BBY Dream Team League S14 Round 2 Recap & Super Bowl 14 Preview

Round 2 Recap:

  1. Chase (7-7) 99.1 vs. 1. JD (11-3) 122.5

JD moves on the Super Bowl!  He overcame some terrible play from Bam Knight on TNF (1.8), and questionably started Juwan Johnson in swirling 30 mph winds that felt like -10 degrees in Cleveland for some reason, but he was carried by his big 3: Patrick Mahomes 23.6, Austin Ekeler 21.9, and CeeDee Lamb 32.0.  Chase had good performances out of Kirk Cousins 24.0, Travis Kelce 17.3, and his kicker Brett Maher with 18, but single digits for 6/9 starters and he failed to crack 100 points.  A new champion will be crowned in Season 14.

  1. Brad (10-4) 131.8 vs. 2. Tommy (10-4) 150.3

Tommy’s team balled out.  Brad put up a solid and respectable 131.8, but it wasn’t enough.  Tommy had Joe Burrow throw for 375 yards and 3 touchdowns for 26.5 fantasy points, Tom Brady decided to throw it to Lenny Fournette a thousand fucking times for 20.7 fantasy points, Derrick Henry did NOT rush for 200 yards, only 126 and a touchdown.  Kittle caught 2 touchdowns for 30 points.  Brad started the right tight end and got an extra 3 points for switching out his kicker, but shit.  Brad was carried by his wideout duo of Waddle (27.8) and Justin Jefferson (28.3).  Points Leader falls in the Semi’s.  A new champion will be crowned in Season 14.

Bottom Bowl Recap:

Round 2

Game 1:

Joe 110.6 vs. Jen 112.0

Jen advances to Game 1 of Round 3 and is guaranteed either 5 or 6 balls in the draft lottery next year. Congrats Jen!  Joe drops to Game 2 of Round 3 and will either have 3 or 4 balls in the draft lottery.

Game 2:

Katon 99 vs. Kenny 66.4

Katon advances to Game 1 of Round 3 and is guaranteed either 5 or 6 balls in the draft lottery next year. Congrats Katon!  Kenny drops to Game 3 of Round 3 and will either have 2 or 1 ball in the draft lottery.  Whomp whomp

Game 3:

Scotty 84.8 vs. Trey 86.0

Trey advances to Game 2 of Round 3 and will either have 3 or 4 balls in the draft lottery depending on if he beats Joe or not.  Scotty drops to the bottom of the bottom to face Kenny with only 1 or 2 balls as the consolation prize.

SUPER BOWL 14 PREVIEW:

1.JD (11-3)  vs. 2. Tommy (10-4)

JD and Tommy have never met in the post season.  The closest they came was back in 2014 when they both made the Final Four.  JD advanced to the Super Bowl, but Tommy did not, falling to the eventual champion Scotty in the Semi’s.  JD is 0-2 in Super Bowls.  Tommy is 0-1.  The big story of this Super Bowl is Running Backs.  JD had the 3rd pick and picked Austin Ekeler.  Tommy had the 5th pick and took Derrick Henry.  Austin Ekeler is currently RB #3 and Derrick Henry is currently RB #2.  Both of these studs are at risk this week as Titans don’t have any reason to try against Dallas on TNF and will most likely bench Derrick Henry to save him for next week’s AFC South Crown matchup against Jacksonville.  For JD Austin Ekeler banged up his knee on the last play of the game in the Chargers victory against the Colts on Monday Night Football.  They have secured a playoff spot and will either be the 5, 6, or 7 seed, so rushing Ekeler back doesn’t make a lot of sense.  Tommy won this matchup earlier this season in Week 5 149.5 to JD’s 106.5.  Both of the studs mentioned went off in this matchup.  Ekeler had 36.9 for JD and Henry had 29.2 for Tommy.  This biggest difference in that game was Tommy’s RB2 Lenny Fournette scoring 30.9 versus JD’s RB2 James Robinson getting 4.9 AND Tommy’s Dallas D/ST getting 24.0 against the Rams versus JD’s Miami D/ST getting -1 against the Jets.  Tommy started Kareem Hunt in the flex in that game, who scored a touchdown.  With Henry listed as doubtful as of this writing, Tommy might have to go dumpster diving in the waiver wire or roll with Hunt yet again.

MATCHUPS:

Quarterback:

Tommy features #4 Qb Joe “Big Dick” Burrow against Buffalo on Monday Night Football.  What more can you want?  Your season potentially coming down to an AFC duel between Josh Allen’s Bills and Joe Burrow’s Bengals?  It’s going to be epic.  JD will have #1 Qb Patrick Mahomes who might be winning the MVP award this season.  He faces a Denver team in disarray who fired their head coach this week.  Their defense has been their only bright spot, but that didn’t stop Mahomes from throwing for 352 yards and 3 touchdowns against them just 3 weeks ago @ Denver.  Two of the best dueling it out here.

Running Backs:

This was supposed to be #2 versus #3, Stud Rb versus Stud Rb.  But now both are in doubt.  I just got confirmation that Henry will be INACTIVE tonight versus Dallas.  JD smartly picked up Tennessee backup rookie out of Michigan Hassan Haskins who will be playing in a garbage game against Dallas on TNF.  He also picked up Khalil Herbert to block Tommy.  Tommy looks as though he’s going to roll with his rostered running backs of #13 Leonard Fournette in a battle against the Panthers with the season on the line and Kareem Hunt in a tough matchup against Washington.  Hunt hasn’t been flex worthy for most of this season and Nick Chubb will be playing, limiting Hunt’s potential.  Tommy will hope for a touchdown.  On JD’s side he’ll hold out hope for Austin Ekeler to play, but if he doesn’t he can turn to Joshua Kelley who JD picked up earlier this month with $4 of FAAB.  Peace of Mind is worth $4 in fake money if you ask me.  At Rb #2 JD has choices.  He could roll with Hassan Haskins for a fun YOLO play, could roll with Zonovan Knight against Seattle with Mike White back at Qb, or could roll with Raheem Mostert in a divisional clash against New England.  Nothing like your season potentially coming down to Zonovan, Hassan, or Raheem.

Wide Receivers:

Tommy will feature his duo of WR Freaks in #2 Tyreek Hill @ New England and #15 DK Metcalf versus Sauce Garnder and the NY Jets.  Tyreek will have Teddy Bridgewater throwing passes to him since Tua is yet again concussed.  In Week 1 Tyreek caught 8 passes on 12 targets for 94 yards and no touchdowns against NE.  Tua to Teddy is a downgrade.  DK might have Lockett back in the lineup, which could help relieve some double teams, but even single man against the Sauce will be difficult.  As of right now Tommy has #19 Brandon Aiyuk in his flex spot against a very beatable Raiders secondary.  He could pivot to #20 Zay Jones against the Texans.  For JD he has #6 CeeDee Lamb against Tennessee’s backup defense.  Lamb has been on fire the last 2 weeks going 7/7 for 126 yards in Week 15 against Jacksonville and 10/11 for 120 yards and 2 touchdowns in Week 16 against Philly.  In my preseason write up I said Lamb had Top 5 WR potential this season and here he is at 6 and a smash spot in the Title game.  He might only play the first half, but I could see him doing significant damage in that half against backups to a starting secondary that already isn’t very good.  He’ll also have Keenan Allen.  Allen after coming back from injury has been a target monster.  Here are his stats over the past 4 games.  6/14 88 yards 1 touchdown, 12/14 92 yards, 8/9 86 yards, 11/14 104 yards.  You read that correctly in 3 out of the last 4 games he’s gotten exactly 14 targets.  The Rams are still starting Jalen Ramsey, but Ramsey could very well spend more time with Mike Williams, so who knows.  Love his floor in this one.  JD currently has #18 Garret Wilson in his flex position.  With Mike White coming back from injury this has to give JD hope.  With Mike White at Qb Wilson had games of 25.9 and 23.2 versus his last 2 games of Zach Wilson which were 11.8 and 3.0.  He did see 9 targets in each of those games though, Zach Wilson just sucks.

Tight Ends:

Tommy has #3 George Kittle who has been destroying defenses lately.  Easily Purdy’s top target as he has caught 4 touchdowns in the past 2 games, scoring games of 25.3 and 30.0.  In come the Raiders 22ndranked OPRK against Fantasy Tight Ends.  Something to note though is they haven’t given up a touchdown pass to a tight end since Travis Kelce scored 4 of them back in Week 5.  Interesting.  JD has #11 Juwan Johnson as of this writing.  He faces Philly.  Johnson has scored 7 touchdowns this season, so we’ll see if he can go for #8 for JD in the Super Bowl.

Defense & Special Teams:

Tommy has #2 Dallas D/ST against Joshua Dobbs and Hassan Haskins on Thursday Night Football.  If there is a silver lining of Tommy not having Derrick Henry, it’s that he can fire up Dallas D/ST confidently.  Cowboys are projected to blowout the Titans.  JD also has a favorable matchup with NY Giants against the Indianapolis Colts.  Nick Foles looked downright awful against the Chargers on MNF throwing 3 interceptions.  Giants also are getting back Xavier McKinney potentially, which could help.

Kicker:

Tommy scooped up Brad’s garbage in #5 Tyler Bass.  Projected shootout on Monday Night Football @ Cincinnati.  JD has #7 Graham Gano going up against Indy at home.  Both solid kickers that should have ample opportunity this week.

Final Thoughts:

Great season to both of you.  The payout structure is $750 to the winner and $200 to the runner-up.  In the past the two teams have elected to change the payout amount to be closer.  If you both message me and agree to a different amount then I shall make it so.  Thank you all for another great season of the BBY Dream Team League. I look forward to seeing who wins their first title and will be fighting to defend it in Season 15.

Bottom Bowl Preview:

Round 3:

Game 1:

Katon vs. Jen

Congrats you two, you’ve already won 5 or 6 balls.

Game 2:

Joe vs. Trey

Both ended the year strong and will be playing for 3 or 4 balls in the draft lottery.  Good luck gentlemen!

Game 3:

Scotty vs. Kenny

Two previous champions meet at the Bottom of the Bottom Bowl.  Look forward to seeing you back in the playoff hunt next season.  Winner gets 2 balls in draft lottery.  Loser gets nothing.

Thank you all so much for a wonderful season.  God Bless you.

Thanks,

Commish B-Razzle Dazzle

BBY Dream Team League S14 Round 1 Recap & Round 2 Preview

Round 1 Recap:

This was the highest scoring Round 1 in the history of our league. 

 

BYE: 1. JD, 2. Tommy

 

5.Chase (7-7) 156.4 vs. 4. Moose (8-6) 141.4

Chase advances to face the 1 seed JD after defeating Moose in a shootout 156.4 to 141.4.  Moose didn’t get Dallas Goedert back in time and the result was a shootout anyway.  But chase got 37.4 from Kirk Cousins, 27 from Dalvin Cook in their epic comeback win against the Colts.  He got a solid 9.5 or more from every starter in a complete game.  Moose had 5 players score in single digits, but still hung around with gutsy performances from Josh Allen (38.7), Barkley (20.5), AJ Brown (25.6) and Stevenson (26.8).      

 

6.Mike (7-7) 131.6 vs. 3. Brad (10-4) 145.1

Brad started off with a 99+ point lead as 7/9 starters played prior to Sunday.  Mike came roaring back and threatened until the bitter end, but wind up falling by 13.5 points.  Brad moves on to face Tommy.  Mike got a monster 30.2 game from Jerick McKinnon.  Brad was carried by his big three with Jalen Hurts getting 37.7, Justin Jefferson getting 27.3 and CMC getting 23.9.  He also had a long td catch by Jaylen Waddle, which got the big play bonus and put him over 100 yards receiving where he finished with 23.9. 

 

Bottom Bowl:

Kenny (6-8) 80.2 vs. Jen (6-8) 103.6

Jen wins and advances to Game 1 of Round 2.  Great spot to be.  Kenny moves on to Game 2 of Round 2. 

 

Joe (6-8) 95.1  vs. Trey (6-8) 82.0

Joe continues his epic win streak.  He moves on to Game 1 of Round 2 and will get at least 3 balls in the draft lottery.  Trey drops to Game 3 of Round 2 and has already capped his ball potential for next year. 

 

Katon (3-11) 93.6 vs. Scotty (3-11) 78.0

Katon defeats Scotty to move to Round 2 Game 2.  Scotty is already capped to a max of 4 balls in the lottery since he will be playing in Round 2 Game 3. 

 

Round 2 Preview:

5.Chase (7-7) vs. 1. JD (11-3)

Chase is coming off of the second highest opening round score in the history of the league and enters Round 2 as a complete team.  Chase and JD have never met in the playoffs.  This bracket is shaping up a lot like 2014 where JD was the 1 seed and played the winner of the 4/5 game that featured Moose and Chase.  Moose won back in 2014, but this time it’s Chase’s turn.  JD won in the final four matchup in 2014.  Let’s see if history will repeat itself.  JD is searching for his first Title after losing in back to back Super Bowls in 2014 and 2015.  Chase is seeking back to back Titles and his 4th Championship this season. 

 

Quarterbacks:

Chase has 8. Kirk Cousins is coming off of back to back 30+ point fantasy performances and this week he gets the Giants at home.  JD features #2 Patrick Mahomes vs. Seattle.  Seattle’s secondary is young, but they give up a lot of fantasy points to running backs and tight ends.  Which benefits Chase who has Kelce. 

 

Running Backs:

Chase has 8. Dalvin Cook vs. the Giants who are 23rd OPRK and JK Dobbins with a plus matchup against Atlanta.  It’s going to be cold and miserable in Baltimore as it is in much of the US, so I expect a lot of runs in this game. JD will finish things off with #4 Austin Ekeler vs. Indianapolis in Indy on Monday Night Football.  He will either start Bam Knight who faces Jacksonville in a bad weather game on Thursday Night Football or pivot to Raheem Mostert against Green Bay in Miami.  Bam is fun to say, but not if he’s Banged Up. 

 

Wide Receivers:

Talent all over the place.  Chase with #7 Amon-Ra St. Brown versus a beatable Carolina team on Saturday.  Weather looks to be freezing temperatures, but some of the best in the slate because everywhere else is garbage weather.  #25 JuJu will be in the Seattle game.  I mentioned earlier Seattle locks down Wideouts, but get’s destroyed by Running backs and Tight Ends.  Chase will also have #23 Michael Pittman on MNF vs. LA Chargers OR DeAndre Hopkins vs. Tampa Bay on SNF.  Indy has announced a Qb change from Matt Ryan to Nick Folk, which I’m not sure if that helps or hurts the Colts.  Dizzle has #8 CeeDee Lamb in a pivotal divisional matchup against Philly on Saturday.  He also has #17 Garrett Wilson vs. Jacksonville on TNF.  Weather looks like shit, but Wilson has been a target machine in the last 4 weeks, averaging nearly 10 targets per game.  JD also has Keenan Allen on MNF in a tough matchup against Indianapolis.  Indy’s secondary is solid until they completely fall apart and give up 36 second half points.  

 

Tight Ends:

Clear advantage to Chase with #1 Travis Kelce.  Kelce is the equivalent of WR or Rb #5.  He gets a great matchup against Seattle this week.  He averages 17.7 points per game.   Its like Chase rolling out Nick Chubb or Saquon Barkley in his TE spot.  Dizzle has been streaming Tight Ends and just dropped Daniel Bellinger to pick up TD magnet Juwan Johnson.  Johnson is projected to play in Cleveland this weekend with snow projected pregame and in game.  Temps in the teens with 20-30 mph sustained winds with gusts up to 40 mph.  Juwan has broken a lot of long touchdowns this season, we’ll see if he can do it while playing a game in Hell. 

 

Defense & Special Teams:

Chase is rolling with 14. Cleveland D/ST in the winter hell game.  Look for a lot of runs and for people to try and get the hell out of there.  Low scoring, slippery football.  Could be great for a D/ST.  JD has Ten D/ST against Houston.  Houston has been formidable the past couple weeks against Dallas and Kansas City.  Hanging in games they shouldn’t.  Not sure if it will continue as the way to exploit Tennessee is to pass against them.  We’ll see. 

 

Kicker:

#5 Brett Maher for Chase in a great game against Philly.  Could very well come down to a field goal or two.  JD has #10 Graham Gano in a dome in Minnesota.  A favorable situation give the weather this weekend.   

 

3.Brad (10-4) vs. 2. Tommy (10-4)

 

Super Bowl 3 Rematch.  Brad defeated Tommy by 1 point on a last minute play in which Drew Brees broke the touchdown record on a touchdown to Brad’s Darren Sproles.  Brad is 3-10 against Tommy all time.  2 of those wins have come in the playoffs. 

 

Quarterbacks:

Brad HAD #1 Qb Jalen Hurts who had scored at least 30 points in 4 consecutive weeks.  Then it was determined that he hurt his shoulder in his game against Chicago.  Hurts is saying he might still play this weekend, but it looks like it’s going to be Minshew this week against Dallas.  Tommy had saved up his FAAB and smartly picked up the Top 3 backup Qb options putting #15 bids on each one as Brad only had #14 FAAB remaining.  Brad is horrible at managing FAAB specifically in this league.  This led him to pick up Brock Purdy against a really tough Washington Defense.  Purdy has thrown 2 touchdowns in each of the last 3 games.  Brad is hoping for a miracle to have Hurts available, if not he’ll roll with the Purdy-CMC stack.  Tommy has his choice of Joe Burrow or Justin Fields…. Or Aaron Rodgers or Zach Wilson or Gardner Minshew lol.  He’ll most likely roll with #4 Joe Burrow against New England.  They are pretty good against the pass, but Burrow is Burrow. 

 

Running Backs:

Brad has all 3 of his Rb’s starting on Saturday with #5 Nick Chubb vs. New Orleans in a snow game, Isaih Pacheco against Seattle’s #31 OPRK, and #3 CMC against a stiff Washington Defense.  Nick Chubb is nursing a foot injury and hasn’t practiced as of this write up.  If Chubb misses that could be disastrous for Brad since Tommy holds Kareem Hunt who would become an instant starter.  Tommy has #2 Derrick Henry vs. Houston.  In Henry’s last 4 games against Houston he has rushed for: 32-219-2, 34-250-2, 22-212-2, and 32-211-3.  And Tannehill is projected to miss.  Houston is #32 OPRK.  I’ve scribbled in 30 in this spot.  Tommy will also have #14 Leonard Fournette against Arizona.  He took a 2/3 snap share last week over rookie Rashad White, which I’m sure Tommy would love to see continue this week.   

 

Wide Receivers:

Brad has a dynamic duo in #1 Justin Jefferson against the NY Giants and #6 Jaylen Waddle vs. Green Bay in Miami.  JJ has a chance to break Calvin Johnson’s receiving yardage record, so look for his normal studly amount despite him working through a chest contusion.  Tommy features the top Dolphin wideout #2 Tyreek Hill.  Tyreek has been more consistent and has been balling out all season for the Dolphins.  Classis Waddle vs. Tyreek matchup this week.  Tommy also has #14 WR DK Metcalf against KC’s #27 OPRK.  Tyler Lockett broke a finger last week and will miss this game, meaning more targets for Metcalf.  Things are looking up for Tommy.   He also has #19 WR Zay Jones playing on TNF as of this write up.  Zay has been on fire lately and has scored 4 touchdowns in the past 2 weeks.  He may be matched up against rookie phenom Sauce Gardner in a bad weather game.  Tommy could pivot to #21 Brandon Aiyuk who has a tough matchup against Washington. 

 

Tight Ends:

Brad has either David Njoku in a terrible weather game against a tough New Orleans team or Greg Dulcich against the Rams.  Greg was looking good, but his volume has dropped.  Tommy gets #5 Greg Kittle who is coming off of his best game of the season last week.  But this week he faces Washington who are the best team in the league in stopping opposing Tight Ends.  This position looks to be a disaster for both teams this week. 

 

Defense & Special Teams:

Brad has #6 Bills D/ST with injuries, bad weather, and Justin Fields on the opposite side of the field.  Bills D/ST hasn’t scored a touchdown since week 2.  Tommy has #2 Dallas D/ST They were looking amazing until the past couple of weeks where Houston and Jacksonville were able to score a bunch against them. 

 

Kicker:

Brad has #2 Tyler Bass against Chicago as of this write up.  He might pivot since it will be so cold in Chicago that when Bass tries to kick the ball it might crack in half.  Tommy has #7 Greg Zuerlein who will be playing in rain and wind, but it won’t be as cold.  I have very little expectations out of this group as well. 

 

Bottom Bowl Preview:

Round 2

Game 1:

Joe vs. Jen

Winner moves on to Game 1 of Round 3 and is guaranteed 5 or 6 balls.  Loser goes to Game 2 of Round 3 and is guaranteed 3 or 4 balls. 

 

Game 2:

Katon vs. Kenny

Winner moves on to Game 1 of Round 3 and is guaranteed 5 or 6 balls.  Loser goes to Game 3 and will be playing in the Bottom of the Bottom Bowl with only a chance to win 2 balls.

 

Game 3:

Scotty vs. Trey

Winner moves on to Game 2 of Round 3 and is guaranteed 3 or 4 balls.  Loser goes to Game 3 and will be playing in the Bottom of the Bottom Bowl with only a chance to win 2 balls.

 

Thanks,

 

Commish

 

 

BBY Dream Team League S14 Week 14 Recap & Playoffs Round 1 Preview

Week 14 Recap:

Division 1:

Mike (7-7) 107.7 vs. Tommy (10-4) 113.2

Tommy clinches the #2 Seed in the playoffs and a first-round bye!  Congratulations Tommy!  This put Mike on edge and susceptible to lose his playoff spot if another team went off and caught him for points.  Lucky for him there were some low scoring stinker games and he gets to make the playoffs despite losing.  This game was close.  Mike went into Monday Night Football needing 26.5 from NE D/ST.  When Kyler Murray was knocked out of the game it looked as though it was possible.  They scored a respectable 21 points, but not enough to overcome Tommy’s lead.  Mike lost Tee Higgins to injury early in the Cleveland game and that 0 really hurt.  Tommy had a decent outing, with Joe Burrow’s 16.4, Henry’s 22, Tyreek’s 24.1, DK Metcalf’s 15.6 and Brandon Aiyuk catching a touchdown from Brock Purdy for 12.7.  Tommy gets to sit back and relax next week and enjoy his first round bye.  He’ll play the winner of Mike and Brad in Round 2.   

 

Joe (6-8) 138.8 vs. Chase (7-7) 114.9

Joe has been the hottest team in the league over the last 3 weeks.  He swept his division bringing his divisional record to an incredible 5-1 on the season.  He went 1-7 in non-divisional games.  His team was just piling touchdowns on Chase this week.  Geno threw for 3, Pollard scored 2, Perine scored 1, Chase scored 1, Jeudy, scored 3, and even Cam Akers got 1.  Chase had a solid week with every one of his players scoring at least 8 points.  Kirk Cousins threw for 400 yards and scored 30 fantasy points.  This 30 point game from the Qb position was Chase’s highest scoring Qb BY FAR this season.  It’s been a glaring weak spot and the week he finally hits a winner, he runs into a Touchdown gauntlet.  He still makes the playoffs though.  Joe takes his 3 game winning streak into the bottom bowl on a quest to get more balls in the draft lottery in 2023. 

 

Division 2:

Katon (3-11) 106.6 vs. JD (11-3) 90.2

The worst place team in the league defeats the #1 Seed in the league.  Because this is fantasty football.  JD’s team shit the bed when it mattered least.  He had already locked up the 1 seed.  His 2 studs performed well with Mahomes getting 22.7 and Ekeler getting 20.4, but the rest of his starters disappointed.  Katon pulled off the upset with monster games out of his peripherals.  Specifically Evan Engram who had a ridiculous game against Tennessee.  Engram caught 11 catches on 15 targets for 162 yards and 2 touchdowns.  Good for 36.7 points.  Bottom Bowl needs to look out for Katon.    

 

Jen (7-7) 81.3 vs. Kenny (6-8) 59.3

Both teams had a chance.  They needed to win and score a significant more than Mike.  It just didn’t happen.  These two teams will meet again in the first game of the bottom bowl.  They had to piece together starters for this one.  Jen got decent production out of James Conner who scored 20.4, but no one else scored more than 12.1 and 3 players scored less than 5.  Kenny had 7/9 starters score in single digits and his highest scorer was Tua with 12.6.  Just complete disappointment from every position.  He’ll try to bounce back on his quest to improve his odds for a higher draft pick next season.     

 

Division 3:

Brad (10-4) 143.9 vs. Trey (6-8) 91.0

The expected result was the actual result.  Brad had some great matchups and his team delivered, knocking out any hope that Trey had to making the postseason.  Brad was carried by his 3 headed monster of Jalen Hurts (30.3), Christian McCaffrey (31.3) and Justin Jefferson (32.8).  These three players combined for 94.4 and was enough to defeat Trey and push Brad to victory.  Trey had huge games out of Jared Goff (29.1) and Miles Sanders (31.0), but the rest of his 7 starters combined for a pathetic 30.9 points.  Not enough against this weeks’ top scoring team. 

 

Scotty (3-11) 65.4 vs. Moose (8-6) 89.5

Moose defeats Scotty in a low scoring affair and despite losing two more players to injuries.  Moose hobbles into the playoffs as the 4 seed.  Scotty’s team just shit the bed.  DJ Moore got hurt, Tyler Boyd hurt his finger and left the game after 2 snaps, and Deebo got hurt.  Scotty’s Rb’s didn’t score touchdowns.  Only bright spot was Justin Herbert getting a respectable 22.4.  To the Bottom Bowl for the AutoDraft team.  Moose had 4 players score 5.8 or less including two goose eggs from his tight end and kicker.  He did get respectable numbers from Josh Allen (20.5), AJ Brown (15), DJ Chark (18.4) and KC D/ST (16).  Enough to get him the win and set up a juicy Round 1 matchup with Chase.   

 

Playoff Preview!

Playoff Teams Playoff Histories:

*Playoff appearances include this year

  1. JD: Playoff Appearances: 7, Playoff Record 3-5, SB Record 0-2, Avg. Playoffs PF: 106.5
  2. Tommy: Playoff Appearances: 7, Playoff Record 3-5, SB Record 0-1, Avg. Playoffs PF: 112.3
  3. Brad: Playoff Appearances: 10, Playoff Record 11-8, SB Record 2-3, Avg. Playoffs PF: 118.8
  4. Moose: Playoff Apperances: 9, Playoff Record 13-4, SB Record 4-0, Avg. Playoffs PF: 122.7
  5. Chase: Playoff Appearances: 9, Playoff Record 8-6, SB Record 3-1, Avg. Playoffs PF: 118.1
  6. Mike: Playoff Apperances: 5, Playoff Record 4-4, SB Record 0-2, Avg. Playoffs PF: 104.3

 

Round 1 Preview:

Bye Week Teams: 1. JD (11-3), 2. Tommy (10-4)

 

4.Moose (8-6) vs. 5. Chase (7-7)

Holy shitballs here we go again!  Moose and Chase have met in the playoffs 4 times.  Moose won the first 3 matchups in 2014, 2017, and 2018.  Both the 2014 and 2017 matchups were in the 4th/5th seed matchup.  In 2018 it was Super Bowl 10 where Moose defeated Chase 145.5 to 124.1.  Chase ended Moose’s playoff win streak against him last season in the Semifinals.  Chase won 157.1 to 84.5 on his way to the Super Bowl where he won his 3rd title.  And here we are again in 2022.  Moose has won 4 Super Bowls.  Chase has won 3 Super Bowls.  Both are fighting for a chance to meet up with the #1 Seed JD.  Earlier this season when these two teams met, Moose looked unbeatable.  He came in 5-0 and was averaging a ridiculous 149.8 points per game.  But Chase was not deterred.  He defeated Moose and handed him his first loss of the season 134.9 to 115.7.  A lot’s happened since Week 6, but the biggest story is the injuries to Moose’s team.  He hobbles into the playoffs after losing 4 out of his last 5 and averaging only 88.1 points per game in that span.  That makes sense considering he’s lost his 1stround and 5th round picks for the season, your 6th round pick for 5 games, and in the last game of the regular season have injuries occur to your 6th and 7th round picks.  Chase enters the playoffs having lost 3 in a row.  In those 3 weeks he averaged 104.2 points per game but had a crazy average of 144.9 points scored against him in that span. 

 

The Matchups:

 

Qb: Chase will be looking at #12 Qb Kirk Cousins vs. Indianapolis, Deshaun Watson vs. Baltimore, or Derek Carr vs. NE or maybe someone else as his Qb this week.  Moose will be starting #3 Josh Allen vs. Miami on Saturday. 

 

Rb: Chase will have #10 Dalvin Cook vs. Indianapolis and D’onta Foreman vs. Pittsburgh.  Moose will have #7 Saquon Barkley vs. Washington and Rashad White vs. Cincinnati.  Moose typically starts 3 running backs, but he’ll have to monitor the health of #13 Rhamondre Stevenson who hurt his ankle on MNF, but has a great matchup against Las Vegas Raiders on the horizon if he can suit up.  It looks like he won’t have rookie #14 Dameon Pierce who is doubtful with an ankle injury. 

 

Wr: Chase has #6 Amon-Ra St. Brown @ NY Jets, #25 JuJu Smith-Schuster @ Houston, and DeAndre Hopkins @ Denver.  Chase also has #24 Michael Pittman as an option, but JuJu is coming off a solid effort against Denver where he went for 9 catches on 11 targets for 74 yards and a touchdown.  Moose has #5 AJ Brown @Chicago and Curtis Samuel vs. the Giants. 

 

TE: Chase #1 TE Travis Kelce against the Houston Texans.  Moose is hoping to have Dallas Goedert back who was a Top 5 tight end before being injured in Week 10.  He’s been designated to return from IR, but we’ll see if they use him this week or not.  If not Moose has talented rookie Chigoziem Okonkwo who has at least 5 targets in the last 3 games and scored a touchdown last week against the Jaguars. 

 

D/ST: Chase has #3 Philly who is averaging 11.7 fantasy points per game and has gotten at least 11 points in 5 of the last 7 games they’ve played.  This week they get the electric Justin Fields.  Moose has #12 KC D/ST who averages 8.7 points per game, but has averaged 10 points per game in the last 6 games and gets a Houston team that gave up 3 touchdowns to the Browns D/ST a couple of weeks ago.  We’ll see which Houston team the Chiefs get this week, the one that was blownout by the Browns or the one that almost beat the Dallas Cowboys last week. 

 

K: Chase has #6 Brett Maher @ Jax.   Moose has #14 Ryan Succop vs. Cincinnati.  Both teams have kickers kicking in Florida this weekend. 

 

7 Championships.  2 Teams.  1 Winner.  Who will advance to face JD and who will have their season ended at the hands of their bitter Rival??!?!

 

 

3.Brad (10-4) vs. 6. Mike (7-7)

Super Bowl 1 Rematch!  Going old school over here.  Brad and Mike played each other in back-to-back playoffs.  Super Bowl 1 where Brad defeated Mike 120-104 on the back of Atlanta D/ST who he picked up and in Season 2, the 2010 season when Mike defeated Brad in the first round 85-75.  In both of those games Mike was the higher seed, but in this year’s matchup Brad comes in at the 3 seed.  These teams met in Week 4 and had themselves a battle.  The final wind-up being Brad 120.6 vs. Mike 115.8.  Mike had replaced an injured Dak Prescott with Carson Wentz who put up a stinker of 7.3 points.   Dalton Schultz scored 0 against Washington, but Mike got 26.9 from Tee Higgins.   CMC had scored 21.3 for Brad as a member of the Carolina Panthers. 

 

The Matchups:

 

Qb: Brad has #2 Jalen Hurts who is averaging 26.6 points per game and looks like an MVP front runner going up against Chicago Defense that traded away their two best pass rushers and lost their star safety for the season.  Mike will have #25 Qb Dak Prescott with a juicy ass matchup against Jacksonville.  The Jaquars have given up an average of 21.7 points to opposing fantasy Qb’s.  This has shootout potential and puts Mike in a good spot. 

 

Rb: Brad has #4 Christian McCaffrey against Mike’s favorite team, the #31 OPRK Seattle Seahawks.  Deebo Samuel got injured last week.  The last game Deebo Samuel missed CMC ran, threw, and caught touchdowns and scored 36.1 fantasy points against the LA Rams.  I don’t want to come across too cocky, but CMC alone might beat Mike this week.  Brad also has #5 Rb Nick Chubb vs. Baltimore.  The last time he played Baltimore was Week 7 and he rushed for 16 times for 91 yards and a touchdown for 17.7 fantasy points. Over the last 4 games Chubb’s utilization has increased a bit on passing downs including 47% of snaps in the two-minute offense.  Brad also has Isaih Pacheco.  He gets Houston’s #32 OPRK who just gave up 3 touchdowns to Zeke and Tony Pollard last week.  Mike has the dynamic duo at Rb that Brad talked shit about in his draft grades in #1 Josh Jacobs vs. New England and #18 Najee Harris vs. Carolina.  The Patriots are tough against the run but have given up rushing touchdowns to running backs in back to back weeks.  James Conner rushed for over 80 yards and a touchdown against them on MNF.  This matchup also adds the spice of Josh McDaniels going up against the Patriots where he served under Bill Belicheck for several years as offensive coordinator.  Najee’s utilization has been consistent, and he’s scored 4 touchdowns for the last 4 weeks.  Mike also has options on his bench for the flex with Jerick McKinnon who is coming off of a monster game last week where he scored 33.9 fantasy points and has the same matchup as Pacheco against the Texans.  He also has Chuba Hubbard who was more efficient last week than D’Onta Foreman with 14 rushes for 74 yards a touchdown.  Will Brad’s CMC explode?  Or will Josh Jacobs and Najee Harris get the ultimate revenge against Brad’s draft grades?

 

WR: Brad has #1 Wr Justin Jefferson who is coming off a monster 223 yard performance and faces the tough and scrappy Indy defense.  Brad won’t bench JJ, but his expectations for this week are definitely lower.  Brad also has #10 Jaylen Waddle.  Waddle has had two bad games in a row and is averaging only 5.4 points per game over his last 3 games.  This week he travels to Buffalo for a snow game on Saturday.  We’ll see if Brad pivots or sticks with his top 2 wideouts.  Mike has Target vacuum Chris Godwin against Cincy’s decent defense.   He has 16. Tee Higgins @ Tampa Bay.  Maybe.  Tee hasn’t been healthy.  Last game he played 1 snap.  His hammy is messed up.  Mike will most likely need to turn to Diontae Johnson.  His upside has been limited by the Steelers lack of offensive production, but over the last 5 weeks he’s gotten at least 5 target in each game and at least 4 catches in each game, setting up a decent floor for Mike.  Mike could also turn to Donovan People-Jones who has scored in double digits 4 out of the last 5 games including last week where he caught 8 balls on 12 targets for 114 yards and 18.4 fantasy points.

 

TE: Brad has a tough decision on athletic freak #10 David Njoku against Baltimore or rookie Greg Dulcich who has a great matchup against Arizona (#31 OPRK), but will most likely have Brett Rypien at Qb this week.  In the last two games that Njoku has played he has scored a touchdown, so Brad will probably ride the hot hand.  Mike also has a choice between #15 Dalton Schultz and #12 Gerald Everett. Both have good matchups.  Schultz has Jacksonville who gave up a touchdown to Okonkwo last week.  Or Everett who is facing a Titans team that was just destroyed by Evan Engram last week. 

 

D/ST: Brad has #5 Buffalo going up against the potent Miami offense in a snow game.  Brad will monitor weather conditions and make a determination as he gets closer to kick off on Saturday.  Mike has #1 NE who gets their former offensive coordinator’s squad in Josh McDaniels.  I’m sure New England will be motivated to stop him. 

 

K: Brad has #T1 Kicker Tyler Bass in the snow game against Miami.  What could go wrong?  Mike has #T1 Kicker Daniel Carlson in that New England matchup.  He’s been money this year if the Raiders can move the ball and get him in range. 

 

Super Bowl 1 Rematch.  Let’s do this. 

 

Bottom Bowl Preview:

8.Kenny (6-8) vs. 7. Jen (6-8)

This looks familiar.  Kenny and Jen rematch to see who goes to Game 1 of Round 2 of the Bottom Bowl.  That means the winner of this game will be guaranteed at least 3 balls in the draft lottery next year.  The loser is guaranteed nothing. 

 

10.Joe (6-8) vs. 9. Trey (6-8)

Big game.  Winner is guaranteed at least 3 balls in the draft lottery.  The loser is eliminated from Game 1 of Round 3, which means the most balls they could win is 4.  A lot at stake for the draft lottery next year in this matchup.

 

12.Katon (3-11) vs. 11. Scotty (3-11)

The winner will move on to Game 2 of Round 2, which has a chance to make it to Game 1 of Round 3 to battle for 6 balls.  The loser will be in Game 3 of Round 2, meaning they can’t get more than 4 balls in the draft lottery.  Keep fighting! 

 

Best of luck!

 

-Commish

  

BBY Dream Team S14 Week 13 Recap, Week 14 Preview, & Playoff Scenarios

Week 13 Recap:

Division 1:

Mike (7-6) 102.4 vs. Joe (4-8) 139.8

Joe continues to play spoiler!  Joe gets his highest scoring game of the season with Geno Smith getting 25.9, Tony Pollard 23.6, Perine 21.5, Akers 18.5, SF D/ST 22 (Against Miami!).  Those five players combined for 111.5, enough to beat Mike’s team.  Mike got 16.2 from Trevor Lawrence, 23 from Josh Jacobs and double digits from 7/9 players, but nobody went off and 7/9 scored 11.9 or less.  It was a solid effort, but Joe’s team just kept scoring touchdowns.  Mike will now have to face the D1 Winner Tommy to secure a playoff spot.  Tommy is fighting for the 2 seed and a bye in the playoffs.    

 

Tommy (9-4) 137.0 vs. Chase (7-6) 82.8

Tommy clinches the Division 1 Crown after Mike and Chase both lose!  Tommy scored a really solid 137 points.  He had disappointing game from Derrick Henry (4.8) but the rest of his studs did their thing.  Joe Burrow got 30 and moved to 3-0 against the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes.  Tyreek Hill got 28.1, DK Metcalf got 25.7 and he even got 21 from Dallas D/ST.  On Chase’s side he had a rough week.  Watson looked rusty as hell in his first game action in 700 days.  (5.3 points).  6/9 players scored in single digits including 6 players that scored 5.6 or less.  His lone bright spot was Amon-Ra St. Brown.  The alpha wide receiver caught 11 catches for 114 yards and 2 touchdowns for 32.1 points.  Tommy locks in D1, but has his sights on a bye.  Chase will look to clinch a playoff spot in Week 14 against suddenly surging Joe.        

 

Division 2:

JD (11-2) 144.8 vs. Jen (6-7) 88.3

I didn’t even mention Cleveland D/ST in my preview for this week and they wind up being the story.  The top scorer in this game with 31 points, they scored 3 touchdowns against the Texans and accounted for 4 turnovers.  The interesting thing about their 3 scores is they got one of each.  On interception return for a touchdown, one fumble return for a touchdown, and one punt return for a touchdown.  Insane.  JD got 19.7 from Patrick Mahomes, 14.3 from new addition Zonovan Knight, 23.2 from Garret Wilson, 17.9 from CeeDee Lamb, and 17.8 from Keenan Allen.  JD is getting hot at the right time as we approach the playoffs.  Jen is still alive in the playoff hunt, but ESPN gives her a 1% chance.    

 

Katon (2-11) 110.1 vs. Kenny (6-7) 115.2

Heading into MNF with Kenny’s season on the line (sort of), it was virtually tied with Katon having 105.4 and Kenny having 105.2.  Katon had Alvin Kamara left and Kenny had kicker Wil Lutz.  ESPN gave Katon a 72% chance of winning prior to gametime.  Wil Lutz went 3/3 from on field goals and Kamara was used sparingly.  Saints opted to use Mark Ingram more despite him getting hurt.  Saints collapsed and lost the game, but Kenny emerged victorious.  ESPN gives Kenny an 8% chance to making the playoffs.  I’ll discuss more in the playoff scenario section.  Kenny was carried by Davante Adams 8 catch 177 yard 2 touchdown explosion for 36.7 points.  He also got a solid 19.1 from D’Andre Swift.   Most of his team underperformed, but he got the job done.  Katon got 18.7 from Stefon Diggs and 18 from kicker Robbie Gould, but just got barely edged out in this one.  Had he started Devonta Smith (21.7) instead of Zeke in the flex the game would have ended 115.2 to 115.2 tie.  Kenny would have still gotten the victory because the tie breaker is Qb points as originally set by League Founder and my Dad’s coworker at Community Coffee Wendell.    

 

Division 3:

Moose (7-6) 99.7 vs. Trey (6-7) 105.5

Peripheral Bowl it twas!  Heading into Monday Night Football Moose held a slim lead of 94.7 to Trey’s 93.2.  Moose had Tampa Bay kicker Ryan Succop and Trey had Taysom Hill.  ESPN gave Moose a 57% chance of victory.  Moose got things started in the 1st Quarter with a chip shot field goal.  But in the 2nd Quarter Andy Dalton found a wide-open Taysom Hill for a 30 yard touchdown.  Moose has lost 4 in a row and Trey has won 2 in a row to stay alive.  Trey won despite losing Lamar Jackson to any early knee injury.   He finished with only 1.3 points.  He was carried by Tyler Lockett’s 26.3 and Christian Watson’s 22.9.  Watson scored a rushing and a receiving touchdown and looks like the real deal in Green Bay.  Moose had solid efforts from the Top of his lineup with Allen’s 16.8, Barkley’s 16.6, Stevenson’s 10.8, and AJ Brown’s 30.9 in a revenge game against the team that traded him during the draft.  But it was Moose’s peripherals and WR 2 that struggled, with the 4 of them combining for only 13.6 points.  Despite the loss, ESPN says Moose has clinched a playoff spot, locking him into the 4th, 5th, or 6th seed.  Trey will be hoping for a miracle in Week 14.          

 

Scotty (3-10) 79.2 vs. Brad (9-4) 126.2

Scotty started Joe Mixon who was inactive and DJ Moore who was on a bye week.  So that’s shitty.  As commissioner I want to remind everyone to please set your lineups.  Even when you are eliminated.  There are going to be 6 teams playing for money at the end of the season and what happens at the end of the season has playoff seeding implications.  Now in this situation if Scotty just moved pieces around and started Patterson for Mixon and Evans for Moore he still would have lost to Brad, but if the end of the season rankings came down to this it could make someone really upset.  Please set your lineups folks.  Brad was carried by Jalen Hurts 37.4.  He looked like the MVP of the season as he sliced and diced the Titans defense.  Christian McCaffrey looked good against Miami, getting 24.6 fantasy points including an 8-80-1 receiving line on the day.  Brad got nice production out of Pacheco (15.2) and Jefferson (15.1) despite getting pretty much nothing out of Jaylen Waddle (1.4).  Scotty got 21.1 from Justin Herbert and decent production from his peripherals who combined for 31.3.    

 

Week 14 Preview:

Last Game of the Regular Season!

Division 1:

Mike (7-6) vs. Tommy (9-4)

Mike is fighting to stay in the hunt.  Tommy is fighting to get a bye.  Everything at stake.  In their Week 3 meeting Tommy won 105.9 to 75.3.  Mike will feature Dak Prescott vs. Houston.  Houston is #3 OPRK against fantasy Qbs.  Most teams just run on them.  But two weeks ago they even held Tua to 15.8 fantasy points.  Mike will also have #21 Rb Najee Harris against Baltimore.  Baltimore is #6 OPRK against Rbs.  #1 Rb Josh Jacobs faces the LA Rams.  Who despite being horrific have been decent stopping the run this season.    WR #14 Tee Higgins faces Cleveland.  Cleveland defense is very beatable.  In Week 8 he had 3 catches on 6 targets for 49 yards and a touchdown against them.  Mike will need more than that.  He’ll also have Target-Vacuum Chris Godwin @ San Fran.  Tyreek was able to get his against San Fran, but Waddle was shut down last week.  The bigger story is the giant mismatch of San Fran defensive line vs. Tampa’s offensive line.  Brady may want to rethink retirement after this week, but it could lead to more check downs to running backs and perhaps, Chris Godwin.  Dalton Schultz is in the Houston matchup.  Right now Mike has DPJ in the flex against Cincy.  Cincy is #4 OPRK to Fantasy Wrs, but the over/under might be tempting (opened at 49, currently at 47/47.5 depending on which sportsbook you’re looking at).  Don’t overlook Mike’s #2 D/ST NE who averages 12.5 points per game or his kicker #4 Daniel Carlson who averages 9.4.  On Tommy’s side he has #4 Qb Joe Burrow versus Cleveland.  Cleveland is 11th OPRK, but I think that has more to do with how bad their run defense is rather than how good their pass defense is.  #2 Derrick Henry has been trending down in fantasy points the last 3 weeks 24.2-13.2-4.8, but in comes Jacksonville.  The Jags just gave up a big week to the Swift/Williams combo in Detroit.  This could be a get right game for Henry heading into the final stretch.  At Rb 2 Tommy will most likely roll with Rb #16 Uncle Lenny.  Fournette has lost the starting gig to rookie Rashad White, but against the Saints they split RB touches pretty evenly.  He’s facing San Fran’s #1 OPRK, so Tommy is hoping for lots of catches and possibly a touchdown to make Fournette worth it.  At Wideout Tommy has #4 Tyreek Hill @ LA Chargers.  This game was flexed to Sunday Night Football and features the highest over under of the week at 52.5 points.  #16 DK Metcalf gets Carolina.  #9 TE George Kittle and #19 Brandon Aiyuk square off against Tampa Bay, but they have Brock Purdy at Qb.  Deebo might get more rushes, but we’ll see how it impacts Kittle and Aiyuk down the stretch.  Don’t over look Tommy’s defense #1 Dallas.  They face Houston, the same Houston that Cleveland D/ST scored 3 times against to the tune of 31 fantasy points.  Anything can happen, but this matchup screams Tommy steam roll.    

 

Joe (5-8) vs. Chase (7-6)

Chase is pretty much in.  It would be a freak miracle for him to miss.  He faces a red hot Joe team.  In Joe’s run he was starting Samaje Perine.  Joe Mixon should be back this week.  He may stick with Perine, but don’t look for him to continue his recent success.  Joe does have favorable matchups elsewhere however. Including #7 Qb Geno Smith vs. Carolina, #7 Rb Tony Pollard vs. Houston, #18 Wr Ja’Marr Chase vs. Cleveland, Adam Thielen vs. Detroit, Cam Akers vs. LV.  He also has #2 Tight End Mark Andrews against Pittsburgh.  Andrews did well with replacement Quarterbacks last season and should receive his normal production level.  On Chase’s side he’s hoping Deshaun Watson can shake off the rust against Division foe Cincinnati.  They just bested Patrick Mahomes, so Sir Jerks a Lot has his work cut out for him.  Chase will rely on the Rb duo of #9 Dalvin Cook vs. Detroit and D’Onta Foreman versus Seattle’s #30 OPRK.  He also has #7 Amon-Ra St. Brown against Minnesota, DeAndre Hopkins against New England, and of course #1 Travis Kelce @ Denver.  Should be a great matchup.  Joe is playing for seeding in the Bottom Bowl.  Chase is playing to secure his playoff spot.  There are 3 teams at 6-7 rooting for Joe this week.      

 

Division 2:

Katon (2-11) vs. JD (11-2)

The worst versus the best.  Neither team is playing for anything this week.  Katon has locked in a game at the bottom of the bottom bowl against Scotty.  JD has locked into the 1 seed and is most likely out of reach of points leader.  You guys can just relax and enjoy football this week.  JD will be hoping his core of Patrick Mahomes, Austin Ekeler, and CeeDee Lamb all stay healthy.  As well as Garrett Wilson who is looking like a potential league winner.  JD will basically have two bye weeks in a row.  This matchup doesn’t impact seeding and next week he’ll be on a bye. 

 

Jen (6-7) vs. Kenny (6-7)

THIS matchup however does have some spice to it.  One of these teams will be 7-7.  If Mike or Chase loses then there will at least be a tie in records of 7-7 to determine the 6th seed.  Jen is hoping for Mike and Chase to both lose and for her to score 70 more points than Mike this week.  Kenny is hoping to win, Mike and Chase to lose and for him to stay higher in points than Mike.  Gonna be tricky.  Of course Jen will have to completely rebuild her team this week due to bye weeks.  She’ll be without #8 Rb Aaron Jones, #20 Rb Antonio Gipson, #13 WR Terry McLaurin, #15 WR Chris Olave, and she’ll have to monitor the health of #14 Rb Kenneth Walker who “jammed” his ankle.  After she reconstructs her roster she’ll have James Conner versus New England and Kenneth Walker vs. Carolina if Walker can’t go she’ll have to pick up a Rb off of Free Agency to start this week.  At WR she’ll have #24 Gabe Davis against the Jets.  She’ll have to get another wideout on free agency to start this week.  Bit of a project and doesn’t bode well for Jen’s 1% chance of making the playoffs.  On Kenny’s side he’s not exactly a clean bill of health either.  He’ll be without his kicker and defense due to bye weeks, but at Qb he lost Jimmy G for the season.  He’ll turn to #12 Tua in a shootout versus LA Chargers, but he tweaked his ankle at the end of the game against San Fran, something to monitor.  #23 Devin Singletary looks like the 3rd best Rb for the Bills behind emerging rookie James Cook and 3rd down specialist Nyheim Hines.  #25 Jeff Wilson Jr has a great matchup in that LA Chargers game, but last week he played second fiddle to Raheem Mostert.  D’Andre Swift’s usage was inspiring for Kenny, who hopes that he continues that in a shootout against Minnesota.  #1 Davante Adams gets a Jalen Ramsey game.  #10 Amari Cooper gets #10 OPRK Cincy with a rusty Watson throwing it to him.  In Watson’s first game Cooper caught 4/9 targets for 40 yards.  Both teams need to reconstruct their lineups and keep up in points scored AND have things fall into place perfectly.  Will this game determine a playoff team?  Or is this game a mirage, a false hope, and one that will simply matter to the Bottom Bowl seeding?  We shall find out. 

 

Division 3:

Brad (9-4) vs. Trey (6-7)

Trey’s Cinderella story might be coming to an end this week.  He faces the D3 winner and points leader through 13 weeks Brad.  Brad is trying to get a bye in the playoffs and Tommy holds the tie breaker having beat Brad in Week 6 83.2 to 133.5, which means Brad needs to win and Tommy needs to lose to make that happen.  Trey will not receive mercy from Brad this week and his lineup looks disastrous.  Lamar Jackson was injured and is most likely out this week.  Johnathan Taylor has a very very ill-timed bye week.  So does Christian Watson and even Taysom Hill.  Trey will need to replace his Qb and Tight End in waivers and might have to find a Wideout/Flex as well considering Treylon Burks got concussed last week and will have to clear a more strictly enforced protocol.  He will have #17 Rb Travis Etienne Jr @ Tennessee and #12 Rb Miles Sanders vs. the Giants in a big NFC matchup.  On Brad’s side he’ll have #2 Qb Jalen Hurts in the Giants matchup, #5 Rb Christian McCaffrey against Tampa Bay, #4 Rb Nick Chubb vs. Cincy, #3 WR Justin Jefferson against Detroit, #9 WR Jaylen Waddle vs. LA Chargers, #5 D/ST Buffalo against Mike White and the NY Jets.  Trey has pulled off some miracles to stay alive this long, but this fairy tale looks like it’s about to get crushed without mercy. 

 

Scotty (3-10) vs. Moose (7-6)

Moose has dropped 4 straight but has clinched a playoff spot.  Scotty isn’t starting his lineup anymore, so Moose should progress to 8-6 on the season.  He’ll have #3 Qb Josh Allen vs. the Jets, (he put up 24.8 against them in Week 9), #6 Rb Saquon Barkley against Philly who just shut down Derrick Henry, #11 Rhamondre Stevenson vs. Arizona, #5 WR AJ Brown vs. the NY Giants.  Scotty will have #8 Qb Justin Herbert vs. Miami who just gave up a decent outing to Brock Purdy,  #13 Rb Joe Mixon might actually be back this week against Cleveland, which is a smash spot for Rb’s.  #10 Rb Jamaal Williams is the 2022 James Conner and faces Minnesota.  DJ Moore gets Seattle Tyler Boyd against Cleveland, #3 TE TJ Hockenson gets a revenge game against Detroit. And #20 Deebo Samuel gets Tampa Bay.  If Scotty doesn’t touch his lineup he actually could win this.  He has options on his bench too.  Crazy.      

 

Playoff Scenarios:

5 Teams are vying for the final 2 spots.  For the purpose of tie breakers I’ll include Moose who is 7-6, but according to ESPN has clinched a playoff spot.

6 Teams at 7-6 or 6-7.

How can they get in?

Moose (7-6)- 100% chance

(In according to ESPN who says he has 100% chance.  Will be 4th, 5th or 6th seed.  Moose has scored a lot more points than anyone else 1596.7 and is still in running for points leader with Tommy and Brad.) 

  1. Win and he’s in the 4 vs. 5 matchup.
  2. Lose against Scotty, Trey wins, Mike loses, Chase loses, then 5-way tie at 7-7 with Moose, Chase, Mike, Trey, and winner of Kenny/Jen. Would go to points for and Moose is in. 
  3. Lose against Scotty, Mike wins, Chase wins, Trey wins, then it is 3-way tie at 7-7 with Moose, Trey, and winner of Kenny/Jen. Would go to points for and Moose is in.
  4. Lose against Scotty, Mike wins, Chase wins, Trey loses, then it is 2-way tie at 7-7 with Moose and winner of Kenny/Jen. Moose beat both Kenny and Jen, so head to head he’s in.
  5. Lose against Scotty, Mike wins, Chase loses, Trey loses, then it would be 3 way tie at 7-7 with Moose, Chase, winner of Kenny/Jen. Moose lost to Chase, but beat the other two.  Records are Moose 2-1, Chase 3-0, Kenny 0-2, Jen 0-2, so records are out, goes to Points For, Moose is in.  In this scenario, it would be 1. JD, 2. Brad, 3. Tommy, 4. Mike, 5. Moose, 6. Chase.  

 

Chase (7-6)- 99% chance

  1. Win against Joe and he’s in.
  2. Lose against Joe, but Brad beats Trey and Mike beats Tommy. (Chase beat both Kenny and Jen)
  3. Lose against Joe, Brad beats Trey, Mike loses to Tommy. (Goes to Points For where Chase, Mike, and winner of Kenny/Jen compare points for.  Chase is at 1459.5, Mike at 1355.3, Kenny at 1383.7, Jen at 1285.4.  So if Kenny doesn’t win AND score 75.8 more than Chase, then Chase is in)

 

Mike (7-6)- 87% chance

  1. Win against Tommy and he’s in.
  2. Lose against Tommy, but Brad beats Trey and Chase beats Joe. (Mike beat both Kenny and Jen)
  3. Lose against Tommy, Brad beats Trey, Joe beats Chase. (Goes to Points For where Chase, Mike, and winner of Kenny/Jen compare points for. Chase is at 1459.5, Mike at 1355.3, Kenny at 1383.7, Jen at 1285.4.  So if Kenny beats Jen Mike would need to score 28.5 more than Kenny.)

 

Kenny (6-7) 8% chance

  1. Win against Jen, Mike loses to Tommy AND Chase loses to Joe, Trey loses to Brad. (Goes to Points For where Kenny has to outscore Chase by 75.8 or Mike needs to not outscore Kenny by 28.4.

 

Jen (6-7) 1% chance

  1. Win against Kenny, Mike loses to Tommy, Chases loses to Joe, and Jen oustcores Mike by 69.9 AND outscores Trey by 70.0( would have 4-5 teams at 7-7 and Points For would be tie breaker, with Moose in, Chase in, and next highest scorer getting 6th Jen doesn’t need Trey to beat Brad if Mike and Chase both lose, she would just need to score 69.9 more than Mike.  If Trey wins she would need to outscore Trey by 70.0. 

 

Trey (6-7) 6% chance

  1. Win against Brad. Moose beats Scotty. Chase loses to Joe.  Mike loses to Tommy.  This would set up Chase 7-7, Mike 7-7, Trey 7-7, and winner of Jen/Kenny at 7-7.  Trey would need to finish higher in Points For than 2 of the remaining 3.  He’s even with Mike (Trey-1355.4, Mike-1355.3) and holds a lead on Jen (1285.4), but lost to Jen in regular season.  He would need to oustcore Kenny by 28.3 (Kenny is at PF: 1383.7)  if Kenny beats Jen.  He needs Mike and Chase to both lose, because if one of them wins, then it’ll go to head to head matchup between Mike, Trey, and Jen or Mike, Trey and Kenny for 6th  Mike beat both Kenny and Jen but lost to Trey.  Trey beat Mike and Chase, but lost to Kenny and Jen.  Jen lost to Mike, but beat Trey.  Kenny lost to Mike, but beat Trey. 
  2. So let’s say Chase beats Joe, Mike loses to Tommy, Jen beats Kenny, Trey beats Brad, and Moose beats Scotty. It would be 1. JD, 2. Tommy, 3. Brad, 4. Moose, 5. Chase.  The 6th seed would be tie breaker between Mike 7-7, Jen 7-7, and Trey 7-7.  All 3 would be 1-1 and it would go to Points For.  So who ever finishes the season with most points wins the 6th  I think this is Trey’s ideal scenario.    

 

The Summary:

The 6 teams will most likely be JD, Tommy, Brad, Moose, Chase, and Mike.  Mike is the only one that is a sizeable risk to lose his spot (13%).  If he does, it would open the door for Trey, Kenny or Jen. 

BBY Dream Team League S14 Week 12 Recap & Week 13 Preview

Sorry for no write up in Week 12.  Hilary was battling COVID, the whole family was sick, and I was working solo at work and had to deal with resignations and a termination all while trying to prepare for Thanksgiving.  I hope you all had had a great time with family and friends and football this holiday.  I’m grateful to be connected with all of you guys still despite us being apart for so many years.  We are all feeling better by the way and getting back to normal.  

Week 12 Recap:

Division 1:

Mike (7-5) 158.9 vs. Chase (7-5) 114.8

Mike Grote’s team exploded.  Critical matchup in D1, fighting and clawing for a playoff spot.  And Mike’s team delivered.  Mainly due to Josh Jacobs ridiculous 52.3 point explosion.  Absolutely killer.  A big portion of his points came in OT when he ripped off an 86 yard game winning walk off run for a touchdown.  Mike also had solid games from Tee Higgins who had 7 catches for 114 yards and a touchdown (23.9) and Chris Godwin who had 12 catches for 110 yards and a touchdown (26.0) and Dalton Schultz who caught 2 touchdowns for 17.1 fantasy points.  Chase didn’t have a bad week per se, but he just couldn’t compete with Josh Jacobs.  He got Amon-Ra St. Brown’s big game on Thanksgiving with 9 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown (26.4) and decent days from Carr (20.8), Foreman (14.3), Kelce (13.7), and Hopkins (16.7).  Mike gets the critical victory, but Chase remains ahead of him in the standings with more points for. 

 

Joe (4-8) 107.5 vs. Tommy (8-4) 79.8

Tommy faced his easiest opponent in the division and lost!  This was Tommy’s gimme game before facing two hungry and upcoming teams fighting for their playoff spots in Mike and Chase to close out the regular season.  Joe got to play the role of spoiler and got the upset.  Joe didn’t have anyone go off he was just solid.  With Geno Smith getting 22.2, Samaje Perine getting 17.3, Adam Thielen 16.6, and SF D/ST getting 15 and Justin Tucker getting 14.  On Tommy’s side his team just shit the bed.  Burrow got 18, Derrick Henry only got 13.2, Tyreek got 12, DK Metcalf got 14.5 and his peripherals underperformed with a combination of 13.1.  Tommy also started inactive Leonard Fournette.  Don’t think it would’ve mattered, but Points For can impact standings and playoff seeding, so it’ll be something to watch over the next couple of weeks.  I imagine Tommy was either in the Titans booth sipping champagne or out in the woods slaughtering deer instead of setting his lineup, which is understandable.  There is more to life than pretend football.  

 

Division 2:

JD (10-2) 143.9 vs. Kenny (5-7) 79.3

Congratulations to JD who has almost locked in a bye week in the playoffs.  The only thing standing in his way is Tommy since JD beat Brad head to head.  If Tommy and Brad both go 2-0 and JD loses both games then it might come down to head to head and since they’ve played an equal amount of games against one another, Tommy 2-0 would be 1 seed, JD 1-1 would be 2 seed, and Brad 0-2 would be 3 seed.  So unless I’m not calculating something right JD has earned a bye.  If he wins one more or Tommy or Brad loses one more then it’s 100%.  JD crushes Kenny by 64.6 points.  JD had a complete victory this week.  Everybody scored between 8.7 to 25.9.  8/9 scored in double digits.  He made all the right start/sit decisions.  He crushed it and dominated.  On Kenny’s side this makes his playoff hopes very very slim.  ESPN has him at a 4% chance of making the playoffs.  It’s not 0, but it would require a crazy amount of stuff to happen to get him in as the 6th seed.  Kenny had 5/9 starters score in single digits including his kicker getting -1 point.  His matchups were good on paper, but not in fantasy reality.    

 

Katon (2-10) 88.8 vs. Jen (6-6) 104.5

Jen is staying alive!  Her trio of Running Backs outperformed Katon’s trio of Running Backs.  She had James Conner rush for over 100 yards and catch a receiving touchdown for 22.5 points, Kenneth Walker scored two touchdowns for 16.4 points, and Aaron Jones did his thing with a receiving touchdown and 17.4 points.  Her Rb’s combined for 56.3.  For Katon he had Alvin Kamara fumble it twice for 4 points, David Montgomery got 12.8, and Zeke Elliot did his thing on Thanksgiving with a solid 16.  His Rbs combined for 32.8.  So Jen’s Rb’s outscored Katon’s Rbs by 23.5.  Jen won the game by 15.7.  Twas the difference.  Jen still has to battle Kenny and JD to close out the regular season looking at the standings she most likely will need to win both games and get some help in order to make it due to her lower points for.    

 

Division 3:

Moose (7-5) 102.5 vs. Brad (8-4) 137.3

Revenge!  Brad gets his Week 1 Revenge against Moose.  Of course Moose’s team has been wrecked by injuries as of late.  But Brad gets the win and clinches a playoff spot.  He currently sits in 1st in Division 3 and #1 in Points Scored.  Brad got 32.7 from Jalen hurts who rushed for 157 yards against the Packers.  He got 22.7 from Nick Chubb who scored the game winning touchdown in OT to beat the Bucs.  And Justin Jefferson did his thing on Thanksgiving catching 9 balls for 139 yards and a touchdown (27.8) points.  Brad changed out his tight end at the last minute and made the wrong choice, but overall solid day.  On Moose’s side he got his normal 29.8 from Josh Allen.  Barkley did ok with 13.2 and Stevenson did his thing with 15.7.  His peripherals combined for 28.8, which is decent.  Wr 2 Curtis Samuel only got 1.3 and his flex Dameon Pierce only got 3.1.  I was sure Moose was going to put in Rashad White after Fournette was ruled out, but he didn’t.  I saw Moose posting pictures of the Grand Canyon on Instagram, so again I completely understand that there is more to life than our pretend football hobby.   As Ron Swanson says, “Crying is only okay in two places.  Funerals and the grand canyon.”  Moose still has a high percentage chance of making the playoffs with his high points for.  ESPN has him at an 96% chance. 

 

Scotty (3-9) 98.7 vs. Trey (5-7) 137.8

Trey is like the night in Monty Python’s The Holy Grail.  “I’m not dead yet!”  With his victory over Scotty he now faces the two leaders of the division in Moose (7-5) and then Brad (8-4).  Both of which have scored almost 250+ more points for on the season.  Trey’s victory over Scotty was due to Miles Sanders rushing for 143 yards and 2 touchdowns against Green Bay (32.5), Christian Watson catching 4 balls for 110 yards and a touchdown against Philly (24.0) and Lamar Jackson doing decent against Jacksonville with 89 yards rushing and 22.9 fantasy points.  Trey did lose Travis Etienne Jr. early in the Baltimore game due to a foot injury, but word from Jacksonville is that he could have gone back in but they were being extra cautious.   Scotty got 28.6 from Justin Herbert which is awesome.  But he also started Joe Mixon who was inactive due to a concussion, which of course was not awesome.  Hopefully Scotty gets that lineup set this week and he looks to play spoiler to Brad and Moose.    

 

Week 13 Preview:

Division 1:

Mike (7-5) vs. Joe (4-8)

Joe is eliminated from the playoffs, but he’s out to play spoiler against his division.  Mike has been holding on to a thread for weeks and finds himself on the cusp of a playoff berth.  Standing in his way is Joe’s #7 Qb Geno Smith against LA Rams who are playing all backups on offense and won’t have Aaron Donald on defense.  #8 Rb Tony Pollard against Indy on Sunday Night Football.  Joe is hoping to have Ja’Marr Chase back in his lineup against KC.  And #2 Tight End Mark Andrews faces Denver.  For Mike he has Dak Prescott against Indy in that SNF game.  #22 Rb Najee Harris has a great matchup against Atlanta if he plays.  Last week he sustained a abdomen injury and is questionable for this week.  Mike also has Running Back Number Fucking 1 Josh Jacobs.  Brad was wrong in his draft grades.  DEAD WRONG.  Jacobs is also questionable with a calf injury.  They’ll monitor this week, but I’m sure they’ll deploy him against a beatable LA Chargers defense.  Mike will also have #11 Wr Tee Higgins  in a potential shootout with Kansas City and Chris Godwin against the Saints.  Saints Defense has looked better and always plays well against the Bucs.  But Godwin has scored in back to back games and looks matchup proof as Brady’s go-to receiver.  Should be a great game.  Good luck gentleman! 

 

Tommy (8-4) vs. Chase (7-5)

Let’s Gooooooooooo.  Tommy can clinch the division with a victory since he would be 2 games up on Chase with only 1 game to go after this week.  If Mike wins out he could tie Tommy’s record at 9-5, but Tommy has scored 211.4 more points than Mike and they would have split their record against each other.  If Chase wins then things get interesting.  Chase and Tommy would both be 8-5 and if Mike wins he too would be 8-5.  In that scenario if Mike beats Tommy in Week 14 and Chase loses to Joe then Mike could win the division.  If Chase beats Joe he would be 9-5 and meaning if Tommy beats Mike Tommy would be Division 1 winner and if Mike beat Tommy Chase would be division winner.  Division 1 is the only division with 3 teams that have a chance to win the division.  So exciting!  Any who, we can do what if’s all day long, let’s focus on this week.  Tommy has Qb 4. Joe Burrow vs. Kansas City in a potential shootout.  Chase has rub a dub tug Deshaun “Rape-y fuck twat” Watson in his first NFL game in 700 days against his former team in Houston.  The creepy piece of shit who allegedly forced women to give him hand jobs while he was getting massages will need to shake off some rust and I’m sure a shit ton of boo’s as he squares off against Houston’s #5 ranked OPRK.  We’ll see if the pile of human garbage can perform and be the answer at Qb, a position that has plagued Chase this season.  Tommy also has #2 Rb Derrick Henry against Philly.  Teams were running pretty good against Philly which motivated them to sign Suh and Linval Joseph at DT to try and shore that up.  Tommy is hoping to have #17 Rb Leonard Fournette back on MNF against the Saints.  We’ll see if his hip pointer keeps him out another week and/or if Rashad White continues to be the lead back for the Bucs.  Chase has #11 Dalvin Cook against the Jets who have been decent against the Run (#10 OPRK) and Gus “the Bus” Edwards in a tough matchup against Denver.  D’Onta Foreman was able to rush for over 100 yards against Denver, so we’ll see if Edwards continues to lead the Baltimore backfield and can replicate that success.  Tommy’s #4 Wr Tyreek Hill faces San Francisco.  Mike McDaniel returns to his previous employer trying to keep Miami surging in the AFC.  #19 Wr DK Metcalf gets the Rams.  Last season against the Rams he had one great game (5-98-2) and one stinker game (6-52-0).  Of course last season the Rams won the Super Bowl and this season they suck, but Jalen Ramsey should be active.  Chase has the two most fun names to say in Fantasy at WR with #12 Amon-Ra St. Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster.   The Sun God faces Jacksonville and JuJu is in a potential shootout with a pretty good Cincy defense.   This game has huge implications.  Enjoy it this Sunday and Monday fellas. 

 

Division 2:

JD (10-2) vs. Jen (6-6)

Two teams with the longest win streaks in the league as JD has won 7 straight and Jen has won 3 straight. JD can clinch the 1 seed and a bye with the victory.  Jen can keep her playoff hopes alive with the victory.  Both with high stakes.  JD will have #1 Qb Patrick Mahomes in a revenge game against Cincinnati.  The Bengals eliminated the Chiefs 27-24 in OT of the AFC Championship game last season.  JD also has #3 Rb Austin Ekeler against the Raiders.  Ekeler underwhelmed in Week 1 with only 9.2 fantasy points against the Raiders, but I don’t believe he’ll be repeating that performance.  Jd will also be starting newly acquired Zonovan Knight.  An undrafted rookie has hopes of starting for the Jets this week with James Robinson underperforming in practice and Michael Carter hobbled by an ankle injury.  JD dropped $31 for Zonovan to start him at Rb2 this week.  He also has another Jet in Wr#21 Garret Wilson.  With Mike White at Qb Wilson exploded last week.  This week he gets a Vikings defense ranked #26 in OPRK against Fantasy Receivers.  Jd will also have #8 Wr CeeDee Lamb who will have to navigate a solid Colts secondary led by Stephon Gilmore.  For Jen she is turning to Mike White against Minnesota over #11 Qb Daniel Jones against Washington.  She’ll be without James Conner this week due to bye, which is unfortunate.  She still has #14 Rb Kenneth Walker against Aaron Donald-less Rams defense and #7 Aaron Jones in a smash spot against a completely depleted and overmatched Chicago defense.  In Week 2 Jones scored 33.5 against Chicago and that we before they traded away Robert Quinn to the Eagles, Roquan Smith to the Ravens, and lost Safety Eddie Jackson to a season ending Lisfranc injury.  Jen will also have #15 Terry McLaurin vs. the Giants and #13 Chris Olave against Tampa.  In Week 2 Olave caught 5 of 13 targets for 80 yards.  Jd is favored, but this is fantasy football and anything can happen.  Will Jd win his 8th in a row and knock Jen out the playoffs?  Or will Jen keep hope alive and win her 4th straight?

 

Katon (2-10) vs. Kenny (5-7)

Kenny is technically still alive for the playoffs but he would need a miracle.  ESPN gives him a 4% chance, which is the smallest odds of the remaining 9 teams in contention.  He does get Katon, which has been the leagues proverbial doormat this season.  Katon will have struggling Rb #18 Alvin Kamara against Tampa Bay on MNF, #1 Wr Stefon Diggs @ New England on TNF, #10 WR Christian Kirk in a smash spot against Detroit and Zeke against Indy on SNF.  Kenny will have #12 Qb Tua Tagovailoa against San Fran, #21 Rb Jeff Wilson against his former team, and #24 Rb Devin Singletary @ New England on TNF.  #3 Davante Adams gets LA Chargers.  #7 Amari Cooper gets Houston with a new Qb at the helm in Deshaun “Seriously you are a pro athlete and you couldn’t get girls to please you sexually for free?” Watson.  We’ll see if Cooper and Watson have good chemistry from practice or if Watson is rusty after the long hiatus.  Best of luck Kenny.  We’ll see if he’ll be banished to the bottom bowl or if his slim hopes will stay alive this week.

 

Division 3:

Moose (7-5) vs. Trey (5-7)

Trey is hanging on by a thread.  Moose has his eyes set on a Division Crown.  Only one can win.  Moose will get the party started on Thursday Night Football with both #2 Qb Josh Allen and #12 Rb Rhamondre Stevenson.  Then on Sunday Moose will deploy #5 Rb Saquon Barkley against Washington, #16 Rb Dameon Pierce against Cleveland, and WR #9 AJ Brown in a revenge game against his former team the Tennessee Titans.  The Titans traded away AJ Brown and drafted Treylon Burks.  You know Brown will be motivated to assert his dominance over the young Titans secondary.  I don’t know if Trey can survive what’s about to happen to the Titans.  Unless… the Eagles use Brown as decoy given the headlines and feed Trey’s Rb #13 Miles Sanders.  Titans have been a pass funnel mainly due to the fact that they are so good stopping the run.  Something to watch, but I would not want to be a member of the Titans secondary this week.  Trey will also have rookie Christian Watson against the ghost of defenses past Chicago.  Watson has scored touchdowns in each of his last 3 games.  6 to be exact.  And caught one from Jordan Love last week, which is a good sign if Aaron Rodgers isn’t able to go due to being so beat up right now.  Trey will #20 Rb Jonathan Taylor on SNF against a good Dallas defense and then on Monday Night Football Moose will have #8 Kicker Ryan Succop and Trey will have #4 TE Taysom Hill.  Would be crazy if this game came down to a peripheral bowl on Monday Night.  A couple of relevant storylines to watch this week will be whether Travis Etienne plays for Trey and/or if Christian McCaffrey plays for San Fran.  Trey picked up Tyrion Davis-Price as a hail mary in the event CMC sits and the 49ers decide to make him lead back this week.  Brad went with a different strategy which we’ll talk more about in the next matchup. 

 

Scotty (3-9) vs. Brad (8-4)

I have my eyes on the prize.  A year after finishing 3-11 and finishing the regular season in dead last, Brad once again finds himself in the playoffs.   Even more he has a chance to win his division AND is currently #1 in Points Scored, which has a $200 bill awaiting the winner.  He can’t get ahead of himself though.  In his way sits Scotty.  Scotty will have #9 Justin Herbert in a shootout with the Raiders, #10 Rb Joe Mixon looks to clear concussion protocol and play in a big time shootout against Kansas City, TD Magent #9 Jamaal Williams faces Jacksonville, #25 WR Tyler Boyd is in the Cincy-KC game, #20 Wr Deebo Samuel gets Miami and #3 Tight End TJ Hockenson gets the Jets.  The big story for Brad is Christian McCaffrey.  He has a knee ailment that will limit his practice this week.  They are hopeful he plays against Miami.  Brad picked up Jordan Mason just in case, but it’s no lock that Mason would start if McCaffrey is inactive.  They could go with bigger back Tyrion Davis-Price or even bring Tevin Coleman up from the practice squad and have him handle the bulk of carries.  Brad also has Jaylen Warren who could be in line for a high workload against a beatable Atlanta defense if Najee Harris is inactive and he has Jamycal Hasty who could be in line for a high workload against a beatable Detroit defense if Travis Etienne is inactive.  Brad has options.  #4 Nick Chubb faces Houston’s #32 OPRK defense.  #2 Justin Jefferson will square off against the Sauce and #6 Jaylen Waddle will be in that interesting 49ers game.   Brad also has Isaih Pacheco who has taken over as KC’s lead running back and Jerick McKinnon the third down back is banged up, albeit they have a tough matchup against the Bengals.  Brad is heavily favored in this one, but he still has a lot of options and storylines to pay attention to and manage as the week progresses.  He’s hoping he’ll have good games out of his #4 Bills D/ST and #2 Kicker Tyler Bass who both play on TNF. 

 

Playoff Implications Everywhere.  Cold Weather.  Injuries.  Hope.  Ambition.  Fantasy Football.

 

Thanks for reading,

 

The Commish.         

BBY Dream Team League Season 14: Week 10 Recap & Week 11 Preview

Week 10 Recap:

JD (8-2) 137.6 vs. Brad (7-3) 130.6

Bit Time game with playoff seeding implications.  Brad was down by 28.8 heading into Monday Night Football with Jalen Hurts left to play.  IBM Watson gave Brad a 28% chance of Jalen Hurts scoring over 30 fantasy points.  Earlier in the year in Week 3 Jalen scored 30.6 points, so Brad just needed a repeat.  Unfortunately, it wasn’t in the cards as Jalen went for 21.8 points as the Eagles lost to the Commanders. Brad had solid producers led by Justin Jefferson’s 33.3 points on 10 catches for 193 yards and a touchdown against a good Bills team.  Only disappointing spot for Brad was Greg Dulcich who only had 1 catch for 11 yards in Denver’s loss to Tennessee.  For JD he had two of his players go off for him in Patrick Mahomes who threw for over 300 yards and 4 touchdowns against the Jaguars for 34.1 fantasy points and CeeDee Lamb who caught 11 balls for 150 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns in a losing effort against the Green Bay Packers (35.5).  He got solid production from Mostert (16.7) Rodale Moore (13.9) and Ten D/ST (13).  All this despite an underwhelming game by Austin Ekeler, who scored his lowest amount (9.8) since Week 3.  With this win JD has clinched a playoff spot.  Congratulations JD!

Joe (3-7) 69.8 vs. Kenny (4-6) 132.8

K-Dub crushes Joe by a whopping 63 points, almost doubling him up this week.  Joe got solid production out of Geno Smith (19.2) and Tony Pollard (23.3) but he had a season record 3 players score exactly 0 points. Eno Benjamin, Jerry Jeudy, and Clyde Edwards Helaire.  Kenny started Jeff Wilson Jr who went off against Cleveland for 24.3 fantasy points and Cole Kmet against Detroit who scored a pair of touchdowns for 23.4.  Adams was Adams with 26.1 and Devin Singletary ran for 2 touchdowns.  Complete effort from Kenny as he stays in the playoff hunt.

Jen (4-6) 115.3 vs. Tommy (7-3) 108.3

Jen with the upset!  Yall may remember Jen and Brad had a trade a few weeks ago.  After JJ went off for 33.3 points this week one might have been thinking that Jen lost that trade.  As the Legendary Lee Corso likes to say, “Not so fast!”  She got 18.2 from Daniel Jones, 25.6 from Aaron Jones, and 18.3 from Gabe Davis, a total of 62.1 points.  Heading into MNF she was at 95.5 points to Tommy’s 108.3.  Terry McLaurin remained.  Scary Terry wind up getting 8 catches for 128 yards and he looked good doing it.  19.8 and the victory by 7 points.  On Tommy’s side he turned to Justin Fields with Joe Burrow on bye and Fields delivered yet again.  44.3 fantasy points!  Everyone else on Tommy’s team had a quiet game.  Tyreek had 12.9, Henry had 7.7.  Just couldn’t get it going this week.  Jen is still in the playoff hunt!

Chase (6-4) 135.6 vs. Scotty (3-7) 60.3

Chase more than doubles up Scotty.  Scotty had every single player score 12 or less, including 7/9 in single digits.  His team scored a total of 2 touchdowns, 1 from Herbert and 1 from Jamaal Williams.  Chase started Subway Spokesperson and Terrible Quarterback Russel Wilson @ Tennesee, but the story for Chase was his rbs Dalvin Cook (27.1) and D’Onta Foreman (22) combining for 49.1.  Kelce, Hopkins, and Amon-Ra St. Brown did their thing.  The only unfortunate thing for Chase was JuJu Smith-Schuster got hurt and was put in the concussion protocol and had to exit the game.

Mike (5-5) 95.3 vs. Trey (4-6) 98.9

Mike held a slim lead of 1.8 fantasy points heading into MNF while Trey had Miles Sanders left.  Sanders sucked, but he got Trey 5.4 points which was enough for the victory.  Trey wins his third in a row.  He was carried by the 1st overall pick Jonathan Taylor.  It’s amazing.  The Colts and JT suck.  They fire their coach, turn to the veteran Qb, and give JT the ball and magically they win a game.  JT’s schedule looks great to end the year, so don’t count Trey out of this thing yet.  If he can squeeze into a post season berth he can compete.  Mike couldn’t get it going this week.  Jacobs got a respectable 19.6 points and Chris Godwin got his first touchdown of the season.  But 5 players scoring in single digits and Mike starting the wrong tight end was the difference in the game.

Katon (2-8) 108.3 vs. Mustafa (7-3) 84.5

PIGS CAN FLY! HELL HAS FROZEN OVER! Katon takes down Mustafa!  Worse than the loss for Moose was the two injuries he sustained.  Cooper Kupp is heading to IR after suffering a high ankle sprain.  He exited with 1.4 fantasy points.  Tight End Dallas Goedert was also injured.  Moose had Josh Allen play gutsy and score 22.6 and Saquon Barkley did his thing against Houston with 25.5, but the rest of his team combined for a paltry 36.4 points.  How did Katon do it?  Stefon Diggs had 12 catches for 128 yards and 21.8 fantasy points and Christian Kirk went for his best game of the season with 9 catches, 105 yards, and 2 touchdowns (30 fantasy points).  Those two combined for 51.8 points.  Katon got a touchdown from Devonta Smith on MNF and was able to get the job done.

Week 11 Preview

Last Week of Non-Divisional Games!  Playoff Implications Everywhere!

Chase (6-4) vs. Brad (7-3)

Both teams have a very strong chance to make the playoffs.  ESPN has Chase at 90% chance of making the playoffs and Brad at 99% chance of making the playoffs.  That % chance will go down for one of these teams this week.  Chase has renamed his team “Land of Misfti Quaterbacks” which is appropriate.  Chase has started 4 different quarterbacks this season and has averaged 12.54 points per game at the position.  Compare that to Brad who has started only 2 quarterbacks, his starter #3 Jalen Hurts and #15 Daniel Jones who only started due to Hurts’ bye week.  Brad has averaged 25.31 from the Qb position.  This week Chase turns to Qb #22 Russell Wilson.  Who has looked awful.  His only really strong performance came in Week 4 when he faced this same Raiders team he faces now.  He scored 26.9 fantasy points in that matchup, throwing for 2 touchdowns and rushing for 1 touchdown.  He hasn’t scored more than 14.2 since Week 4.  The Raiders suck, so let’s see if Wilson repeats or if the loss of Jerry Jeudy hurts his value.  Brad’s Hurts matches up against Indianapolis.  Indy has been pretty solid in stopping opposing Qbs.  At Rb teams look to be pretty even with Chase having #9 Rb Dalvin Cook against Dallas and D’Onta Foreman at home against Baltimore.  Foreman has rushed for over 100 yards in 3 out of the 4 weeks since the CMC trade.  We’ll see if he can continue that success this week or if his stats are inflated from playing Atlanta twice.  Brad has #6 Rb Christian McCaffrey against Arizona.  CMC played Arizona earlier this season for the Panthers and had 9 catches on 9 targets for 81 yards and a receiving touchdown.  Look for CMC to get his normal amount of usage and touches despite Elijah Mitchell getting more snaps in his return last week.  #1 Rb Nick Chubb faces Buffalo.  Buffalo is giving up an average of 30.8 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs the last 3 weeks.  Also this game is projected to be a heavy snow game, meaning lots of runs and weird punts.  Chase has the advantage at WR due to Brad being without #6 WR Jaylen Waddle due to bye weeks.  He’ll rely on #3 Justin Jefferson against Dallas and Courtland Sutton against Las Vegas.  Brad hoping for more targets to Sutton and Dulcich with Jeudy being injured.  Chase has the Sun-God Amon-Ra St. Brown against the Giants.  His usage is insane.  He also has DeAndre Hopkins versus San Fran on MNF.  Hopkins has been a target and reception monster since coming back from suspension and now looks to pick up more potential targets with the injury to Zach Ertz.  Chase also has Philly D against Indy which is going to be a smash and Dicker the Kicker.  Should be a great matchup.

Mike (5-5) vs. Katon (2-8)

Katon has all but been eliminated from playoff contention, but Mike is still fighting for a spot.  ESPN has Mike with a 52% chance of making a playoff spot.  Standing in Mike’s way is a Katon team with some favorable matchups this week.  Katon has #18 Alvin Kamara against LA Rams, David Montgomery in a smash spot against Atlanta.  With Khalil Herbert out of the way look for Montgomery’s usage to spike.  Katon also has #2 WR Stefon Diggs in a smash spot against Cleveland.  Depending on weather conditions.  WR Devonta Smith should be busy against Indianapolis and don’t overlook Brian Robinson Jr against Houston.  Houston is #32 OPRK against Fantasy Rbs and have given up an average of 198 rushing yards in the past 3 weeks.  For Mike he’s hoping for an NFC shootout between Dallas and Minnesota to fuel Dak Prescott.  Dak has looked pretty good since his return from injury.  Mike also has TE Dalton Schultz in that game for the Dak-Dalton stack.  Najee Harris had his most carries and rushing yards of the season last week against the terrible Saints.  Let’s see how he does against a Cincy defense he scored 9.6 against in Week 1 due in large part to a receiving touchdown.  #5 Rb Josh Jacobs faces Denver.  In Week 4 of this year Jacobs rushed 28 times for 144 yards and 2 rushing touchdowns.  Mike would love a repeat of that performance.  Tee Higgins was quiet in Week 1 against Pittsburgh but with Ja’Marr Chase out his target share should remain higher.  Not sure who Mike will wind up starting at Wr2 and Flex with Chris Godwin out on bye.  Katon will need to pick up a TE with Evan Engram on bye.

JD (8-2) vs. Mustafa (7-3)

One week after JD defeats Brad from Division 3, he gets Moose from Division 3.  Of course the big story heading into this week is Moose losing WR #4 Cooper Kupp and TE # 4 Dallas Goedert to injuries last week.  These two were averaging 30.3 points per game combined and will be big shoes to fill on Moose’s roster.  I would say look for Moose to make a trade since he is deep at RB, but we have passed the trade deadline.  Dizzle also lost Khalil Herbert to IR due to a hip injury.  This leaves him a little shorthanded considering Raheem Mostert is currently on a bye week.  JD does have A lot of players playing in primetime games this week.  #1 Qb Patrick Mahomes, #3 Rb Austin Ekeler, and either Keenan Allen or Joshua Palmer all face off on SNF when the Chiefs battle the Chargers in Los Angeles.  JD also has #11 D/ST Tennessee against Green Bay on TNF.  Looks like JD will need to find a Tight End and it looks like he’ll roll with James Robinson @ New England.  On Moose’s side he has #2 Qb Josh Allen in a blizzard game against Cleveland.  Luckily for Moose Allen is a really good runner, which will maintain a solid floor despite the potential elements.  #4 Rb Saquon Barkley faces Detroit.  Detroit has been better against the run in recent weeks if you don’t count Justin Fields running all over them last week.  Montgomery and Herbert were pretty quiet last week.  Barkley should be solid, but maybe he won’t explode like it looks like he could on paper. #14 Rb Dameon Pierce faces a tough Washington team coming off of an emotional and statement win against the previously undefeated Philly Eagles.  Moose has #8 Wr AJ Brown against the Colts.  He may get matched up with Stephon Gilmore.  He also appeared to look off on Monday Night Football.  He came up limping one play.  The announcers said he just changed his cleats out, but he never was a factor against Washington.   Something to monitor this week in practice.  Moose will also have #12 Rb Rhamondre Stevenson against New York Jets.  A couple weeks ago he scored 17.8 against this Jets defense, including 7 catches on 7 targets for 72 receiving yards.  Moose will have Toney on SNF and Foster Moreau @ Denver.  Moreau is serviceable at TE due to target share, but the Raiders suck, limiting his upside.   With JD’s depth issues this might be a Moose week as the leaders of D2 and D3 square off!

Joe (3-7)  vs. Jen (4-6)

There is no easy way to put this.  Joe’s team is dead.  Between injuries (Jerry Jeudy looks to miss time, Ja’Marr Chase isn’t back yet), bye weeks (Geno Smith and Noah Fant on byes), and his RB getting released (Eno Benjamin was released and signed with the Texans).  He should get Mark Andrews back this week.  So that’s something.  Jen has her full team minus rookie phenom Kenneth Walker who is on bye this week.   She is heavily favored with Qb #15 Daniel Jones playing Detroit who just got torched on the ground by Justin Fields, #8 Rb Aaron Jones plays Tennessee, and #12 WR Terry McLaurin faces Houston.

Tommy (7-3) vs. Trey (4-6)

Both teams have gotten hit hard with bye weeks this week.  Tommy will be without #11 Rb Leonard Fournette,  #1 WR Tyreek Hill, and #17 DK Metcalf.  Trey will be without #10 RB Travis Etienne and #11 WR Tyler Lockett.  In addition to both missing folks on bye weeks they both have Quarterbacks that have 2 games over 40+ fantasy points each.  Tommy’s #4 Qb Justin Fields who has a juicy matchup against Atlanta and Trey’s #6 Qb Lamar Jackson with a juicy matchup against Carolina.  Of course Fields is supposed to be backing up #5 Qb Joe Burrow for Tommy who now finds himself in a bit of a QB quandary.  I don’t see how you can bench Fields right now.  Both Tommy’s #1 Rb Derrick Henry against Green Bay on TNF and Trey’s #24 Jonathan Taylor against Philly have decent matchups.  You can run on Philly as shown by Dameon Pierce and Brian Robinson the last couple of weeks.  Tommy was given a lot of shit for drafting Dereck Henry over Cooper Kupp in the draft and now he’s putting the haters back in the refrigerator with the rest of the hate-o-rade.  Tommy 1- Brad 0.   This should be a huge game with playoff implications.  Can Trey stay in the hunt?  Can Tommy get a step closer to clinching Division 1 with Chase hot on the…Chase?

Kenny (4-6)  vs. Scotty (3-7)

Kenny is alive!  He’s hoping to stay in the playoff hunt this week.  ESPN has K-Dub having a 16% chance of making the playoffs.  Scotty is down to just 3% chance.  The Theme of Kenny’s team is injuries.  Kyler Murray was injured last week, so we’ll have to see if he is back in action this week on MNF against a tough San Fran defense.  D’Andre Swift is back, but limited.  He has a total of 22 touches the last 3 weeks combined, which is not good.  A pair of touchdowns is the only thing keeping him borderline startable right now.  Kenny will have Singletary in the snow game.  #5 WR Davante Adams against Denver.  In Week 4 he caught 9 balls on 13 targets for 101 yards.  #13 Amari Cooper is in the snow game.  We’ll see if Kenny gets Mike Williams back from injury or if he needs to turn to Elijah Mitchell, Damien Harris, or Jacobi Meyers.  Also Cole Kmet got rolled up at the end of the game last week, so JD will have to monitor that as well.  On Scotty’s side he gets Rb#7 Joe Mixon back from bye, but now WR #14 Mike Evans is out on bye.  Herbert gets KC on SNF.  Jamaal Williams is @ NYG like Kenny’s Swift.  DJ Moore and Hockensen should remain high in terms of target share and fantasy potential.  Deebo should be a factor on MNF.  This could be a very close game.  Will Katon play spoiler to the fringe playoff teams?  Or will Scotty pull out a victory and hold on to a sliver of a chance?  We shall see!

Thanks and Good Luck!

Signed,

The Commish

BBY Dream Team League S14: Week 8 Recap & Week 9 Preview

Week 8 Recap:

Brad (6-2) 172.6 vs. Joe (3-5) 104.2

Brad explodes for 172.6 points for his second highest point total of the season.  Jalen Hurts threw for 4 touchdowns and 28.4 fantasy points, Christian McCaffrey scored a passing touchdown, a rushing touchdown, and a receiving touchdown flexing his potential as a 49er to the tune of 36.1 fantasy points. Jalen Waddle scored 2 touchdowns with 29.6 points.  Nick Chubb scored 2 touchdowns with 27.9 points.  Between those 4 players Brad scored 122 points enough to defeat Joe’s entire team by 17.8 points.  Joe did have a lone bright spot on his team in Tony Pollard.  Pollard rushed for 131 yards and 3 rushing touchdowns against Chicago with Zeke Elliot ruled out due to a knee injury.  Geno Smith was serviceable with 19.0 points and Jerry Jeudy did his thing in London with 6 catches for 63 yards and a touchdown (15.3 points).  Brad just went off, nothing to do about that.

Kenny (3-5) 103.0 vs. Chase (5-3) 150.4

K-Dub got rocked by Chase who was led by D’onta Foreman’s 34.8 fantasy points.  With Chuba Hubbard inactive due to an ankle injury Foreman was free to run wild against the Falcons.  Hopkins looked scary good with 30.9 fantasy points and Dalvin Cook had another nice game with 25.6.  Kenny couldn’t hand despite getting 32.1 from Tua and 22.6 from Amari Cooper.  His peripherals combined for 10.5 points and Adams was shut down by the Saints.  The Raiders were so bad I wondered if the Saints staff replaced their Gatorade with Hurricanes out there.  Yikes.

JD (6-2) 103.3 vs. Mike (4-4) 93.8

Dizzle gets the W.  He was led by Kirk Cousins’ 3 touchdowns, CeeDee Lambs 16.3 and Khalil Herbert’s 15.9 ( I was right about him).  Mike put up a fight with 25.4 from Dak Prescott, but his next top scorer was D/ST with 13.  Josh Jacobs got caught up in that disaster of a game against the Saints and only put up 6.4 fantasy points despite averaging 34.6 fantasy points per game in the 3 weeks prior.   Ouch.

Tommy (7-1) 152.5 vs. Scotty (2-6) 134.2

Shootout!  Tommy gets the W after a monster game from Derrick Henry (40.3) and Tyreek Hill (28.5).  Scotty hung in there with the miraculous catch at the end of the game for DJ Moore (29.5) on a beautifully thrown ball by PJ Walker.  Scotty’s Lions Goff and Williams both got 21.1 points.  And Mike Evans added 18.3 due to his 100 yard receiving day.  In the end it wasn’t enough as every started for Tommy scored a touchdown except for Tyreek and his kicker.  Fournette, Metcalf, Kittle, Auyik, and even Dallas D/ST all got a touchdown this week.  Too much for Scotty.

Trey (2-6) 107.8 vs. Katon (1-7) 106.6

In the Battle of the Bad Trey harrowingly escapes the Katon trap.  He was eld by Travis Etienne Jr. who set a career high in rushing yards with 156 against a decent Denver defense.  He has back to back 100 yard rushing games after the James Robinson trade and is clawing his way back to prove he wasn’t a draft day bust.  Trey also got 21.7 from Lamar Jackson and 13.8 from Miles Sanders.  35.9% of Katons’ points came from Alvin Kamara.  Kamara scored 3 touchdowns against the Raiders in a blowout win.   He also got a solid 22.8 from Stegon Diggs.  Unfortunately 6/9 starters scored in single digits and he loses by 1.2 or Derek Carr’s interception.

Jen (3-5) 111.0 vs. Mustafa (6-2) 146.5

Jen had a new look team, but Moose’s looked just like it did before bye weeks.  He picked up right where he left off scoring 146.5 points on his way to a dominant win.  Jen was disappointed her newly acquired Qb only put up 9 fantasy points, but she should be pleased that Aaron Jones put up 20.7 fantasy points in a tough matchup against Buffalo.  She got a solid 16.6 from Terry McLaurin and 16 from Tyler Allgeier.  Moose had AJ Brown go off for 6 receptions, 156 yards, and 3 touchdowns (39.6).  According to James Palmer from the NFL Network Lane Johnson was asked how they were able to keep their foot on the gas coming out of the bye and his response was “Just throw that Mother F**ker to number 11.”  Moose had 7/9 starters score in double digits.

Week 9 Preview:

Tommy (7-1) vs. Mustafa (5-2)

HUGE Game.  Tommy is #1 of D1 and Moose is #1 of D3.  A 1st Round Bye in the playoffs could realistically be at stake.  Tommy will be without starting tight end George Kittle and flex play #24 Rb Kareem Hunt. Moose will be without #3 Rb Saquon Barkley.  Tommy has #2 Qb Joe Burrow vs. Carolina while Moose’s #1 Qb Josh Allen gets the division opponent Jets.  Tommy has #2 Rb Derrick Henry vs. KC on SNF and #9 Rb Lenny Fournette vs. LA Rams.  Moose has #15 Rb Dameon Pierce vs. Philly and #8 Rb Rhamondre Stevenson vs. Indy.  Tommy has #2 WR Tyreek Hill vs. Chicago.  Moose has #3 WR Cooper Kupp vs. Tampa Bay.  Kupp sprained his ankle at the end of the game last week and will be worth monitoring this week.  At the WR2 position these guys have two dogs on their team.  Physical Monsters.  Tommy with #24 DK Metcalf vs. Arizona.  A couple weeks ago DK underwhelmed against the Cardinals with only 2 catches for 34 yards, but he had solid 7 targets.  Moose has #7 WR AJ Brown vs. Houston on TNF.  Brown won’t be needed much in this game as it has blowout written all over it.  Moose should hope for enough value in the first half as there’s a chance he doesn’t play much in the second half.  Moose also has TE #7 Dallas Goedert for TNF.  Goedert only has 1 touchdown so far this season and he’s due.  Tommy will turn to #6 TE Tyler Conklin at Tight End in relief of Kittle.  Conklin is coming off of his best game of the season last week where he had 6 catches on 10 targets for 79 yards and 2 touchdowns.  I don’t see that happening against the Bills, but his target share and probability of the Jets playing from behind makes him a solid play this week.  The flexes of these two teams are pretty gross and not worth mentioning.  Will Tommy move to 8-1?  Or will Moose supplant Tommy as Team #1?

Brad (6-2) vs. Kenny (3-5)

Brad has been hit by a bye-maggedon setting this up to be a very close matchup.  Brad will be without #5 Rb Christian McCaffrey, #1 Rb Nick Chubb, and his starting tight end Greg Dulcich.  Kenny will be without WR #8 Amari Cooper.  Looking at Brad’s B squad he will have Qb#5 Jalen Hurts vs. Houston on TNF.  Michael Carter vs. Buffalo.  Isaiah Pacheco vs. Tennessee on SNF.  He does have his WR duo in WR #4 Jaylen Waddle vs. Chicago and WR #5 Justin Jefferson vs. Washington.  Kenny will be starting Qb #15 Tua in that Chicago game, so look for Kenny to be rooting for a big Tyreek Hill game and a quiet Waddle game.  Kenny is hoping to have D’Andre Swift back this week.  His coach said they rushed him back a bit too much last week, despite him only having 10 touches.  Devin Singletary is @ the Jets.  I don’t believe the acquisition of Hines should impact Singletary too much.  It would impact Moss (now a Colt) and Cook’s roles more.  Kenny needs #9 WR Davante Adams to play to his potential, he’ll have a chance versus Jacksonville’s defense.  Kenny has MVS in his flex spot.  Prior to the Chiefs bye MVS had his best game as a Chief with 3 catches, 111 yards and 15.6 fantasy points.  Should be a great game!

Joe (3-5) vs. JD (6-2)

Rivalry game!  Despite this large gap in wins and losses against these two teams JD has only scored 20.7 more points than Joe on the season.  Joe has had 73.7 more points scored against.  Both teams have been impacted by byes this week.  Joe won’t have #11 Rb Tony Pollard or #25 WR Jerry Jeudy or #5 D/ST San Fran.  JD won’t have #13 Wr CeeDee Lamb or Diontae Johnson or #3 Kicker Graham Gano.  With JD in the thick of a playoff hunt and points for mattering this game won’t be a kicker bowl.  Let’s see who they do have.  Joe has #7 Qb Geno Smith facing the Cardinals again.   He underwhelmed in their first meeting this season with only 197 yards passing and no touchdowns for 12.6 fantasy points.  Most of those came from his 48 yards rushing.  JD has Qb #4 Patrick Mahomes vs. Tennessee.  Tennessee was struggling against the pass to start the season giving up 2+ passing touchdowns in every game Weeks 1-5.  But after the bye week they’ve only given up a total of 2 passing touchdowns in the two games.  Has their defense improved that much?  Or is it because they faced Indy and Houston?  We’ll find out this weekend.  Joe has Rb#22 CEH in that SNF game.  Clyde has been efficient with scoring fantasy points, but his issue is volume given Chiefs RBBC.  The real situation this week is #4 Austin Ekeler going up against the Falcons.  D’Onta Foreman just ran all over them to the tune of 118 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns.  With the injuries at WR I can see Ekeler’s workload being higher than normal, making this a very favorable situation to JD in this matchup.  JD also has #23 Rb Raheem Mostert versus the Bears who were just torched by Tony Pollard last week for 3 touchdowns.  The rest of the starting lineups are a hodge podge of nasty.  Joe is starting wideouts that were relevant 3 years ago in Adam Thielen and Robert Woods.  JD is at least going younger with Drake London and Rondale Moore.   In the Flex Joe is turning to some guy named Caleb Huntley.  Maybe.  Patterson might be activated this week.  Meanwhile JD really hopes to have Keenan Allen, but I don’t think they put him in there against the Falcons.

Jen (3-5) vs. Mike (4-4)

There are 5 teams with winning records that are charging ahead towards playoff berths.  Then there is the 7 remaining.  Right now Mike leads the 7 with a 4-4 record.  In comes Jen just 1 game back, but having scored 18.4 more points this season.  Jen will have #9 Qb Daniel Jones out on bye Mike will be without Dak Prescott, Dalton Schultz, and Najee Harris.  Harris being out might actually help Mike’s chances this week.  Jen will have rookie phenom RB #21 Ken Walker III vs. Arizona.  A couple weeks ago Walker ran 21 times for 97 yards and a touchdown against the Cardinals for 18 fantasy points.  Look for him to continue this success.  She’ll also deploy #7 Rb Aaron Jones vs. Detroit.  Mike will have #6 Rb Josh Jacobs who like the rest of the Raiders are hoping for a bounce back game after getting blanked by the Saints last week.  Even Mike’s wonderful kicker Daniel Carlson got 0 last week.  Mike will have to lean on Wr #20 Tee Higgins and Target Vaccum Chris Godwin against the Rams.  A few years ago I sat Chris Godwin because he was questionable against the Rams and then he went off for 12 receptions on 14 targets 172 yards and 2 touchdowns.  So now I always start Godwin when he plays the Rams.  I don’t expect that type of production since the Bucs have looked like garbage lately, but Godwin has 36 targets the last 3 weeks.  Jen will have #19 WR Terry McLaurin against the Vikings and it looks like she will go for the stack with Taylor Heinicke to replace Danny Dimes.  Should be a really good matchup between these two.

Trey (2-6) vs. Chase (5-3)

Another game that looks closer in the details than when you look at record.  A lot of primetime game players in this matchup.  Trey has #18 Rb Miles Sanders against Houston TNF.  Eagles are heavily favored, but they might be so favored that Boston Scott gets a bunch of work in garbage time.  Let’s see if Sanders can get his in the first half.  On Sunday Night Football Chase takes over with #1 Tight End Travis Kelce and JuJu Smith-Schuster.  JuJu owners couldn’t have been excited about the Chiefs adding Kadarious Toney, who appears to be suddenly healthy all of a sudden.  I wonder if Toney was getting bad advice from known cancer Kenny Golladay over there in New York.  Anywho.  Trey will have the last laugh this week with #3 Qb Lamar Jackson and #3 Tight End Taysom Hill.  I have no idea what to expect from Ravens vs. Saints this week, but should be fun to watch.  Who Dat!  Trey will be praying for JT’s ankle to allow him to play this week.  New England has been solid against the run, but a couple teams were able to run on them pretty well.  (GB and Chicago).  #17 Rb Travis Etienne Jr gets a Las Vegas team that just got destroyed by Alvin Kamara.  Smash spot for Etienne who is slowly making up for his draft position which started the season out as a bust.  On the other side Chase has #12 Rb Dalvin Cook who has looked a lot better.  In Weeks 1-4 he averaged 10.3 fantasy points per game.  In his past 3 games he’s averaged 22.5 fantasy points per game.  He faces an average Washington defense this week.  Chase also has D’Onta Foreman.  Since CMC was traded Foreman has rushed for 118 yards in both games.  But last week he added 3 rushing touchdowns.  We’ll have to see if Chuba Hubbard plays this week as that could eat into Foreman’s touchdown potential, but if Hubbard is inactive then Foreman could be in for another huge game.  The Bengals just gave up a 100 yard game to Nick Chubb last week.  At Wideout Trey has Allen Lazard against Detroit and #12 Wr Tyler Lockett vs. the Cardinals.  He stunk it up last time they played.  Chase has the Sun God Lion King Amon-Ra St. Brown against Green Bay.  Where do Hockensen’s targets go?  He’ll also have DeAndre Hopkins who is averaging 24.6 points per game in his two games back from suspension.  For perspective, #1 Wr Stefon Diggs averages 23.3 per game and #3 Wr Cooper Kupp averages 22 per game.   Best of luck gentlemen.

Scotty (2-6) vs. Katon (1-7)

I seriously doubt either of these two read this weekly write up.  Couple things to mention.  Scotty has Herbert vs. Atlanta, Mixon vs. Carolina and newly traded TJ Hockenson against Washington.  DJ Moore has been on fire since the trades of Robbie Anderson and CMC.  He has 21 targets in the last two weeks.  Last game he caught a beautiful hail mary at the end of the game for a 60+ yard touchdown.  PJ Walker slung it and it was awesome.  On Katon’s side Alvin Kamara is looking great.  He has serviceable starters with Diggs, Kirk, and Smith.  Even Evan Engram has been looking good for the Jaguars.  Despite Katon’s record, he isn’t giving wins away this year.  People have to outscore him and earn it.

Thanks for reading and good luck!

-The Commish

BBY Dream Team League Season 14: Week 7 Recap & Week 8 Preview

Week 7 Recap:

Katon (1-6) 104.3 vs. Brad (5-2) 115.9

This was the second closest game of the week with Brad defeating Katon by a mere 11.6 points.  The big story was Brad picking up Danny Dimes a week prior anticipating Jalen Hurts’ bye week.  Daniel Jones did not disappoint.  31.7 fantasy points including 107 yards rushing and rushing touchdown.  Brad also got 24.1 from Aaron Jones who caught a beautiful touchdown pass from Aaron Rodgers late in the game.  Chubb was Chubb with 17.7.  Brad’s Sutton (3.8) and Waddle (10.8) disappointed from the WR position and CMC played limited snaps, scoring 7.2 in his inaugural game as a 49er.  Katon had 6 players score at least 12 points, but nobody scored more than Zeke Elliot with 17.7.  Zeke was looking good against Detroit with 2 rushing touchdowns, but he got hit really hard on his knee, limiting his snaps in the second half.  Seems like the knee is fine, but something to monitor because it looks like it hurt.  David Montgomery got 12.2 points for Katon.  Worth noting that Khalil Herbert has looked better than Montgomery several weeks in a row and the snap % could move towards Herbert’s favor if this trend continues as I predicted in the preseason draft grades.

Jen (3-4) 123.5 vs. Trey (1-6)  86.5

Jen gets the win, but at what cost.  Rookie phenom, Breece Hall, unfortunately tore his ACL in this matchup.  He had 15.2 points for Jen before he exited with the injury.  He was on pace for offensive rookie of year and looked every bit like the hype he got in the preseason.  Tough loss.  Jen’s other rookie Rb Kenneth Walker looked amazing again.  The Chris Carson but better Clone rushed for 168 yards and 2 touchdowns for 33.8 fantasy points.  Olave got back in the lineup and got 17.1 points with 7 catches for 106 yards.  Terry McLaurin had his 2nd best game of the season with 5 catches for 73 yards and a touchdown in Taylor Heinicke’s first start in 2022.  Rookie Rb Tyler Allgeier got a touchdown as well.  Trey’s team disappointed.  JT only got 12.0 fantasy points as the Colts fell behind earlier in a low scoring game.  Lamar Jackson had his 4th game in a row scoring 16.1 points or less and Kyle Pitts continues to be the bust of the year, scoring a pathetic 2.4 fantasy points with 3 catches for only 9 yards.  Trey’s only solace was Travis Etienne having his best game as a pro with 14 rushes for 114 yards a touchdown.  Of course it looks as though Etienne has showed up too late for Trey to make a run this season.

Kenny (3-4) 85.1 vs. Tommy (6-1) 115.0

Tommy continued to take names and kick ass with the en fuego arm of Joe Burrow.  Joe threw for 481 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Falcan’ts and rushed for another touchdown.  44.2 fantasy points was 51.9% of Kenny’s total output this week!  Jeeze Joe!  Tommy got a solid 18.3 from Derrick Henry.  George Kittle had his best game of the year so far with 6 catches for 98 yards and a touchdown against KC.  (18.8 points).  Tommy did lose DK Metcalf to a knee injury, but it appears to not be too serious despite it knocking him out of the game for Tommy.  On Kenny’s side he got 18.1 from Mike Williams before he too was knocked out of the game with an injury.  Preliminary reports say he will be out for few games.  Kenny had 4 players score 5.4 or less and couldn’t keep up with Tommy this week, losing by 29.9.

Mike (4-3)  104.3 vs. Moose (5-2) 94.3

Mike did it!  Last week I said he had a chance due to bye weeks and matchups, but that he would have to earn it.  Earn it he did scoring 104.3 points and winning by 10 points, the closest matchup of the week.  The main reason Mike won was Josh MFing Jacobs who ran for 143 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Texans.  Earlier I said I was right about Khalil Herbert, but I was dead wrong about Josh Jacobs.  Apparently contract years do still matter in the NFL and in Fantasy Football.  I stand corrected Jacobs.  Now stop crushing everyone.  Nobody else on Mike’s team scored more than 12.2.  If targets counted for anything Mike would have scored more considering Godwin had 13 targets against the Panthers.  Moose filled his holes well this week, but just got beat by Jacob’s monster performance.  He outscored Mike at Qb, RB1, WR2, and Flex, but it wasn’t enough.  Barkley got his with 18.5 and Stevenson still owned the NE backfield despite Damien Harris coming back with 19.8 fantasy points including 8 catches on 8 targets for 59 receiving yards.  It looks like he owns both the Legarrete Blount role and the James White role in the offense, which makes him scary.  Mike moves to 4-3 and wins his 3rd in a row.

Chase (4-3) 89.3 vs. JD (5-2) 134.5

JD blows out Chase.  Chase was on high heading into this week after defeating Moose, getting DeAndre Hopkins back from suspension after the Maquise Brown injury, Gus Edwards being activated, and Amon-Ra St. Brown coming back from his injury.  All was looking up for Chase.  Until it went down really quickly.  Amon-Ra St. Brown exited the game with a concussion after only catching 1 ball for 4 yards.  AJ Dillon only rushed the ball 4 times for 15 yards.  Jared Goff threw for 228 yards, 2 interceptions, and 0 touchdowns leading to a pathetic 1.4 fantasy points.  29 out of Chase’s 89.3 points came from his kicker and D/ST.  32.5% of his points.  JD went off with 31.8 from Patrick Mahomes to the tune of 423 yards and 3 passing touchdowns.  Austin Ekeler continued his ridiculous stretch of games scoring another 30.7 points, moving him to Running Back #1 on the season.  In the last 4 weeks Ekeler has scored games of 31.9, 36.9, 19.3, and 30.7 for an average of 29.7.  On Fire.  JD also got a nice 18.9 from Raheem Mostert who has secured his role as the starting RB on the Dolphins.  JD not only matched Chase, but beat his D/ST and Kicker combo with 31 points.  JD’s Qb and Rb1 positions outscored Chases Qb and Rb1 positions 62.5 to 2.9.  Insert drunk emoji here.

Scotty (2-5) 95.8 vs. Joe (3-4) 125.0

Joe is better than ESPN’s autodraft!  Congrats Joe!  The craziest part of Joe’s week is that he scored 125 points despite Mark Andrews only have 0.4 points on National Tight Ends Day no less.  You could tell he was hobbled by a knee injury and didn’t look quite like himself.  Weird to see him now get any catches in a game, but no matter, Joe got 32.0 from Ja’Marr Chase who torched the Falcan’ts.  He got 21.3 out of spot starter Eno Benjamin and had 7/9 players score in double digits.  Scotty had decent outings from Herbert (17.5), Mixon (16.6) and DJ Moore (16.1), but he couldn’t match Joe’s explosion from Chase and Benjamin.  Deebo tweaked his hammy as well this week, something to monitor for Scotty moving into Week 8.

***TRADE ALERT***

Brad (5-2) trades #10 RB Aaron Jones, #9 Qb Daniel Jones, and #22 WR Gabe Davis to Jen (3-4) for #5 WR Justin Jefferson and #10 TE Hayden Hurst.

Trade Reaction:  Moose called it a “good trade”.  Brad gets a #1 WR.  Jen had lost Qb Matt Ryan, #6 Rb Breece Hall, so she gets their replacements in exchange for her best player.  Brad gets a tight end to replace the injured David Njoku.

Overall: B.  Helps both teams.  Brad sacrifices depth and flex for WR1 spot.  Jen sacrifices WR1 spot for a complete lineup.  Should help both teams.

Week 8 Preview:

Brad (5-2) vs. Joe (3-4)

Brad trades 3 players that have started for him in order to acquire #5 Wr Justin Jefferson, setting up the Jefferson versus Ja’Marr Chase game this week.  Jefferson hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 1 and faces Arizona, as opposed to Joe’s #4 Wr Ja’Marr Chase who has scored 4 touchdowns in just the last two weeks.  Chase gets Cleveland on Monday Night Football.  In 2 games last season Chase was pretty quiet with games of 6-49-0 and 2-26-0.  Cleveland’s secondary has been terrible recently, so let’s see if he turns that around this season.  At Qb Brad has #5 Jalen Hurts vs. Pittsburgh.  Joe has #7 Geno Mahomes, I mean Smith against the Giants.  Brad has San Francisco Running Back #5 Christian McCaffrey at the Los Angeles Rams.  CMC played the Rams two weeks ago while on the Panthers getting 13 carries for 69 yards (hehe) and 7 catches for 89 receiving yards (19.3 fantasy points).  Brad also has #2 Rb Nick Chubb against Cincinnati on MNF.  #7 WR Jaylen Waddle versus Detroit and newly acquired tight end Greg Dulcich in the London game on Sunday.  Joe has TE#2 Mark Andrews on TNF.  He looked hobbled last week with the knee injury and hasn’t practiced so far this week.  Hopefully he can give it ago versus the Bucs.  Joe’s #23 Rb Tony Pollard might be in line for an expanded workload as Zeke banged up his knee last week and has been limited in practice this week.  Something to monitor.

Kenny (3-4) vs. Chase (4-3)

Another good matchup features Kenny who is hoping to have D’Andre Swift back this week against Miami. Speaking of Miami Kenny has Tua as his starting Qb against the Lions.  He also has #6 WR. Davante Adams @ New Orleans, #12 Wr Amari Cooper against Cincy on MNF.  Chase has made a change at Qb after two pathetic weeks from Jared Goff.  Looks like he might turn to the gunslinger Sam Ehlinger against Washington.  Chase also has #16 Rb Dalvin Cook against Arizona, Wr #19 Michael Pittman Jr in the Washington matchup, DeAndre Hopkins @ Minnesota, and he’s hoping to have Amon-Ra St. Brown against Miami.  Banged up Lions will be the story in this matchup.

JD (5-2) vs. Mike (4-3)

Bit time matchup with two winning teams going head to head.  JD gets hit hard by bye weeks losing his studs Patrick Mahomes and Austin Ekeler.  JD will feature Kirk Cousins vs. Arizona, newly acquired Jets Rb James Robinson against New England.  NE got gashed pretty good by the Bears last week.  We’ll see if the Jets follow a similar gameplan.  Rb #24 Raheem Mostert gets a juicy matchup against Detroit.  Wr#19 CeeDee Lamb faces Chicago, Diontae Johnson gets Philly.  On Mike’s end he has Dak Prescott against Chicago, Najee Harris @ Philly, #4 Rb Josh Jacobs, who I was wrong about in my draft grades, against the Saints in the Dome.  Chris Godwin plays on TNF and is coming off of his 13 target game.  In the past 2 weeks he has had 25 targets.  Crazy.  WR#21 Tee Higgins will finish things off in this matchup on MNF.

Tommy (6-1) vs. Scotty (2-5)

Tommy’s team come scorching into this matchup against a hapless Scotty team.  Since Scotty’s Week 4 explosion of 190.6 points in the past 3 weeks he has combined for 235.2 points and has gone 0-3.  And now his starting Qb Justin Herbert is on bye this week, meaning he’ll have to turn to Tom Brady who has looked depressed and not his normal self lately.  Scotty will have to monitor the health of D’Andre Swift which could impact his Rb #13 Jamaal Williams and the health of WR #11 Deebo Samuel who is dealing with a hammy issue.  That sucks considering he has done very well against the Rams as I mentioned in the Week 4 Preview.  Scotty will need some Brady to Evans magic on TNF to have a chance against Tommy’s juggernaut of a team.  Tommy will have #3 Qb Joe MFing Burrow against it doesn’t matter.  (CLE on MNF).  #7 Rb Derrick MFing Henry against Houston in a smash spot.  #8 Leonard Fournette has looked weird the past couple of weeks and is losing snaps to Rachaad White.  #3 Wr Tyreek the Freak gets Detroit where he might just go over 200 yards receiving.  Tommy will have to monitor the health of DK Metcalf and Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle might get bumps if Deebo misses this week, a double nut shot to Scotty’s chances if Deebo is inactive.  Double nut shot looks like the way this one will go, brace yourself Scotty.

Trey (1-6) vs. Katon (1-6)

Bottom Bowl Preview!!!  Trey has some players that he is starting.  Katon also has some players that are starting.  But some of them might not start.  Trey has Etienne with a larger workload now that they traded James Robinson away.  Rumors are swirling about the Eagles trying to trade for Alvin Kamara.  Would be nuts to do that and impact this game of Sanders vs. Kamara am I right?  Congrats on whichever of you gets your 2nd win of the season!

Jen (3-4) vs. Mustafa (5-2)

New team, who dis?  Jen enters a critical midyear matchup against Moose who has dropped 2 straight after a dominating 5-0 start.  Jen will feature newly acquired #9 Qb Daniel Jones in a great matchup against the Seattle Seahawks.  Rookie phenom Rb#18 Kenneth Walker faces the Giants.  Newly acquired #10 Rb Aaron Jones has a tough matchup against a well rested Buffalo Bills team on Sunday Night Football.  She has #14 Wr Chris Olave against the Raiders.  She’ll monitor to see if she gets James Conner back, giving her a potential 3 man punch at Rb.  Moose gets all his weapons back except for Michael Thomas probably.  He’ll have #1 Qb Josh Allen and his 31.4 point per game average against the Packers, #3 Rb Saquon Barkley against a beatable Seattle team.  Rookie phenom Rb#12 Dameon Pierce against Tennessee who did a decent job stopping JT last week.  #2 WR Cooper Kupp faces San Fran.  In Week 4 against SF Kupp had 14 catches on 19 targets for 122 yards receiving and 22.2 fantasy points.  19 targets is freaking nuts.  #18 WR AJ Brown is against a banged up Steelers secondary.  And #9 Rb Rhamondre Stevenson gest the Jets in a key divisional matchup.  Moose should be back to his 130+ point average and be really tough to beat this week.

Thanks for reading and good luck!

-Signed, The Commish

BBY Dream Team League S14: Week 6 Recap & Week 7 Preview

Week 6 Recap:

Mustafa (5-1) 115.7 vs. Chase (4-2) 134.9

“Down goes Frazier!”  “Do you believe in Miracles!” “Pigs can fly, hell has frozen over, the Saints are going to the Super Bowl!”  Chase’s team rises to the occasion and takes down the last undefeated team in Mustafa.  Moose had his normal solid efforts out of Josh Allen (29.2) and Saquon Barkley (17), he also got 23.1 from Rhamondre Stevenson.  Cooper Kupp had a quiet game for Cooper Kupp with 13.2 fantasy points only 7 catches for 80 yards.  AJ Brown got 15.2 including a touchdown.  And even Moose’s kicker showed out with Succop getting 14 going 4/4 for field goals for the Bucs.  Moose’s downfall came at Tight End with Dallas Geodert getting 3.2, Flex in Melvin Gordon getting 0.8, and Jax D/ST getting 0.  Those three players combing for 4 points was Moose’s downfall.  On Chase’s side he had a near complete effort from his team with the exception of JK Dobbins who was sat after experiencing knee tightness.  He finished with 1.5 points.  Everybody else scored in double digits.  Michael Pittman led the team with 22.9 fantasy points on a monster receiving day of 13 receptions and 134 yards.  Kelce was Kelce with 8 catches for 108 yards (18.2 points).  Looking at the Tight End, Flex and Defense positions Chase outscored Moose 41.4 to 4.  Chase won by 19.2.

Tommy (5-1) 133.5 vs. Brad (4-2) 83.2

Tommy celebrated his birthday and then celebrated kicking Brad’s ass.  Brad had his worst week of the season by far (previous low was 117.1).  6 Players scored in single digits and nobody eclipsed 20 fantasy points.  On Tommy’s side he was led by Joe Burrow who threw for exactly 300 yards and 4 touchdowns against our Saints for 35.5 fantasy points.  Tyreek Hill had 12 receptions and 177 yards receiving.  And for some reason Tommy started Brandon Auyik in the flex despite Auyik averaging a paltry 7.8 fantasy points per game heading into this week.  So naturally the piece of shit catches 8 balls on 11 targets for 83 yards and two touchdowns against me.  What a dick.  Good game Tommy.

Scotty (2-4) 67.0 vs. Jen (2-4) 92.7    

A low scoring affair as Jen takes out Scotty.  Scotty just couldn’t get it going with bye weeks, injuries, and schedule all cultivating into his worst game of the year.  Tom Brady only got 13.6, Joe Mixon only got 14.8, and 5 out of 9 scored in single digits.  Scotty also lost Marquise Brown to a foot injury that might keep him out for quite some time.  Jen only got 4.5 from Zach Wilson this week, but her rookie running backs showed up in a big way.  Breece Hall got 22.1 and Kenneth Walker II got 18.  Brad called for optimism last week for Jen’s squad and her Rookie Duo showed us why this week.  Jen will also be hoping to get some pieces back in Week 7.

JD (4-2) 99.8 vs. Trey (1-5) 84.6

Trey was unable to win back to back games and drops to 1-5 on the season.  Trey smartly played Deon Jackson who got 23.1 fantasy points before exiting the Colts game with a quad injury.  Lamar Jackson got 16.1, Sanders got 13.7 and Allen Lazard got 15.6, but then Trey’s Wr2, TE, Flex, D/ST, and Kicker all combined for 16.1 total points.   JD was led by Mahomes 22.5 and Ekeler’s 19.3.  Nobody went nuts for JD, but he had a better week than Trey and got the W.

Joe (2-4) 104.8 vs. Katon (1-5) 105.8

Katon has done it!  His first win of the season!  He got 9 starters in there and and got the job done by 1 point!  Congratulations Katon!  Katon was led by Stefon Diggs 28.8 and he had a pair of Rb’s with solid production Kamara with 15.4 and Zeke with 15.1.  Joe on the other side had 56.8 out of his total 104.8 (54.2%) of his point come from Ja’Marr Chase and Mark Andrews.  Everybody else shit the bed.  Katon had Zeke, Joe had Pollard, Zeke outscored Pollard, Katon outscored Joe.

Mike (3-3) 83.5 vs. Kenny (3-3) 67.3  

Mike gets to 3-3 by scoring the 4th least points this week, but playing the 2nd lowest scoring team this week.  His top scorer was NE D/ST with 17, his second highest scorer was his kicker Myers with 13.  Katon’s top scorer was Kyler Murray with 17.8.  Like I said in the preview this matchup was gross and I was right. Disgusting.

Week 7 Preview:

BYE-MA-GEDDON

Teams on Bye This Week: Buffalo Bills, Philly Eagles, LA Rams, Minnesota Vikings.  Some serious firepower missing.  This is where depth and management comes in big time.  The midweeks with byes.

Katon (1-5) vs. Brad (4-2)

Brad has talked a lot of shit to Katon this season in the write ups and now Katon gets to attempt revenge.  Brad is coming off of his first loss since Week 1 and his worst game of the year.  Katon is coming off of his first win and 2nd highest scoring week of the year.  Brad will be without his starting Qb, Wr2, D/ST and Kicker.  Katon will be without his starting WR #1 Stefon Diggs and WR #17 Devonta Smith.  Let’s focus on who they do have.  Katon has Derek Carr vs. Houston and Brad has Daniel Jones @ Jacksonville.  Brad picked up Jones last week thinking it would be a decent matchup.  That was before Matt Ryan went off to the tune of 389 yards and 3 passing touchdowns on the Jags in Week 6, making this move look better than it actually is.  Katon has Alvin Kamara against Arizona’s 10th ranked OPRK.  David Montgomery who might be losing touches to Khalil Herbert as I expected.  Zeke Elliot has a butter matchup against Detroit.  Cooks and WR #15 Christian Kirk will hold down WR spot for Katon. On Brad’s side he has #13 Aaron Jones with a decent matchup against Washington, #1 Rb Nick Chubb vs. Baltimore, and #4 Rb Christian McCaffrey against Tampa Bay.  There are rumors that CMC might be traded, so we’ll have to monitor to see if that happens and if it does happen, does he go somewhere that helps or hurts his fantasy value.  We shall see.  Brad will have to monitor Jaylen Waddle this week as he injured his shoulder at the end of his matchup in Week 6.  Brad is favored, but don’t sleep on Katon.  Or with him because you’ll definitely wind up pregnant.

Jen (2-4) vs. Trey (1-5)

Jen loses her top wideout, #3 WR Justin Jefferson and Trey loses his RB2, #9 Miles Sanders to bye weeks. Trey has a strong chance to have #1 Overall Pick Johnathan Taylor back this week, while Jen will rely on her rookie Rb Duo to carry her team.  Trey has a clear advantage at Qb as Jen’s #20 Qb Aaron Rodgers hasn’t gotten above 16.8 points this season while Trey’s #2 Lamar Jackson has games of 42.3 and 50.5 logged this season.  He has scored under 20 in 3 consecutive weeks, but it’s steadily increasing with a smash spot potential this week against a Cleveland secondary that couldn’t stop anybody last week.  The rest of the matchup is complete and utter garbage.  A hodge podge of near fantasy irrelevant players that shouldn’t be started and yet here we are.  Jen with Terry McLaurin, Corey Davis, Hayden Hurst, and Tyler Allgeier.  Trey with Allen Lazard, Tyler Lockett, and is that Taysom Hill in your flex spot?  Jesus.  If Olave plays I like Jen’s chances a bit better, but this matchup looks to be low scoring.

Kenny (3-3) vs. Tommy (5-1)

Kenny loses #24 Rb Devin Singletary to bye and Tommy gets #8 Rb Derrick Henry back from bye.  Kenny will get D’Andre Swift back just in time and turn his Tight End position to #11 TE Robert Tonyan.  He also gets Davante Adams back from bye.  Tommy will have Joe Burrow at home vs. Atlanta.  Atlanta shocked the world last week by shutting down the 49ers running offense and winning against a quality NFC opponent. Look for Burrow to expose the secondary much like Jimmy G did once they fully abandoned the run.  #5 Rb Leonard Fournette gets #26 OPRK Carolina.  Making this matchup seem that Kenny has a strong chance of dropping his 3rd game in a row.  Kenny might be able to pull the upset; however, if #12 WR Mike Williams is able to get it going against a horrific Seattle defense.  Smash spot for Williams, can he lead Kenny to victory?

Mike (3-3) vs. Mustafa (5-1)

Moose was hit hard with byes this week.  He’ll be without Qb#1 Josh Allen, WR#1 Cooper Kupp, WR#10 AJ Brown, and TE #6 Dallas Goedert.  At the same time, Mike gets healthier with Dak Prescott looking to return from his Week 1 thumb injury, just in time to play the horrific Detroit Lions defense.  Mike will also feature #7 Rb Josh Jacobs against Houston’s 32nd ranked OPRK, making him a chalk DFS play and a solid foundation for Mike’s chances to pull the upset.  #24 Wr Tee Higgins has a great matchup against Atlanta and Chris Godwin has a great chance to smash against Carolina.  One of the reasons Moose has the best team in the league this season is his depth.  His starting lineup this week will be competitive versus most of the league.  He has #11 Qb Trevor Lawrence against the Giants, #3 Rb Saquon Barkley vs. the Jaguars inconsistent defense, #11 Rb Rhamondre Stevenson vs. Chicago on MNF, Romeo Doubs @ Washington, Curtis Samuel vs. Green Bay, and let’s not forget #15 Rb Dameon Pierce vs. Las Vegas.  Mike has a chance due to matchups, but Moose isn’t just going to roll over and die this week.  Mike will have to earn it.

Chase (4-2) vs. JD (4-2)

Big Time Matchup Here.  Chase loses #10 Rb Dalvin Cook and Darrell Henderson to byes this week.  JD is at full strength.  Looking at Chase’s team it can be summarized as “It was the best of times, it was the worst of times.”  When it comes to Wide Receiver position it is the best of times.  He gets the Sun God Amon-Ra St. Brown back from injury and bye week and he gets DeAndre Hopkins back from his 6 game suspension, while also having young stud #16 Michael Pittman Jr going up against Tennessee.  At Running back it’s the worst of times.  He has JK Dobbins who tweaked his knee, AJ Dillon who hasn’t cracked double digit fantasy points since Week 1, and then he loaded up on potential Rb’s to see if one of them might work out this week in Latavius Murray (Denver), D’Onta Foreman (Carolina), and Kyren Williams (LAR-bye).  The Broncos have already come out saying Melvin Gordon will start, but Murray could eat more touches if they go hot hand approach.  Foreman is a speculative pickup in case CMC gets traded, Chase would gain a starting Rb.  And Kyren Williams is getting hyped as someone the Rams might lean on down the stretch, possibly supplanting Henderson who Chase also has.  Chase is hoping to get something at Rb and to ride his trio of wideouts and his #1 Tight End Travis Kelce to victory.  JD has #4 Qb Patrick Mahomes @ San Fransisco, #2 Rb Austin Ekeler vs. Seattle’s 28th ranked OPRK.  Just a note here, Los Angeles has been cautious with Ekeler, wanting to make sure he stay healthy down the stretch.  He could smash this matchup, or he could have very limited touches if the Chargers don’t need him late in the game.  Raheem Mostert has taken over the Miami backfield and has a decent matchup against Pittsburgh who just gave up solid fantasy production to Leonard Fournette last week (19.1).  #18 Wr CeeDee Lamb gets Dak Prescott back and a juicy matchup against Detroit.  Diontae Johnson is @ Miami, and JD hopes to have Keenan Allen this week against Seattle.  Should be a great matchup and either team can win, but JD has clear advantage at Rb, while Chase has advantage at WR.

Scotty (2-4) vs. Joe (2-4)

What and the hell are yall doing?  Two worst losing streaks in the league matchup this week.  Joe has dropped 3 straight after being 2-1 and getting cocky.  Scotty has dropped two in a row after his 190 point explosion in Week 4.  In the two weeks since then he has scored 139.4 combined, averaging a pathetic 69.7 points per game.  Joe on the other hand has been more even scoring 110.3, 105.5, and 104.8 the last three weeks, but going up against teams that scored more points.  So Scotty is up and down, Joe is consistent, who wins?  Scotty has a Rb2 problem and a Wr1 problem.  He will have to start Jamaal Williams at Rb2 or go dumpster diving in Free Agent land.  Also he lost #8 WR Marquise Brown possibly for the season as he suffered a bad foot injury.  He gets #8 Qb Justin Herbert versus Seattle and TE #5 TJ Hockensen versus Dallas.  Of course Dallas did a great job stopping Dallas Goedert last week.  Joe will have Geno Smith in the LA Chargers game, CEH vs. San Fran, Eno Benjamin should get a second start, this time against the Saints on TNF.  Ja’Mar Chase gets Atlanta in a smash spot.  #2 Tight End Mark Andrews gets Cleveland.  I’m not sure if Scotty has given up on this season since it was autodrafted for him or if he is still willing to fight.  If he is willing to fight he might want to consider trading Deebo Samuel or Mike Evans for a Rb2 and Wr2 to better fill out his roster.  He could try to trade Brady or Herbert to a Qb-needy team.  But no 2-4 team is out of this thing yet.  There are a lot of ups and downs in fantasy football and the season is long.  Just last week Moose was unstoppable, unbeatable.  And yet he lost and has a chance to lose two in a row.  Mike’s team was destitute a couple weeks ago, but fortunes have smiled on him and he is back to 3-3 with a chance at 4-3 with a team looking better as it gets healthier.  Never give up, keep fighting, let’s go!

Thanks for reading and good luck!

-Signed, The Commish

BBY Dream Team League Season 14: Week 5 Recap & Week 6 Preview

Week 5 Recap:

Mustafa (5-0) 148.3 vs. Kenny (3-2) 117.1

Moose has dominated in his first 5 weeks and his team has gotten better.  Josh Allen’s 40 points led Moose who also got 27.4 from Cooper Kupp, 18.1 from Saquon Barkley, and 18.8 from rookie phenom Dameon Pierce.  Kenny had a decent week with 117.1, but decent weeks won’t compete with Moose’s ridiculous lineup.  Kenny got 30.9 from Davante Adams on MNF, 21.4 from Mike Williams, and 22.7 from Jeff Wilson.  But 5 players scored in single digits including four players that scored 6 or less.  Moose gets it done.

JD (3-2) 106.5 vs. Tommy (4-1) 149.5

Tommy bested JD this week and wind up being Top Scorer in the league.  Tommy was the only team that could’ve beaten Moose this week.  He got 30.9 from Leonard Fournette and 29.2 from Derrick Henry.  JD got 36.9 from Austin Ekeler and 30.4 from Patrick Mahomes, but a big difference maker in this matchup was Defense selection.  JD got -1 from Miami D/ST and Tommy got 24 from Dallas D/ST for a 25 point swing.  Tommy also outscored JD in the flex with Kareem Hunt’s 13.2 to JD’s Garret Wilson who only got 4.2.  Even if JD had started Mostert he would have fallen short.  Tommy for the win.

Chase (3-2) 95.8 vs. Katon (0-5) 88.9

Finally Katon set his full lineup!….oh wait.  Nevermind he started Logan Thomas who was inactive prior to the kickoff.  I know this because I had Logan Thomas in another league and dropped him for Cade Otton.  I won that matchup by less than 1 point.  If Katon had started Montgomery or Devonta Smith or picked up a tight end (Evan Engram or Cade Otton anyway) then he would have come out ahead in this one.  That’s a lot of if’s though.  Chase was looking defeat in the eyes heading into Monday Night Football, but Travis Kelce caught 7 balls for 25 yards and 4 Touchdowns to secure the victory.  He also had a nice game from Dalvin Cook with 25.1.  Those two players accounted for 55.1/95.8 points or 57.5% of his total point output.  The other 7 players were all in single digits including 4 players that scored less than 6 points.  Chase squeezes one out and drops Katon to 0-5.

Joe (2-3) 105.5 vs. Trey (1-4) 134.6

Congratulations to Trey who got his first win of the season this week!  With no JT as well, very good job.  The main reason Trey won was because of Taysom Hill’s ridiculous game against the Seahawks.  He carried the Saints on his back to the tune of 9 rushes, 112 rushing yards, 3 rushing touchdowns, and a passing touchdown.  Hill outscored Joe’s Mark Andrews by 20.1 points.  Trey won by 29.1 points.  Joe’s team disappointed with his Qb, Rb1, Wr1, Wr2, and Flex all scoring in single digits.  He broke 100 thanks in large part to his peripherals as Andrews got 18.9, SF D/ST got 19, and Justin Tucker got 16.  53.9 from your peripherals is pretty damn good.  Your perhipherals accounting for 51.1% of your total point output is not. Congrats again Trey!

Mike (2-3) 115.0 vs. Scotty (2-3) 72.4

Speaking of bad teams that got wins last week, Mike Grote got the W!  Mike got 24.7 from Carson Wentz, 30.8 from Josh Jacobs who I was wrong about in my draft grades, by a lot.  He also got 22 from NE D/ST.  Mike even overcame Tee Higgins getting 0 fantasy points after he aggravated his ankle, which resulted in him playing only 10 snaps.  I’m going to compare two players points scored through five weeks, let me know which player you would rather on your fantasy team:

Player A: 9.6, 11.4, 11.6, 7.4, 5.1, Total= 45.1 Points

Player B: 9.0, 13.0, 10.0, 13.0, 16.0, Total= 61.0 Points

Which would you choose?  Well luckily Mike doesn’t have to choose, because they are both on his team.  Player A is Mike’s first round pick Najee Harris.  Player B is Mike’s #1 Kicker Daniel Carlson.  I may have been wrong about Jacobs, but I’ve been right about Najee so far.  Scotty got 17.8 from Marquise Brown, but that was his top scorer.  He had several players score right around 10 points, but he had 4 players J Williams (5.6), TJ Hockenson (1.1), Pit D/ST (3.0), and Koo (0.0) combine for 9.7 points.  Scotty’s worst game of the season and surely a disappointment after his 190 point explosion last week.

Jen (1-4) 94.5 vs. Brad (4-1) 132.3

Brad gets his 4th win of the season in Week 5.  This is already 1 more win than the 2021 Regular Season where Brad finished 3-11.  He was led by Jalen Hurts 27.5, Nick Chubb’s 28.4, and Christian McCaffrey’s 19.9.  Jen had a big day from Justin Jefferson who had 12 catches for 154 yards, but everybody else scored 15 or less.  Olave caught a touchdown, but sacrificed his body for it and wind up being ruled out for a concussion.  Then on Monday Night Football Jen was down by a little less than 40 points with Darren Waller to play, but he hurt his hamstring in the first half of the Chiefs game and wind up scoring 0 for Jen.  Despite poor performances from James Conner (6.8) and Antonio Gipson (5.4) Jen has some reason for optimism, which I will talk about in the Week 6 Preview.

Week 6 Special!  Best Players By Round Drafted Through 5 Weeks of 2022 Season:

Round 1: Mustafa- Cooper Kupp, Wr #1 through 5 weeks

Round 2: Tie: Katon- Wr #2 Stefon Diggs, Mustafa- Rb#2 Saquon Barkley, Chase- TE #1 Travis Kelce

Round 3: Brad- Nick Chubb, Rb #1 through 5 weeks

Round 4: Tie: Mustafa- Qb#1 Josh Allen, Mike- Rb#4 Josh Jacobs

Round 5: Trey- #2 Qb Lamar Jackson

Round 6: Mustafa- Dameon Pierce, Rb#9 through 5 weeks

Round 7: Brad- Jalen Hurts, Qb#3 through 5 weeks

Round 8: Trey- Tyler Lockett, WR#9 through 5 weeks

Round 9: Jen- Chris Olave, WR #14 through 5 weeks

Round 10: Brad- Bills D/ST, #2 through 5 weeks

Round 11: No one

Round 12: No one

Round 13: Tie: Mustafa- Curtis Samuel, WR#22, JD- Raheem Mostert, Rb#30, Scotty- Jamaal Williams… controversy.

Round 14: Mike- Daniel Carlson, #1 Kicker

Round 15: No one

Round 16: Mike- Alec Pierce.

Let’s see how this looks 5 weeks from now!

Week 6 Preview:

***RIVALRY GAME***

Moose (5-0) vs. Chase (3-2)

7 Championships won out of 13 Seasons of the BBY Dream Team League represented in this matchup. Moose with 4, Chase with 3, including last season.  Moose comes in averaging 149.8 points per game compared to Chase’s 105.9 per game.  The insane thing about Moose’s complete and utter dominance of this league to date is that his team has actually gotten better over the past couple of weeks due to various injuries across the NFL.  Moose has #14 Rb Rhamondre Stevenson who has Top 5 Rb potential over the next couple of weeks due to an injury to Damien Harris.  He has Melvin Gordon III who is starting due to the season ending injury to Javonte Williams.  One might not even notice that his Rb2, #9 Rb Dameon Pierce is on bye this week.  Moose will have #1 Qb Josh Allen in the ultimate revenge game in Kansas City, where the nightmare of a coin toss in last years playoffs have him out for blood.  @2 Rb Saquon Barkley leads the 4-1 Giants against the Baltimore Ravens.  #1 WR Cooper Kupp faces Carolina.  WR#13 AJ Brown and TE#5 Dallas Goedert face Dallas’s reall solid defense on Sunday Night Football.  Don’t overlook Moose’s #7 D/ST Jacksonville going up against the Garbage Fire that is the Indianapolis Colts who are surprisingly 2-2-1 on the season.  Moose will have his choice in the flex between Michael Thomas if available, Melvin Gordon III, or WR #22 Curtis Samuel.  On Chase’s side he will be without stud WR #11 Amon-Ra St. Brown and Qb #10 Jared Goff.  He’ll have to turn to Qb #13 Kirk Cousins  against a decent Miami defense.  He has #14 Rb Dalvin Cook in the same game.  JK Dobbins is @ NY Giants.  Michael Pittman Jr. is against the Jaquars.  He’ll have JuJu Smith-Schuster and TE#1 Travis Kelce on the wrong side of the Buffalo matchup and AJ Dillon against the Jets.  I don’t see Chase competing with Moose this week, he is just too powerful at this moment in the season.

Tommy (4-1) vs. Brad (4-1)

Tommy graciously hosted Brad for the draft and I’m very appreciative of that.  Now both teams find themselves 4-1, both riding 4 game winning streaks and looking to get their 5th win of the season. Unfortunately for Tommy bye weeks have begun, meaning he won’t have his first round pick Rb#5 Derrick “King” Henry.  Brad is unscathed by bye weeks.  Tommy will have #9 Qb Joe Burrow in the New Orleans Super Dome.  Louisiana loves him and I’m sure he’ll put on a show considering the Saints just got sliced and diced by Geno *checks notes* Smith in Week 5.  #7 Rb Leonard Fournette travels to Pittsburgh where Tommy will have TB D/ST as a stack against rookie-led Kenny Pickett.  Pickett was sacked 3 times last week against the Bills and threw one interception.  I expect more of the same.  Tommy has #5 WR Tyreek Hill against Minnesota.  This could be a battle of the Dolphins wideouts since Brad has #7 WR Jaylen Waddle, but Brad might choose to go with #20 WR Gabe Davis in a shootout in Kansas City considering some guy named Skylar Thompson might be the starting Qb for the Dolphins this week with Tua and Teddy Bridgewater both trying to get cleared from concussions.  If one or both of those Qbs get cleared then Brad will have to make a decision.  Tommy has the other Browns Rb in #21 Rb Kareem Hunt against a New England defense that has given up decent points to pass catching backs this season.  Tommy also has #17 Wr DK Metcalf matched up against a beatable Cardinals secondary.  Brad has #3 Jalen Hurts in a critical matchup against division rival Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football.  The Eagles offensive line is Hurt, so look for Hurts to be running away from Micah Parsons all night.  Brad has his trio of Rbs for this matchup with #1 Nick Chubb against NE who shut down Jamaal Williams last week, #12 Rb Aaron Jones against an underrated Jets Defense, and #6 Rb Christian McCaffrey against the Rams in Los Angeles.  He’s been a model of consistency for Brad regardless of opponent with games of 13.7, 17.8, 15.5, 21.3, and 19.9.  Let’s see if a Qb and head coach change influences CMCs production moving forward.  Brad is hoping to have a shot heading into Monday Night Football where he’ll have #15 WR Courtland Sutton @ LA Chargers.

Scotty (2-3) vs. Jen (1-4)

Both teams coming off of underwhelming losses, but one of these teams has a reason to be optimistic.  Jen will have a pair of talented rookies to deploy at RB with #10 Rb Breece Hall and new starter Kenneth Walker III who takes over the Seattle backfield due to the season-ending injury to Rashaad Penny.  We’ll have to wait to see if Jen has James Conner in the matchup @ Seattle as he injured his ribs against the Eagles.  They’ve called up a couple Rbs from the practice squad which isn’t a good sign.  We’ll learn more as the week progresses.  Jen will also be monitoring Chris Olave who is in the concussion protocol.  Given Tua’s situation I doubt any player currently in the protocol is going to be rushed back due to optics.  Both the NFL’s and the players ability to see because of their brain injury.  Scotty will have Tom Brady @ Pittsburgh.  Rb #20 Joe Mixon against our Saints, Wr#10 Deebo Samuel in a smash spot against Atlanta, #6 Wr Marquise Brown @ Seattle and #19 Wr Mike Evans in the Pittsburgh matchup.  Scotty looks to be favored due to Jen’s injur concerns.

JD (3-2) vs. Trey (1-4)

Can Trey do the unthinkable?!  Can he win two games in a row?  JD comes in 0-2 in non-division games after getting blown out by Scotty in Week 4 (190.6 to 114.7) and Tommy in Week 5 (149.5-106.5).  Trey will have #2 Qb Lamar Jackson @NY Giants who did a good job containing Aaron Rodgers in London last week.  He’ll have #13 Rb Miles Sanders in that Dallas game on SNF.  Travis Etienne got things going last week with his first double digit fantasy game of the season 12.9.  He’ll look to continue that against a terrible Colts team.  Trey looks like he’ll roll with Terrific Taysom again this week. Taysom Hill is Tight End #3 after that 39 point explosion last week.  Also don’t sleep on Trey’s Wr#9 Tyler Lockett.  JD will try to stop his losing streak with Qb#4 Patrick Mahomes with a herd of Buffalo running full speed into Kansas City this weekend.  #3 Rb Austin Ekeler is coming off of back to back 30+ point performances but will face off against #9 OPRK Denver Broncos on Monday Night Football.  The Broncos should be well rested since their last game was on Thursday 10/6.  Raheem Mostert has all but locked up the Rb 1 duties for the Miami Dolphins. He’ll be relied upon heavily if the Dolphins are without Tue and Teddy and have to roll with Skylar Thompson at Qb this week.  JD will have WR # 21 CeeDee Lamb in that pivotal Eagles game on Sunday Night Football.  Should be a great matchup!

Joe (2-3) vs. Katon (0-5)

This bottom bowl preview has one team that is desperate for a win to try and stay in the playoff hunt and one team that may or may not know that I’m writing about them every week on these weekly write ups.  Hey Katon, if you are reading or listening to this let me know by typing in “I commit to starting 9 active players this week, I promise” into the Fantasy Group Chat.  And then actually do that please.  Joe will have Geno Smith vs. Arizona because there is no way in hell Joe would be stupid enough to start Russel Wilson again after that horrendous display on Thursday Night Football.  Joe will also start some running backs, but all of them are garbage and don’t deserve to be mentioned in this write up.  He’ll rely heavily on #18 Wr Ja’Marr Chase @ New Orleans and #2 TE Mark Andrews @ New York Giants.  Don’t sleep on Joe’s defense #1 SF D/ST against the flightless Atlanta Falcons.  Katon will have… damn Katon you’re still rolling with Matthew Stafford?  Gross.  Alvin Kamara in the Cincy game.  David Montgomery on Thursday Night Football with an over under set at a whopping 38.  Wr#2 Stefon Diggs is @ Kansas City in a potential smash spot.  Will Katon get his first win of the season?  Will Joe make it to .500?  Will Katon start 9 active players?

Mike (2-3) vs. Kenny (3-2)

Mike limps in after getting his second win of the season and Kenny limps in after getting crushed by Moose in Week 5.  Both have been bitten by the injury and bye week bug this week.  Mike will be without #4 Rb Josh Jacobs and #1 Kicker Daniel Carlson.  Kenny will be without Rb D’Andre Swift and WR#4 Davante Adams.  Let’s see who they do have for this matchup.  Oh God… this is so bad.  I’m sorry guys I have my limits.  I can’t preview this game.  The Rb’s are Najee Harris, Jerick McKinnon, Devin Singletary, and Jeff Wilson Jr.  (Insert throws up emoji).  The WR’s are #24 Tee Higgins and Chris Godwin vs. #8 Mike Williams and #12 Amari Cooper.  Flexes are Michael Gallup and Jacobi Meyers.  But hey both have Top 10 Tight Ends with Mike’s #9 Gerald Everett and Kenny’s #7 Tyler Higbee!  If either team scores in triple digits I’ll be genuinely surprised.

Thanks for reading and good luck!

-Signed, The Commish