Week 10 Recap:
JD (8-2) 137.6 vs. Brad (7-3) 130.6
Bit Time game with playoff seeding implications. Brad was down by 28.8 heading into Monday Night Football with Jalen Hurts left to play. IBM Watson gave Brad a 28% chance of Jalen Hurts scoring over 30 fantasy points. Earlier in the year in Week 3 Jalen scored 30.6 points, so Brad just needed a repeat. Unfortunately, it wasn’t in the cards as Jalen went for 21.8 points as the Eagles lost to the Commanders. Brad had solid producers led by Justin Jefferson’s 33.3 points on 10 catches for 193 yards and a touchdown against a good Bills team. Only disappointing spot for Brad was Greg Dulcich who only had 1 catch for 11 yards in Denver’s loss to Tennessee. For JD he had two of his players go off for him in Patrick Mahomes who threw for over 300 yards and 4 touchdowns against the Jaguars for 34.1 fantasy points and CeeDee Lamb who caught 11 balls for 150 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns in a losing effort against the Green Bay Packers (35.5). He got solid production from Mostert (16.7) Rodale Moore (13.9) and Ten D/ST (13). All this despite an underwhelming game by Austin Ekeler, who scored his lowest amount (9.8) since Week 3. With this win JD has clinched a playoff spot. Congratulations JD!
Joe (3-7) 69.8 vs. Kenny (4-6) 132.8
K-Dub crushes Joe by a whopping 63 points, almost doubling him up this week. Joe got solid production out of Geno Smith (19.2) and Tony Pollard (23.3) but he had a season record 3 players score exactly 0 points. Eno Benjamin, Jerry Jeudy, and Clyde Edwards Helaire. Kenny started Jeff Wilson Jr who went off against Cleveland for 24.3 fantasy points and Cole Kmet against Detroit who scored a pair of touchdowns for 23.4. Adams was Adams with 26.1 and Devin Singletary ran for 2 touchdowns. Complete effort from Kenny as he stays in the playoff hunt.
Jen (4-6) 115.3 vs. Tommy (7-3) 108.3
Jen with the upset! Yall may remember Jen and Brad had a trade a few weeks ago. After JJ went off for 33.3 points this week one might have been thinking that Jen lost that trade. As the Legendary Lee Corso likes to say, “Not so fast!” She got 18.2 from Daniel Jones, 25.6 from Aaron Jones, and 18.3 from Gabe Davis, a total of 62.1 points. Heading into MNF she was at 95.5 points to Tommy’s 108.3. Terry McLaurin remained. Scary Terry wind up getting 8 catches for 128 yards and he looked good doing it. 19.8 and the victory by 7 points. On Tommy’s side he turned to Justin Fields with Joe Burrow on bye and Fields delivered yet again. 44.3 fantasy points! Everyone else on Tommy’s team had a quiet game. Tyreek had 12.9, Henry had 7.7. Just couldn’t get it going this week. Jen is still in the playoff hunt!
Chase (6-4) 135.6 vs. Scotty (3-7) 60.3
Chase more than doubles up Scotty. Scotty had every single player score 12 or less, including 7/9 in single digits. His team scored a total of 2 touchdowns, 1 from Herbert and 1 from Jamaal Williams. Chase started Subway Spokesperson and Terrible Quarterback Russel Wilson @ Tennesee, but the story for Chase was his rbs Dalvin Cook (27.1) and D’Onta Foreman (22) combining for 49.1. Kelce, Hopkins, and Amon-Ra St. Brown did their thing. The only unfortunate thing for Chase was JuJu Smith-Schuster got hurt and was put in the concussion protocol and had to exit the game.
Mike (5-5) 95.3 vs. Trey (4-6) 98.9
Mike held a slim lead of 1.8 fantasy points heading into MNF while Trey had Miles Sanders left. Sanders sucked, but he got Trey 5.4 points which was enough for the victory. Trey wins his third in a row. He was carried by the 1st overall pick Jonathan Taylor. It’s amazing. The Colts and JT suck. They fire their coach, turn to the veteran Qb, and give JT the ball and magically they win a game. JT’s schedule looks great to end the year, so don’t count Trey out of this thing yet. If he can squeeze into a post season berth he can compete. Mike couldn’t get it going this week. Jacobs got a respectable 19.6 points and Chris Godwin got his first touchdown of the season. But 5 players scoring in single digits and Mike starting the wrong tight end was the difference in the game.
Katon (2-8) 108.3 vs. Mustafa (7-3) 84.5
PIGS CAN FLY! HELL HAS FROZEN OVER! Katon takes down Mustafa! Worse than the loss for Moose was the two injuries he sustained. Cooper Kupp is heading to IR after suffering a high ankle sprain. He exited with 1.4 fantasy points. Tight End Dallas Goedert was also injured. Moose had Josh Allen play gutsy and score 22.6 and Saquon Barkley did his thing against Houston with 25.5, but the rest of his team combined for a paltry 36.4 points. How did Katon do it? Stefon Diggs had 12 catches for 128 yards and 21.8 fantasy points and Christian Kirk went for his best game of the season with 9 catches, 105 yards, and 2 touchdowns (30 fantasy points). Those two combined for 51.8 points. Katon got a touchdown from Devonta Smith on MNF and was able to get the job done.
Week 11 Preview
Last Week of Non-Divisional Games! Playoff Implications Everywhere!
Chase (6-4) vs. Brad (7-3)
Both teams have a very strong chance to make the playoffs. ESPN has Chase at 90% chance of making the playoffs and Brad at 99% chance of making the playoffs. That % chance will go down for one of these teams this week. Chase has renamed his team “Land of Misfti Quaterbacks” which is appropriate. Chase has started 4 different quarterbacks this season and has averaged 12.54 points per game at the position. Compare that to Brad who has started only 2 quarterbacks, his starter #3 Jalen Hurts and #15 Daniel Jones who only started due to Hurts’ bye week. Brad has averaged 25.31 from the Qb position. This week Chase turns to Qb #22 Russell Wilson. Who has looked awful. His only really strong performance came in Week 4 when he faced this same Raiders team he faces now. He scored 26.9 fantasy points in that matchup, throwing for 2 touchdowns and rushing for 1 touchdown. He hasn’t scored more than 14.2 since Week 4. The Raiders suck, so let’s see if Wilson repeats or if the loss of Jerry Jeudy hurts his value. Brad’s Hurts matches up against Indianapolis. Indy has been pretty solid in stopping opposing Qbs. At Rb teams look to be pretty even with Chase having #9 Rb Dalvin Cook against Dallas and D’Onta Foreman at home against Baltimore. Foreman has rushed for over 100 yards in 3 out of the 4 weeks since the CMC trade. We’ll see if he can continue that success this week or if his stats are inflated from playing Atlanta twice. Brad has #6 Rb Christian McCaffrey against Arizona. CMC played Arizona earlier this season for the Panthers and had 9 catches on 9 targets for 81 yards and a receiving touchdown. Look for CMC to get his normal amount of usage and touches despite Elijah Mitchell getting more snaps in his return last week. #1 Rb Nick Chubb faces Buffalo. Buffalo is giving up an average of 30.8 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs the last 3 weeks. Also this game is projected to be a heavy snow game, meaning lots of runs and weird punts. Chase has the advantage at WR due to Brad being without #6 WR Jaylen Waddle due to bye weeks. He’ll rely on #3 Justin Jefferson against Dallas and Courtland Sutton against Las Vegas. Brad hoping for more targets to Sutton and Dulcich with Jeudy being injured. Chase has the Sun-God Amon-Ra St. Brown against the Giants. His usage is insane. He also has DeAndre Hopkins versus San Fran on MNF. Hopkins has been a target and reception monster since coming back from suspension and now looks to pick up more potential targets with the injury to Zach Ertz. Chase also has Philly D against Indy which is going to be a smash and Dicker the Kicker. Should be a great matchup.
Mike (5-5) vs. Katon (2-8)
Katon has all but been eliminated from playoff contention, but Mike is still fighting for a spot. ESPN has Mike with a 52% chance of making a playoff spot. Standing in Mike’s way is a Katon team with some favorable matchups this week. Katon has #18 Alvin Kamara against LA Rams, David Montgomery in a smash spot against Atlanta. With Khalil Herbert out of the way look for Montgomery’s usage to spike. Katon also has #2 WR Stefon Diggs in a smash spot against Cleveland. Depending on weather conditions. WR Devonta Smith should be busy against Indianapolis and don’t overlook Brian Robinson Jr against Houston. Houston is #32 OPRK against Fantasy Rbs and have given up an average of 198 rushing yards in the past 3 weeks. For Mike he’s hoping for an NFC shootout between Dallas and Minnesota to fuel Dak Prescott. Dak has looked pretty good since his return from injury. Mike also has TE Dalton Schultz in that game for the Dak-Dalton stack. Najee Harris had his most carries and rushing yards of the season last week against the terrible Saints. Let’s see how he does against a Cincy defense he scored 9.6 against in Week 1 due in large part to a receiving touchdown. #5 Rb Josh Jacobs faces Denver. In Week 4 of this year Jacobs rushed 28 times for 144 yards and 2 rushing touchdowns. Mike would love a repeat of that performance. Tee Higgins was quiet in Week 1 against Pittsburgh but with Ja’Marr Chase out his target share should remain higher. Not sure who Mike will wind up starting at Wr2 and Flex with Chris Godwin out on bye. Katon will need to pick up a TE with Evan Engram on bye.
JD (8-2) vs. Mustafa (7-3)
One week after JD defeats Brad from Division 3, he gets Moose from Division 3. Of course the big story heading into this week is Moose losing WR #4 Cooper Kupp and TE # 4 Dallas Goedert to injuries last week. These two were averaging 30.3 points per game combined and will be big shoes to fill on Moose’s roster. I would say look for Moose to make a trade since he is deep at RB, but we have passed the trade deadline. Dizzle also lost Khalil Herbert to IR due to a hip injury. This leaves him a little shorthanded considering Raheem Mostert is currently on a bye week. JD does have A lot of players playing in primetime games this week. #1 Qb Patrick Mahomes, #3 Rb Austin Ekeler, and either Keenan Allen or Joshua Palmer all face off on SNF when the Chiefs battle the Chargers in Los Angeles. JD also has #11 D/ST Tennessee against Green Bay on TNF. Looks like JD will need to find a Tight End and it looks like he’ll roll with James Robinson @ New England. On Moose’s side he has #2 Qb Josh Allen in a blizzard game against Cleveland. Luckily for Moose Allen is a really good runner, which will maintain a solid floor despite the potential elements. #4 Rb Saquon Barkley faces Detroit. Detroit has been better against the run in recent weeks if you don’t count Justin Fields running all over them last week. Montgomery and Herbert were pretty quiet last week. Barkley should be solid, but maybe he won’t explode like it looks like he could on paper. #14 Rb Dameon Pierce faces a tough Washington team coming off of an emotional and statement win against the previously undefeated Philly Eagles. Moose has #8 Wr AJ Brown against the Colts. He may get matched up with Stephon Gilmore. He also appeared to look off on Monday Night Football. He came up limping one play. The announcers said he just changed his cleats out, but he never was a factor against Washington. Something to monitor this week in practice. Moose will also have #12 Rb Rhamondre Stevenson against New York Jets. A couple weeks ago he scored 17.8 against this Jets defense, including 7 catches on 7 targets for 72 receiving yards. Moose will have Toney on SNF and Foster Moreau @ Denver. Moreau is serviceable at TE due to target share, but the Raiders suck, limiting his upside. With JD’s depth issues this might be a Moose week as the leaders of D2 and D3 square off!
Joe (3-7) vs. Jen (4-6)
There is no easy way to put this. Joe’s team is dead. Between injuries (Jerry Jeudy looks to miss time, Ja’Marr Chase isn’t back yet), bye weeks (Geno Smith and Noah Fant on byes), and his RB getting released (Eno Benjamin was released and signed with the Texans). He should get Mark Andrews back this week. So that’s something. Jen has her full team minus rookie phenom Kenneth Walker who is on bye this week. She is heavily favored with Qb #15 Daniel Jones playing Detroit who just got torched on the ground by Justin Fields, #8 Rb Aaron Jones plays Tennessee, and #12 WR Terry McLaurin faces Houston.
Tommy (7-3) vs. Trey (4-6)
Both teams have gotten hit hard with bye weeks this week. Tommy will be without #11 Rb Leonard Fournette, #1 WR Tyreek Hill, and #17 DK Metcalf. Trey will be without #10 RB Travis Etienne and #11 WR Tyler Lockett. In addition to both missing folks on bye weeks they both have Quarterbacks that have 2 games over 40+ fantasy points each. Tommy’s #4 Qb Justin Fields who has a juicy matchup against Atlanta and Trey’s #6 Qb Lamar Jackson with a juicy matchup against Carolina. Of course Fields is supposed to be backing up #5 Qb Joe Burrow for Tommy who now finds himself in a bit of a QB quandary. I don’t see how you can bench Fields right now. Both Tommy’s #1 Rb Derrick Henry against Green Bay on TNF and Trey’s #24 Jonathan Taylor against Philly have decent matchups. You can run on Philly as shown by Dameon Pierce and Brian Robinson the last couple of weeks. Tommy was given a lot of shit for drafting Dereck Henry over Cooper Kupp in the draft and now he’s putting the haters back in the refrigerator with the rest of the hate-o-rade. Tommy 1- Brad 0. This should be a huge game with playoff implications. Can Trey stay in the hunt? Can Tommy get a step closer to clinching Division 1 with Chase hot on the…Chase?
Kenny (4-6) vs. Scotty (3-7)
Kenny is alive! He’s hoping to stay in the playoff hunt this week. ESPN has K-Dub having a 16% chance of making the playoffs. Scotty is down to just 3% chance. The Theme of Kenny’s team is injuries. Kyler Murray was injured last week, so we’ll have to see if he is back in action this week on MNF against a tough San Fran defense. D’Andre Swift is back, but limited. He has a total of 22 touches the last 3 weeks combined, which is not good. A pair of touchdowns is the only thing keeping him borderline startable right now. Kenny will have Singletary in the snow game. #5 WR Davante Adams against Denver. In Week 4 he caught 9 balls on 13 targets for 101 yards. #13 Amari Cooper is in the snow game. We’ll see if Kenny gets Mike Williams back from injury or if he needs to turn to Elijah Mitchell, Damien Harris, or Jacobi Meyers. Also Cole Kmet got rolled up at the end of the game last week, so JD will have to monitor that as well. On Scotty’s side he gets Rb#7 Joe Mixon back from bye, but now WR #14 Mike Evans is out on bye. Herbert gets KC on SNF. Jamaal Williams is @ NYG like Kenny’s Swift. DJ Moore and Hockensen should remain high in terms of target share and fantasy potential. Deebo should be a factor on MNF. This could be a very close game. Will Katon play spoiler to the fringe playoff teams? Or will Scotty pull out a victory and hold on to a sliver of a chance? We shall see!
Thanks and Good Luck!
Signed,
The Commish
fantasyfootballbrad 