BBY Dream Team League Season 15: Week 3 Recap & Week 4 Preview

Week 3 Recap:

Division 1:

JD (2-1) 173.4 vs. Jen (0-3) 96.6

JD went batshit insane this week, blowing out Jen by 76.8 points.  He got 23.3 from Brock Purdy, 29.1 from Kenneth Walker, 38.7 from Davante Adams, and a crazy 33 from Bills D/ST.  Jen had good games from Watson (21), Travie Etienne (15.8) and a big one from her JJ (29.4), but she had 4 players score 4 or less points and 6 in single digits.  Not enough to hang with JD’s teams explosion.

Mike (1-2) 120.2 vs. Katon (3-0) 129.6

Game of the Week!  Rivalry Week!  Mike was top heavy with a large percentage of his scoring coming from his top 2 players.  Katon was evenly distributed with more of a solid game all around with the exception of his kicker.  Mike had Justin Herbert to Keenan Allen connection with their combined 75.6 points which is just ridiculous.  Keenan Allen had 18 receptions for over 200 yards receiving and threw a freaking touchdown.  Mike started Derrick Henry and Gibbs and they combined for 10.7 while Zach Moss went off on his bench.  Nico Collins after starting off hot, cooled down in Week 3.  For Katon his top scorers were Patrick Mahomes with 25.6 and Ja’Marr Chase with 23.1.  Better luck next time Mike.

Division 2:

Scotty (3-0) 133.9 vs. Kenny (2-1) 110.4

Both teams entered Week 3 undefeated and looking to stay that way.  Alas, one team had to lose.  This time it was Kenny.  Scotty was carried by his Tua to Tyreek stack which combined for 62.4 points.  Kenny stayed competitive with solid outings from Hurts (19.8), Deebo (25.1), Diggs (18.1) and Swift (17.3), but ultimately his downfall was his peripherals.  Scotty’s TE, D/ST, and Kicker combined for 30.6 versus Kenny’s 8.6.  This was a 22 point difference in a game that was decided by 22.7 points.

Tommy (0-3) 123.3 vs. Joe (1-2) 143.0

Something had to give!  Both teams entered Week 3 defeated and in the dreaded 0-2 hole.  Neither wanted to start 0-3.  Tommy had great games from Kirk Cousins with 28.6, Mike Wiliams for 24.6, and Evan McPherson on Monday Night dropped 18 points on Joe.  Joe was carried by CMC’s solid 20.4, Mattison’s 15, and above all… Raheem MUST-START and his 41.7 fantasy points.  Joe also got Sam LaPorta’s breakout game of 18.4 points and sealed the deal on Monday Night Football with Bengals D/ST shutting down the Rams and scoring 15 points.  Tommy’s Super Bowl hangover continues and so does his injury luck.  He lost Mike Williams for the season due to a torn ACL.  With Ekeler hurt, Jacobs and Najee underperforming, Tommy might try a desperation trade or start spending heavy in free agency to acquire some starters because it aint looking good.

Division 3:

Moose (3-0) 99.3 vs. Brad (1-2) 99.0

Heading into Monday Night Football Moose was up 89.6 to Brad’s 65.4.  Moose had Puka Nacua left and Brad had AJ Brown and Eagles D/ST.  The game started out with a bit of optimism for Brad as AJ Brown wore bright yellow cleats that will surely get him fined and he hauled in two big plays in the first drive.  Brown would finish with 20.6 points despite dropping a would be touchdown.  Puka was tame for Moose and sat at only 5.5 fantasy points late into the 4th quarter.  On the Rams last drive they threw a long pass to Puka and he gained 37 yards.  Brad was up by 3.9 at the time.  This catch at the very end of the game was the difference between Moose moving to 3-0 and Brad moving to 1-2 versus both teams being 2-1.  Sometimes in life you lose at the last minute in devastating fashion.  You pick yourself up, dust yourself off, and question why you play fantasy fucking football because it’s stupid and I hate it!     Calvin Ridley keeps dropping balls and Moose left De’Von Achane’s 56.3 on the bench.  If Brad had started Jerick McKinnon over Tyler Allgeier he would have won.  I’ll be patiently waiting for the stat correction to drop on this one.  (spoiler alert it wont, this is the denial stage of grief).

Trey (0-3) 86.3 vs. Chase (2-1) 130.9

Chase did indeed spend all his money on a Ford.  Jerome Ford did decent against a tough Tennessee run defense getting 18.1 points most of which came from two touchdowns (12).  Everybody else for Chase was just solid.  No one exploded and no one did terrible.  Just a solid 130 points performance.  This included a touchdown catch for Travis Kelce, which apparently wasn’t the biggest catch for him this week.  Taylor Swift was in attendance and rooted hard for Kelce mouthing “Lets Fucking Go!” after he scored the touchdown.  Are they for real or are they trolling the world?  Kelce jerseys were up 400% in sales and Swift would get breakup song ammunition.  Seems like a business deal to me.  For Trey he continued to miss JK Dobbins and Jamaal Williams.  He replaced them with Kendre Miller but the Saints couldn’t really get anything going on offense against the Packers.  Fields and DJ Moore have been a huge disappointment.  Olave and Metcalf both got respectable 17 point weeks, but the 22.1 combined points from Fields and DJ Moore just isn’t enough.

Week 4 Preview:

Scotty (3-0) vs. Brad (1-2)

Brad is facing the Tua-Tyreek stack in both his 23-year-old league and this league, so you can go ahead and slam those over props as I’m sure they’ll continue their records paces against me.  I used up all my karma points in the offseason when I wrote that fake book, autographed it, and sent copies to all my league mates because I’ve won back-to-back titles.  Scotty also conveniently gets back Alvin Kamara this week against me as I’m sure he’ll be very motivated to hit the ground running after his 3 game suspension.  20th ranked Miles Sanders gets Minnesota’s run defense.  Scotty could also be getting Christian Watson back on Thursday Night Football against Detroit.  If not, Scotty can turn to Marquise Brown who has looked pretty good for the Cardinals that just upset the Cowgirls.  Brad is also terrified at Steeler’s D/ST going up against the Texans.  The Texans starting offensive line has 4 members on IR and the left tackle has missed games as well.  It’s a shit show.  This could be a bloodbath for Brad.  Speaking of injuries that’s what Brad is looking at.  He’s hoping to have David Montgomery back from injury for TNF against the Packers, but we’ll see if his thigh bruise cooperates or not.  Brad is also monitoring Anthony Richardson and his concussion.  If he can’t go or is a Game Time decision Brad might elect to go with Trevor Lawrence in London against Atlanta.  Brad has Dameon Pierce against a Steelers team that has given up a lot of rushing yards, but again he doesn’t have a line to run behind.  If Brad is going to pull this upset he needs Calvin Ridley and AJ Brown to not drop passes.  I don’t think Scotty finishes the season undefeated, but I do think he finishes this week undefeated.

Trey (0-3) vs. Tommy (0-3)

Something has to give!  The good news is that one of these teams are going to get their first win of the season.  The bad news is that one of them is going to drop to 0-4 and most likely already be out of playoff contention.  Not statistically, but probabilistically.  Who is it going to be?  Trey has 3 Wide Receivers that are Top 14 and that doesn’t include DK Metcalf (22) DJ Moore (36) or the impressive Zay Flowers who is averaging 6+ targets and 10.3 fantasy points per game.  But who to start?  At Running Back he has Bijan looking amazing, but has yet to get a rushing touchdown.  He’s still a Top 10 RB, but he was drafted #1 overall.  He needs the tuddies.  AT RB2 Trey has Kendre Miller, Dalvin Cook, or someone else out there.  If I was Trey I would be burning my phones looking for someone that needs a wide receiver or flex player and is willing to deal a RB.  With Kamara coming back and Zach Wilson’s ineptitude it would behoove Trey to find a new RB2.  He has Justin Fields going up against a Denver defense that was embarrassed by the Dolphins.  Does Fields take advantage or does Denver take out their revenge on a struggling offense?  For Tommy.  He’s got #2 Qb Kirk Cousins @ Carolina.  This game could be up in pace.  Look for him to continue his high bolume passing attack  At RB Tommy still doesn’t have Ekeler so he must turn to Josh Jacobs @ LA Chargers and Najee Harris @ Houston.  Texans have given up a rushing touchdown to opposing backs each week this season including 3 in Week 1 against Baltimore.  Maybe Trent Richardson 2.0 can fall into the endzone for Tommy this week.  At WR its rough.  He has Jerry Jeudy vs. Chicago, DeAndre Hopkins vs. Cincy and DJ Chark vs. Minnesota.  He could go dumpster diving into the free agent pool or he can try to trade.  I don’t know who he would trade though.  I don’t know who is going to win, but I want you both to know.  We are all thinking about you.  Good luck!

Chase (2-1) vs. Katon (3-0)

Great Week 4 matchup here.  Both teams last week were solid.  Got solid production on their way for solid wins.  Does it happen again?  Chase has #13 Qb Josh Allen vs. Miami.  Miami has been en Fuego and they get them in Buffalo.  Allen was solid as hell against the Dolphins in all three matchups last year.  Scoring games of 26.7, 35.86, and 24.08.  Seems like a slam dunk for 20+ points this week.  Chase also has #13 RB James Cook in that same matchup.  He has #11 Jerome Ford who impressed me last week against a tough Tennessee run defense.  He didn’t rush for shit, but he fought hard and scored 2 touchdowns.  Gutsy.  Chase has #21 WR CeeDee Lamb against New England and #17 WR Amari Cooper against Baltimore.  It’ll be interesting to see who Chase starts in the flex as he has a few different options that are intriguing.  For Katon he has #4 Patrick Mahomes vs. a tough Jet’s defense.  Because the Jets offense is so bad Mahomes will have plenty of scoring opportunities.  Katon just needs to hope he throws it to his backs and receivers and not to Travis Kelce who Chase has.  Hopefully he isn’t hitting Taylor like a wrecking ball or whatever pop reference would be appropriate to add into the write up right here.   #15 RB Joe Mixon gets that tough Tennessee rush defense.  This is a Ja’Marr Chase week.  Speaking of which, Katon has Chase.  He also has #18 WR Michael Pittman and #23 Isaih Pacheco.  #1 TE TJ Hockenson gets Carolina which could be a shootout.  The records and matchup set this up to be an early season classic.

Jen (0-3) vs. Moose (3-0)

Despite the record disparity these two teams are more evenly matched than meets the eye.  Moose has scored 30.1 more points this season than Jen.  But he has had 98.1 less points scored against him.  In fact, as of this writing, Jen is currently favored to win.  Let’s dive in.  Jen has #14 Qb Deshaun Watson coming off his best game of the season so far.  He gets Baltimore, which can be tough, but their secondary has been hurt to start the year.  She also has #14 RB Travis Etienne vs. Atlanta, #26 RB Roschon Johnson vs. a Denver defense that was just embarrassed by the Mostert/Achane combo.  She has #3 WR Justin Jefferson going up against a Carolina defense that has a ton of injuries.  Tee Higgins gets pass funnel Tennessee in a boom set up game for him.  Darren Waller will be deployed on Monday Night Football as Jen tries to take this one home.  With Jen having Packers D/ST she’ll have someone playing on TNF, London 830am game on Sunday, and MNF.  Pretty nice weekend.  For Moose he has #7 Lamar Jackson against a really tough Cleveland defense.  They’ve been playing lights out.  But Lamar seems to be getting more comfortable into the new system.  Moose will deploy his newly minted Top 5 RB Duo of Tony Pollard vs. New England and rookie phenom De’Von Achane @ Buffalo.  Look for Achane to come back to Earth in a big way much like I came down from the first time I ever went into a bar.  I was 18 and we lied saying it was my birthday despite it being St. Patty’s day and they made me the honorary judge of the bikini contest and things got wild.  At WR Moose has #6 Puka “Beat Brad by 0.3 in the closing moments in Week 3” Nacua with a decent matchup against Indy.  He also has #23 Jordan Addison in the up temp game against a banged up Carolina defense that could see a lot of points.  Cleveland shuts down tight ends, but can they shut down Andrews?  Breece Hall gets KC’s defense that has done well at stopping the run since Week 1.  Saints D/ST and Jake Moody combo has been a silent cheat code for Moose.  Combined they have been averaging 25.3 points per game.

JD (2-1) vs. Joe (1-2)

JD is playing the streaming Quarterback game and has dropped Brock Purdy for Jimmy Garoppolo.  Garoppolo is in the concussion protocol but has a juicy matchup against the LA Chargers if he’s able to clear.  If he can’t JD can pivot to Danny Dimes who gets Seattle on Monday Night Football.  JD has #4 RB Kenneth Walker in that same MNF game.  He will hope to have Saquon Barkley back, but with him playing Monday Night and coming off of injury JD can afford to wait a week and see what happens.  He also has #6 RB Kyren Williams against Indy and for shits and giggles has Rachaad White against New Orleans if he gets in a bind.  (If Trey is reading this then JD would be a team I’d be reaching out to inquire about RB availability.  White and Kyren Williams volume has been insane and when Barkley comes back he won’t need all 4).  JD also has #4 Davante Adams in that Chargers matchup to complete the stack and #13 DeVonta Smith against Washington.  He has #19 George Pickens vs. Houston’s Stingley-less secondary.  Joe says this year will be better.  I don’t know if that’s true, but this week must feel better after getting his first win of the season last week.  He will try to make it two in a row.  First step is to see if Aaron Jones can go against Detroit on TNF.  If he can then Joe has a tough decision to make between #22 Alexander Mattison, #1 Raheem Mostert, or Jones in an important divisional game.  (Trey if you are reading this then Joe would be a team I’d be reaching out to inquire about RB availability.)  Joe will have one legged pocket passer Burrow against Tennessee who happens to suck against the pass (lucky you).  Joe will also hope that Jaylen Waddle can clear the protocol in time for the big divisional matchup against the Bills.  #2 Sam LaPorta continues to impress and will look to continue his awesome rookie season against the Packers on TNF.

Mike (1-2) vs. Kenny (2-1)

Mike has a little squad now.  The #1 Qb Justin Herbert to #2 WR Keenan Allen combo has proved all the haters wrong.  (To be clear.  I hated the Allen pick and loved the Herbert pick, so I’m only half wrong).  Derrick Henry has been hampered by an injury and hasn’t seemed right.  Spears has been taking a lot of snaps.  Is Father Time finally catching up to the Big Dog?  Mike also has Jahmyr Gibbs against Green Bay and #12 RB Zach Moss vs. LA Rams.  Mike’s suffering from the Garret Wilson demise, but is competing each week.  For Kenny he’s coming off is first loss and looks to bounce back here.  Having 3 Top 8 Wide Receivers gives him the chance to do just that.  He has #9 Jalen Hurts vs. Washington.  #10 RB D’Andre Swift who started singing songs from the hit musical Hamilton when Kenny Gainwell went down in Week 2.  “I am not going to miss my shot!”  He gets Washington as well.  AT RB#2 he has #7 RB Brian Robinson against that tough Philly defense.  Kenny has #8 Stefon Diggs against Miami and #7 Deebo Samuel against Arizona.  Don’t forget about #5 WR Mike Evans in the coveted Lattimore matchup.  The touchdown or throwing a punch bets are getting slammed right now.  Dallas D/ST is ranked #2 despite only scoring 2 points last week.  We’ll see if the loss of start cornerback Travon Diggs will continue to hurt this team or if it was just a fluke.  On deck is the Patriots and Zeke Elliots revenge game.

Thanks for reading and good luck everyone!

Commish B-Razzle Dazzle

BBY Dream Team League Season 15 Week 1 Recap & Week 2 Preview

Week 1 Recap:

Division 1:

JD (0-1) 73.9 vs. Katon (1-0) 80.8

A low scoring affair.  JD went into Monday Night Football down 26.9 with Bills D/ST and Tyler Bass.  They combined for 20, leading to our Super Bowl Champion falling short.  The rest of his starters all scored 14.2 or less including 6/9 players scoring in single digits.  Katon’s team didn’t do much, but his 19.5 from Patrick Mahomes on TNF was the highest scorer in this matchup.  He was able to overcome his D/ST Baltimore scoring 12 points as his second highest scorer.  Both teams had a fluke week as they move on to their second division game in Week 2.

Mike (1-0) 101.6 vs. Jen (0-1) 91.2

Mike was down by 1.5 points with Garret Wilson left to play on Monday Night Football.  Wilson got 11.9 most of which came from an incredible touchdown catch.  Of course that touchdown was thrown by Zach Wilson and not Aaron Rodgers who left the game with a season ending Achilles injury just 4 snaps into his season. The big story for Mike’s team was his kicker Jake Elliott who went 4/4 on field goals and scored a whopping 17 points.  Most of the match was evened up but his peripherals outscored Jen’s 35.8 to 24.3.  For Jen she started out rough on TNF with Skyy Moore only getting 0.4 points.  Also Tee Higgins was a huge disappointment as he had an impressive 8 targets and 0 catches.  There will be better days ahead for Tee Higgins.

Division 2:

Tommy (0-1) 89.0 vs. Scotty (1-0) 92.1

An incredibly close game to start the year as Tommy suffers the dreaded Super Bowl hangover.  His first round pick Austin Ekeler picked up right where he left off with a solid 27.4 points rushing for over 100 yards and a score.  Kirk Cousins tried to keep him in the game with 19.3, but he had 3 turnovers.  Tommy had 6 starters in single digits including 3 players that scored less than 5 points.  Scotty’s team didn’t do much better.  His Qb Dak Prescott got 6.2 points.  He had 5 players score in single digits and 2 players score 0.  One of the 0’s was from Christian Watson who was ruled out before kickoff.  This gave Scotty enough time to swap out his lineup and worries me about Scotty’s overall engagement.  Are we losing Scotty everybody?  How in the hell did Scotty win you might ask?  TYREEK HILL.  Tyreek accounted for an incredible 47.8% of Scotty’s entire team point total this week.  That’s what happens when you catch 11 balls on 15 targets for 215 yards and 2 touchdowns.  Crazy to think that Tommy almost pulled this one out.

Joe (0-1) 100.7 vs. Kenny (1-0) 126.1

Joe had a mixed bag in Week 1.  On one hand he had his 3 running backs combine for 67 points.  On the other Joe Burrow scored 3.1 and his two starting wideouts combined for 11.2.  There are sure to be better days ahead for Joe (both Burrow and Weiser), but don’t be surprised if he tries to trade a running back out to upgrade at wide receiver.  For Kenny he had a balanced game with one big exception.  Hurts got 12.5, Nick Chubb got a respectable 17.7.  Mike Evans looked good with 6 catches for 66 yards and a touchdown against Minnesota.  But really the story was all about Sunday Night Football and Dallas D/ST.  My goodness.  37 points!  10 points for shutout, 8 points for blocked fg for touchdown, 6 points for turnovers, 7 points for sacks, and another 6 points for the pick six.  Heading into Monday Night Football Kenny was up 1.2 and had Stefon Diggs left to play.  Didn’t even need his 24.2 to beat Joe, but it was nice and jettisoned Kenny to #1 in Points For after 1 week.

Division 3:

Trey (0-1) 102.5 vs. Brad (1-0) 110.3

#1 overall pick versus the last pick in the draft and Brad sneaks out a victory.  The biggest story line for Brad was Trevor Lawrence and Calvin Ridley’s connection.  Lawrence threw for 241 yards 2 passing tds and an interception.  Of those Calvin Ridley caught 8 passes on 11 targets for 101 yards and a touchdown.  Getting the coveted 3 points 100-yard bonus.  As expected Brad got a paltry 5.7 from his RB1 and David Montgomery got him a respectful 13.4 on Thursday Night Football.  Brad’s “Brown-Brown” combo combined for 27.5 as both got into double digits.  For Trey it was a weird week.  Justin Fields and DJ Moore got blown out by the Packers.  Bijan Robinson scored his first touchdown of his young career, but Tyler Algeier stole the show.  Trey also lost JK Dobbins to a torn achilles.  Justice Hill took over for Dobbins when he was out and scored two touchdowns meaning it was Dobbins injury that most likely sealed Trey’s fate in Week 1 and handed Brad an early season victory.

Chase (0-1) 77.4 vs. Moose (1-0) 92.6

Love when these two get together.  Moose held the lead heading into Monday Night Football.  He was up 92.6 to Chase’s 60.1.  This means Moose’s 32.5 point lead versus Chase’s Josh Allen and James Cook on the Bills.  ESPN predicted Chase at 93.5 and gave him a 53% chance of victory.  Of course Monday Night Football didn’t go as planned with Josh Allen having four turnovers and James Cook failing to find the end zone as they both combined for a total of 17.3 points.  Moose’s team was carried by Tony Pollard’s 2 touchdown day, Jake Moody’s impressive 14.0 points and Jordan Addison’s first career touchdown catch.  Moose had 4 players score 6.5 or less including Lamar Jackson, which is rough.  Chase had underwhelming days from most of his starters with Herbert rushing for only 27 yards, Cooper only receiving 37 yards, Sutton with only 32 yards receiving, but he did score a touchdown.  CeeDee caught a ball late in the game in garbage time and wind up with 4 catches and 77 yards.  Brandon Aiyuk went off on Chase’s bench with 8 catches, 129 yards, and 2 touchdowns.  I’m betting we’ll see him more in the starting lineup sooner rather than later.

Week 2 Preview:

Division 1:

JD (0-1) vs. Mike (1-0)

Dizzle heads to Mike Grote to try and get his first victory of the season.  At Qb he’ll hope that Daniel Jones does a bit more than he did against the Cowboys (4.3 fantasy points).  He should since the Cardinals are one of the worst teams in the NFL.  For Mike he’ll have Justin Herbert @ Tennessee.  Tennessee’s secondary is atrocious, and I like Herbert to repeat with another 20 point outing.  At Running Back JD has Barkley @ Arizona who gave up 75 yards rushing on the ground and a receiving touchdown against the Commanders last week.  JD also has Rachad White vs. Chicago.  Aaron Jones ran all over Chicago prior to pulling his hammy.  A good sign for White on the surprising 1-0 Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  For Mike he’ll have Derrick Henry vs. LA Chargers and Jahmyr Gibbs vs. Seattle.  Henry didn’t do much against the Saints run defense, but an alarming stat was how much Tajae Spears played.  Henry played 48% of the snaps while Spears played on 54% of snaps.  Gibbs also didn’t play as much as David Montgomery.  Gibbs played on 27% of snaps compared to Monty’s 79% snap rate.  Remember what I always say, for wide receivers bet on talent, for running backs bet on opportunity.  Now we all know that Gibbs snap count will increase as the season goes on.  Gibbs was obviously a monster in the limited snaps he played.  Looked bigger, stronger, faster and he kept hitting the spin move.  If Mike is gonna hang with JD he needs his backs to play more.  For Wide Receivers JD has Davante Adams vs. Buffalo and DeVonta Smith vs. Minnesota.  We might get a TNF shootout with two high potent offenses going at it.  Smith will be fine.  Adams will go against Buffalo who did a pretty good job shutting down the Jets passing attack, but with Zach Wilson at Qb it’s tough to know whether Buffalo’s secondary is going to be really good or if it was just Wilson.  Jacobi Meyers kind of stole the show in Week 1 and looked like Jimmy G’s go-to receiver.  Adams should be fine.  Mike has Garrett Wilson @ Dallas and Keenan Allen @ Tennessee.  Zach Wilson going up against Dallas D/ST.  I would lessen your Garrett Wilson expectations, but he’s so talented you also have to start him.  Tough.  Keenan Allen could feast on the Titans.  At Flex JD has Kenneth Walker III @ Detroit.  Detroit was decent against the run and Seattle lost both of their starting left tackles to injury in Week 1.  They just signed 41-year-old Jason Peters, which is not a good sign.  Mike will have Chris Godwin vs. Chicago.  Godwin had 5 catches for 51 yards on 6 targets in Week 1, which is about what I would expect. For Peripherals JD has Kittle vs. LA Rams, Bills D/ST vs. Las Vegas, and Tyler Bass vs. LV.  Kittle averaged 31.5 yards receiving against the Rams last year making him a more td dependent option this week.  Bills should be fine.  For Mike he has Pat Freiermuth vs. Cleveland, Commanders D/ST vs. Denver, and Jake Elliot against Minnesota on Thursday Night Football.  Freiermuth only had one catch last week, but it went for a tuddy.  He’ll be limited in practice this week but is expected to play.

Jen (0-1) vs. Katon (1-0)

Jen vs. Katon will get started on Thursday Night Football with Katon’s TJ Hockenson and Jen’s Justin Jefferson and finish up on Monday Night Football with Jen’s Deshaun Watson.  At Qb we have Jen’s Watson going up against a Pittsburgh defense that underwhelmed in Week 1.  Christian McCaffrey ran all over them and Brock Purdy threw a couple of touchdowns to Brandon Aiyuk.  I think Watson will be fine.  For Katon he’ll have Patrick Mahomes vs. Jacksonville.  This looks like it could be a high scoring and fun game.  Mahomes is hoping to have Kelce back and hoping his wide receivers don’t repeat that terrible performance from week 1.  At Running Back Jen has Travis Etienne Jr. vs. the Chiefs and either Javonte Williams vs. Washington or AJ Dillon vs. Atlanta.  Etienne should do fine against a Chiefs defense who gave up 74 yards rushing to David Montgomery in week 1.  Chiefs do get Chris Jones back who ended his holdout and rejoined the squad.  Katon will roll with Joe Mixon vs. Baltimore and James Conner vs. the Giants.  Mixon can’t do much worse then last week, but Baltimore did a good job stopping the Texans rush attack in Week 1.  Conner faces the Giants team that gave up a pair of touchdowns to Tony Pollard.  At Wide Receiver we have Jen’s Justin Jefferson vs. it doesn’t matter.  No it’s Philly who low key got torched by the Patriots terrible wide receivers.  JJ should be fine.  Tee Higgins should bounce back from a historically bad Week 1.  8 targets and 0 catches is insane.  Last year against Baltimore Higgins wasn’t great, but they have some injuries to their secondary that are worth monitoring.  Regardless, everyone is starting Tee Higgins.  Katon has Ja’Marr Chase against Baltimore and Terry McLaurin vs. Denver.  Katon famously picked Chase over JJ in the draft and now here we are in Week 2 and we get to see if he’ll regret it or not.  At flex it’s looking like Jen will have Skyy Moore, or Javonte/AJ Dillon, or Romeo Doubs perhaps.  We’ll see as it looks like she has a few options.  Katon has Samaje Perine or Pacheco.  At Tight End Jen should have Darren Waller in her lineup vs. Arizona.  Katon will rock with TJ Hockenson against Philly.  Hunter Henry caught a touchdown against Philly in Week 1.  Jen has Packers D/ST against Atlanta and Katon has Raven’s D/ST vs. Cincy.  Should be a great matchup and best of luck to both of you!

Division 2:

Tommy (0-1) vs. Kenny (1-0)

Tommy has to be scared shitless for this matchup.  Two very big things to watch in this one.  One is Austin Ekeler’s ankle.  The other is Kenny’s Dallas D/ST against Zach Wilson.  They could repeat their 30+ point performance from Week 1.  Some good news for Tommy is his Kirk Cousins will play a banged up Eagles secondary who might be without James Bradberry and their starting safety.  More bad news is he is going up against Jalen Hurts like he didn’t in the Final Four matchup last year you lucky bitch.  Hurts plays Minnesota on TNF.  At RB Tommy will either have Ekeler, Jacobs and Najee or just Jacobs against Buffalo and Najee against Cleveland on Monday Night Football.  For Kenny he has Nick Chubb on MNF and Brian Robinson Jr. against Denver.  AT WR Tommy has DeAndre Hopkins against a Chargers secondary that gave up 200+ receiving yards to Tyreek Hill in Week 1.  And Mike Williams @ Tennessee.  Mike Williams left the game in Week 1 for a head injury but wind up returning and catching a couple more passes.  Might be something to monitor as the week progresses.  K-Dub has Stefon Diggs against the Raiders and Deebo Samuel @ LA Rams.  In my draft grades I said I was worried about Deebo’s role and Week 1 proved me right.  But he’s a bet on talent play that can take it to the house on a single slant route.  We’ll see if it happens this week.  Peripherals are advantage Kenny because Dallas D/ST might outscore all of Tommy’s Evan Engram, Vikings D/ST, and Evan McPherson.

Joe (0-1) vs. Scotty (1-0)

Joe vs. Scotty.  Looks like this party is going to get started on Thursday Night Football with Joe having Alexander Mattison and Scotty having Dallas Goedert.  Joe will have Joe Burrow finishing things off on Monday Night Football.  Scotty will have Tua going up against New England.  At RB Joe has Run CMC against LA Rams and he’s hoping to have Aaron Jones depending on the severity of his hamstring injury.  Scotty has Rhamondre Stevenson against Miami and Miles Sanders against the Who Dats on Monday Night Football.  At WR we have the battle of the Dolphins with Joe’s Jaylen Waddle and Scotty’s Tyreek Hill.  Both Wide Receiver 2’s kind of suck in Joe’s Christian Kirk and Scotty’s Marquise Brown.  At Flex Joe will either have Aaron Jones or maybe Raheem Mostert, Jahan Dotson, or Treylon Burks.  Peripherals I give the advantage to Scotty with Steelers D/ST against Celveland and Harrison Butker against Jacksonville.  Joe has Justin Tucker against the Bengals D/ST and Kyle Pitts who doesn’t get any targets.

Division 3:

Brad (1-0) vs. Chase (0-1)

Great matchup on paper!  Chase has Josh Allen looking to rebound against the Raiders.  Brad has Trevor Lawrence in a potential shootout with Kansas City.  KC is hoping to have Kelce back and will get Chris Jones back on defense, which could impact Lawrence’s production.  KC isn’t the only one hoping to have Kelce back as Chase would love to deploy the stud against Brad’s Chig Okonkwo.  At RB Chase has James Cook in the Las Vegas game and Khalil Herbert going up against Tampa Bay.  Herbert is looking dicey after only one week of play as Roschon Johnson looked good in limited action, albeit at the end of the game when the Packers were already up big.  Khalil should be fine, but Tampa Bay did a decent job stopping Alexander Mattison the Vikings rush attack in Week 1.  For Brad he has two plodders in Dameon Pierce against Indy and David Montgomery vs. Seattle.  Both have favorable matchups in games they should win.  No clear advantage.  At wide receiver Chase has Amari Cooper @ Pittsburgh.  Last week Brandon Aiyuk carved up the Steelers defense and Cooper will hope to replicate on Monday Night Football.  Last season against Pittsburgh Cooper had one boom game and one bust game.  The boom was in Week 3 where he went 7 receptions on 11 targets for 101 yards and a touchdown.  The bust came in Week 18 when it didn’t really matter.  He caught 2 balls for 51 yards.  Chase has Brandon Aiyuk fresh off the two touchdown game going up against the LA Rams.  Metcalf got an early touchdown against this secondary buy Aaron Donald took over and Seattle couldn’t get much going.  Chase will also deploy CeeDee Lamb against the Jets.  Stefon Diggs was able to carve them up on Monday Night Football, so look for Lamb to have a decent outing.  For Brad he too will deploy trips wide receivers.  He has Amon-Ra St. Brown against Seattle who made Puca Nacua look like Cooper Kupp with 10 catches on 15 targets for 119 yards.  Brad has AJ Brown against the Vikings on Thursday Night Football.  And Calvin Ridley against the Chiefs for the T-Law/Ridley stack.  Peripherals show a clear advantage Chase with Travis Kelce against the Jags, Browns D/ST against Pittsburgh now without Diontae Johnson, and Jason Myers in a dome against Detroit.  Brad has Chig Okonkwo vs. LA Chargers, Eagles D/ST against a Minnesota team that turned it over 3 times against the Bucs in week 1, and Brandon McManus against KC.  Should be a great game.

Trey (0-1) vs. Moose (1-0)

T- Money is hoping to bounce back from the Week 1 defeat, but must face the juggernaut 4-time champion Moose to do it.  Moose has been decimated by injuries to his 1st round, 3rd round, and 6th round draft picks.  He’ll be without Cooper Kupp and Diontae Johnson at least in this game, with the possibility of missing out on Mark Andrews and Kenny Gainwell as well.  Trey will deploy Justin Fields against a Tampa Bay team that caused Minnesota to turn the ball over frequently.  Fields didn’t look great in Week 1 and only scored a respectable 14.5 points after scoring a late touchdown in garbage time.  Moose will have Lamar Jackson who also had a dud in Week 1.  He posted on social media that they had rust.  He travels to Cincy to go up against division foe Joe Burrow.  At RB Trey will have Bijan Robinson against Green Bay and Jamaal Williams @ Carolina, both favorable matchups.  Moose will have Tony Pollard against the Zach Wilson led Jets and Breece Hall against the juggernaut Dallas team.  At Wide Receiver Trey will have Chris Olave vs. Carolina, DK Metcalf @ Detroit, and DJ Moore @ Tampa Bay.  Moose will go double rookies Jordan Addison in the TNF matchup against the Eagles secondary that made Kendrick Bourne look like Davante Adams and Puka Nacua who did his best Cooper Kupp impression in Week 1.  In the Flex we’ll have to see who Moose goes with if Kenny Gainwell is out due to his rib injury.  Most likely Joshua Kelley (depending on Ekeler’s status), Michael Thomas, Elijah Moore or Zay Jones.  Peripherals look even with Trey having Juwan Johnson @ Carolina, 49ers D/ST against the Rams, and Younghoe Koo against Green Bay.  Moose will feature Mark Andrews (if he plays) or Luke Musgrave against Atlanta.  Saints D/ST against Carolina and Jake Moody @ LA Rams.  Still a lot in the air for injuries this week, but it should be a big time Week 2 matchup.

Thanks for reading and best of luck this week!

Maryanne Smith League Season 23 Draft Grades

Annual Disclaimer: Opinions are like assholes, everyone has one.  This is my opinion.  Last Year These were the Draft Grades:

  1. Mike: A+
  2. Caleb: A
  3. Ben: A
  4. Stephen: B+
  5. Max: B+
  6. Quentin: B
  7. Logan: B
  8. Brad: B
  9. Josh: C
  10. Andy: C-

And these were the Final Standings:

  1. Brad
  2. Logan
  3. Andy
  4. Mike
  5. Stephen
  6. Ben
  7. Josh
  8. Caleb
  9. Quentin
  10. Max

So the playoff teams were ranked #1, #7, #8, and #10.  At least I called Mike having a good team last year.  Let’s see how I do this year!

  1. Stephen.

Stephen gets the #1 Pick and goes with the smash Justin Jefferson pick.  Jefferson led the NFL in both catches with 128 and receiving yards with 1,809 last season.  He was the youngest player in NFL history to lead the league in both.  He is 24.  He is an LSU guy.  And I’m bullish on the Vikings offense this season.  18 picks later Stephen was up again at the 2/3 turn.  He went with Jaylen Waddle (WR#7 last year) and Chris Olave (WR#25 last year).  Olave is looking to make a sophomore jump in Year 2.  WR’s typically perform 101.4% in their second season comparing ppr points by the number of years in the NFL to players career baseline averages.  Waddle is the perfect fit in Mike McDaniels offense and I see no reason for him to not repeat his big play 2022 season.  This gives Stephen the best trio of Wide Receivers in the league by far.  In Round 4/5 turn Stephen went with two Vikings in TJ Hockenson and Alexander Mattison.  Hockenson finished as the #2 Tight End last year and I look for him to pick up where he left off last season (at least while Jordan Addison gets acclimated into the NFL).  Expect a little pep in his step after signing a 4 year, $66,000,000 contract making him the highest paid tight end in the league.  Evan Silva placed a large bet on Mattison to win the rushing title with 40:1 odds.  To quote the big dog himself, “Alexander Mattison inherits Dalvin Cook’s workhorse role after re-signing a two-year, $7 million deal, 91% of which is guaranteed.  Mattison possesses prototypical feature back size (5-foot-11/ 221) and has been treated commensurately by Vikings coaches in past opportunities to spell Cook; Mattison’s touch counts in his past five starts were 24, 32, 32, 25, and 16.  Last year, Mattison outplayed Cook on a one-to-one basis, finishing 16th in PFF rushing grade compared to Cook’s 64th overall placement… I’m willing to draft Mattison aggressively above his ADP this season.”  Mattison has had a small injury this offseason and Vikings have been rumored to want to sign another back for depth, but it sure looks like Mattison is in line for a Top 15 RB season.  In Round 6/7 Stephen was looking for depth pieces at RB and went with JK Dobbins and James Cook.  Great selections.  Dobbins knee looks disgusting but he’s playing and this is redraft, so I don’t have a problem with seeing what he can do in Todd Monken’s offense.  James Cook should take the lions share of the running back work for Buffalo now that Devin Singletary is a Texan, but look for Damien Harris and/or Latavius Murray to be an annoyance, stealing some goal line work (if Josh Allen doesn’t steal it that is).  I might have gone White over Cook, but that’s more conservative and with your zero running back approach to the first 4 rounds the swing for the fences appeal of Cook makes sense.  He’s certainly on a better offense.  In Rounds 8 and 9 you went David Montgomery and Gabe Davis.  Good depth pieces as Montgomery could be the Jamaal Williams of the Lions offense this season.   In Round 10 you went with Anthony Richardson and Courtland Sutton.  Sutton has Top 25 WR potential this year with the injuries to Jeudy and Sean Payton running the show.  Of course he is still at the mercy of Russel Wilson, so it’s good that he’s a depth piece and won’t be relied on.  As far as Richardson goes I predict he will finish the year as a Top 12 Fantasy Qb.  Like I said in the draft comparing Anthony Richardson to Derrick Henry.  Richardson is taller, heavier, and faster.  His head coach was Jalen Hurts’ head coach.  They are designing the offense around him.  In the preseason game against the Eagles he ran for 38 yards in the first half.  He had another run called back for holding.  His completion percentage was rough, but they drove down the field and scored on 3 possessions (17 points).  If you can look past completion percentage and look at fantasy stats then Richardson is going to be a great fantasy Qb in Year 1.  In Round 12 and 13 you and Michael had a weird moment where he made your pick for you?  He was like Rashod Bateman is available.  Are you taking him Stephen?  Stephen was hesitant and then said “yeah”.  Don’t know what that was all about.  I know Stephen Danley’s team name was famously “Your Sister’s Keeper” so his Michael trying to be named “My Brother’s Keeper”.  Super Weird.  Stephen also took Danny Dimes and Geno Smith.  He could have 3 Top 15 Qbs.  Good for depth, tough to choose a starter.

Draft Grade: A.  Stephen’s team is going to get so many freaking targets it’s going to be insane.  Drafting 1st is a huge advantage and Stephen took advantage of the advantage.  Advantageous.  Stephen’s team is a contender.

  1. Caleb.

Caleb goes Christian McCaffrey.  Run CMC looked great for the Niners.  He took over Deebo Samuel’s previous role as the Wide-Back.  I’m sure they will try to keep him fresh and sprinkle in an annoying amount of Elijah Mitchell, but I’m okay with the pick.  Looking at the Round 2/3 Running Backs I don’t blame you.  I still would have gone Ja’Marr Chase, but to each their own.  In the 2nd you had Jalen Hurts drop to you.  Hurts averaged almost 30 points per game last year.  He only finished as Fantasy Qb#3 because he got injured and missed Weeks 16 and 17.  To the detriment of Andy last year.  In the 3rd you stacked Hurts with Devonta Smith.  Smith has drawn Marvin Harrison comparisons and should continue to be 1B to AJ Brown’s 1A roll.  This stack could win you some weeks.  In Round 4 you went Kenneth Walker III.  Walker is Evan Silva’s RB#11 and he has him ranked higher than Gibbs, Jones, Etienne, and Mixon, so you might’ve sneaked in a Top 10 RB as your RB2.  Concern is the high draft capital used on Zach Charbonnet, but I see Walker as the true starter and Charbonnet as just a backup for now.  In Round 5 you went with Breece Hall.  This was a little early for me as I see him being in a time share with Dalvin Cook for most of the season, but he has late season breakout potential (and if you read my Mattison portion of Stephen’s grade you’ll see that Dalvin isn’t the Dalvin that he used to be).  Sometimes players coming back from ACL tears can have some soft tissue issues like hamstring pulls and things like that, so that’s the concern, but as a high risk/high reward RB3 I’m okay with it.  I probably would have gone conservative and gone with Dameon Pierce to secure the volume.  In Round 6 and 7 you drafted your WR2 and WR3 and both of these picks were horrendous and disgusting.  You have 30-year-old Tyler Lockett on a team that just drafted arguably the best wide receiver in the 2023 draft class JSN.  WR’s entering their 9th season typically have a drop off statistically and do not hit their baseline average performance.  You went with Chris Godwin who gets a significant downgrade at Qb going from Brady to Baker.  The offensive line is atrocious, and you know what Brady was good at?  Quick release.  You know what Baker is bad at?  Quick release.  In Round 8 you went with Michael Pittman Jr.  He’s going to have some good weeks and could be Anthony Richardson’s #1 WR, but it’s going to be a frustrating ride.  When will Richardson’s accuracy be on and when will it be off?  Good luck.  In Round 9 you went with Isiah Pacheco.  Love the depth piece.  He could start for you some weeks in the flex and be a good running back to plug in if you have injuries.  Gibson, Toney, Chig, and Achane.  Gibson is a solid depth running back.  Toney is a gadget player.  He looked cool in the playoffs.  They drew up a lot of creative stuff for him.  If his injury history and off field issues can subside for a couple of freaking weeks we might be able to see what he can do because they’ve treated him like their #1 Wide Receiver all offseason.

Draft Grade: C+.  You are in the “Could potentially compete” category.  Your Wide Receivers are rough.  You would have been better off going with Chase-Smith and having your RB’s be Walker-Hall/Pacheco/Gibson instead of Smith-Lockett.  What a shame (in Gordon Ramsey’s voice)

  1. Quentin.

Congrats again on your new addition Q!  You read the book!  Get the Top Tight End!  Travis Kelce.  He’s entering his age 34 season, but with his playing style he has a chance to extend his career beyond normal expectations.  He catches, runs smooth, and gets down gently.  He reminds me of Marvin Harrison sometimes the way he gets down to avoid injury.  I wouldn’t have taken him over Ja’Marr Chase, but this gives you a guy scoring Top 5 RB numbers while half of the league is going to be praying for 6-10 points from their Tight End spot.  It’s a huge advantage.  Also, at a celebrity golf tournament at Lake Tahoe last month I saw him shotgun a beer and talk smack with a Niners fan about whether he’s the top tight end or not.  It was awesome.   In Round 2 you had 2022 WR#3 Davante Adams fall into your lap.  Adams proved last year Qb doesn’t matter as much.  He had 180 targets last year.  Jimmy G is comparable to Derek Carr in my opinion.  Also, I watched him play golf at the same celebrity golf tournament and he has a decent swing.  In Round 3 you went Patrick Mahomes who (you guessed it) I saw at that celebrity golf tournament at Lake Tahoe.  This gives you a solid trio in Mahomes-Kelce-Adams.  Solid Qb1, WR1, and TE1.  Great start.  In Round 4 you took Keenan Allen.  I hated this pick.  He wasn’t at the golf tournament.  Just kidding just kidding that’s not why I hate it.  Allen wasn’t the best WR for the Chargers the last two seasons.  That was Mike Williams.  Allen is constantly hurt and they drafted Quentin Johnston for a reason.  You needed a RB1 and instead you chose a questionable WR2.  I like the Chargers this year, so maybe if he can stay healthy he can do something, but I feel like this was the pick that is going to bury you this season.  You could’ve taken Alexander Mattison and had a solid RB1.  Ouch.  In Round 5 you took Amari Cooper.  Cooper will be a better WR2 than Allen.  Cooper finished as the WR#10 last year and there is no reason to doubt he won’t repeat that success now that he’s had more time with Watson at Qb.  In Round 6 you took Cam Akers as your RB1.  What a crazy year last year for the Rams.  They were going to trade Akers, then no they weren’t.  Darrell Henderson starts.  Then they cut Henderson.  Akers was coming off the torn Achilles in 2021.  Which is normally a death sentence for running backs (see James Robinson, Marlon Mack, etc).  The offensive line sucks.  I haven’t touched Akers this season.  Only bright spot is he did finish 2022 with 3 straight 100 yard games.  I guess that’s some form of hope to build on this year.  In Round 7 you took your RB2 in James Conner.  I saw a meme online that said Conner is expected to score 100% of the rushing touchdowns for the Cardinals this season.  That’s right, all four of them.  Conner is a decent volume player.  Keontay Ingram isn’t going to outplay him.  But this team could be historically bad.  I would have gone Rachaad White over him.  Who is also a volume play, but on a slightly better team.  Slightly.  In Round 8 you took Raheem Mostert.  This was a good pick.  This gives you an actual running back to start in Week 1.  In Rounds 9 and 10 you took Michael Thomas and Skyy Moore.  Couple of sleeper wide receivers to give you some depth behind your starting trio.  I liked the Elijah Mitchell and Kenneth Gainwell picks.  Mitchell is a handcuff for CMC in Kyle Shanahan’s offense and Gainwell is rumored to be the 3rd down and two-minute offense back for the Eagles.  These are lucrative roles.  A little bit better if we were full ppr, but I like the flier when you consider the injury histories of D’Andre Swift and Rashaad Penny.

Draft Grade: D+.  I loved your trio to start.  Mahomes-Kelce is going to be fun for you to watch.  Especially when they score a touchdown and you get the coveted 10 point swing against your opponent.  But your WR2 and running backs are atrocious.  I don’t see you being a contender this season unless you manage the heck out of this roster.  Trade, free agents, waivers.  Make it work.

  1. Andy.

Ja’Marr Chase really fell to you at 4?!?  What a gift from the heavens.   Burrow to Chase should continue to be awesome.  Chase finished as WR#12 last year, but that was due to him missing a few games after he allegedly injured his hip celebrating a touchdown.  In the offseason it was reported that Chase has a woman stalker who is threatening him and his mother leading him to file a restraining order.  They hooked up one night and he wind up with a stage five clinger situation as a result.  This might explain the broken hip last year.  I digress.  He provides a great floor and robust ceiling each week for Andy in the WR1 position.  In Round 2 Andy goes with Garret Wilson over Davante Adams.  All my rankings had Adams over Wilson this season.  I understand the allure of Rodgers and the Jets.  Adams plays on the Raiders and have one of the hardest schedules this year.  Wilson reminds me of a young Julio Jones.  I still would have picked Adams here.  This was a bold move, so we’ll see if it pays off for Andy or if it bites him in the butt.  In Round 3 he went rookie running back Jaymr Gibbs.  I read somewhere that rookie running backs drafted in the Top 12 picks of the NFL draft have gone on to finish as RB1’s (Top 12) in their rookie seasons.  Andy is banking on that with the Gibbs pick for his RB1.  We’ll have to see how the Lions split the work with David Montgomery.  Khalil Herbert was able to rip the starting job away from Montgomery in Chicago last season.  So he’s lost work to a more talented back before.  Does it happen again?  In Round 4 Andy got his RB2 in Aaron Jones.  Jones finished as RB#9 last year with a 56% workload compared to AJ Dillon’s 44%.  He was Aaron Rodgers favorite.  He is getting up there in age for a RB, but look for the Packers to rely on the run while they work in Jordan Love into his new role as the franchise Qb.  I liked what I saw in his limited preseason action.  In Round 5 Andy went with Joe Burrow!  A top 5 Fantasy Qb and the stack with Chase.  Nice!  Love the 10 point plays anytime they connect for a touchdown.  In Round 6 Andy went with Diontae Johnson.  Johnson gets a lot of targets, catches, and yards, but never touchdowns.  I do think the Steelers are set up to do better this year.  Little bit better offensive line.  Little bit better schedule.  Solid WR3.  In Round 7 you took Dalvin Cook.  Meh.  He wasn’t very good last year.  Breece Hall will cap his potential.  If Hall misses time he’ll be a good starter for you.  But I see him as most handcuff and less of a flex then most people.  In Round 8 you took Javonte Williams.  Williams is coming off of that devastating knee injury.  18.5% of players that have this type of knee injury return to their previous skill level.  All reports have been positive and make it seem like Williams could increase that percentage.  But look for him to start slow as they ease him back in.  In Round 9 you took Marquise Brown.  He was balling to start the year last year, but then the Cardinals fell apart.  We’ll see if Kyler plays this year or not.  That will be the key for Brown.  In Round 10 you took Jamaal Williams.  Great pick.  Gives you a RB2/Flex to start the year.  In Round 11 you took Jaxon Smith-Njigba.  Top rated rookie in the 2023 class gets a pass happy Seahawks team.  Don’t sleep on JSN now.  In Round 12 you took your first tight end in Cole Kmet.  He just isn’t good.  I don’t get it.  He finished TE#7 last year but only because he fell into the endzone a couple times at the end of the season.  Liked the Sam LaPorta pick though.  He should start and play right away for the Lions and replace TJ Hockenson role.

Draft Grade: B+.  Tight End is rough, but solid core and depth.  Andy is a contender.

  1. Ben.

Austin Ekeler.  #1 Fantasy RB last year.  Helped Logan make it to the Super Bowl.  He is capped a little bit in the lack of rushing volume, but his efficiency is just crazy.  There were 8 games last year where he had 12 or less carries.  But he scored 18 touchdowns and caught 107 passes on 127 targets.  I like Ekeler to repeat as a Top 5 RB even with some touchdown regression.  In Round 2 you went with CeeDee Lamb.  I’m okay with this pick.  Lamb is a beast.  Finished as WR#6 last year.  Brandin Cooks on the outside should help him find room in the middle.  Dalton Schultz is gone.  I see him repeating his Top 10 WR success from a year ago.  In Round 3 you took Josh Allen.  This bummed me out. I wanted Allen for the Allen-Diggs stack.  Plus I yelled “Farm Strong!” at Allen at the celebrity golf tournament at Lake Tahoe and he turned around and laughed.  Solid trio to start in Allen-Ekeler-Lamb.  In Round 4 you took Najee Harris.  Harris is thunder to Jaylen Warren’s lightning.  Warren could Tony Pollard Najee’s ass, but I don’t think it happens this season.  The offensive line is better and the schedule is better, so I think Najee is an okay RB2.  Will depend on his touchdown total on whether he was the better pick over Aaron Jones, Kenneth Walker, and Alexander Mattison.  I would’ve taken those three over him personally.  Round 5 you took DeAndre Hopkins.  We’ll see how much he has left in the tank.  Between Hopkins, Burks, and Chig Onkonwo the Titans have some very athletic pass catchers.  Let’s see if Ryan Tannehill’s ankle is finally healed and if he can get his playmakers the ball.  It’s an interesting pick and not one I would’ve made.  In Round 6 you took Miles Sanders.  Sanders was RB #13 last year for the Eagles and he won a lucrative contract to join Bryce Young and the Carolina Panthers.  The Panthers ran pretty good some weeks when Steve Wilks had taken over as the interim head coach so I like Sanders this year.  I’m a little worried about the groin issue that has kept him out of most of the offseason program, but if he’s cleared he could repeat his Top 15 success.  I liked him over Akers, Dobbins, and Cook, so good job.  In Round 7 you took injured Terry McLaurin.  Washington looked good and I’m bullish on Sam Howell this season (as evident of me taking a backup Qb in a 10 man league).  But McLaurin has turf toe.  These injuries can linger.  He avoided IR, so we’ll see if it’s a 1 week or multiple week injury.  In Round 8 you took Jeudy.  Almost like you have a hurt wide receiver fetish or something.  Three straight picks of players with injuries.  Old Fashions, Chris Herron Documentaries, and players injured in the preseason.  We’re finally learning more about the mysterious Ben Hogan as time goes on.  In Round 9 he took D’Andre Swift ensuring his IR spots will be full this season.  In Round 10 he took Evan Engram.  He took a pair of Browns in Rounds 11 and 12 with Elijah Moore and David Njoku.  Those were good value picks.

Draft Grade: D.  Allen-Ekeler-Lamb is phenomenal.  Great start.  Then you tanked.  Straight to the bottom.  I have you in the Bottom and not contending for a title this season.

  1. Josh.

Oh boy.  Congratulations on your upcoming nuptials.  I hope your wedding goes smoother than this fantasy draft did for you because… whew!  Just kidding (or am I?).  In Round 1 you took Tyreek Hill.  I love it!  Great pick Josh!  He has been vocal about his goal of getting 2000 yards receiving this season.  Hill is just crazy enough to do it too.  When he says that.  I believe him.  Loved this pick.  Stop the count!  Grade his draft now!  A!  Great job Josh!  If only these drafts were one round, am I right?  In Round 2 you took Josh Jacobs.  Jacobs isn’t happy about being franchise tagged and was threatening to sit out since a long-term deal wasn’t reached.  I don’t blame the guy, he set career highs last year in attempts (340), rushing yards (1653), receiving yards (400), average rush (4.9) and tied his high rushing touchdown number (12).  Jacobs is a victim of the running back market.  They have a short career and are highly replaceable.  Jacobs put it all out there last season.  Played hurt.  Overcame adversity and put on dazzling performances including that 33 rush, 229-yard, 2 touchdown performance against the Seahawks in November.  Once running backs get paid it’s not pretty.  (See Le’Veon Bell, Ezekiel Elliot, Todd Gurley, etc.)  Jacobs did end his holdout and report and they worked out a 1-year deal that is a little bit better than the franchise tag like similar to Saquon Barkley’s contract for this year.  But Jacobs reported and looked a bit overweight if I’m being honest.  And will he be willing to play through injury like he did last year?  Now that the Raiders have shown their hand, should he risk injuring himself further for a team that might not be competing later in the season for a playoff spot with their brutal schedule this year?  Over CeeDee Lamb, Davante Adams.  Hell I would have preferred you go Jaylen Waddle and just rename your team the Miami Dolphins.  Every offseason I crap on Josh Jacobs and then he balls out.  Maybe that will happen again.  Maybe.  In Round 3 you went Deebo Samuel.  I give up.  This is the scene from Liar Liar when Jim Carrey is drinking water then spits it out and yelling “Come On!”.  Last year he was mad about his contract because of the “wide-back” position he held in 2021.  Then he got hurt.  Then they traded for Christian McCaffrey.  Auyik began to ascend.  Deebo should be healthy this year, but what is his role?  CMC took the wide-back.  Kittle was catching the redzone TDs.  Auyik was moving the sticks on 3rd down.  What’s left for Deebo?  He does have the potential to take a screen pass to the house and this offseason he is reportedly looking very healthy.  So, we’ll see.  Over Metcalf and Higgins though.  Lord.  In Round 4 you went with Travis Etienne Jr.  Tank Bisby is the backup and looks good, but I believe in Etienne.  I think he’s a solid RB2 for you.  I’m not buying the hype on Bisgby and see him more of a handcuff.  Jags offense looks killer this year so solid pick Josh.  In Round 5 you went Alvin Kamara.  Suspended for 3 games, but the Saints have the easiest schedule this year.  Not terrible.  I would have gone Fields or Waller or Pierce or Herbert or someone else, but it won’t be as bad as a pick as people might suspect.  In Round 6 you took George Kittle.  Kittle is hurt.  A lot.  But when he played with Purdy last year he caught a lot of touchdowns.  (To end the year last year he caught 7 touchdowns in 4 games).  He took me out in the Best Buy league playoffs.  Jerk.  In Round 7 you took Christian Kirk.  Kirk was WR#11 last year.  But that was before the Jags added Calvin Ridley.  Kirk is the slot wide receiver and so he’ll have value, but this preseason in two wr sets the Jags had Ridley and Zay Jones lined up.  So if Kirk loses snap percentage that could hurt his ceiling even more then the fact that Ridley is there to steal catches and targets from him.  I could see him being Top 30, but not Top 15 again.  In Round 8 you reach for Tua Tagovailoa giving you the Tua-Tyreek stack.  Nice.  Like the stack, but not really how early you drafted him.  In Round 9 you took Jakobi Meyers.  Meyers might be the 4th best pass catching option on a Raiders team with Jimmy G at Qb with the toughest schedule.  Over Addison.  Over Dotson.  Over Burks.  Over Flowers.  Over Cooks.  Stop the count.  I can’t do it anymore.

Draft Grade: F.  I hope I’m wrong.  I want Josh to succeed in fantasy football.  I’m sorry you were travelling during the draft and were probably beat down and tired.  If there’s a consolation to my brutal grade it’s that your team has a lot of talent and is very explosive.  You could manage this team.  Trades, waiver, etc.

  1. Logan.  

Logan recovering from the asterisk bowl and the sick burn Brad dropped on the group text message the day before the draft.  Comes in hot and takes the Prince that was Promised.  Bijan Robinson.  He played very limited action, but boy did he look good in it.  Bijan Robinson, rookie out of Texas and newest addition to the Atlanta Falcons.  Couple Bijan’s talent with Atlanta’s run first mentality, #2 easiest strength of schedule according to Warren Sharp, the wide-open NFC South, and their offseason additions on their defense and offensive line, I’m bullish on Bijan to waste no time in being a fantasy superstar.  CMC was going in the 3rd round of redraft his rookie season and he didn’t disappoint.  Their previous starter Tyler Allgeier rushed admirably last season, breaking Atlanta’s rookie rushing record while ranking #2 in the NFL in EPA/attempt among all RBs with 100+ carries.  Excerpt from Warren Sharps NFL Preview book, “Arthur Smith’s scheme last year allowed his Falcons RBs to rank: #1 in rushing yards, #1 yards per carry, #1 rushing first downs, #2 in EPA/rush, #3 in success rate.”  They also drafted Matthew Bergeron in the 2nd round who will most likely move to guard and was a much better run blocker than pass blocker at Syracuse.  They also signed a ton of defensive free agents like Jessie Bates III (Safety), David Onuemata (DL), Kaden Ellis (LB), Calais Campbell (DL), Jeff Okudah (CB), and Bud Dupree (Edge).  Arthur Smith is also sporting a mustache.  He is going to pound the rock and play defense.  Bijan can be a Top 5 fantasy running back.  If he gets 275+ touches I believe he does just that.  They will rotate a bit.  But the potential is there.  Great pick by Logan.  In the 2nd Round you went RB again with Derrick Henry.  Henry is 29 years old and has lots of mileage on those tires.  BUT.  He’s a beast and he plays the Texans twice in the final three weeks including in the Fantasy Football Super Bowl.  So if Logan can make it, can Henry be the one that brings home the title for him?  In Round 3 you went Trip RB with Joe Mixon.  Mixon is much better in games where the Bengals are ahead.  He goes from Top 10 RB in those games to outside of the Top 25 when they are trailing.  A huge discrepancy.  But the Bengals are favored by an average of 5 points each of the first five weeks of the regular season, so not a bad RB3.  In Round 4 he took his first WR in Cooper Kupp.  Love the gutsy call here.  Kupp was a Top 10 pick a couple weeks ago before a hamstring injury was re-aggravated and it went from bad to worse.  He went to go see a specialist.  According to Dr. Jamie Jakes on twitter/x he summarized it as “My translation/speculation: the way the injury occurred does not match up with a typical hamstring strain and or the hamstring is not responding to treatment the way a typical hammy strain does.  My best guess it is a sciatic nerve issue that has been misdiagnosed as a hamstring strain.  Best case scenario it’s something like piriformis syndrome and he’s back in a week.  Worst case is a lumbar spine/disc issue that requires surgery and will likely end his season.”  That is a big range of outcomes.  We’ll see what the diagnosis is when the news drops.  In Round 5 you took Justin Fields.  LOVE IT.  He saved my season last year after I traded for Lamar Jackson and he got injured.  Fields exploded with over 1000 yards rushing.  This offseason he gets an upgrade at Offensive Line and the addition of DJ Moore, which should help a lot.  I like Fields to repeat his Top 10 Fantasy performance this year.  You got good value in Mike Williams in Round 6.  Williams is the #1 on a team that could explode this year.  I’m bullish on the Chargers passing attack (as evident of me drafting Herbert).  This gives you a solid WR1 if Cooper Kupp is out for a long time.  In Round 7 you committed the Cardinal Sin of drafting Kyle Pitts, thus dooming your season.  Pitts is very athletic.  On a run-first team.  With Drake London and Bijan Robinson and unproven Desmond Ridder at QB.  Over Dallas Goedert.  What a shame.  What a shame.  Tsk Tsk Tsk.  In Round 8 you took Mike Evans “in case he gets traded”.  I like it.  Decent starter to throw in if Cooper is out.  Baker sucks, but Evans has gotten 1000 yards in 9 straight seasons to start his career.  Why wouldn’t they rally around that and try to make it 10?  Especially if they aren’t competing in the NFC South this year.  I liked it.  Love Jordan Addison in Round 9.  Takes Adam Thielen’s targets and rookie wide receivers have great back half of the years.  His ceiling is capped by JJ and Hockenson but an injury to either of those two can propel him into WR2 territory.  Decent depth building pieces in Pat Freiermuth, Zach Charbonnet, Jerick McKinnon.

Draft Grade: A.  Your Rb-Rb-Rb strategy was bold.  I like bold.  Fields-Bijan-Henry-Mixon gives you an incredible floor to start the season.  Mike Williams gives you a solid WR1.  If Kupp’s injury is minor you are the favorite to win the super bowl.  If it’s major I still think you can contend.  Contender.

  1. Michael. 

Tony Pollard?!?!  In this economy.  This pick threw me off big time.  I was expecting you to take Saquon or Chubb so I wasn’t prepared to choose between the two.  Pollard was RB#7 last season and now Zeke is gone.  Reminder that Zeke ran 231 times for 876 yards and 12 touchdowns last year.  Mike McCarthy is also taking over play calling duties with Kellen Moore gone to LA and McCarthy has been vocal in his plans to run the ball more.  All these factors spells “smash spot” for Tony Pollard.  Only concern is the fact that he’s coming off a fractured left fibula.  These injuries can take 3-6 months to heal.  The injury occurred in January in the NFC Divisional playoff game against the 49ers.  He was also a free agent heading into the offseason, but the Cowboys invested the franchise tag cost of 1 year $10 million dollar deal to keep Pollard on and unlike some other backs in the league he accepted it and signed.  Almost a little too quickly.  Hopefully the ankle healed up okay.  The fibula isn’t as load bearing as the tibia.  I knew drafting in the back of the draft it was paramount to grab at least 1 running back.  I didn’t expect Mike to go with Pollard, but he secured his RB1 and I’m okay with that.  In Round 2 he went AJ Brown.  Loved AJB.  AJB caught career best 88 catches, 1496 yards, and 11 touchdowns in his first season as an Eagle.  This included WR1 (Top 12) or WR2(Top 24) finishes in 12 out of 17 weeks last year.  He helped me win a championship.  Funny thing that Brad went Diggs and Mike went AJB is that last year Mike had traded Logan for Diggs and Brad had AJB.  So in essence this year they swapped.  I digress.  Excellent start to get a RB1 and WR1.  In Round 3 Mike took Mark Andrews.  Although I traded for Andrews the last two years I was down on him coming into this season.  I think Monken is going to pass more.  But they added Zay Flowers and Odell Beckham Jr.  And Mark Andrews got injured in the preseason.  This has me concerned and I dropped him in my rankings.  I was relieved when Mike took him, because I wanted Waller in the 5th, but I didn’t think he would fall to me.  More on that later.  Mike then went Calvin Ridley in the 4th.  He has been getting so much hype this offseason.  The 28-year-old who will be playing his first ball in almost two years after having an injured riddled fourth season then being suspended all last season for betting on games.  Ridley did finish as PPR WR #5 back in 2020 in his third season/breakout year.  My concern is the crowded weaponry in Jacksonville as much as the rust that may need to be shaken off.  Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, and Evan Engram all had career seasons last year for Jacksonville.  I don’t know how the target share and production is going to be sliced up this year which is cause for concern.  But I do think Ridley is the #1 and I think he’s a solid WR2 for Michael.  In Round 5 you went Christian Watson.  Watson has all the makings of a great wide receiver.  The only question mark is Love.  Seeing Love play in preseason has me more bullish on the Packers then I was.  He looked efficient and sharp.  Watson could have as much as of a sophomore leap as Olave who went 3 rounds earlier.  Could be a big time pick for Michael.  In Round 6 he took T-LAW.  Trevor Lawrence-Calvin Ridley stack is what I did in Best Buy league.  Going to be fun as the Jags have a favorable schedule and should repeat as AFC South Division Winners.  I expect Lawrence to set career highs in passing yards and touchdowns.  In Round 7 you sniped me by taking Rachaad White.  White is going to get volume.  The concern is the offensive line and Baker Mayfield.  But White did well as a rookie.  Leonard Fournette was there and took a lot of work in the passing game at the end of the season, but White should recoup those snaps with Brady and Fournette both gone.  Checking down will be Baker’s specialty this season.  In Round 8 you took Brandon Auyik.  Auyik was WR#15 last year.  That might surprise some people, but with Deebo injured for a lot of the season Purdy looked to Brandon to move the sticks.  Deebo is fully healthy, so I don’t know if Aiyuk regresses or if he is there to stay, but great value.  Round 9 you sniped me again!  Jahan Dotson.  I have a bold prediction that he will catch 12 touchdowns this season.  (If you place a season long bet on that and it cashes make sure to send me a few bucks).  I’m bullish on the Commanders passing attack (as evident of me selecting Sam Howell late). In Round 10 Mike went back to back Commanders with Brian Robinson Jr.  In half ppr I had Gibson ranked higher, but I get wanting to get a starter as one of your backups.  In Round 11 you took Jaylen Warren.  Good handcuff with flex potential.  Round 12 Tank Bigsby.  Another handcuff.  Lots of backup running backs.

Draft Grade: B.  Solid team.  Reached for Pollard, little concerned about Andrews, but lots of depth at RB and WR, which is where it matters.  Having 3 Top 15 WR is in the range of outcomes here.

  1. Brad. 

Back-to-Back Champion seeking the coveted Three-Peat.  It’s never been done before.   There’s only been two other chances for it to happen at all in our 22 previous seasons.  Wade in 2017 and Michael in 2020.  Can Brad do it in 2023?  Probably not.  In the 1st round he wanted to secure a top RB and he went with Saquon Barkley.  Barkley was RB#6 last year and the Giants look to repeat as a playoff team with the addition of Darren Waller.  The deciding factor for taking Barkley over Chubb was Barkley’s 76 targets and 57 receptions in his first season in this offense.  We’ll see if it works out.  In Round 2 Brad went with Stefon Diggs.  Pretty good.   29 years old coming off ppr wr finishes of #4, #7 and #3.  As Allen goes, Diggs goes.  Of course, I’ll never forgive him for the Minnesota Miracle.  I already hate the pick and regret it.  But it gives me a solid RB1-WR1 to start.  In Round 3 I was tested with another tough choice.  DK Metcalf or Tee Higgins.  Wind up going Metcalf due to favorable early season schedule, positive touchdown regression probabilities, and because he’s a manimal.  There’s a funny video online of players reading the NFL script for this season and he reads that he’s going to have a no handed catch when he catches it with his abs.  It’s pretty funny if you haven’t seen it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IlNDNrfwZr0

In the 4th round Brad took Rhamondre Stevenson as his RB2.  Stevenson is coming off of his RB#11 finish.  Damien Harris is replaced by the ghost of Ezekiel Elliot.  I wasn’t concerned about the Zeke signing, but I was concerned about the schedule.  I went with Rhamonster due to his 69 receptions a year ago as I see him able to repeat that success this year.  The core of Barkley-Rhamondre-Diggs-Metcalf is solid.  In Rounds 5 and 6 Brad continued his balance build approach with Darren Waller and Justin Herbert.  Waller looks like he might have 150 targets from Daniel Jones this season.  All offseason Jones has been peppering him with targets.  To the point where a beat writer had said that they took Waller out of practice for a few drives, not because he was hurt or winded, but because they wanted to see Daniel Jones throw to somebody else.  I bought into the hype and I was thrilled he fell to me in the 5th round as I have him finishing as TE#2 behind Travis Kelce this season.  For Herbert, I see Kellen Moore as the key to unlock Herberts potential.  They are going to throw it deep.  I think Ekeler sees regression in terms of rushing touchdowns and Herbert sees positive regression in terms of passing touchdowns.  Last year he was hurt with a lingering and painful rib injury.  He should be healed up and ready to go for his 4th season.  Look for Herbert to lead the league in passing yards this season.  (My bold prediction).  In Round 7 after Mike took White I was stuck.  Since I went with a balanced approach and had my Qb, Rb1, Rb2, Wr1, Wr2, TE I had the flexibility to absorb the risk associated with Johnathan Taylor.  Obviously, Taylor means a lot to me given our 2021 season success together, but I understand that this could be 100% a dud pick.  JT is hurt, disgruntled.  It’s not good.  The hope is that he plays for the minimum games to accrue a season towards the franchise tag OR that he gets traded prior to the deadline to a better team.  I’m not alone in wanting to see what Anthony Richardson and JT could do together, but it’s looking more and more likely like that won’t happen.  High risk pick in the middle of the rounds that could cost Brad big time or secure him a deadly flex play later.  In Round 8 I doubled up on Herbert with Khalil.  The Browns have a VERY favorable schedule down the stretch.  Herbert is better than D’Onta Foreman and Roschon Johnson.  The questions are: can he stay healthy? And how much does Justin Fields take away?  In Round 9 Brad took Treylon Burks.  Burks has the potential to break out this year in his sophomore season much like Olave and Watson.  Burks dropped due to a minor LCL sprain, but he’s already back practicing.  If he misses only a couple weeks it gives Brad a decent WR3/Flex play.  In Round 10 I went with Brandin Cooks.  Cooks on the Cowboys sounded good to me.  He’s like DJ Moore, gets 1000 yards receiving a few touchdowns on any team he goes on.  Just cheaper.  In Round 11 I went AJ Dillon.  Dillon came on strong when the weather got cold for the Packers last year.  Handcuff mostly, but we’ll see if Brad turns to him at some point in the season if he is battling through injuries.  Justin Tucker in the 12th round.  Ridiculous.  I didn’t like anyone here so I reached on a kicker.  Stupid.  Missed out on decent RB depth like Bigsby, McKinnon, Gainwell.  What an idiot.

Draft Grade: B.  Could have been an A.  But you had to get cocky and reach for a kicker.  Stupid.

  1. Max. 

Max drafting from the 10 spot.  Meaning each time he picked we ALL passed on every single one of his players at least once.  Ultimate ability to rub it in our faces if any of them go off this season.  At the Round 1 and 2 turn he went with Nick Chubb and Amon-Ra St. Brown.  Love it.  Chubb is the best pure runner in football and Kareem Hunt who was siphoning off 3rd down and hurry offense snaps is GONE.  Amon-Ra is a target machine.  I expect big things out of the Sun God this season.  I had AJ Brown ranked higher, but I get it.  In Round 3 and 4 you had Tee Higgins drop to you.  You also selected Lamar Jackson.  Higgins would be a WR1 on at least ten teams in the league and this is a contract year for him.  Look for big things out of Tee.  Lamar could realistically win MVP again this season.  Todd Monken is designing an offense with Lamar, side by side.  They added Odell.  Zay Flowers.  Bateman is back.  Look out.  In Round 5 and 6 you took DJ Moore and Dameon Pierce.  Moore took a wobbly screen pass with a broken play on defense to the house in preseason and jettisoned himself up the rankings.  Prior to last season Moore was an automatic for 1100 yards receiving and I think he can get there again.  Does he bring the career high 7 touchdowns with him?  Or does that regress to his average of 4 each year?  Still good for a flex.  Pierce should be a workhorse and he graded very well in breaking tackles last season.  I think this a solid RB2 for Max.  In Rounds 7 and 8 you got good value in Drake London and Dallas Goedert.  I passed on London because I worry about the lack of pass volume in Atlanta.  The hope is he scores a bunch of touchdowns, but with Bijan and Tyler Ageier I think Arthur Smith is going to pound it.  Not a bad depth WR to throw in.  Goedert is on a great offense.  But his volume is a concern.   Better TE then most in the league, but I would still expect more boom or bust weeks out of him.  Rounds 9 and 10 you took Zay Flowers to stack with Lamar and Samaje Perine.  Perine I like.  They invested him in the offseason with Williams coming back from that knee injury.  Solid RB depth piece for you.  Loved Tyler Algeier in Round 11.  Odell in Round 12 is fun.  I don’t think you’ll use him, but who knows maybe he gets hot for a stretch.  Overall exceptional job with drafting.

Draft Grade: A.  Max did a great job picking players that dropped to him.  This gives him a solid core, good depth, and makes him a contender this season.

Draft Grades in Draft Order:

  1. Stephen: A
  2. Caleb: C+
  3. Quentin: D+
  4. Andy: B+
  5. Ben: D
  6. Josh: F
  7. Logan: A
  8. Michael: B
  9. Brad: B
  10. Max: A

Draft Grades in Grade Order with Tiers:

Contenders:

  1. Stephen: A
  2. Max: A
  3. Logan: A

Can Compete:

  1. Andy: B+
  2. Michael: B
  3. Brad: B
  4. Caleb: C+

Better Luck Next Year:

  1. Quentin: D+
  2. Ben: D
  3. Josh: F

I hope you all enjoyed and best of luck to you this season!

-Brad

BBY Dream Team Season 15 Week 1 Preview

Let’s Ride!

JD (0-0) vs. Katon (0-0)

Super Bowl Champion JD!  All Hail!  Battle of two men who could crush me with their pinky fingers.  JD has Daniel Jones against Dallas on Sunday Night Football and Katon has Patrick Mahomes on Thursday Night Football against Detroit.  Mahomes plays like a God in Week 1.  Him and Jared Goff had that epic Mexico City game that ended 54-51 or something crazy like that.  Could this be another lightning and explosive game?  Jones didn’t do great against Dallas last season so I give the advantage to Katon.  At Running back JD has Barkley also against the Dallas Cowboys on SNF and Rachaad White vs. Minnesota.  White is a volume play but the offensive line is bad and Baker Mayfield is the Qb.  Katon has Joe Mixon against the Browns and James Conner against the Commanders.  Mixon should perform well.  Conner is a volume play but the offensive line is bad and Clayton Tune might be the Qb?  Gross.  At Wide Receiver JD has Davante Adams and DeVonta Smith.  Love the combo.  Adams plays Denver and Smith is @ New England.  Katon has Ja’Marr Chase @ Cleveland and he currently has Terry McLaurin in at WR2, but I don’t know if he’s going to be ready to go with that turf toe injury he suffered in the preseason.  At TE JD has George Kittle, but rumor is he won’t be able to play in Week 1 due to injury.  JD does not have a backup TE, so he might have to move Kittle to IR and pick up a free agent to start in Week 1.  Katon has TJ Hockenson who just signed a massive contract to become the highest paid tight end in the league.  Target monster post trade last season, look for him to pick up where he left off while Jordan Addison is getting acclimated to the NFL.  I don’t know if they’ll have to throw a lot against Tampa Bay though.  In the Flex JD has Kenneth Walker against the Rams.  Last year he got hurt in the first game against the Rams.  In the second game he rushed 29 times for 114 yards.   Katon has Isiah Pacheco against Detroit.  Detroit’s run defense was actually pretty good to end the season last year.  Let’s see what they can do against the Chiefs.  JD has Bill’s D/ST and Tyler Bass playing on Monday Night Football against Aaron Rodgers’ Jets.  Katon has Ravens D/ST against CJ Stroud who bombed the S2 Cognitive Test and plays on one of the worst rosters in the NFL.  Ravens have injuries to their secondary so this could be a shootout, but I see Baltimore smashing the Texans in Week 1. Katon has Matt Gay against Jacksonville in the Dome.

Mike (0-0) vs. Jen (0-0)

Battle of the 0 Super Bowls!  (Sorry guys).  I love this matchup.  Mike has Justin Herbert in a shootout against Miami.  Herbert regressed last year in Season 3 due to rib and cartilage injuries.  His rushing stats dropped tremendously, and his touchdowns went down.  I like them to shoot back up this year with Kellen Moore as OC.  Look for his big arm to be highlighted on Sportscenter consistently and I think he starts off big with 3 touchdowns in week 1.  Jen has Deshaun Watson against division rival Cincy.  Watson has looked a little shaky this offseason, so I’m curious to see how he performs Week 1.  Mike has Derrick Henry against New Orleans and Jahymr Gibbs vs. Kansas City.  Will be interesting to see how the Lions backfield shakes out as it has a huge implication on Mike and I’s RB2 spot this season.  Henry should do his normal thing unless the Saints go up early and game script Henry out of the game.  (Could happen with Tennessee’s defense being hot garbage).   Jen has Travis Etienner Jr. against Indy and Javonte Williams vs. Las Vegas.  Jacksonville should beat Indy easily in Week 1 because they are the better team.  Etienne should be used to run out the clock, but I won’t be surprised if he’s pulled late in the game.  For Williams it will be interesting to see how much work he gets.  He had major knee surgery last year.  I don’t see Denver opening the season and giving him the ball 30 times, so what’ll it be?  10 touches? 15? 20?  We’ll find out.  Mike has Garret Wilson on MNF against the Bills and Keenan Allen in that Miami shootout game.  Jen has JJ versus Tampa Bay and Tee Higgins vs. Cleveland.  Love all these wideouts and look for all of them to have above average games in Week 1.  At TE Mike has Pat Freiermuth and Jen has Darren “The Baller” Waller.  Pat usually gets a few catches per game, but I’m concerned that his TD total might stay low with the addition of Darnell Washington.  They could throw him and Pickens on the same side and just throw the ball up and see what happens.  For Jen Darren Waller is a smash start on Sunday Night Football.  Tough matchup against a good Dallas defense, but I still like Waller to get 7-8 targets in Week 1.  Mike has Pats D/ST against the Eagles (good luck with that) and Jen has Packers D/ST against the Bears.  They got exactly 10 points in each games last year against the Bears, so I predict they get 10 points for Jen.  Mike has Eagles kicker Jake Elliot and Jen has Daniel Carlson at altitude.  Advantage Jen.  Should be a great game, but I have a feeling Jen gets the Week 1 W.

Tommy (0-0) vs. Scotty (0-0)

Tommy is coming off his Super Bowl hangover after losing to JD last season.  So close, yet so far away.  Scotty is happy to roster a team that he drafted.  Both are looking to start off 2023 with a W.  Tommy will be starting Captain Kirk at Qb against Tampa Bay.  I like Kirk to throw his normal amount and score about 18 fantasy points.  He’s capped by his lack of rushing ability and Tampa Bay’s secondary is healthy, which wasn’t the case a year ago when they had become a pass funnel.  For Scotty he has Dak Prescott on Sunday Night Football against the division rival G Men.  Dak missed the first matchup last year due to injury but played decent in the second matchup with 14.8 fantasy points.  I like the addition of Brandin Cooks and I think Prescott does a bit better.  Of course, Scotty could start one of his other 2 Qbs he has rostered in Tua who looks to be in a shootout in LA and Derek Carr with a juicy matchup against the Titans whose secondary was God-awful last year.  The Running Back story in this matchup is intriguing.  Both teams loaded up in running backs in the draft.  Tommy took Jacobs.  Scotty JT.  Jacobs ended his holdout and signed.  He’ll look to play in Week 1, but might not get a full workload since he hasn’t been training with the team all summer.  JT is on IR and will miss the first 4 weeks of the regular season.  Tommy will have Austin Ekeler in that shootout against Miami.  Look for Ekeler’s normal high fantasy scoring game of 20ish points.  For Scotty he’ll have Rhamondre Stevenson against Philly and Miles Sanders vs. Atlanta (hopefully).  Scotty is also without Alvin Kamara for the 3 divisional games to start the year.  At WR Tommy has DeAndre Hopkins matched up against Marshon Lattimore and the Saints defense.  At WR2 he’ll most likely start Mike Williams in the Miami game.  The over under is set at 51 as of this writing.  Jalen Ramsey is on IR.  Jerry Juedy is hurt.  For Scotty he’ll have Tyreek Hill against LA.  Hill has been adamant this offseason that he wants to hit 2000 yards.  I think the Crazy Cheetah might just be able to do it too.  Look for him to start off with a bang as I’m predicting over 150 receiving yards in this matchup.  Don’t sleep on Scotty’s WR2 either.  Christian Watson was a manimal his rookie year.  Love looked decent in preseason action.  Once Watson established himself as the #1 WR for the packers he faced the Bears in Week 13 and caught 3 balls for 48 yards and a touchdown and also took a run 46 yards to the house.  22.9 fantasy points.  At Tight End Tommy has Evan Engram and Scotty has Dallas Goedert.  Engram scored most of his fantasy points in 3 games last season and this offseason they added Calvin Ridley.  Against Indy last year he was peppered with targets and caught 7 and 6 receptions, but failed to find the endzone.  For Goedert I like him to put up his average numbers against the Pats.  In the Flex Tommy has Najee Harris against the 49ers and Scotty has Marquise Brown against the Commanders.  I have low expectations for both in Week 1.  As of this writing Tommy has Dolphins D/ST in and Scotty has Steelers D/ST.  I don’t expect much from either.  Kickers don’t matter, but for Scotty he has Butker on the NFL Kickoff game on Thursday, so at least he has that.  Best of luck gentlemen.

Joe (0-0) vs. Kenny (0-0)

Joe versus K-Dub!  These two have well-rounded and robust lineups for this week.  Joe has Joe Burrow @ Cleveland.  He wasn’t great in either game last year against them.  Kenny has Jalen Hurts @ New England.  Patriots defense is usually good, but nobody could stop Jalen last year.  He was averaging about 30 points per game when I lost him to injury.  My replacement Qb scored 15 in the fantasy playoffs and I lost by 15.  Jalen was the key.  In addition to these two stud Qbs both teams feature Top 5 RBs in Joe’s CMC and Kenny’s Nick Chubb.  CMC plays @ Pittsburgh which should be a good game.  Chubb plays Cincy.  Last year Chubb has one boom game (27.9) and one bust game (6.9) versus the Bengals.  Not sure what to expect there.  At RB2 Joe has Aaron Jones against Chicago and Kenny has Cam Akers vs. Seattle.  Jones had one boom game (33.5) and one bust game (7.5) against the Bears last season.  Not sure what to expect there.  Akers versus Seattle last year had two solid outings of 18.5 and 17.3 fantasy points.  At WR the advantage is clearly Kenny.  Joe has a banged up Jaylen Waddle versus LA Chargers and Christian Kirk vs. Indy.  If Waddle plays he would be in a shootout potential matchup and be a smash play.  If.   Kirk had one boom game (22.8) and one bust game (8.8) vs. Indy.  Not sure what to expect there.  I do know that the Jaguars had Ridley and Zay Jones on the field in two wide receiver sets this preseason, so if Kirk is solely the slot guy it’ll be something to pay attention to as that could definitely cap his ceiling this year.  For Kenny he has Stefon Diggs against Sauce Gardner on Monday Night Football.  Last year the Jets did a good job containing Diggs with games of 5 catches for 93 yards and 3 catches for 37 yards, neither of which included a touchdown.  Diggs is an elite talent, so you aren’t sitting him, but expectations should be limited.  Deebo Samuel is at WR2 against Pittsburgh.  Like I said in my draft grades I have no clue what Deebo is going to do this year.  I do know that he can take a slant from Brock Purdy to the house at any moment.  Pittsburgh is tough though.  At Tight End Joe has Kyle Pitts against Carolina and Kenny has David Njoku against Cincy.  I like Njoku out of those two.  The Falcons are going to run the ball and only throw when they need to.  Njoku was pretty good last year prior to injury.  He started 2022 with 4/7 games with 5+ catches.  In the flex Joe has Alexander Mattison and Kenny has Mike Evans vs. Minnesota.  I love both of these flexes this week.  Mattison has the volume, but faces a tough defense.  Evans has the talent, but the average Qb against one of the worst offensive lines in football.  The Vikings defense isn’t that great though, so could be a good matchup.  Joe has Bengals D/ST against Cleveland and Kenny has Dallas D/ST against the Giants.  Last season the Bengals D/ST scored 8 and 9 against the Browns.  Last season the Dallas D/ST scored 14 and 5 against the Giants.  Joe has Justin Tucker against Houston, so look for him to have 6 extra point tries at least.  For Kenny he has Graham Gano on SNF.  Gano had two games of double digit fantasy points against the Cowgirls last season.  Looking at this game one thing I know for sure.  I’m not sure what to expect here.

Chase (0-0) vs. Moose (0-0)

7/14 Titles in this league belong to these two teams here.  (Insert gif of the Joker saying “Half”).  Both teams dropped their kickers to add a player onto their bench prior to kickoff.  Look for them to add a kicker once they look at whatever the hell they are looking at.  O/U?  Weather?  Wind?  Waiting for kickers to finish being cut or traded?  They both have studs at Quarterback.  Josh Allen for Chase against the NY Jets in a potential shootout on Monday Night Football.  Last season he averaged 22.65 points in his two games against the Jets securing 3 rushing touchdowns in those matchups.  For Moose he gets Lamar Jackson who Brad passed on like a dumb fuck.  Jackson gets Houston, so look for him to sit in the 4th quarter.  Last year Jackson started off en fuego with games of 20.1, 50.5, and 42.3 fantasy points.  Add in OBJ, Zay Flowers, and Todd Monken at OC and Jackson might set some records in Week 1.  At RB Chase has James Cook in the MNF matchup and Khalil Herbert against the Bears.  Cook looked explosive in spurts last season, Devin Singletary is gone, Zach Moss is gone, and Nyheim Hines got injured in a jet ski accident.  All Cook needs to do is beat out Damien Harris and Latavius Murray and Josh Allen to secure big running back numbers.  He should secure (at the very least) the 2 minute offense, hurry-up offense, and third down work.  I think he gets a bit more that that, but goal line carries are the main concern.  For Herbert we didn’t get a good sense of what he can do against the Packers last season as the first time they played he was still second fiddle to David Montgomery and he was hurt for the second matchup.  Herbert is good and grades highly in PFF.  For Moose he has Tony Pollard against the Giants and either Breece Hall, Devon Achane, or Jerick McKinnon at RB2.  I’m sure the preference is Breece Hall, but we’ll see if they ease him back into the lineup coming back from that big knee injury.  For Moose it’ll be interesting to see how he plays it as McKinnon plays TNF and Hall doesn’t play until MNF.  At WR Chase has Amari Cooper vs. Cincinnati and Courtland Sutton vs. Las Vegas.  Cooper was the #10 WR last year and has had more time to build rapport with Deshaun Watson.  Last season he had one boom game and one bust game against Cincy.  Sutton did well against Vegas last season scoring 13.7 and 10.5 in his two games against the division foe.  For Moose he’ll most likely be without Cooper Kupp who reaggravated his hamstring so he’ll turn to Diontae Johnson against San Fran, Jordan Addison against Tampa Bay, and Michael Thomas against the Titans.  Two juggernauts at Tight End with Chase having Travis Kelce against Detroit and Moose having Mandrews against Houston.  Chase has Jaguars D/ST against rookie Anthony Richardson and Moose has Saints D/ST against Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry, and DeAndre Hopkins.  Should be a great matchup!

Trey (0-0) vs. Brad (0-0)

T-Money opens the season against 2-Time Champion Brad in a battle of Coast to Coast!  Trey features the dual threat phenom Justin Fields at Qb against the GB Packers.  Last season Fields played them in Week 2 and went for 7/11 passing for 70 yards, 1 Int, 20 yards rushing a rushing touchdown or 8.8 fantasy points.  After he got settled into the season he played them again in Week 13 with much better results throwing 20/25 passes 254 yards, 2 INT, 71 rushing yards, 1 rushing touchdown or 21.1 fantasy points.  I like Fields for 20+ points to start the season off right.  For Brad’s Trevor Lawrence he scored 18.5 and 24.9 fantasy points in his two matchups against the Colts.  Their defense hasn’t gotten much better… At RB Trey has rookie phenom Bijan Robinson against the Carolina Panthers.  Panthers were middle of the pack in run defense last season.  Look for Bijan to enter the league in style.  I like Atlanta to win this game in a blowout and for Bijan to not have to play much going into the 4th quarter.  Trey also has JK Dobbins who Brad passed on in the draft for David Montgomery.  Dobbins has a juicy matchup against Houston.  Brad will have Dameon Pierce against Baltimore and David Montgomery against the Chiefs.   Pierce’s volume potential is massive, but Baltimore was top ten against the run last year and have a couple of hurt cornerbacks.  Look for CJ Stroud to throw a lot in his first NFL regular season game.  For David Montgomery the big question is how are the Lions going to divide up the running back carries.  Will it be Montgomery taking the Jamaal Williams role and Gibbs taking the D’Andre Swift role?  Or will they establish new roles?  Brad is certainly hoping for the former.  At Wide Receiver Trey has Chris Olave in a juicy ass matchup against the Titans.  He also has DK Metcalf against the Rams.  Last season DK went off in Week 13 against the division foe with 8 catches on 8 targets for 127 yards and a touchdown.  JSN might miss week 1 with a broken bone in his wrist and Jalen Ramsey is a Miami Dolphin.  In the Flex Trey has Jamaal Williams who looks to take the lion share of the work in Week 1 given Kendre Miller hurt his hammy and Kamara is suspended for the first 3 weeks.  Look for a BIG week for Williams against the Titans.  For Brad he is starting his trio of Wideouts in Amon-Ra St. Brown, AJ Brown, and Calvin Ridley.  Ridley against the Colts.  Look for the Jags to get him a score to boost his confidence in his first game action in almost two years.  He will be emotional.  Amon-Ra look for him to get pepper with 10-12 targets and 7-8 catches as the only other weapons are aging Marvin Jones Jr. and rookie Sam LaPorta.  AJB faces New England who has a knack of taking away a teams best player.  Only problem is who do you take away for the Eagles?  They have too many weapons.  This will be AJ Brown’s first time facing the Patriots since his rookie season where he played 95% of snaps in a playoff game and only came away with 1 reception on 1 target for 4 yards.  At Tight End Trey is going with Trip Saints Juwan Johnson.  Brad is looking at Greg Dulcich against the Raiders with all of the injuries to the Denver wideouts.  Trey has 49ers D/ST against Pittsburgh and Brad has Eagles D/ST against New England.

As always best of luck to all of you!

-Commish aka B-Razzle Dazzle aka Fantasy Football Brad