Week 11 Recap:
D1:
Brad (7-4) 114.4 vs. Katon (2-9) 96
Brad chose the right Qb, starting Josh Allen (33.8) over 4-INT Jameis Winston (17.7) a difference of 16.1. Brad won by 18.4. CMC and Cook combined for 40.2, their lowest combined score since Brad acquired CMC from Joe 4 weeks ago. (53.2, 54, 52.6, 40.2). Katon started the right Qb as well, picking Matt Ryan (19.4) over 4 INT Philip Rivers (15). Unfortunately for Katon, Robert Woods was a late, healthy inactive for the SNF game against the Bears for a “personal issue”. Had Katon caught it at the last minute he would have had to drop someone on bye, Woods himself, or maybe his precious Gronk. We know the last one wasn’t going to happen. Brad still has playoff hopes alive.
Jen (1-10) 87.1 vs. Moose (8-3) 121.3
Jen held a slight lead heading into MNF, but Moose got a solid 19.4 from Ekeler and 18 from Kelce to put Jen away and finish as the week’s #2 scorer. He widens his lead for points leader to 26.7 points with two weeks to go. It appears to be a two-horse race for the Points Leader crown, but not sure if Brad has the matchups to catch up to Moose. Jen pulled a Jen this week. Her first round pick got 0, her flex play left on a stretcher. Her starting Qb had his worst game of the season. This is setting up her Week 12 upset over Brad very nicely!
D2: We wish I was talking about Might Ducks 2
Tommy (4-7) 140.5 vs. Joe (6-5) 48.3
Tommy apparently stole Trey’s winning streak and has been running with it. Jimmy G and Le’Veon Bell combined for 50.7, enough to beat Joe this week. Gurley showed up, Saints D/ST and Lutz combined for 32 and Tommy rolled Joe who had 8/9 starters score 6.5 or less this week. His D/ST scored 33% of his teams total points. Rudolph was hit in the head by a helmet, Connor left with an shoulder issue, Hill left due to a pulled Hammy, Sanu went from 10 targets in Week 10 to 2 targets in Week 11. Joe is hoping Russell Wilson can provide a spark coming off bye this week.
JD (8-3) 94.5 vs. Chase (3-9) 89.6
Last week I described JD scoring on average 4.6 points per game more than Chase on the season. So naturally JD will defeat Chase by 4.9 points this week… Neither team had a great showing, but Dak Prescott went off for JD, getting 36.4 against Detroit. He also got a solid 21.7 from Mark Ingram, but 4 starters scored 2.9 or less this week. Chase got 21.4 from Michael Gallup and 15.1 from Mark Andrews, the prior Moose team members combined for 36.5 of Chase’s 89.6 points (40.7%). JD punches his ticket into the playoffs and will compete for a bye, Chase punches his ticket to the Bottom Bowl.
D3:
Mike (6-5) vs. Kenny (7-4)
Mike gets the W to stay alive! Mike got 3.8 from starting Qb Deshaun Watson and still scored 118 total points with three huge games from his wide receivers. Mike Thomas got 23.6, DJ Chark got 28.6 and Deebo Samuel got 19.6 combining for 71.8 points. Mixon got in on the fun, scoring his first rushing touchdown of the season. Kenny was without Barkley and Howard and despite a solid 25.7 from Kirk Cousins, he had the rest of his starters capped at 11.9 or less including 0 from Jack Doyle, who he started in the Flex. That’s right, Kenny went double tight end in this one. Cue video of Mike dancing in his car to the sound of “Staying Alive! Stay Alive! Ah, hah, hah, hah… Staying Aliiiiiiiivvvvveeeeeee!!!!”
Trey (6-5) 98.1 vs. Scotty (8-3) 112.9
Scotty punches his ticket into the post season, now he sets his sights on a Division Title and a potential bye week. Trey’s name of Flopkins is appropriate as he has now dropped two straight. One of the bright spots for Trey was Marlon Mack’s 19.9 and his awesome double spin move run. But unfortunately he fractured his hand. His peripherals disappointed with a meager 16.3 including 0 from his kicker. He’ll try to turn things around for the final two games. He faces Mike (6-5) and Kenny (7-4), so his destiny is still in his hands, so to speak. Scotty only got 16 from his peripherals but it didn’t matter. He got 21 from Brees, 16.2 from Kamara, 25.1 from Diggs and 18.7 from Sutton.
Week 12 Preview:
D1:
Katon (2-9) vs. Moose (8-3)
Katon is playing to pull an upset. Moose is trying to lock down the D1 crown, points leader and a first-round bye. Katon has Matt Ryan facing pass funnel Tampa Bay. Zeke is @ New England and I think I know who they will be trying to take away from this one. Katon has Rivers, Gordon, and Allen all on bye this week, leaving Katon with limited options that hurt his teams floor and ceiling. Moose comes in with incredible matchups for a few of his stars including Nick Chubb and Odell versus Miami, Montgomery vs. NYG. Lamar Jackson is matchup-proof. Amari Cooper may struggle against New England, but it honestly doesn’t look like it will matter. Moose heavily favored in this one even with Ekeler and Kelce on a bye.
Jen (1-10) vs. Brad (7-4)
You would think with 7 wins and being #2 in Points Scored, Brad would be feeling good about his chances of making the playoffs. Well, it’s a bit more complicated. Brad lost to Moose (8-3), Scotty (8-3), Trey (6-5), and Mike (6-5). If any of these teams have the same record as Brad they own the head to head tie breaker. Now if more than 2 of those teams have the same record at the end of the regular season then it would come down to points/algorithm and Brad would be potentially okay given he is number 2 in that category. In comes Jen striving to get her second win of the year and take down the commish. She has great matchups and a full roster and can actually pull it off. She has Jacoby Brissett (or free agent acquisition) against Houston on TNF. She also has Colts D/ST @ Houston on TNF (Brad dropped two weeks ago). Unless she picks up another. Derrius Guice is back! Now he gets an awesome matchup against Detroit. #10 Rb Chris Carson has a tough matchup against Philly’s run defense, but he’s been pretty matchup proof. He, of course, was traded by Brad to Jen for Tyreek and Kirk. Tyreek is injured on Joe’s team and Kirk is on a bye week. Brad has previous good matchup Winston-Godwin stack, but all of a sudden Atlanta Defense is looking more like New England’s. After giving up an average of 24.8 fantasy points to opposing fantasy quarterbacks before the bye week, they’ve only given up an average of 11.3 points per game post-bye week. Both New Orleans and Carolina had 300 yard passing games, but neither threw a touchdown and had multiple turnovers. Brad’s lone stud this week CMC faces a New Orleans Saints defense with an #3 OPRK against Fantasy Rb’s. CMC is matchup-proof but has had a couple games of mediocrity. Jen has a legitimate chance to take Brad out this week.
D2:
JD (8-3) vs. Joe (6-5)
JD’s team has a slight edge over Joe talent-wise this week, but matchup-wise Joe has the advantage. That is leading me to believe this is going to be a low-scoring affair. JD has #3 Qb Dak @ NE, Ingram @ LAR, Adams @ San Fran. Waller and Ty Williams face the Jets who are beatable. Bills D/ST will be in a game with the lowest points total to open up a game in a couple of decades I would imagine. Joe gets #2 Qb Wilson @ Philly, who have been great against the run, terrible against the pass, but have been steady improving week over week. Joe is hoping to James Connor in a sexy ass matchup against Cincy. I estimate he’ll blow his load on Bo Scoroborougoh this week.
Tommy (4-7) vs. Chase (3-8)
Chase has half of his rostered players on bye this week. Tommy has some questionable matchups. This game is merely for Bottom Bowl seeding, but even that matters. If you start out in the Top 2 games of the bottom bowl, you have a slightly higher chance of getting more balls in the draft lottery for next season.
D3:
Trey (6-5) vs. Kenny (7-4)
Kenny has his Kicker, Rb, and Qb on a bye week and will most likely be spending some FAAB money this week despite him having three defenses. Trey will have Hunter Henry on bye but has Jacob “Short military-style special teams white-guy grinder” Hollister balling out to plug in. Kenny gets #20 Fantasy WR Jarvis Landry vs. Miami. Trey has lost Marlon Mack for a few weeks. This one is tough to write about as both teams will be looking a lot different come Sunday’s 12pm kick off.
Mike (6-5) vs. Scotty (8-3)
Top Wideouts meet Top Running Backs in this Division 3 Bout. Mike has #5 Qb Watson vs. Indy on TNF, Mixon vs. Pits Defense, White vs. Dallas, #1 Fantasy Wr. Mike Thomas vs. Carolina, #5 Fantasy Wr. DJ Chark @ Tennessee, #10 Fantasy Wr. Tyler Lockett. Scotty has Drew Brees vs. Carolina, #15 Fantasy Rb Kamara vs. Carolina, #3 Rb Aaron Jones @ SF on SNF, and #11 Fantasy Rb Leonard Fournette. Who wins this week? #TeamWR or #TeamRB?!?!?
Apocalypse Scenario:
Jen (1-10) beats Brad (7-4)
Trey (6-5) beats Kenny (7-4)
Mike (6-5) beats Scotty (8-3)
Joe (6-5) beats JD (8-3)
Moose (8-3) beats Katon (2-9)
Causing there to be one 9-3 team, two 8-4 teams, and five 7-5 teams all vying for the 6 playoff spots.
#MADNESS
Good Luck This Week
-Commish