Week 3 Recap:
Division 1:
Chase (1-2) 77.2 vs. Joe (2-1) 111.6
After Chase exploded in Week 1 for 142.9 points his point total has diminished to 92.3 in Week 2 and now 77.2 in Week 3. To put Week 3 mildly, it was disastrous for Chase. Kirk Cousins has yet to crack 20 fantasy points in a game. Dalvin Cook had his best game of the season with 13.6 fantasy points, but he lost a fumble and injured his shoulder knocking him out of the game. JK Dobbins returned to action, but as expected the Ravens eased him back in with 9 touches. Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 8-reception and touchdown streaks were ended and he rolled his ankle. Even Chase’s kicker and defense had terrible days combining for -2 points. Joe on the other hand was carried by #1 Tight End Mark Andrews’ 24.9. Mark Andrews finished as Tight End #1 last year and has started as Tight End #1 through 3 games this season. It was fitting that he faced off against Chase’s Travis Kelce and performed better, almost as if to signify the changing of the guard. Joe got a touchdown from Adam Thielen who had his best game of the year so far with 15.1. And Tony Pollard looked like the much better running back on the Cowboys after rushing for 105 yards on only 13 carries on Monday Night Football. Joe moves to 2-1 and leads D1 after 3 weeks.
Tommy (2-1) 105.9 vs. Mike (1-2) 75.3
Very similar score in the other Division 1 game. Tommy was carried to victory by Joe Burrow’s 23 and Derrick Henry’s 22.8, which accounted for 52.7% of Tommy’s point output and 74.1% of Mike’s point total. Mike has had a rough season to start. Najee Harris is barely a top 20 running back, Javonte Williams isn’t a top 20 running back. It’s just bad right now. His top scorer this week was Josh Jacobs with 12.2. This is usually where I try to give someone hope and explain to them that anything can happen in fantasy, but whew! Looking back at the draft recap it just hurts. Mike took Javonte Williams over Barkley and Mark Andrews. He drafted Darnell Mooney over Amon-Ra St. Brown in Round 5. Has not had his Rounds 6, 7, and 8 players due to injury. Anything can happen, but Mike looks like he’ll be facing an uphill battle for the rest of the season.
Division 2:
Kenny (2-1) 100.3 vs. Jen (1-2) 72.3
Pretty low scoring affair in this game. Kenny’s top scorer was Amari Cooper on Thursday Night Football, who had 7 catches for 101 yards and a touchdown for 22.6 fantasy points. His wideouts all scored touchdowns despite Adams only having 36 receiving yards and Mike Williams only catching one pass. Jen’s team had a rough day as Justin Jefferson had his second bad game in a row and 6 out of 9 players scored in single digits. It was good to see Terry McLaurin have his best game of the season so far with 16.2 points.
JD (3-0) 119.9 vs. Katon (0-3) 75.0
JD remains unbeaten after taking out Katon in Week 3. JD scored his highest game of the season so far with 119.9. It was a complete team effort with 6 out of 9 players scoring in double digits. His high scorer has been one of the awesome stories of the season so far in #3 Rb James Robinson. He had a 100 yards rushing and a touchdown for 24.1 fantasy points. Katon lost David Montgomery to injury this week. He had 3 players combine for 4.6 points. Qb and Rb have been a bit of a problem for Katon which has overshadowed his awesome starts to the season for #1 WR Stefon Diggs and #6 Wr Christian Kirk.
Division 3:
Mustafa (3-0) 143.3 vs. Scotty (1-2) 104.3
Moose burned through Division 3 like a Dragon from Game of Thrones. Moose starts the year scorching hot with games of 176.7, 134.6, and 143.3 for a point leader total of 454.6 and an average of 151.5. Scotty got caught up in his wake this week and didn’t stand a chance. Herbert played through his rib cartilage injury but didn’t look crisp in a blowout loss to the Jaguars. Joe Mixon underwhelmed against the Jets and tweaked his ankle. DJ Moore looks pretty bad to start the season and only got Scotty 2 points. It was good to see Marquise “Hollywood” Brown have his best game of the season with 14 catches for 140 yards. On Moose’s side he had 7 out of 9 players score in double digits and 5 players score at least 17. For perspective Scotty had 2 players score at least 17. In fact, the rest of the league only had 13 players score over 17. So Moose had 5/18 of the players that scored 17 or more this week on his roster. Dominant.
Trey (0-3) 107.4 vs. Brad (2-1) 114.9
Trey and Brad traded shots all game and ultimately it came down to Robbie Gould vs. Courtland Sutton on Sunday Night Football. Gould hit a 50+ yard field goal in the 4th quarter, leading to Brad being up by 3.8. A 40 yard field goal from Gould would have been enough to take the lead at that point. But the fates were on Brad’s side as Sutton got a couple more catches and Gould’s night was done. The other side of this story was the massive games from each of these teams’ quarterbacks. Trey getting 42.3 from #1 Fantasy Qb Lamar Jackson and Brad getting 30.6 from #3 Fantasy Qb Jalen Hurts. One of the difference makers for Brad was bonus points for 100 yard games. Although Trey got 3 for Lamar Jackson’s 100+ yards rushing, Brad got 3 from Jalen Hurts’ 300 yard passing game, Chubb’s 100 yard rushing game, McCaffrey’s 100 yard rushing game, Waddle’s 100 yard receiving game. And he almost got 3 more as Courtland Sutton finished with 97 yards receiving. Overall Brad outscored Trey 12 to 3 on points from bonuses alone, which was the difference maker in a game decided by 7.5 points.
Week 4 Preview
Joe (2-1) vs. Mustafa (3-0)
This is the only matchup this week featuring two winning teams. Joe is averaging 104.5 per game and Moose is averaging 151.5, so the records might not be the key factor heading into this matchup. Moose’s team looks unbeatable through 3 weeks of the season. It’s easy to see why. Moose has #2 Qb Josh Allen in a potential shootout against Baltimore, #2 Rb Saquon Barkley against Chicago that made Dameon Pierce look solid, and #2 Wr Cooper Kupp @ San Fran that gave up 8 catches and 97 yards to Courtland Sutton last week. Moose even has the #2 Kicker in Ryan Succop. Crazy, #2 in every position except for defense. He also has #7 Wr AJ Brown and #5 Tight End Dallas Goedert in another potential shootout against Jacksonville. His bench is deep too. We should feat this team. Joe has Russel Wilson @ Las Vegas. Wilson’s strength is throwing the ball deep, so maybe they can get this thing going against the Raiders 26thranked OPRK. Joe will have #13 Ja’Mar Chase against Miami and Mark Andrews against Buffalo. Moose is favored by 20 points according to ESPN. Not sure if Joe has the fire power to hang with Moose’s Juggernaut.
JD (3-0) vs. Scotty (1-2)
Dizzle swept Division 2 and now branches out to the outside world. JD has been solid and consistent to start this season with games of 106.1, 99.2, and 119.9. He is 3-0; however, because of his points against being the lowest in the league at 259.4, an average of 86.5 per game. This week he goes up against the team that has the most points scored against him in Scotty. Scotty has had 445.7 points scored against him, an average of 148.6 and somehow despite, that he managed to get a win in division play. For even more perspective on this gap. In the past two weeks Scotty has had 351.1 points scored against him, which is 91.7 more points than JD has had scored against him in three weeks. Jd has #4 Qb Patrick Mahomes going up against Tampa Bay on Sunday Night Football. Not sure where or how that game will be played given the fact that Hurricane Ian is making landfall and projects to slam into Tampa Bay. I pray for all the path to be safe and hope the area is able to recover in the long road ahead. If any group can empathize with the Floridians, it’s the Louisiana people that have gone through multiple similar situations over the past decade or so. JD has #3 Rb James Robinson @ 23rd OPRK Philly and #21 Rb Austin Ekeler vs. #32 OPRK Houston, who just got sliced and diced by Khalil Herbert last week. Scotty has #18 Rb Joe Mixon against Miami on Thursday Night Football. #8 Qb Justin Herbert will continue to play through that painful rib injury against Houston. Houston has been stingy against opposing fantasy Qb’s, so we’ll see if the Chargers get a normal amount of passes or if they rely on the run more this week. There is a chance this game will come down to Monday Night Football where Scotty would have Deebo Samuel against the LA Rams. In 3 games against the Rams last season Deebo averaged a stat line of 4.33 catches, 88 yards receiving, .67 receiving touchdowns, and 6.67 rushes, 35.7 yards rushing, .67 rushing touchdowns. Total Averages were 11 touches, 123.7 total yards, and 1.33 touchdowns. Will Ekeler explode and lead JD to 4-0? Or will Deebo pick up where he left off last season and get Scotty to 2-2?
Brad (2-1) vs. Mike (1-2)
Super Bowl 1 Rematch! If you think Brad is feeling confident heading into Week 4 then you are mistaken. Brad started out 2-1 last season. What happened next? Went 1-10 to close out the season. Let’s see if Mike can start the losing streak for Brad again this season. Brad will have #3 Fantasy Qb Jalen Hurts in a potential shootout with the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars defense did a good job shutting down injured Justin Herbert, but we’ll see if they can shut down dual-threat Hurts. Brad’s 3 headed monster at Rb consists of #1 Nick Chubb @ Atlanta, #8 CMC vs. Arizona, and #9 Aaron Jones vs. New England. #3 Wr Jaylen Waddle faces the Bengals on Thursday Night Football. Will have to monitor his status as he is dealing with a groin injury of sorts. #18 Wr Courtland Sutton faces off against the Raiders in Las Vegas. On Mike’s side he has #6 Qb Carson Wentz against Dallas’s stingy defense who is led by Micah Parsons. He’ll have Najee Harris against the Jets and Javonte Williams vs. Las Vegas. Tee Higgins looks to be featured in the Miami game on TNF. He seems to have a toe issue, worth monitoring there. ESPN has seemed to pick a winner in this one, projecting Brad the favorite by 26.8 points. According to ESPN+ Brad has a 60% chance to win this week. Maybe Mike can get Chris Godwin back to try for Sunday Night Football to increase his chances this week.
Tommy (2-1) vs. Katon (0-3)
This game has players in all the primetime games this week. Tommy has #9 Qb Joe Burrow and #5 Wr Tyreek Hill on Thursday Night Football. Katon has Alvin Kamara playing at 8:30am Central time in Jolly Ole’ London. On Sunday Night Football Tommy has Leonard Fournette against Kansas City. On Monday Night Football Tommy has George Kittle and Matt Gay against Katon’s Matt Stafford. Tommy is definitely favored in this one, but big storylines to watch are Katon’s David Montgomery and his status against the Giants this week and whether or not Katon changes his strategy and starts 3 wideouts instead of 3 running backs since Wide Receiver seems to be a strength position for him. Let’s see if Katon can get his first win of the season this week.
Chase (1-2) vs. Jen (1-2)
Two teams hoping to get to .500 this week and avoid the 1-3 hole. Biggest game of the week for this matchup is definitely the London game featuring the Minnesota Vikings versus the New Orleans Saints. Chase has Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison. Cook left the game last week with a shoulder injury. So we’ll see if he toughs it out and plays or if Mattison will get the start. Chase is hoping for clarity as the worse case scenario is Cook playing and having limited snaps. Chase also has Kirk Cousins against the stingy Saints Defense. We’ll see if Chase makes a Qb move this week. Jen will have Cousins’s #1 Wideout in #9 Justin Jefferson. After Jefferson exploded in Week 1 for 37.9 fantasy points he underwhelmed with games of 7.8 and 2.9 after that. Can he bounce back against Marcus Lattimore and the Saints defense? Another injury to watch in this one is #4 Wr Amon-Ra St. Brown for Chase. He tweaked his ankle last week, so we’ll see if he can go against Seattle in Week 4. Hard to make a prediction in this matchup with so many variables up in the air.
Trey (0-3) vs. Kenny (2-1)
Trey has only scored 8.1 fewer points than Kenny so far this season. But he found himself in Division 3, the highest scoring division by 313.7 points. (Division 1 has scored 1218.3, Division 2 has scored 1201, Division 3 has scored 1532). Shout out to Kenny and Chase for drafting divisions well. They stuck some of the best teams against each other and out of their divisions. Smart drafting by you two. Trey has #1 Qb Lamar Jackson against Buffalo. Jackson bet on himself this offseason and will be a free agent after this year. For perspective on Jackson being the top scoring Qb in fantasy so far this season. He is ranked #1. If you took away all his rushing stats (he has rushed 26 times for 243 yards and 2 touchdowns) he would still be Fantasy Qb #5. If you look at just his rushing stats he would currently be ranked as Rb #12. So Trey’s Qb has been the equivalent of having the #5 Qb and the #12 Rb in fantasy in ONE Roster spot. He also has #10 Rb Johnathan Taylor who faces Tennessee this week. He did okay against Tennessee last season averaging 97 total yards and scoring a touchdown in one out of the two contests. Tennessee’s Run Defense hasn’t looked as good as last year, but neither has JT so far. We’ll see how he does this week. For Kenny the big storyline is the loss of his #5 Rb D’Andre Swift. He’ll have to lean on #25 Rb Devin Singletary @ Baltimore and Jeff Wilson Jr. against the Rams on MNF. At Wr there is a big mismatch with Kenny having #10 Wr Davante Adams against Denver and #8 Wr Amari Cooper @ Atlanta. Trey has Allen Robinson and Tyler Lockett or Allen Lazard as his Wr options. As painful as it is for me to say it. Trey might have an actual legit case to try and trade JT for 3 starters. Getting a whole new team along with Lamar Jackson might make him more competitive. In case anyone is wondering, this is my way of telling Trey to trade me Johnathan Taylor. I’m not being subtle.
Thanks for reading and good luck!
-Signed, The Commish
fantasyfootballbrad 