Round 2 Recap:

5. Chase (7-7) 99.1 vs. 1. JD (11-3) 122.5

JD moves on the Super Bowl!  He overcame some terrible play from Bam Knight on TNF (1.8), and questionably started Juwan Johnson in swirling 30 mph winds that felt like -10 degrees in Cleveland for some reason, but he was carried by his big 3: Patrick Mahomes 23.6, Austin Ekeler 21.9, and CeeDee Lamb 32.0.  Chase had good performances out of Kirk Cousins 24.0, Travis Kelce 17.3, and his kicker Brett Maher with 18, but single digits for 6/9 starters and he failed to crack 100 points.  A new champion will be crowned in Season 14.

3. Brad (10-4) 131.8 vs. 2. Tommy (10-4) 150.3

Tommy’s team balled out.  Brad put up a solid and respectable 131.8, but it wasn’t enough.  Tommy had Joe Burrow throw for 375 yards and 3 touchdowns for 26.5 fantasy points, Tom Brady decided to throw it to Lenny Fournette a thousand fucking times for 20.7 fantasy points, Derrick Henry did NOT rush for 200 yards, only 126 and a touchdown.  Kittle caught 2 touchdowns for 30 points.  Brad started the right tight end and got an extra 3 points for switching out his kicker, but shit.  Brad was carried by his wideout duo of Waddle (27.8) and Justin Jefferson (28.3).  Points Leader falls in the Semi’s.  A new champion will be crowned in Season 14.

Bottom Bowl Recap:

Round 2

Game 1:

Joe 110.6 vs. Jen 112.0

Jen advances to Game 1 of Round 3 and is guaranteed either 5 or 6 balls in the draft lottery next year. Congrats Jen!  Joe drops to Game 2 of Round 3 and will either have 3 or 4 balls in the draft lottery.

Game 2:

Katon 99 vs. Kenny 66.4

Katon advances to Game 1 of Round 3 and is guaranteed either 5 or 6 balls in the draft lottery next year. Congrats Katon!  Kenny drops to Game 3 of Round 3 and will either have 2 or 1 ball in the draft lottery.  Whomp whomp

Game 3:

Scotty 84.8 vs. Trey 86.0

Trey advances to Game 2 of Round 3 and will either have 3 or 4 balls in the draft lottery depending on if he beats Joe or not.  Scotty drops to the bottom of the bottom to face Kenny with only 1 or 2 balls as the consolation prize.

SUPER BOWL 14 PREVIEW:

1.JD (11-3)  vs. 2. Tommy (10-4)

JD and Tommy have never met in the post season.  The closest they came was back in 2014 when they both made the Final Four.  JD advanced to the Super Bowl, but Tommy did not, falling to the eventual champion Scotty in the Semi’s.  JD is 0-2 in Super Bowls.  Tommy is 0-1.  The big story of this Super Bowl is Running Backs.  JD had the 3^rd pick and picked Austin Ekeler.  Tommy had the 5^th pick and took Derrick Henry.  Austin Ekeler is currently RB #3 and Derrick Henry is currently RB #2.  Both of these studs are at risk this week as Titans don’t have any reason to try against Dallas on TNF and will most likely bench Derrick Henry to save him for next week’s AFC South Crown matchup against Jacksonville.  For JD Austin Ekeler banged up his knee on the last play of the game in the Chargers victory against the Colts on Monday Night Football.  They have secured a playoff spot and will either be the 5, 6, or 7 seed, so rushing Ekeler back doesn’t make a lot of sense.  Tommy won this matchup earlier this season in Week 5 149.5 to JD’s 106.5.  Both of the studs mentioned went off in this matchup.  Ekeler had 36.9 for JD and Henry had 29.2 for Tommy.  This biggest difference in that game was Tommy’s RB2 Lenny Fournette scoring 30.9 versus JD’s RB2 James Robinson getting 4.9 AND Tommy’s Dallas D/ST getting 24.0 against the Rams versus JD’s Miami D/ST getting -1 against the Jets.  Tommy started Kareem Hunt in the flex in that game, who scored a touchdown.  With Henry listed as doubtful as of this writing, Tommy might have to go dumpster diving in the waiver wire or roll with Hunt yet again.

MATCHUPS:

Quarterback:

Tommy features #4 Qb Joe “Big Dick” Burrow against Buffalo on Monday Night Football.  What more can you want?  Your season potentially coming down to an AFC duel between Josh Allen’s Bills and Joe Burrow’s Bengals?  It’s going to be epic.  JD will have #1 Qb Patrick Mahomes who might be winning the MVP award this season.  He faces a Denver team in disarray who fired their head coach this week.  Their defense has been their only bright spot, but that didn’t stop Mahomes from throwing for 352 yards and 3 touchdowns against them just 3 weeks ago @ Denver.  Two of the best dueling it out here.

Running Backs:

This was supposed to be #2 versus #3, Stud Rb versus Stud Rb.  But now both are in doubt.  I just got confirmation that Henry will be INACTIVE tonight versus Dallas.  JD smartly picked up Tennessee backup rookie out of Michigan Hassan Haskins who will be playing in a garbage game against Dallas on TNF.  He also picked up Khalil Herbert to block Tommy.  Tommy looks as though he’s going to roll with his rostered running backs of #13 Leonard Fournette in a battle against the Panthers with the season on the line and Kareem Hunt in a tough matchup against Washington.  Hunt hasn’t been flex worthy for most of this season and Nick Chubb will be playing, limiting Hunt’s potential.  Tommy will hope for a touchdown.  On JD’s side he’ll hold out hope for Austin Ekeler to play, but if he doesn’t he can turn to Joshua Kelley who JD picked up earlier this month with $4 of FAAB.  Peace of Mind is worth $4 in fake money if you ask me.  At Rb #2 JD has choices.  He could roll with Hassan Haskins for a fun YOLO play, could roll with Zonovan Knight against Seattle with Mike White back at Qb, or could roll with Raheem Mostert in a divisional clash against New England.  Nothing like your season potentially coming down to Zonovan, Hassan, or Raheem.

Wide Receivers:

Tommy will feature his duo of WR Freaks in #2 Tyreek Hill @ New England and #15 DK Metcalf versus Sauce Garnder and the NY Jets.  Tyreek will have Teddy Bridgewater throwing passes to him since Tua is yet again concussed.  In Week 1 Tyreek caught 8 passes on 12 targets for 94 yards and no touchdowns against NE.  Tua to Teddy is a downgrade.  DK might have Lockett back in the lineup, which could help relieve some double teams, but even single man against the Sauce will be difficult.  As of right now Tommy has #19 Brandon Aiyuk in his flex spot against a very beatable Raiders secondary.  He could pivot to #20 Zay Jones against the Texans.  For JD he has #6 CeeDee Lamb against Tennessee’s backup defense.  Lamb has been on fire the last 2 weeks going 7/7 for 126 yards in Week 15 against Jacksonville and 10/11 for 120 yards and 2 touchdowns in Week 16 against Philly.  In my preseason write up I said Lamb had Top 5 WR potential this season and here he is at 6 and a smash spot in the Title game.  He might only play the first half, but I could see him doing significant damage in that half against backups to a starting secondary that already isn’t very good.  He’ll also have Keenan Allen.  Allen after coming back from injury has been a target monster.  Here are his stats over the past 4 games.  6/14 88 yards 1 touchdown, 12/14 92 yards, 8/9 86 yards, 11/14 104 yards.  You read that correctly in 3 out of the last 4 games he’s gotten exactly 14 targets.  The Rams are still starting Jalen Ramsey, but Ramsey could very well spend more time with Mike Williams, so who knows.  Love his floor in this one.  JD currently has #18 Garret Wilson in his flex position.  With Mike White coming back from injury this has to give JD hope.  With Mike White at Qb Wilson had games of 25.9 and 23.2 versus his last 2 games of Zach Wilson which were 11.8 and 3.0.  He did see 9 targets in each of those games though, Zach Wilson just sucks.

Tight Ends:

Tommy has #3 George Kittle who has been destroying defenses lately.  Easily Purdy’s top target as he has caught 4 touchdowns in the past 2 games, scoring games of 25.3 and 30.0.  In come the Raiders 22^ndranked OPRK against Fantasy Tight Ends.  Something to note though is they haven’t given up a touchdown pass to a tight end since Travis Kelce scored 4 of them back in Week 5.  Interesting.  JD has #11 Juwan Johnson as of this writing.  He faces Philly.  Johnson has scored 7 touchdowns this season, so we’ll see if he can go for #8 for JD in the Super Bowl.

Defense & Special Teams:

Tommy has #2 Dallas D/ST against Joshua Dobbs and Hassan Haskins on Thursday Night Football.  If there is a silver lining of Tommy not having Derrick Henry, it’s that he can fire up Dallas D/ST confidently.  Cowboys are projected to blowout the Titans.  JD also has a favorable matchup with NY Giants against the Indianapolis Colts.  Nick Foles looked downright awful against the Chargers on MNF throwing 3 interceptions.  Giants also are getting back Xavier McKinney potentially, which could help.

Kicker:

Tommy scooped up Brad’s garbage in #5 Tyler Bass.  Projected shootout on Monday Night Football @ Cincinnati.  JD has #7 Graham Gano going up against Indy at home.  Both solid kickers that should have ample opportunity this week.

Final Thoughts:

Great season to both of you.  The payout structure is $750 to the winner and $200 to the runner-up.  In the past the two teams have elected to change the payout amount to be closer.  If you both message me and agree to a different amount then I shall make it so.  Thank you all for another great season of the BBY Dream Team League. I look forward to seeing who wins their first title and will be fighting to defend it in Season 15.

Bottom Bowl Preview:

Round 3:

Game 1:

Katon vs. Jen

Congrats you two, you’ve already won 5 or 6 balls.

Game 2:

Joe vs. Trey

Both ended the year strong and will be playing for 3 or 4 balls in the draft lottery.  Good luck gentlemen!

Game 3:

Scotty vs. Kenny

Two previous champions meet at the Bottom of the Bottom Bowl.  Look forward to seeing you back in the playoff hunt next season.  Winner gets 2 balls in draft lottery.  Loser gets nothing.

Thank you all so much for a wonderful season.  God Bless you.

Thanks,

Commish B-Razzle Dazzle

Round 1 Recap:

This was the highest scoring Round 1 in the history of our league. 

BYE: 1. JD, 2. Tommy

5.Chase (7-7) 156.4 vs. 4. Moose (8-6) 141.4

Chase advances to face the 1 seed JD after defeating Moose in a shootout 156.4 to 141.4.  Moose didn’t get Dallas Goedert back in time and the result was a shootout anyway.  But chase got 37.4 from Kirk Cousins, 27 from Dalvin Cook in their epic comeback win against the Colts.  He got a solid 9.5 or more from every starter in a complete game.  Moose had 5 players score in single digits, but still hung around with gutsy performances from Josh Allen (38.7), Barkley (20.5), AJ Brown (25.6) and Stevenson (26.8).      

6.Mike (7-7) 131.6 vs. 3. Brad (10-4) 145.1

Brad started off with a 99+ point lead as 7/9 starters played prior to Sunday.  Mike came roaring back and threatened until the bitter end, but wind up falling by 13.5 points.  Brad moves on to face Tommy.  Mike got a monster 30.2 game from Jerick McKinnon.  Brad was carried by his big three with Jalen Hurts getting 37.7, Justin Jefferson getting 27.3 and CMC getting 23.9.  He also had a long td catch by Jaylen Waddle, which got the big play bonus and put him over 100 yards receiving where he finished with 23.9. 

Bottom Bowl:

Kenny (6-8) 80.2 vs. Jen (6-8) 103.6

Jen wins and advances to Game 1 of Round 2.  Great spot to be.  Kenny moves on to Game 2 of Round 2. 

Joe (6-8) 95.1  vs. Trey (6-8) 82.0

Joe continues his epic win streak.  He moves on to Game 1 of Round 2 and will get at least 3 balls in the draft lottery.  Trey drops to Game 3 of Round 2 and has already capped his ball potential for next year. 

Katon (3-11) 93.6 vs. Scotty (3-11) 78.0

Katon defeats Scotty to move to Round 2 Game 2.  Scotty is already capped to a max of 4 balls in the lottery since he will be playing in Round 2 Game 3. 

Round 2 Preview:

5.Chase (7-7) vs. 1. JD (11-3)

Chase is coming off of the second highest opening round score in the history of the league and enters Round 2 as a complete team.  Chase and JD have never met in the playoffs.  This bracket is shaping up a lot like 2014 where JD was the 1 seed and played the winner of the 4/5 game that featured Moose and Chase.  Moose won back in 2014, but this time it’s Chase’s turn.  JD won in the final four matchup in 2014.  Let’s see if history will repeat itself.  JD is searching for his first Title after losing in back to back Super Bowls in 2014 and 2015.  Chase is seeking back to back Titles and his 4^th Championship this season. 

Quarterbacks:

Chase has 8. Kirk Cousins is coming off of back to back 30+ point fantasy performances and this week he gets the Giants at home.  JD features #2 Patrick Mahomes vs. Seattle.  Seattle’s secondary is young, but they give up a lot of fantasy points to running backs and tight ends.  Which benefits Chase who has Kelce. 

Running Backs:

Chase has 8. Dalvin Cook vs. the Giants who are 23^rd OPRK and JK Dobbins with a plus matchup against Atlanta.  It’s going to be cold and miserable in Baltimore as it is in much of the US, so I expect a lot of runs in this game. JD will finish things off with #4 Austin Ekeler vs. Indianapolis in Indy on Monday Night Football.  He will either start Bam Knight who faces Jacksonville in a bad weather game on Thursday Night Football or pivot to Raheem Mostert against Green Bay in Miami.  Bam is fun to say, but not if he’s Banged Up. 

Wide Receivers:

Talent all over the place.  Chase with #7 Amon-Ra St. Brown versus a beatable Carolina team on Saturday.  Weather looks to be freezing temperatures, but some of the best in the slate because everywhere else is garbage weather.  #25 JuJu will be in the Seattle game.  I mentioned earlier Seattle locks down Wideouts, but get’s destroyed by Running backs and Tight Ends.  Chase will also have #23 Michael Pittman on MNF vs. LA Chargers OR DeAndre Hopkins vs. Tampa Bay on SNF.  Indy has announced a Qb change from Matt Ryan to Nick Folk, which I’m not sure if that helps or hurts the Colts.  Dizzle has #8 CeeDee Lamb in a pivotal divisional matchup against Philly on Saturday.  He also has #17 Garrett Wilson vs. Jacksonville on TNF.  Weather looks like shit, but Wilson has been a target machine in the last 4 weeks, averaging nearly 10 targets per game.  JD also has Keenan Allen on MNF in a tough matchup against Indianapolis.  Indy’s secondary is solid until they completely fall apart and give up 36 second half points.  

Tight Ends:

Clear advantage to Chase with #1 Travis Kelce.  Kelce is the equivalent of WR or Rb #5.  He gets a great matchup against Seattle this week.  He averages 17.7 points per game.   Its like Chase rolling out Nick Chubb or Saquon Barkley in his TE spot.  Dizzle has been streaming Tight Ends and just dropped Daniel Bellinger to pick up TD magnet Juwan Johnson.  Johnson is projected to play in Cleveland this weekend with snow projected pregame and in game.  Temps in the teens with 20-30 mph sustained winds with gusts up to 40 mph.  Juwan has broken a lot of long touchdowns this season, we’ll see if he can do it while playing a game in Hell. 

Defense & Special Teams:

Chase is rolling with 14. Cleveland D/ST in the winter hell game.  Look for a lot of runs and for people to try and get the hell out of there.  Low scoring, slippery football.  Could be great for a D/ST.  JD has Ten D/ST against Houston.  Houston has been formidable the past couple weeks against Dallas and Kansas City.  Hanging in games they shouldn’t.  Not sure if it will continue as the way to exploit Tennessee is to pass against them.  We’ll see. 

Kicker:

#5 Brett Maher for Chase in a great game against Philly.  Could very well come down to a field goal or two.  JD has #10 Graham Gano in a dome in Minnesota.  A favorable situation give the weather this weekend.   

3.Brad (10-4) vs. 2. Tommy (10-4)

Super Bowl 3 Rematch.  Brad defeated Tommy by 1 point on a last minute play in which Drew Brees broke the touchdown record on a touchdown to Brad’s Darren Sproles.  Brad is 3-10 against Tommy all time.  2 of those wins have come in the playoffs. 

Quarterbacks:

Brad HAD #1 Qb Jalen Hurts who had scored at least 30 points in 4 consecutive weeks.  Then it was determined that he hurt his shoulder in his game against Chicago.  Hurts is saying he might still play this weekend, but it looks like it’s going to be Minshew this week against Dallas.  Tommy had saved up his FAAB and smartly picked up the Top 3 backup Qb options putting #15 bids on each one as Brad only had #14 FAAB remaining.  Brad is horrible at managing FAAB specifically in this league.  This led him to pick up Brock Purdy against a really tough Washington Defense.  Purdy has thrown 2 touchdowns in each of the last 3 games.  Brad is hoping for a miracle to have Hurts available, if not he’ll roll with the Purdy-CMC stack.  Tommy has his choice of Joe Burrow or Justin Fields…. Or Aaron Rodgers or Zach Wilson or Gardner Minshew lol.  He’ll most likely roll with #4 Joe Burrow against New England.  They are pretty good against the pass, but Burrow is Burrow. 

Running Backs:

Brad has all 3 of his Rb’s starting on Saturday with #5 Nick Chubb vs. New Orleans in a snow game, Isaih Pacheco against Seattle’s #31 OPRK, and #3 CMC against a stiff Washington Defense.  Nick Chubb is nursing a foot injury and hasn’t practiced as of this write up.  If Chubb misses that could be disastrous for Brad since Tommy holds Kareem Hunt who would become an instant starter.  Tommy has #2 Derrick Henry vs. Houston.  In Henry’s last 4 games against Houston he has rushed for: 32-219-2, 34-250-2, 22-212-2, and 32-211-3.  And Tannehill is projected to miss.  Houston is #32 OPRK.  I’ve scribbled in 30 in this spot.  Tommy will also have #14 Leonard Fournette against Arizona.  He took a 2/3 snap share last week over rookie Rashad White, which I’m sure Tommy would love to see continue this week.   

Wide Receivers:

Brad has a dynamic duo in #1 Justin Jefferson against the NY Giants and #6 Jaylen Waddle vs. Green Bay in Miami.  JJ has a chance to break Calvin Johnson’s receiving yardage record, so look for his normal studly amount despite him working through a chest contusion.  Tommy features the top Dolphin wideout #2 Tyreek Hill.  Tyreek has been more consistent and has been balling out all season for the Dolphins.  Classis Waddle vs. Tyreek matchup this week.  Tommy also has #14 WR DK Metcalf against KC’s #27 OPRK.  Tyler Lockett broke a finger last week and will miss this game, meaning more targets for Metcalf.  Things are looking up for Tommy.   He also has #19 WR Zay Jones playing on TNF as of this write up.  Zay has been on fire lately and has scored 4 touchdowns in the past 2 weeks.  He may be matched up against rookie phenom Sauce Gardner in a bad weather game.  Tommy could pivot to #21 Brandon Aiyuk who has a tough matchup against Washington. 

Tight Ends:

Brad has either David Njoku in a terrible weather game against a tough New Orleans team or Greg Dulcich against the Rams.  Greg was looking good, but his volume has dropped.  Tommy gets #5 Greg Kittle who is coming off of his best game of the season last week.  But this week he faces Washington who are the best team in the league in stopping opposing Tight Ends.  This position looks to be a disaster for both teams this week. 

Defense & Special Teams:

Brad has #6 Bills D/ST with injuries, bad weather, and Justin Fields on the opposite side of the field.  Bills D/ST hasn’t scored a touchdown since week 2.  Tommy has #2 Dallas D/ST They were looking amazing until the past couple of weeks where Houston and Jacksonville were able to score a bunch against them. 

Kicker:

Brad has #2 Tyler Bass against Chicago as of this write up.  He might pivot since it will be so cold in Chicago that when Bass tries to kick the ball it might crack in half.  Tommy has #7 Greg Zuerlein who will be playing in rain and wind, but it won’t be as cold.  I have very little expectations out of this group as well. 

Bottom Bowl Preview:

Round 2

Game 1:

Joe vs. Jen

Winner moves on to Game 1 of Round 3 and is guaranteed 5 or 6 balls.  Loser goes to Game 2 of Round 3 and is guaranteed 3 or 4 balls. 

Game 2:

Katon vs. Kenny

Winner moves on to Game 1 of Round 3 and is guaranteed 5 or 6 balls.  Loser goes to Game 3 and will be playing in the Bottom of the Bottom Bowl with only a chance to win 2 balls.

Game 3:

Scotty vs. Trey

Winner moves on to Game 2 of Round 3 and is guaranteed 3 or 4 balls.  Loser goes to Game 3 and will be playing in the Bottom of the Bottom Bowl with only a chance to win 2 balls.

Thanks,

Commish

Week 13 Recap:

Division 1:

Mike (7-6) 102.4 vs. Joe (4-8) 139.8

Joe continues to play spoiler!  Joe gets his highest scoring game of the season with Geno Smith getting 25.9, Tony Pollard 23.6, Perine 21.5, Akers 18.5, SF D/ST 22 (Against Miami!).  Those five players combined for 111.5, enough to beat Mike’s team.  Mike got 16.2 from Trevor Lawrence, 23 from Josh Jacobs and double digits from 7/9 players, but nobody went off and 7/9 scored 11.9 or less.  It was a solid effort, but Joe’s team just kept scoring touchdowns.  Mike will now have to face the D1 Winner Tommy to secure a playoff spot.  Tommy is fighting for the 2 seed and a bye in the playoffs.    

Tommy (9-4) 137.0 vs. Chase (7-6) 82.8

Tommy clinches the Division 1 Crown after Mike and Chase both lose!  Tommy scored a really solid 137 points.  He had disappointing game from Derrick Henry (4.8) but the rest of his studs did their thing.  Joe Burrow got 30 and moved to 3-0 against the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes.  Tyreek Hill got 28.1, DK Metcalf got 25.7 and he even got 21 from Dallas D/ST.  On Chase’s side he had a rough week.  Watson looked rusty as hell in his first game action in 700 days.  (5.3 points).  6/9 players scored in single digits including 6 players that scored 5.6 or less.  His lone bright spot was Amon-Ra St. Brown.  The alpha wide receiver caught 11 catches for 114 yards and 2 touchdowns for 32.1 points.  Tommy locks in D1, but has his sights on a bye.  Chase will look to clinch a playoff spot in Week 14 against suddenly surging Joe.        

Division 2:

JD (11-2) 144.8 vs. Jen (6-7) 88.3

I didn’t even mention Cleveland D/ST in my preview for this week and they wind up being the story.  The top scorer in this game with 31 points, they scored 3 touchdowns against the Texans and accounted for 4 turnovers.  The interesting thing about their 3 scores is they got one of each.  On interception return for a touchdown, one fumble return for a touchdown, and one punt return for a touchdown.  Insane.  JD got 19.7 from Patrick Mahomes, 14.3 from new addition Zonovan Knight, 23.2 from Garret Wilson, 17.9 from CeeDee Lamb, and 17.8 from Keenan Allen.  JD is getting hot at the right time as we approach the playoffs.  Jen is still alive in the playoff hunt, but ESPN gives her a 1% chance.    

Katon (2-11) 110.1 vs. Kenny (6-7) 115.2

Heading into MNF with Kenny’s season on the line (sort of), it was virtually tied with Katon having 105.4 and Kenny having 105.2.  Katon had Alvin Kamara left and Kenny had kicker Wil Lutz.  ESPN gave Katon a 72% chance of winning prior to gametime.  Wil Lutz went 3/3 from on field goals and Kamara was used sparingly.  Saints opted to use Mark Ingram more despite him getting hurt.  Saints collapsed and lost the game, but Kenny emerged victorious.  ESPN gives Kenny an 8% chance to making the playoffs.  I’ll discuss more in the playoff scenario section.  Kenny was carried by Davante Adams 8 catch 177 yard 2 touchdown explosion for 36.7 points.  He also got a solid 19.1 from D’Andre Swift.   Most of his team underperformed, but he got the job done.  Katon got 18.7 from Stefon Diggs and 18 from kicker Robbie Gould, but just got barely edged out in this one.  Had he started Devonta Smith (21.7) instead of Zeke in the flex the game would have ended 115.2 to 115.2 tie.  Kenny would have still gotten the victory because the tie breaker is Qb points as originally set by League Founder and my Dad’s coworker at Community Coffee Wendell.    

Division 3:

Moose (7-6) 99.7 vs. Trey (6-7) 105.5

Peripheral Bowl it twas!  Heading into Monday Night Football Moose held a slim lead of 94.7 to Trey’s 93.2.  Moose had Tampa Bay kicker Ryan Succop and Trey had Taysom Hill.  ESPN gave Moose a 57% chance of victory.  Moose got things started in the 1^st Quarter with a chip shot field goal.  But in the 2^nd Quarter Andy Dalton found a wide-open Taysom Hill for a 30 yard touchdown.  Moose has lost 4 in a row and Trey has won 2 in a row to stay alive.  Trey won despite losing Lamar Jackson to any early knee injury.   He finished with only 1.3 points.  He was carried by Tyler Lockett’s 26.3 and Christian Watson’s 22.9.  Watson scored a rushing and a receiving touchdown and looks like the real deal in Green Bay.  Moose had solid efforts from the Top of his lineup with Allen’s 16.8, Barkley’s 16.6, Stevenson’s 10.8, and AJ Brown’s 30.9 in a revenge game against the team that traded him during the draft.  But it was Moose’s peripherals and WR 2 that struggled, with the 4 of them combining for only 13.6 points.  Despite the loss, ESPN says Moose has clinched a playoff spot, locking him into the 4^th, 5^th, or 6^th seed.  Trey will be hoping for a miracle in Week 14.          

Scotty (3-10) 79.2 vs. Brad (9-4) 126.2

Scotty started Joe Mixon who was inactive and DJ Moore who was on a bye week.  So that’s shitty.  As commissioner I want to remind everyone to please set your lineups.  Even when you are eliminated.  There are going to be 6 teams playing for money at the end of the season and what happens at the end of the season has playoff seeding implications.  Now in this situation if Scotty just moved pieces around and started Patterson for Mixon and Evans for Moore he still would have lost to Brad, but if the end of the season rankings came down to this it could make someone really upset.  Please set your lineups folks.  Brad was carried by Jalen Hurts 37.4.  He looked like the MVP of the season as he sliced and diced the Titans defense.  Christian McCaffrey looked good against Miami, getting 24.6 fantasy points including an 8-80-1 receiving line on the day.  Brad got nice production out of Pacheco (15.2) and Jefferson (15.1) despite getting pretty much nothing out of Jaylen Waddle (1.4).  Scotty got 21.1 from Justin Herbert and decent production from his peripherals who combined for 31.3.    

Week 14 Preview:

Last Game of the Regular Season!

Division 1:

Mike (7-6) vs. Tommy (9-4)

Mike is fighting to stay in the hunt.  Tommy is fighting to get a bye.  Everything at stake.  In their Week 3 meeting Tommy won 105.9 to 75.3.  Mike will feature Dak Prescott vs. Houston.  Houston is #3 OPRK against fantasy Qbs.  Most teams just run on them.  But two weeks ago they even held Tua to 15.8 fantasy points.  Mike will also have #21 Rb Najee Harris against Baltimore.  Baltimore is #6 OPRK against Rbs.  #1 Rb Josh Jacobs faces the LA Rams.  Who despite being horrific have been decent stopping the run this season.    WR #14 Tee Higgins faces Cleveland.  Cleveland defense is very beatable.  In Week 8 he had 3 catches on 6 targets for 49 yards and a touchdown against them.  Mike will need more than that.  He’ll also have Target-Vacuum Chris Godwin @ San Fran.  Tyreek was able to get his against San Fran, but Waddle was shut down last week.  The bigger story is the giant mismatch of San Fran defensive line vs. Tampa’s offensive line.  Brady may want to rethink retirement after this week, but it could lead to more check downs to running backs and perhaps, Chris Godwin.  Dalton Schultz is in the Houston matchup.  Right now Mike has DPJ in the flex against Cincy.  Cincy is #4 OPRK to Fantasy Wrs, but the over/under might be tempting (opened at 49, currently at 47/47.5 depending on which sportsbook you’re looking at).  Don’t overlook Mike’s #2 D/ST NE who averages 12.5 points per game or his kicker #4 Daniel Carlson who averages 9.4.  On Tommy’s side he has #4 Qb Joe Burrow versus Cleveland.  Cleveland is 11^th OPRK, but I think that has more to do with how bad their run defense is rather than how good their pass defense is.  #2 Derrick Henry has been trending down in fantasy points the last 3 weeks 24.2-13.2-4.8, but in comes Jacksonville.  The Jags just gave up a big week to the Swift/Williams combo in Detroit.  This could be a get right game for Henry heading into the final stretch.  At Rb 2 Tommy will most likely roll with Rb #16 Uncle Lenny.  Fournette has lost the starting gig to rookie Rashad White, but against the Saints they split RB touches pretty evenly.  He’s facing San Fran’s #1 OPRK, so Tommy is hoping for lots of catches and possibly a touchdown to make Fournette worth it.  At Wideout Tommy has #4 Tyreek Hill @ LA Chargers.  This game was flexed to Sunday Night Football and features the highest over under of the week at 52.5 points.  #16 DK Metcalf gets Carolina.  #9 TE George Kittle and #19 Brandon Aiyuk square off against Tampa Bay, but they have Brock Purdy at Qb.  Deebo might get more rushes, but we’ll see how it impacts Kittle and Aiyuk down the stretch.  Don’t over look Tommy’s defense #1 Dallas.  They face Houston, the same Houston that Cleveland D/ST scored 3 times against to the tune of 31 fantasy points.  Anything can happen, but this matchup screams Tommy steam roll.    

Joe (5-8) vs. Chase (7-6)

Chase is pretty much in.  It would be a freak miracle for him to miss.  He faces a red hot Joe team.  In Joe’s run he was starting Samaje Perine.  Joe Mixon should be back this week.  He may stick with Perine, but don’t look for him to continue his recent success.  Joe does have favorable matchups elsewhere however. Including #7 Qb Geno Smith vs. Carolina, #7 Rb Tony Pollard vs. Houston, #18 Wr Ja’Marr Chase vs. Cleveland, Adam Thielen vs. Detroit, Cam Akers vs. LV.  He also has #2 Tight End Mark Andrews against Pittsburgh.  Andrews did well with replacement Quarterbacks last season and should receive his normal production level.  On Chase’s side he’s hoping Deshaun Watson can shake off the rust against Division foe Cincinnati.  They just bested Patrick Mahomes, so Sir Jerks a Lot has his work cut out for him.  Chase will rely on the Rb duo of #9 Dalvin Cook vs. Detroit and D’Onta Foreman versus Seattle’s #30 OPRK.  He also has #7 Amon-Ra St. Brown against Minnesota, DeAndre Hopkins against New England, and of course #1 Travis Kelce @ Denver.  Should be a great matchup.  Joe is playing for seeding in the Bottom Bowl.  Chase is playing to secure his playoff spot.  There are 3 teams at 6-7 rooting for Joe this week.      

Division 2:

Katon (2-11) vs. JD (11-2)

The worst versus the best.  Neither team is playing for anything this week.  Katon has locked in a game at the bottom of the bottom bowl against Scotty.  JD has locked into the 1 seed and is most likely out of reach of points leader.  You guys can just relax and enjoy football this week.  JD will be hoping his core of Patrick Mahomes, Austin Ekeler, and CeeDee Lamb all stay healthy.  As well as Garrett Wilson who is looking like a potential league winner.  JD will basically have two bye weeks in a row.  This matchup doesn’t impact seeding and next week he’ll be on a bye. 

Jen (6-7) vs. Kenny (6-7)

THIS matchup however does have some spice to it.  One of these teams will be 7-7.  If Mike or Chase loses then there will at least be a tie in records of 7-7 to determine the 6^th seed.  Jen is hoping for Mike and Chase to both lose and for her to score 70 more points than Mike this week.  Kenny is hoping to win, Mike and Chase to lose and for him to stay higher in points than Mike.  Gonna be tricky.  Of course Jen will have to completely rebuild her team this week due to bye weeks.  She’ll be without #8 Rb Aaron Jones, #20 Rb Antonio Gipson, #13 WR Terry McLaurin, #15 WR Chris Olave, and she’ll have to monitor the health of #14 Rb Kenneth Walker who “jammed” his ankle.  After she reconstructs her roster she’ll have James Conner versus New England and Kenneth Walker vs. Carolina if Walker can’t go she’ll have to pick up a Rb off of Free Agency to start this week.  At WR she’ll have #24 Gabe Davis against the Jets.  She’ll have to get another wideout on free agency to start this week.  Bit of a project and doesn’t bode well for Jen’s 1% chance of making the playoffs.  On Kenny’s side he’s not exactly a clean bill of health either.  He’ll be without his kicker and defense due to bye weeks, but at Qb he lost Jimmy G for the season.  He’ll turn to #12 Tua in a shootout versus LA Chargers, but he tweaked his ankle at the end of the game against San Fran, something to monitor.  #23 Devin Singletary looks like the 3^rd best Rb for the Bills behind emerging rookie James Cook and 3^rd down specialist Nyheim Hines.  #25 Jeff Wilson Jr has a great matchup in that LA Chargers game, but last week he played second fiddle to Raheem Mostert.  D’Andre Swift’s usage was inspiring for Kenny, who hopes that he continues that in a shootout against Minnesota.  #1 Davante Adams gets a Jalen Ramsey game.  #10 Amari Cooper gets #10 OPRK Cincy with a rusty Watson throwing it to him.  In Watson’s first game Cooper caught 4/9 targets for 40 yards.  Both teams need to reconstruct their lineups and keep up in points scored AND have things fall into place perfectly.  Will this game determine a playoff team?  Or is this game a mirage, a false hope, and one that will simply matter to the Bottom Bowl seeding?  We shall find out. 

Division 3:

Brad (9-4) vs. Trey (6-7)

Trey’s Cinderella story might be coming to an end this week.  He faces the D3 winner and points leader through 13 weeks Brad.  Brad is trying to get a bye in the playoffs and Tommy holds the tie breaker having beat Brad in Week 6 83.2 to 133.5, which means Brad needs to win and Tommy needs to lose to make that happen.  Trey will not receive mercy from Brad this week and his lineup looks disastrous.  Lamar Jackson was injured and is most likely out this week.  Johnathan Taylor has a very very ill-timed bye week.  So does Christian Watson and even Taysom Hill.  Trey will need to replace his Qb and Tight End in waivers and might have to find a Wideout/Flex as well considering Treylon Burks got concussed last week and will have to clear a more strictly enforced protocol.  He will have #17 Rb Travis Etienne Jr @ Tennessee and #12 Rb Miles Sanders vs. the Giants in a big NFC matchup.  On Brad’s side he’ll have #2 Qb Jalen Hurts in the Giants matchup, #5 Rb Christian McCaffrey against Tampa Bay, #4 Rb Nick Chubb vs. Cincy, #3 WR Justin Jefferson against Detroit, #9 WR Jaylen Waddle vs. LA Chargers, #5 D/ST Buffalo against Mike White and the NY Jets.  Trey has pulled off some miracles to stay alive this long, but this fairy tale looks like it’s about to get crushed without mercy. 

Scotty (3-10) vs. Moose (7-6)

Moose has dropped 4 straight but has clinched a playoff spot.  Scotty isn’t starting his lineup anymore, so Moose should progress to 8-6 on the season.  He’ll have #3 Qb Josh Allen vs. the Jets, (he put up 24.8 against them in Week 9), #6 Rb Saquon Barkley against Philly who just shut down Derrick Henry, #11 Rhamondre Stevenson vs. Arizona, #5 WR AJ Brown vs. the NY Giants.  Scotty will have #8 Qb Justin Herbert vs. Miami who just gave up a decent outing to Brock Purdy,  #13 Rb Joe Mixon might actually be back this week against Cleveland, which is a smash spot for Rb’s.  #10 Rb Jamaal Williams is the 2022 James Conner and faces Minnesota.  DJ Moore gets Seattle Tyler Boyd against Cleveland, #3 TE TJ Hockenson gets a revenge game against Detroit. And #20 Deebo Samuel gets Tampa Bay.  If Scotty doesn’t touch his lineup he actually could win this.  He has options on his bench too.  Crazy.      

Playoff Scenarios:

5 Teams are vying for the final 2 spots.  For the purpose of tie breakers I’ll include Moose who is 7-6, but according to ESPN has clinched a playoff spot.

6 Teams at 7-6 or 6-7.

How can they get in?

Moose (7-6)- 100% chance

(In according to ESPN who says he has 100% chance.  Will be 4^th, 5^th or 6^th seed.  Moose has scored a lot more points than anyone else 1596.7 and is still in running for points leader with Tommy and Brad.) 

1. Win and he’s in the 4 vs. 5 matchup.
2. Lose against Scotty, Trey wins, Mike loses, Chase loses, then 5-way tie at 7-7 with Moose, Chase, Mike, Trey, and winner of Kenny/Jen. Would go to points for and Moose is in. 
3. Lose against Scotty, Mike wins, Chase wins, Trey wins, then it is 3-way tie at 7-7 with Moose, Trey, and winner of Kenny/Jen. Would go to points for and Moose is in.
4. Lose against Scotty, Mike wins, Chase wins, Trey loses, then it is 2-way tie at 7-7 with Moose and winner of Kenny/Jen. Moose beat both Kenny and Jen, so head to head he’s in.
5. Lose against Scotty, Mike wins, Chase loses, Trey loses, then it would be 3 way tie at 7-7 with Moose, Chase, winner of Kenny/Jen. Moose lost to Chase, but beat the other two.  Records are Moose 2-1, Chase 3-0, Kenny 0-2, Jen 0-2, so records are out, goes to Points For, Moose is in.  In this scenario, it would be 1. JD, 2. Brad, 3. Tommy, 4. Mike, 5. Moose, 6. Chase.  

Chase (7-6)- 99% chance

1. Win against Joe and he’s in.
2. Lose against Joe, but Brad beats Trey and Mike beats Tommy. (Chase beat both Kenny and Jen)
3. Lose against Joe, Brad beats Trey, Mike loses to Tommy. (Goes to Points For where Chase, Mike, and winner of Kenny/Jen compare points for.  Chase is at 1459.5, Mike at 1355.3, Kenny at 1383.7, Jen at 1285.4.  So if Kenny doesn’t win AND score 75.8 more than Chase, then Chase is in)

Mike (7-6)- 87% chance

1. Win against Tommy and he’s in.
2. Lose against Tommy, but Brad beats Trey and Chase beats Joe. (Mike beat both Kenny and Jen)
3. Lose against Tommy, Brad beats Trey, Joe beats Chase. (Goes to Points For where Chase, Mike, and winner of Kenny/Jen compare points for. Chase is at 1459.5, Mike at 1355.3, Kenny at 1383.7, Jen at 1285.4.  So if Kenny beats Jen Mike would need to score 28.5 more than Kenny.)

Kenny (6-7) 8% chance

1. Win against Jen, Mike loses to Tommy AND Chase loses to Joe, Trey loses to Brad. (Goes to Points For where Kenny has to outscore Chase by 75.8 or Mike needs to not outscore Kenny by 28.4.

Jen (6-7) 1% chance

1. Win against Kenny, Mike loses to Tommy, Chases loses to Joe, and Jen oustcores Mike by 69.9 AND outscores Trey by 70.0( would have 4-5 teams at 7-7 and Points For would be tie breaker, with Moose in, Chase in, and next highest scorer getting 6^th Jen doesn’t need Trey to beat Brad if Mike and Chase both lose, she would just need to score 69.9 more than Mike.  If Trey wins she would need to outscore Trey by 70.0. 

Trey (6-7) 6% chance

1. Win against Brad. Moose beats Scotty. Chase loses to Joe.  Mike loses to Tommy.  This would set up Chase 7-7, Mike 7-7, Trey 7-7, and winner of Jen/Kenny at 7-7.  Trey would need to finish higher in Points For than 2 of the remaining 3.  He’s even with Mike (Trey-1355.4, Mike-1355.3) and holds a lead on Jen (1285.4), but lost to Jen in regular season.  He would need to oustcore Kenny by 28.3 (Kenny is at PF: 1383.7)  if Kenny beats Jen.  He needs Mike and Chase to both lose, because if one of them wins, then it’ll go to head to head matchup between Mike, Trey, and Jen or Mike, Trey and Kenny for 6^th  Mike beat both Kenny and Jen but lost to Trey.  Trey beat Mike and Chase, but lost to Kenny and Jen.  Jen lost to Mike, but beat Trey.  Kenny lost to Mike, but beat Trey. 
2. So let’s say Chase beats Joe, Mike loses to Tommy, Jen beats Kenny, Trey beats Brad, and Moose beats Scotty. It would be 1. JD, 2. Tommy, 3. Brad, 4. Moose, 5. Chase.  The 6^th seed would be tie breaker between Mike 7-7, Jen 7-7, and Trey 7-7.  All 3 would be 1-1 and it would go to Points For.  So who ever finishes the season with most points wins the 6^th  I think this is Trey’s ideal scenario.    

The Summary:

The 6 teams will most likely be JD, Tommy, Brad, Moose, Chase, and Mike.  Mike is the only one that is a sizeable risk to lose his spot (13%).  If he does, it would open the door for Trey, Kenny or Jen. 

Sorry for no write up in Week 12.  Hilary was battling COVID, the whole family was sick, and I was working solo at work and had to deal with resignations and a termination all while trying to prepare for Thanksgiving.  I hope you all had had a great time with family and friends and football this holiday.  I’m grateful to be connected with all of you guys still despite us being apart for so many years.  We are all feeling better by the way and getting back to normal.  

Week 12 Recap:

Division 1:

Mike (7-5) 158.9 vs. Chase (7-5) 114.8

Mike Grote’s team exploded.  Critical matchup in D1, fighting and clawing for a playoff spot.  And Mike’s team delivered.  Mainly due to Josh Jacobs ridiculous 52.3 point explosion.  Absolutely killer.  A big portion of his points came in OT when he ripped off an 86 yard game winning walk off run for a touchdown.  Mike also had solid games from Tee Higgins who had 7 catches for 114 yards and a touchdown (23.9) and Chris Godwin who had 12 catches for 110 yards and a touchdown (26.0) and Dalton Schultz who caught 2 touchdowns for 17.1 fantasy points.  Chase didn’t have a bad week per se, but he just couldn’t compete with Josh Jacobs.  He got Amon-Ra St. Brown’s big game on Thanksgiving with 9 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown (26.4) and decent days from Carr (20.8), Foreman (14.3), Kelce (13.7), and Hopkins (16.7).  Mike gets the critical victory, but Chase remains ahead of him in the standings with more points for. 

Joe (4-8) 107.5 vs. Tommy (8-4) 79.8

Tommy faced his easiest opponent in the division and lost!  This was Tommy’s gimme game before facing two hungry and upcoming teams fighting for their playoff spots in Mike and Chase to close out the regular season.  Joe got to play the role of spoiler and got the upset.  Joe didn’t have anyone go off he was just solid.  With Geno Smith getting 22.2, Samaje Perine getting 17.3, Adam Thielen 16.6, and SF D/ST getting 15 and Justin Tucker getting 14.  On Tommy’s side his team just shit the bed.  Burrow got 18, Derrick Henry only got 13.2, Tyreek got 12, DK Metcalf got 14.5 and his peripherals underperformed with a combination of 13.1.  Tommy also started inactive Leonard Fournette.  Don’t think it would’ve mattered, but Points For can impact standings and playoff seeding, so it’ll be something to watch over the next couple of weeks.  I imagine Tommy was either in the Titans booth sipping champagne or out in the woods slaughtering deer instead of setting his lineup, which is understandable.  There is more to life than pretend football.  

Division 2:

JD (10-2) 143.9 vs. Kenny (5-7) 79.3

Congratulations to JD who has almost locked in a bye week in the playoffs.  The only thing standing in his way is Tommy since JD beat Brad head to head.  If Tommy and Brad both go 2-0 and JD loses both games then it might come down to head to head and since they’ve played an equal amount of games against one another, Tommy 2-0 would be 1 seed, JD 1-1 would be 2 seed, and Brad 0-2 would be 3 seed.  So unless I’m not calculating something right JD has earned a bye.  If he wins one more or Tommy or Brad loses one more then it’s 100%.  JD crushes Kenny by 64.6 points.  JD had a complete victory this week.  Everybody scored between 8.7 to 25.9.  8/9 scored in double digits.  He made all the right start/sit decisions.  He crushed it and dominated.  On Kenny’s side this makes his playoff hopes very very slim.  ESPN has him at a 4% chance of making the playoffs.  It’s not 0, but it would require a crazy amount of stuff to happen to get him in as the 6^th seed.  Kenny had 5/9 starters score in single digits including his kicker getting -1 point.  His matchups were good on paper, but not in fantasy reality.    

Katon (2-10) 88.8 vs. Jen (6-6) 104.5

Jen is staying alive!  Her trio of Running Backs outperformed Katon’s trio of Running Backs.  She had James Conner rush for over 100 yards and catch a receiving touchdown for 22.5 points, Kenneth Walker scored two touchdowns for 16.4 points, and Aaron Jones did his thing with a receiving touchdown and 17.4 points.  Her Rb’s combined for 56.3.  For Katon he had Alvin Kamara fumble it twice for 4 points, David Montgomery got 12.8, and Zeke Elliot did his thing on Thanksgiving with a solid 16.  His Rbs combined for 32.8.  So Jen’s Rb’s outscored Katon’s Rbs by 23.5.  Jen won the game by 15.7.  Twas the difference.  Jen still has to battle Kenny and JD to close out the regular season looking at the standings she most likely will need to win both games and get some help in order to make it due to her lower points for.    

Division 3:

Moose (7-5) 102.5 vs. Brad (8-4) 137.3

Revenge!  Brad gets his Week 1 Revenge against Moose.  Of course Moose’s team has been wrecked by injuries as of late.  But Brad gets the win and clinches a playoff spot.  He currently sits in 1^st in Division 3 and #1 in Points Scored.  Brad got 32.7 from Jalen hurts who rushed for 157 yards against the Packers.  He got 22.7 from Nick Chubb who scored the game winning touchdown in OT to beat the Bucs.  And Justin Jefferson did his thing on Thanksgiving catching 9 balls for 139 yards and a touchdown (27.8) points.  Brad changed out his tight end at the last minute and made the wrong choice, but overall solid day.  On Moose’s side he got his normal 29.8 from Josh Allen.  Barkley did ok with 13.2 and Stevenson did his thing with 15.7.  His peripherals combined for 28.8, which is decent.  Wr 2 Curtis Samuel only got 1.3 and his flex Dameon Pierce only got 3.1.  I was sure Moose was going to put in Rashad White after Fournette was ruled out, but he didn’t.  I saw Moose posting pictures of the Grand Canyon on Instagram, so again I completely understand that there is more to life than our pretend football hobby.   As Ron Swanson says, “Crying is only okay in two places.  Funerals and the grand canyon.”  Moose still has a high percentage chance of making the playoffs with his high points for.  ESPN has him at an 96% chance. 

Scotty (3-9) 98.7 vs. Trey (5-7) 137.8

Trey is like the night in Monty Python’s The Holy Grail.  “I’m not dead yet!”  With his victory over Scotty he now faces the two leaders of the division in Moose (7-5) and then Brad (8-4).  Both of which have scored almost 250+ more points for on the season.  Trey’s victory over Scotty was due to Miles Sanders rushing for 143 yards and 2 touchdowns against Green Bay (32.5), Christian Watson catching 4 balls for 110 yards and a touchdown against Philly (24.0) and Lamar Jackson doing decent against Jacksonville with 89 yards rushing and 22.9 fantasy points.  Trey did lose Travis Etienne Jr. early in the Baltimore game due to a foot injury, but word from Jacksonville is that he could have gone back in but they were being extra cautious.   Scotty got 28.6 from Justin Herbert which is awesome.  But he also started Joe Mixon who was inactive due to a concussion, which of course was not awesome.  Hopefully Scotty gets that lineup set this week and he looks to play spoiler to Brad and Moose.    

Week 13 Preview:

Division 1:

Mike (7-5) vs. Joe (4-8)

Joe is eliminated from the playoffs, but he’s out to play spoiler against his division.  Mike has been holding on to a thread for weeks and finds himself on the cusp of a playoff berth.  Standing in his way is Joe’s #7 Qb Geno Smith against LA Rams who are playing all backups on offense and won’t have Aaron Donald on defense.  #8 Rb Tony Pollard against Indy on Sunday Night Football.  Joe is hoping to have Ja’Marr Chase back in his lineup against KC.  And #2 Tight End Mark Andrews faces Denver.  For Mike he has Dak Prescott against Indy in that SNF game.  #22 Rb Najee Harris has a great matchup against Atlanta if he plays.  Last week he sustained a abdomen injury and is questionable for this week.  Mike also has Running Back Number Fucking 1 Josh Jacobs.  Brad was wrong in his draft grades.  DEAD WRONG.  Jacobs is also questionable with a calf injury.  They’ll monitor this week, but I’m sure they’ll deploy him against a beatable LA Chargers defense.  Mike will also have #11 Wr Tee Higgins  in a potential shootout with Kansas City and Chris Godwin against the Saints.  Saints Defense has looked better and always plays well against the Bucs.  But Godwin has scored in back to back games and looks matchup proof as Brady’s go-to receiver.  Should be a great game.  Good luck gentleman! 

Tommy (8-4) vs. Chase (7-5)

Let’s Gooooooooooo.  Tommy can clinch the division with a victory since he would be 2 games up on Chase with only 1 game to go after this week.  If Mike wins out he could tie Tommy’s record at 9-5, but Tommy has scored 211.4 more points than Mike and they would have split their record against each other.  If Chase wins then things get interesting.  Chase and Tommy would both be 8-5 and if Mike wins he too would be 8-5.  In that scenario if Mike beats Tommy in Week 14 and Chase loses to Joe then Mike could win the division.  If Chase beats Joe he would be 9-5 and meaning if Tommy beats Mike Tommy would be Division 1 winner and if Mike beat Tommy Chase would be division winner.  Division 1 is the only division with 3 teams that have a chance to win the division.  So exciting!  Any who, we can do what if’s all day long, let’s focus on this week.  Tommy has Qb 4. Joe Burrow vs. Kansas City in a potential shootout.  Chase has rub a dub tug Deshaun “Rape-y fuck twat” Watson in his first NFL game in 700 days against his former team in Houston.  The creepy piece of shit who allegedly forced women to give him hand jobs while he was getting massages will need to shake off some rust and I’m sure a shit ton of boo’s as he squares off against Houston’s #5 ranked OPRK.  We’ll see if the pile of human garbage can perform and be the answer at Qb, a position that has plagued Chase this season.  Tommy also has #2 Rb Derrick Henry against Philly.  Teams were running pretty good against Philly which motivated them to sign Suh and Linval Joseph at DT to try and shore that up.  Tommy is hoping to have #17 Rb Leonard Fournette back on MNF against the Saints.  We’ll see if his hip pointer keeps him out another week and/or if Rashad White continues to be the lead back for the Bucs.  Chase has #11 Dalvin Cook against the Jets who have been decent against the Run (#10 OPRK) and Gus “the Bus” Edwards in a tough matchup against Denver.  D’Onta Foreman was able to rush for over 100 yards against Denver, so we’ll see if Edwards continues to lead the Baltimore backfield and can replicate that success.  Tommy’s #4 Wr Tyreek Hill faces San Francisco.  Mike McDaniel returns to his previous employer trying to keep Miami surging in the AFC.  #19 Wr DK Metcalf gets the Rams.  Last season against the Rams he had one great game (5-98-2) and one stinker game (6-52-0).  Of course last season the Rams won the Super Bowl and this season they suck, but Jalen Ramsey should be active.  Chase has the two most fun names to say in Fantasy at WR with #12 Amon-Ra St. Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster.   The Sun God faces Jacksonville and JuJu is in a potential shootout with a pretty good Cincy defense.   This game has huge implications.  Enjoy it this Sunday and Monday fellas. 

Division 2:

JD (10-2) vs. Jen (6-6)

Two teams with the longest win streaks in the league as JD has won 7 straight and Jen has won 3 straight. JD can clinch the 1 seed and a bye with the victory.  Jen can keep her playoff hopes alive with the victory.  Both with high stakes.  JD will have #1 Qb Patrick Mahomes in a revenge game against Cincinnati.  The Bengals eliminated the Chiefs 27-24 in OT of the AFC Championship game last season.  JD also has #3 Rb Austin Ekeler against the Raiders.  Ekeler underwhelmed in Week 1 with only 9.2 fantasy points against the Raiders, but I don’t believe he’ll be repeating that performance.  Jd will also be starting newly acquired Zonovan Knight.  An undrafted rookie has hopes of starting for the Jets this week with James Robinson underperforming in practice and Michael Carter hobbled by an ankle injury.  JD dropped $31 for Zonovan to start him at Rb2 this week.  He also has another Jet in Wr#21 Garret Wilson.  With Mike White at Qb Wilson exploded last week.  This week he gets a Vikings defense ranked #26 in OPRK against Fantasy Receivers.  Jd will also have #8 Wr CeeDee Lamb who will have to navigate a solid Colts secondary led by Stephon Gilmore.  For Jen she is turning to Mike White against Minnesota over #11 Qb Daniel Jones against Washington.  She’ll be without James Conner this week due to bye, which is unfortunate.  She still has #14 Rb Kenneth Walker against Aaron Donald-less Rams defense and #7 Aaron Jones in a smash spot against a completely depleted and overmatched Chicago defense.  In Week 2 Jones scored 33.5 against Chicago and that we before they traded away Robert Quinn to the Eagles, Roquan Smith to the Ravens, and lost Safety Eddie Jackson to a season ending Lisfranc injury.  Jen will also have #15 Terry McLaurin vs. the Giants and #13 Chris Olave against Tampa.  In Week 2 Olave caught 5 of 13 targets for 80 yards.  Jd is favored, but this is fantasy football and anything can happen.  Will Jd win his 8^th in a row and knock Jen out the playoffs?  Or will Jen keep hope alive and win her 4^th straight?

Katon (2-10) vs. Kenny (5-7)

Kenny is technically still alive for the playoffs but he would need a miracle.  ESPN gives him a 4% chance, which is the smallest odds of the remaining 9 teams in contention.  He does get Katon, which has been the leagues proverbial doormat this season.  Katon will have struggling Rb #18 Alvin Kamara against Tampa Bay on MNF, #1 Wr Stefon Diggs @ New England on TNF, #10 WR Christian Kirk in a smash spot against Detroit and Zeke against Indy on SNF.  Kenny will have #12 Qb Tua Tagovailoa against San Fran, #21 Rb Jeff Wilson against his former team, and #24 Rb Devin Singletary @ New England on TNF.  #3 Davante Adams gets LA Chargers.  #7 Amari Cooper gets Houston with a new Qb at the helm in Deshaun “Seriously you are a pro athlete and you couldn’t get girls to please you sexually for free?” Watson.  We’ll see if Cooper and Watson have good chemistry from practice or if Watson is rusty after the long hiatus.  Best of luck Kenny.  We’ll see if he’ll be banished to the bottom bowl or if his slim hopes will stay alive this week.

Division 3:

Moose (7-5) vs. Trey (5-7)

Trey is hanging on by a thread.  Moose has his eyes set on a Division Crown.  Only one can win.  Moose will get the party started on Thursday Night Football with both #2 Qb Josh Allen and #12 Rb Rhamondre Stevenson.  Then on Sunday Moose will deploy #5 Rb Saquon Barkley against Washington, #16 Rb Dameon Pierce against Cleveland, and WR #9 AJ Brown in a revenge game against his former team the Tennessee Titans.  The Titans traded away AJ Brown and drafted Treylon Burks.  You know Brown will be motivated to assert his dominance over the young Titans secondary.  I don’t know if Trey can survive what’s about to happen to the Titans.  Unless… the Eagles use Brown as decoy given the headlines and feed Trey’s Rb #13 Miles Sanders.  Titans have been a pass funnel mainly due to the fact that they are so good stopping the run.  Something to watch, but I would not want to be a member of the Titans secondary this week.  Trey will also have rookie Christian Watson against the ghost of defenses past Chicago.  Watson has scored touchdowns in each of his last 3 games.  6 to be exact.  And caught one from Jordan Love last week, which is a good sign if Aaron Rodgers isn’t able to go due to being so beat up right now.  Trey will #20 Rb Jonathan Taylor on SNF against a good Dallas defense and then on Monday Night Football Moose will have #8 Kicker Ryan Succop and Trey will have #4 TE Taysom Hill.  Would be crazy if this game came down to a peripheral bowl on Monday Night.  A couple of relevant storylines to watch this week will be whether Travis Etienne plays for Trey and/or if Christian McCaffrey plays for San Fran.  Trey picked up Tyrion Davis-Price as a hail mary in the event CMC sits and the 49ers decide to make him lead back this week.  Brad went with a different strategy which we’ll talk more about in the next matchup. 

Scotty (3-9) vs. Brad (8-4)

I have my eyes on the prize.  A year after finishing 3-11 and finishing the regular season in dead last, Brad once again finds himself in the playoffs.   Even more he has a chance to win his division AND is currently #1 in Points Scored, which has a $200 bill awaiting the winner.  He can’t get ahead of himself though.  In his way sits Scotty.  Scotty will have #9 Justin Herbert in a shootout with the Raiders, #10 Rb Joe Mixon looks to clear concussion protocol and play in a big time shootout against Kansas City, TD Magent #9 Jamaal Williams faces Jacksonville, #25 WR Tyler Boyd is in the Cincy-KC game, #20 Wr Deebo Samuel gets Miami and #3 Tight End TJ Hockenson gets the Jets.  The big story for Brad is Christian McCaffrey.  He has a knee ailment that will limit his practice this week.  They are hopeful he plays against Miami.  Brad picked up Jordan Mason just in case, but it’s no lock that Mason would start if McCaffrey is inactive.  They could go with bigger back Tyrion Davis-Price or even bring Tevin Coleman up from the practice squad and have him handle the bulk of carries.  Brad also has Jaylen Warren who could be in line for a high workload against a beatable Atlanta defense if Najee Harris is inactive and he has Jamycal Hasty who could be in line for a high workload against a beatable Detroit defense if Travis Etienne is inactive.  Brad has options.  #4 Nick Chubb faces Houston’s #32 OPRK defense.  #2 Justin Jefferson will square off against the Sauce and #6 Jaylen Waddle will be in that interesting 49ers game.   Brad also has Isaih Pacheco who has taken over as KC’s lead running back and Jerick McKinnon the third down back is banged up, albeit they have a tough matchup against the Bengals.  Brad is heavily favored in this one, but he still has a lot of options and storylines to pay attention to and manage as the week progresses.  He’s hoping he’ll have good games out of his #4 Bills D/ST and #2 Kicker Tyler Bass who both play on TNF. 

Playoff Implications Everywhere.  Cold Weather.  Injuries.  Hope.  Ambition.  Fantasy Football.

Thanks for reading,

The Commish.