The Maryanne Smith League Draft Grades: Season 25 Edition

   A quarter of a century.  That is how long ago we gathered around the Kelly table at 1205 Glen Arbor Drive to draft the first teams of Mandeville Kelly Fantasy Football League, now Maryanne Smith League.  Over those two and a half decades we’ve seen some incredible seasons and players and have had some historically awesome and historically terrible drafts.  Through many of those seasons I’ve provided draft grades.  For a while I was doing weekly recaps and predictions until ESPN made character limits on the league message board so heinous I had to move to a blog.  Through all this time we’ve grown up.  Many of us have gotten married.  Many now have children of our own.  Many are highly successful in their respected profession.  All seem to be doing pretty well from my vantage point.  I can’t describe how happy I am that we all get to reconnect on an annual basis and I hope that we are all able to get together this time next year to celebrate another year alive and another year of Fantasy Football.  Enough nostalgia.  Let’s get to what you came for.   

   Draft Grades!  As always I’d like to remind you this is my opinion.  I’ll defend my opinion with the pieces of information I have in my brain.  That doesn’t make me right.  I’m not the best with deep analytics and data.  I’m knowingly ignorant about most things, fantasy football included.  My hopes for these grades is to educate but also to help you in other league you might be drafting in, in the near future.  I might not be able to convince you on players that I’m high on, but if I give you something to think about it’ll make me happy.   

 

1. Quentin. 

   Tied with the most championships in league history (4) Quentin begins his quest for #5 with the #1 overall pick and the rights to draft Jamarr Chase.  In 2024 Chase won the WR Triple Crown, leading the NFL in Receptions (127), Receiving Yards (1708) , and Receiving TDs (17).  Good for an average of 19.9 per game.  Including games of 36.3, 49.9, and 38.1.  Now obviously this is a rare feat.  Unlikely to happen again.  Last year the Bengals defense was horrific.  Leading the Bengals to have to score in bunches just to stay in close games.  Many of which they wind up losing.  They are hungry and motivated to ensure they start out fast and strong this season.  But there’s a couple of problems.  Last season their weakness was offensive line and defense.  In the offseason they signed Jamarr Chase and Tee Higgins to massive contracts.  They did seemingly nothing to improve their secondary or defense.  They did seemingly nothing to improve their offensive line.  I believe we are going to see more of the same.  Burrow having to throw a ton and Chase being the main benefactor.  He’s the slam dunk WR1 and a great pick made by Quentin.       

   At the turn Quentin did what I expected him to do.  I had created mock drafts in an excel document and I predicted Quentin to take Bucky Irving and a QB.  I guessed Josh Allen, so I was wrong on the QB, but right on the concept.   

Bucky has become a bit of a cult sensation on Fantasy Football platforms like Sleeper.  He averaged 12.99 points per game in half ppr last year as a rookie.  The impressive thing about him was he did this while only playing 30-57% of snaps in every game except for Weeks 6 and 18.  Both weeks he faced New Orleans and where he played in 64% and 72% of snaps.  Rachaad White is a little banged up.  Sean Tucker is being hyped up.  And also Liam Coen is gone, now head coaching Jacksonville.  Will the new OC, Josh Grizzard, keep the same RBBC approach of Coen?  He was the passing game coordinator under Coen last season in Tampa.  Before that he was a quality control and WR coach in Miami, more recently under Mike McDaniels.  He helped the Dolphins in the 2023 season when Miami achieved the NFL’s top offense in yards per game.  Losing Coen could hurt, but seems Grizzard is an up and coming who has a chance to be the next young coach in the McVay, McDaniels, Coen molds in the future.  Also, I have to mention he selected Bucky over Chase Brown and Jonathan Taylor.  Quentin had JT last year too when he won it all.   

  In the 3rd Quentin took Lamar Jackson, recreating his 2024 QB who helped him win a title.  Last season Jackson added Derrick Henry and the Ravens rolled on offense.  Jackson had his best fantasy season ever.  Throwing for a career best 41 touchdowns with only 4 interceptions.  Josh Allen won the MVP award, but Lamar Jackson was the MVP.  The team is relatively unchanged.  The division is relatively unchanged.  By taking Jackson you can go ahead and give Quentin two wins automatically this season.  One in Week 13 and the other in Week 15.  Where they square off against the Bengals.  Last season Chase averaged 43.1 and Jackson averaged 33.1.  76.2 points on average from two players in those matchups.  Giddy up.   

  At the 4/5 turn Quentin missed out on  a lot of great talent in Round 4 and at the end of Round 3, but that’s the disadvantage of drafting at 1.  He secured one boring, but solid pick in James Conner as his RB2.  A bit of a reach, according to the rankings, he selected George Pickens to start the 5th.  Conner rushed for a thousand yards and finished as RB#11 in half ppr.  All signs point to him repeating as the lead back with a mix of Trey Benson behind him.  This is one of those solid picks that seems boring, but helps a roster.   

  Most rankers had Pickens behind the likes of Davante Adams, Marvin Harrison, Terry McLaurin, Courtland Sutton, etc.  Quentin knew he probably wouldn’t come back to him, so he took his guy.  Pickens has always been talented albeit a bit of a headcase.  Last season he was the Alpha WR1 on the Arthur Smith-led Steelers, but couldn’t breakout while catching balls from Justin Fields and Russell Wilson.  A change of scenery to Dallas should help.  With a Cowboys team projected to throw a ton in Brian Schottenheimer’s first season as the head coach.  I’m bullish on Pickens, but I don’t think I could’ve taken him over the list of wideouts above.   

  In Rounds 6 and 7 Quentin selects Aaron Jones and Travis Kelce.  The Vikings will be starting JJ McCarthy at QB, a sophomore with the experience of a rookie given he missed all of 2024 after tearing his meniscus.  How do you help a rookie Quarterback?  By running the football.  Insert Jones and offseason addition Jordan Mason.  Jones should handle 3rd downs and two minute offense.  Mason should handle bruiser duties and goal line back duties.  In games that the Vikings are winning I expect more Mason.  In games they have to score a lot I see more Jones.  According to Warren Sharp Vikings have one of the hardest schedules when looking at Vegas projected win totals.  Which makes sense when you look at the division featuring the Lions, Packers, and Bears.  The Bears brought in Ben Johnson and overhauled their offensive line.  I like Jones as a RB3.  It should provide flexibility in the event Conner gets hurt or starts to lose volume to Trey Benson.   

   When it comes to Kelce, he had his worst season in 9 years.  Catching only 823 yards and 3 touchdowns, a career low (ignoring his nonexistent rookie season).  He still finished as TE#6.  This is a bet on a rebound as father time is looking to end this hall of fame career in the near future.  If this is his last ride, fans would love to see him recreate some of the numbers he’s put up in the past.  One of the reasons Quentin won last year was the deadly combo of Kittle and Bowers.  Kelce is a downgrade from those two obviously.    

   In Round 8 and 9 Quentin started a bit of a fall in terms of draft grade.  Taking Khalil Shakir and Najee Harris.  Two players who are currently injured.  Shakir is the most consistent WR on the Bills.  He has potential, but it seems it’ll be a very slow start to the season for him why he works his way back from a high ankle sprain.  Those injuries tend to linger, so look for the Bills to take the cautious approach to start the year.  Najee was the free agent RB to have.  When the Chargers signed him to a one year deal.  I said here we go baby.  1000 yard season streak is secured.  Then the draft happened and the Chargers selected Omarion Hampton of North Carolina in the first round.  Najee’s fantasy value plummeted but wasn’t looking too bad.  More of a 1A/1B sort of thing where he would be a decent fantasy asset at the beginning of the season at least.  Then on the 4th of July he had a fireworks incident that injured his eye.  He’s been unable to practice ever since.  That is over a month ago, so to cause a running back who uses their legs for a living to not be able to practice at all tells me it was more serious than we thought.  He falls further.  Then, the Chargers starting Left Tackle Rashawn Slater tears his patellar tendon and is lost for the season.  They’ll move Joe Alt to Left Tackle and try to make RT work, but this lessened it a little bit more.  We’ll see if Najee can overcome all these negatives to have a positive season.  But more frustrating than all of what I just wrote about is when Greg Roman and Harbaugh roll out Hassan Haskins at the goal line just for shits and giggles.  

   Later rounds I liked Isaac G and Jaydon Blue.  They are both injured right now, but young, talented RBs.  Isaac G being a handcuff and Blue being a potential late season starter, with only one knee Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders to overcome.  Shadeur Sanders is a 4th string QB and shouldn’t be owned in a 10 man fantasy league, but I get people are trying to make him a thing and it made for a funny pick.  If he winds up being relevant this season then we’ll know one of two things are true. Either the NFL is rigged or we are living in a Computer Simulation.     

 

Draft Grade: B-.  He will be competitive and I hope I don’t face him in Weeks 13 or 15.   

 

2. Andy. 

Andy Bo Bandy.  Gibbs was RB#2 last season despite having 95 less rush attempts than #1 Saquon and 75 less rush attempts than #3 Derrick Henry.  How?  Gibbs caught 52 passes for 517 yards and scored 20 TDs last season.  He averaged 19.8 half ppr points per game which is about the same as Jamarr Chase.  The Lions have one of the best offensive lines in football.  They play in a tough division.  I mean it when I say it.  Gibbs is the best running back in the NFL.  He is entering Year 3.  Sure he’ll have Montgomery back from injury.  Ben Johnson is gone.  There are arguments against him repeating his 2024 success.  It’s hard to score 20 touchdowns.  But Gibbs is the truth and a slam dunk pick at #2.   

   In Round 2 Andy went AJ Brown.  I love AJB.  He even has the same initials as Andy!  He is one of the best WRs in the NFL.  Every WR metric you can track he is one of the guys on the top of the list.  The only reason he isn’t higher is because of the Eagles are such a good team and don’t have to pass much.  You don’t have to throw a lot if you’re winning late in games.  But he is one of those players where you feel better knowing he is in your starting lineup.  You never have to question, should I start him?  The answer is always yes.  Start and forget.  And let’s be real.  There will probably be some positive regression coming his way after missing 4 games and finishing as half ppr WR#18 in 2024.   

  In Round 3 Andy takes Josh Jacobs.  Over JT and Chase Brown.  For me, Chase Brown was the pick.  An argument can be made for Jonathan Taylor as well.  But Jacobs in half ppr makes a lot of sense as well.  Once the weather gets cold in Green Bay they pound the rock.  And Jacobs smashed last season after the bye week.  Rushing for an incredible 12 touchdowns in the final 8 games of the season.  Weather gets cold, Andy’s team will get bold.  Jacobs was RB #5 last season and I have no argument as to why he can’t replicate that.  Prefer Brown, but okay with Andy taking Jacobs.   

   In Round 4 Andy took Mike Evans.  Criminally underrated for 11 seasons.    

Mike Evans Half PPR Finishes In His Career: 

2014- WR12 

2015- WR23 

2016- WR1 

2017- WR19 

2018- WR9 

2019- WR12 

2020- WR10 

2021- WR8 

2022- WR16 

2023- WR5 

2024-WR9 

Average: WR11.  Godwin is banged up to start the year.  One of the reasons Mike Evans is able to dominate defenders is because his arms are as long as Mr. Fantastic’s.  AT 35 1/8″ it is 98th percentile.  The NFL average for a wide receiver is 31-32 inches.  A lot of people talk about how big Wide Receiver hands are.  Seldom do they talk about the arms.  This allows Evans to high point the ball better than your average player.  He is 31, this might be the season he falls off a cliff.  But I don’t think so.  I think he gets another 1000 yard season to add to his Hall of Fame career.   

   In the 5th Andy goes Jameson Williams.  Williams broke out last year and showed his potential getting over 1000 receiving yards and finishing as the WR#19.  If AJ Brown and Mike Evans are Andy’s “Steady Eddies”, then Jamo is his dynamite.  Can go for 70 yard touchdowns any given moment.  This trio of WRs paired with Andy’s duo at RB gives him a solid core.   

   In Round 6 he got the steal of the round.  I was looking at Ridley, but couldn’t pass on Joe Burrow in the 6th.  Calvin Ridley was WR27 last year with horrific and I mean horrific QB play.  Insert the #1 pick Cam Ward, a gunslinger and a terrible group of Wideouts and you have the making of a WR who is going to get a ton of volume.  The WR room consist of Tyler Lockett, a few rookies, and Van Jefferson.  Ridley is gonna smash this season.   

   In Round 7 Andy went DK Metcalf.  I didn’t care for this pick.  I felt Andy should’ve gone TE, QB, or backup RB.  Getting a 5th WR in half ppr when you already landed 4 studs seemed like a bad idea in my book.  I dropped Andy’s grade when he did it.  And I like Metcalf.  But I don’t care for Rodgers, nor Arthur Smith’s play calling.  This seems like a team that’s going to run two tight ends with Jonnu Smith, Pat Freirmuth, and Darnell Washington seeing a ton of snaps.  Running the ball a ton with Kaleb Johnson and Jaylen Warren.  And sure DK will be the deep threat/alpha X Wide Receiver just like he was in Seattle, but I predict the volume will be much less.  I’m not high on Metcalf this season, but where his value lies will be in touchdowns.  I don’t think you’ll get the steady 7-8 catches, but he’ll win some jump balls in the red zone from Rodgers.  Adams caught 8 and Wilson caught 7 from Rodgers last season.   

   In Round 8 Andy takes Brian Robinson.  Another underrated player.  Robinson is another one of those boring picks like James Conner.  He’s a solid 8-10 points.  If something happens to Gibbs or Jacobs, Andy will be able to survive in the short term by plugging in the RB#1 on the Commanders.   

   In Round 9 Andy took Tyler Warren.  I loved this pick and hated this pick.  Loved it because I’m very high on Warren.  Hated it because Andy prevented me from getting him.  Just watch the play against Maryland at the 7:34 mark:  

Early in the 2nd Quarter Against Maryland.  The QB takes the snap.  Warren stays with his block, giving the Qb a chance to step up.  He runs behind QB.  QB tosses it back to Warren.   Snapped at the 48 yard line, by the time the QB pitches it back to Warren he catches it at the 40.  Then he stiff arms one defender at the 45, hurdles a defender at the 47. Breaks another tackle at the opposite 40.  Sprints down the sideline and gets tackled at the 21 yard line for an official 31 yard rush, that he ran for 39 yards.   Breaking 3 tackles after blocking the DE enough to give QB a chance to escape.  You drafted a Kittle.  A Manimal.  The Colts offense will funnel through him and JT this season.  Last thing.  TE 1 in 2023?  Rookie Sam LaPorta.  TE1 in 2024?  Rookie Brock Bowers.  Does the trend continue in 2025?   

   In Round 10 Andy takes Jordan Addison.  Love this value.  Andy will have trade ammunition to better his RB situation in the event of someone getting hurt.  In the offseason I did a big analysis on WR2s. And how they performed when the WR1 was out.  Addison had games of 21.4, 26.2, and 35.3 last season.  Another boom or bust Andy can throw in due to injuries or bye weeks.  Andy might be the deepest WR team and it’s not particularly close.   

   In later rounds Andy took Cam Ward, Anthony Richardson, and Rashid Shaheed.  Great value in the Shaheed pick.  He has looked better than Olave at times when healthy.  Ward is a gunslinger, but I imagine there will be the normal rookie growing pains.  Richardson should start for the Colts, but we’ll see if they do it.  Richardson is 3 days older than Cam Ward.  You read that correctly.  Richardson and Cam Ward are the same age as Richardson enters his third NFL season.  It’s not a bad strategy. And Andy can easily pick up a QB via waiver wire if they don’t work out.  Loveland might hit, but a lot of mouths to feed in Chicago.  Ford might be okay in Cleveland depending on Judkins/Sampson/QB play etc.   

 

Draft Grade: B.  Andy’s strength is core of Gibbs-Jacobs-AJB-Evans-Ridley and depth at WR.  I think Warren will be just fine at TE.  Andy will have to figure out WR and hope his two RB studs don’t go down because the RB depth is thin/non existent.   

 

3. Michael

Michael had the nice 3 spot in the draft, ensuring he got one out of Chase, Gibbs or Bijan.  Andy went Gibbs and Bijan fell into Michael’s lap.  Bijan was RB#4 last year with immense volume for the Falcons.  304 rushing attempts, 1456 rushing yards, 14 rushing touchdowns, 72 targets, 61 receptions, 431 receiving yards and 1 receiving touchdown.  All signs to a similar workload as the Falcons haven’t made any changes.  One beat reporter who spoke to Bijan said he’s been working on his big play ability this offseason.  He noticed other players taking it to the house more frequently.  He was more of a death by a thousand cuts type of fantasy player.  If he’s able to add some more explosive plays then the skies the limit for this entering third year stud.  According to Warren Sharp the Falcons have the 4th easiest schedule in the NFL this season.  Easy pick.   

   In Round 2 Mike took Trey McBride.  McBride was TE#3 last season in half ppr.  The Arizona offense funneled through McBride in 2024.  Marvin Harrison might have the NFL player legacy genes but he had a very quiet rookie season (Trust me I know).  McBride did this while only scoring 3 touchdowns.  If he gets the same volume (147 targets, 111 receptions) then you can expect more touchdowns.  Now Marvin Harrison looks jacked so there’s a chance he gets a larger piece of the pie, but they didn’t add any other threat so I see this as a condensed Receiver group and love this pick for Mike in Round 2.   

   Round 3 Mike takes Josh Allen.  The Brad Killer.   

Josh Allen’s QB Finishes in his Career: 

2018- QB21 

2019- QB8 

2020- QB1 

2021- QB1 

2022- QB2 

2023- QB1 

2024- QB2 

Top 2 QB for 6 seasons in a row.  Now interestingly he started out a little boom and bust last year.  31.1, 9.6, 30.8, 7.3.  Then he settled down was putting up 18.2-28.3 in Weeks 6-13.  Then Week 14 happened.  51.8 fantasy points against me.  342 passing yards.  3 passing touchdowns.  82 rushing yards.  3 rushing touchdowns.  The following week he scored 41.2 fantasy points.  Mike starts the draft with three players who could realistically finish as the QB1, RB1, and TE1.  Now I can see an argument being made for my beloved Chase Brown (see Logan’s grade for more information) or Jonathan Taylor before the massive tier break for RBs.  But I can’t blame Mike too much on a Top 2 QB.  Lock him in and forget about it.  Mike didn’t even draft a backup QB.  Didn’t need to.   

   In Round 4 Mike takes his first WR with Tee Higgins.  When healthy Tee Higgins puts up WR1 numbers.  He has one season where he played in 17 games.  He’s played in 16, 14, 17, 12, and 12.  He is known for random soft tissue injuries.  He also was being conservative on the backend of his rookie contract wanting to ensure he gets the big second contract.  Well he got it.  To the tune of 4 years, $115 Million with $30 Million fully guaranteed at signing and a $20 million dollar roster bonus for 2025.  He also has incentives in his contract that include $2 million dollars roster bonus if he is active on game days.  Meaning if he misses a game he’ll lose 1/17 of the $2 million dollars or $117,647 per game.  This gives him incentive to be less conservative on those soft tissue related injuries and play on Sundays.  Now this could be a good thing if he’s active and effective.  Or it could be a bad thing, for if he rushes back too early he risks exacerbating the injury and possibly missing more.  His 15.47 half ppr points per game over the course of a 17 game season would have put him at WR#3.  As I mentioned in my grade about Burrow and Quentin’s grade about Jamarr Chase, the Bengals are going to throw the ball.  A LOT.  At first glance Tee Higgins as your WR1 doesn’t look great.  The further you look and the more you like and are okay with it.   

   In Round 5 Mike took Terry McLaurin.  Scary Terry.  F1.  Whatever you want to call him isn’t happy.  He wants a new contract.  Mike is banking on him and Commanders getting the business part done and McLaurin looking to replicate his best season of his career as LSU sensation Jayden Daniels enters Year 2.  As we get closer to the season and as the business side gets worked out you’ll see Terry McLaurin rising up draft boards and going early to mid 4th round and not into the 5th where Mike snagged him.  Another solid pick.   

   In Round 6 Mike takes D’Andre Swift as his RB2.  Swift is an interesting running back with an interesting history.  He’s in Detroit with Ben Johnson as OC.  He has some injuries and some controversy surrounding his availability.  He gets doctors to sign off on snap counts for games.  The relationship deteriorates and the next thing you know he winds up an Eagle.  One season as an Eagle to replace Miles Sanders and he rushes for 1000 yards but doesn’t wow and finishes as RB23.  Then Eagles sign Saquon and Swift winds up a Bear.  Lions, Eagles, and Bear oh my!  Last year he played in all 17 games (career best) and finished as RB19.  He’s a RB2.  Insert Ben Johnson and more importantly, insert a whole new offensive line and you have a lot of potential.  Swift has not played to his potential in his career.  That’s true.  The Bears also have Roschon Johnson and drafted Kyle Monangai in the 7th round of the draft.  Monangai is more of a between the tackles bruiser type of back.  On August 9th the Bears worked out Jamaal Williams.  Williams rushed for 17 touchdowns his last year in Detroit.  The same year he was paired with… D’Andre Swift.  So here’s what we know.  Swift will play two minute drills.  He’ll be the third down back.  He’ll probably finish as an RB2.  Will he do more than that?  Probably not.  Ben Johnson knows who Swift is and what he is not.  He’ll try to maximize what he is.   

   Mike takes Xavier Worthy in Round 7.  Not a bad WR3.  Cheifs WRs are a bit of a mess right now.  You have 35 year old Travis Kelce.  Rashee Rice who might be suspended and who is coming off of injury.  Hollywood Brown who is oft-injured and currently working through an ankle injury.  JuJu Smith-Schuster.  Rookie Jalen Royals.  And Tyquan Thornton, a young WR from the Patriots who couldn’t break out in New England.  At the very least Worthy is a big play potential.  He had a couple of boom weeks including towards the end of the season.  Even in the Super Bowl he caught those two long touchdowns albeit when the game was over and Mahomes was just chucking it.  But for a flex play or depth piece in case someone goes down?  Why not? 

   In Round 8 Mike took Chris Olave.  Praying he stays healthy and avoids concussions this season.  His QB play might be rough again, but the Saints could be very bad again and they’ll have to throw the ball a lot late, which could help.  Olave is a great wide receiver when he’s healthy and should be drafted closer to JSN than he is.  All Saints are discounted due to the cloud hanging over this season.  AKA It aint looking good.   

   Mike then loaded up on RB fliers for depth.  Javonte Williams, Travis Etienne, JK Dobbins, Tyjae Spears, Bhayshul Tuten.  Honestly it’s not a bad strategy.  Williams, Etienne, and Dobbins are in muddy situations where they very well could be the Week 1 starters for their teams.  Or they could be part of some nasty committees.  But those committees can become valuable if one is outplaying their teammates or if one of those teammates gets injured, etc.   

 

Draft Grade: B+.  Mike didn’t take a backup QB or TE, so he’s an Allen or McBride injury away from being very mediocre, but which team wouldn’t be if they lose their 2nd or 3rd round pick?  He’ll have to figure out his RB2 if Swift underperforms and bye week streamers, but overall pretty solid job drafting.     

 

4. Stephen

I was actually shocked by Stephen taking Barkley.  Madden Curse.  #1 RB last season.  This offseason they lost some key pieces on defense (although they added Jihad Campbell in the draft for God’s sake) and they have a tougher schedule this year (29th according to Warren Sharp)With that being said their Vegas projected win/loss line is at 11.5.  They are the favorite to repeat as winners in the NFC East.  And with their core in tact are looking like strong contenders again this season.  Barkley ran behind the best offensive line in football.  With a solid QB and awesome wideouts where the defense couldn’t commit to just stopping the run.  By the end of games Barkley was exploding for long touchdowns having asserted his will against them.  His season was healthy and honestly, a little God-like.  No better example of his reverse hurdle that is now in Madden.  That’s one of those plays that no matter how many times you watch it you still can’t believe it.  It defied physics and probability at least.  I thought Stephen was going to go Lamb here.  Dallas looks like they are going to throw a ton and a lot of pundits have Lamb ranked right behind Chase.  In half ppr I get the allure of going RB to play it safe. 

   In Round 2 Stephen had Jeanty unexpectedly fall to his lap.  Here is where the Lamb pick in the 1st would’ve paid off.  But still.  Barkley/Jeanty ensures Stephen has a high volume rushing attack.  Ashton Jeanty looked like a cheat code in college.  Big plays, unable to be tackled.  And he landed in a great spot with the Raiders where his volume is assured.  Now the Raiders play in a division with the Chiefs and Broncos whose defenses scare me.  But he’ll get the goal line work, the two minute drills, the 3rd downs.  He’ll play a ton and he has that breakaway ability.  Geno Smith is an upgrade at QB for the Raiders and teams can’t overcommit to stopping Jeanty otherwise they’ll let Brock Bowers eat them alive.  Now the concern here is the offensive line.  Brandon Thorn has them ranked 26th in the NFL and well below average.  Their over/under on wins is set at 6.5, so can’t expect Jeanty to get a bunch of rushes late in games.  It’s a volume and talent bet.  I still liked Chase Brown and Jonathan Taylor more than Jeanty, contrarian to most fantasy “professionals”.  But even still I’m not going to lie, I thought about Jeanty in the 2nd.  But couldn’t do it.   

   In Round 3 Stephen chooses Ladd McConkey as his WR1.  Ouch.  As I mentioned in Quentin’s grade on Najee Harris, losing Rashawn Slater is a bigger deal than people are letting on.  They’ll shuffle their offensive line around and move Joe Alt to Left Tackle, but Brandon Thorn moved them from fringe Top 10 offensive line to #25 offensive line.  It was that big of a loss.  I downgraded all Chargers players as a result of this loss.  Adding to the offensive line woes for McConkey is the additions of Keenan Allen, KeAndre Lambert-Smith, and Tre Harris.  They also added Tyler Conklin and Orande Gadsen at TE.  Last year they had Ladd and QJ and that was about it.  They’ll have more options now.  Don’t get me wrong.  Ladd is still their #1 target.  I don’t like his chances to replicate his 2024 finish of WR#12.  I go back to Round 1.  Had you taken Lamb, you could’ve gone JT or Chase Brown here.  Having a JT/Jeanty/Lamb trio or a Jeanty/Brown/Lamb trio,  I like a lot better than the Barkley/Jeanty/McConkey.  Hindsight is 20/20 but in my mocks I had you passing on Barkley.   

   Round 4 you got Alvin Kamara.  Similar to Mike Evans he’s been criminally underrated the past few seasons.   

Alvin Kamara Finishes In His Career: 

2017- RB3 

2018- RB4 

2019- RB13 

2020- RB1 

2021- RB8 

2022- RB18 

2023- RB14 

2024- RB11 

Those numbers also don’t reflect the fact that AK has missed 1-3 games every season of his career except for his rookie campaign.  His 16.52 half ppr points per game last season would’ve been good for RB5 pace.  Saints might be bad again this year.  Qb situation is looking ugly.  But drafted an offensive lineman in the first again.  Maybe Kamara can keep the magic going for another season.   

   Round 5 Stephen got good value in Davante Adams.  More like Davante Auras.  (He dressed slick at the celebrity golf tournament I attended last month at Lake Tahoe)  Adams left Green Bay and had a couple frustrating seasons with the Raiders.  Then was traded to the Jets and had one frustrating season with the Jets.  But even though it was frustrating he still finished as WR3, WR11 and WR14 in those three seasons.  And last year he was WR14 despite missing 3 weeks.  Now he replaces Cooper Kupp in Sean McVay’s offense in Los Angeles.  Honestly I think Adams might finish higher than Ladd McConkey this season and will be Stephen’s best wideout.  That is assuming Matthew Stafford’s back injury is nothing serious and just more maintenance and caution for a 37 year old Quarterback.  He looked fine when he golfed with Bryson Dechambeau in the offseason on Bryson’s Youtube show “Break 50”.  Stafford is a much better Quarterback than Golfer.  But I love how they say things like “have to be cautious with such an old Quarterback” and he’s literally the same age as me.   

   Stephen selected Chuba Hubbard in Round 6, providing nice depth at RB.  Chuba was awesome last season.  Now they added Rico Dowdle and drafted Trevor Etienne this offseason, but that isn’t necessarily a bad thing.  Chuba was run down by the end of last season.  But they paid the man starter money and he’s the #1 on the offense.  I think it was a great value pick while at the same time expensive because you had to pass on Calvin Ridley to get him.  I’m high on Ridley this year.   

   In Round 7 you took Tetairoa McMillan.  10 inch hands baby.  Bryce Young will sling it to the former volleyball player.  Now I will tell you.  I drafted Travis Hunter over him in dynasty.  Why?  When watching McMillan I saw too much Courtland Sutton.  Too much Drake London.  You might be thinking, what the hell is wrong with those guys?!?!  Nothing, but Sutton’s best finish in his career in terms of fantasy was last season where he finished as half ppr WR 13.  Last season was his 7th NFL season.  London finished as WR 5.  That was in season 3.  First season was WR36 and second season was WR39.  Maybe McMillan can smash as a rookie.  But last year the Panthers spread the ball around.  Adam Thielen, Xavier Legette, Hunter Renfrow, Jimmy Horn, and Jalen Coker represent his target competition.  He has a lot of potential.  But will he smash in Year 1?  I’m not convinced.  It might take him a minute.  [By the way the final nail in the coffin for me in deciding between T-Mac and Travis Hunter was yards of separation. TMac= 2.8 Yards (20th percentile).  Hunter= 5.9 Yards (91% percentile).  5.9 yards of separation!] 

   Round 8 Stephen took Patrick Mahomes.  The truth about Patrick Mahomes.  In the past two seasons he’s been a great NFL quarterback.  But he has not been a great FANTASY quarterback.  2024- QB11, 2023- QB8.  Now that doesn’t sound too bad, right?  Well it’s bad if you look at his ADP.  Now this year Stephen got him in Round 8.  That is better.  That makes it more palatable.  Especially if he can overperform his ADP and have one of those Top 5 finishes like he had in 2018 (1), 2020(4), 2021(4), and 2022(1).  He just hasn’t been crisp the past couple of seasons and hasn’t needed to throw because Steve Spagnuolo’s defense has been so dominate on the other side of the ball.  Decent value in the 8th. 

   In Round 9 Stephen took Travis Hunter.  I think he outperforms McMillan.  I did a large analysis on WR duos this offseason.  I think Hunter is going to be just fine.  If he plays 75-80% of snaps it’ll be like having 75% JJ.  This guy is a unicorn.  He won the Heisman, The Biletnikoff and the Bednarik for God’s sake.  And people are like “Oh he’s going to get hurt”.  Steal in Round 9.   

   Round 10 Stephen gets his tight end in Evan Engram.  He also added DAvid Njoku in Round 12.  Solid tight duos and great value.  With Engram I worry about consistency.  Broncos defense is scary.  They are going to run.  They have Courtland Sutton as the #1.  Engram will have some boom weeks where he is a major contributor in the game plan.  But I don’t anticipate him being consistent.  Boom/Bust.  Just have to get the Booms right.  Njoku should be fine despite the QB drama.   

   Like the Golden and Higgins picks and flier on Nick Chubb with Joe Mixon’s injury. 

 

Draft Grade: C+.  I would have gone differently in Rounds 1, 2, and 3.  Felt like he got good value in the middle rounds.  Going to be one of those teams were you have to get the start/sit decision correct and those can be frustrating.  While doing mock drafts my favorite position to draft from was 4th.  I could get everybody I wanted there.  Felt like Stephen didn’t execute as well as he could have.    

 

5. Caleb

Caleb goes with CeeDee Lamb.  CeeDee was the WR#1 in 2023, the last season he had a healthy Dak Prescott for the full season.  This team projects to have a bad defense and a bad run game.  That means pass-happy and that means I’m bullish on Lamb this season.  WR#1 is within the range of outcomes, despite Chase seeming like he can’t be touched.  Last year Lamb wasn’t pretty.  He was working through a shoulder injury for most of the year.  Catching passes from Cooper Rush for most of the year.  Despite all of that and missing the last two games of the season he finished as half ppr WR#8.  Can’t thing of worse scenarios than last season and yet he still finished Top 10.  Stud.  Great pick.   

   In Round 2 Caleb followed Brad and Josh’s lead as the only three teams to start the draft WR-WR.  Caleb selected Drake London who had a third year breakout last season and finished as WR#5.  In the last three weeks of last season he had 39 targets.  I think the WR specific schedule is harder this season, so he might not be able to replicate his Top 5 finish, but Top 10 is definitely reasonable.  I liked McBride, AJ Brown, and Chase Brown more than London, but Top 5/10 WR is a great asset.   

   In Round 3 Caleb got his RB1 in Jonathan Taylor.  Last season I gave a lot of people crap for not drafting Jonathan Taylor.  Quentin drafted Jonathan Taylor.  Quentin won the Super Bowl in big part due to drafting Jonathan Taylor.  JT scored 39.8 and 27.6 in the fantasy playoffs last season.  So naturally he falls to the middle of the third round this season… Caleb got a stud.  His 16.84 half ppr points per game would have put him as the RB5.  But he missed a few weeks and finished as the RB9.  But he played when it mattered most for Quentin.  The Colts offense will run through JT and Tyler Warren.  Love the pick even if I had Brown an edge higher.   

   Round 4 came and Caleb was staring at a large list of veterans.  He had his choice of Mike Evans, Tee Higgins, Terry McLaurin, Davante Adams or he could’ve gone Alvin Kamara to secure his RB2.  He instead chose to go with Tyreek Hill.  Tyreek devastated Josh’s team last season.  Tua got hurt, Tyreek hurt his wrist, and the Dolphins offense was a disaster.  (with the exception of the God-King Tight End Jonnu Smith)  Hill had his worst statistical season in his career other than his injury riddled 2019 season.  He finished as WR#21 but failed to break 1000 yards receiving.  He’s 31.  He has seven confirmed children with rumors of three more.  He could have a major bounce back season this year.  But the Dolphins offensive line got worse.  If Tua is healthy then he has a chance.  Especially with the Jonnu Smith vacated targets.  Evan Silva thinks this might be the year Jaylen Waddle overtakes Tyreek as the WR1 in Miami.  But Silva has historically been bullish/higher on Waddle than consensus.  I would have gone Evans or Higgins here but we’ll see if we can get a glimpse of the Tyreek of yesteryear  again. 

   In Round 5 Caleb took David Montgomery as his RB2.  Montgomery was his normal touchdown scoring self until an injury prematurely ended his 2024 regular season campaign.  He should be healthy coming into 2025 and looks to pick up where he left off.  He scored 12 touchdowns last year and averaged 14.55 points per game.  Gibbs is more explosive, but Monty is the grinder and will be used to keep Gibbs fresh.  Sonic and Knuckles!   

   In Round 6 Caleb got great value in Garrett Wilson.  Wilson had his third year breakout and it’s like nobody even cares.  He was WR11 last year after terrible finishes of WR19 and WR32 (when compared to his ADP).  Talent has never been the problem with Wilson.  It’s been the Quarterback play.  Insert Justin Fields who has been a better runner than passer in the NFL so far.  But Fields was Wilson’s QB at Ohio State, so the transition from Rodgers to Fields should be smooth.  Fields ability to move around the pocket more than the 40 year old coming-off-of-achilles-injury Rodgers will help Wilson on broken plays get open and score more.  If Tyreek has another bad season Caleb will still have a decent trio in Lamb-London-Wilson at WR. 

   Round 7 Caleb takes Isaih Pacheco.  Pacheco should be the RB1 for the Chiefs this season, but Kareem Hunt pooped in his cheerios last season.  I see them continuing to use a committee approach with Pacheco, Hunt, Elijah Mitchell, Carson Steele, and rookie Brashard Smith.  One or two of these guys might have to practice squad it for awhile.  The clearest path for Pacheco is for Hunt to be injured or cut, but all signs look at another committee approach.  Not a bad flier and RB depth piece, but I liked Tony Pollard better here.  Felt like that was a miss.   

   Caleb goes TJ Hockenson in Round 8 to secure his TE1.  Rookies love checking down to Tight Ends.  JJ McCarthy will play like a rookie at times with his first healthy season as a starter.  Also, Jordan Addison is suspended the first 3 weeks of the season.  Hock could get peppered early and help Caleb get off to a fast start.  Last season was all about getting back to healthy status for Hockenson but he showed flashes of his former self.  We’ll see if he can regain the magic and have a Top 5 finish like he did in 2022 and 2023.   

   Round 9 Caleb goes with Tank Bigsby.  Worth a shot.  I think he’s the best pure runner on the Jags.  He didn’t catch a lot of passes.  I think Coen is going to go with the hot hand approach and it certainly can be Tank.  Etienne is probably the smartest RB.  Tuten is most explosive but had fumble issues and pass protection issues in college.  Early in the season I think they are going to feel it out and who knows.  They might all have a role in the offense similar to the Bucs did last year with Irving and White both being fantasy relevant and Sean Tucker coming in every now and then with decent production.   

   Later rounds Caleb got good value in Justin Fields, Jaylen Warren and Trevor Lawrence.  He even got Kyle Pitts for free.   

 

Draft Grade: B+.  Didn’t care for Tyreek and Pacheco picks but the team is solid.  Love the Fields pick as QB1 and the stack with Wilson.  RB depth is good enough.  Solid draft for Caleb. 

 

6. Logan

Logan got burned in 2024.  He kept drafting WRs.  He went CeeDee Lamb, AJ Brown, Davante Adams, Mike Evans, Brandon Auyik to start.  This season he went with an opposite approach.  Christian McCaffrey at 1.06.  Evan Silva and Mike Leone had a big debate about CMC in their Man vs. Machine podcast recently.  Silva had CMC as his 18th ranked player and Leone had CMC as his 7th.  Silva’s argument was he wasn’t taking a 29 year old running back with injury riddled history and career touches north of 4000 (pro and college) over a stud 25 year old Wideout like BTJ or Nabers.  Leone’s perspective was he’s CMC.  We can’t assume injury.  He’s healthy and the offense runs through him.  He has RB1 in his range of outcomes.  Their 7th rated player was them being extremely conservative.  I leaned a little more towards Silva’s side of the debate.  I was going to take Nabers at 7 if Logan took JJ at 6.  CMC is CMC.  Jordan Mason is gone.  Isaac G is hurt.  Niners schedule looks favorable.  There’s no argument against the pick here I just liked the WRs a little bit more.   

  In Round 2 Logan took Derrick Henry.  The last time Henry rushed for around 2000 yards was in 2020.  He rushed for 2027 yards and 17 touchdowns.  The next season he was injured and only played in 8 games.  Last season he was able to rush for 1921 yards but on only 325 carries.  He was half ppr RB3.  This is the same argument as CMC.  Henry is 31 and his usage is astronomical.  But we can’t assume injuries.  So it appears Logan starts the draft out with two Top 5 RBs and two studs to ensure he doesn’t repeat his 2024 draft.   

   Then Round 3 happened.  Last season Chase Brown started out in a time share with Zach Moss, playing 20-40% of snaps as the secondary option during the first five weeks of the season.  The next two weeks Brown averaged 50-62% of snaps.  Zach Moss got hurt and Brown kept performing.  It wasn’t until Week 9 where Brown began getting 80%+ snaps from Weeks 9-17.  In that stretch he averaged 18.25 half PPR points per game.  For perspective, Bijan Robinson, half PPR RB #4, averaged 18.3 half PPR points per game.  Now one might argue that Samaje Perine could take over some 3rd down snaps and 7th round rookie Tahj Brooks could give Brown some much needed rest sprinkled into the game.  But Brown is the man and Top 5 RB is within his range of outcomes.  In fact, in the second round I was debating taking Chase Brown over Brian Thomas, but couldn’t pass on BTJ who I see as a JJ-level talent in a Liam Coen offense where his slot play percentage is likely to increase a bit from his rookie season.   In the first preseason game he lined up in the slot 42% compared to last year where he averaged 28%.  Logan nailed this pick.  This is one of those picks that has the Top 5 in draft order look silly for passing on him twice in Rounds 2 and 3.   

   In the 4th Logan took his first WR in Jaxon Smith-Njigba.  DK Metcalf is gone.  Geno Smith is gone.  Insert Klint Kubiak as OC, Sam Darnold at QB, Cooper Kupp, Marquez Valdez-Scantling, and rookies Tory Horton and Elijah Arroyo.  JSN is talented but I don’t view him as a fantasy WR1.  He should be WR1 for his team, but I worry about this team. Their offensive line is ranked 29th according to Lineman Expert Brandon Thorn.  And that’s with the addition of Greg Zabel, a talented guard they added in the first round of the draft.  But taking a gander at the division foes’ draft and you’ll see teams committed in bettering their defense and defensive line.  We’ve seen the Rams defensive line become a fearful group with Jared Verse and Braden Fiske.  But now the 49ers drafted Edge Mykel Williams, DT Alfred Collins, and LB Nick Martin.  Prioritizing defense in the draft.  And Arizona started their draft with DT Walter Nolen, CB Will Johnson, and Edge Jordan Bunch.  All seemingly trying to recreate what the Rams did.   We’ve seen Kubiak’s potential when the Saints started off 2024 going 2-0 and scoring 91 points against the Panthers and Cowboys.  But we also saw what happened when injuries started to occur to key team members.  JSN is talented. Another caveat worth mentioning is Sam Darnold’s struggles when there is interior pressure.  Also, I don’t view Darnold as an upgrade over Geno Smith.  Smith is underrated and Darnold is a bit overrated.  So there’s a non-zero chance we see Jalen Milroe at some point this season.  An exceptionally talented runner with a mixed bag of inconsistent and seemingly impossible throws.  We’ll see if scheme (Kubiak) and talent (JSN) can overcome weakness (OL, Division).  But there’s a chance Logan replicated some of his 2024 woes by going with three straight RBs to the detriment of his WRs. 

   In Round 5 Logan takes Marvin Harrison Jr.  A more appropriate place to pick him than the first round like I did.  Last year was terrible.  He’s super talented, got the genes.  But man.  The scheme does not bode well for his fantasy prospects.  The offense is a ground and pound with James Conner and the passing game is Marvin running deep to open up the middle for Trey McBride to eat.  I have seen nothing to indicate the scheme or plan is looking differently in 2025.  Harrison did bulk up in the offseason, but it doesn’t matter how big your biceps are if you’re running go routes and your 5 foot 3 inch quarterback with lethargic tendencies can’t see that far down the field.  Mediocre offensive line.  Tough division.  This is one of those I hope so, but not betting on it sort of story lines.   

   In Round 6 Logan takes DJ Moore.  I like DJ Moore in Ben Johnson’s offense.  I think he is most likely to take on the Amon-Ra St. Brown role.  He has been a solid WR2 every season in his career minus his rookie year and has one WR1 finish in 2023.  The concern is target distribution with the Bears bringing in Colston Loveland and Luther Burden to pair with Rome Odunze.  And the bigger concern is Caleb Williams.  Can he make a large leap in terms of production and consistency in Year 2?  Ben Johnson’s style is structure, execution, and discipline.  Caleb Williams style is loose, creative, and reactionary.  Stylistically they are like a peanut butter and sardine sandwich.  Not great.  But if I was them.  I would set it up so that I can get the ball into DJ Moore’s hands as much as possible.  So despite the major concerns, I like DJ Moore and could see him being Logan’s best wideout.   

   In Round 7 Logan changed the trajectory of my entire draft and drastically reduced my percentage chance of winning the title.  This one pick was so consequential to my team’s draft that it reverberated throughout the next four rounds with me unable to recover.  The entire league owes Logan a debt of gratitude.  For there is nothing worse than an overly cocky Brad winning the title.  And he did his job drafting next to him.  The Chase Brown steal was one thing.  Brad expected that.  But this steal was a arrow hitting Achilles level.  Tony Pollard is not an exciting RB.  As a member of the Titans last year he was RB21.  But he was a solid RB21. And that was with abysmal QB play.  Spears is a little banged up to start the year, so Pollard is the #1.  Another year removed from his ankle injury that he suffered in Dallas.  New QB that is a HUGE improvement.  He was just a solid pick for an RB3.  Logan’s RB4.   

   In Round 8 after Brad panicked and took Tyrone Tracy as a result of the Pollard pick, Logan had Devonta Smith fall into his lap.  Smith is a boom/bust WR 2/3.  Except.  If AJ Brown is hurt.  His points per game shoots up from around 12 to 15 per game.  Only Andy and Caleb have a better WR4.   

   In Round 9 Logan takes Jordan Mason, stealing another late round RB I was targeting.  How do you support a rookie Quarterback?  RUNNING THE FOOTBALL.  Mason is going to be the goal line back.  He was incredible last year for the Niners.  He’s going to eat.  He’s a great pick.  With this pick Logan took 3 RBs I was prioritizing.  THREE OF THEM.  This secured Logan’s RB room as the best in the league and it’s not even close.   

   In Round 10 Logan takes Bo Nix.  Nix was QB#7 last year and they added Evan Engram and RJ Harvey in the offseason.  I’m bullish on Bo and the Broncos.  Bull, Bo, Broncos.   

   Later rounds Logan takes Jake Ferguson and Zach Ertz at tight end, his only weakness.   

 

Draft Grade: A+.  Logan has the best RB room in the league.  But I fear he might have overcorrected a little bit.  JSN had Metcalf pulling coverage as an alpha x.  Kupp is not an alpha x.  Harrison needs a Trey McBride injury in order to ascend.  Logan’s pass catchers aren’t great.  But he has five very even ones.  Meaning he’ll be playing the same game he played last season.  Which WRs should I start this week?  We’ll see if the RBs are good enough so that it doesn’t matter.  But looking at past champions, Logan still hasn’t learned the importance of the TE position.  The scarcity is more important than you think.     

 

7. Brad

Last season Brad drafted next to Quentin.  Quentin took Kittle, Bowers, Jackson, JT and won the damn thing.  This season Brad drafted next to Logan.  I’m legitimately changing all of my passwords because I don’t see how all my players can be stolen one pick before me unless someone has access to my ESPN and/or Fantasy Pros accounts to see the mock drafts I was doing.  Don’t get me wrong, I’m happy for Logan and his upcoming wedding.  But also, F#$% you Logan.  This sucked.  My nickname for Logan is the ASSassin.  RB-RB-RB start and then STILL taking my RB targets in Rounds 7 and 9, one pick before me.  I digress.   

   In Round 1 Brad goes with Justin Jefferson.  I was a bit surprised that JJ fell to me.  He is a Top 2 WR in the league.  Addison is suspended the first three weeks of the season.  Three weeks where the Vikings face @ Chicago, Atlanta, and Cincinnati.  2-3 potential shootouts and an uptick of target share?  Yes please.  I’m sure some people have concerns about JJ McCarthy at QB this season.  But I think people forget about 2023.  Cousins gets hurt, JJ is hurt.  But he comes back and puts up the following stat lines: 

10 targets, 7 receptions, 84 yards 

10 targets, 6 receptions, 141 yards, TD 

10 targets, 5 receptions, 59 yards 

14 targets, 12 receptions, 192 yards, TD 

Those games were played with Nick Mullens and Jaren Hall at QB.  So McCarthy needs to be AS good as Nick Mullens or Jaren Hall and JJ will be fine.  

   In the 2nd Round Brad debated Chase Brown.  Thought about Ashton Jeanty’s volume for a minute.  But eventually stuck with the stud Brian Thomas Jr.  I view him as the next JJ.  Liam Coen is going to make him even better with the scheme.  As a rookie he finished as the WR4 and that was with Mac Jones throwing him the football for most of the back half of the year.  Insert Travis Hunter to keep people honest and boom goes the dynamite.  Two LSU studs to start the draft and a dynamic WR1-WR2 combo. 

   In Round 3 Brad was almost able to double dip the chip, but Logan unexpectedly took a 3rd RB.  Brad had to settle for the underrated Kyren Williams.  He was the RB 6 in 2023 and RB7 in 2024.  McVay trusts him.  He’s the goal line back.  He catches passes.  They added some juice in Jarquez Hunter to get a home run element.  But then they locked down Kyren with a big RB contract this summer.  My guess is Kyren finishes as the RB7-ish.  Of course Matthew Stafford’s back injury is concerning.  We’ll see if it’s just maintenance or if we are going to start the year watching Jimmy G throwing murder balls to Davante Adams.  With the defense and offensive structure I see Kyren as a safer bet than some of the Rams pass catchers.   

   In Round 4 Brad takes George Kittle, a priority add for me.  I wasn’t able to get the RB1, RB3, or RB4 that I wanted thanks to Logan, but nobody stopped me from getting the best pick in Round 4.  Kittle was TE2 last year in half ppr (better than McBride).  Auyik is injured (found out post-draft it’ll be around Week 6 return).  Jauan Jennings is hurt and seeking a new contract.  Deebo Samuel is in Washington.  Kittle has finished as a Top 5 Fantasy TE four years in a row.  He’s Brock Purdy’s favorite target in the red zone.  In the playoffs last season he went for 8-106 and 8-112 for Quentin.  The offense will run through CMC and Kittle this year.  I have him in the same tier as McBride and Bowers, but I was able to get him in the 4th where as Bowers and McBride went in the 2nd.  In many of my mocks I added Kittle in the 3rd.   

Lucky to get him in the 4th.  Stoked about it.   

   In Round 5 Brad goes Trey’Veon Henderson.  This is the opposite of a conservative RB2.  This is lightning in a bottle, home run hitter.  Rhamondre is going to be the grinder, but two minute drills and 3rd downs Henderson is going to eat.  And any given touch he could take it to the house.  He might eat into Rhamondre’s early down work if the evidence is clear that the offense moves a lot better with him in the game.  I love this pick.  It’s fun and hip.  Patriots are going to play defense and run the ball with Mike Vrabel as head coach.  Offensive line was improved a lot in the offseason with addition of LSU stud Will Campbell.  Giddy up.   

    In Round 6 Brad had Joe Burrow unexpectedly fall to him.  Burrow was the QB3 last year throwing for 4918 yards and 43 touchdowns.  The defense did not improve in the offseason.  The schedule is roughly the same.  The team is roughly the same.  Why is the Top 3 QB who might throw for 5000 yards and 50 touchdowns this season dropping to the 6th round?  With 5 QBs being drafted ahead of him for that matter?  The concern for Burrow is injuries.  The offensive line still sucks.  He’s won comeback player of the year twice.  He’d much rather win the Lombardi.  But the Bengals did not improve the offensive line.  He takes a ton of sacks with his aggressive play style.  Look for more of the same.  When he plays, fire.  If he gets banged up, yikes.  Great value here.  

   In Round 7 Logan ruined Brad’s plans that set off a chain reaction over the course of the next four rounds.  Brad was taking Tony Pollard here.  Once Pollard was gone Brad didn’t like any of the RBs.  At least not over Jaylen Waddle and Devonta Smith.  So Brad goes Waddle in case Evan Silva is right and he overtakes Tyreek and has a bounce back year with the Jonnu Smith departure.  Then in the next round Brad needed to secure a RB3 so he goes with Tyrone Tracy.  Tracy should start the season as the starter and will most likely be in a time share with Cam Scattebo by years end.  Tracy did well as a rookie and looks good in his limited preseason action.  I’m not bullish on the Giants, but Russ Wilson and/or Jackson Dart should be better than Daniel Jones.  Giants defensive line is nasty too.  So possible to have some quick touchdown scoring opportunities if they are able to generate turnovers.  Not a bad RB3, but not as good as Pollard. 

   In Round 8 Brad takes Ricky Pearsall as his WR4.  Target concentration in San Fracisco is looking to be condensed early in the season.  CMC, Kittle, Pearsall are going to be the main beneficiaries with Auyik out and Jennings injury/contract situation.   

   The next three rounds Brad prioritzed RB depth with Rhamondre Stevenson, Braelon Allen, and Ray Davis.  STevenson could be startable if he maintains the first and second down and goal line duties.  Allen is said to be in a time share with Breece Hall.  And Ray Davis had some stand alone value even with James Cook playing last season.  Cook is unhappy with his contract, so we’ll see how that works out leading up to the regular season, but Davis represents a flexcuff.  Someone who could be a beast if Cook is lost due to injury.  (Don’t think he has leverage to hold out, so don’t view that as likely).  But also has some stand alone value if the RB position gets bleak.    

   Brad got decent value in later rounds with Tucker Kraft and Drake Maye.  Kraft was banged up for most of last season but still finished as the TE 9.  Maye has rushing td potential and could sneak into QB1 status looking at the schedule.   

 

Draft Grade: B+.  Brad’s Strengths are QB1, WR1, WR2, TE1, TE2.  His weaknesses are RB1, RB2, RB depth.  Logan did that.  That’s Logan’s fault.  The ASSassin.  This team could make the playoffs but needs to stay healthy and get some favorable scheduling luck.  We’ll see!  

 

8. Josh.

I have figured it out.  I know why Josh drafted the way he did this season.  Pity.  He has pity on me while he deals with a high demanding job and lifestyle.  He jumped on the grenade for a lot of players so that I wouldn’t draft them.  While Logan sniped all my targets one pick ahead of me, Josh let my targets flow down to me.  It was like he gave up hit seat on a lifeboat during the Titanic disaster.  If Logan is the ASSasin then Josh is my Savior.  Healing my team and giving me an outside chance of a title.  Thank you Josh.  Thank you.   

   In Round 1 Josh takes Nico Collins.  This guy is a monster and criminally underrated.  When healthy he’s up there with the Lamb’s and JJ’s and Amon-Ras of the world.  My concern with Nico is the soft tissue injuries, but also the Texans offensive line.  It was bad last season and got worse.  Terrible offensive line.  Stroud will be running for his life.  Also, they drafted Jayden Higgins (Nico Collins clone), Jaylin Noel, and brought in Christian Kirk.  Kirk will most likely take the Tank Dell roll and Higgins will take the Diggs role.  But I don’t know how much time Stroud will have to throw.  They did get a new OC this offseason, so that could help get more time with a little scheme help, but with Joe Mixon hurt I don’t see teams respecting the run very much.  Nick Chubb is a shadow of his former self and Woody Marks is an unproven rookie.  Texans are favored to win the division, but we’ll see.   

   In Round 2 Josh takes Puca Nacua.  Puca is amazing and deplatformed Cooper Kupp last season.  Just emasculated him into dust.  Puca is also banged up a lot because of his aggressive play style.  He’s always willing to put his body on the line to make the play.  In addition to Puca’s injury risk there is the Matthew Stafford back issue.  Everyone is hoping it s a non-issue come Week 1.  Otherwise Rams will have to turn to Jimmy G or Stetson Bennett at QB which would lead me to downgrade all pass catchers.  If Stafford plays AND Puca stays healthy?  Josh will look very smart for this pick. 

   In Round 3 Josh goes Kenneth Walker.  Another oft-injured player.  I’m high on Walker this season.  I like the scheme fit with Klint Kubiak’s system.  The offensive line is terrible.  Sam Darnold makes this team worse.  But I think they are going to pound the rock.  A LOT.  If Kenneth Walker is able to stay healthy for an entire season he’ll be in Top 5 RB discussion.  He’s a home run hitter and a monster when healthy.  But man this guy cannot stay healthy.  He’s dealing with a foot injury right now that is taking it’s time to heal.  We shall see if he can be healthy this season.   

   In Round 4 Josh takes James Cook.  Cook scored 16 rushing touchdowns last season. He did this by playing less than 60% of the offensive snaps in every game except for Week 1.  That week?  61% of snaps.  Buffalo ran a committee, which helped keep Cook healthy and fresh.  He finished as the RB8.  Can you imagine if they uptick that to 70-80%?  Dynamite.  My guess is it’ll be more of the same as last year.  Explosive, but annoying when he comes out for a Ray Davis touchdown.  He’s also disgruntled and demanding a new contract.  We’ll see if they work something out or if the relationship detiorates.  He has to know he didn’t play more than 60% of the teams offensive snaps last year.  He was very efficient when he did play, but tough to argue for more money when the offense didn’t miss a beat without you. 

 

In Round 5 Josh takes Rashee Rice who is looking at a possible suspension in the 6-8 game variety.  When healthy he is a monster, up there with Nico Collins and Pat Mahomes #1 target.  Last year he tore his ACL, but that was early enough where he looks good to go.  So for those keeping score Josh started out his draft Injury Concern, Injury Concern x2, Injury Concern, Holdout, Possible Suspension.  ALL RISK ALL REWARD BABY.   

   In Round 6 Josh made the most head scratching move I’ve ever seen.  Taking Kyler Murray over Joe Burrow.  I think Josh took pity on me.  He saw Logan bullying me and thought, “man Brad loves this game, maybe I should throw him a bone and let Joe Burrow fall to him.  But I need a QB, Kyler is next, I’ll take him.”  Or the more likely scenario.  Josh didn’t see Joe Burrow was still available.  There is no scenario where I see Murray being better than Burrow.  Unless it’s an injury.  Even then Kyler missed a big chunk of 2022 and 2023 because he was injured… I don’t know what else to say but Thank you Josh and then dock his draft grade a full letter grade.   

   In Round 7 Josh got his TE1 with Mark Andrews.  I actually love Andrews this year.  He received a lot of haterade due to the drop in the postseason.  Isaiah Likely is injured to start the year.  Lamar is playing at a God level.  Andrews was TE5 last year scoring 11 touchdowns in the final 12 games of the season.   

   In Round 8 Josh takes Rome Odunze.  Improved coach, improved offensive line, Keenan Allen is gone.  They added Colston Loveland and Luther Burden, but Odunze has a year head start on them when it comes to NFL playing experience.  I like Rome to have a better sophomore campaign, but I don’t like him more than Devonta Smith, who Josh could’ve had.   

   In Round 8 Josh got Kenneth Walkers backup in Zach Charbonnet (great pickup).  And then took Rachaad White (terrible pick).  White is hurt and is proably going to be the RB3 in Tampa.  Stevenson, Javonte Williams and Jaylen Warren would’ve been better picks in my opinion.   

Decent bench pieces late with Goff, Aiyuk and Trey Benson. 

 

Draft Grade: C-.  I would have made different picks in 6/8 of the first 8 rounds.  Nabers over Nico. BTJ over Puca.  Kittle over Walker.  Sutton, DJ Moore or Ridley over Rice.  Burrow over Kyler and Devonta Smith over Odunze.  Josh could’ve had Nabers, BTJ, Kenneth Walker, Kittle, Sutton, Burrow as his core and we are talking about an A grade and a bow from yours truly.  Some positive injury luck and this team can compete, but another year where we are singing, “What might have been…” 

 

9. Ben

   Drafting 9th is like getting the middle tee time of a golf tournament where you don’t get to get an early start on either Round 1 or Round 2, meaning you don’t get any soft greens.  Bad draw.  Ben impressed me in Round 1 after his 15 minute tardiness thanks to his tee time, but he piped one down the middle with his first pick.  Malik Nabers is going to eat.  I see 140+ targets and 1500 yards when I see Nabers.  He was my choice at 7 if JJ and Lamb were both gone.  He is going to be a problem this season.  Great pick and impressive given you were drafting while playing golf.  A game which allows you to shut your brain off and only focus on the game while you play it.  Birdie on the first hole.    

   After Max took Amon-Ra and Bowers Ben selects Achane.  Achane was a surprising pick for me.  Ben must’ve hit it into the water before he made this selection, because his draft grade certainly DROPPED.  Achane was RB6 last season despite the Dolphins being quadruple bogey level bad.  Their offense was so terrible it makes me want to puke just thinking about it.  Tua got hurt.  Their offensive line sucks.  So they just completely ignored Tyreek and Waddle and let them run to open up short game where they just peppered Achane and Jonnu Smith for 4 yard gains repeatedly.  So gross.  The offensive line didn’t improve at all.  Tua is healthy, so that helps, but picking Achane over Henry, BTJ, Jeanty, Chase Brown.  Gross.  Terrible slice into the water. +3 through two.    

   In Round 3 Ben took Jayden.  Fun pick.  Love it.  He is legitimate.  I watched that 2022 LSU team.  I knew he was special.  Hopefully Washington gets the McLaurin contract dispute figured out so Jayden can roll with the same crew as last year plus Deebo Samuel.  If they trade McLaurin that would knock Jayden down a peg or two, but I don’t think that happens.  Enjoy the ride Ben.  Jayden-Nabers, Geaux Tigers.  Birdie. +2 

   In Round 4 you took Breece Hall.  Kittle was the correct choice here.  But Hall should be an okay RB2.  He’s looking at a committee approach.  New coach.  Justin Fields doesn’t check it down, he takes off for runs.  But Hall is in a contract year, so maybe he pops off.  I think he was an avoid for me.  If Kittle was gone I could understand because round 4 looks gross in general, but you had a chance at Kittle who is screaming high target volume for a committee back.  Bogey. +3 

   In Round 5 you took Joe Mixon.  The fantasy community is leaving him for dead.  He has a mysterious foot injury.  He might not be ready for Week 1.  But I imagine at some point he’ll be good to go.  Maybe provide a back half of the season push for you.  Taking him over Sutton, RJ Harvey and others was kind of gross though.  Bogey. +4 

   In Round 6 you took Sam LaPorta.  He is awesome.  Solid Tight End.  Hopefully a change at OC won’t negatively impact him.  I don’t see him getting back to TE1 status like his rookie season, but Top 10 is a safe bet.  Par, +4. 

   In Round 7 you took Zay Flowers.  I like Zay, but not as a WR2.  Maybe a WR3 or 4.  Target share just isn’t good enough.  Lamar can run, Henry, Andrews, Bateman, they added D-Hop.  He’s the chain mover and is a better ppr asset than half ppr asset.  Bogey.  +5 

   In Round 8 you took Quinshon Judkins.  Judkins is the only rookie who hasn’t signed his rookie contract.  Ownership is waiting to see what happens with his trial.  He allegedly struck his girlfriend.  A few days later she reported it.  His lawyer isn’t looking for an expedited trial.  Which doesn’t bode well for him.  I’m pretty sure the second he signs his contract the NFL is going to put him on the Commissioners exemption list and not let him play.  There were several running backs on actual NFL rosters you could’ve chosen or an actual WR2 like Devonta Smith.  This is like that viral video.  You were playing slow on the course, someone hit into you, then a fight ensued.  Another quad-bogey.  +9 through 8.   

   In Round 9 you took Jerry Jeudy.  He exploded last year!  In games where Jamies was slinging it and in games AFTER Cedric Tillman, the true #1 for Cleveland got hurt.  You’ll probably have Joe Flacco throwing the ball, but the fact that Jeudy fell into Round 9 tells you there is consensus that last season’s WR15 finish was a fluke.  Bogey.  +10 

   Round 10 you took Deebo Samuel.  Not a bad flier given the McLaurin contract issue, but I don’t see Deebo being the same Deebo he was in his prime.  More of a boom/bust WR4 for me.  You do get the Jayden-Deebo stack which might be fun some weeks.  Bogey. +11 

Baker in the 11th was great.  Par 

Ekeler in the 12th was meh.  Bogey +12 

Keon Coleman was a birdie pick.  With Khalif Shakur injured he could have a decent start to the season.  +11 

Corum meh, Likely was good.   

 

Draft Grade: D+.  Played this draft like an 15 handicapper.  You broke 100 but only because you didn’t count mulligans and dropped a few balls that were lost out of bounds while your buddies weren’t looking.  This team is God awful Ben.  Jesus, how you do book a tee time during a fantasy draft?  Are you used to an assistant managing your schedule for you?  What would Chris Herron think?  “YOU JACKASS!” – in the Happy Gilmore Jackass guy voice 

 

10. Max

   Max didn’t have the patience for our annual shenanigans this season, but he was a good sport and tried to make the best of drafting 10th.  In my mock research time I thought 8th and 9th picks were the worst and 10th was a little better because you at least got the back to back.  I was right.  Max starts out with Amon-Ra St. Brown.  A boring Top 10 WR.  Goff’s number one and a grinder.  I liked BTJ more, but Detroit is the more likely playoff team and scores in bunches to the benefit of Amon-Ra.  Sometimes its not about the sexy pick though.  Sometimes the grinder is who you want.   

   Then Max took Brock Bowers.  There were 3 tight ends that could separate a team from the rest of the league.  Max got one of them in Bowers.  Geno Smith is an upgrade at QB.  He was unguardable last season.  They add Ashton Jeanty who will automatically demand respect for the running game.  We all knew Bowers would be a stud.  But 112 receptions for 1194 yards and 5 tds?  Nasty work.  Set it and forget it.   

   In Round 3 Max takes Jalen Hurts.  Hurts is coming off his Super Bowl winning season.  He rushed for 14 touchdowns.  And yet, only finished as QB8.  He missed a couple weeks due to injury, but also, Barkley happened.  They didn’t need to throw!  He played super conservatively.  He only threw 361 attempts!  compare that to 538 in 2023 and 460 in 2022.  There has to be some positive regression here right?  I see him as a Top 5 QB, but he’ll need to throw at least a little more.  We’ll see if losing Kellen Moore as OC hurts, but I don’t think it will.  If anything it might help.  Especially if they don’t run as much and try to save Barkley’s legs for later in the season.   

   Having secured his QB1, WR1, and TE1 he needed a Running Back.  He goes with Omarion Hampton.  I love Hampton as a prospect and was excited he went in the first round and two the run-happy Chargers.  In college, Hampton rushed for 1504 yards and 15 touchdowns in 2023 and 1660 yards and 15 touchdowns in 2024.  It was for North Carolina and it was in the ACC, but still.  Incredible consistency.  But like I mentioned in Quentin’s and Stephen’s grades, the Slater injury is tough.  (Charges starting Left Tackle Rashawn Slater tears his patellar tendon and is lost for the season.  They’ll move Joe Alt to Left Tackle and try to make RT work, but this lessened it a little bit more….Brandon Thorn moved them from fringe Top 10 offensive line to #25 offensive line.  It was that big of a loss.  I downgraded all Chargers players as a result of this loss.).  I love Hampton, but I’m not sure if he’ll be good enough as an RB1.   

   In Round 5 and 6 Max did great with Courtland Sutton and RJ Harvey.  A pair of Broncos.  Courtland Sutton had his best season of his career last year with Bo Nix at the helm and Sean Payton as head coach.  I see no reason why Sutton doesn’t repeat as a solid WR2.  RJ Harvey might be a monster as well.  Hand picked by Sean Payton to replace Javonte Williams.  Giddy up.  They brought in JK Dobbins as a veteran, but Harvey will smash this season.   

   In Round 7 Max takes Chris Godwin and follows it up with Kaleb Johnson, keeping up with the rookie running back trend.  I worry about Godwin.  A lot.  I think Devonta Smith was more prudent of a pick and would’ve given you the Hurts-Smith stack.  Godwin’s ankle was completely broken.  Gruesome, terrible injury.  One of those injuries where he might never get back to where he was.  Certainly not in the first half of this season.   Kaleb Johnson is another back where I see him taking back seat to Jaylen Warren for awhile before getting his own chunk of plays earned consistently.  Arthur Smith loves committees, running three tight end sets, and he hates fantasy players.  Except Jonnu Smith, he loves Jonnu Smith.   

   In Rounds 8 and 9 he took two more injured players.  Cam Scattebo and Jennings.  He wanted Ricky Pearsall and I stole him from him, so I won’t knock his grade too bad.  Skattebo should carve out a role for him back half of the season.  Jennings, we’ll see.   

   In later rounds great value in Brock Purdy, Cooper Kupp, and Dalton Kincaid.  Providing good depth pieces.  

 

Draft Grade: B.  First 5-7 weeks Max will be in survival mode.  He needs to get a few lucky breaks when it comes to scheduling.  If he does that, I see him as being able to make a late season run.  The most likely scenario is Max misses the playoffs and plays spoiler to other teams who are trying to make a run.  Maybe he can knock me out with a huge week from Cam Scattebo and RJ Harvey in Week 12.   

 

There you have it folks! Best of luck this season!

 

Draft Grades In Order: 

1. Logan: A+

T2. Michael: B+ 

T2: Brad: B+ 

T2: Caleb: B+ 

T5. Max: B 

T5: Andy: B 

7: Quentin: B- 

8: Stephen: C+ 

9: Josh: C- 

10: Ben: D+ 

 

 

Dynamo Dynasty 2025 Rookie Draft Grades

Another year and another rookie draft is in the books.  Thank you all for making this league so exciting and fun.  I’m grateful to be a part of it.  Now, let’s take a look at how I see each of you did.  I’ll be emptying most of my brain in these grades so you’ll know exactly how I feel about many of these rookies.  I’ve been open and honest about my usage of Establish the Run draft kit and Late Round QB Prospect Guide.  I don’t follow them, but I use them to help me be better informed to make my own decisions.  I take ownership of my decisions and I realize life isn’t that serious, so I try not to stress even if some of those decisions blow up in my face.  (Alexander Mattison in Round 5 of a startup draft, trading up in the 2nd for Blake Corum, etc.).  If you are offended by these words then ignore them.  It doesn’t matter what I think about YOUR team.  It’s YOURS.  I’ll be doing them in original draft order, so if picks look out of place that’s why.  I hope you enjoy. 

 

1.Dan 

   Dan traded his 1.01 pick and Chris Olave to Wesley for Justin Jefferson and Michael Penix.  Dan’s QBs are old so this is a great trade for him.  It also opened him up with the 2.01 pick to not need to take Cam Ward.  The trade wind up being Jeanty/Olave for JJ/Penix AND flexibility at 2.01.   

   With that 2.01 pick Dan selected… CAM SCATTEBO!  I think coaches are going to love this kid.  Grinder.  Doesn’t know when to quit-type of runner.  Carried two teams on his back.  Got better every year.  He was the 2nd running back in the 4th round taken and the 8th running back taken overall.  I like Scattebo.  People will knock his speed and I get that.  He doesn’t have that breakaway speed like some backs do.  But he is quick and fast around the line of scrimmage.  And that can be enough.  Him and Tracy will most likely be a duo together for the next couple years but if you are at the goal line you’re using Scattebo.  He’s got great hands too.  Late Round QB has a 79.8 prospect score on him with comps to Kareem Hunt, Zach Moss, and KeShawn Vaughn.  I will say this though.  I was surprised that Dan passed on Matthew Golden.  Golden was taken in the 1st round of the NFL draft by the Packers, a team that hadn’t drafted a WR in the first round since Javon Walker in 2002.  That’s a long ass time.  Scattebo was the 2nd RB taken in the 4th round.  A 4th round RB vs a 1st round WR.  I couldn’t pull that trigger.  But I get Dan wanting to secure a RB from this awesome draft class.  Plus Packers WRs are a clusterfuck and Dan is very strong at WR post-JJ trade.  Establish the Run has Matthew Golden as their #6 PLAYER in this entire draft class.  Over Egbuka, Over RJ Harvey, Over Kaleb Johnson, Over Judkins, and Over Both TE prospects.  They are extremely bullish on Golden.  I’m not that high on him, but it’s interesting to point out.     

   Dan also had 2.06.  He took Tre Harris.  I like Tre Harris a lot.  LRQB Prospect Score: 80.9 comps to Cedric Tillman, the WR Dan traded away last year in a package deal to Brad for Tee Higgins.  His main competition will be aging Mike Williams and Quentin Johnston entering his 3rd year.  QJ had a MUCH better Year 2 than Year 1.  Can he keep improving?  Can he have a third year breakout?  I like Harris’s chances to overcome Mike Williams.  If not Week 1 then at some point throughout the season.  Ladd McConkey is going to remain the WR1, but Harris should be able to take over WR3 duties and be an added handcuff if Williams and/or QJ goes down to injury.  Love the talent.  Great contested catch player.  Solid pick.   

   At 3.09 he took a flier on Jalen Milroe.  I like the pick.  Milroe was so talented and had flashes of greatness.  If he fixes his consistency and/or gets an opportunity in the event Darnold goes down to injury, look out.  Has that incredible rushing ability like Jalen Hurts.  I was expecting him to go Jarquez Hunter to get a potential Kyren backup but I don’t hate the pick due to the upside of Milroe.  

   Dans late picks included 4.6 Kyle Monangai, 4.8  Isaac TeSlaa. It’s crazy that a 3rd round WR fell to the back side of round 4 in our rookie draft.  TeSlaa has a prospect score of 72.1 which is great value at 4.08.  Amon-Ra is coming off surgery and Jameson Williams is eying a breakout.  He could carve out a role.  Monangai has a chance to compete with Swift for Chicago running shares unless they add a veteran like Nick Chubb or JK Dobbins.  Or trade for a RB as a few rumors have suggested could happen.   

 

Draft Grade:  A.  Acquiring JJ for 1.01 and Olave tips the scales on this one.  I do think 2.01 was not the right choice, but 2.06 made up for it in value.  If you take out the JJ trade and look at only picks it was more of a B- for me.  But JJ is JJ.   

 

2. Wesley 

   Wesley came in hot.  Trading away Kenny Walker and Justin Jefferson.  Acquiring 1.01 when he had 1.02.  With those picks he selects Omarion Hampton and Ashton Jeanty.  According to LateRoundQB Jeanty has a prospect score of 99.7.  The only RB in history to beat that score was CMC.  Hampton was no slouch either.  He came in at a 98.2 prospect score.  His model looks at Breakout score, best-season reception share, weight, speed score, teammate score, age, and draft capital.  He comps Jeanty to Mark Ingram, D’Andre Swift, and Jonathan Taylor.  He comps Hampton to Todd Gurley (my comp for him), Ezekiel Elliot, and Rashaad Penny (what might have been, le sigh).  Now according to Establish the Run there aren’t any running backs that correlate to Jeanty enough to be comped to him.  The closest was Bijan, Kenneth Walker, Javonte Williams, and Todd Gurley.  But let’s be real.  He’s the truth.  Raiders are going to give him so many touches he should be a Top 5 Fantasy RB in Year 1.  I’d be shocked if he wasn’t.  

   With Hampton, Establish the Run saw more correlated comps including Najee Harris and Breece Hall.  He’s probably somewhere in between.  But in the Greg Roman offense he should be a great fantasy asset.  But don’t be surprised if Najee gets a decent chunk of work because he is a professional running back.  Also, you need to mentally prepare yourself now for when Roman throws in Hassan Haskins for no reason whatsoever to dive over the pile from the 1 yard line.  But great pick and I like it even more for his Year 2.  Another thing I like about this pick is the strategy.  By going RB-RB you allowed yourself to take best player available at 2.02.   

   With that 2.02 Wesley went Jayden Higgins.  Stud drafted at the 2.02 in the NFL draft AND the 2.02 in the Dynamo Rookie Draft.  Crazy.  His top comp is Nico Collins.  Many call him a Nico Collins clone.  Well Nico Collins is a great WR, why isn’t Higgins higher on draft boards?  Because he happens to be on the same team as… Nico Collins.  He should start as the WR2 right away due to Diggs being gone and Tank Dell being dead.  Reports are coming out about Stroud struggling through a shoulder issue, but it’s early summer so no need to panic yet on that.   

   Wesley traded back into the 2nd.  Shipping Isaac Guerendo, 3.02, and a 2026 3rd for pick 2.08.  He used that pick to select Mason Taylor, LSU TE on the Jets.  I liked Taylor at LSU.  It just felt good when he caught the ball.  I think the price for him was pretty steep, but I understand you trying to go up and get your guy.  LRQB gave him a prospect score of 72.33, so they weren’t as bullish on him as other rankers.  ETR also didn’t have him high, instead ranking him as the TE6 of this draft class.  So I like the aggressiveness to get your guy, but don’t necessarily agree with your guy being your guy.  Fields likes TE’s, but the team will most likely be heavily run-first.  But hey, anything can happen.  He should be target #2 behind Garret Wilson, and that’s not nothing.  

   Wesley kept wheeling and dealing and wind up with Pat Bryant at 3.06, Konata Mumpfield at 5.02 and Jacory Croskey-Merritt at 5.11.  Bryant is graded out as a 73.2 prospect score with comps to Javon Baker, the hyped up NE WR that didn’t do jack shit last year.  Mumpfield is a throw away pick, but I liked the upside of Croskey-Merritt.  Brian Robinson is entering a contract year and Austin Ekeler is almost aged out.   

 

Draft Grade: B.  Trading away JJ is rough man.  It’s like trading away Randy Moss.  He’s had shitty QBs before and still smashed so I’m not worried about JJ McCarthy.  With that said.  Jeanty is a Top 5 Dynasty RB right from the gate.  He is a Top 5 RB this season if healthy.  Olave is still young and very talented.  #1 WR on a team that could be bad and need to throw a lot.  Kellen Moore offenses typically do well for #1 WRs.  The Kenneth Walker trade hurt me, but that had more to do with next years draft not this draft.  Jeanty-Hampton-Higgins-Taylor is a great haul from this draft class, so I can’t knock you too bad.   

 

3. Andy 

Andy has been talking about Quishon Judkins since last year.  He was his guy.  I don’t think landing spot mattered for Andy.  Judkins received a LTQB Prospect score of 93.4 with comps of Melvin Gordon.  He should plug in immediately into the Browns vacated Nick Chubb role.  A role of first and second down and red zone running back.  They may use Sampson or Ford in 2 minute drills and/or hurry up offenses, but Judkins will get first crack on most drives I’d imagine.  Performances in college that stood out to Andy were against LSU when he was at Ole Miss.  And other performances that highlighted his epic stiff arm ability.  One of his top comped players according to establish the run was Will Shipley believe it or not.  But also Breece Hall and Clyde Edwards-Helaire.  With that being said they also mentioned this stat: 

List of freshmen to run for 1,400 yards and 5.5 YPC in a Power 4 conference since 2000: 

Jonathan Taylor 

Adrian Peterson 

Samaje Perine 

Ryan Williams 

Nick Chubb 

LaMichael James 

Javion Hawkins 

Sean Tucker 

Tyreel Sutton 

JK Dobbins.   

Some huge hits there.  Andy did not have a 2nd round pick due to his trade with Adam last season to acquire Sam Darnold.   

   At 3.03 Andy selected DJ Giddens. JTs new handcuff.  His prospect score isn’t great at a 67.0 but his comps aren’t terrible.  Tevin Coleman, Cam Akers, Marlon Mack.  All these backs seemed to stay in the NFL longer than one would think.  Hell Andy still had Cam Akers rostered. He had a couple random RB2 finishes in random weeks last season.  JT has missed 16 games the last 3 seasons, worth stashing the handcuff in my opinion.  Giddens just needs to get past Khalil Herbert on the depth chart first.   

   At 4.03 Andy selected Tyler Shough.  Incredible value and love the fit for Andy.  Herbert and Darnold are starters but Shough gives Andy some breathing room knowing Darnold has Jalen Milroe breathing down his neck.  JO went Sanders a pick before, a QB that is 4th on the depth chart which allowed Andy to take Shough who might be QB1 to start the season.  Great, great value for my brother and he gets the potential Shough-Kamara stack.   

   Got Will Howard late since Rodgers is probably a one and done and Mason Rudolph isn’t a starter.   

 

Draft Grade: C.  I respect Andy getting his guy.  I had Judkins ranked behind the two wideouts and maybe Treyveon Henderson, but I respect you going to get your guy.  Andy did it with Gibbs in the startup draft.  Last season he took Marvin Harrison Jr. He’s building a very competitive team by getting a little better each year.  His main need heading into the draft was RB behind Kamara and depth at QB.  He solved both issues.  Solid.   

 

4. Ollie. 

I was shocked when Ollie selected Luther Burden.  I could have sworn he was going Tuten with this pick due to him already having Etienne and Tank Bigsby.  This would have locked down the Jacksonville backfield in a Liam Coen offense.  But I also understand that both were pretty much unusable last year.  So one way to break the cycle is to avoid the same situation this year.  Plus let’s be real.  Luther Burden was too good a value not to draft here.  Several pundits had him as their #1 WR in this draft class.  Over Tet and over Hunter.  I am not one of those pundits, but a slip to 2.04 is just silly.  Should take over the slot role for Ben Johnson.  Has a chance to be special and hopefully the drop into the 2nd round of the draft gives him motivation to prove others wrong. LRQB thinks you got a steal as they gave Burden a prospect score of 95.2.  (For perspective Tet was 96.0 and Egbuka was 95.8).  They comped him to DJ Moore, Brandon Aiyuk and Jarvis Landry.  That would be pretty sweet eh?  

   Ollie didn’t pick again until Round 4 where he selected Jalen Royals.  Then he snagged Xavier Restrepo in Round 5.  Royals had a draft prospect score of 56.9 and Restrepo was 17.3 mainly because he wasn’t drafted.  But he has rapport with Cam Ward already and with aging wideouts there he very well could make the team.  Royals top comp was… Rashee Rice.   

 

Draft Grade: A.  For only having three picks I thought Ollie maximized it.  He upgraded his WR room with one stud and two fliers that could work out.  Luther Burden at 2.04 could be an incredible steal.   

 

5. Colton 

   Colton was wheeling and dealing in 2024 and wind up with 3 1sts in 2025 and 2 1sts in 2026.  Rich with picks.  He selected Trevyeon Henderson at 1.05, stud RB out of Ohio State.  At this state of the draft he had the 5th pick, Mike B had the 6th pick, and then Colton had Picks 7 and 8.  So he had a choice to make.  Take Tet McMillian and let Mike Bellocq take Trevyeon Henderson and then have to choose between Harvey/Kaleb Johnson to pair with his TE OR take Trevyeon Henderson and let Mike Bellocq take Tet McMillian and then take Egbuka and a tight end.  He made his choice.  Colt took Henderson, Mike B took Tet.  Henderson received a prospect score of 94.1 with comps to David Wilson, James Cook, and JK Dobbins according to LRQB.  Everything I’ve heard is about how amazing he is in pass protection.  He should take 2 minute drills and hurry up offense right away and take over the backfield entirely by midseason.  There’s a chance Rhamondre takes the goal line work and eats in to some of the Vrabel ground and pound pie, but he’s a great player.  He would have been the top RB taken in 2024 but instead he went back to Ohio State and helped them win a championship.  He’ll be Drake Maye’s protector and dump off valve.  It’s a great pick for Colt.  I think he’s a bit safer than Tet and also secures a Top RB for Colt in this “RB Draft”.   

   With his next selection at 1.07 Colt took RJ Harvey.  An older rookie, but hand picked by Sean Payton.  Javonte is in Dallas.  Jaleel McLaughlin had a lil pop but isn’t going to handle a large workload. Estime is still a project.  LRQB has him with an 84.2 prospect score most likely lessened by his age.  Two of the three comps were unknowns but an intriguing one was Chase Brown.  A Chase Brown in a Sean Payton offense?  That’s sexy.  I had Kaleb ranked higher but I see the potential and respect the choice.   

   Colt then took Tyler Warren at 1.08. LOVE this pick.  I honestly considered him at 4 once I made my decision on Tet.  Hunter was just too tempting to pass up.  NFL.com has him ranked as a higher prospect than Bowers, which is insane.  LRQB has him as a 91.82 prospect score and had Loveland higher more likely due to age.   Establish The Run was also not happy with the landing spot, but they figured if the offense flounders this season a new regime will come in and possibly draft or sign a better QB situation.  Assuming Richardson and/or Daniel Jones doesn’t work out.   

   You should be excited about this selection Colt.  Just watch the play against Maryland at the 7:34 mark: 

Tyler Warren | 2024 Highlights 

Early in the 2nd Quarter Against Maryland.  The QB takes the snap.  Warren stays with his block, giving the Qb a chance to step up.  He runs behind QB.  QB tosses it back to Warren.   Snapped at the 48 yard line, by the time the QB pitches it back to Warren he catches it at the 40.  Then he stiff arms one defender at the 45, hurdles a defender at the 47. Breaks another tackle at the opposite 40.  Sprints down the sideline and gets tackled at the 21 yard line for an official 31 yard rush, that he ran for 39 yards.   Breaking 3 tackles after blocking the DE enough to give QB a chance to escape.  You drafted a Kittle.  A Manimal.  Let’s hope Colts can unleash his potential.  Dudes a BEAST.   

   Colt took Jordan James at 3.02.  CMC was hurt most of last year.  Guerendo was banged up.  Not a bad flier to have 3rd stringer for the Niners offense.  He’s a short back, a little Jaylen Warren to his game.  LRQB had a 61.4 grade on him.  But think Niners offense elevates that a bit.   

   Late rounds Colt took Tai Felton and Brashard Smith.  Smith was a 55.4 and Felton was a 66.4.  Felton will most likely be 4th target on Vikings and Smith will be a change of pace back behind Pacheco and Hunt in KC.   

 

Draft Grade: A.  I liked Tet over Henderson and Kaleb over Harvey, but to each their own.  You got Treyveon Henderson, RJ Harvey, Jordan James, and Brashard Smith.  Four running backs in an incredible RB class.  Epic.  KTC had you move from worst running back group in the league to 7th, up five spots.  Which is great.  You also got an amazing Tight End who I love and will be a matchup nightmare for.  Plug and play starter at TE.  Great job Colt.     

 

6. JO 

Justin Overman inherited a mess.  We should all be very appreciative he was willing to step into a difficult situation and take over a failed roster to try and turn it around.  JO is new to dynasty, but he showed the commitment required by making his picks even while participating in a 610 Stomper Bar Crawl in New Orleans.  Respect brother.  He started off strong with pick 1.11 getting Emeka Egbuka.  In my opinion this was the safest pick in the whole draft.  I LOVE Egbuka as a prospect and I love his fit in Tampa.  With Godwin coming back from a devastating injury that presents a lot of unknowns you get an Ohio State beast cut from the same cloths as Marvin Harrison Jr, Chris Olave, JSN, Garret Wilson, etc.  He is so freaking good too.  His LRQB prospect score was a 95.8!  Which was the 5th highest in the entire draft class.  His top comp was Chris Godwin.  Establish the Run has him as their 8th best rookie in this class with comps to Rashee Rice, Michael Thomas, and Brandon Auyik.  The only knock on him is that he is behind Evans and Godwin.  But they aren’t spring chickens.  And Tampa throws a lot.  Love this pick. 

   In the 2nd round JO was given a gift from the God’s.  Somehow Matthew Golden fell to him at 2.03.  That’s because the two picks before them were a 4th round running back and a 2nd round wide receiver.  Golden was taken by the Packers at pick #22, their first WR taken in the first round since 2002.  That WR room is wide open.  His prospect score was an 88.7 according to LRQB with comps to Ladd McConkey and Curtis Samuel.  Establish the Run LOVES this guy though.  They have him as their 6th highest player in the draft class.  Two first round WRs to upgrade your dynasty roster is a great start.   

   JO Made more good moves with Dylan Sampson with the 3.01 and Jaxson Dart with 3.04.  Sampson was my favorite running back prior to the draft and I was eyeing him for my pick 2.05.  But once he was drafted by the Browns after they had already selected Quinshon Judkins I dropped him down my rankings.  He’s got some Blake Corum and Devonta Freeman to his game.  Prospect score was a 69.9, dropping due to where he was taken in the draft.  Dart was a great pick.  Need a backup to Jayden Daniels.  He should take over at some point over Russ Wilson and Jameis Winston.     

   At 4.01 you took Trevor Etienne who joins a crowded Panthers backfield.  But his prospect score was actually higher than Sampsons at a 78.8!  Showing you got great value here.  He’ll compete with Chuba Hubbard and Rico Dowdle in Year 1.  The Sanders pick at 4.02 was a funny flier pick.  At 4.05 you traded the pick to me and got Jaleel McLaughlin.  JK Dobbins went to Denver for a visit, but he didn’t sign.  If Broncos stick with Harvey, Estime, and McLaughlin he could have some handcuff value and keep his change of pace role going.  He’s had some periods of pop.  Nice flier on Damien Martinez in the 5th round.  He got drafted by the Seahawks where Kenneth Walker is entering a contract year.   

 

Draft Grade: A.  You did great JO!  You did great!  Egbuka-Golden-Sampson-Etienne-Dart are some great building blocks to your new dynasty team!  I didn’t care of the Sanders pick, but loved all the other ones.  And who knows?  Maybe Sanders does work out after all that draft drama.  That would be sweet eh?    

 

7. Mike Dickinson 

   Dickinson pushed his chips all in last season and came up short in the playoffs.  This led to him only having a 2nd and a 3rd.  Then he traded away Stefon Diggs for 2.08.  With 2.07 he snagged Kyle Williams.  Not a bad dart throw.  Someone has to catch passes for New England.  It can’t continue to be Hunter Henry and Austin Hooper for God’s sake.  Williams had a prospect score of 76.6.  He’s been getting hyped up a lot, but I didn’t have him as high.  I remember last season when people were talking up Polk and Javon Baker only to have them both suck and not be able to pass up Demario Douglas.  Plus they are going to run the ball.  A lot.  I liked Bech more personally, but we’ll see what happens.   

   With 2.08 Dickinson got tremendous value, trading it away to Wesley for Isaac Guerendo, 2026 3rd and 3.02.  THEN he traded with me and shipped 3.02 for 3.07 and a 2026 4th.  So for 2.08 he got Guerendo, 3.07, 2026 3rd and 2026 4th.  According to KTC Trade Calculator he got 10,199 points of value while losing 6,406 points.  A 37% value in return.  Brilliant!  Then he used 3.07 to select Ollie Gordon.  Gordon has a prospect score of 63.4 but some nice comps like James Conner and Rhamondre Stevenson.  He is not a burner, but he adds an element the Dolphins don’t have.  A sledge hammer.  While all the fast Achanes, Wrights, Waddles and Tyreeks are running around they finally have someone they can just run up the middle to tire out the defense a little bit.  I like a few guys better here, but since he has Achane I don’t hate the pick for him.   

   Dickinson got Woody Marks at 3.12, which was great value.  Woody is a pass catching specialist who joins a beatable group of Running Backs other than starter Joe Mixon.  Mixon is getting older though, so having his handcuff is a valuable thing.  His prospect score was higher than Gordons with a 73.6. At 5.7 Dickinson chose Riley Leonard which I take as more of a trolling job towards me who has Anthony Richardson and not a legitimate dynasty stash.   

 

Draft Grade: B-.  He did great with trades, but not with picks in my mind.  But he was looking to upgrade his RB depth and I think he succeeded.  Isaac G, Ollie Gordon, and Woody Marks helps a lot.  Kyle Williams could workout but I’m doubtful.  Leonard is a throw away, but acquiring a 3rd and 4th for next year was nice, raising his grade a bit.   

 

8. Brad 

Brad shocked the free world.  He had Ollie’s pick from last years blockbuster where he sent Mahomes, Addison, and a 2nd to Ollie for Dak, JT, and a 1st.  Due to some terrible luck for Ollie (or luck for Brad) Ollie missed the playoffs and secured Brad with a Top 5 pick.  It happens.  With that pick Brad saw 3 straight RBs off the board.  Initially my pick was Tet McMillian.  Establish the Run has Tet as their #2 rookie over Omarion Hampton.  LateRoundQB has Hunter edging him out prospect score wise 97.1 to 96.0.  Both had higher scores than other players on the board and I felt like my roster allowed for me to draft Best Player Available (BPA).  So what made me decide Hunter over Tet?  Lots of things.  Tet McMillian’s comps were Tee Higgins, Courtland Sutton, Drake London, Mike Williams and even Marvin Harrison Jr.  But also DeVante Parker, JJ Arcega-Whiteside, Quentin Johnston, N’Keal Harry.  A few people comped him to Mike Evans, but Mike Evans has 38″ arms whereas the rest of that entire list is more like 31-34 inch arms.  Evans is a unicorn mixed with Mr. Fantastic and McMillian isn’t Evans.  So which one is it?   

   I began analyzing film and it was tough.  He was on a terrible team.  Arizona went 4-8 and his Qb sucked.  He also got double or triple covered a bunch after his blow up Week 1 game against a High School team where he went for 300 yards.  The 8 drops were concerning but debatable, because again some of the throws were very bad.  Establish the Run is convinced he is Drake London and will play the power slot role that elevated London to a Top 5 Fantasy WR in 2024.  I was not convinced.  Panthers have Tet, Jalen Coker, Adam Thielen, Hunter Renfrow, Jimmy Horn Jr. And Xavier Legette.  Theilen, Renfrow, and Horn’s are slot type WRs.  Legette is an outside WR.  Or at least that’s how they were forced to use him last year.  Tet was mainly an outside big bodied X receiver, but did play some slot and did well there in college.  Panthers also spread the ball around.  Now that could have been because they didn’t have a talent of Tet’s caliber on their roster.  Do they use Tet outside to free up Legette inside?  I don’t know. 

   For me he was more Courtland Sutton.  That was my comp.  Sutton has been in the league 7 seasons and has exactly 0 WR1 (Top 12) PPR Seasons.  His best one was last season after I traded him away and he finished as WR#15.  I traded away Tee Higgins and Courtland Sutton last season, am I really going to draft another one?  Well what is the alternative?  I started looking into Travis Hunter.   

   Now the first major concern would be: I already have BTJ, is drafting Travis Hunter retarded?  I did an analysis looking at WR1/WR2s on the same team.  I started looking at the big WR duos in the league: 

AJB/Devonta Smith 

JJ/Jordan Addison 

Chase/Tee Higgins 

Amon-Ra St. Brown/Jameson Williams 

Mike Evans/Chris Godwin 

DK Metcalf/JSN and then JSN/DK Metcalf 

Tyreek Hill/Jaylen Waddle 

Garret Wilson/Davante Adams 

   You get the picture.  My question was: does having two WRs on the same team limit my ceiling, the average, and/or the floor of the WR combo?  And the results were… interesting.  You would think it would impact ceiling the most.  But that isn’t what I found.  For example, would it have been better to have AJB/Devonta Smith stack versus AJB/Addison or AJB/JSN in 2024?    

   Out of the 17 weeks last year AJB and Smith were both healthy in 11 of them.  In those 11 weeks AJB/Smith were the best combination 3 times (outscoring AJB paired with another teams’ WR2).  They were the worst combo 4 times.  AJB/Addison was the best combination 1 time and the worst combination twice.  So is pairing AJB with Smith instead of Addison hurting the combination’s ceiling?  No.  But here is where we get into the subjective. 

Smith is better than Addison.  Okay.  Let’s look at another example.   

JJ/Addison vs. JJ/Smith? 

JJ/Smith averaged 1.332 more points per game than JJ/Addison.  Slightly better to have Smith. 

Out of the 17 weeks last year JJ and Addison were both healthy in 13 of them.  In those 13 weeks JJ/Addison were the best combination 3 times.  JJ/Smith were the best combination 3 times.  JJ/JSN were the best 4 times, but again you can argue JSN became the WR1 on the Seahawks midseason.  JJ/Addison were the worst duo 3 times.  JJ/Smith were the worst duo 4 times.  So the ceilings didn’t really get impacted.  The floor and the averages did.  Logically this makes sense.  If the team is shut out, both WR’s score low and you probably lose the week.  BUT.  If they are in a shootout.  Both WRs could pop off and win you the week.  So it introduces some volatility, but can actually raise the ceiling depending on the situation.  Successful example would be Chase/Higgins, but Chase is Chase, so he should be viewed as an outlier.  Tyreek/Waddle was a shitshow and represents the worst case scenario of having two WRs on the same team.  But if you look at the non outliers it isn’t all that bad.  Imagine having JJ and Addison in Week 14 last year when they combined for 71.5 points!  Or averages 43+ points per game like Chase/Higgins did last year!  I could live with the risk, but I had to look further.   

   Then I had to look at Liam Coen’s Offensive philosophy.  I had to look at Travis Hunter as a WR prospect.  (I ignored IDP TD for the most part).  Evans and Godwin were smashing for Tampa last year.   

   They both got hurt in Week 7.  But before that they combined for 31.9+ points in 5/6 games.  They even had 40+ in 2 games.  Coen moves WRs around.  BTJ will play some slot, Travis Hunter will play some slot.  And both of them are capable of making amazing plays.  Coen’s system is a good one.  And I’m convinced the Jaguars don’t trade 2 1sts and more to acquire a player and not play him on every single high value play in the football game.  Redzone, 2-minute drills, hurry-up offenses.  He’s BTJ level and they have a ton of vacated targets due to losing Gabe Davis(42), Christian Kirk(47), and Evan Engram(64).   

   In conclusion, I was good with WR1/WR2 on same team situation.  I was good on offensive system.  Only question that remained was… is Travis Hunter really that good?  The film was an resounding yes.  He wasn’t just the most athletic player, he was the most intelligent.  The final nail in the coffin was the same term I heard over and over again.  5 different profilers referred to him as “a unicorn”.  I could sleep knowing I missed on Tet McMillian if he turns into Drake London.  I couldn’t sleep knowing I passed on one of the potential greatest football players that has ever lived.  Because that is within Hunter’s range of outcomes.  Playing CB adds snaps which adds probabilities that he could be injured.  Other risk is if Tet becomes WR1 unlike Sutton and more like London.  I’m okay with that risk.  One more stat that stood out to me.  Average Yards of Separation Created.  Tet= 2.8 Yards (20th percentile).  Hunter= 5.9 Yards (91% percentile).  5.9 yards of separation!     

   Enough on my first pick.  At 2.05 I narrowly missed out on Luther Burden!  Who went to Ollie at 2.04 for an insane value.  Instead I decided to take a RB in this incredibly deep RB class.  Insert Bhaysul Tuten who went at pick 4.02 and one pick ahead of Cam Scattebo to the Jacksonville Jaguars.  Jaguars back to back?!?!  I’m not bullish on the Jags but I am bullish on Liam Coen.  He did some incredible work in Tampa.  It seems like everyone he coached elevated.  Tuten is a speedster.  My favorite play from him came against Miami.  Middle of the field, Miami loaded the box to stop a 3rd and short.  Big mistake.  Tuten breaks a tackle and takes it to the house 55 yards.  His prospect score came in at an 84.9 ahead of RJ Harvey.  But I’m realistic. The only reason was due to age. Tuten is 23 years old and Harvey is 24 years old.  One of Tuten’s top comps was Kenneth Walker.  Which obviously caught my attention.  Wasn’t planning on going all in on the Jaguars, but needed to slake my 2025 RB class lust.  

   In round 3 I traded up with Mike Dickinson.  Sending a 2026 4th to him to move up 5 spots and snag Terrance “Turd” Ferguson.  What can I say?  I like TE’s named Ferguson.  LRQB was very high on him and that’s why I moved up to get him.  His prospect score was an 88.1, but interesting enough he had him in the same tier as Warren and Loveland!  That I don’t believe, but I like the sound of it.  I don’t see him being relevant much this season with Higbee and Adams there, but 2026 and beyond he could be the TE1 I’ve been missing.  (One can only hope).  

   I traded back into round 4 by shipping Jaleel McLaughlin to JO for 4.05.  I selected Jarquez Hunter.  Mainly due to his last name, but also because Rams RBs are fantasy gold mines.  If Kyren gets hurt I have the handcuff secured by having both Corum and Hunter.  Or at least that’s the plan.   

 

Draft Grade: C-.  Drafting two Jags when I already have one.  Drafting two Rams when Stafford is almost retired.  Plus taking Travis Hunter (BIG RISK) with a Top 4 pick and Tuten, a third string RB.  This was a lot riskier draft than usual for myself.  It could work out great or it could blow up spectacularly in my face.  Can’t wait to find out which it is!      

 

9. Oscar 

Oscar’s beloved Tyler Warren was yanked by Colt one pick before Oscar was up, so he had to pivot.  With concerns at RB behind Josh Jacobs and Bucky Irving (Pacheco/Hunt situation, Najee sharing with Hampton, Estime having Harvey get drafted) he wanted to get that third option for the long season.  Insert Kaleb Johnson.  Carried the Iowa Hawkeyes on his back.  He came in as an 86.5 prospect score from LRQB with comps to… wait for it.. Le’Veon Bell and James Conner.  He wore black and yellow in college, it was like it was meant to be.  ETR has his top comp as Zach Charbonnet.  They have him ranked as RB16 in Dynasty right next to… Josh Jacobs.  An argument could be made for taking Loveland here, but I understand the allure of the sexy RBs in this draft. 

   At 2.09 Oscar took Devin Neal.  This was a bit of a reach for me.  You had Bech, Blue, Terrance Ferguson available.  Neal’s prospect score is a 65 with comps to Bishop Sankey.  Now he was productive as hell at Kansas and Kamara is getting up there in years.  But the Saints could be terrible.  Kamara’s contract locks him in for next two seasons with no out.  And Kendre Miller is still there.  Prospects with scores of 88.1 and 80 were still out there.  Didn’t care for this pick.   

   At 3.05 you selected Harold Fannin.  Love this pick.  Extremely productive Tight End enters a Browns team where David Njoku enters the last year of his contract.  Fannin had an 84.3 prospect score.  Higher than Mason Taylor.  Oscar then shipped out 3.06 to Wesley (after repeatedly denying me for the pick) and also shipped out 3.09 to Dan.   

   He also got great value late selecting Elijah Arroyo at 4.9 and Dillon Gabriel at 5.9.  Arroyo and Fannin give Oscar a couple young TEs to replace his aging starters.  Here’s what I’ll have to say about Gabriel.  Jeanty, Hunter, Gabriel, and Sanders were all at the Heisman Award Ceremony.  Sanders was there supporting Hunter, his teammate.  Gabriel was there because he was a finalist.  Take with that what you will.   

 

Draft Grade: B+.  Loved the pick of Kaleb Johnson and the trades in the third.  Loved the two TE’s which was a team need.  Only thing that knocked it down was selecting Devin Neal too early in my opinion.  Strong draft.   

  

10. Mike Bellocq 

Mike’s been wheeling and dealing for months.  It all fell into place. He had the 6th pick.  Brad takes Hunter maybe somewhat unexpectedly.  Colt takes Henderson.  That left Tet McMillian to fall into Mikes lap.  I already went into detail about Tet in my portion.  But Establish the Run had him ranked above Omarion Hampton as their #2 overall rookie dynasty player.  They see him as an immediate alpha.  I didn’t see what they saw, but still an exceptionally highly producing prospect and guess what?  I’m wrong.  A LOT.  But even if he doesn’t become a London or Evans, Tee Higgins is a WR1 in FPPG, Sutton is on the up and finished WR15 last season once Bo Nix came in.  These big handed, tall, jump ball specialists tend to stay in the league for a long time due to their ability to stretch defenses and are consistently targeted in the red zone.  Mike will be hoping for Young to take the “F -IT T-Mac down there somewhere approach” to maximize his return on investment.   

   In the 2nd Round Mike had pick 2.10. He attempted to trade back but wind up staying put and selecting Bech.  I really like Bech as a prospect.  And the Raiders are on the up and up.  Geno Smith is an upgrade, Jeanty is going to smash, Bowers, Meyers.  I can see Bech carving out a role for himself immediately.  He plays with heart, he’s a former LSU Tiger, what’s not to love?  His prospect score came in at a 79.2 but I’m bullish and I love the pick.   

   Mike decides to go WR-WR in a “RB Draft”.  Mike is #1 in WR according to KeepTradeCut Dynasty League Power Rankings.  His decisions point to strengthening a strength via best player available draft strategy, but it was his trading with newcomer members Wes and JO that allowed him to lean into that strategy.  Prior to the draft shipping his 2026 1st and 3rd for Kenneth Walker and a 2026 2nd. (I’ve already said my piece).  And then sending Rhamondre Stevenson and a 4th to JO for Zach Charbonnet.   Locking down the Seahawks backfield.   I’ve stated previously that they brought in Kubiak as OC.  Signed two full backs.  Drafted a lineman in the first round and a tight end in the second round.  Spoiler alert.  THEY PLAN TO RUN THE ROCK.  It’s not what people say, it’s what people do.  Actions > Words.  

 

Draft Grade: B+. Not getting a RB in this draft class and my assessment of Tet lowers this grade from an A to a B, but make no mistake.  Mike’s team is in contender category.   

 

11. Adam Bellocq  

Adam traded with his brother in the offseason and acquired Heisman trophy winner Devonta Smith and Pick 1.10 for Zay Flowers and Pick 1.06.  Mike scored Tet McMillian, the 8th overall pick in the NFL draft.  Adam scored Colston Loveland, the 10th overall pick in the NFL draft.  So Devonta Smith and Colston Loveland for Zay Flowers and Tet McMillian.  There were also a late pick swap be that’s de minimus.  ETR takes the Mike side and says it’s not even close, but they are very high on McMillian.  LRQB has Loveland as a 94.3 prospect score.  He has a chance to be what everybody thought Dalton Kincaid would be.  He’s got comps to Pat Freiermuth, David Njoku, and Michael Mayer.  I think it’s a great pick for Adams team.  Hockenson has a new QB, Kincaid hasn’t lived up to his hype.  Great pick.  Loveland should take the LaPorta role for Ben Johnson’s offense.  Cole Kmet is there but they can run some 12 personnel and be alright.  Plus Loveland, DJ Moore, Luther Burden, and Rome Odunze allow the Bears to move people around.  Loveland lined up in line, then pops out and runs a route from the slot.  I can see the vision, just need to see what the target percentage and Caleb Williams play looks like to see if this pick smashes.  

   Adam didn’t pick again until 3.11.  As you might remember he shipped a lot of picks to Dom in the Breece Hall deal last season.  With the 3.11 he selected Tory Horton.  And I have to be honest.  This is a player that I was unaware existed until Adam selected him.  His prospect score is a 55.8. He has a comp to Josh Reynolds and Dyami Brown, which isn’t nothing.  Now Seattle shipped out DK Metcalf and added Cooper Kupp and MVS.  But those are aging vets.  I like the dart throw.  I probably would’ve gone TeSlaa here but that’s because I own Tesla stock and a Tesla Model 3 and the name is cool.   

   At 4.07 Adam took a flier on Quinn Ewers since Tua is always hurt.  Probably a throw away pick, but don’t hate it. 

 

Draft Grade: D+.  Zay Flowers is worth more than Devonta Smith in some dynasty circles.  Now of course this is most likely due to age.  Smith is WR2 to AJB on a team that was run heavy last season.  Flowers is WR1 on a run-first team as well.  Moving back 4 picks was the difference between Tet McMillian and Colston Loveland.  Nothing wrong with Loveland.  I liked Warren better, but he wasn’t there.  Loveland is more of the Kyle Pitts, Dalton Kincaid style Tight End.  Those worry me a bit.  But Top 10 pick, Ben Johnson’s first pick as a Head Coach, there’s a ton of potential there.  He’s also young.  These are draft grades, you wind up with Loveland, Horton and Ewers, three players I wasn’t targeting in the draft at all.     

12. Cuz  

Our beloved Champion.  Coming up the rear just like he likes it.  He gets to close out the first round and he surprised me a bit by selecting Cam Ward.  Cuz already has Joe Burrow and Drake Maye rostered, but he elects to select another QB in Ward.  Ward was the #1 Overall Pick.  His spiral is beautiful.  Qb values fluctuate in dynasty.  Sometimes there are 4 starters available as free agents/waivers and other times someone has to start Gardner Minshew or Joe Flacco for a week due to injuries and barren free agents available.  Cuz was able to sell high on Baker Mayfield to me last season once Dak got hurt and Richardson was benched.  He acquired a 2026 2nd and a 2025 3rd, which is great for an older vet.  I think this pick meant he sought dynasty value over roster need, which isn’t surprising coming off a championship run.  Roster was obviously good enough last year right? 

   At 2.11 Cuz took Jaydon Blue, rookie selected by the Cowboys.  His profile came in at a 74.5 with a top comp to Justice Hill.  The Cowboys backfield is one knee Javonte Williams, bust Miles Sanders, and Blue.  Absolutely worth a shot.  At very least he could be change of pace back with Williams or Sanders handling first and second downs. 

   At 2.12 Cuz took Jaylen Noel. Rookie taken by the Texans.  Texans are a bit of a mess eh?  Offensive line was completely rebuilt and I’m not sure if it was for the better or not.  Strouds shoulder is acting up.  They lost Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell.  Insert Christian Kirk, Jayden Higgins, and Noel. Noel has a prospect score of 76.8 with comps to Randall Cobb, Skyy Moore, and Duverny.  So slot guy.  With Kirk there he’ll most likely play behind Kirk and eventually take over the slot once they either move on from Kirk or if Kirk misses any time.  Not a bad pick at all.  

   In later picks Cuz took Elic Ayomanor at 3.08, Tahj Brooks at 4.10. Gunnar Helm at 5.01.   Solid selections.  

 

Draft Grade: B.  Solid draft.  I was a little surprised of Cam Ward pick.  Understand the dynasty player value angle, but with Tyreek, Hopkins, and Lockett entering their end of life in the NFL I think 1st round WR Matthew Golden should have been the pick here.  But hey.  If Ward turns into a Mahomes I’ll gladly admit I’m wrong and take my medicine.   

 

Here are the drafters in order of grade: 

Colt: A 

Ollie: A 

JO: A 

Dan: A 

Mike B: B+ 

Oscar: B+ 

Cuz: B 

Wesley: B 

Mike D: B- 

Andy: C 

Brad: C- 

Adam: D+ 

 

Overall nobody did terrible.  And I gave Adam a bad grade last season and then Bo Nix turned into Patrick Mahomes and I looked like a moron.  That’s all folks.  Looking to be another incredibly competitive season and I wish all of you the best of luck!  

 

-Fantasy Football Brad 

Dynamo Dynasty League 2024 Rookie Draft Grades

Great draft this past weekend league.  I appreciate everyone being ready to roll come draft time.  Here are my grades.  As always I stipulate these are my opinions.  I probably missed stuff about your beloved draft picks.  I hope I don’t ruin the honeymoon/delusions of grandeur phase of your picks.  Just some of my thoughts.  Enjoy!

  1. Andy

1.1: Marvin Harrison Jr.

2.1: Xavier Legette

3.1: Will Shipley

5.1: Erick All

   Andy started his draft with the first wide receiver taken in the NFL draft. Then he took the last wide receiver taken in the NFL’s first round.  Andy found the golden ticket last season when he won the consolation bracket.  His prize?  Marvin Harrison Jr.  He gets the best WR prospect we’ve seen in a long time.  Harrison has everything a team wants in an alpha wide out.  Going to the Cardinals who were in desperate need of an alpha was chef’s kiss.  Andy picked him in mere seconds after the draft began.  MHJ or Maserati Marv had a prospect score of 99.3 according to Late Round QB Draft Prospect (LRQB) Guide.  He was consensus #1 player in this year’s rookie draft and Establish the Run has him as the #3 overall Dynasty player behind only Justin Jefferson and Jamarr Chase.     

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   In the 2nd round Andy went with Xavier Legette.  I can’t understand a word he says, but I love that he can stay in Carolina where others might understand him.  Legette earned a prospect score of 86.2, but was deemed “High Risk” by LRQB.  His top comps were Jonathan Mingo and Hakeem Butler.  He’s teammates with Mingo and will compete for targets with Diontae Johnson and aging Adam Theilen.  Legette ran the 40 in 4.39 seconds at 221 pounds.  Panthers are rebuilding, Andy is hoping the draft capital used on Legette gets him some early production while they play from behind in games.  

   In the third Andy went with Will Shipley.  Shipley had a 67.8 prospect score according to LRQB and has comps to Tevin Coleman who was relevant for a few seasons for the Falcons.  The Eagles signed Saquon Barkley for two years guaranteed as they rebuilt their running back room.  Last season’s D’Andre Swift, Rashad Penny, and Boston Scott are all gone.  So Shipley’s only competition for backup/handcuff duties is Kenny Gainwell. 

   Andy didn’t have a 4th round pick as he shipped it to Brad to move up in the startup draft.  He did this to select Chase Brown, who he then dropped, who Brad then picked up.  Brad used it to take Javon Baker so if he hits Brad will never let Andy live this move down.  But at 5.1 he took Erick All.  A dart throw Tight End prospect on the Bengals.  He’ll play behind Mike Gesicki as he rehabs his injury from last season. 

Draft Grade: B+.  You got the best player in the draft and two first round wideouts.  That’s a solid draft.  Shipley and All are more dart throws than depth pieces but overall pretty good.

  1. Cuz

1.2 Malik Nabers

2.6 Drake Maye

2.11 MarShawn Lloyd

4.2 Tyrone Tracy

4.6 Brenden Rice

4.8 Theo Johnson

4.11 Spencer Rattler

5.2 Dylan Laube

   Cuz was wheeling and DEALING this draft.  He acquired quite a few picks as well as Cade Otton before and during the draft.  Overall he got a haul.  He started off with Malik Nabers, LRQB’s top prospect grade in the class at 99.5.  He’s on the Giants.  That sucks.  Daniel Jones or Drew Lock will be his QB.  That sucks.  Nabers…does not suck.  He’s going to demand a lot of targets.  If they can get him the ball, look out.  He’s a baller. 

   In the 2nd Cuz moved back four picks to acquire Cade Otton and took Drake Maye.  Maye is the talented Qb from North Carolina who has drawn some Josh Allen comps with his running ability.  He is more of a project on a rebuilding Patriots team, so I expect Jacoby Brissett to start the year as the starter and for Maye to learn behind him.  But Cuz suffered through Burrow’s injury last season and wanted to get some depth at the position.  He also took Marshawn Lloyd at 2.11.  He should be the top backup to new starter Josh Jacobs on an exciting, young Green Bay Packers team.  Lloyd had a respectable 74.6 prospect score and has a comp of Robert Turbin.  Let’s be real, he’s a handcuff, but the 2024 rookie draft was slim pickings at RB.  But he looks like a grown ass man who you don’t want to fuck with:

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   Cuz didn’t have a 3rd round pick, but had four 4th round picks.  I thought he did a great job in getting a QB, RB, WR, and TE.  Like a little mini roster all from the 4th round.  It’s cute.  Tracy should backup Devin Singletary.  His prospect score is 51.7, but one of his top comps was Tony Pollard.  He has the pass catching chops due to him being a wide receiver his first four years in college.  I say first four years, because he was in college for 6.  It makes sense his initials are TT because he’s been in college as long as Van Wilder who loved dem titties.  He could overcome Singletary, so he’ll be interesting to watch during the summer.  But he’s 24.5 years old.  For perspective, D’Andre Swift is 25.5 and has played 4 NFL seasons already.  Cuz also got son of a hall of famer Brenden Rice in a wide open receiver room for the new Harbaugh-led Chargers.  He also got Giants tight end 6’6″ 240lbs Theo Johnson.  We don’t know if Waller retires or not this offseason, but Giants were going to wait around and get caught unprepared.  The Rattlesnake was a great selection for another QB prospect to sit on or trade away to a desperate Saints fan. (Update before publication, Cuz dropped Spencer Rattler, shame).  

   In the 5th Cuz stole my 5th round darling in Dylan Laube.  Laube has a prospect score of 63.9 and was considered “Low Risk” due to his incredible pass catching ability.  One of his top comparable was James White.  Zamir White is a bruiser, so Laube could carve a role for himself on third downs.  An analyst I follow named Pat Thorman was high on Laube.  After watching his film he said he had a little Joseph Addai or Matt Forte to his game.  

Draft Grade: A.  Just solid.  Quantity doesn’t mean quality, but Cuz did a quality job in his selections.  

  1. Ian

1.3 Rome Odunze

1.8 Caleb Williams

3.7 Isaac Guerendo

3.10 Devontez Walker

4.3 Michael Penix 

5.3 Isaiah Davis

   Personally I think Ian crushed it.  Starting off with Odunze and Williams.  Getting that stack was a scenario I had in one of my mock drafts and it’s just brilliant.  They seem like best friends or perhaps… Step Brothers?

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All it cost was Tony Pollard’s backup in Tennessee and 2.3.  Not too bad.  

   In the 3rd round you selected Isaac Guerendo.  He was a priority add for me in all my dynasty leagues, but I only secured him in 1.  A 9.98 RAS is not something you ignore.  Being on the incredible run-minded coach in Kyle Shanahan is not something you ignore.  His prospect score was a 66.4 with his top comp being Isaiah Pacheco.  He will be the #2 back behind Christian McCaffrey.  I’m planting the flag and saying I GUARANTEE it.  If CMC goes down this season, Ian will be hard to beat.  

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   He also snagged Devontez Walker for the Ravens.  I didn’t like Walker too much.  His top comp is Jalen Tolbert who burned me in a different dynasty league.  Ravens have vacated targets with Odell and Duverney gone, but I don’t think he beats out Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, or Nelson Agholor.  Mark Andrews is still there.  Not a bad dart throw, but I wouldn’t expect much.

   Michael Penix at 4.3.  Didn’t know if this was a joke or not.  Penix is Ian’s 6th rostered QB and won’t be relevant unless Kirk Cousins goes down.  Meaning he’s a QB handcuff that you’d have to sit on for a few years before you can do anything with.  I assume this was to mess with Dom who has Cousins. (Update prior to publication Ian dropped Gardner Minshew and Daniel Jones, so he only has 4 QBs now)

   In the 5th he snagged Isaiah Davis for the Jets.  Jets also drafted Braelon Allen and have Breece Hall, so I’m going to list Davis as a Taxi dart throw/drop candidate.

Draft Grade: B+.  I LOVED the first three picks, but didn’t care for his last three picks. 

  1. Dan

1.4 Keon Coleman!

3.4 Malachi Corley

4.4 Jalen McMillan

5.4 Bub Means

   You can tell Dan’s draft strategy was Wide Receiver.  He shipped his 2.4 pick to Brad in the mega blockbuster from last season which landed him Zay Flowers, Kirk Cousins, and Sam LaPorta.  Of course he used Flowers in the deal to acquire Tank Dell and used Cousins in the deal to get D’Andre Swift.  He knew he had to make 1.4 count.  After unsuccessfully shopping 1.4 he decided to just get his guy.  Most draft pundits had Xavier Worthy and Brian Thomas ranked higher than Coleman.  But I understand the rational.  The best landing spot was the Bills due to Josh Allen and the vacated targets left from Diggs and Gabe Davis leaving (241 targets).  Opportunity is there.  No question.  His prospect score according to LRQB was an 86.4.  His top three comparable players were Breshad Perriman, Kevin White, and Courtland Sutton.  The Bills just kept signing dusty wideouts like Curtis Samuel, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, and Mack Hollins.  Coleman should be the top receiver in targets but I don’t know if it’ll be plug and play for Diggs like Dan is expecting.  I’ll talk more about Xavier Worthy and Brian Thomas in my next two draft grades, but needless to say I had them ranked higher than Coleman.  Dan knows it.  But he got his guy and I respect that.  Some sick highlights:

   In the 3rd he took Malachi Corley.  This is an interesting pick.  As many of you know I use Establish the Run draft guides and Late Round QB prospect guides.  I’ve been pretty blunt about that.  They disagreed on Corley.  ETR had Corley as the 9th best wideout in this class over Ricky Pearsall, Xavier Legette, and Ja’Lynn Polk.  I’m talking their 13th best player in this rookie class.  LRQB was not impressed.  His prospect score was a 71.8 and was deemed “High Risk”.  The prospect guide is so low because he didn’t breakout in college.  Barely any production.  Most of his targets came from screen passes (44.3%).  What ETR is seeing is a Deebo Samuel comparable.  They think he can be a supercharged Randall Cobb for Aaron Rodgers.  All that to say.  He could be great or he could be terrible.  But it helps that his main target competition is Allen Lazard and Mike Williams behind the obvious Garret Wilson and Breece Hall.

   4.4 Jalen McMillan.  I’ll be completely honest.  I didn’t know who this was.  Completely off my radar, so I had to do research just to write about him here.  3rd rounder who played for the Huskies alongside Rome Odunze and Ja’Lynn Polk.  His prospect score was a 74.6, which should have had him higher than the 4th round in our rookie draft.  Tampa Bay has Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.  McMillan should compete for the third spot.    What caught my eye was his comps.  Kenny Stills and… Amon-Ra St. Brown!!!  I felt like a jackass for not knowing who he was.  Great dart throw.

   5.4 Bub Means.  This wins for best name that you’ve picked.  But the Saints WR room is wide open after Chris Olave.  I do think Shaheed is the true #2, but Mike Thomas is gone and anything can happen.  (Update: Dan already dropped him)

Draft Grade: C+  Coleman reach might bite him in the ass, but between Corley and McMillan Dan might make out like a bandit here.  

5. Colton

1.5 Xavier Worthy

2.5 JJ McCarthy

3.5 Luke McCaffrey

4.5 Braelon Allen

5.5 Cade Stover

   Colt went with the balanced build getting at least one from every position.  He started off going Xavier Worthy over Brian Thomas and Brock Bowers.  I had a really tough time ranking those three but when everything was said and done I finished my rankings with BTJ, Bowers, then Worthy.  I was prepared to take Worthy if the other two were gone, but he wasn’t my preference.  The exact moment when I changed my rankings was when I had an epiphany.  Worthy weighed in at 165 lbs.  I weigh 165 lbs.  Worthy weighs the same as me.  I would be murdered instantly in the NFL.  Dead.  That scared the shit out of me.  But like I said I still would have drafted him if he fell to me.  Why?  Guy can ball.  Like I mentioned in my mock drafts he plays fast and he was always open.  Reid will scheme for him.  Reid comped him to DeSean Jackson.  That’s high praise considering Jackson had over 11,000 yards in his career.  The NFL has changed with smaller, faster wideouts being able to ball out.  Excited to see what he does. 

   Here are all Xavier Worthy’s catches in 2023.  Pay attention to his separation on even the basic routes:

   Colt went JJ McCarthy over Drake Maye which was interesting.  I think McCarthy has the better chance to start this year, but don’t be surprised if he has to sit behind Sam Darnold.  I get it.  Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, TJ Hockenson.  It feels like we could play quarterback and be successful with those guys.  But Darnold has some experience now and beat out Trey Lance to win the backup job for the Niners last offseason.  It’s interesting to me that you had to pick between Worthy/Thomas and Maye/McCarthy.  I preferred Thomas and Maye, you preferred Worthy and McCarthy.  I’m interested to see how it works out.

   3.5 Luke McCaffrey.  CMC’s brother!  He should be the #3 wideout on the Commanders behind Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson.  But now that Heisman winner Jayden Daniels is in town look out.  His prospect score is a 69.5.  He played Quarterback for most of his college career before eventually switching to wideout at Rice.  Not a bad dart throw to see what happens.  We know he comes from a great football family. 

   4.5 Braelon Allen.  Allen was quick to declare for the NFL draft.  I remember I was pining for him when I saw his age!  Only 20!  But then things went downhill.  He didn’t do any of the tests.  Typically that happens when someone knows the results will only hurt them.  He’s slow.  But big.  It worked at Wisconsin.  But now he’s behind Breece Hall and they drafted another rookie RB.  It’s a shame.  Age helps his prospect score of a 72.3, but his top comp was Royce Freeman.  Another comp was James Conner though.  So not a bad taxi stash.   

   Cade Stover was a good dart throw tight end pick.  Prospect score was a 51.7, but he’s on the Texans who have Stroud.

Draft Grade: C.  There’s potential here, it’s just five players who I probably wouldn’t have taken if I was drafting in your shoes from those positions.  

  1. Brad  (It’s me!)

1.6 Brian Thomas Jr

2.2 Blake Corum

2.4 Ricky Pearsall

4.1 Javon Baker

5.6 Jacob Cowing

   Almost the perfect draft for me.  I was so fucking stoked that I landed this group of players.  Will it all work out?  Probably not, but it’s rare to set your rankings, prefer certain people and then get the guys you prefer to get.  That’s half the battle.  The next half is actually being right.  At 1.06 Brad went LSU stud Brian Thomas Jr. over Brock Bowers, Caleb Williams, and Johnathan Brooks.  While doing my film watching I saw an absolute stud.  Many people think he played second fiddle to Nabers and couldn’t do all the things that Nabers could do.  But man.  His jump balls for touchdowns, his jukes in the middle.  Dude can play.  Nabers/Thomas have a legit chance to replicate Chase/JJ.  I also saw this comparison and wet my pants:

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And then of course Establish the Run didn’t help either:

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Now I don’t truly think Thomas is going to be JJ.  JJ is in a tier by himself.  But I’ll take a sliver of a chance.  He takes Ridley’s WR18 role right away.  Ridley did that with a lot of close misses and with T Law banged up most of the year.  What can Thomas do with a healthy T-Law?

   At 2.2 Brad got his target. Blake Corum.  His prospect score is 79.1.  He is behind Kyren Williams.  He was a third round pick.  He isn’t that fast.  Why Corum?  I share my predraft notes with you here:

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He also helped end Saban’s Bama tenure, something this group especially should be thankful for:

   At 2.4 Brad had a rough time choosing between Ricky Pearsall and AD Mitchell.  The difference maker was draft capital and prospect score.  Pearsall came out as 89.7 compared to Mitchell’s 84.0.  If Auyik or Deebo get traded or hurt Pearsall has a clear path to targets on a very good Niners team. 

   Brad didn’t have a 3rd round pick since he sent 3.6 and Elijah Mitchell to Dickinson for Courtland Sutton last year.   But at 4.1 he had Javon Baker fall in his lap.  Baker was originally recruited at Alabama but as a freshman he couldn’t get past Devonta Smith, John Metchie, and Jameson Williams.  His prospect score is a 67.6, but in a wide open Patriots receiver room anything can happen.  Hype video Amon-Ra style raised his value a bit.  (He went 2.12 in another dynasty rookie draft I did a couple weeks ago)

   At 5.6 Brad went another WR in 5’8” Jacob Cowing.  One of his top comps was Tank Dell, so it’s a dart throw while monitoring the 49ers receiver situation. 

Draft Grade: B-  In my honeymoon/delusional phase I see this as an A+.  Most others probably see it as a C-.  Figured I’d split the difference.  BTJ should be a good NFL starter but there are a lot of mouths in Jacksonville (Christian Kirk, Gabe Davis, Evan Engram, Travis Etienne).  Corum is a handcuff unless we hear otherwise.  Brad now has 5 of those. 

7. Adam  

1.11 Trey Benson

2.7 Bo Nix

5.7 Rasheen Ali

   Adam is tied with his brother with the least amount of picks in this years draft with 3. But I have to take it with a grain of salt because he traded back in the 1st and acquired a second 1st rounder next year.  That value will be baked into these grades.  At 1.11 he gets James Conner’s heir and handcuff.  Benson wind up with an 84.1 prospect score and a top comp of Kenyan Drake.  Drake had double digit touchdowns for the Cardinals a few years back.  There’s a chance Conner plays out his contract this year and Adam needs to wait a year, but we’ll see how it works out.  Regardless he at least has Conner and now has his backup. 

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   At 2.7 Adam takes Bo Nix after McCarthy and Maye were off the board. Nix went to the Broncos at pick #12.  Payton is supposedly really high on him.  He’s accurate and was more slice and dice than big play guy.  Russel Wilson sucked at intermediate throws and that’s Bo Nix’s strength, so this could be an over correction on Payton’s part.  They also drafted his college teammate Troy Franklin which should help him transition to the NFL.  Courtland Sutton, Marvin Mims, and Troy Franklin isn’t the worst receiver room.   

   At 5.7 he went with dart throw Rasheen Ali.  Henry is the bellcow for the Ravens, but Gus Bus and Dobbins are gone.  Keaton Mitchell is coming back from injury.  His main competition for backup duties is Justice Hill.  62.5 prospect score, worth a dart throw to see what he does in OTAs. 

Draft Grade: C.  The 2025 1st round pick is nice. If Dom’s team gets injured and Adam gets a Top 6 selection next year then this grade will be higher.  On the flip side if Dom does well and Adam does bad this year then there could be very little difference in the pick swap.  If Dom wins it all and Adam wins the consolation bracket it’s a difference of pick #12 and pick #13.  One spot.  Time will tell the value there.  The 2024 rookie class was supposedly stacked at wideout and weak at RB.  Adam left the draft with two RBs and a QB.  This was a D or F grade for me, but until I know the 2025 picks value I have to boost it up a notch.  Short and sweet.  

8. Mike B 

2.3 Ben Sinnott

2.8 Adonai Mitchell

3.3 Jaylen Wright

   I guess the Bellocq bros are bearish on the 2024 draft class.  Cuz had 3 more picks then them combined.  I have to factor in Mike’s acquisition of knee-less Tajae Spears since he traded 1.8 for Spears and 2.3.  At 2.3 he went with Ben Sinnott.  Sinnot has a prospect score of  83.9 according to LRQB.  The 6’4” 245 pound K State product went 53 overall to the Washington Commanders.  He provides an instant red zone target for Jayden Daniels.  Last year at K State he caught 82 passes and 10 touchdowns.  His only competition is aging Zach Ertz.   Establish the Run has him ranked as Dynasty’s 11th best tight end.

Here’s a flavor of what Mike’s getting:

   Later in the 2nd after a run of QBs AD Mitchell fell into Mikes lap.  His top comp was Alec Pierce who he has a chance to replace.  His prospect score was an 84 as he played second fiddle to Xavier Worthy at Texas.  He’ll compete for targets with Michael Pittman and Josh Downs for Anthony Richardson.  He has a lot of potential.  Establish the Run had him as the 8th best player in this draft class.  Not 8th best wideout, 8th best player.  We’ll see if he’s the Boom they are predicting.

   At 3.3 Mike traded up to snag Jaylen Wright.  His prospect score was a 70.7 but he’s fast and he’s on the Dolphins.  His top comps were Anthony McFarland, Ty Chandler and Demarco Murray.  He’ll be part of the three headed monster in Miami with Mostert and Achane who have injured riddled histories.  

Draft Grade: B.  He basically got 3 2nd round graded players and Tajae Spears to backup his Tony Pollard.  Of course if he had stayed put he could have had Brock Bowers.  It’s easy to look back and judge.  But you win some and you lose some and despite the way the Titans GM and Pollard’s agent fucked Mike over, he’ll still be competitive.  

9. Mike Dickinson 

1.9 Brock Bowers!

2.9 Roman Wilson

3.6 Ja’Tavion Sanders

4.9 Frank Gore Jr.

5.9 Joe Milton

   At 1.9 miraculously Brock Mfing Bowers falls to Dickinson.  Easily the best value pick of the first round.  99.3 Prospect Score equal to Marvin Harrison Jr.  Two time Mackey award winner. Two time national champion.  Dom and Ian traded up and took QBs.  Dan, Colt, and Brad all passed on Bowers for WRs.  He fell right into Mike D’s lap.  Last year he was plagued by the tight end position.  No more. 

7 people passed on Bowers.  One person passed on him twice.  Those 7 people might regret it:

   At 2.9 Mike took Michigan stud Roman Wilson.  His prospect score is 75.7 and his top comps were Randall Cobb and John Metchie.  Perceived as a slot specialist.  But landing on the Steelers who shipped out Diontae Johnson means he has a chance to get playing time right away.  Albeit on Arthur Smiths offense with Russell Wilson at QB.  God, I just threw up while writing that sentence. 

   At 3.6 I thought Mike D would take Isaac G, but like an idiot he instead took Ja’Tavion Sanders.  Panthers are rebuilding and Sanders had a prospect score of 67.8.  He got some hype this offseason with insane athleticism.  6’4” 243 lbs and was the 1st pick of the 4th round.  My only issue is Panthers offensive line stinks.  Typically tight ends in those situations need to stay in and block more than run routes.  Plus with the Bowers pick this one seemed irrelevant.  With all that being said I will point out that Dickinson was ranked dead last in the league 12/12 in terms of tight end dynasty value according to KeepTradeCut heading into the draft.  Now he is ranked 2/12 behind only Adam with his Kincaid and Hockenson duo.  That’s an impressive jump.   

   At 4.9 Mike D took Frank Gore Jr.  Love the name hate that the Bills also drafted Ray Davis.   Now it’s a camp battle to see who backs up James Cook.

   At 5.9 Dickinson took Joe Milton.  When the NFLPA rookie uniform video dropped my jaw dropped when I saw number 19 for the patriots.  I immediately looked up to see if it was a wide receiver like Polk that I had overlooked or something like that.  Nope it was 6’6” Joe Milton.  Who’s to say Maye is gonna win the starting job?  Just look at this unit in the front row:

Milton

Draft Grade: A.  Turning a weakness into a strength in one rookie draft is money and a great way to stay competitive.  

10. Ollie 

1.10 Johnathan Brooks

2.10 Troy Franklin

4.10 Malik Washington

 5.8 Jordan Travis

 5.10 Jaheim Bell

   The rich get richer.  Ollie who has Johnathan Taylor, Travis Etienne, Derrick Henry, and Joe Mixon drafts a running back in the first round.  Johnathan Brooks was a stud at Texas until injuring his knee.  The draft capital used on him (46th overall pick) helped his prospect score (93.8). His top comps according to LRQB was Sony Michel.  ETR comped him to Javonte Williams, Mark Ingram, and Rashard Mendenhall amongst others:

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   Here’s what we know.  Panthers invested high capital on him.  The Panthers are bad.  The new head coach wants to run.  Brooks needs to heal from his injury.  This rb draft class sucked.  Ollie has RBs already.  This gives him ammunition to trade a couple players for a dynasty stud though.  I would recommend he reach out to Colton.

   In the 2nd he went Troy Franklin.  I liked Franklin when I was watching his film.  Good route runner.  Ate in the Ducks offense because of the slice and dice short throws from Bo Nix who he joins in Denver.  His prospect score was a 77.7 and his top comps were Jameson Williams and Jalin Hyatt.  Translation? He’s fast, but skinny.  He’ll be competing with Courtland Sutton and Marvin Mims for Broncos targets.  The connection with Nix should help there though. 

   In the 4th he took a flier on Malik Washington who was drafted by the Dolphins.    This is a great pick.  His prospect score is low, only 51.5.  His top comp is Devin Duverny who was more of a special teamer, but he has a legit chance to start in the slot for Miami.  Tyreek and Waddle are the alphas but they don’t exactly stay healthy all the time.  Good 4th round flier. 

   In the fifth he took Jordan Travis and tight end Jaheim Bell.  Loved these fliers.  Rodgers doesn’t have long left in his nfl career.  Travis would’ve been a much higher pick if he didn’t have his leg look like it broke off his body.  I don’t know much about Bell other than he had a higher prospect score than Ja’Tavion Sanders (68.6 vs. 67.8) and got drafted by the Patriots.  All that stands in his way is Hunter Henry?

Draft Grade: C+.  It’s a solid draft.  But taking Brooks when you’re already so stacked at running back is just greedy.  I’ll like this draft haul a lot better if you ship one of your RBs and one of your mid wideouts for an alpha.  Offer Derrick Henry and Diontae Johnson to Colton for AJ Brown and see what happens.  

11. Dom 

1.7 Jayden Daniels 

3.2 Jermaine Burton

3.9 Ray Davis

3.11 Kimani Vidal

 4.7 Louis Rees-Zammit

   Dom was Diddling like a mad man this draft.  He traded up with Adam sacrificing his 2025 1st to snag that kid Jayden.  It was the right move.  His QB situation was Justin Fields and Geno Smith.  Fields was shipped out from Chicago to Pittsburgh where he’s competing with Russ Wilson.  Sam Howell was traded to the Seahawks who have a whole new coaching staff, meaning the job isn’t safe for Geno either.  Dom addressed it by trading for Kirk Cousins, shipping D’Andre Swift to Dan.  But he needed a young signal caller and this was a great draft to do it.  Jayden won the Heisman and it was well deserved.  We all remember watching incredible play after incredible play last season.  He’s incredible.  6’4” 210 lbs. lightning speed. 40 touchdowns through the air, another 10 on the ground.    Nearly 4000 yards in the air, over 1100 yards rushing.  He goes from the bayou to the swamp.  Now he is a Commander.  It’s worth noting that Sam Howell was getting destroyed last season.  There are some obvious offensive line issues.  His weapons are great though.  Everyone talks about Caleb Williams weapons but people haven’t been hyping up Daniels.  Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson, Luke McCaffrey, Ben Sinnott, Austin Ekeler, and Brian Robinson.   If the offensive line can protect him I believe he’ll be a stud right away.  Some might dock Dom for going Daniels over Williams but they are both great prospects. 

Here’s 24 straight minutes of Jayden highlights to inject in your veins:

   At 3.2 Dom chooses Jermaine Burton.  A 76.9 prospect score but juicy with potential.  One of his top comps is Robert Woods.  There were character concerns and that’s why he dropped to the third round, but he found himself in the Bengals offense that just lost Tyler Boyd and who’s number two wideout Tee Higgins is currently franchise tagged.  You could easily plug and play Boyd’s production into the your Burton estimates for this season but if Higgins gets traded that could shoot up quick.  I think Higgins reports when necessary and plays on the tag, but he could still miss games when things are sore or tight because without a long term deal why risk it? That is opportunity for Burton.

   At 3.9 Dom went with Ray’Mahn Davis.  Bills drafted him and Frank Gore Jr to backup James Cook.  Dom has Cook so getting his potential handcuff was smart.  I wouldn’t expect much from Davis as a pro.  He’s 24.5 and has a prospect score of 69.8.  Could he become relevant with a Cook injury? Absolutely.

   At 3.11 he took Kimani Vidal.  Love this dart throw.  He was a workhorse at Troy and he lands on the Harbruagh Chargers.  Greg Roman brought in Gus Edwards and JK Dobbins who know his system to lead the backfield, but don’t be surprised when Vidal takes over.  Good depth piece and good potential pick here.

   4.7 Dom took someone that I had to google in Rees-Zammit.  Rugby player that Chiefs signed will probably be dropped before the season starts. 

Draft Grade: B.  Solid B.  Daniel’s over Williams was a plant your flag type of call.  The potential is there for his third round picks.  Fixing QB was the mission and he succeeded.  

12. Oscar  

1.12 Ladd McConkey

2.12 Ja’Lynn Polk

3.8 Bucky Irving

3.12 Jared Wiley

4.12 Audric Estime

5.11 Jase McClellan

5.12 Ryan Flournoy 

   When you’re the champ you pick last.  I spoke with Oscar a couple weeks prior to the draft to get a better understanding of what he was thinking.  His message was clear.  Vacated targets.  It makes sense he goes with McConkey in the 1st and Polk in the 2nd.   Let’s start with McConkey.  Keenan Allen had 150 targets in 13 games.  He’s gone.  Ekeler had 74 targets in 14 games.  He’s gone.  Gerald Everett had 70 targets in 15 games.  He’s gone.  Mike Williams had 26 targets in 3 games.  He’s gone.   320 targets.  Gone.  Insert Ladd McConkey.  The two time national champion from Georgia posts a respectable 87.5 prospect score according to LRQB.  He blew people away with his footwork during the combine and it earned him the 34th pick in the NFL draft. 

   The new regime in Los Angeles is making it well known their intentions.  They are going to run the ball.  McConkey will be the slice and dice, move the sticks guy.  Valuable in PPR formats.  He’s a little on the smaller size, 5’11” 209 but not too bad.  I like the pick. 

   In the 2nd Ja’Lynn Polk fell to you.  I thought this was a huge steal.  Polk has a prospect score of 86.5 almost as high as McConkey.   The Patriots wide receiver room is wide open.  Polk played alongside Rome Odunze and still balled out.  Great value and I like what Oscar did to get some younger wideouts for his aging core. 

   In the third Oscar had his picks from the Brad Betrayal that took place before the league even began.  Famously trading back in the first of the startup handing Mike Jamar Chase and Dickinson CMC but earning Oscar 2 additional 3rds and Jalen Hurts.  It worked out for Oscar as he is the inaugural champion but the other two are cursed by the fantasy Gods for all eternity.  Oscar traded away one of them for a 2025 3rd, which is smart.  Roster sizes are limited and now he has 2 3rds in 2024 and 2025.   Spread the wealth.  In this draft he took Bucky Irving.  Low prospect score with a 51.0.  One of his comps was Tyjae Spears, which is pretty good.  Good receiver.  Don’t know if he’s an upgrade of Chase Edmonds who is backing up Rachaad White in Tampa and that’s saying something.  He then took Jared Wiley.  Another player I needed to google.  He’s a dart throw tight end that could eventually replace Kelce.  Is he worth a roster spot for a few years while you find out?  I thought taking him over Javon Baker and Dyan Laube was egregious. 

   In the 4th you took Audric Estime.  Decent pick.  Javonte Williams is on the last year of his rookie deal and hasn’t looked the same after the devastating knee injury.  Perine could get cut to save money.  The running back room might be more wide open then people think.  Plus Estime is a bruiser.  A Mark Ingram type.  We know Sean Payton loves to thunder and lightning people with his running backs.  Estime’s top comparable was Alfred Morris.  

   Oscar had the last two picks in the draft and took Jase McClellan and Ryan *checks notes* Flournoy.  McClellan is on the Falcons and comps to DeeJay Dallas type.  Prospect score for a 5th round pick isn’t too bad with a 58.2.  Obviously Bijan is the truth, but he’ll compete with Tyler Allgeier for primary backup duties.  I have no fucking idea who Ryan Flournoy is.  

Draft Grade: B.  Loved the first two picks.  Liked Estime pick.  The rest are garbage.   

Thanks for reading league!  

Assistant to the Commissioner,

Fantasy Football Brad