinators to head coaching positions, but I believe they’ll pick up where they left off and compete late in the season for a Super Bowl.  In the 2nd round Oscar went Cooper Kupp, over younger studs like Chris Olave, Tee Higgins, and Devonta Smith.  Kupp is 30 and the Rams are a bit of a mess right now, but he was playing at an insane level to start the year last year.  If Stafford and him are back to where they were then Oscar could have a Top 3 Qb and Wr locked in to start the draft.  But how long does Kupp have left on the tires?  In the 3rd round Oscar picked his first running back with Josh Jacobs.  Jacobs isn’t happy about being franchise tagged and is threatening to sit out if a long-term deal isn’t reached.  I don’t blame the guy he set career highs last year in attempts (340), rushing yards (1653), receiving yards (400), average rush (4.9) and tied his high rushing touchdown number (12).  Jacobs is a victim of the running back market.  They have a short career and are highly replaceable.  Jacobs put it all out there last season.  Played hurt.  Overcame adversity and put on dazzling performances including that 33 rush, 229-yard, 2 touchdown performance against the Seahawks in November.  Once running backs get paid it’s not pretty.  (See Le’Veon Bell, Ezekiel Elliot, Todd Gurley, etc.)  We’ll see if the two sides can come to an agreement soon.  In the 4th round pick 4.2 Oscar took Najee Harris.  Harris has underwhelmed so far in his NFL career.  His rookie year he had a dinosaur at Qb in Big Ben.  Last year his offensive line was atrocious, and he was battling a Lisfranc injury that he suffered in Day 1 of training camp.  He did perform a lot better after the bye week last year and still has time to turn his career around.  All he needs his Kenny Pickett to play better and to not withstand any injuries that could linger.  In the 5th and 6th round Oscar continued his no-rookies strategy with Dallas Goedert and Amari Cooper.  Both are great selections and will contribute early and often for Oscar this season.  Goedert is a Top 5 Tight End in one of the best offenses in football.  Oscar gets the Hurts-Goedert stack which could win him some weeks.  Cooper will be in his first full season with Deshaun Watson at Qb and I’m bullish on the Browns passing attack this season.  This of course gives Oscar Cooper Kupp and Amari Cooper and thus, some valuable team name ammunition.  Cooper Trooper?  In Round 7 he went aggressive runner Isaiah Pacheco.  Pacheco helped me win a title in my home league last year, so I’m a big fan of his.  I loved the pick and hope the sophomore performs well this season.  In the 8th Oscar went Mike Evans.  The 29-year-old has had 9-1000 yard seasons to begin his career, which is incredible.  Last season he looked like dust and his Qb situation has gotten worse.  Can he do it again for Oscar and provide flex worthy weeks in 2023?  In Round 9 Oscar finally took his first rookie in Carolina Panthers Wide Receiver Jonathan Mingo.  Mingo has a path to be Bryce Young’s go-to receiver, but must first stave off veterans like Adam Thielen, DJ Chark, and Terrance Marshall.  He may start off slow, but I like the investment for the 22-year-old here and provided a dash of youth on Oscar’s above average aged team.  In Round 10 he went with JuJu Smith-Schuster.  He got a ring with the Chiefs and then bounced to join Mac Jones in New England.  Bill O’Brien takes over at OC and we’ll see if he can get the offense going for the Pats.  Rumors are swirling about Patriots being favored to land DeAndre Hopkins, but we’ll take a wait and see approach to see if JuJu will be a value pick or a bit of a bust here.  In Round 11 Oscar took another rookie receiver…from the 2015 draft class in Odell Beckham Jr.  OBJ signed with Todd Monken’s Ravens and I liked the pick.  He is 30 and has been injured a lot in his career, so we’ll see what he has left in the tank.  In round 12 Oscar went rookie Josh Downs out of North Carolina.  Downs lands in Indy with physical freak Anthony Richardson.  Downs posted an 86.7% Z-Prospect score according to Late-Round Fantasy Football: 2023 Prospect Guide and drew comparisons to Elijah Moore and Tyler Lockett.  He’ll have to beat out veteran WR Isaiah McKenzie for the starting slot role in the offense this season.

Roster Build Type: Win-Now

Roster Construction Analysis: 

Like Ian, Oscar went veteran wide receivers and younger running backs.  His starting lineup of Hurts-Jacobs-Harris-Kupp-Cooper-Goedert-Pacheco-Evans is very impressive.  Again looking at his bench it looks like a Oscar is a couple of injuries or potential hold outs away from preparing for the 2024 season.  If he can stay healthy with Hurts-Geodert he can make the playoffs in Year 1, but a lot of things need to go right.  The risk of getting aged WRs like this is it shortens your winning window.  Oscar must win now or he could be at the bottom of the dynasty league for many years to come.

Overall Draft Grade: C+

  1. Brad

First 12 Picks Analysis:

Brad loses a draft grade for letting the snake Michael Bellocq jump him and take Ja’Marr Chase.  This reminds me of the episode of The Office when Dwight purchases Andy’s Nissan X-Terra after driving down the price and then flips it for a quick profit.  Mikey B’s heartless and dickless move aside, Brad had the 3rd pick in the draft, not the second, and elected to go with the best running back prospect to enter the NFL since Barkley in 2018.  Why on Earth would a veteran fantasy football player like Brad (who recently got retweeted by Matthew Berry) go running back on the dynasty startup draft when he knows full well that running backs only last 4-6 years while wide receivers last 10-12 years.  He sacrificed long term value for short term value.  All the accountants in the group know that this is a mistake.  I took Bijan because it provided me flexibility in my next several picks.  By having a player that could help me win now (next 4-5 years) I could build for the future OR construct a “win-now” lineup.  Couple Bijan’s talent with Atlanta’s run first mentality, #2 easiest strength of schedule according to Warren Sharp, the wide-open NFC South, and their offseason additions on their defense and offensive line, I’m bullish on Bijan to waste no time in being a fantasy superstar.  CMC was going in the 3rd round of redraft his rookie season and he didn’t disappoint.  (More on the Falcons run game later).  In the 2nd round Brad got the guy he really wanted in Tee Higgins.  Tee is entering his contract year at 24.5 years old.  This season he has Burrow throwing it to him.  Next season he could get tagged (since Bengals are about to pay Burrow a billion dollars) or he can find a new home.  He would be the #1 Wide Receiver on half of the teams in the league, so it’s a good pick in the short term (1-2 years with Burrow) and the long term (could increase target share % on new team after this year).  Was very pleased to pick him in the 2nd.  In the 3rd round I actually didn’t follow my own strategy.  I had running backs I liked then DK then a note that said “unless someone falls who shouldn’t like Mark Andrews”.  I literally named Andrews and he fell to me, but I passed on him.  Lucky for Ian.  DK Metcalf is 25.6 years old and coming off his career high in receptions (90) and is Establish the Run co-founder, Evan Silva’s Wr#12 for this season.  Seattle’s passing attack has a very favorable schedule.  He fits the definition of a “Manimal” with his physique.  In the 4th round Brad was torn.  All the analysts had Trevor Lawrence ranked higher than Anthony Richardson because he’s entering his third year and has a ton of firepower around him (Ridley, Kirk, Jones, Engram).  Rhamondre Stevenson and Tony Pollard, two huge workload and prime of their career running backs were available.  But no.  Brad got his guy.  Ian Hartitz sent out this tweet and it influenced my decision:

Worth a shot.  In the 5th round Mike continued his sniping assault on me by taking Rachaad White, so I went with Alexander Mattison as my RB2.  Evan Silva placed a large bet on Mattison to win the rushing title with 40:1 odds.  To quote the big dog himself, “Alexander Mattison inherits Dalvin Cook’s workhorse role after re-signing a two-year, $7 million deal, 91% of which is guaranteed.  Mattison possesses prototypical feature back size (5-foot-11/ 221) and has been treated commensurately by Vikings coaches in past opportunities to spell Cook; Mattison’s touch counts in his past five starts were 24, 32, 32, 25, and 16.  Last year, Mattison outplayed Cook on a one-to-one basis, finishing 16th in PFF rushing grade compared to Cook’s 64th overall placement… I’m willing to draft Mattison aggressively above his ADP this season.”  Did Brad draft a win-now team disguised as a young team?  In the 6th round Brad took rookie Jordan Addison who takes over Adam Thielen’s old spot on the Vikings.  Warren Sharp and Evan Silva are in agreement that the Vikings defense sucks and this team is going to throw the ball a ton.  Shoot-outs equal opportunities for the Vikings offense so Brad goes back-to-back Vikings.  In the 7th round Brad had taken Jahan Dotson is every single mock draft at this position, so he wasn’t surprised when Mike snagged him, but he was pissed.  Having to pivot he decided to get Zay Flowers to see what Todd Monken’s offense looks like this year and to get a slice of the pie.  In the 8th round Brad took bulging eyed Kadarious Toney.  Toney is only 24 and has shown ridiculous flashes of athleticism.  But he is awkward and always injured.  If he can stay on the field can he take over as the #1 wideout for the Chiefs?  He’ll obviously play second fiddle to Kelce, but can Toney keep together for a season?  If so, what does that look like?  In the 9th Brad reached a bit to acquire Bijan’s backup, Tyler Allgeier.  Allgeier rushed admirably last season, breaking Atlanta’s rookie rushing record while ranking #2 in the NFL in EPA/attempt among all RBs with 100+ carries.  Excerpt from Warren Sharps NFL Preview book, “Arthur Smith’s scheme last year allowed his Falcons RBs to rank: #1 in rushing yards, #1 yards per carry, #1 rushing first downs, #2 in EPA/rush, #3 in success rate.”  They also drafted Matthew Bergeron in the 2nd round who will most likely move to guard and was a much better run blocker than pass blocker at Syracuse.  Brad locked up Bijan and doubled down with Allgeier with a chance of being able to start both in a bind.  In Round 10 Brad snagged his 5th rookie in Sam LaPorta.  The Lions drafted LaPorta to replace TJ Hockenson.  LaPorta could get looks early in the season with Jameson Williams suspended the first 6 games, but it’s best to limit rookie tight end expectations as it typically takes them awhile to acclimate to the NFL.  In the 11th round Brad went Elijah Mitchell.  Mitchell is 25.2 years old and backs up Christian McCaffrey for the Niners.  McCaffrey had a few years of injuries but was able to stay on the field for most of last season.  Mitchell was not and is more injury prone than McCaffrey.  Whoever holds the keys to the Niners run game is going to compete week in and week out, so worth a shot.  In the 12th round Brad traded back with his brother Andy.  Andy approached Brad with a trade to swap 12th and 13th round picks in exchange for Andy’s 2024 4th round pick.  Brad obliged and took Samaje Perine and Kirk Cousins.  We know Brad is bearish on Javonte Williams knee and recovery.  We also know Brad is bullish on the Vikings passing attack.  Here he secures the Cousins-Mattison-Addison stack on the Vikings.  Perine was a priority add for Sean Peyton and should contribute as they work Javonte back from that devastating knee injury.  Perine’s pass blocking will get him more snaps than people realize.  Cousins is 35 and in a contract year.  Brad drafted Cousins for a 1-year rental in case Richardson needs time to develop and win the starting role over Gardner Minshew in Indy.

Roster Build Type: Win-Later

Roster Construction Analysis: 

Brad called all-in on the 2023 draft class, which will determine whether this team is good or dogshit.  It’s a bold move with a sprinkle of win-now by building around the Falcons and Vikings.  Brad doesn’t have a RB#1 from previous years.  He doesn’t have a WR#1.  Nor a TE#1.  Kirk Cousins was Qb #7 last year, meaning he is a Qb#1.  Brad drafted based on potential.  Bijan’s potential is in the Barkley-CMC range.  Anthony Richardson’s potential is in the rookie Cam Newton-RGIII range.  Tee Higgins is a WR#2 and so is DK Metcalf.   Toney is an unknown.  His bench is handcuff running backs and rookie wide receivers.  If Brad can get lucky at the beginning of the season with some wins he could make a run late in the season, but how many things have to go right in order for him to win now?  Too many for my liking.

Overall Grade: C+ (Could be an A, could be an F, life’s more fun when we are left guessing)

  1. Mike B.

First 12 Picks Analysis:

Scheming, back-stabbing, pick-stealing, no-good mother trucker picks right next to me and systematically and methodically snipes me on every odd numbered pick in the first ten rounds.  Enough venting let’s focus on the draft and not our now shaky friendship.  Mike made a move and snagged Ja’Marr Chase, Burrow’s Butt Buddy and long-term friend.  I agree with the decision and have no quarrels.  He’s a stud, he’s 23, money pick.  Let’s just hope he doesn’t celebrate a touchdown and break his hip…again.  In the 2nd round after Mike swapped and drafted after me, he took Devonta Smith.  I like this pick a lot.  Smith was my next best player after Tee Higgins.  Smith had 5 weeks as a Wide Receiver #1 in 2022 including week 3 where he was the WR #1 that week.  He only had 4 dud weeks giving Mike a solid WR#2 to start his draft.  In the 3rd round he had Lamar Jackson fall into his lap.  Lamar just got paid, is 26, adds Todd Monken as OC, and the Ravens added Zay Flowers, OBJ, and Rashad Bateman should be returning as well.  Add all these factors with Lamar Jackson’s hot start in 2022 where he averaged 34.8 fantasy points per game in the first 3 weeks and you’ve got a solid QB to lead this dynasty team.  He has been injured the past several seasons, but if he can stay on the field, look out.  In the 4th round Mike went Rhamondre Stevenson.  I was torn on Pollard, Stevenson, or Pierce here, but I understand Rhamonster’s allure.  He’s 25 and Damien Harris is a Buffalo Bill.  There are a lot of rumors of the Patriots wanting to sign a veteran like Fournette or Dalvin Cook, but as of right now this looks like a solid RB#1 for the next couple of years for Mike.  In Round 5 he took Rashad White (who I’ve drafted in 5/5 best ball leagues so far).  White is 24 heading into his sophomore campaign and Lenny Fournette is gone.  He was serviceable last season when Fournette was out due to injury but regressed late in the season when Brady started peppering Fournette 20 times per game for reasons we’ll never understand.  White doesn’t really have any backfield competition.  Chase Edmonds was signed, but there’s a reason Arizona, Miami, and Denver all said, “no thanks”.  Dude kind of sucks.  Whether the Bucs are good or God awful, Mike chased the backfield ownership and volume opportunity for his RB#2.  In Round 6 Mike snagged rookie Quentin Johnston.  Johnston scored out as a 93.4% Z-Prospect Score according to Late-Round Fantasy Football: 2023 Prospect guide and drew comparisons to Tee Higgins, Alec Pierce, and Breshad Perriman.  He’ll have to get past two aging and oft injured wideouts in LA with Keenan Allen being 31 and Big Mike Williams being 29.  Overall, I like the pick.  In Round 7 he really pissed me off by taking Jahan Dotson.  Dotson caught 7 touchdowns as a rookie and showed flashes of stardom with 14.94 yards per catch.  I didn’t particularly care for the Kendre Miller pick in Round 8.  I’m not high on Miller because I’m very high on Jamaal Williams this season.  Kamara is still around, so I don’t think Miller will be fantasy relevant this season unless there is an injury to Williams or Kamara.  Perhaps the Saints move on from Kamara after this season, Miller would still be sharing the backfield with Jamaal Williams who signed a 3-year deal.  In Round 9 I didn’t particularly care for Mike’s pick of AJ Dillon either.  Dillon was supposed to be 1B last season for Green Bay and he was more 2A.  It was a lot more Aaron Jones than most people anticipated I think.  Dillon’s saving grace was 7 touchdowns, which could easily regress this year.  His yards per carry have gone down each year since his rookie season (5.26-4.29-4.14).  If Love can be average and Green Bay decides to split the carries a bit more evenly than last year, then maybe this will be a good value pick.  I’m just glad Mike picked him so I could get 1000-yard rusher and 4.93 yards per carry Tyler Allgeier with the next pick.  In the 10th round I loved Mike’s pick of Chig Okonkwo.  Extremely talented, young tight end with not much competition for targets.  In Round 11 he snagged rookie wide receiver Marvin Mims.  Mims comparable WR is Jerry Jeudy, so I thought when they drafted him, Jeudy would be traded.  Alas, Jeudy is still there and the more I hear out of Broncos camp it’s more Courtland Sutton is the odd man out having performed poorly in relation to his opportunities last season.  Regardless, Mims has a chance to get some work in as a rookie and look for him to replace one of the big two next season.  In Round 12 Mike drafted Damien Harris.  Harris has a chance to be the early down and goal line back for the Bills high scoring offense.  A sneaky add by Mike gives him potential RB depth and might make Dom look like an idiot for drafting James Cook 3 rounds earlier.  Mike then traded back into Round 12 just to pick next to me in an ill-fated attempt to fuck with Brad.  It was quite humorous, but his pick was even funnier.  Jakobi Meyers will go from Mac Jones to Jimmy G and face the second toughest schedule this season.  He’ll play second fiddle to Davante Adams, Hunter Renfrow and whichever tight end gets the most action out of Mayer, Howard, and Hooper.  He had a few weeks of relevancy last season, but not consistent enough to bank on starting him this season.  We’ll see how his rapport with Jimmy G goes and whether he can build on his career high 6 touchdown catches from last season.  But I’m not banking on it.

Roster Build Type: Balanced.

Roster Construction Analysis: 

Mike has a great mix of young studs and veteran contributors.  This team looks built to compete early and often in this league.  Mike hit the sweet spot.  There’s a chance his RBs blow up in his face this season, but with Mike’s fantasy management dedication and skillset I have no doubt he’ll be in the playoffs competing late into this inaugural season.

Overall Draft Grade: A-

  1. Daniel

First 12 Picks Analysis:

Dirty Dan has the 5th pick and locks up his stud Qb in Patrick Mahomes.  Mahomes secures him a Qb1 for this season and many more to come.  One less position to worry about and I’m A-Okay with the pick.  I projected all 4 of the top Qbs to go within the first round, so someone had to get the ball rolling.  In the 2nd round I also loved the Chris Olave pick.  The 23-year-old had a solid rookie campaign and now gets a slight upgrade at Qb in Derek Carr.  The Saints have the easiest schedule in the league this season.  Michael Thomas can’t stay healthy.  Olave is gonna smash this year and many years to come.  And you get to root for the hometown Saints.  Win-Win-Win.  One could argue that Waddle should’ve been taken prior to Olave, but I won’t knock you on the Saint over the Bama product in Miami.  In Round 3 you secured your RB #1 in Nick Chubb.  Chubb has been a monster and word on the street is he’s getting more work in the passing game now that Kareem Hunt is gone.  He’s averaged over 5 yards per carry every season in his career and has scored at least 8 touchdowns every year of his career.  Last season he was RB#6 on the season in PPR.  The concern for Chubb is longevity.  He’s now 27 and has 1,210 career rushing attempts.  That’s a lot of usage for a running back.  I like him as an RB#1 this season and maybe for next season, but how long can the Chubster perform at this level?  In the 4th round Daniel took Tony Pollard, which I loved.  This game him a solid RB duo for this season in Chubb and Pollard.  Pollard was RB#8 in ppr last season and now Zeke is gone.  Reminder that Zeke ran 231 times for 876 yards and 12 touchdowns last year.  Mike McCarthy is also taking over play calling duties with Kellen Moore gone to LA and McCarthy has been vocal in his plans to run the ball more.  All these factors spells “smash spot” for Tony Pollard.  Only concern is the fact that he’s coming off of fractured left fibula.  These injuries can take 3-6 months to heal.  The injury occurred in January in the NFC Divisional playoff game against the 49ers.  He was also a free agent heading into the offseason, but the Cowboys invested in a 1 year $10 million dollar deal to keep Pollard on.  We’ll see what happens after this year.  In Round 5 Daniel locked in his win-now style draft with Jerry Jeudy over rookies Addison and Johnston.  Jeudy has had a few injuries, but when he’s on the field he plays great.  In the final 6 weeks last season he finished as a WR 1 or 2 in 4/6 weeks.  That includes his Week 14 Wide Receiver #1 ranking when he caught 3 touchdowns against the Chiefs.  We’ll see what he can do this season and if Sean Peyton can squeeze blood out of the Russel Wilson turnip or not.  In Round 6 I wasn’t a fan of the Keenan Allen pick.  Allen is the third best WR option for the Chargers and might be done after this season.  He’s 31, often injured.  This was a win-now move, but not the good kind.  I would have much rathered an RB #3 in Aaron Jones or Joe Mixon, or a young wide receiver like George Pickens, Marquise Brown or Terry McLaurin here.  In Round 7 you went James Conner.  Love the volume, hate the team he’s on.  Rebuilding and dumpster fire of a roster.  Kyler is going to be MIA to start the year and they play the Niners twice.  There is a lot worse RB 3’s out there in the league, but I liked Pacheco and some of the young wide receivers here better (Dotson, Flowers, Godwin, Toney).  In Round 8 Daniel continued his assault on youth with 30-year-old Tyler Lockett.  But if there is a 30-year-old receiver to be able to do it then why not Lockett?  Geno Mahomes is gonna be slinging it again this year.   JSN will be involved, but I can see Lockett staying a WR2 or 3 this season.  I don’t see him repeating his #13 WR overall PPR finish from a year ago though.  No chance.  In Round 9 you took Darren Waller the Baller.  I liked this pick.  After Njoku was off the board you get Waller who Danny Dimes is going to love.  In Round 10 you finally went young with Rashee Rice, the Chiefs 2nd round pick.  Rice was graded as 78.1% in the LRFF: 2023 Prospect Guide with comparisons to Cecil Shorts and Mohammed Sanu.  Not great.  What was great was the capital used on him (2nd round pick) and his location (the Chiefs).  Toney is always hurt and JuJu is a patriot.  Mecole Hardman is a Jet.  Kelce is 32.  Someone has to catch the balls from Mahomes.  I doubt it’s MVS, so not a bad shot from the hip pick to see what happens.  In Round 11 you got Rashad Penny.  Penny looked great on the Seahawks before he got hurt.  But getting hurt was the story of his time in Seattle.  We’ll see if he can stay healthy being part of a running back rotation in Philadelphia between D’Andre Swift, Kenny Gainwell, and Boston Scott.  (Trivia note, I lost a parlay bet during the Super Bowl because Scott couldn’t rush for one more fucking yard after the first quarter, so fuck that guy).

Roster Build Type: Win-Now

Roster Construction Analysis: 

Daniel’s starting lineup is solid.  He’s going to compete in 2023.  I love the Mahomes-Goff combo at Qb.  His running backs are just awesome…for this season.  His Wide receivers and flex plays are solid…for this season.  But if Allen, Lockett, Conner and Chubb are dust after this season then Daniel might be hurting next year and beyond.  Also, I don’t understand why anyone would draft Ronald Jones the guy is absolute garbage.  Loved the AT Perry and Foster Moreau picks late and I will probably be attempting to trade for your tight ends at some point this season.

Overall Draft Grade: C+.  This is a great redraft team.  Not a great dynasty startup team.

  1. Colton

First 12 Picks Analysis:

A-Okay with AJ Brown here at 6.  I probably would have drafted him at 4 if I was there and JJ- Chase-Bijan were all gone.  Brown is a stud, has a crazy high ceiling each week and plays on one of the best rosters in the NFL.  He’s only 26 and in the prime of his career.  Slam dunk pick.  In Round 2 you secured Austin Ekeler.  Ekeler is 28 years old but is coming off his #1 Rb PPR season with the exact same backfield make up and an improvement at Offensive Coordinator.  Ekeler should smash this season and hopefully you can get a couple seasons out of him before he fades into the sunset.  In Round 3 you got Jaxon Smith-Njigba, the #1 Wide Receiver prospect in the 2023 draft.  He went to the Seahawks, which is exciting as he could make an impact right away on a pass heavy team.  Will JSN take Tyler Lockett targets this year or next?  In Round 4 you took Dameon Pierce which I loved.  He was awesome last season.  The Texans sucked, but his running style was fun to watch.  If I wasn’t obsessed with Anthony Richardson’s athleticism it was a tough choice between Pollard, Stevenson, and Pierce in the fourth round.  If CJ Stroud can take some of the pressure off of Pierce, look out.  In Round 5 and 6 you went Packers.  First you went Christian Watson continuing your youth streak.  Watson kind of exploded for those 7 touchdowns last season.  Then you went to Aaron Jones.  Jones is almost aged out at 28 years old, but he looked great last season.  He out touched AJ Dillon 272 to 214 and averaged more per rush (5.26 vs. 4.14).   The obvious concern for both these players is the change at Qb.  Jordan Love is not Aaron Rodgers.  He is one of the biggest questions marks this offseason.  What do the Packers look like in the post-Aaron Rodgers era.  In Round 7 Colton got Treylon Burks.  Burks is a bit slower than many of the young studs, but he flashed some razzle dazzle in the middle of last season.  Establish the Run has Treylon Burks as their dynasty player #22 overall!  I’m not that high on him, but I think you got great value here in round 7.  In Round 8 you got Tua to lead the helm.  It’s just unfortunate he can’t wear a helm-et that can protect his weak ass head.  All eyes continue to be on the Dolphins franchise to see how they deal with Tua’s recent bout with concussions.  My opinion is you either play the game or don’t, but once you make that decision you live with that decision.  Or die with that decision.  Or whatever.  Tua has a lot going for him with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle to throw to.  Miami can also compete in the AFC North with Buffalo.  They also have a trio of talented running backs in Mostert, Wilson, and rookie Devon Achane.  You might remember Achane as the bitch that ran all over LSU last year.  In Round 9 Colton took David Njoku.  LOVE this pick.  Was depressed when it happened.  Browns are going to throw more this season.  Watson will be more comfortable on this team (not as comfortable as forcing women to jerk him off during massage sessions apparently) and may set career highs in passing yardage and touchdowns.  How much of that love is going to come the way of 27-year-old 6’4” 246-pound David Njoku is the question.  He was TE #10 in PPR last year.  In the 10th round you went to Cole Kmet.  I don’t like it.  He’s young, but the Bears signed Robert Tonyan for a reason.  You also drafted him over Greg Dulcich which you will regret for years to come.  In Round 11 you took Sky Moore.  He didn’t do anything last year, but maybe the second time is the charm.  Then you snagged Pierce’s backup in Devin Singletary.  I personally had Khalil Herbert and Perine ranked higher than Singletary in terms of value here, but I understand wanting to get your backups (see me taking Algeier early and then taking both backup Vikings backs later).

Roster Build Type: Balanced.

Roster Construction Analysis: 

Colton did a great job creating a formidable team for this season and loaded up on young wide receivers to keep the party going for multiple seasons.  I loved the late round stashes of Latu and Levis.  He used his taxi squad well.  I didn’t care for his mid round picks like Kmet, Moore, and Singletary, but he started and ended the draft very well.

Overall Draft Grade: B+

  1. Mike D.

First 12 Picks Analysis:

Dickinson traded up from pick 1.07 to pick 1.04 and was the mastermind behind the 3-way trade that rocked the draft before it even began.  He wanted to ensure he got his guy, Christian McCaffrey and was willing to part with a 2024 3rd round pick and moving back 4 picks in the 2nd round to do it.  CMC had a few rough seasons in Carolina after being a stud in his first three NFL seasons.  The slump ended when he was traded from the hapless Panthers to the Kyle Shanahan led San Francisco 49ers.  Shanahan’s running game is legendary and runs in his blood.  (That’s a Mike Shanahan reference for you old hats out there).  CMC finished last season as a PPR monster and finished the season as PPR RB#2 overall.  He does have a lot of usage under his belt and is 27 years old, but I know Mike D is a 49ers fan and this was a good pick to lock in a stud RB for the dynasty startup draft.  If we aren’t having fun, then what the hell are we doing?  In Round 2 Dickinson was blessed with a gift from the heavens in Jaylen Waddle.  I don’t think people understand how good Waddle is and how great of a fit he is in Mike McDaniels offense.  He was PPR WR#8 last year in his sophomore season.  He’s 24 years old.  And he had some monster plays last year.  Slam dunk 2nd round pick at 2.9 after the trade back.  In Round 3 you took Drake London another monster.  Establish the Run has Drake London as their Dynasty Player #8 Overall.  Not wide receiver, like the 8th best player in their dynasty rankings which is absurd.  London is on a run first team that added Bijan Robinson and has Desmond Ridder as their starting Qb.  But here’s the thing.  When Ridder started playing at the end of last season London kind of exploded.  Over the last four games he averaged 9 targets, 6.25 receptions, and 83.25 yards receiving.  He was at least a WR3 each of those last four weeks and he didn’t catch a single touchdown during that span.  I liked DK Metcalf, Lamar Jackson, and Mark Andrews better here, but London does have some sex appeal on his potential.  In Round 4 Mike made the prudent choice that I couldn’t make.  I passed on T-Law for A-Rich.  But Trevor Lawrence really turned the corner in the second half of last season.  Entering Year 3 and his weapons have gotten ever better with the addition of Calvin Ridley.  Lawrence is only 23 and will provide valuable QB play for Mike’s fantasy team for years to come.  This is where Dickinson’s draft went down hill for me.  I didn’t agree with any of his next 10 picks.  He started with a great core and then just came crashing down my rankings and my draft grades.  JK Dobbins’ knee is not okay.  I don’t know if you’ve seen that thing, but my God.  It has bolts sticking out of it.  When he returned last year and was deemed “healthy” he broke off a long run and his knee looked like it had two extra bones sticking out of it and he ran with a noticeable limp.  He looked like he should be in a wheelchair and not anywhere near a football field.  You drafted him over Rashad White, Alexander Mattison, and Dallas Goedert and I just hated the pick.  I could be putting too much into what I saw with my own eyes, but I’m not touching the guy with a 10-foot pole.  In the 6th round you took DJ Moore.  I like DJ Moore.  I don’t like DJ Moore on the Bears.  It could work, but even if you factor in an uptick for passing opportunities, his projected target share percentage, Fields making a jump as a passer, and their offensive line getting better I don’t see how Moore outperforms what he did as a Panther.  He had three straight seasons of 1100+ yards receiving prior to last year, but last year was a bust.  Despite his down year he was PPR WR#24 because he scored 7 touchdowns.  If he sees a ridiculous 30% target share and all those things happen, I could be eating my words, but for me I didn’t like it.  In Round 7 you took Cam Akers.  Akers and the Rams were just gross last year.  Their offensive line hasn’t improved much.  Maybe Stafford and Kupp will come back and they can stay somewhat competitive, but Akers looked slow and not like his former self prior to his Achilles injury.  Achilles injuries in running backs have historically been the kiss of death (see Marlon Mack, Tarik Cohen, James Robinson, etc).  Maybe Akers can be the exception, but I wasn’t drafting him.  In Round 8 you took a flier on Devon Achane.  Wilson and Mostert get hurt a lot and are older, so I get the appeal.  This pick wasn’t your worst.  Next round you took Michael Mayer the phenom tight end out of Notre Dame.  The 6’4” catch machine landed on the Raiders who seemed to freak out after trading away Waller in the offseason.  After trading Waller they signed OJ Howard, Austin Hooper, and drafted Michael Mayer in the 2nd round.  Mayer might take a while to get going, but I love him as a future tight end prospect.  I would just dial back expectations for him this season as rookie tight ends don’t typically pop off like you would think.  In Round 10 you took CJ Stroud.  Stroud looked great against Georgia.  Just not great while taking the S2 Cognitive test which he bombed, badly.  His quote was hilarious prior to the draft when he said, “I’m not a test-taker, I play football.”  The test was about football for God’s sake, and he bombed it.  Big red flag for me, but those Georgia highlights…  In Round 11 you took Courtland Sutton.  Sutton went 6 rounds after Jerry Jeudy which was mind blowing.  Sutton finished as PPR Wide Receiver #43 last season.  Jeudy was #22.  He also missed a few games.  Is that gap worth the 6-round gap in drafting position?  Is Sutton salvageable with Sean Peyton in town or will they trade him either midseason or after this season?  In Round 12 you took a flier on Jalin Hyatt, rookie for the Giants.  Hyatt looked like DeSean Jackson for Tennessee last season.  Torched Alabama.  I’m talking en fuego.  6 catches for 207 yards and 5 touchdowns torched.  It was beautiful.  Buck Fama.  He also caught a couple of touchdowns against LSU but we don’t need to talk about that.  I like the prospect, but I don’t like the Giants depth chart.  Hyatt will be competing with Isaiah Hodgins, Darius Slayton, Parris Campbell, Wan’Dale Robinson, Sterling Shepard, Jamison Crowder and David Sills.  They’ll have to cut some of them, but I feel like Hyatt’s game is similar to Slaytons.  Could be stashed on Taxi until this pecking order becomes clearer.

Roster Build Type: Win-Never.

Roster Construction Analysis: 

Dickinson got the dreaded Win-Never build type.  It is neither a competitor for this season nor did it build for the future.  His core of T-Law, Waddle, and Drake London will be needed during his inevitable rebuilds in 2024 and 2025.  I don’t think he can rely on the likes of CMC, Dobbins, Moore, Akers, or Sutton in the near future.    Making matters worse was his questionable pick of Trey Lance in the 13th round, drafting 5 quarterbacks overall, and the fact that he already is down a 3rd round pick in next year’s rookie draft.  Dickinson likes to wheel and deal in fantasy football, so maybe he can manage this team, but this draft was not it for me.

Overall Draft Grade: D is for Dickinson.  I hope you prove me wrong.

  1. Ollie

Analyse des 12 premiers choix:

Je ne sais pas si je devrais noter le brouillon d’Ollie ou les classements de repêchage automatique prédéfinis de Sleepers, mais c’est parti.  Ollie est allé JT dans le premier et j’aime vraiment ce choix.  JT a été gêné par un mauvais jeu de ligne offensive, un mauvais jeu QB et une blessure persistante à la cheville la saison dernière.  Cette année, c’est complètement différent.  Anthony Richardson pourrait réduire le nombre de sacs qui ont fait partie de Matt Ryan ou qui ne devraient pas faire partie de la formation de la NFL Sam Ehlinger la saison dernière.  Taylor a 24 ans et entame sa 4e saison dans la NFL.  Lors de la saison 1, il a couru pour plus de 1000 yards et 11 touchdowns.  Dans la saison 2, il était RB#1 au total.  Et dans la saison 3, il a terminé en tant que PPR #33 Rb manquant 7+ jeux.  Il est toujours le même RB qui a couru pour 1811 verges en 2021.  Anthony Richardson va aider JT et je pense qu’il lui reste quelques bonnes saisons.  Au 2e round, Ollie est allé à Travis Kelce.  Kelce est généralement Tight End #1 et est un tel avantage à avoir sur votre liste de football Fantasy.  Alors que les gens jettent Dawson Knox le dimanche en espérant qu’il tombe dans la endzone, Kelce affiche des numéros RB # 5 à la position.  Le delta entre lui et les gens qui jouent au jeu td au tight end est un tel facteur de différence.  La seule préoccupation est le temps du père.  Kelce a 33 ans.  Combien de temps peut-il durer?  Tony Gonzalez, qui a joué 17 saisons, a pris sa retraite après sa saison de 37 ans.  Cela donnerait à Kelce 4 saisons de plus si elle peut égaler l’incroyable parcours de Tony Gonzalez.  Je ne sais pas, mais laissons les bons moments rouler.  Au 3e tour, Ollie a commencé le dessin automatique, je crois.  Il était en panne.  Etienne dans le 3ème était un autopick après 4 heures de temps coché.  Je ne l’aurais pas repêché avant Chubb si j’avais gagné maintenant et je ne l’aurais pas repêché au-dessus de Walker ou Jacobs si je construisais pour l’avenir.  Je n’ai donc pas aimé le choix d’Etienne.  Au 4e tour, vous êtes allé avec Derrick Henry.  The Big Dog a terminé en tant que PPR RB#4 l’année dernière.  Il a couru pour 1538 yards et 13 touchdowns.  Établir des sommets en carrière au chapitre des cibles (41), des réceptions (33) et des verges de réception (398).  Il a 29 ans et les Titans sont un peu nuls.  Que va-t-il se passer ?  Une saison de plus pour la route ?  Les titans roulent avec Tannehill et Henry une année de plus puis reconstruisent complètement?  Je me rends au tournoi de golf caritatif à Lake Tahoe ce week-end et Mike Vrabel est censé être là, alors je vais lui demander pour toi Ollie.  Deshaun Watson a été le choix de 5e ronde d’Ollie.  J’ai aimé le choix.  Watson devrait très bien faire cette saison.  Cela s’annonce comme une grosse année qui passe pour les Browns.  Et il est logique qu’Ollie l’ait emmené alors qu’il était en France, car je suis sûr qu’une masseuse française n’aurait aucun problème avec certaines des « demandes » de Watson.  Au 6e tour, Ollie a ajouté Joe Mixon.  Il y avait des rumeurs pendant la saison morte selon lesquelles les Bengals laisseraient partir Mixon en raison de sa performance, mais ils restent avec lui cette saison.  Au 7e tour, Ollie est allé avec son premier WR!  Christian Kirk!

 

Type de construction de la liste : Win-Now.

Analyse de la construction de l’effectif: Ollie est chargé de running backs et très faible au poste de wide receiver.  Son jeune noyau est Watson (27 ans), JT (24 ans), Etienne (24 ans) et Christian Kirk (26 ans).  Ollie est à égalité avec Oscar pour le roster le plus âgé de la ligue avec une moyenne d’âge de 27,1 ans.  Il a le meilleur tight end et le meilleur groupe de running back de la ligue, mais son manque de wide receivers dans une ligue PPR complète est très préoccupant.  Avec Henry et Mixon au bord du précipice de poussière, Ollie doit gagner maintenant, sinon il sera bientôt en mode reconstruction.  Attendez-vous à ce qu’Ollie essaie d’échanger l’un de ses vétérans running backs contre un receveur plus jeune plus tard dans la saison si les choses ne semblent pas être en mesure de rivaliser dans la dernière ligne droite.

Note globale du repêchage : C

  1. Adam

First 12 Picks Analysis:

Josh Allen has finished as the Fantasy Football Qb#2, Qb#1, Qb#1 in the past three seasons.  There are rumors going around that the Bills are committed to running Allen less, but until I see it with my eyes I’m going to go ahead and assume Allen is going to continue to ball the hell out.  He has been incredibly consistent in terms of fantasy football production.  In 2022 he scored 409.24 fantasy points and in 2021 he scored 409.58 fantasy points.  My prediction for this season is for him to score 409.4 fantasy points.  Great pick to lock down the 27-year-old fantasy stud at Qb.  In the 2nd round you were handed a gift from Dom, Andy, and Cuz as they all managed to pass on the Sun God, Amon-Ra St. Brown.  Brown is 23 years old, finished as the #7 ppr WR last year and that was in 16 games, not 17.  He had 146 targets last season and caught 106 of them.  This season the Lions open with 3 teams that finished below average in pass protection and in potential shootout games with the Chiefs, Seahawks, and Falcons.  Quentez Cephus is no longer a Lion.  Jameson Williams is suspended for the first 6 weeks.  TJ Hockenson is a Viking.  Sam LaPorta is a rookie.  The only target competition might be Marvin Jones Jr.  Last season Amon-Ra started the year with games of 20.4 and 39.4 fantasy points.  He was targeted 12 times in both games.  I think he starts the same this year.  Slam dunk of a pick.  Establish the Run has Amon-Ra as their 7th best player in dynasty overall.  You got him at pick #16.  In the 3rd round you had Saquon Barkley fall to you.  This provides you with a solid trio of Allen-Barkley-Amon-Ra.  Barkley is also not happy about his contract situation.  The Giants paid Daniel Jones, but tagged Barkley.  Barkley hasn’t threatened to sit out the season like Josh Jacobs, but there is definitely something brewing amongst the running back position.  (Update: As of today (7/12/2023), Barkley IS threatening to sit out this season).  Barkley is 26 and was finally able to stay on the field last season.  He wind up as the #5 PPR RB.  Great pick.  Brian Daboll was fantastic in his first year as the Giants head coach and looks to build on that momentum in Year 2.  In Round 4 you went Brandon Auyik for your WR#2.  The 25-year-old Auyik wind up as the WR#15 in PPR last year and is hoping to build on his career highs in targets (114), receptions (78), receiving yards (1015), and touchdowns (8) heading into Season #4.  The glaring question mark is the Qb position.  Will Purdy be ready?  Will Lance go away?  One of the things that impressed me most about Auyik’s year last year was his fantasy consistency.  In the last 9 weeks of the season Auyik had at least 9.6 fantasy points in 8/9 games.  He had one dud week (3.9) and one boom week (26.7), but other than that he was just a solid WR3/4/Flex play.  In a full ppr double flex league I like this pick.  In Round 5 you got an incredible steal in TJ Hockenson.  He’s only 26 and last year was peppered with targets once he was traded to the Vikings.  Dom and Cuz are going to get reamed in their draft grades for drafting Bust Kyle Pitts and oft-injured George Kittle over Hockenson.  Dumb.  But Adam gets to benefit.  Hockenson was Tight End #2 in PPR last year and that was with a terrible start to the year in Detroit.  He finished with 129 targets.  Now Jordan Addison comes in to replace aging Adam Thielen, but still.  Kirk Cousins is turning 35 and his arm strength isn’t what it used to be, which wasn’t all that strong to begin with in NFL Qb standards.  Look for Cousins to check down to his Tight End and Running Backs a good bit this year.  Just a slam dunk pick and I’m jealous.  In Round 6 you took a risk with Dalvin Cook.  He’s a free agent, so it’s tough to gauge his worth.  Since I don’t know where he’ll play, I’ll focus on what I know.  He didn’t play great last year.  As I mentioned in my draft grade about Alexander Mattison, Cook finished ranked #64 rushing grade last season.  His shoulder is constantly hurt.  How much does he have left in the tank?  He’s 27 and on the outside looking in right now.  For picks like this you must also look at opportunity cost.  By drafting Cook, Adam passed on George Pickens (22) and Marquise Brown (26).  We’ll see what happens, but I didn’t like this pick.  In Round 7 and 8 you went with a pair of veteran wide receivers which I really liked.  Terry McLaurin is underrated year in and year out.  He just needs some decent QB play.  But what he has been able to do with the Qb dumpster fire in Washington is nothing short of miraculous.  He’s 27, so he’s got another 4-5 years in him too.  In Round 8 you went with Big Mike Williams.  Williams is 29, so he too can have a couple years left in him.  I loved this pick because of Kellen Moore calling plays for the Chargers this year.  Thought he was great value and I liked him more than Diontae Johnson and Tyler Lockett who went before him in this round.  In the 9th you drafted Dalton Kincaid, rookie tight end on Buffalo to create the Allen-Kincaid stack.  Word on the Twitter streets is that Kincaid is going to have a more Mike Gesicki type of role and line up out wide and in the slot more.  That’s good news considering the Bills no longer have Isaiah McKenzie or Cole Beasley and only have Trent Sherfield as their WR#3/slot guy.  Hockenson and Kincaid give Adam my favorite Tight End group in the league.  In Round 10 you went Roschon Johnson.  Johnson will serve as your RB#2 as of right now until Dalvin Cook signs somewhere (if he signs somewhere).  Roschon has a great opportunity, but it’s going to be tough to supplant veterans Khalil Herbert and D’Onta Foreman.  If he can, then he has great potential at the end of this season.  To finish the year the Bears have a VERY favorable rushing schedule including games against Detroit (27th), Cleveland (29th), Arizona (23), Atlanta (25) and Green Bay (31).  (Numbers reflect rank of 2023 defensive rush efficiency).  So, whoever gets the largest slice of pie out of the Chicago backfield can be a league winner.  The question is, will it be Roschon?  In Round 11 you went Darnell Mooney.  I don’t really care for the pick.  He seems like nothing to me.  He was super hyped last season and he wind up having 3 double digit fantasy performances before being hurt and finished as the #71 ppr wide receiver.  In Round 12 you drafted Zach Evans.  A late 6th round pick doesn’t provide the draft capital to believe he’ll be a factor this season, but the Rams running backs were awful and awkward last season and Akers is coming off that achilles injury, so anything can happen.

Roster Build Type: Balanced.

Roster Construction Analysis: 

Adam put on a clinic in the first 5 rounds and then continued in rounds 7,8, and 9.  He built a solid core that will help him compete this year and in the future.  Allen-Barkley-Amon-Ra, Aiyuk, Hockenson with plenty of wide receiver options in the flex and a few rookie running backs.  The glaring hole for Adam this season is running back #2 and his depth.  In the later rounds he was drafting role playing wide receivers when he should have been continuing to add running back assets to see who can hit.  Unfortunately, his running back situation knocked him down from an A- to a B+ for me.

Overall Draft Grade: B+.  Great draft overall.

  1. Dom

First 12 Picks Analysis:

Dom was looking at something when he was drafting, but it certainly wasn’t the same things I was looking at.  Pretty much picked different players at every pick than I would have taken.  Buckle your seatbelts because this is going to be a bumpy ride.  Diddling Dom began his draft waiting until he was on the clock to put his pick on the trade block.  He did have some offers as our drunk asses were stumbling onto the 10th hole after doing double tequila shots, but he elected to pass on the trade and take his guy Garret Wilson.  Wilson has been hyped to ridiculous levels this offseason.  Aaron Rodgers!  Moore is gone!  I get it.  Wilson is 22 and finished as PPR WR#21 last year with some piss poor QB play.  He also won rookie of the year honors.  Mike White looked alright at one point and then got injured.  Zach Wilson was just terrible (in Charles Barkley’s voice).  Establish the Run agrees with Dom’s choice here, but I don’t.  I’d rather CeeDee Lamb or Amon-Ra St. Brown here.  Rodgers might play a season or two so we’ll have to see if it truly elevates Wilson’s game to another level from last year.  But let’s be honest.  Rodgers didn’t look great last season.  He was Qb#28 in points per game (14.1) and averaged 13.4 passing points per game, the fewest in his career.  I’m sure he’ll be motivated and improve dramatically this season and maybe he can do what Tom Brady and Brett Favre did at the end of their careers and make a late postseason run, but we’ll have to wait and see.  In addition, the Jets added Allen Lazard and Mecole Hardman in free agency, so we’ll have to see if that impacts Wilson’s target share.  In Round 2 Dom solidified his win-now strategy by taking Tyreek Hill over younger wideouts like Amon-Ra St. Brown, Chris Olave, and Jaylen Waddle.  Tyreek is 29 years old and was in the news for another offseason incident where someone is pressing charges against him.  But the Cheetah is a freak and speed demon and is just so much fun to watch.  I thought about taking him if he fell to me in the 2nd, but I don’t think I could’ve taken him over some of the younger studs out there.  Tyreek has said that he plans to retire after this contract is up.  His contract is over after the 2026 season given Dom the Cheetah for 4 years.  A lot can happen between now and then, but this wasn’t the move I would have made.  In Round 3 he had another head scratcher going Justin Fields.  Don’t get me wrong I love running quarterbacks and it’s true that if he wanted him, he needed to take him here because I was licking my lips hoping he would fall to me.  But I did still have Lamar Jackson ranked higher than him.  Lamar is 26 compared to Fields 24, already has an MVP under his belt and now gets paid, huge upgrades with Zay Flowers, OBJ, and healthy teammates coming back in Andrews and Bateman and then they also added Todd Monken as OC.  I do believe Fields leaps this year and does better than last year.  But does he finish higher than Lamar Jackson?  No, I don’t think so.  In Round 4, Dom took Kyle Pitts.  Pitts was so hyped last year only to bust so fucking hard the Earth shook.  Dom took him over TJ Hockenson.  Pitts is only 22.8 and already has two seasons under his belt.  I get that.  But he’s on a run first team with an unproven QB.  I just don’t know.  If you were in win now mode, I think Hockenson or Goedert would have been the play here.  In Round 5 you took your first running back in D’Andre Swift.  Swift should be motivated after a frustrating year where the Lions limited his touches and snaps tremendously as he worked his was back from yet another injury.  I don’t see the Eagles giving him a big workload.  I think they continue their running back rotation with Swift-Penny-Gainwell-Scott.  Swift is the most talented out of that group, but can he stay on the field?  Maybe it’s plug and play and he takes Miles Sanders exact production from a year ago and finishes as RB #15 in PPR, but I don’t know.  In Round 6 you took DeAndre Hopkins.  Hopkins will sign somewhere, so this a typical offseason risk/reward type of pick.  You took him over George Pickens, Marquise Brown, Terry McLaurin, Christian Kirk, Treylon Burks, and Jahan Dotson.  Going back to win-now mode with this decision.  In Rounds 7-9 you took three consecutive running backs.  Zach Charbonnet, Antonio Gipson, and James Cook.  I liked these picks and provided you with some running backs to work with.  Charbonnet was drafted as if he’s going to see work despite Walker being the 1A RB in Seattle.  Gipson might be the guy?  He should catch passes, which is valuable in PPR.  James Cook is also more likely to take snaps in the two-minute offense and on third downs as opposed to Damien Harris or Latavius Murray for Buffalo.  Overall, I like the trio.  In Round 10 you took Rashad Bateman.  Bateman looked great until he got hurt.  He opened the year with back-to-back weeks with a touchdown.  We’ll see how things shake out with Zay Flowers and OBJ entering the mix, but I like the value for the 23-year-old here in Round 10.  In Round 11 you reached for Jerick McKinnon.  He went off at the end of last season.  Over the last 6 weeks of the regular season, he had 2 weeks as the #1 RB, and 3 weeks as a RB1, 2 weeks as a RB2, and his worse finish was RB30 but it was in Week 18 when fantasy didn’t matter.  During the last 7 weeks he had 8 receiving touchdowns and 1 rushing touchdown.  All that gave him a ppr rb finish of #20.  We all know he’s 31 and he has gotten injured a lot in his career.  But shit man.  If Dom throws him in the flex and he has a little stretch like that it’s worth the pick.  In Round 12 I loved his Jaylen Warren pick.  Warren carved out a little role for himself even when Najee Harris had come back to full health.  He handled 40% or more snaps post bye week in 4/9 weeks.  (two of those weeks shouldn’t count because he got injured).  He’ll mostly serve as a handcuff in case Najee gets hurt, but I liked the pick.  Also wanted to add I loved the Geno Smith pick in Round 13.  Geno Mahomes is going to ball out again this season and it gives him a solid backup to Fields.

 

Roster Build Type: Win-Never.

Roster Construction Analysis: 

Ranking Dom’s team was rough for me.  I made it obvious I was going young and potential.  Oscar made is obvious he was going for win now.  Dom was a bit all over.  It’s more on the balanced side than Win-now I would say, but then I just don’t like his team.  If I was drafting at pick 10 my team would probably have started with Lamb-Waddle-Jackson.  I looked at KeepTradeCut to see if I was missing something, but they agreed ranking Dom as the 11th team out of our 12-team league in terms of dynasty values.  They have him ranked 8/12 at Qb, 9/12 at Rb, 8/12 at WR, and 2/12 at Tight End.  I don’t think he has the RB firepower or wide receiver depth to make a run this season.  His Fields-Wilson-Pitts core is the balanced part, and he can build around those guys, but I didn’t like the team he constructed around the core for this year.  Maybe he can rebuild it in 2024 or 2025 and turn this from a win never to a win later type of situation.

Overall Draft Grade: D is for Dom.

  1. Cuz

First 12 Picks Analysis:

Breece Hall over CeeDee Lamb and Amon-Ra St. Brown was egregious in my opinion.  Hall is great.  He will be great.  But he’s coming off a torn ACL and will start the season slow.  Maybe Aaron Rodgers gets this offense clicking and the Jets make a run this season and Hall tears it up, but the 1st pick in a dynasty startup draft, taking a player you are going to build your franchise around and you take the guy coming off the ACL tear?!  Over CeeDee Lamb and Amon-Ra St. Brown?  Thank God Andy had his sites on Gibbs and Joe Burrow came back around to you in the 2nd.  Burrow will be nestled in your Qb1 spot for the next 8 seasons and the joy of watching the LSU God ball out each year will be very joyful for you.  I predicted he would go in Round 1, so I’m not surprised he went within the first 14 picks of the draft.  In Round 3 with the third round reversal, you had pick #26.  You took Stefon Diggs.  Pretty good.  Pretty good.   29 years old coming off ppr wr finishes of #4, #7 and #3.  As Allen goes, Diggs goes.  Of course, I’ll never forgive him for the Minnesota Miracle.  Fuck that guy.  In Round 4 you took George Kittle over TJ Hockenson.  (insert loud buzzer noise here).  Swing and a miss!  Kittle is 29 and has played in every game in a season once in his career, back in 2018.  He plays super aggressive, which is fun to watch as a football fan, but not as a fantasy football manager.  You always must worry about him coming up limping.  Now he wears a ridiculous looking helmet too.  Hockenson is younger and will get more targets this season.  Kittle finished as TE#3 last year in PPR but was carried by his career high 11 touchdowns.  Purdy looked at him in the redzone, so maybe that can continue, but I’m banking on some touchdown regression back to where he normally gets in the 5-6 touchdown range.  In Round 5 you made a good pick in Miles Sanders.  He gets the keys to the Panthers kingdom with a whole new offense and coaching staff.  He’s out to prove he was buried in the stupid Eagles running back rotation and he is looking to break out.  Foreman looked great at times last season rushing for the Panthers, so we’ll see if the rushing attack can provide Sanders with the opportunity to match his top 15 running back finish from a year ago.  The NFC South has favorable schedules this season so this could be a great value pick.  In Round 6 you took George Pickens.  Love the talent and the pick here.  I know for a fact Andy wanted him badly at this pick and you sniped him.  In the 7th round you took Michael Pittman.  Pittman might be okay, but I worry about his role in the offense.  I think Richardson is going to improve his dynasty value for sure, but I wind up taking Alec Pierce later because I thought he might be a bit more consistent than Pittman.   I liked McLaurin, Burks, and Dotson more than Pittman here.  In Round 8 you took Brian Robinson.  Robinson could have the early down running back role locked up in Washington.  Gipson hasn’t proven he can be the every down guy.  Washington has kind of sucked, but maybe Sam Howell can bring the wolfpack up from the ashes and deliver more scoring opportunities.  Let’s just hope Robinson doesn’t get shot.  Again.  In Round 9 you took a flier on Michael Thomas.  Thomas came back last year and looked like a monster until getting hurt. Yet again.  He scored 3 touchdowns in the first two weeks then hurt his foot and he was done.  Maybe he can come back, and the Saints can ride the slot boy train to victory land, so I’m okay with the pick here.  He is aged 30 so it’s more of a win now move.  In Round 10 you broke my heart by taking Greg Dulcich.  I tried to trade up with Dickinson here but instead he wanted to stay put and take one of his five mediocre Qbs instead.  His loss.  And my loss.  But Cuz’s gain.  I like Dulcich a lot.  Watching him at UCLA he was just floating out there in the middle of the field and no one could guard him.  It translated into his rookie campaign where he was able to tease his potential with 3 games of at least 8 targets over his final four.  He is 23 and will be ready to rock when Kittle inevitably misses time.  In Round 11 you took Aaron Rodgers.  This gives you some flexibility if Burrow hits a rough patch, but A-Rod only has a year or two left.  In Round 12 you let Mike trade with you to jump me.  You wind up taking Deuce Vaughn in the 13th with the pick and you swapped your 5th round pick with a 4th round pick.  It was fun and I won’t dock you for the move.

Roster Build Type: Win-Never.

Roster Construction Analysis: 

The young core of Burrow-Hall-Pickens-Dulcich does give you future potential and the veterans of Rodgers-Sanders-Diggs-Kittle gives you balance.  But is it enough?  Is the roster enough to compete this season and is the young core enough to compete in the seasons to come?  The Jets schedule isn’t very favorable, and I expect a very slow start for Hall this season.  Maybe Sanders and Diggs can carry the roster early and then Hall can come on late and make a playoff run, but looking at this team do I see a true competitor for the inaugural season?  No.  Looking at the young guns do I think it’s enough to compete in the near future?  Also no.

Overall Draft Grade: C-.

  1. Andy

First 12 Picks Analysis:

As the rest of us Bozos were drafting our first player Andy patiently waited his turn to take his first and second player.  His patience paid off as CeeDee Lamb, Establish the Run’s #6 overall dynasty player, FantasyPros #4 overall dynasty player and KeepTradeCut’s #5 overall dynasty player dropped to him.  I think his drop came down to people in this league not wanting to root for the Cowgirls and because of McCarthy’s promise to score less points and slow the offense down by running more.  Lamb finished as PPR WR#5 last season.  He is 24.  I think it’s a slam dunk pick for Andy.  In the 2nd round Andy reached for Jahmyr Gibbs.  The Bama product was a monster in college and now gets to replace D’Andre Swift in Detroit.  Gibbs was ranked as 98% Z-Prospect Score and drew comparisons to Alvin Kamara and Giovani Bernanrd.  (Reminder that Bijan’s prospect score was 98.6% meaning Gibbs is closer than many people give him credit for).  The Lions did sign David Montgomery to a three-year deal and Montgomery is 26 implying he still has meat on the bones for his NFL career.  I think this move most likely stemmed from a couple of factors.  1. Andy wanted a Qb after the 3rd round reversal and had his sites on Herbert.  And 2. Andy realized that running backs dried up extremely quickly before he picked again at the 4/5 turn.  This information then led Andy to decide WHICH running back to take rather than which player to pick.  Then his choices came down to Ekeler, Gibbs, or Barkley.  Out of that group I can see Andy going Gibbs due to age in a dynasty startup draft.  I would have probably gone Amon-Ra St. Brown here getting the deadly CeeDee-Amon-Ra combo at WR and patching together the RB situation later, but to each their own.  In Round 3 Andy got his beloved Justin Herbert.  I think this is a great pick.  Kellen Moore and the addition of Quentin Johnston has me bullish on the Chargers passing attack this season.  Herbert was Qb#11 last year and was down across the board statistically recording fewer yards, touchdowns, rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, and completion percentage than his 2021 sophomore campaign.  He did, however, improve on his interception total and I like his chances to bounce back and finish higher in the rankings this season.  He’s also 25, so he has another 7-8 years locking Andy’s Qb position up and giving him one less thing to stress about.  In Round 4 and 5 Andy lost me.  I loved the Herbert-Gibbs-Lamb start, but then he reached on 27-year-old RB Alvin Kamara who will most likely be suspended for the first 6 weeks of the regular season.  Andy also took 28-year-old Calvin Ridley who will be playing his first ball in almost two years after having an injured riddled fourth season then being suspended all last season for betting on games.  Ridley did finish as PPR WR #5 back in 2020 in his third season/breakout year.  My concern is the crowded weaponry in Jacksonville as much as the rust that may need to be shaken off.  Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, and Evan Engram all had career seasons last year for Jacksonville.  I don’t know how the target share and production is going to be sliced up this year which has me avoiding the situation.  I have a couple of T-Law and Zay Jones exposures in best ball, I think.  The slam dunk pick would be T-Law, but I even passed on him for some reason.  Andy took Ridley over TJ Hockenson and several other players I would have considered.  These two picks really deflated my grade for Andy.  In Round 6 and 7 it was okay.  Marquise Brown is a good pick.  He flashed signs.  Andy needs Kyler Murray to come back in a hurry to get Brown up to production.  Jameson Williams also showed flashes but is also suspended the first 6 weeks of the regular season.  Andy will have weaponry coming in midseason but might start off slow.  In Round 8 he got his boy Pat Freiermuth.  Pat F. did very well last year and managed a top 10 fantasy tight end finish in ppr (#8) despite only catching 2 touchdowns.  I’m not sure if the addition of Georgia freak Darnell Washington will impact his positive td regression or not, but if Pickett can play at a higher level, then this could be a sneaky good pick for Andy here.  In Round 9 Andy got one of my favorite players in the NFL in Jamaal Williams.  Fresh off his crazy 17 touchdown season the former Packer and Lion joins the Saints who will need him during Kamara’s suspension and beyond.  This gives Andy his RB#2 to start the year as long as Kendre Miller doesn’t do something stupid like win the starting rb job.  Andy had great selections in Rounds 10 and 11.  Bryce Young and Elijah Moore.  Moore will be flex worthy right away in a revamped Browns passing attack.  Young is a stash for the future since Andy can rely on Herbert now.  In Round 12 Andy approached me to move up, so I told him I would for his 2024 4th rounder, and he obliged.  The reason he moved up?  Rookie RB Chase Brown out of Illinois.  Drafted in the 5th round he’ll compete with Trayveon Williams and Chris Evans for the coveted Samaje Perine role behind starter Joe Mixon.  There were a couple rumors that Mixon might be cut this offseason, but the Bengals stayed put.  Brown graded out as a 59.1% on the Z-Prospect Score and drew comparisons to Lamar Miller and Jerick McKinnon.  He is a little older for a rookie running back at 23 but did run a 4.43 at the combine.  Was he worth the 4th round pick and being drafted over Damien Harris, Khalil Herbert, and Samaje Perine?  We’ll see, but I like the trade up to get your guy.

Roster Build Type: Win-Never.

Roster Construction Analysis: 

His roster construction is interesting.  I like the core of Herbert-Gibbs-Lamb.  I like the WR depth with Ridley-Moore-Brown-Jameson Williams.  In PPR he should be able to build a decent lineup each week.  But worried at RB.  Drafting Gibbs with Kamara puts too much need for Gibbs to get a ton of volume.  With Montgomery there I don’t see the Lions just going straight bellcow right away.  If Montgomery gets hurt and Jamaal Williams can replicate last year’s success, then maybe Andy can make the playoffs.  For me the lack of running back depth paints this team as a mid-level team that I could see finishing as a 6th-9th seed this year.  Might sneak into playoffs, but don’t seem him competing in year 1.  Needs some running backs to hit in order to be competitive next season.

Overall Draft Grade: C-

Draft Grades By Draft Position:

  1. Ian: B-
  2. Oscar: C+
  3. Brad: C+
  4. Mike B: A-
  5. Daniel: C+
  6. Colton: B+
  7. Mike D: D
  8. Ollie: C
  9. Adam: B+
  10. Dom: D
  11. Cuz: C-
  12. Andy: C-

Draft Grades In Order (Highest to Lowest)

  1. Mike B: A-
  2. Adam: B+
  3. Colton: B+
  4. Ian: B-
  5. Brad: C+
  6. Daniel: C+
  7. Oscar: C+
  8. Ollie: C
  9. Cuz: C-
  10. Andy: C-
  11. Dom: D
  12. Mike D: D

Draft Grades By Division (Still Highest to Lowest)

Division 1:

  1. Mike B: A-
  2. Ian: B-
  3. Ollie: C
  4. Cuz: C-

Division 2:

  1. Colton: B+
  2. Brad: C+
  3. Dom: D
  4. Mike D: D

Division 3:

  1. Adam: B+
  2. Daniel: C+
  3. Oscar: C+
  4. Andy: C-

KeepTradeCut’s Dynasty Value Score for Each Team (Highest to Lowest)

  1. Mike: 99
  2. Ian: 95
  3. Brad: 92
  4. Mike D: 91
  5. Adam: 90
  6. Andy: 86
  7. Daniel: 84
  8. Oscar: 83
  9. Colton: 83
  10. Dom: 83
  11. Ollie: 82
  12. Cuz: 78

(Link to KeepTradeCut power rankings: https://keeptradecut.com/dynasty/power-rankings/league?leagueId=962791406014083072&platform=Sleeper)

Thank you for reading I look forward to everyone proving me wrong and increasing their hatred/directed shit talking my way as a result of these grades.

Sincerely,

Fantasy Football Brad

BBY Dream Team League Draft Grades 2022

BBY Dream Team League Draft Grades 2022

  1. Trey

Trey had to make his choice of two players pretty much.  The transcendent Johnathan Taylor that had a monster year last year for Trey or the back-to-back disappointment CMC.  ESPN ADP shows Taylor as 1.4 and CMC 3.2, so Trey decides to run it back with JT.  He did a disservice to the stud RB last season, and he is hoping to make up for it.  A mere 22 picks later and Trey was on the clock again.  He was targeting Mark Andrews but had to pivot when he was snatched by Joe a few picks prior.  Trey had some Round 3 and 4 targets, but I think the Andrews pick messed him up a little.  He winds up going with Kyle Pitts and Travis Etienne.  I like both players this season, but I don’t like them at this draft position.  I think Trey reached a bit for both players.  I had Pitts last year and I think Mariota coming to town and Drake London being there to take away some pressure will help for sure.  But the draft capital given up was passing on Chubb, Tyreek Hill, AJ Brown, Tee Higgins, Zeke, etc.  I agree in the fact that neither guy was coming back to Trey, so if he is high on these two then I can understand him taking his shot.  But Etienne’s ESPN ADP was 55.  Yahoo’s ADP was 47.5.  FantasyPros ADP was 42.7, which is a little better.  Trey took him at 25.  It’s only a reach if you’re wrong Trey.  At the end of the 4th round he went Miles Sanders and then Lamar Jackson.  I like the Lamar Jackson pick, but I think Trey could’ve gone wideout here.  Miles Sanders has been a huge disappointment.  This is the last season on his rookie contract, so the motivation is there, and the Eagles have one of the best offensive lines in football right now.  Lately I feel like players on contract years haven’t played hard, rather they have sat out a lot and tried to do everything in their power to protect themselves to try and be healthy for a new contract.  Back in the day players would go nuts trying everything to earn that second contract.  Those days might be gone as the priority has shifted from prove it to secure it.  In Rounds 6 and 7 Trey goes Allen Robinson and Allen Lazard.  Respect for the Double Allen picks.  I like the Robinson pick.  Kupp will get the top corners.  Robinson should thrive in the previous Robert Woods role in the Rams offense.  Stafford will be by far the best Qb he’s ever played with.  Career year in store?  He was a huge disappoint for me last season, but again he was on the final year of his contract, so it appeared that he gave bare minimum effort.  Hard to know if it was just horrific Qb play, effort, or a bit of both.  Lazard appears to be Rodgers new #1 WR.  We’ll see if he spreads it around more now that Adams is gone, but Lazard should receive a fair share of targets.  Does he have the talent to play against top CBs though?  In Rounds 8 and 9 Trey goes back-to-back wideouts again with Tyler Lockett and Elijah Moore.  Trey loaded up on Wr in the back half of the draft, drafting a total of 8 Wrs compared to 4 Rbs.

Draft Grade: C-.  His core of Lamar Jackson, JT, and Pitts will be a good floor, but Wide Receiver room and Rb depth is bad.  Not Trey’s best performance.

  1. Brad

Coming off his impressive failure of a season at 3-11, Brad was rewarded with the 2nd overall pick in this year’s draft.  CMC was the correct choice.  In games he played and finished last season he was his normal fantasy monster-self averaging 20.1 fantasy points.  In the 2nd Round Brad was also targeting Mark Andrews, but when Joe picked him, Brad had to pivot.  His consolation prize was GB Rb Aaron Jones.  Jones was serviceable for Brad last season, but not as a Rb1.  Some analysts are very high on Jones this season, thinking the Adams target share will be divided up with the running backs seeing the biggest increase.  If that comes to fruition, then Jones floor might pick up a bit and help to eliminate many of the single digit fantasy contests he had last season (5).  In the 3rd round Brad was torn between Nick Chubb and Tee Higgins.  Knowing this league and the proclivity of Rb shortages throughout the season, Brad went conservative, hoping that he can get some decent wide receivers in the middle rounds.  This gives Brad a solid three-headed monster at Rb with CMC, Jones, and Chubb.  At the end of the 4th round Brad new he had to go wideout and had his choices of Sutton, Jeudy, Waddle or Amon-Ra.  After going Sutton banking on AFC West shootouts, Brad got Waddle in the 5th.  Jaylen Waddle finished as WR#14 with 141 targets, 104 receptions, 1015 yards and 6 touchdowns in his rookie debut.  That was against CB#1’s.  This season Tyreek Hill joins the Fins squad and will draw much attention away from Waddle, who fits perfectly into new head coach Mike McDaniel’s offense.  I loaded up on Waddle in Best Ball this offseason.  At the end of Round 6 Brad’s target was Dameon Pierce, but Moose snagged him 5 picks ahead of me.  So I went with Gabe Davis who had fallen passed his ADP and seemed like a good value at that drafting position.  If he can pick up where he left off in the playoffs then this would be a steal for Brad.  In Round 7 Brad gets his Qb in Jalen Hurts.  I wanted to secure a running Qb in this year’s draft to try and get a higher floor at the Qb position.  The addition of AJ Brown should help Hurts fantasy value.  By drafting Hurts Brad passed on Dalton Schultz, TJ Hockensen, and Dallas Goedert at tight end, a decision that might come back to bite him in the ass this season.  Once those three went Brad had to wait on TE.  So at the back of the 8th round he went oft-injured Rashad Penny.  Seahawks resigned Penny and drafted Ken Walker.  I believe Walker was drafted as a replacement for Chris Carson.  As usual look for the Seahawks to start the healthiest of their backs throughout the season.  In Round 9 Brad reached for rookie wideout George Pickens.  He has looked like a monster this preseason, so this was more of a flier/instinct type of pick.  In Round 10 Brad went Bills D/St.  There are a couple of start and forget defenses out there and the Bills are one of them.  They are favored in 15 out of 17 games.  If teams are playing from behind against the Bills it opens the possibility for more sacks and interceptions, sticky stats for fantasy defenses.  In Round 11 Brad finally drafted a tight end in Dawson Knox.  Knox was very effective in the red zone last season.  He recently lost his brother and I believe the Bills are going to rally around Knox and try to get him a touchdown in Week 1 as a sign of support and love for the tragedy his family is currently going through.

Draft Grade: B+.  Can’t get an A if you are the first team to draft a defense.  Those are the rules.

  1. JD

Dizzle goes Ekeler at 3rd overall.  I probably would have gone JJ or Kupp here, but if you are going to strategically go RB I had Ekeler as my 3rd back after JT and CMC.  Chargers defense got a lot better this offseason with the addition of Khalil Mack and they have a legit chance to make a deep playoff run.  Getting their star Rb isn’t a bad start to the draft.  In Round 2 JD got CeeDee Lamb.  Phenomenal pick.  Lamb should be busy this season with Amari Cooper now a Brown, James Washington out for the season, and Michael Gallup rehabbing an injury.  His main target competition in the offense is Dalton Schultz and rookie Jalen Tolbert.  Lamb has Top 5 wideout potential.  In the 3rd JD went Keenan Allen.  Sticking with the Chargers theme.  I didn’t like this pick as much.  I think Mike Williams quietly overtook Allen last season and seems to fit a little better in this offense.  I had Tyreek Hill, AJ Brown, Tee Higgins, and Mike Evans all ranked higher than Allen this season.  In the 4th JD went Diontae Johnson.  He read that the shoulder injury he sustained in the preseason game was minor and that he could have finished the game if it was a real game, so JD felt confident in picking him.  I’m less confident considering the Steelers offensive line looks like crap and there is a very real chance Mitch Trubisky is the starting Qb.  Johnson got a ton of targets from dead-armed Big Ben and I don’t think a younger arm will have that many short throws this season.  In Round 5 JD went with Patrick Mahomes.  I’m surprised he didn’t go Herbert to just go all in with the Chargers, but Mahomes was a good pick to diversify his team a bit.  Chiefs offensive line is looking strong and their defense isn’t.  A good sign for Mahomes potential this season.  In Round 6 JD goes Chase Edmonds as his Rb2.  I think Edmonds will start for the Dolphins and catch a lot of passes.  Decent value at this point in the draft.  In Round 7 he went Drake London, rookie for Atlanta.  I don’t really have an opinion about Drake London except that he should get a decent amount of targets.  In Round 8 JD got his tight end in Zach Ertz.  Ertz could see an uptick in targets to start the year with Hopkins suspended and Marquise Brown having a weird offseason (had a small hamstring injury to start camp and then got arrested earlier this month for ‘criminal speeding’).  My favorite late round pick for JD was Khalil Herbert in Round 12.  I could see him overtaking Montgomery as the lead back in the Bears offense this season.  He looked great last year.  And you took him one pick before me, which hurt a lot.

Draft Grade: C.  I just really didn’t like the Allen pick.  Weakness is Wr2, Flex and Tight End.

  1. Joe

Joe starts off by going with LSU legend Ja’Marr Chase at 4.  I love Burrow and Chase, don’t get me wrong, but I don’t like this pick over Kupp and other LSU-stud Justin Jefferson.  Bengals offensive line improved, but their schedule draw was brutal.  In the 2nd Round Joe goes with Mark Andrews.  Great pick.  Andrews may have already surpassed Kelce as the best route-running tight end in the league.  He surely passed Kelce last season finishing as Tight End #1.  It’s like having a Top-5 Rb in a spot where people are chasing a miracle touchdown.  Difference making pick right here.  In Round 3 he goes Cam Akers as his Rb1.  I loved Akers in the summer of 2021 before he tore his achilles.  He was able to come back from it and looks poised to start for the SB Champion Rams.  I think Henderson will get a decent amount of work and the Rams will go with the healthiest back each week.  Both Akers and Henderson had to deal with soft tissue issues this offseason, but both look on track to be ready for week 1.  In Round 4, part of the rounds that many fantasy experts have titled “The Running Back Dead Zone” Joe takes a Running Back in Clyde Edwards-Helaire.  He had a rough year last year.  Unbeknownst to many people he had gallbladder surgery in the offseason, which caused him to lose a bunch of weight.  He then had ankle, knee, and shoulder injuries throughout the season.  The Chiefs offensive line is good.  But they signed Ronald Jones via free agency and drafted Isiah Pacheco albeit with pick number 251.  We’ve passed cutdown day as I’m writing this and it looks like the Chiefs are going to roll with CEH, Jones, McKinnon and Pacheco.  We’ll see if CEH can get the lions share or if he takes more of a third down, hurry up offseason type of role.  In Round 5 Joe goes Jerry Judge Jeudy as his Wr #2.  Jeudy has a legit chance at a third-year breakout with Wilson under center and I could see him having a better season than Sutton.  I was torn on which Denver Wideout to take and wind-up going Sutton.  Will be interesting to see how Wilson slings it.  Loved Joe’s 6th round pick in Tony Pollard.  Many teams are going with RB rotations now-a-days to keep their star Rb’s fresh.  Pollard was right there with Zeke last season.  In Round 7 Joe goes Adam Thielen.  He is trending towards the end of his career but I could see another double digit touchdown season out of him before he fades into the sunset.  While everyone is focused on JJ, it could happen this season.  Good repour with Cousins.  Good red zone skills.  Not a bad Wr3.  Russ Wilson in Round 8 and Justin Tucker in Round 9.

Draft Grade: C+.  Really didn’t like Joe taking Chase over JJ and Kupp.  Running Backs are gross but could also work out in a weird way.  I could see this team competing for a playoff spot.

  1. Tommy

Shocker.  Tommy takes Tennessee Titan Derrick Henry at 5.  He’s coming off a foot injury that ended his 2021 campaign early.  He was touching the ball a ridiculous number of times before his injury.  I’m a little concerned with the state of the Titans.  Traded away AJ Brown.  I don’t think Robert Woods, Treylon Burks, and Austin Hooper are going to demand the same respect as AJB, but if Henry can pick up where he was last season this could be a great pick.  In the 2nd Round Tommy goes Leonard Fournette.  Uncle Lenny is an okay pick.  He should receive all the goal line work, could catch a lot more check downs this season.  Big concern is the offensive line for the Bucs.  Losing their center and then another center and then their left guard.  Interior pressure is Brady’s weakness.  They will need to get that shored up fast.  I probably would have gone Andrews here but can understand the rationale of going second Rb in this league.  In Round 3 Tommy gets his Wr#1 in Tyreek “The Freak” Hill.  I’ve had Tyreek a few times in this league because of the 50+ yard touchdown bonus.  We all know he can take it to the house at any time with his blazing speed.  Let’s see how Tua does with his new weapon.  In Round 4 Tommy went DK Metcalf.  There have always been talented wideouts with bad Qb’s.  Metcalf is no different.  In Round 5 Tommy gets the oft-injured Kittle.  I wrote about Kittle in the draft grades last year when Chase took him.  I described how his playing style is conducive to injuries.  He is a super-aggressive, old school football player who loves contact.  It makes him a beast when he is running with the football after catch.  But he does typically miss a good bit of time.  I like Kareem Hunt in Round 6.  Rumored to be a potential trade candidate, Hunt was trending as a Top 10 Rb before getting hurt last season.  Will be interesting to watch if he does move or if he sticks with his 1B role with Chubb in Cleveland.  Tommy goes Bateman in Round 7 and Joe Burrow in Round 8.

Draft Grade: B-.  I like Tommy’s starters.  Worried about lack of depth, but he drafted a super talented roster.

  1. Jen

Love the Justin Jefferson pick at 6.  Some analysts have put him over Cooper Kupp to finish as Wr #1 this season based on talent, scheme-fit, and schedule.  Great pick.  In Round 2 Jen goes James Conner.  I like Conner a lot.  I don’t think I would have taken him over Leonard Fournette or Aaron Jones, but he has a lot of potential.  Chase Edmonds is now a Dolphin and Conner was a touchdown machine last season with a whopping 15 tuddies.  In Round 3 Jen takes Jets rookie Breece Hall.  This was a little early in my opinion.  Hall is very talented, but it looks like he’ll split time with Michael Carter at least to start the season. Taking him over Zeke and some of the stud wideouts that were available was egregious.  In Round 4 Jen goes Terry McLaurin, which I liked a lot.  McLaurin might have his best Qb in Carson Wentz this season, which isn’t saying much.  He’s a super talented wideout that should be a great Wr2 for Jen.  In Round 5 Jen went Darren Waller the Baller.  Waller was injured last year and I thought he was injured much of this offseason too.  But I didn’t realize that Waller wasn’t practicing because his contract didn’t become fully guaranteed until Week 1.  He didn’t want to risk getting hurt prior to the season starting.  Look for him to be his normal self when coming back, he just must compete with Davante Adams and Hunter Renfrow for targets.  In Round 6 Jen goes Ken Walker at Rb.  I thought this was a miss.  He had just gone through Hernia surgery and might miss some time to start the season.  He’ll be competing with Rashad Penny to start at Rb on a potentially bad Seahawks team.  Jen drafted him over Kareem Hunt, Tony Pollard, and Chase Edmonds, all Rbs who I had ranked much higher than Ken Walker.  In Round 7 Jen takes Antonio Gipson.  Gipson has had a weird career.  Rookie year he balls out.  Sophomore year he breaks his leg but plays through it.  Now in his third year he appeared to lose his starting gig to rookie Rb. Brian Robinson, only to have Brian Robinson get shot in a robbery the day before our draft.  Robinson seems like he’ll be okay, but just super weird and I don’t know how to rank Gipson this season.  In Round 8 Jen gets Aaron Rodgers.  In Round 9 Chris Olave.

Draft Grade: D.  I don’t like being harsh on draft grades, but I felt like Jen was drafting a round-ahead on every pick after Round 1.  She has some potential with very talented Wr1 and Wr2 a bunch of young rookies, but I feel like this team could have been a lot better from this draft position.

  1. Mustafa

Well what’s up, Cooper Kupp? At 7?! How do you do?  2021 Fantasy Wr #1 had an incredible season that helped fuel Chase’s Super Bowl run.  He now finds himself in 4-time champion Moose’s squad.  In Round 2 Moose got Saquon Barkley.  I was enjoying drafting 3rd round Barkley in Best Ball this summer as he slowly climbed up draft boards.  In my other league he went 12th overall pick.  Solid Rb#1 for Moose.  Only concern is Daniel Jones.  The Giants declined his fifth-year option and he’s looked like crap this preseason.  In Round 3 Moose goes AJ Brown.  I like Brown’s fit on the Eagles.  Very talented and a bit jaded, I could see him putting some monster numbers.  Moose shocks the free world by going Qb in Round 4.  Josh Allen has MVP potential being the leader of the Super Bowl favorite Buffalo Bills.  He runs, he passes, and he is tough.  A-okay with the pick here.  In Round 5 Moose goes Michael Thomas.  Slantboy is a high risk/high reward pick.  I liked Amon-Ra over him this year, but if he can come back to his previous self, the Saints offense can be scary.  They weren’t going to wait for him though, adding rookie Chris Olave and free agent Jarvis Landry this offseason. Turning a big-time weakness from 2021 into a big-time strength in 2022.  In Round 6 Moose took my target in rookie Dameon Pierce.  Evan Silva was high on Pierce after the NFL draft believing he had the best path of any rookie running back to become an early season starter.   As fate would have it, it certainly appears Silva was correct as the Texans just released Marlon Mack and will move forward with Pierce and Rex Burkhead as their top two backs.  In Round 7 Moose goes Rhamondre Stevenson, which is a great pick.  The Patriots backfield has begun a consolidation process that has left it down to Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson and I would prefer to have Stevenson this season.  In Round 8 Moose took my target again with Dallas Geodert, getting him a solid tight end on a good Eagles team.  Then Moose got some running back depth and rookie wideouts to build his bench.

Draft Grade: A.  If I had drafted at 7 my team would have looked very similar to this team.  Only exception being Michael Thomas.  Well executed draft by the league Super Bowl victory leader.

  1. Mike

Najee Harris at 8.  I probably would have gone Dalvin Cook in this position, but I can see the allure of Harris, who is looking to have another year with a very large quantity of touches.  My biggest concern is the Steelers offensive line.  Brandon Thorn, offensive line analyst and expert, ranked the Steelers in the “Bottom Feeders” category and dead last 32/32 in his rankings for this season.  Add the fact that there could be a rookie Qb or Mitch Trubisky starting for this team and I’m out.  The day after our draft news came out that Harris was battling through a Lisfranc foot injury this offseason.  He is a stud, but I would start lessening your expectations now and hope to be pleasantly surprised if he finishes as a Top 10 back.   In Round 2 you went Javonte Williams, talented Rb for the super hyped Broncos.  I had Barkley and a few wideouts ranked higher than Williams, but I can respect you going Rb-Rb to start the draft in this league.  In Round 3 you went Tee Higgins and I loved this pick.  I almost took him 7 picks prior at pick #26.  Very talented and was right there with Ja’Marr Chase towards the end of last season.  In Round 4 you went Josh Jacobs.  I’m going to give you the exact same rant I gave my younger brother who drafted Josh Jacobs in the 4th round in my other league.  The Raiders offensive line is not great (ranked 27/32 according to Brandon Thorn).  They drafted Zamir White in Round 4 of the NFL Draft.  They have Brandon Bolden and Ameer Abdullah for 3rd down and hurry up offense snaps, which are valuable in fantasy.  Josh McDaniels is the new head coach.  They declined Jacobs 5th year option.  They could run him until his wheels fall off since they don’t have to resign him next year.  Back in the day I feel like contract year players played better as they were trying to earn it.  But recently I’ve seen players milk smaller injuries or not play as hard to protect themselves so that they can get a new contract and gain more security as I mentioned in Trey’s section.   I can stomach Jacobs as a Rb#3 but drafting him over some very talented wideouts that were available like McLaurin, Sutton, Jeudy, Metcalf, Waddle was pretty bad.  In Round 5, Mike went Darnell Mooney. He should receive the Lions share of the Bears targets this season considering he is the only wideout who’s name I know on that team.  I’m bearish on the Bears this season.  I’m BEARISH.  I loved the Chris Godwin pick in Round 6.  I think there is tremendous value there.  He is coming back from injury but miraculously might have a shot to play Week 1.  I look for him to start off slow and then pick up as the season progresses especially with Gronk gone.  I loved what you did in Rounds 7 and 8 drafting Dalton Schultz and then pairing him with Dak Prescott.  Gives you a solid Qb-Te combo.  Schultz should get a lot of targets this year.  Brandon Thorn ranked the Dallas offensive line as #6/32.  Of course, that was BEFORE their starting Left Tackle Tryon Smith tore his hamstring, which will sideline him for a couple of months at least.  Thorn reduced the Cowboys line ranking from #6 to #20.  I really liked Mike’s late round picks this season.  Skyy Moore, Nico Collins, James Cook, and Jerick McKinnon.

Draft Grade: B-  If offensive lines didn’t matter this might be an “A” team.   I’m really torn on this grade.  On one side I see Dak/Schultz stack, Najee, Tee Higgins, Godwin and I think wow Mike did a great job.  On the other I see Najee, Josh Jacobs and I’m like, man Mike really bombed this.

  1. Scotty

Man I don’t know what got into Scotty, but he crushed his draft this season.  In the first round he went Joe Mixon who I’m very high on this season after the Bengals signed Ted Karras at Center, Alex Kappa at Guard, and La’el Collins at right tackle via free agency.  They went heavy defense in the draft and you know teams will have to respect the passing game, opening up lanes for Mixon to replicate his 2021 career year.  In Round 2 Deebo Samuel was a big time reach for me.  This is when the autodraft can come back to bite you in the ass.  The ESPN autodraft went on a Wide Receiver and Qb tear for Scotty loading up with 6 wideouts and 3 quarterbacks compared to 3 running backs.  I know Scotty was beat up inside for having to miss the draft, so I’m not going to sit here and ream him for it.  Sometimes life gets in the way and he was going through a dinner involving his company being acquired by another and I completely understand.  Take care of your business man.  With that being said, this team has a sick trio of wideouts in Deebo-Evans-Moore.  Solid Rb1, Solid Qb1, Solid TE1.  And your Rb2 isn’t even that bad if he can replicate some his success from last season.  (Cordarrelle Patterson).  This may not be the team you drafted, but this is your team.  Manage the hell out of it and see what you can do with it.  This team is like life.  You can’t control the hand you got dealt, but you can control how you play the hand.

Draft Grade: N/A

  1. Chase

The Defending Super Bowl Champion drafts from the 10 spot.  Dalvin Cook drops to him like a gift from the heavens. A sure-fire Top 5 Rb this season.  In the 2nd he gets Travis Kelce.  In the post-Tyreek Hill era of the Chiefs the offense will go through Travis Kelce.  Love this pick.  I took him at the 10/11 turn in my 10-man league.  In Round 3 he went JK Dobbins over Zeke, which I thought was interesting.  I have Zeke higher than Dobbins this season.  In Round 4 he gets his Wr#1 in Michael Pittman.  Pittman should replicate his success from last year even with the Qb change from Carson Wentz to Matt Ryan.  Defenses have to respect JT and the running game, should open up Pittman to scoring opportunities.  In Round 5, Chase selected the Sun-God, Amon-Ra St. Brown.  Going to be fun to watch these two young stud wide receivers this season.  In Round 6 Chase drafts JuJu Smith-Schuster.  It’s hard to know where JuJu is these days.  He was just catching balls from an old statue with a noodle arm for the past two seasons and now he goes to Patrick Mahomes.  He’ll play from the slot, so between Kelce and JuJu Chase has the middle of the field covered.  In Rounds 7 and 8 Chase goes AJ Dillon and DeAndre Hopkins.  Hopkins is a stash and Dillon is a Flexcuff.  Top 10 potential if Jones goes down, but stand-alone value if needed in a pinch.  In Round 9 he goes Trey Lance, getting him a running Qb and in Round 10 he goes Alexander Mattison to backup Dalvin Cook.  Favorite late round picks were Darrell Henderson and Kenneth Gainwell.

Draft Grade: B+.  I think highly of this draft, but the Dobbins over Zeke pick befuddles me.

  1. Kenny

K-Dub rolled up at pick #9 when he picked at #11.  Classic.  He goes D’Andre Swift in the first.  Most analysts had him as a 2nd rounder, but if you liked him more than the other 2nd round running backs I get the rationale to pick him at #11.  In the 2nd you go Davante Adams.  I think Adams is going to be his normal self.  He might have a little more competition for targets with Waller the Baller and Renfrow there, but he is still Adams.  His connection with Derek Carr should be shown immediately since they played college ball together at Fresno State.  In the 3rd Kenny went Elijah Mitchell.  Always good to get the starting Rb for the 49ers.  Mitchell had a few different injuries last season, but when he was on the field he was a solid fantasy producer.  I would have drafted Zeke over him here though.  In Round 4 Kenny goes Mike Williams.  I love this pick.  Could easily finish as a Top 12 wideout and gives you a solid Wr duo in Adams-Williams.  In Round 5 Kenny goes Kyler Murray to get him a Top 5 Qb.  In Round 6 he goes Devin Singletary.  I can see Singletary being a fringe Top 25 Rb if he picks up where he left off last season.  Depends on how much action James Cook takes from him.  Bills are favored in 15/17 games this season, so probably not a bad thing to have their starting running back for when they are trying to run out the clock at the end of games.  In Round 7 Kenny took talent over situation with Amari Cooper.  It’s not pretty.  But Cooper is a pretty good wideout.  Yes Jacoby Brissett will be passing him the football the first 11 weeks of the season, but he could have a strong finish once Deshaun Watson comes back from suspension at the end of the year.  He is the sure fire #1 wideout on a run first team.  In Round 8 Kenny takes the other NE Rb in Damien Harris.  If Stevenson goes down this could be a huge value pick for Kenny.  Will be interesting to watch how they split the work this year.  I loved the MVS pick in Round 9.  Chiefs signed him for 3 years hoping to stretch the offense like he did in Green Bay, opening up the middle for Kelce and JuJu to work.  I don’t know how much fantasy value he’ll have this season, but if the AFC West has as many shootouts as I think they could, then having a bomb-catching guy in the flex won’t be a bad thing some weeks.  In Round 10 you drafted Mike Gesicki as your starting Tight End.  I don’t like this pick at all.  Gesicki should be the third pass catching option on the Dolphins behind Tyreek Hill and Waddle, but word from Dolphins camp has been that he hasn’t fit into Mike McDaniels offense very well.  At one point there were trade rumors involving Gesicki because of this lack of fit.  They have decided to keep him, so we’ll see how it works out.  McDaniels came from the 49ers and Gesicki is no George Kittle when it comes to physicality and blocking.

Draft Grade: A-.  Solid draft by Kenny, will compete like he has the past couple of seasons.  Can he make 3 Super Bowls in a row?

  1. Katon

Nice of Katon to take a break from opening Amazon fulfillment centers and impregnating his wife to draft in our fantasy league.  Katon starts out with Alvin Kamara and Stefon Diggs giving him a solid Rb#1 and Wr#1.  All signs point to Kamara’s suspension being next season due to delays in court dates from the incident at the Pro Bowl in Las Vegas where he beat a guy resulting in the man’s hospitalization.  In the 3rd round Katon goes David Montgomery, my least favorite pick of his and then in the 4th round he goes Zeke, which was a great pick in my opinion.  Montgomery doesn’t fit the new offense that well, the Bears offense looks rough and they’ll be playing against the Packers talent-packed defense and the competitive Viking and Lion teams this season.  At the end of Round 5 Katon got tremendous value in Brandin Cooks.  He is consistently a top 25 wideout and gets zero respect because he doesn’t go off like some of the super stars at the position.  But he is a solid producer.  You paired him with Hunter Renfrow.  He did great at the end of last season, but with Adams coming over and Darren Waller’s return I could see his volume reduce dramatically.  In Round 7 he drafted Christian Kirk.  I loved this pick.  Jacksonville believes in his abilities, and they paid him like he is Trevor Lawrence’s new Wr#1 (4 year, $72 million).  This contract reset the Wide Receiver market and set off a chain of events that led to Tyreek Hill, Davante Adams, and AJ Brown all being traded.  I’m bullish on the Jaguars and I’m guessing Kirk averages double digit targets per game.  In Round 8 you took Devonta Smith, which I don’t care for.  He is a very good route runner and reminds me of Marvin Harrison at times, but Jalen Hurts is no Peyton Manning.  AJ Brown could open things up for Smith, but Hurts has to get him the ball.  I don’t know if Smith will be relevant in fantasy this season other than a bye week flier in the flex or if the team is devasted by injuries.  In Round 12 Katon took his shot and drafted Brian Robinson.  Nothing wrong with shooting the moon for running back depth.  Katon didn’t want to miss his shot.  Do you know who didn’t miss their shot either?  The robber that shot Brian Robinson multiple times mere hours before we drafted.  In all seriousness I hope Brian is okay.  Signs point to him being able to return to football at some point this season, which is great.

Draft Grade: B.  Really didn’t like the Montgomery pick but made up for it with the Zeke and Christian Kirk picks.

Draft Grades in Order:

Mustafa: A

Kenny: A-

Brad: B+

Chase: B+

Katon: B

Tommy: B-

Mike: B-

Joe: C+

JD: C

Trey: C-

Jen: D

Scotty: N/A

If Travis Etienne and Breece Hall finish as Top 10 Rb’s this season, I’ll write Trey and Jen an official apology.

Thanks for reading and good luck!

-The Commish

Fantasy Football Brad’s QB Rankings

Hello all. We are less 10 weeks away from the 2015 NFL Season and I couldn’t be more excited. Here is a list of my Qb rankings for the upcoming season. I will go more in depth in some cases than others and I use the traditional system of 1 pt per 25 yards passing, 4 pts per touchdown, -2 pts per interception, 1 pt per 10 yards rushing, 6 pts per rushing touchdown, and -2 pts per fumble.

1. Andrew Luck (Indianapolis Colts)- I drafted Andrew Luck last year in the 5th round in a league that gives bonuses for 300 yard games. 40 td’s, 10 300 yard games, and a #1 Fantasy Qb ranking later… Luck has arrived. Last year Luck threw A LOT mainly due to lack of running game. In comes Frank Gore and Andre Johnson, which should only help Luck. I think he reduces his interceptions quite a bit and still finishes on top this year. The only tricky thing is where to draft him? Most mock drafts point to him going in the 2nd Round. If you want him, get him. I wouldn’t argue with anybody that drafted Luck with the first pick of the 2nd round. Solidifying fantasy’s top scoring position is one less thing you have to worry about. But keep in mind in Player Value Rankings(PVR)-type rankings they don’t give as much value to Qb’s and they’ll say getting Russell Wilson in Round 3 is a much better deal and I’ll discuss later.

2. Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers)- Rodgers finished #1 in standard ESPN scoring averaging 21.4 points per game to Luck’s 21.0. He’s got all the weapons back in Lacy, Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, D. Adams, etc.  I gave Luck the slight edge due to the fact I think he has room to grow. Rodgers is at his peak and cruising. Another factor is Week 15 and 16 Rodgers faces @ Oakland and then @Arizona. I think Oakland’s defense is under appreciated and the Cardinals had the 4th best passing defense last season. Still, if Rodgers is on your team, you don’t have to worry about the Qb position.

3. Russell Wilson (Seattle Seahawks)- Wilson didn’t have a single game last season where he threw for more than 2 touchdowns. Yet he still had 3 games with over 30 points. He’s got the wheels. 6 rushing touchdowns and 3-100 yard rushing games. Bring in Jimmy Graham and that can only help. It’s tough to think of all the wideouts and Jimmy going long, Wilson moving in the pocket, Lynch rolling out on for a screen pass. Who do you defend? Plus he could be a value as he is being drafted towards the end of the 3rd round right now.

***Drop Off***

4. Matt Ryan (Atlanta Falcons)- I hate Matt Ryan. To me he’s a little weanie… sitting back in the pocket ready to be pushed over with a faint breeze of a blitzing linebacker, but alas he had a great year last year and this year he looks to keep it going. Kyle Shanahan is going to make Ryan to Julio sound sickening to Saints fans by seasons end. If you’re a PVR enthusiast getting Matt Ryan in Round 7 and Julio in Round 2 sounds a lot better than Luck in Round 2 and Andre Johnson in Round 6. Definitely something to think about.

5. Drew Brees (New Orleans Saints)- He’s short, he’s older, and they are focused on the run this year. How could he possibly finish as a Top 5 Fantasy Qb? Brees has always done better when he’s had the run to set up the pass. Last couple of seasons he was so obsessed with finding Jimmy Graham that he lost that distribution that made him so effective in the past. This season with an improved rushing attack and Jimmy gone, Brees can spread the ball between Spiller, Cooks, Hill, Colston, and some young wideouts with a lot of potential. Brees is currently getting drafted in the 4th Round.

6. Teddy Bridgewater (Minnesota Vikings)- Say what now? His average draft position is 126.1 right now. Adrian Peterson is going to solidify the rushing attack. C. Patterson will have a much better season this year and Charles Johnson will take the DeSean Jackson role and make some huge plays. Bridgewater can make plays with his feet too. Last season the coaches held him back a little bit, but this season if playoffs are within grasp they are going to open the gates and let Bridgewater fly.

7. Ryan Tannehill (Miami Dolphins)- It’s time. Tannehill has steadily improved each of his last three seasons. Compared to 2013, last season he completed 6% more passes (66.4 vs. 60.4), threw for 132 more yards, 3 more touchdowns, and 5 less interceptions. It’s this progression that makes him a Top 10 Fantasy Qb that you can draft in later rounds. Imagine if you are able to draft Bridgewater and Tannehill in later rounds and use your 2nd or 3rd round picks to rack up on the quality Wideouts that are available.

8. Eli Manning (New York Giants)- ODB. Eli was on a tear at the end of last season and you could tell he became more and more comfortable in Ben McAdoo’s system. Sprinkle in Victor Cruz coming back and Shane Vereen catching balls out of the backfield and Eli is poised to have a Top 10 Fantasy Season.

9. Peyton Manning (Denver Broncos)- Yes he has a new coach, yes he lost Julius Thomas, and yes his offensive line woes are extremely terrifying. With that being said, last season Peyton was playing great until he got injured, lost faith in his offensive line, and played scared over the last 5 games of the season. He still finished 4th amongst Fantasy Qb’s. He still has Demaryius and Kubiak will find the running backs room to catch balls out of the backfield, so he can still get the job done at age 39.

10. Ben Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers)- Last season he finished 5th amongst fantasy Qb’s and has all the same weapons returning. So why the drop off? Well he had 11 weeks under 20 fantasy points last season, but what drove up his stats were two weeks in the middle of the season when he had back to back games with 6 touchdown passes. In most leagues his owners didn’t start him.  And even if they started him in the first game he surely wasn’t going to do that the following week against the Ravens… yeah. Most Big Ben owners didn’t get rewarded for those two huge games and I’d choose others before settling for him this season.

11. Cam Newton (Carolina Panthers)- Cam Newton had a weird season last season. Rib injuries and his SUV flipping on a bridge… so he played conservatively and let his defense carry the team. He should be healthy this season and will be looking Kelvin Benjamin and Greg Olsen’s way quite often. Sprinkling in youngster Devin Funchess should only help and he finished 15th last season.

12. Tony Romo (Dallas Cowboys)- If they are able to get the running game going and keep the pressure off of Romo then he’ll turn out his average season (3700 yards and 27 td’s), but if they can’t duplicate what they did last season sans Demarco Murray then Romo will struggle to stay healthy and back injuries/concerns are quite worrisome in this sport.

13. Colin Kaepernick (San Fransisco 49ers)- My thought here is that he can only get better. Last season was a rough one, but he still was a Top 20 Fantasy Qb and did okay averaging 14.6 points per game. I think the addition of Reggie Bush and Torrey Smith and a defense that will struggle, Kaepernick will be slinging it and running it late in ball games, which is good for fantasy.

14. Matt Stafford (Detroit Lions)- He’s just so inconsistent. He also struggled in 5 of his 6 divisional games with his best game coming against Chicago where he scored 21 points.

15. Joe Flacco (Baltimore Ravens)- He’ll win you some games, but with 5 games with 10 or less points, he’s going to lose you some too.

16. Carson Palmer (Arizona Cardinals)- When healthy he was good for 250 yards and 2 td’s like clockwork. Expect more of the same this season. Averaging 15-18 points could get him in the Top 10.

17. Tom Brady (New England Patriots)- He finished 8th last season and he pretty much missed the first four weeks of the season any way because the Pats sucked to start the year. This is probably too low of a ranking, but even when he comes back from suspension, averaging 17 points per game will barely be top 10.

18. Eagles Starter (Philadelphia Eagles)- Whoever the Eagles start will get similar stats. 12-15 points per game.

19. Jameis Winston (Tampa Bay Bucs)- Don’t expect the Luck and RGIII emergence of a few years ago. I’m thinking Winston will have more of a Teddy Bridgewater type of rookie season.

20. Philip Rivers (San Diego Chargers)- He had a really good year last year, but man some of those games were UGLY. Missing Antonio Gates for 4 games doesn’t help.

21. Derek Carr (Oakland Raiders)- I’m very intrigued by this Raiders team. He averaged 11 points per game as a rookie and I think he got better and the Raiders got better in the offseason. Intrigued.

22. Geno Smith (New York Jets)- In Week 17 last season he showed poise, accuracy, a big arm, and found Eric Decker for both of their best performances of the season. Geno might be worth a flier as a backup or QB2 just to see what happens. New Head coach, new Red Zone threat in Brandon Marshall… this might just be crazy enough to work!

23. Everyone else- Not relevant.

Hope you enjoyed and I’ll be posting my Running Backs Rankings next week!